Free NCAAFB, NFL & NBA Service Plays For Sunday 11/4/18

SAL MICHAELS
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Bears vs. Bills
Free Play on Bears vs Bills over 37 -110
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JACK JONES

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Houston Texans +1

I’ve been on the Texans a lot this season, including last week in their 42-23 beat down of Miami. And it’s been nice seeing them reel off five straight victories to live up to their potential following an 0-3 start to eh year. Everyone was calling for Bill O’Brien’s job, and now nobody is giving him any credit.

I think the Texans are still flying under the radar here as underdogs to the Denver Broncos. I love the trade for Denver’s Demaryius Thomas to replace the injured Will Fuller. Thomas will certainly be providing some crucial game plan tips on what Denver likes to do both offensively and defensively. I think Thomas’ knowledge will actually be more valuable in this game than his plan on the field in his first game with his new team.

The Broncos had their ‘all in’ game last week against the Chiefs. They fought hard, but came out on the losing end to fall to 3-5 this season. Now they have almost no shot of making the playoffs unless they were to run the table, because they are not going to catch the Chiefs in the AFC West, and they know it. I think we see a hangover effect here from that loss to their division rival. I don’t expect the Broncos to show up at all.

The Texans obviously come in with a lot of confidence and feeling good about themselves. I also like the fact that the Texans played last Thursday against Miami, so they’ve had extra time to rest and prepare for the Broncos. They had some injuries on defense that needed healed, and I think they’ll now put forth a great effort given that they are on extra rest.

These teams are pretty even offensively this season. But the loss of Demaryius Thomas for the Broncos certainly will hamper them moving forward. The big difference between these teams is defense. The Texans are 9th in total defense and 4th in yards per play (5.1) allowed. The Broncos rank 22nd in total defense and 24th in yards per play (5.8) allowed. Denver is grossly overrated defensively.

The Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a losing record. The Broncos are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall, including 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine home games. Denver is 0-6-1 ATS in its last seven games after allowing more than 250 passing yards in its previous game. Bet the Texans Sunday.
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ALEX SMART
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Lions vs. Vikings
Vikings-4½

The Vikings looked good last Sunday night and moved the ball with consistency , and despite of outgaining their opposition New Orleans by more than 150 yards, they still found a way to lose. Note:The Vikings are 7-0 ATS L/6 seasons as a home favorite after they gained at least 26 first downs last game. Their D, also was solid and kept Saints QB Drew Bree's at bay , allowing him just 164 passing yards, which is a good omen for us here, as the Vikings are 13-0-2 ATS L/9 seasons as a home favorite coming off a game where they allowed less than 200 passing yards. This week I feel a Motown D, that has shown itself very inconsistent, is at a disadvantage vs a hungry physical team like the Vikings .

Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover
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DOUG UPSTONE
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Packers vs. Patriots
OVER 56

On Sunday night Play Over teams against the total like NEW ENGLAND who are scoring 27 or more PPG, against a defensive team allowing 23-27 PPG, after allowing nine points or less in their last game. In the last 10 years, teams like the Patriots are 23-3 OVER, 88.5 percent.
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JIMMY BOYD

1* Free Pick on Los Angeles Chargers

I'm taking the Chargers on the money line to simply go into Seattle and leave with a victory. Los Angeles has won 4 straight and are 5-2 on the year. The only two losses for the Chargers have come against arguably the two best teams in the NFL in the Chiefs and Rams and they were competitive in both.

Seattle has surprised a lot of people so far. No one expected much of this Seahawks team after all the big names they lost on the defensive side of the ball, but Seattle has won 4 of 5 after their 0-2 start. I know a win is a win in the NFL, but the 4 wins for the Seahawks have come against the Cowboys at home, at Arizona, Raiders in London and at Detroit.

I just think this recent run is a bit of fools gold and has Seattle getting way too much respect here against a really good team. I think by the time December rolls around, the Seahawks might be riding a 4-game losing streak. After hosting the Chargers they travel to LA to take on the Rams, return home to host Aaron Rodgers and the Packers and then go to Carolina.

It's also worth noting that the Chargers are coming off a bye. Road favorites or picks playing with 2 or more weeks of rest are 98-56 (64%) ATS since 1983. Also, home teams with a line of +3 to -3 who have allowed 99 or less rushing yards in each of their last 2 games and facing an opponent that rushed for 50 or less in their last game are a mere 8-29 ATS since 1983. Take Los Angeles!
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KENNY WALKER
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Bears vs. Bills
Bears-10 -102
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SEAN MURPHY
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Lions vs. Vikings
Lions+6

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Minnesota at 1 pm et on Sunday.

Most are quick to write off the Lions, especially after they dealt Golden Tate to Philadelphia prior to Tuesday's trade deadline. That move by no means signaled the Lions waving the white flag on the season, however. I actually feel that the departure of Tate might just open things up for other pieces on offense to take centre stage. Detroit will have no shortage of motivation after getting blown out at home against Seattle last week. Keep in mind, the Lions have actually been more competitive on a consistent basis on the road this season, winning once and suffering two losses by a combined five points. I'll also point out that the road team has won four of the last five meetings in this series. The Vikings could suffer a bit of a hangover here after dropping a 30-20 decision at home against New Orleans last Sunday night. Their offensive line issues could certainly be exposed by an excellent Lions pass rush. And let's face it, their defines hasn't been nearly as good as advertised and may be vulnerable against a Lions offense that is still capable of stretching the field with Marvin Jones and Kenny Golladay and has also discovered a ground game with Kerryon Johnson, even if last week's game flow didn't allow him to keep things rolling. Expect Johnson to get back on track this week.
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TIM MICHAEL
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Packers vs. Patriots
Patriots-5½

T.M. Selection: New England Patriots (FREE PLAY)

A sluggish 1-2 start is now firmly in the rear view mirror for the surging Patriots, who one week after getting the better of the Chiefs at home in a shootout, came out and delivered a strong 25-6 win at Buffalo on Monday. The Packers on the other hand come in at 3-3-1 and are on the ropes after their disheartening 29-27 setback to the Rams last weekend. Green Bay is also just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road, while New England is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 against teams with losing records. Consider the Patriots on Sunday.

T.M. Prediction: 35-20 Patriots.
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DUSTIN HAWKINS
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Bucs vs. Panthers
Free Play on Bucs +7 -125
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MARC LAWRENCE

Play - Washington Redskins (Game 462).

Edges - Redskins: 3-1 SUATS versus sub .750 NFC South foes coming off consecutive wins … Falcons: 5-18 SU and 3-19-1 ATS when coming off consecutive wins and facing an opponent with a better record, including 1-11 SUATS the last twelve games. We recommend a 1* play on Washington. Thank you and good luck as always.
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CHIP CHIRIMBES

Atlanta at Washington 1:00 ET

Falcons (+) over Redskins

Okay, let me see if I totally get this...the first-place NFC East leading Redskins 5-2 (with 2-game loss column lead) are such a meager favorite against a struggling Atlanta team (3-4) that has shown some life of late winning their last two. Regardless, Washington is getting no respect here! Maybe its because coming off the Giants is such a laugher that they won't be able to get it back together. If we are to play this game it is strictly because the odds-maker has made it sooo easy to take the division leader at home against a losing club...suckers play. Add that the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Take ATLANTA!
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INFO PLAYS
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Bears vs. Bills
1* Free Play on Bears -9 -105
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CALVIN KING
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Rams vs. Saints
[1%] Free Play on Saints +1
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JEFF ALLEN

Jeff Allen's Free NFL Play for Sunday is on the Bears/Bills Under

Anderson is in the concussion protocol so it will be Nathan Peterman at the controls for Buffalo. As it is, Buffalo has two offensive TDs in its L52 drives so we can only hope that Peterman will be handing off two downs before being forced to pass and not turn it over. The Buff defense played it's heart out and deserved better Monday night against the Pats. Bills 7-2 under L9. Hopefully the Bears will come out with the same conservative gameplan they've used in Trubisky's learning process to minimize their own turnovers. See this games in the 20s, play the under.
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DENNIS MACKLIN

DMack's Free Play for Sunday, November 4, 2018 is on the Los Angeles Chargers

The pointspread is all over the place for this one so it's extremely important (as always) to shop around and get the best number. This is a meeting between two old AFC West rivals before realignment. The Bolts have done their best work on the road, especially as a dog, but are just just 2-5 ATS in their L7 post bye and points are not in play here. Seattle has found a running game behind Carson and getting its usual excellent QB play from Russell Wilson. Legion of Boom 2.0 is playing well and though the Hawks are just 1-7 ATS in L8 as a home fave, they are 27-11 SU in L38 home games and again, points are not in play. Seattle straight up.
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ART ARONSON

This is a 1* Free Play on the Chicago Bears.

The Bears are 4-3 and the Bills are 2-5. Last week Chicago QB Mitch Trubisky had 220 yards and two TD’s in the victory over the Jets. Last week backup Bills’ QB Derek Anderson had 290 passing yards and a pick vs. the Pats. Bills’ RB Chris Ivory had 34 rushing yards. Buffalo is already looking ahead to next year and we think Chicago takes advantage here. The Bears’ offensive line is looking much better and the defense remains a strength as well. Consider as well that Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five against teams with losing records. We’re expecting a blowout in this one. Take a second look at the BEARS this weekend.

AAA Sports
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JOSEPH D'AMICO

Sunday's FREE NFL WINNER: Kansas City Chiefs.

Game 453.

10:00 am pst.

While I am a big fan of Cleveland rookie QB, Baker Mayfield, NFL defenses have started to figure him out, as he has thrown more INT's than TD's over the L5 games (4/5). Kansas City bounced back after suffering their first loss of the season, with wins over Cincinnati and Denver. The Chiefs are a little banged-up, but Pat Mahomes leads the top-scoring offense in football (36.2 PPG). The Browns defense is going to get steamrolled here. We must side with a KC team that is 11-1 ATS the L12 regular season outings and 19-7 ATS the L26 road games. Take the Chiefs. Thank you.
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CAPPERS CLUB
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Lions vs. Vikings
Vikings -5.5

This play just missed out on our premium card. The Minnesota Vikings and the Detriot Lions face off on Sunday and the favorites are the play in this one.

No one was more happy about the Golden Tate trade than the Minnesota Vikings. In every game it seemed that Golden Tate was killing the Vikings and he being gone is a big loss.

I think the Vikings will attack an underperforming rush defense and Cousins will have another huge game slinging it around.

This is going to be an ugly game.

Back the Vikings -5.5

Good Luck, Cappers Club.
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BRANDON LEE

10* FREE NFL PICK (Panthers -5.5)

I'll take my chances here with Carolina laying less than a touchdown at home against the Bucs. I just don't know how you trust this Tampa Bay team to be competitive on the road against a team like the Panthers with their inefficiencies on defense and inability to take care of the football. I know Fitzpatrick is starting for Winston and there will be those that expect more magic like we saw in Week 1 and 2, but I don't think it's gonna happen.

Carolina is a perfect 4-0 at home and for whatever reason this team just doesn't get the respect it deserves. They were way undervalued last week at home, as a 3-point dog to the Ravens and while this time they are favored, I think there's plenty of value at this price.

For me it's all about where the game is being played and the defenses. Tampa Bay is 1-3 on the road and are giving up a ridiculous 39.7 ppg, 444 ypg and 7.4 yards/play away from home. Panthers average 29.0 ppg at home, while only giving up 20.2 ppg. Panthers 28-14 ATS in their last 42 home games after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 and Bucs 2-12 ATS in their last 14 off a game where 50 or more points were scored. Give me Carolina -5.5!
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ASA

PLAY ON NY Jets +3 over Miami, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

After starting the season 3-0, Miami has hit the skids losing 4 of their last 5 games with their only win coming by 3 points in OT. In those four losses they’ve been outscored by double digits in each and by a combined total of 139-68. Starting QB Ryan Tannehill remains out and his replacement Brock Osweiler looked very solid in his first starting assignment vs Chicago but has now regressed each of the last 2 weeks. His most recent outing was a 42-23 loss to Houston in which he completed only 56% of his passes with no TD’s and 1 interception. He’s been terrible for much of his career so this was not unexpected. The Jets are coming in off 2 losses vs solid teams (Minnesota & Chicago). They struggled to run the ball in those 2 games vs 2 of the top run defenses in the NFL. That shouldn’t be the case here as Miami allows 143 YPG on the ground which ranks them 30th in the NFL. Let’s not forget the Jets are more than capable on the ground as they rushed for a ridiculous 323 yards earlier this year vs Denver. While we expect NY to have an edge in the ground game they are also much better defensively as well. The Fins stop unit allows nearly a full yard per play more than the Flyboys (5.5 allowed for Jets / 6.4 allowed for Dolphins). These two met earlier this year and Miami pulled off the win in New York 20-12 but the Jets outgain the Fins by over 100 yards. Miami is just 3-13 ATS the last 16 times they’ve played host to the Jets and the Dolphins are also one of the worst home favorites in the NFL going just 20-45-2 ATS in that role since 2003. We like New York to win this one outright.
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ROB VINCILETTI
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Bears vs. Bills
Bills+10½

The NFL Comp play is on Buffalo at 1:00 eastern. We will take a shot with the bills here as they are taking 10 at home and should play better here than they did Monday night. In fact, Home dogs off back to back losses that were home dogs on Monday nights bounce back 90% of the time long term if the total is less than 45. The Bears are 0-4 to the spread vs a team with a losing home record. The home team has covered 3 of 4 in the series and the Bills are 5-2 ats off a spread loss. Take the points in this one. On Sunday
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Randy Chambers

STEELERS
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Chris Ruffolo

STEELERS
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Andrew Jett

CHARGERS
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BUSTER SPORTS

Event: (455) Pittsburgh Steelers at (456) Baltimore Ravens
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 4, 2018 1PM EST
Play: Baltimore Ravens -2.5 (-108)

The Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers renew acquaintances in Baltimore as the Ravens won the 1st game between these clubs 26-14. Pittsburgh money has now come in and has pushed the game off 3 and we will be forever the contrarian and get on the Ravens under a field-goal at home. Baltimore was in a tough spot last week as they were playing their 4th road game in 5 weeks. We also believe they were looking ahead to this spot today as their defense and offense did not really show up in Carolina. Pittsburgh has been playing much better of late but we believe this Baltimore Ravens defense will show up huge at home just as they did in the 1st game between these clubs. The Pittsburgh rushing game has been great of late but they have done it against 3 of the worst run per attempt teams in the league. The Browns, Falcons and Bengals are 24th,26th and 29th respectively in yards per rush attempt. The sledding is going to be a lot tougher for the Steelers today. Backing our selection is the fact that the Steelers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win and the fact that the Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. So lets get the job done with the Baltimore Ravens as your free play in the NFL on Sunday.
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TEDDY COVERS

Event: (453) Kansas City Chiefs at (454) Cleveland Browns
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 4, 2018 1PM EST
Play: Kansas City Chiefs -8.0 (-110)

Take Kansas City (#453)

Handicappers often have a problem with overthinking games, looking for excuses NOT to back elite teams laying points against weak foes. We saw that on full display this past Monday Night when the wiseguys came up with 46 different reasons why the Bills were a good bet against the Patriots; ignoring the one clear case for New England – Patriots good, Bills bad. It was a similar story for Rams – 49ers two weeks ago – wiseguy $$ for San Fran as a home dog, followed by a thorough thrashing at the hands of an elite foe.

We’re seeing a similar betting trend this week as the Chiefs travel to Cleveland. Yes, the public likes the favorite, but ‘sharp’ $$ has shown for the Browns, keeping this pointspread in a very reasonable range in a matchup of ‘Hot vs. Not’.

It’s been week filled with distractions for the Browns. Head coach Hue Jackson finally got fired. Offensive coordinator Todd Haley was shown the door as well. For a struggling rookie QB like Baker Mayfield (4 TD’s vs. 5 INT’s L3 weeks), these changes cannot be considered a good thing. The Browns defense is completely worn down off three OT games in the last five weeks. And we know what interim head coach/defensive coordinator Greg Williams is likely to do defensively this week; a guy who loves to blitz on every down. Williams certainly has a lot of roles to fill this week – I do not trust the Browns preparation level against an offense of this caliber.

Yes, it’s a ‘letdown’ spot for KC off a big divisional win against the Broncos. But KC’s defense continues to get better by the week, with Dee Ford coming off a three sack effort. Take out the game against the Patriots in New England and this D has allowed only 47 points in their last three contests; an UNDER-rated unit based on their season long stats.

Patrick Mahomes hasn’t had a truly bad game yet, and I love the concept of KC’s elite receivers facing single coverage while Coach Williams is trying to create pressure with blitzes. KC has scored at least 27 points in every game this season; averaging 36 points per game. Even in a flat spot, I expect this KC offense to continue lighting up the scoreboard; bad news for a Browns team that has scored more than 23 points only once all year – against the same defense that made Nick Mullins look like a pro bowler in his first NFL start this past Thursday Night. Take the Chiefs.
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THE PREZ

Event: (469) Los Angeles Rams at (470) New Orleans Saints
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 4, 2018 4PM EST
Play: Los Angeles Rams

NFL Preview and Free Pick: Saints vs Rams

The lone undefeated National Football League squad makes a trip to the Big Easy on Sunday when the New Orleans Satins host the Los Angeles Rams. A rare late kickoff for a non-west coast event is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. NFL Preview and Free Pick: Saints vs Rams

LA Rams

Los Angeles' defense will be challenged for the second straight week. The Rams found a way to contain Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers last week at the Coliseum but Sunday's task versus Drew Brees and the Saints will come on the road.

Offensive success on the ground will be key to Los Angeles remaining perfect on the season. All-Pro running back Todd Gurley is a dual threat out of the backfield. Gurley has 800 yards and 11 touchdowns on the ground. The tailback also has 31 receptions for 351 yards and four TD's through the air.

New Orleans Saints

The Saints were fortunate a week ago to escape Baltimore with a win. The Ravens missed a fourth quarter tying extra point giving New Orleans the road victory.

Brees has speed and power behind him with second-year hybrid-back Alvin Kamara and bruiser Mark Ingram. Wide receiver Michael Thomas has grown into Brees' favorite target through the air. Thomas has 14 receptions and 160 yards that includes two touchdowns in his two career games versus Los Angeles.

Prediction

This mid-season affair has the potential to find a rematch in the January NFC postseason. The two tangibles in this game is the Saints home crowd and the Rams superior defense. The two offenses have balanced attacks but it will be the Rams defense that does enough to earn LA their ninth win of the season.

NFL Free Pick is a play on the Los Angeles Rams
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TONY FINN

Event: (471) Green Bay Packers at (472) New England Patriots
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 4, 2018 8PM EST
Play: New England Patriots -5.0 (-110)

NFC vs AFC preview and Prediction: Patriots vs Packers

Sunday night football on NBC features Green Bay and New England at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET with the home team issuing a near touchdown handicap to the visitors. NFC vs AFC preview and Prediction: Patriots vs Packers.

Game Preview
Vegas Rotation: (471) Green Bay Packers at (472) New England Patriots
Time and Date: 8:20 PM ET, Sunday, November 4, 2018
Line: New England Patriots -5, 56
Venue: Gillette Stadium
TV Broadcast: NBC

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay (3-3-1) is in a position to make or break their 2018-19 postseason chances Sunday night. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers and his teammates came up short a week ago in Los Angeles and did so with arguably their best defensive effort of the season.

Rodgers and the offense is again one-dimensional. The Packers rank third in the league in passing offense averaging over 325 yards per game. Earning hard fought yards on the ground has been Green Bay's Achilles. The team averages just 104 yards per game rushing which ranks 26th overall in the league.

New England Patriots
The Patriots are expected to be without their most effective running back. Former Georgia Bulldogs' Sony Michel was limited in practice again Thursday after sitting out last week's game due to a knee injury and is questionable for Sunday night's affair.

Like the Packers the Pats don't have a bruising and dependable ground option on their roster. In last week’s win over the Buffalo Bills head coach Bill Belichick used wide out Cordarrelle Patterson at the tailback position. Patterson carried the ball 10 times for 38 yards.

Tight end Rob Gronkowski has been handcuffed by injury most of the season and has yet to register a touchdown reception this campaign.

Prediction
It is an understatement to state that the Patriots are difficult to beat at Gillette Stadium. And despite the Packers stellar defensive performance a week ago in Los Angeles the Patriots do enough on offense to extend their home record to a perfect 5-0 on the year.

NEW ENGLAND PATROITS -5
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TOTALS GURU
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Falcons vs. Redskins
Free Total Annihilator On Falcons vs Redskins under 48 -105
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Mike Wynn

Free Play: NY Knicks +6½ Over Washington
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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: TAMPA BAY/CAROLINA UNDER the total of 54½
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Totals4U

Early Sunday's Free Selection: Chicago/Buffalo under 37 1/2
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Platinum Plays

Free Pick the Portland Trailblazers -4 over Minnesota
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Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Sunday: Take HOUSTON/DENVER UNDER the total of 46
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Golden Dragon Sports

FREE WINNER for Sunday
LA Chargers/Seattle over 47'
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Hawkeye Sports

Early Sunday's Free Pick: Buffalo + 10
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Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Chicago/Buffalo under 37'
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The Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Sunday: Take MIAMI -3 over NY Jets
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High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Early Sunday: Milwaukee Bucks - 10
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BOBBY CONN
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Texans vs. Broncos
1* Free Play on Broncos +1½ -103
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BLACK WIDOW
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Chiefs vs. Browns
Browns+9 -105
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MARK WILSON
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Chiefs vs. Browns
Free Play on Browns +9 -105
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John Anthony Sports

Early Sunday's Free Selection: Washington Wizards - 6 1/2
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DAVE COKIN

Event: (455) Pittsburgh Steelers at (456) Baltimore Ravens
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 4, 2018 1PM EST
Play: Pittsburgh Steelers 3.0 (-120)

This is the only game on the NFL slate where I have a false favorite on my numbers. Just barely at that as I made Pittsburgh -0.5 in this game. Revenge from a pretty bad home loss earlier is not a bad variable. I'm not really that high on this Steelers team to be honest, but I don't feel any stronger about the Ravens,. This should be a close game but at the present line, I will go with the small value and will back the Steelers.
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WESTGATE / HILTON Plays are 9-1 the last two weekends......

#1 MINNESOTA
#2 PITTSBURGH
#3 TENNESSEE
#4 KANSAS CITY
#5 HOUSTON
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BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Sunday, Nov. 4 is:

Virginia (at 22-1 odds) to win the NCAA Basketball Championship.
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CAPPERS ACCESS
(NFL)
Ravens
Dolphins
Saints
Patriots
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HUNTER PRICE
NBA | Nov 04, 2018
Magic vs. Spurs
1* Free Pick on Spurs -8½ -105
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MIKE LUNDIN
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Lions vs. Vikings
Vikings-5

I expect to see a fired up Minnesota Vikings team when taking division rivals Detroit Lions here Sunday afternoon.

The Vikings took a 30-20 loss to the Saints last week but had won three straight and covered the spread in three of our (one push) prior to that 30-20 loss as a 2.5-point home favorite. They're now one-half game behind Chicago at the top of the NFC North and need a win here to not fall further behind with the Bears expected to roll over Buffalo.

The Lions gave up 176 rushing yards in a 28-14 home loss to Seattle last week and its rushing defense ranks 31st in the NFL at 144.6 ypg. While Minnesota primarily attacks through the air (5th in the NFL with 299 ypg), this looks like a great spot to get its running game going.

As for Detroit's offense, the team just traded its top receiver Golden Tate to the Philadelphia Eagles on Tuesday. Tate's place will be taken by TJ Jones and Brandon Powell. The duo has combined for three catches so far this season ...

Vikings are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games following a straight up loss.
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STEVE JANUS
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Falcons vs. Redskins
1* Free Sharp Play on Falcons vs Redskins under 48 -105
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WILL ROGERS
NBA | Nov 04, 2018
Knicks vs. Wizards
Wizards-6½

The set-up: Both teams have struggled to open the year, but after their 118-106 road victory over Dallas, I think the Knicks will take a step back in the Nation’s capital facing a Wizards team which is desperate for a victory after starting 1-7. Most recently Washington fell 134-111 at home to OKC. The Wizards will be especially motivated to get back into the winners circle with a tough road trip upcoming as well.

The pick: Note that the Knicks are just 9-16 ATS in their last 25 after scoring 115 points or more, while Washington is 6-3 ATS in its last nine following three or more straight losses. Consider the hungry home side in this one.
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LARRY NESS
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Rams vs. Saints
Rams-2

My free play is on the LA Rams at 4:25 ET.

The Los Angeles Rams remained the lone undefeated team at the midway point of the 2018 season (8-0), after squeezing out a 29-27 victory over Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers last Sunday. The Rams will face another elite QB this Sunday, when they visit the New Orleans Saints and Drew Brees. The Saints stumbled out of the blocks in 2018, losing in Week 1 as a 10-point favorite to the Tampa Bay Bucs and then escaped with 21-18 win over the Cleveland Browns in Week 2, again at home and again as a 10-point favorite. However, the win over the Bucs jump started a six-game winning streak for New Orleans, with the team going 5-0 ATS in its last five wins (note: the Rams are a modest 4-4 ATS on the season).

The Rams are averaging 33.0 PPG (3rd), led by RB Todd Gurley and QB Jared Goff. Many believe Gurley is the front-runner for MVP honors, as he has rushed for 800 yards and 11 TDs (both league highs), while adding 31 catches for 351 yards and four more scores (he had 195 yards from scrimmage against Green Bay). Jared Goff has 17 TD passes against a modest five interceptions and will get one of his top targets back in Cooper Kupp, who has a team-high five TD receptions despite missing the past two games with a sprained knee. Reigning Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald has registered an NFL-high 10 sacks for a unit that acquired pass-rushing linebacker Dante Fowler from Jacksonville at this week's trade deadline. LA's defense is allowing 19.4 PPG, 6th-best in the NFL.

The ageless Drew Brees finally threw his first interception last week but has 14 TD passes plus owns a league-leading 77.4 completion percentage and gaudy 118.2 QB rating (also a league-best among regular starters). RB Alvin Kamara's workload has been reduced with the return of fellow RG Mark Ingram from a four-game suspension but he had a rushing and receiving score last week in the win over Minnesota, giving him nine TDs on the season. The New Orleans D ranks 23rd in both scoring (256.1 PPG) and total defense (374.1 YPG).

Will that D be good enough against Gurley and Goff? Note that the New Saints have not lost since a season-opening defeat to Tampa Bay and their last three victories have come against teams that were leading their division. New Orleans did avenge a loss in last year's NFC Championship Game with its Week 8, 30-20 victory at Minnesota but Brees had his least productive game of the season, throwing for a season-low 120 yards and tossed his first interception. Most feel (I do) that the Rams are the NFL's most complete team and they are not just 4-0 SU on the road this season but they'll take the field in this one having won their last SEVEN road games (no small feat in the NFL these days). The Rams have pulled out road wins at two of the league's toughest venues, beating Seattle (33-31) and Denver (23-20) in 2018. Expect them to add the Saints to their 'list of victims' in this one!
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MIKE WILLIAMS
NFL | Nov 04, 2018
Packers vs. Patriots
1* on Packers +6 -103
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im Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday, November 4, 2018

NFL (451) DETROIT LIONS VS (452) MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Take: (452) MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Reason: Your free play for Sunday, November 4, 2018 is in the NFL Scheduled contest between the Detroit Lions and the Minnesota Vikings. Your free play is on the VIKINGS.
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Atlantic Sports

Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Philadelphia 76ers - 4
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#1 Sports

Early Sunday's Free Selection: Buffalo Bills + 10
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Sharp Bettor

SharpBettor FREE Play for Sunday, November 4, 2018

(459) NEW YORK JETS VS (460) MIAMI DOLPHINS

Take : OVER the total
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Easy Money Sports

Lee's Early Sunday Free Selection Is
Minnesota -5
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Arthur Ralph Sports

FREE play SUN Houston +1
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Kenny Towers

FREE PLAY FOR SUNDAY - ATLANTA/WASHINGTON OVER 48
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Roz Wins

Roz's Sunday, November 4, 2018, Free Pick

(453) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS (454) CLEVELAND BROWNS

Take : Browns
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CHRIS JORDAN

The New Orleans Saints went into Minneapolis and got revenge for the Minnesota Miracle by knocking off the Vikings 30-20 on Sunday night. It was a thing of beauty.

Back to business for the Vikings this Sunday, when I have them devouring the Detroit Lions.

Minnesota is not happy, and will be looking to avenge that setback, and knock off the struggling Lions in an NFC North battle.

Let's not forget the Vikings had the edge on both sides of the ball during the first half against New Orleans, so it's not as if they were dominated. Harrison Smith handed Saints quarterback Drew Brees his first interception of the season, and helped put the Vikings in position to stretch a 13-10 lead. From there things went awry, and I won't get into detail. But trust me, the Vikings are a good team and they're going to bounce back here.

They're certainly better than the Lions, who are in after yielding three passing touchdowns to Russell Wilson in the second quarter of a 28-14 home loss to the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday.

This week, Detroit traded leading receiver Golden Tate to the Eagles this week, leaving the Lions with Kenny Golladay (30 catches, 477 yards, three touchdowns), Marvin Jones Jr. (26 catches, 387 yards, five touchdowns), and T.J. Jones, who has three catches this season. In all, those three have a little less than 900 yards.

Minnesota's leading receiver, Adam Thielen, has caught 74 passes for 925 yards and has six TDs.

And I like the Vikings to attack a Lions defense that is allowing 26.6 points (25th in the league) and more than 144 rushing yards per game (31st).

Lay the cheap number with Minny in this one.

4* VIKINGS
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TOMMY BRUNSON

NFC North showdown at U.S Bank Stadium between the Detroit Lions and the Minnesota Vikings, and while you immediate reaction may be to play this game Over the total based on Detroit's 11-5 Over run their last 16, let's take a look a little bit deeper into why the Under today in Minneapolis is the right play.

The Lions were held to just 14 points last week at home in an Under against Seattle, while the Vikings also held Under the total in their home loss to the Saints. That makes 3 of 4 this season for the Vikes in their house Under the total, and then there is the series numbers to consider.

7 of the last 9 meetings between these division-rivals have ended up playing Under the total, and that includes each of the last 5 meetings between the teams in the Twin Cites.

Considering the series numbers, I say this total is too high for a play on the Over.

Oh, there will be some points scored, and they may even crack into the mid 40's combined, but I don't see this one heading Over the total at all.

Lions-Vikings Under.

3* DETROIT-MINNESOTA UNDER
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Scott Delaney

When I first saw this line, I considered giving the Kansas City Chiefs out as my premier play. Instead, with the line abruptly moving from 8 to 10, I'll relegate the Chiefs to a free pick over the Cleveland Browns.

For about three hours, Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes will put aside his friendship with Cleveland signal-caller Baker Mayfield, and will throw all over the Browns mangled secondary. These two rookies meet as pros for first time, after matching up two years ago and setting numerous Division I offensive records while playing in the Big 12. Mahomes sports a league-leading 26 touchdown passes, and he could have the biggest day of his young career to date. He has a Chiefs record seven straight 300-yard passing games and leads the NFL in yards passing (2,526), touchdown passes (26) and TD-to-INT rate (plus-20).

Mahomes will likely target tight end Travis Kelce, who has caught a pass in 71 straight games, and wideout Tyreek Hill, who leads the NFL with 11 catches of 25-plus yards. Balancing things out will be running back Kareem Hunt, who leads the NFL with 478 touches without fumbling.

Chiefs coach Andy Reid is 6-0 against Browns, including 2-0 while in charge of the Chiefs, who happen to lead the league in scoring with 36.3 points per game. And I'll expect to see the Chiefs storm out to a big lead early, as they're atop the NFL in first-quarter scoring. They've mastered the big play, as they rank second in the league in yards per play (6.87).

The Chiefs have won two straight and three of four against the Browns, who ousted coach Hue Jackson this week, and once again are the laughingstock of the league as they spiral downward.

Lay the chalk with Kansas City here. And as I will always tell you with favorites laying anywhere between -6.5 and -7.5, I want you buying the half point down.

1* CHIEFS
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JACK BRAYMAN

My free pick for Sunday, as it is a very tight line in the AFC North battle between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens.

I want you playing the Ravens, and as I will always do with favorites laying anywhere between -3 and -4.5, I want you buying the half point down. As of Noon eastern, the number is -2.5, so grab that while you can. Otherwise, you're buying the half point.

Let's start with the rivalry aspect, as the Steelers undoubtedly will come in looking for revenge from Week 4, when the Ravens won handily then, 26-14. Since then, Baltimore (4-4) has dropped to third place, behind the division-leading Steelers (4-2-1) and Cincinnati Bengals (5-3).

So this game could change the complexion of things, and something tells me the Ravens defense will have something for Pittsburgh.

The Ravens, who allow just 17.1 points per game, are giving up a paltry 13.7 at home. They also allow just 149 yards through the air in Baltimore, and 112 on the ground. They may be .500 with their record, but they're still a menace at home.

The Ravens, who come into this one on runs of 4-3 overall and 6-1 against the spread against the Steelers, strengthened the other side of the ball by acquiring Ty Montgomery from the Green Bay Packers. And I think Montgomery, a 2015 third-round pick out of Stanford, will immediately bolster an unproductive rushing attack that ranks 24th in the NFL with just 96.6 yards per game and second-to-last in the league with a modest 3.6 yards per carry.

His strength, however, is not just running the pill, as he can come out of the backfield and swallow it through the air. The 6-foot, 215-pound bruising back not only had 26 carries for 105 yards and a touchdown in seven games with Green Bay, he added 15 catches for 170 yards. That will prove to be beneficial for the Ravens.

Your free NFL winner this week is Baltimore.

5* RAVENS
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RAY CHADWICK

My comp release for Sunday is the Rams to stay unbeaten for the season as they head to the Big Easy to take on the Saints.

True, New Orleans has only suffered one loss, and they enter this home date with 6 straight wins, 5 straight covers, but I have a feeling "every sucker and their brother" is going to line up at the ticket window to back New Orleans today.

It has been a tough pair of games since their bye week for the Saints, as they escaped at Baltimore in a one-point win, and then won last Sunday night in their big, big, big revenge game at Minnesota. It should be pointed out that the Vikings out-stated the Saints in total yards and first downs, but 2 key Vikings turnovers swung the tide in the Saints 30-20 road win.

I have a feeling those two "gut-checks" on the road are going to leave them just a little flat in this home game today.

The Rams extended to 8-0 last week with their win at home over the Packers, but they did not cover, and they didn't particularly look like the lone undefeated team left in the league. Part of me feels that the Rams had one eye on this weekend's game knowing that last week they could rely on being at home, while this week they need to take it to another level playing at the Superdome.

The Rams bested the Saints, 26-20 last year in LA as the field goal favorite, and while we are still a long way for Los Angeles completing an undefeated season, I do think that the Rams perfect mark is safe for one more week.

Obvious play today is New Orleans. I am going the other way!

3* L.A. RAMS
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GUS AUGUSTINE

Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady let it fly on Sunday night, as these two quarterbacks meet for just the second time in their illustrious careers - the first coming back in 2014 at Lambeau Field in a 26-21 Green Bay win as the -3 point home point favorite.

Who wins tonight?

Hard to go against the Patriots 67-9 straight up mark that dates back to 2009, 4-0 straight up and 3-1 against the spread this season heading into this Week Nine clash, but with the points a case can be made for the underdog Packers to at least give the Pats a four quarter battle.

Green Bay lost a tough one coming out of their bye-week last Sunday in L.A. against the undefeated Rams, but the did cover as the +8 point dog in their 27-29 setback.

The Packers did a solid enough job in slowing down the Rams offense for me to believe they will be able to keep Tom Brady from going wild on them in this prime time showdown.

Conversely, if Patrick Mahomes was able to poke holes in the New England secondary, then I would imagine Aaron Rodgers will also be able to gouge the New England defense in a similar fashion tonight.

Let's side with a back and forth contest tonight that ends in a 3-point margin either way, making Green Bay plus the points the right way to go.

2* GREEN BAY
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Priority Sports Info
Roy Maddux
#702 Milwaukee Bucks
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EXECUTIVE SPORTS

Event: (451) Detroit Lions at (452) Minnesota Vikings
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 4, 2018 1PM EST
Play: Detroit Lions 6.5 (-108)

DETROIT +6.5

Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) after a loss by 10 or more points against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. (59-22,73% since 1983.) The situation's record this season is: (1-0). Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-2). Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-3). Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-6). DETROIT is 22-6 ATS in road games after a loss by 14 or more points. Road team in this series is 4-1 ATS the past 5.
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DWAYNE BRYANT

Event: (451) Detroit Lions at (452) Minnesota Vikings
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 4, 2018 1PM EST
Play: Total Under 49.0 (-110)

My football totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

Projected Points Scored = 46
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