Thursday 11/1/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAFB, NFL & NBA games.
Jimmy Boyd
Nov 01 '18, 2:05 PM in 4h
NHL | Jets vs Panthers
Play on: Panthers +125
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Info Plays
Nov 01 '18, 7:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Northern Illinois vs Akron
Play on: Northern Illinois -5 -109
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Mark Wilson
Nov 01 '18, 7:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Northern Illinois vs Akron
Play on: Northern Illinois -5 -110
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John Ryan
Nov 01 '18, 7:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Ohio vs Western Michigan
Play on: UNDER 65 -109
John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup
UNDER Ohio University Bobcats-Western Michigan Broncos (309-310)
Ohio U (5 - 3) at W Michigan (6 - 3)
Week 10 Thursday, 11/1/2018 7:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 5-star wager (3 to 10-star grading scale) on the ‘UNDER’ which the market has priced at 66.5-points.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Bobcats to gain less than 200 passing yards and historically, the UNDER has gone 19-10-1 since 2013. When on the road, this situation improves to 11-5-1 for 68.8% winners. IN home games, the Broncos have produced a solid 8-4 UNDER mark when holding an opponent to fewer than 200 passing yards.
Ryan 10-Star Titans stand at a remarkable 15-5 ATS for 75% winners. They are the absolute strongest opportunities that his SIM Algorithms and Deep Learning programs can identify for you and are akin to Game of the Year status without the hype. His research report is a box score visualization filled with amazing projected data metrics and underscore why this is a play worthy of your risk capital.
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Cole Faxon
Nov 01 '18, 7:30 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | Temple vs Central Florida
Play on: Temple +11½ -110
Bobby Conn
Nov 01 '18, 7:30 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | Temple vs Central Florida
Play on: Temple +10½ +100
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Kenny Walker
Nov 01 '18, 7:30 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | Temple vs Central Florida
Play on: Temple +10½ +100
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Sal Michaels
Nov 01 '18, 8:20 PM in 10h
NFL | Raiders vs 49ers
Play on: UNDER 46½ -105
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Steve Janus
Nov 01 '18, 8:20 PM in 10h
NFL | Raiders vs 49ers
Play on: 49ers -3 +100
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Hunter Price
Nov 01 '18, 10:00 PM in 12h
NHL | Rangers vs Ducks
Play on: Rangers +135
Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, November 1, 2018
11/01 04:05 PM PT / 7:05 PM ET
NBA (503) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS (504) PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
Take: (504) PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Charlotte -1½ Over Oklahoma City
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: PHILADELPHIA -4½ over LA Clippers
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Totals4U
Thursday's Free Selection: New Orleans/Portland over
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Atlantic Sports
Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: New Orleans Pelicans + 4 1/2
Trace Adams
For Thursday let's go Low in NIU-Akron.
The object of the limbo stick is to see how low you can go. That is kind of how I feel about this Thursday MAC game between Northern Illinois and Akron, as this total is a lowly 37 points, but I suggest playing it low, low, low.
Akron comes into this home game having scored more than 17 points just once in their last 5 games, and that one time was only because they played overtime - they scored 24 in that game. The Zips have held Under the total in each of their last 3 games, and in 5 of their 7 games overall for the season.
Into town comes a Northern Illinois team that just played a very ugly 7-6 game at BYU as that one obviously held Under the total. The Huskies have been Under in each of their last 4, and 7 of their 8 games contested overall.
As you can see the price the oddsmakers have posted for this one is well warranted. Yes, it's a low-total, but even so, I don't see this MAC clash getting over the "limbo stick".
Huskies-Zips Under on Thursday.
3* NIU-AKRON UNDER
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Eric Schroeder
Let's skate tonight, as my free winner is on the St. Louis Blues against the struggling Vegas Golden Knights.
Neither team has done anything special, but what has stood out is how Vegas' chemistry has disappeared after last year's storybook season that found it in the Stanley Cup Final. The Golden Knights' offense has disappeared, as they rank second-to-last in the league with just 2.19 goals per game.
Vegas is without top acquisitions Max Pacioretty and Paul Stastny, who were brought in to replace James Neal and David Perron on the second line, and last Sunday the Knights lost third-line anchor Cody Eakin.
Speaking of Perron, he's back on the Blues, and has done well in his return. I wouldn't be surprised if he goes off tonight, scoring a few points against the team he had a career year with last season. The Knights didn't match his needs, and left him out to dry. Knowing Perron, and how much he loved being in Las Vegas, to be jilted after what he did for the team, I think it's safe to assume he wants to take this game over tonight.
The Blues aren't better than Vegas, when it is full strength, but they're going to be better than the Golden Knights tonight. Lay the cheap price.
4* BLUES
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Tommy Brunson
It's Week Nine of the NFL season, and what had looked to be "must see TV" when the schedule came out before the season started is not that at all "must see TV" for this Thursday night Week Nine opener.
Both Oakland and San Francisco have one win apiece, but unless there is a tie tonight, one of these teams will notch win number two on the year. My money says it will be the 49ers with both the win and the cover.
It is becoming crystal clear that year one of the Jon Gruden era in Oakland has turned into a roster overhaul, and while the maligned Derek Carr is still with the Raiders as their quarterback, you have to wonder what his mindset is for the rest of the season?
Oakland was outscored 21-0 in the fourth quarter at home on Sunday, as they wound up a 42-28 loser to drop to 1-5 this season when getting points, including 4 losses in a row as the underdog.
While that was going on in Oakland, San Francisco coughed up a 15-3 lead at Arizona as they allowed a touchdown with 34 seconds remaining to fall to the Cardinals.
I know laying -3 points with a one win club may seem unwise, but keep in mind that under the Thursday night lights this year, the home team is 6-2 with a 5-2-1 spread mark. That includes last Thursday's win and cover at home by the Texans over the Dolphins.
With Oakland clearly playing the string out this season, will side with San Francisco to come through with another home team win and cover under the Thursday lights.
2* SAN FRANCISCO
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Ray Chadwick
Thursday comp play winner is the Under in tonight's Bay Area showdown between the Oakland Raiders and the San Francisco 49ers.
Technically they are playing this one in Santa Clara, but you get the point!
I look for this meeting to stay on the lower side of things, as San Francisco comes into this home game with just 25 total points scored in their last pair of games, both of the games holding Under the total.
Oakland comes in fresh off allowing Indianapolis to ding them for 42 points - 21 of those points in a 21-0 in the final quarter of play - but the Niners offense just has not been explosive enough for me to believe we see an over at Levi's Stadium this Thursday.
The Raiders had been Under the total in their previous pair of games prior to hosting the Colts, as Jon Gruden's team could only muster 13 total points.
This is not a game I expect too many people tuning in for, but if you do and you are looking for some scoring, perhaps it is best to choose one of the college games to watch tonight.
Raiders-Niners Low!
1* OAKLAND-SAN FRANCISCO UNDER
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#1 Sports
Thursday's Free Selection: Portland Trail Blazers
Platinum Plays
Free Pick the Denver Nuggets -6 over Cleveland
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Thursday Free Selection Is
Philadelphia -5
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Golden Dragon Sports
FREE WINNER for Thursday
Atlanta +1'
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Hawkeye Sports
Thursday's Free Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins - 150
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Denver -6
Ralph Sports
FREE play THURS NHL Over Nashville total 6
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The Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Thursday: Take OKLAHOMA CITY +1½ over Charlotte
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Thursday: Denver Nuggets - 6
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John Anthony Sports
Thursday's Free Selection: Los Angeles Clippers + 4 1/2
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday: Take SACRAMENTO/ATLANTA UNDER the total of 231
Mike Williams
Nov 01 '18, 2:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Jets vs Panthers
Play on: Panthers +115
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Jimmy Boyd
Nov 01 '18, 2:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Jets vs Panthers
Play on: Panthers +125 at GTBets
1* Free Pick on Florida Panthers +125
I like the value here with Florida as an underdog in the first of two meetings against Winnipeg in Finland (NHL Global Series). The Panthers are going to be extremely motivated here to get a win, as they have lost 3 of their last 4 and are 2-7 overall. As bad as that looks, Florida has simply been unlucky in close games, as 6 of their 7 losses have come by 1-goal.
I think it's a big reason they are showing such great value here against the Jets. Despite the recent struggles, Florida continues to outshoot their opponents and are 7-1 in their last 8 road games after 3 straight games where they had 8+ more shots on goal than their opponent. Panthers are also a strong passing team and Winnipeg is a mere 10-26 in their last 36 on the road against teams who average 5 or more assists/game. Look for Panthers to get that much-needed win this afternoon at Hartwall Arena. Take Florida!
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Brandon Lee
Nov 01 '18, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Ohio vs Western Michigan
Play on: Western Michigan +3 -110 at betonline
10* FREE NCAAF PICK (Western Michigan +3)
I'll take my chances here with the Broncos as a short home dog. I feel we are seeing a slight overreaction to what happened last time out for each team, with Ohio off the blowout win over Ball State and Western Michigan off the upset loss as a home favorite to Toledo.
Another reason I think we are seeing the Bobcats getting some love, is the fact that the Broncos just lost starting quarterback Jon Wassink to a season-ending injury. You hate to see it, but I was really impressed with how well true freshman Kaleb Eleby played in relief of Wassink. He completed 23 of 28 attempts with 2 touchdowns and no interceptions.
Eleby going to get the start and I think he’s in store for a big day against a Ohio defense that ranks 125th in the country against the pass, giving up 292.4 ypg. This is also a Western Michigan offense that can run the football. The Broncos are 34th in the nation, averaging 209.1 ypg on the ground.
Another thing to note about Ohio is they are just 1-3 on the road this season and the lone win was a mere 1-point at Kent State in a game they were favored by double-digits. The defense for the Bobcats has been especially bad on the road, where they are giving up 32.2 ppg and 462 ypg.
This is also a spot where Ohio has historically struggled against the number. The Bobcats are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games off back-to-back conference wins by 10 or more points and have lost these games by 8.5 ppg. Ohio is also 2-10 ATS in their last 12 off a game where they scored 50 or more points and a mere 5-13 ATS on the road in Weeks 10 through 13 under head coach Frank Solich. Give me the Broncos +3!
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Jack Jones
Nov 01 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Clippers vs 76ers
Play on: UNDER 230 -105
Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Clippers/76ers UNDER 230
This is a very high total between the Clippers and 76ers tonight. I think there’s value with the UNDER given that both teams are better defensively than they are getting credit for, and the series history suggests this number has been inflated.
The Clippers were the best defensive team in the NBA in the preseason, holding opponents to just 97 points pre game. Patrick Beverly dubbed his team “Clamp City” because of it. And the Clippers have played pretty well defensively thus far in the regular season, holding opponents to 42% shooting. The 76ers are giving up just 43.5% shooting in the regular season.
The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings in this series. The Clippers and 76ers have combined for 210, 214 and 212 points in their last three meetings, respectively. That’s an average of just 212 combined points per game, which is 18 points less than tonight’s posted total of 230.
The UNDER is 4-1 in Clippers last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The UNDER is 4-0-1 in 76ers last five home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Philly is 21-6 UNDER in its last 27 home games after a combined score of 235 points or more. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.
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