Sunday 12/23/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAFB, NFL & NBA games.
SAL MICHAELS
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Chiefs vs. Seahawks
Free Play on Seahawks +2½ +100
__________________
BOBBY CONN
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bills vs. Patriots
1* Free Play on Patriots -13 -110
__________________
JIMMY BOYD
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bengals vs. Browns
1* Free NFL Pick on Cleveland Bengals +10
There's no denying the Browns have played better football since they fired Hue Jackson and named Gregg Williams the interim head coach. However, I think the fact that Cleveland has won and covered 4 of their last 5 and are playing an injury-ravaged Bengals team at home, has this line way too high.
Cincinnati has been playing hard despite not having a lot to play for. I think a lot of that is young guys are getting a chance to showcase what they can do. Last week the Bengals rolled over the raiders 30-16 and the week before they lost by just 5-points at the Chargers.
I expect another strong effort here from Cincinnati, who certainly hasn't forgot about a 35-20 home loss to Cleveland back on 11/25, which is the game where starting quarterback Andy Dalton suffered his season-ending injury.
It's also worth noting that the Browns have been a dog in every game since Williams took over and it's a different mentality going into a game as an underdog compared to a double-digit favorite. I'm not convinced Cleveland will handle it well. Look for Bengals to hang around and cover the big number. Take Cincinnati!
__________________
DUSTIN HAWKINS
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Giants vs. Colts
Free Play on Colts -9 -109
__________________
TIM MICHAEL
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bills vs. Patriots
T.M. Selection: New England Patriots (FREE PLAY)
The Pats haven’t lost back-to-back games in December since 2002, but they enter this one off two straight setbacks, including a tough one in Pittsburgh last weekend. New England though is 6-0 at home this year. Buffalo rookie QB Josh Allen has completed 52.2 percent of his passes for 1,633 yards, six TD’s and and nine INT’s. Pats’ veteran QB Tom Brady has completed 65.9 percent of his passes and has 3,979 passing yards and a 24/9 TD:INT. The favorite is 4-0 ATS the last four in this series and the circumstances that each teams finds itself in coming into this one points to this strong trend continuing. Consider New England in this one.
T.M. Prediction: 31-13 Pats
__________________
RAY MONOHAN
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bills vs. Patriots
New England -13.5
The Pats are worth a flyer here. New England comes in off a loss to the Steelers last week and now have suffered back to back losses. They haven't dropped back to back losses in December since 2002!
They take on a lowly Bills team here that simply isn't good. New England is in full bounce back mode here and we should see Brady come out firing.
Some trends to note. Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December. Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East, and are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Lay the big spread. Back New England.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
__________________
DOUG UPSTONE
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Rams vs. Cardinals
UNDER 44½ -108
On Sunday afternoon, Play Under on home teams when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points like ARIZONA, after two or more consecutive losses, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season. In the last five years, teams like the Cardinals are 24-4 UNDER, which is 85.7 percent.
__________________
SONNY GOLDMAN
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bears vs. 49ers
49ers+4½ -109
__________________
PRO COMPUTER GAMBLER
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Vikings vs. Lions
Lions+7 -140
Since 1992, road favorites in the last month of the year are just 40-72-3 ATS (64.3% to fade) off of a home win now facing a team off of a road loss. Fade the Vikings
__________________
CALVIN KING
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bears vs. 49ers
[1%] Free Play on 49ers +4½
__________________
DENNIS MACKLIN
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bills vs. Patriots
Bills+14 -135
DMack's Free Play for Sunday, December 23, 2018 is on the Buffalo Bills
Full disclosure is that I doubt very seriously that you will be able to find this number on the weekend but who knows. The Pats have lost two games or the first time in recorded history (just kidding) but need to be serious here as they have lost the most games they have lost since 2009 and trail the Texans for the two seed and will not get a bye if the Texans win out. That said, a one-point win will accomplish the same as a blowout and the Bills have far from quit. They've already played the Pats tough once and will by no means be a lay down here. The Bills have no offensive weapons whatsoever but their defense is pretty good. Take a flyer with two touchdowns.
__________________
STEVE JANUS
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bengals vs. Browns
1* Free Sharp Play on Browns -9 -105
My money is on the Browns to continue playing great football to close out the season and easily cover the big number here at home against a depleted and unmotivated Bengals squad. With Cleveland's win over the Broncos last Saturday (extra day of prep), they are now 4-2 under interim head coach Gregg Williams. That's more wins than Hue Jackson had in 40 games with the team. Speaking of Jackson, he joined the Bengals staff after getting fired and I don't think that sat well at all with a lot of Cleveland players and staff, as the Browns still had two games to play against Cincinnati. They definitely played with a chip on their shoulder in a 35-20 win at Cincinnati in Week 12 and I expect that same fire for this one. The Browns are also still hanging on by a thread for a playoff spot, which is more than enough motivation for a team that didn't win a game a season ago. Bengals simply don't have enough healthy bodies to be competitive. Bet the Browns -9!
__________________
RED DOG SPORTS
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Rams vs. Cardinals
Cardinals+16 -125
I think this number is too high for a home underdog. The Rams have slowed down lately and Todd Gurley has played through an injury. I like the points on Sunday.
__________________
MARC LAWRENCE
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Packers vs. Jets
Jets+3 -114
Play - NY Jets (Game 118).
Edges - Jets: 9-1 ATS as home dogs when coming off a home loss … Packers: 1-3-1 ATS in this series; and 2-5 SUATS before facing the Lions … With that we recommend a 1* play on the NY Jets. Thank you and good luck as always.
__________________
MIKE LUNDIN
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Packers vs. Jets
Packers-2½ -115
The Green Bay Packers look like great value at NY Jets Sunday afternoon.
They took a 24-27 loss at Chicago last week but looked rather comfortable on the defensive side of the ball, holding the Bears to 332 yards of offense. Here they'll face a Jets' team which is averaging just 297.9 yards per game and I don't think NYJ rookie QB Sam Darnold will have much success moving the sticks in this one.
On the offensive side of the ball, Packers' QB Aaron Rodgers is expected to start despite suffering a groin injury last week. "I think it's a lot about leadership," Rodgers said of his desire to play the Jets. "If I want to be listened to and followed and looked up to, how could I stand here and say that these games that don't matter for playoffs, I'm going to cash it in? That's just not the way I lead, and I'm super competitive, and I want to be out there with the guys, and I look forward to being out there."
Rodgers' will be without some of his most trusted targets but must still feel pretty confident as the Jets are fielding one of the worst defenses in the NFL, including No. 22 in total defense and No. 26 in scoring defense.
The Jets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and 0-3-1 ATS in their last four home games. Green Bay has been atrocious on the road going 0-7 SU and 1-5-1 ATS, but I think the visitors will get the job done here.
__________________
BRANDON LEE
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bears vs. 49ers
10* FREE NFL PICK (Bears -4.5)
I'll take my chances here with Chicago on the road agains the 49ers. I think there is a ton of incentive here for the Bears to play well in this game. While Chicago has the NFC North locked up, they need one more win to ensure they get the No. 3 seed, which could be the difference between having to go to New Orleans for the Divisional Round and the NFC Championship Game. It also would give them the option of resting their starters in Week 17. They also got a shot at first round bye. While they are one game back of LA, they beat the Rams head-to-head and there's a chance LA could be without Todd Gurley this week. I also think this is a tough spot for the 49ers. San Francisco has won 2 straight, but they are playing for pride and off a big time win over division rival Seattle and might have a hard time not looking ahead to playing spoiler to another division rival in the Rams in Week 17. Chicago is also simply the much better football team and I just don't think it's asking much for them to win by at least 5 with the way they play defense. Give me the Bears -4.5!
__________________
CHIP CHIRIMBES
Atlanta at Carolina 1:00 ET
Panthers (+) over Falcons
A pair of imposters will be posing once again Sunday (Hey, 6-0 100% last NFL week and I have more today...Don't miss it! The 'Big Game Player is on FIRE!) and the 'number' has already moved eight-points to where the Falcons are road favorites and the price is climbing. So no Cam Newtown, is that supposed to be a negative? Carolina has lost six straight both SU and ATS under Newtown's leadership and any kind of change will be good. I definitely think Newtown is hurt as his throwing motion has been altered. Take Chip Wins and the PANTHERS!
__________________
TEDDY COVERS
Event: (109) Jacksonville Jaguars at (110) Miami Dolphins
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: December 23, 2018 1PM EST
Play: Miami Dolphins -3.5 (-105)
3% Take Miami (#110)
The Jags are a dead team at the tail end of a dismal, disappointing campaign. They’ve won a grand total of ONE game in their last ten tries, and the only reason they won that game is because their defense still cared at that point, pitching a shutout. Based on the results over the last few weeks, I’m not convinced we’re going to see that same level of effort defensively in this meaningless late season road game.
There’s a reason that Cody Kessler wasn’t able to get off the bench for most of the season despite Blake Bortles consistent struggles. Kessler wasn’t able to get off the bench in Cleveland either, prior to his arrival in Jacksonville this past offseason, with the lone exception of an eight game stretch as the Browns starter back in 2016. Cleveland went 0-8 in those games, with Kessler throwing a grand total of six TD passes in those eight starts.
Here with the Jags, in 12 quarters of football under their ‘backup’ offensive coordinator Scott Milanovich (Nathanial Hackett got fired when Bortles got benched), Cody Kessler has guided Jacksonville to a grand total of ONE offensive touchdown. And yet the money continues to trickle in on Jacksonville as they take on the Dolphins in Miami; offering us legitimate value to back the better team in the better spot.
Miami was in the mother of all flat spots last Sunday. Off the single most bizarre final play of the season in which they stole a win against the Patriots the previous week, the Dolphins looked flat and out of sync at Minnesota. Expect a strong bounceback here against a team they can beat; keeping their faint playoff hopes alive. Take the Dolphins!
__________________
BOBBY LIGS
Event: (115) Minnesota Vikings at (116) Detroit Lions
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: December 23, 2018 1PM EST
Play: Minnesota Vikings -5.5 (-108)
__________________
Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Atlanta/Carolina Under 44½ Points
__________________
Totals4U
Early Sunday's Free Selection: Atlanta Hawks/Detroit Pistons under 223 1/2
__________________
#1 Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection: Detroit Pistons - 9 1/2
__________________
Platinum Plays
Free Pick: the Cincinnati/Cleveland Game UNDER 44 Points
__________________
Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Sunday
New England -13
__________________
Hawkeye Sports
Early Sunday's Free Pick: Boston Bruins even
__________________
Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Buffalo/New England under 44
__________________
Atlantic Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: UNLV
__________________
John Anthony Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection: Cal State Northridge
__________________
Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: MINNESOTA/DETROIT OVER the total of 43
__________________
Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Sunday: Take PITTSBURGH/NEW ORLEANS UNDER the total of 52½
__________________
Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Sunday: Take CHICAGO/SAN FRANCISCO UNDER the total of 43
__________________
Arthur Ralph
SUN TOTAL under 53 1/2 Pitt/Saints
__________________
High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Early Sunday: Cleveland Browns - 9 1/2
__________________
Kenny Towers
FREE PLAY FOR SUNDAY - KANSAS CITY/SEATTLE UNDER 55
__________________
Easy Money Sports
Lee's Early Sunday Free Selection Is
Miami -3½
__________________
Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, December 22, 2018
NFL (127) PITTSBURGH STEELERS VS (128) NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Take: (127) PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Reason: Your free play for Sunday, December 23, 2018 is in the NFL contest between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New Orleans Saints. Your free play is on the STEELERS.
__________________
Roz Wins
Roz's Sunday, December 23, 2018, Free Pick
(109) JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS VS (110) MIAMI DOLPHINS
Take : Dolphins
__________________
Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play for Sunday, December 23, 2018
(129) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS (130) SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Take : Seahawks
__________________
GUS AUGUSTINE
They are in control of their own destiny, and today in the Motor City they will inch that much closer to solidifying their Wild Card ticket with the win and cover over the beleaguered Detroit Lions.
To start with, Detroit has won just twice over their last 8 games, and while this is their home finale, don't look for it to be one that leaves the fans exiting with smiles on their faces. In the first go 'round against Minnesota back on November 4th, the Vikings defense held the Lions to just 209 yards and 9 total points. They also put Matthew Stafford on his rear end 10 times as they set a franchise-record for sacks on that day in the Twin Cities.
The Vikings defense stepped up again big last week in their 41-17 win and cover over playoff-seeking Miami, as the "D" gave up just one offensive touchdown that day (the other was on a Kirk Cousins pick six - something he needs to clean up!), and they also sacked Miami quarterback Ryan Tannehill 9 times!
Since the Lions have mustered no more than 17 points tops in any of their last 4 games, it seems doubtful that they keep pace today with the Vikings who most definitely got the message playing in their first game with their new offensive coordinator. Minnesota erupted for a season-high 41 points. In that scorefest, they rushed the ball for 220 total yards, the finally healthy Dalvin Cook churning up 136 of those yards with a pair of TD's.
The Vikings have won and covered 2 of their last 3 trips to the Motor City, and with the real possibility of missing this year's soiree after having made it within a game of the Super Bowl last year, do not look for Mike Zimmer's team to have a slip up here.
Kirk Cousins has very real struggles (those alarming pick sixes among them), but they usually surface against teams with a winning record. At 5-9, the Lions do not have a winning record.
This one is a 10-point win and cover for the playoff-seeking Norsemen.
4* MINNESOTA
__________________
RAY CHADWICK
Sure, here we have a pair of future Hall-of-Fame quarterbacks in Roethlisberger and Brees, and here we also have plenty of offensive talent on both sides to the field as well, but I do not think this Pittsburgh-New Orleans meeting turns into a game that sees a ton of points scored.
On the contrary, I think this one holds Under the total today in the Superdome!
Pittsburgh just played a gut-check 17-10 game at home against New England that held Under the total, and they hit the Big Easy having played 5 of their last 7 Under the total. That streak includes Unders in each of their last 4 on the road. In fact, the Men of Steel have played 5 in a row away from home Under the total.
New Orleans was held to just 12 points in their gut-check Monday night win at Carolina, as it sure looks like other teams have a bead on what the Saints are doing on offense, as Drew Brees has not had very many open looks as we head to the close of the regular season.
The Saints enter this home game riding a string of 5 Unders, and they have held Under in 8 of their last 11 games. The New Orleans defense has become the dominant of the 2 units on the field, as they have held 6 straight opponents to 17 points or less.
Yes, with Big Ben and Drew under center there will be some points scored, but based on the Under trends I just laid out, I do not think either QB fires enough shots to take this game Over the total.
Steelers-Saints Under.
4* PITTSBURGH-NEW ORLEANS UNDER
__________________
BIG AL
Our complimentary selection for Sunday, Dec. 23 is:
Indianapolis Colts -10 over NY Giants.
__________________
CAPPERS ACCESS
(NFL)
Vikings
Dolphins
49ers
Seahawks
__________________
HUNTER PRICE
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bears vs. 49ers
1* Free Pick on 49ers +5 -110
__________________
ROB VINCILETTI
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Bears vs. 49ers
UNDER 44½ -119
The NFC comp Play is on the Under in the Chicago vs SF Game. Rotation numbers 125/126 at 4:05 eastern. This game fits a nice 36-8 totals system. This one should stay lower scoring and the Bears are 5 of 5 under vs NFC West teams and 0-3 under if they won 4 of the last 5 SF is 10 of 11 under at home vs .650 or better teams an 5 of 6 under after playing Seattle. These two have gone under in each of the past 2 seasons and this one looks like a lower scoring game as well. Play the Bears and Niners under the total.
__________________
BRAD DIAMOND
NFL | Dec 23, 2018
Steelers vs. Saints
OVER 52½ -113
Play on: NO/Pittsburgh OVER the total
__________________
Sports Book Edge
Kevin 'Bubba' Smith
'Railside' Harry MLB Expert
59/0 Col.B.Jackets/NJ devils Over
__________________
Priority Sports Info
Roy Maddux
#535 Atlanta Hawks
__________________
TDS Pucks & Dunks
Sloan Shannon
Home of the Dog Pound
#103 Buffalo Bills
__________________
Billy Irish Picks
Billy Irish
Original Pot of Gold Top Play
#68 Toronto Maple Leafs
__________________
Winning Colors Pks
TJ Elliot
Football & Basketball specialist
#101/2 TB Bucs/Dal Cowboys Over
__________________
Todays Round Robin
Harry Walker
#546 Cleveland Cavaliers
__________________
Valley Sports
#120 Cleveland Browns
__________________
Vegas Hotsheet
#129 Kansas City Chiefs
__________________
Furbookie
nfl seattle seahawks +2.5
__________________
WHAT EVER HAPPENED TO TONY MORRISON (NBA) AND XS SPORTS (CBB). YOU POSTED THERE PLAYS A COUPLE TIMES WITH THERE OUTSTANDING RECORDS AND THEN STOP POSTING THERE PLAYS
WHAT EVER HAPPENED TO TONY MORRISON (NBA) AND XS SPORTS (CBB). YOU POSTED THERE PLAYS A COUPLE TIMES WITH THERE OUTSTANDING RECORDS AND THEN STOP POSTING THERE PLAYS
I haven't seen them lately. When I run across them they will be posted
Top Shelf Sports Pick
NFL PHILADELPHIA EAGLES ‑140
__________________
Team Underground
NFL SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +2
__________________
Vegas Investment Picks
NFL BUFFALO BILLS/NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS under 44.5
__________________
Top Dog
NFL SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +2
__________________
Lasvegasmoneymachine
NHL PHILADELPHIA FLYERS ‑105
__________________