Free NCAAFB, NFL & NBA Service Plays For Sunday 11/18/18

Doug Upstone
Nov 18 '18, 1:00 PM in 18h
NFL | Cowboys vs Falcons
Play on: UNDER 50 -110

If you were or have been thinking about betting Atlanta, the total rising two points to 49.5 would seem to be good news. The Falcons defense is very suspect, thus, the more points the better with how they play. But is the higher total correct? I'm going the opposite direction, with Dallas 15-6 UNDER in road games and the Dirty Birds 8-1 UNDER having won three out of their last four games.
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Pro Computer Gambler
Nov 18 '18, 1:00 PM in 18h
NFL | Steelers vs Jaguars
Play on: UNDER 48 -110

KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Steelers are 0-19 OU (-9.86 ppg) on the road facing an opponent that is averaging at least 35 passes per game and they are not a four-plus point underdog.
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Dennis Macklin
Nov 18 '18, 1:00 PM in 18h
NFL | Titans vs Colts
Play on: OVER 48 -120

DMack's Free Play for Sunday November 18, 2018 is on the Titans/Colts Over

The Titans evidently got hings figured out on their bye week, scoring 28 and 34 points in wins over the Cowboys and Patriots. They won't face anywhere near that resistance here against a Colt outfit that has won their last three games in shootouts against teams with a combined record of 7-21. Disregard prior history here look at the moment. The Colts are on a 5-1 run tho the over and Luck is playing very well throwing the play. Can't see Mariota and Co. generating anything less than 30 here with the Colts answering back. 34-30 whoever.
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Tim Michael
Nov 18 '18, 4:05 PM in 21h
NFL | Raiders vs Cardinals
Play on: UNDER 41 -110

T.M. Selection: Raiders/Cardinals under (FREE PLAY)

Two teams who came into the year with big aspirations collide on Sunday afternoon and I have a hard time seeing either mustering much of an offensive attack. Oakland is in full on rebuilding mode (just 1-8 SU overall), most recently falling in a 20-6 setback to the Chargers this past weekend. The Raiders have now scored a grand total of nine points over the last two weeks. Arizona fans can empathize. The Cards are 2-7, most recently falling 26-14 at Kansas City. Arizona has struggled with offensive consistency as well this season and it’s already seen the total go under the number in four of five at home. Consider the under in this “stinker” of a non-conference contest.

T.M. Prediction: 17-14 Arizona.
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John Martin
Nov 18 '18, 4:05 PM in 21h
NFL | Broncos vs Chargers
Play on: UNDER 47 -115

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Broncos/Chargers UNDER 47

I like this UNDER in this division rivalry between the Broncos and Chargers Sunday. The Chargers have gotten healthier on defense in recent weeks and it’s starting to show with their play on the field. They have allowed 19 points or fewer in five consecutive games and an average of just 13.2 PPG in those five contests. They should hold the Broncos in check. This is a Denver offense that has scored 23 points or fewer in seven of their last eight games overall. They just aren’t very good on that side of the ball this season. But their defense is still very strong, and they should be able to slow down Philip Rivers and this Los Angeles offense. The Broncos and Chargers have combined for 47 or fewer points in seven consecutive meetings. With a total of 47 Sunday, this is an easy choice. Give me the UNDER.
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Joseph D'Amico
Nov 18 '18, 4:05 PM in 21h
NFL | Raiders vs Cardinals
Play on: UNDER 41 -110

Sundays FREE NFL WINNER: UNDER in the Raiders/Cardinals matchup.

Games 469/470.

1:05 pm pst.

In a game that will have serious draft pick implications, scoring will be at a minimum. Both offenses are among the worst in football (Oakland 30th, Arizona 31st). The Raiders average just 13.0 PPG on the road, where 3 of their 4 away outings have gone UNDER the Total. The Cardinals account for a mere, 13.0 PPG at home, where 4 of their 5 games played this season also went UNDER the Total. The UNDER is 6-1 in Oakland's L7 road games, 13-3 in Oakland's L16 overall, 20-7 in Arizona's L27 home games, and 9-4 in Arizona's L13 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you.
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Jeff Allen
Nov 18 '18, 4:05 PM in 21h
NFL | Raiders vs Cardinals
Play on: Raiders +4½ -109 at GTBets

Jeff Allen's Free NFL Play for Sunday is on the Oakland Raiders

Both team play hard but from a talent standpoint, neither team matches up well and both are in tank mode. John Gruden needs a win, any kind of a win to get the pressure off for a couple weeks. He faces a Cardinal team that is 1-4 at home with an 18-15 win in their last against a 49er team that is also bad. Both teams have their moments and this one gets decided by a kick in the final minute. Take the points.
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Sal Michaels
Nov 18 '18, 4:25 PM in 22h
NFL | Eagles vs Saints
Play on: Eagles +9 -120 at Bovada

Free Play on Eagles +9 -120
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Dave Price
Nov 18 '18, 4:25 PM in 22h
NFL | Eagles vs Saints
Play on: Eagles +9 -105 at Bovada

Dave’s Sunday Free Play:

1* on Philadelphia Eagles +9

The Key: We are getting a few extra points on the Eagles that we shouldn’t be getting this week. They are good enough to give the Saints a run for their money. The Saints are a big public team right now after winning 8 in a row and covering the spread in 7 straight. Now they’re being asked to lay 9 points to the defending Super Bowl champs. It’s too much. Also helping inflate this line is the fact that the Eagles were upset by the Cowboys last week. Carson Wentz made some bold statements after the game that make me think the Eagles will put their best foot forward this week. The Eagles are 8-0 ATS vs. good rushing defenses that allow 90 or fewer rushing yards per game over the last 3 seasons. The Eagles are 6-0 ATS vs. good passing teams that average at least 7 YPA over the last 2 years. The Eagles have the far superior defense in this matchup, and that should keep them competitive. Take Philadelphia.
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Tony Brown

Tonys *5 NFL Free Pick

Dallas vs. Atlanta, 11/18/2018 13:00 EDT

Point Spread: -3/-120 Atlanta

Sportsbook:
Bookmaker

Fp: Both teams playing below expectations this season and both teams play defense like it’s optional i look for this to be a barn burner and im taking the home team falcons to do a little more than the cowboys getting the win amd cover for my nfl free pick !
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Chip Chirimbes

Chip's FREE NFL Winner

Houston vs. Washington, 11/18/2018 13:00 EDT

Point Spread: +3/-115 Washington

Sportsbook:
Bodog

Houston at Washington 1:00 ET
Redskins (+) over Texans- This one is a bit confusing as both teams are 6-3 and leading their respective divisions and the Texans come up favored in D.C. And this bothers me because the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Maybe a six-game win streak has a baring as Houston who started 0-3 are now in the driver's seat leading the AFC South. But, there is one cloud hanging over this Houston team as they are 0-10 on the road against NFC opponents. With veterans Alex Smith and Adrian Peterson leading the offense the Redskins will squeak out a win here. Take Washington!
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Alex Smart

nfl comp

Oakland vs. Arizona, 11/18/2018 16:05 EDT

Point Spread: +5½/-110 Oakland

Sportsbook:
Bodog

We have a veteran QB that has completed 71.5 % of his passes this season in Derek Carr, going up against a rookie QB in Josh Rosen, who has more interceptions (eight) than touchdown passes (six). I know the Raiders have looked bad, but Arizona has not been much better, and just because they did not get crushed by KC last week and stayed within a couple of TDs, does not mean their on a upward trajectory like some of the pundits would have you believe. With that said, look for the points to be golden this week, in what will be a closely contested battle between two hapless bottom feeders. Note: The Raiders have covered their L/3 visits to the desert.

Home teams vs. the money line (ARIZONA) - after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games are 28-12 for a 70% SU conversion rate for bettors.

NFL team (OAKLAND) - after scoring 9 points or less in 2 straight games are 39-13 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Oakland Raiders to cover
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MARC LAWRENCE
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Bucs vs. Giants
Bucs+2

Play - Tampa Bay Bucs (Game 465).

Edges - Bucs: 4-0 ATS as a non-division dog after scoring 3 or less points in last game … Giants: 0-5 SUATS last five games when coming off a win. With that we recommend a 1* play on Tampa Bay. Thank you and good luck as always.
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COLE FAXON
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Broncos vs. Chargers
FREE PLAY on Broncos +7 -105
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BOBBY CONN
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Eagles vs. Saints
1* Free Play on Eagles +8 -105
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BLACK WIDOW
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Vikings vs. Bears
Vikings+3 +100
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KENNY WALKER
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Broncos vs. Chargers
Broncos+7 -105
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MARK WILSON
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Vikings vs. Bears
Free Play on Vikings +3 +100
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ROB VINCILETTI
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Steelers vs. Jaguars
Steelers-5 -109

The AFC Power system Comp play is on the Steelers at 1:00 eastern. Pittsburgh has this one circled in red as they look to avenge last seasons home playoff loss. They are 6-0 ats on the road off a game where they had 40+ yard reception. The Jags have failed to cover 7 of 8 at home between a road game vs a winning teams. The Steelers also fit a system that plays on winning teams off a Thursday win vs an opponent under .500. The Jags have lost 5 straight and the Steelers won 5 straight. Play on Pittsburgh.
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CALVIN KING
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Texans vs. Redskins
[1%] Free Play on Redskins +3
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JACK JONES

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Carolina Panthers -3.5

The Carolina Panthers will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday against the Detroit Lions. They were embarrassed on National TV on Thursday last week in a 21-52 road loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, who are playing as well as any team in the NFL right now. They’ll be looking to show the kind of team they really are this week as that effort was an aberration based on the way the Panthers had played up to that point previously.

The Panthers are still 6-3 on the season and right in the thick of the playoff race. They have everything to play for the rest of the way, and I also like the fact that they have extra time to prepare for the Lions this week. That’s because they did play last Thursday, giving them three more days off than the Lions. That’s a hidden advantage here that I don’t think is being factored into the line.

I went 4-1 in the NFL last week, but my lone loss was on the Lions +7 over the Bears. I thought they would play with a sense of urgency in a must-win game, but they did not, and they were terrible the entire game. They were thoroughly outplayed by the Bears. Now, at 3-6 on the season and three games behind the Bears in the NFC North, I could see the Lions pack it in. They realize they have nothing to play for the rest of the way.

I should have seen it coming with the trade of Golden Tate to the Eagles. Tate was Matthew Stafford’s security blanket, and without him he has looked lost. The Lions have lost three in a row by 14 at home to the Seahawks, by 15 at the Vikings and by 12 at the Bears. If that’s not the sign of a team struggling, then I don’t know what is.

Tate was so important to Stafford because he could get the ball out quickly to him. That helped mask the woeful offensive line in Detroit that simply hasn’t given Stafford any time to throw this season, especially in recent weeks. As a result, this Detroit offense has been held to just 15.0 points per game the last three weeks. It won’t get any easier against a very good Carolina defense this week.

The Panthers look as good as they have offensively maybe ever this season, averaging 26.8 points per game. And their defense is holding opponents to 17 yards per game below their season averages despite facing a brutal schedule of opposing offenses. This Detroit offense will be one of the worst units the Panthers have faced all season, and they should have their way with them.

Christian McCaffrey should have a huge game rushing against a Detroit defense that ranks 28th against the run, giving up 132.7 rushing yards per game and 4.9 per carry. The Lions also rank 31st in passing yards per attempt (8.9) allowed this season. Even Mitchell Trubisky torched them for 348 yards last week through the air. They were without their top corner in Darius Slay in that game, and he could miss this game as well with a knee injury.

Detroit is 2-15 ATS in its last 17 games vs. a team that commits one or fewer turnovers per game in the second half of the season. Ron Rivera is 9-1 ATS off a blowout road loss by 14 points or more as the coach of Carolina. Rivera is 12-2 ATS after allowing 25 or more points in two consecutive games as the coach of the Panthers. Look for an inspired, bounce-back effort from Carolina this week. Bet the Panthers Sunday.
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Mike Wynn

Free Play: Houston/Washington Under 42½ Points
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Totals4U

Early Sunday's Free Selection: Cincinnati/Baltimore over 43 1/2
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Atlantic Sports

Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Cal-Fullerton - 7
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Platinum Plays

Free Pick: the Dallas/Atlanta Game Under 50 Points
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Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Sunday
Carolina -4'
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Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Baltimore -4
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John Anthony Sports

Early Sunday's Free Selection: South Florida Bulls + 10 (NCAA BB)
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High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Early Sunday: Wichita State Shockers + 3 1/2
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DAVE COKIN

(459) Philadelphia Eagles
(460) New Orleans Saints

Pick (460) New Orleans Saints

Analysis
Numbers keep climbing on New Orleans but it's not mattering. As of right now this is the best team in the NFL. The Eagles are finally getting the disrespect they've earned from the books. They're just not very good this season, simple as that. The slow start might have been no big deal, but who the season is past the halfway mark and a team is still under .500, last ear doesn't matter much anymore. Third straight week backing New Orleans and according to my projections, they're still a value commodity. I made this -13.5, so no problem spotting the 8 with the Saints.
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BUSTER SPORTS

Event: (471) Pittsburgh Steelers at (472) Jacksonville Jaguars
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 18, 2018 1PM EST
Play: Jacksonville Jaguars 5.5 (-108)

The Jaguars are just having a real miserable season after such great promise coming into the year. We gave our long-term clients Jacksonville last week and ended up getting a push as a 3-point underdog in Indianapolis. We look at this game much similar, as it is more about the number than it is about the teams. Pittsburgh comes to Jacksonville looking as sharp as ever but as we all know the Steelers can throw a clunker in especially on the road. Now we understand that they have revenge from last year’s playoff loss to Jacksonville but at the time of this writing we are getting 5 1/2 points with the home club Jaguars and that is just way too many. We had this line set as Pittsburgh as a small favorite. We know that the Jacksonville defense has looked really shaky of late but every one of those games have been on the road. When they have been at home in Jacksonville, the most yards they have allowed are 302 against the Patriots and have held two clubs under 200 yards. The Jacksonville defense should get a few injured players back this week including CB A.J. Bouye. Pittsbugh RB James Conner cleared Concussion protocol but obviously might not be 100%. if Conner has another big day the Jaguars will be in trouble. We believe the Jaguars D steps up today in this spot. At the end of the day for us, we believe Jacksonville is being disrespected in this spot and they should be able to come inside this lofty number. So lets get the job done with the Jacksonville Jaguars as your free play for today.
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TEDDY COVERS

Event: (463) Houston Texans at (464) Washington Redskins
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 18, 2018 1PM EST
Play: Houston Texans -3.0 (+100)

Take Houston (#463)

Teddy is 21-12 (64%) in the NFL this year. His NFL sides have been even better: 19-8 (70%) YTD. And Teddy is 10-5 (67%) w' his strongest plays – 5% Big Ticket Reports -- since August. Don’t miss a single football winner from this PROVEN profit producer all weekend long!

Washington’s injury situation is a disaster – period. OL Coach Bill Callahan has lost both starting guards, Shawn Lauvao and Brandon Scherff, with season ending injuries. Their star left tackle, Trent Williams is out long term as well. Right tackle Morgan Moses was flagged repeatedly over the last two weeks trying to play through a knee injury. This is a VERY bad matchup against Jadaveon Clowney and JJ Watt; arguably the fiercest pass rushing duo in the NFL.

Besides playing behind an offensive line starting guys they just signed off the waiver wire this week, the Redskins will also be without big play WR Paul Richardson. RB Chris Thompson has bad ribs. Jordan Reed is dealing with a neck injury. WR Jamison Crowder has a bum ankle. If the Redskins fall behind here, they’ll have a very hard time catching up.

Washington was outgained by 215 yards in Tampa last week, allowing more than 500 total yards in a bizarre game where the Bucs managed only a single field goal, something that had never happened before in the HISTORY of the NFL. That’s not likely to happen two weeks in a row. Coming in off six straight wins and a bye week, look for Deshawn Watson to lead the Texans to their seventh consecutive victory here. Take the Texans.
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BRYAN LEONARD

Event: (469) Oakland Raiders at (470) Arizona Cardinals
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 18, 2018 4PM EST
Play: Arizona Cardinals -5.0 (-108)

470 Oakland at Arizona

Wanted to wait on late information for this one, so we missed out on the better numbers. Nonetheless we feel like there is still plenty of value. We’ve all heard of the tension in Oakland with the players infighting and disagreeing with management. Well in addition the Raiders took two days off of practice because of the air conditions in the Oakland area. Instead of taking the team to a place with better air conditions, they did not practice. That tells be all I need to know about this organization.

Arizona has faced the toughest slate of pass rushers this season, now take on a team that simply cannot sack the quarterback. Let’s get this one in now because we expect this line to continue to rise.

PLAY ARIZONA
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SPORTS DATA QUERY GROUP

Event: (469) Oakland Raiders at (470) Arizona Cardinals
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 18, 2018 4PM EST
Play: Oakland Raiders 5.0 (-108)

The Cardinals have scored an average of 13.8 ppg this season and both their wins are over the 49ers. The only game that the Cardinals made it to 20-plus points this season is the game in which they had a 5-0 takeaway margin. Teams that have trouble scoring are poor favorites. NFL teams are 0-26 ATS as a home favorite the week following a loss as a road dog when they have averaged 14 ppg or less over their last three games and they are facing a team that is at least two games under 500 on the road, as long as both teams are not on five-plus game losing streaks.

Regular customers will recognize this one, as the Jets qualified last week and they lost 41-10 to the Bills laying a TD. We except the Raiders to get the win here.

Arizona is 0-10 ATS (-8.05 ppg) off a double-digit road loss in which their opponent had more punts than third downs converted and 0-7 ATS (-7.21 ppg) as a favorite off a road game off a 10+ loss facing an opponent that is scoring on less than 30% of their drives.

The Raiders are 12-0 ATS (+9.00 ppg) as a dog vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a loss in which they held their opponent to four or fewer third down conversions and 8-0 ATS (+13.00 ppg) as a road dog off a loss facing an opponent that is averaging less than 5 rushing first downs per game.

So make “sports writers” are picking the Cardinals because they “play well” against the Chiefs. However, Andy Reid was simply taking it easy on the lowly Cardinals as a 16.5-point favorite. These same writers were all over the Jets at home last week vs the Bills.

The value is with the Raiders.
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Chris Ruffolo

ARIZONA NFL
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Randy Chambers

CHARGERS
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Andrew Jett

FALCONS
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Hawkeye Sports

Early Sunday's Free Pick: NY Islanders - 120
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday, November 18, 2018

NFL (465) TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS (466) NEW YORK GIANTS

Take: (466) NEW YORK GIANTS
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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: CAROLINA/DETROIT UNDER the total of 49½
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#1 Sports

Early Sunday's Free Selection: Pittsburgh Steelers - 5 1/2
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Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Sunday: Take TAMPA BAY/NY GIANTS UNDER the total of 52½
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Arthur Ralph

FREE play SUN Carolina -4
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Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Sunday: Take OAKLAND/ARIZONA UNDER the total of 49½
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Kenny Towers

FREE PLAY FOR SUNDAY - CINCINNATI/BALTIMORE UNDER the total of 43½
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CAPPERS ACCESS
(NFL)
Panthers
Buccaneers
Cardinals
Vikings
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BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Sunday, Nov. 18 is:

Vegas Golden Knights -110 over Edmonton Oilers
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HUNTER PRICE
NCAA-B | Nov 18, 2018
South Florida vs. Georgetown
1* Free Pick on Georgetown -10 -110
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INFO PLAYS
NCAA-B | Nov 18, 2018
Samford vs. Cleveland State
1* Free Play on Samford vs Cleveland State under 153½ -110
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MIKE LUNDIN
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Eagles vs. Saints
Eagles+8 -105

I think the Philadelphia Eagles are spotted way too many points to pass up on when visiting the New Orleans Saints Sunday afternoon.

Sure, the Saints are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS on the season, but they own the league's second-worst pass defense and Philly QB Carson Wentz is finally healthy and threw for a season-high 360 yards against the Cowboys last time out.

Saints are 1-4 ATS last five against a team with a losing record and are running the risk of playing down to the competition. I like the 4-5 Eagles to hang in there.
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STEPHEN NOVER
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Panthers vs. Lions
UNDER 49½

Carolina's defense is looking for redemption after getting embarrassed on national television last Thursday by the Steelers, 52-21. The Panthers defense is much better than that. The Lions are trying to transition from being a passing team to a ground-oriented one. It hasn't working out. Rookie Kerryon Johnson has flashed at times, but Detroit's ground game still is below average ranking 23rd. The Panthers have the ninth-best run defense in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Lions' passing attack has gone downhill. Matthew Stafford is not having a good season. He has been sacked 16 times in the last two games and has committed 11 turnovers on the season. Much of Stafford's fairly respectable-looking statistics have come during garbage time. Losing guard T.J. Lang to a neck injury was a below-the-radar, but key injury to the Lions' offensive line. Stafford is without his two best wide receiving targets as Golden Tate was traded a couple of weeks ago and Marvin Jones is out with a knee injury. Stafford probably is going to throw short passes and target Theo Riddick out of the backfield. The Panthers, though, have outstanding athletic coverage linebackers. Carolina has averaged 35.5 points in its last four home games. But on the road, the Panthers are averaging 20.7 points. Detroit's secondary should play better. Darius Slay, the Lions' top defensive back, is back from injury and the Panthers have mediocre wide receivers.
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STEVE JANUS
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Eagles vs. Saints
1* Free Sharp Play on Eagles +8 -105
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VIC DUKE
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Vikings vs. Bears
UNDER 44

Vikings/Bears 8:20: Two of the NFL's top defenses go head to head and another "under" is projected. This series is 0-4 O/U. In Chicago, this series averaged 36 points per game with a high of 43. Minnesota sports a 7-21 O/U mark vs the NFC North; moreover, they're 1-10 O/U as a dog with the O/U line >43 points. In the forecast, snow is projected. And the white stuff on the Soldier Field grass should slow down the surface. Advantage defense. "Under" the call.
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JOHN RYAN
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Bucs vs. Giants
Giants-2½ -115

John Ryan Sports Research Report

The Play and the Matchup

NY Giants (466)

Tampa Bay (3 - 6) At Ny Giants (2 - 7)

Week 11 Sunday, 11/18/2018 1:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 5-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the NY Giants, who are priced as 2.5-point home favorites.

SIM Projections and Results

Projection summary calls for the Giants will gain a minimum of 6.5 yards-per-play, and score between 24 and 28 points. Bucs will rush foir 75 to 100 yards nd pass for more than 300 yards. So, Bucs are 2-7 ATS losing by an average of 7.5 points to the number when they gain between 75 and 100 RY and 300+ PY. Giants are 26-11 ATS when gaining 6.5+ YPPL and scoring 24 or more points.

This database situational query has produced a 35-13 ATS mark good for 73% winners since 2008. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TAMPA BAY) with a poor first half defense allowing 14 or more points and after scoring 3 points or less in the first half of their last game.

Somehow the Bucs have gained 500 yards or more in three games and sport a 3-6 SU record for the season. Somehow, the Bucs gained over 500 yards, scored 3 points, and lost the game badly last week. Teams that have scored between 0 and 14 points and gained over 500 yards in their previous game are 0-4 ATS the following week losing by an average of 20 points.

Take the Giants for a solid 5-Star graded play.
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FREDDY WILLS
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Panthers vs. Lions
Panthers/Lions Under 49.5 1.1% Free Play
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GUS AUGUSTINE

As I take a look at the Washington schedule I see their biggest offensive output of the year was back on Week 3 when they went for 31 points in their win over Green Bay. In their other 8 games played, the Redskins have been held to 24 points or fewer. In fact, the Redskins average just 19 1/2 points per game for the year, and the Under is 4-1 their last 5 games, and 6-3 for the season.

Now taking a look at the Houston schedule for the year, I see the Texans have scored 20 points or fewer in 5 of their 9 games for the year. The Texans went to their bye week having played 4 of their last 5 games Under the total, and have held Under in 6 of their 9 games overall for the season.

Both teams have done a good job on defense keeping their foes out of the end-zone, as the visiting Texans have allowed 17 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games, while the host Redskins have allowed 17 points or less 6 of their 9 games overall for the year.

Above text is clearly a blueprint for a low-scoring game today at FedEx Field between Houston and Washington this Sunday afternoon.

How about a game that lands around 20-17?

Houston-Washington Under.

3* HOUSTON-WASHINGTON UNDER
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TOMMY BRUNSON

Well, well, what do you know! New York found some offense in their Monday night 27-23 outright win in Santa Clara against the 49ers as they snapped a string of 2 straight Unders as they went Over the posted price. That does put Eli and Company on a modest 3 out of 5 Over the total as they play host to a definite Over team in Tampa Bay.

The Bucs were held to just a field goal last week, but if you watched, you saw over 500 yards of offense accumulated, but you also saw doinked field goals, and 4 costly turnovers, so that is how a team that was averaging 29 points per game for the year was held to a measly 3!

That changes today, as Tampa Bay is still 7-2 Over the total in their 9 games played this year. The Buccaneers prior to allowing just 16 in their loss to Washington had allowed 30 or more in 6 of their previous 8.

With OBJ finally catching some footballs with regularity on Monday night, I expect the ancient Eli to connect with Odell Beckham a few more times, and I expect both teams to be finding pay-dirt often enough for this one to land Over the total.

Tampa-New York to land Over.

3* TAMPA BAY-N.Y GIANTS OVER
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The Oracle

NFL PHILADELPHIA EAGLES/NEW ORLEANS SAINTS over 56
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BRUCE MARSHALL

(471) Pittsburgh Steelers
(472) Jacksonville Jaguars

Pick(472) Jacksonville Jaguars

Analysis
The last time these two got together it was a wild and woolly AFC Division Round game at Heinz Field that ended 45-42 in favor of the Jags. While we don't quite envision 87 points being scored on Sunday it's worth noting that the Jags scored 38 ppg in their two wins at Pittsburgh last season, and now back in the fold for J'ville is Leonard Fournette, who gave the Steelers big problems last season. Play Jags
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DWAYNE BRYANT

Event: (471) Pittsburgh Steelers at (472) Jacksonville Jaguars
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 18, 2018 1PM EST
Play: Total Under 46.5 (-115)

My football totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

Projected Points Scored = 43 (Steelers 24, Jaguars 19)
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RAY CHADWICK

Both Dallas and Atlanta enter play this 11th week of the season standing at 4-5, but while Dallas' Monday night upset win at Philadelphia and Atlanta's road upset loss at Cleveland last Sunday, this sure doesn't feel like 4-5 vs. 4-5.

The Cowboys are very much alive in the weak NFC East, while the Falcons have a foot and a half in the grave in the NFC South, as they are staring up up New Orleans and Carolina.

Last year Dallas made a stop to Mercedes Benz Stadium and got run over, 27-7 by Atlanta. Lightning striking twice seems highly unlikely today, as this is a shell of the team that made it all the way to the division semifinals last season. The Falcons have been saddled with far too many injuries - mainly on the defense - and it has kept them from their lofty goals for this year. In the NFL, the window closes fast, and Dan Quinn is finding that out!

The addition of Amari Cooper has given the Dallas offense a little traction, as Cooper caught 6 more footballs at Philadelphia to make it 11 catches in his 2 games in a Dallas uniform, with 133 yards, and Zeke Ewok Elliott was able to rush for 151 yards on the ground in that victory. Dak Prescott still has his issues in exploiting poor pass defenses - Atlanta qualifies - but prefer the momentum Dak and Dallas brings into this one over that of Atlanta. After the Falcons shocking loss at Cleveland, Atlanta dropped to 1-4 against the spread their last 5 as the favorite, while the Cowboys moved to 2-1-1 against the spread when installed as the underdog this season.

In reality, I am not the biggest Jerry Jones fan out there, but I am not going to let my disdain for him preclude me from making some cash on the team that he owns.

Dallas keeps their division hopes alive, Atlanta moves one step closer to playoff death.

Take the Pokes plus any points.

4* DALLAS
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LARRY NESS
NFL | Nov 18, 2018
Broncos vs. Chargers
Broncos+7

My free play is on the Den Broncos at 4:05 ET.

The Chargers' first season back in LA did not go well at the start (team opened 3-6) but the Chargers would go 6-1 down the stretch to finish 9-7 (missed out on the playoffs in a tie-breaker). It seems like last year's strong finish created some momentum, as LA enters this Week 11 game at home against the Broncos, 7-2. The Chargers have won SIX in a row, as they get to host the 3-6 Broncos. In contrast, Denver (5-11 in 2017) opened the 2018 season 2-0 but limps into the StubHub Center having lost SIX of its last seven.

Denver's wild-card chances are already on 'life support,' as if the Broncos' 3-6 wasn't bad enough, the team is also just 1-5 in conference games. Denver ranks 11th in total offense (377.1 yards per game) but is just 19th in scoring (22.8 points), as the decision to add QB Case Keenum (11 TDs and 10 INTS / QB rating of just 83.9) as a free agent hasn't proven to be the solution. Denver's running game is solid, ranking 9th (126.7 YPG), while averaging a robust 5.2 YPC. Phillip Lindsay (Colorado) leads all NFL rookies with 591 rushing yards on 5.4 YPC. The defense is led by pass rushers Von Miller (nine sacks) and Bradley Chubb (eight to lead all NFL rookies). Miller has registered 15 career sacks against the Chargers - his highest total against any team.

Speaking of defense, LA's has allowed an average of 13.2 points over its last five games and enters this contest 8th in points allowed (20.7 per game). However, star defensive end Joey Bosa (23 sacks in 28 NFL games) will be a game-time decision as he hopes to make his season debut after suffering a foot injury in August. Veteran QB Philip Rivers ( (2,459 yards with 21 TDs, just 4 INTs and a QB rating of 115.4) is enjoying a excellent year, while RB Melvin Gordon is tied for fifth in the NFL with 672 rushing yards. He's averaging 5.4 YPC, has seven rushing TDs and four more receiving.

Los Angeles has won 13 of its last 16 games dating to last season and its only two losses in 2018 came against the Chiefs and Los Angeles Rams, who share the NFL's best records at 9-1. One of those wins was a 21-0 rout of visiting Denver in October 2017, the Broncos' first shutout loss in 25 years. However, this marks the Chargers' first contest at home in 42 days, as they've played three road games plus a game in London. Since moving to LA, the Chargers are a modest 7-7 ATS when favored and laying a TD here vs Denver, is not the team's preferred role (Chargers have been a great dog for the last few seasons). As noted above, Denver really needs a win and with pass rushers like Miller and Chubb, just may have the 'formula' to pull it off. SEVEN straight wins is asking a lot. Take the points.

Good luck...Larry
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Roz Wins

Roz's Sunday, November 18, 2018, Free Pick

(467) DENVER BRONCOS VS (468) LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

Take : Chargers
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Sharp Bettor

SharpBettor FREE Play for Sunday, November 18, 2018

(459) PHILADELPHIA EAGLES VS (460) NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

Take : Eagles
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JACK BRAYMAN

My free play for tonight is on the New Orleans Saints against the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles.

Short and sweet with this one, as there's not much to say other than my belief New Orleans is going to be out to continue making a statement.

The Saints look like the league's top team right now, while the Eagles look like anything but the team that ran to the title last season.

We've seen Injuries destroy Philly's defense at the wrong time, as its banged-up secondary has to face Drew Brees and his cast of co-stars in New Orleans. That is dangerous.

The Saints have scored at least 40 points in five games this season - the third team in NFL history to score 40 in five of the first nine - and Brees is completing 77.1 percent of his passes, has thrown for 21 TDs with one interception, and has a 123.8 passer rating.

Michael Thomas leads the receiving corps and comes into this game tied for the NFL lead with 78 catches, while ranking second with 950 yards. Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram form a formidable and versatile backfield to balance out the offense.

Too much for Philadelphia to handle today, as the Saints will win this big to solidify themselves as the team to beat in the NFC.

And as I will always tell you with favorites laying anywhere between -6.5 and -7.5, I want you buying the half point down.

5* SAINTS
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BRANDON LEE

10* FREE NFL PICK (PANTHERS -4)

I'll take my chances here with the Panthers to cover the short number on the road against the Lions. Detroit's lost 3 straight and just haven't been the same team since trading away Golden Tate. Now they will suit up without another top wide out in Marvin Jones, who is out with a knee injury. Lions simply don't have the offensive fire-power to keep this one close. Don't be fooled by Carolina's lopsided loss at Pittsburgh last week. That came on Thursday Night Football, where the road team is at a massive disadvantage on short rest. Panthers had won 3 straight prior and are one of the more underrated teams in the NFC. Give me Carolina -4!
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JIMMY BOYD

1* Free Pick on Falcons -

Love the value here with Atlanta as a short home favorite against the Cowboys. I think we are seeing a big overreaction here to what happened last week with the Falcons losing by double-digits at Cleveland and the Cowboys going on the road in prime time and beating the Eagles.

Atlanta responded from their 1-4 start by winning 3 straight and I expect them to bounce back in a similar way here with a big win at home over Dallas. Keep in mind that the Falcons are just 1-3 away from home, so they are a different team when they suit up at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Cowboys on the other hand are just 1-4 on the road, where they are scoring a mere 16.2 ppg. Atlanta is putting up 32.2 ppg at home.

Dallas is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win and favorite is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in this series. Take Atlanta!
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CHRIS JORDAN

My free winner for Sunday is off the early card, where I'm going to play the home underdog Washington Redskins over the Houston Texans.

I don't know why I have to continually remind people the 'Skins are 6-3 and sitting in first place in the NFC East. I also don't know why in a battle of division leaders, the home team is catching points when it has proven worthy of respect league-wide.

But here we are on Sunday morning, and the Redskins are the home pup, despite winning four of their last five. Aside from a strange 38-14 home loss two weeks back, Washington has allowed 17 or less points in the four wins during the streak, and 21 or less in seven of its nine games.

And since Houston has shown vulnerability on offense much of this season - scoring 20 or less in six of nine games, and 22 or less in seven of those games - I think the Texans run into a buzzsaw today.

Houston depends too much on its rushing game, and the Redskins have the fifth-best rushing defense in the league. The Texans are not as threatening without the balance, and when Washington takes that away, Houston will be lost.

The Redskins' defense has forced a turnover in 13 consecutive games, the longest active streak in NFL. They will swarm Houston the entire game, and create opportunities for their offense.

This is a bad line, and I'll take full advantage.

And as I always insist, with football underdogs taking between +2.5 and +4 points, I want you purchasing the half point up.

3* REDSKINS
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