Thursday 12/13/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAFB, NFL & NBA games.
Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Chicago/Orlando Over 209½ Points
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John Anthony Sports
Thursday's Free Selection: Winnipeg Jets - 175
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Kenny Towers
FREE PLAY FOR THURSDAY - DALLAS/PHOENIX OVER 211
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Thursday: Wisconsin Badgers
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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Thursday: Take DALLAS -7 over Phoenix
Arthur Ralph
FREE play THURS: Orlando-5 TY WED: Memphis NBA -3
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Dallas/Phoenix over 211
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Hawkeye Sports
Thursday's Free Pick: Minnesota Wild - 165
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Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Thursday
San Francisco -18 College BB
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday: Take CHICAGO/ORLANDO OVER the total of 208½
Easy Money Sports
Lee's Thursday Free Selection Is
Los Angeles Lakers +5½
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play for Thursday, December 13, 2018
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick: the Phoenix Suns +7 over Dallas
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#1 Sports
Thursday's Free Selection: Eastern Washington Eagles + 18
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Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, December 13, 2018
12/13 05:05 PM PT / 8:05 PM ET
NBA (559) LOS ANGELES LAKERS VS (560) HOUSTON ROCKETS
Take: (559) LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: SAN FRANCISCO (CBB) -19 over Eastern Washington
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Totals4U
Thursday's Free Selection: Eastern Washington/San Francisco under 139 1/2
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Jeff Allen
Thursday Night's Free Selection is on the Winnipeg Jets
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Roz Wins
Roz's Thursday, December 13, 2018, Free Pick
12/13 05:05 PM NBA (559) LOS ANGELES LAKERS VS (560) HOUSTON ROCKETS
Take : Lakers
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Tommy Brunson
Thursday free play is the Over in the Clippers-Spurs showdown in San Antonio.
Both teams have been solid Over plays for the year, as the Clippers enter at 17-10 Over the total for the season, while the Spurs are 17-10-1 Over the total for the year.
The first meeting between the teams back on November 15th produced a 116-111 final score as that game landed Over the posted price.
That series Over made it 4 in a row Over between the Western Conference rivals, and 6 of the last 8 overall played between the teams Over the posted price.
Los Angeles has played their last pair of games, and 5 of their last 7 on the season Over the total, while San Antonio - although Under in their last pair - has been Over in 10 of their last 12 played with a push in the mix.
How about a Thursday night shootout in Alamo Town?
Play the Clippers and Spurs to land Over the total.
4* L.A. CLIPPERS-SAN ANTONIO OVER
Will Rogers
Dec 13 '18, 7:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Morehead State vs Samford
Play on: UNDER 151½ -110
The set-up: Morehead State is just 3-6, while Samford is 8-2. The Eagles will be desperate to reverse their fortunes tonight after losing six of their last eight, most recently a 76-64 setback at Marshall on Monday. Jordan Walker was a bright spot in the set-back with 21 points and four boards. The Eagles may find it difficult to post much offensive production against the surging Bulldogs though, who come in off a convincing 77-59 win of Alabama A&M, led by 11 points and eight boards from Robert Allen.
The pick: Samford’s early numbers could be skewed by the level of its competition and there’s no doubt that it’ll face a much stiffer test tonight vs. a a focused and hungry Eagles team. I think from a situational stand point this one definitely sets up as a defensive battle, but note as well that Morehead State has seen the total go “under” the number in eight of its last 12 when the total in the contest is set between 150 and 159.5, while Samford has seen the total go “under” in four of five as a favorite already this season. Consider the “under.”
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Larry Ness
Dec 13 '18, 7:35 PM in 4h
NHL | Maple Leafs vs Lightning
Play on: Lightning -121 at pinnacle
My free play is on the TB Lightning at 7:35 ET.
The 21-9-1 Toronto Maple Leafs (43 points) will visit the 24-7-1 Tampa Bay Lightning (49 points) on Thursday night in a meeting between the NHL's top two teams. The Lightning own a seven-game winning streak and 10 of their last 11 to open-up a six-point lead on Toronto in the league and Atlantic Division standings. Toronto is off a 4-1 win over Carolina and does own a game in hand.
Key Toronto contributors are forward Mitch Marner, who leads the team with 41 points(note: he has been held goal-less the last 12 games) and John Tavares, who owns a team-high 19 goals. Don't forget Auston Matthews, who has 16 goals in 17 contests this season plus defenseman Jake Gardiner is also on a roll with a goal and seven assists during a five-game point streak.
Captain Steven Stamkos (15 goals / 33 points) has eight goals and four assists during Tampa Bay’s seven-game winning streak. Right wing Nikita Kucherov has assists in three straight games and leads team with 45 points, four more than Brayden Point, who has seven of his team-high 21 goals in the last 10 games. No. 2 goalie Louis Domingue is 11-3-0 since taking over as the No. 1 goalie, but All-Star Andrei Vasilevskiy could be back.
Vezina Trophy finalist Andrei Vasilevskiy has been out since Nov. 14 with a fractured foot but he took part in the full practice on Wednesday. Lightning head coach Jon Cooper did not say Vasilevskiy would start against Toronto, but he didn't say he wouldn't either, even with some hesitancy in throwing the team's top netminder back in the crease after a month-long absence. Whether it's Domingue or Vasilevskiy, I'll back Tampa Bay, which has scored 36 goals in its seven-game winning streak (5.14 per). Also note that the Lightning are 9-of-23 on the power play (39.1%) the last seven games. Back Tampa Bay, which has won four of the last five meetings with Toronto.
Good luck...Larry
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Mike Williams
Dec 13 '18, 8:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Savannah State vs Wisconsin
Play on: Savannah State +36½ -109
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Dave Price
Dec 13 '18, 8:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Lakers vs Rockets
Play on: Rockets -5 -115 at Bovada
Dave’s Thursday Free Play:
1* on Houston Rockets -5
The Key: The Houston Rockets will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days and their 4th game in 10 days here Thursday night. They are rested and need to kick it into high gear now after a disappointing 12-14 start this season. The are coming off a win and cover at home against the Blazers, which is a good start. And I think they can handle a Lakers team that will be missing Brandon Ingram and Rajon Rondo tonight. The Rockets are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 meetings. Houston is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 home meetings. The favorite is 17-6 ATS in the last 23 meetings. Take Houston.
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Frank Sawyer
Dec 13 '18, 8:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Lakers vs Rockets
Play on: Rockets -5 -115 at Bovada
Take the Los Angeles Lakers plus the points versus the Houston Rockets. Los Angeles (17-10) has won six of their last seven games with their 108-105 win over Miami on Monday as a 5.5-point favorites. The Lakers have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Los Angeles is also 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games against Western Conference opponents. Houston (12-14) snapped a three-game losing streak on Tuesday with their 111-103 win over Portland. But the Rockets have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Houston has also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games against Western Conference opponents. Take the Lakers plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.
Jimmy Boyd
Dec 13 '18, 8:20 PM in 4h
NFL | Chargers vs Chiefs
Play on: UNDER 54 -110
1* Free NFL Pick on Chargers/Chiefs UNDER
There's zero doubt the public is going to back the over in this game. These two combined for 56 points back in a Week 1 meeting and both of these teams have been lighting up the scoreboard. I think it's resulted an inflated number and a lot of value on the UNDER.
I get the Chiefs still have the MVP front-runner in Patrick Mahomes, but they are simply not as explosive without Kareem Hunt in the backfield. They also won't have backup Spencer Ware for this game and are down starting guard Cam Erving. Wide out Sammy Watkins also won't be available.
As for the Chargers, they are also down their top two running backs, as Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler are both doubtful. It was already going to be tough enough for this offense dealing with the noise of Arrowhead, but not being able to run the ball could spell disaster against a great KC pass rush. One that is drastically better at home and getting back All-Pro safety Eric Berry, who if anything close to what he was before, will make a much bigger impact than I think people are expecting.
This is also the time of year where scoring is a lot tougher because of the conditions. It's going to be just above freezing with winds blowing at close to 15 mph. I'm not saying there won't be scoring, just not enough to eclipse this high total. Take the UNDER!
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John Martin
Dec 13 '18, 9:35 PM in 6h
NBA | Bulls vs Magic
Play on: Bulls +5½ -105 at Bovada
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Chicago Bulls +5.5
The Bulls are going through a coaching change and they just got several key players back from injury of late. Lauri Markkanen, Bobby Portis and Kris Dunn all recently returning from injury. I think this team is going to be a good bet moving forward now that they finally have some talent to surround Zach LaVine and Jabari Parker. It has also allowed Justin Holiday and Wendell Carter Jr. among others to get some valuable minutes. This is now a deep team that will pull some upsets. I like getting the 5.5 here with the Bulls against the Magic tonight. Orlando is 11-25 ATS in its last 36 games as a favorite. Chicago is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 against Southeast division opponents while Orlando is 0-6 ATS in its last six against NBA Central division teams. The Magic are also 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games when playing on two days of rest. Give me the Bulls.
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Brandon Lee
Dec 13 '18, 9:35 PM in 6h
NBA | Bulls vs Magic
Play on: Bulls +5½ -110 at sportsbook
10* FREE NBA PICK (Bulls +5.5)
I'll take my chances here with Chicago as a decently priced dog against the Magic. This game is being played on a neutral court in Mexico City and I just think Orlando is way overpriced due to the fact that the Bulls are coming off a couple of ugly losses in their last two games. I actually think Chicago is a team you are going to want to be on quite a bit here in the near future, as they recently got back their best player in Lauri Markkanen and are now working two more starters back in the mix in Bobby Portis and Kris Dunn. It's also not like the Magic are in prime form right now. Last time out Orlando lost by 25 at Dallas and the game before that they lost by 22 at home to the Pacers. I just feel like this should be closer to a pick'em. Give me the Bulls +5.5!
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Bobby Conn
Dec 13 '18, 10:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Lamar vs CS Bakersfield
Play on: Lamar +5½ -109
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Hunter Price
Dec 13 '18, 10:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Eastern Washington vs San Francisco
Play on: San Francisco -18 -110
Info Plays
Dec 13 '18, 10:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Lamar vs CS Bakersfield
Play on: Lamar +5½ -109
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Jack Jones
Dec 13 '18, 10:35 PM in 7h
NBA | Mavs vs Suns
Play on: Suns +7 -115 at Bovada
Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Phoenix Suns +7
The Dallas Mavericks have been on a tear at home of late, but it has been a different story for them on the road this season. The Mavericks are just 2-9 SU & 5-6 ATS on the road this year, getting outscored by 7.3 points per game on average. They can’t be 7-point road favorites over the Suns tonight.
That’s especially the case when you factor in the tough situation for the Mavs tonight. They’ll be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 10 days here. They are without Dennis Smith Jr. and could be without J.J. Barea for this game tonight.
The betting public wants nothing to do with the Suns right now. They are 0-10 SU & 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall. So we’re getting some extra value on the Suns tonight because oddsmakers are forced to set this number higher than it should be.
The Suns own the Mavs, going a perfect 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings. They’ve won outright as underdogs five times during this stretch. It’s just a matchup that favors them, and given the tough situation for Dallas, don’t be surprised if Phoenix wins this game outright, too. Bet the Suns Thursday.
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Mike Lundin
Dec 13 '18, 10:35 PM in 7h
NBA | Mavs vs Suns
Play on: Suns +7 -110 at pinnacle
#NBA FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The Dallas Mavericks will be playing on no rest following a 114-107 win over Atlanta Wednesday night. They're only 1-6 ATS in their last seven in the second night of a back-to-back.
Dallas is 13-2 SU home at American Airlines Center but just 2-9 straight up on the road. That run includes setbacks at some of the worst teams in the league and they took a 121-100 loss here in Phoenix back on October 17.
The Suns 4-24 record (9-19 ATS) is the worst in basketball by a mile and they're expected to be without Devin Booker (left hamstring injury) for a seventh straight game, but they've won six straight meetings with Dallas straight up and I think Phoenix will keep this reasonably close, if not win outright.
Free pick on Phoenix Suns.
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Chris Jordan
If it ain't broke, don't fix it. Thus, I'm looking for my NHL Winner # 6 of 8 in the free pick department.
Three nights back it was the San Jose Sharks Puck Line, and tonight I'm back on them once again, this time on the Puck Line against the visiting Dallas Stars.
Dallas arrives in Northern California after getting worked last night in Anaheim. The Stars actually led the Ducks, who erased a 3-2 deficit and won 6-3. Dallas continues its four-game road trip that started with a loss in Las Vegas on Sunday.
After losing four of five, the Stars had won four straight. But they've now lost two in a row, and play the second of back-to-back nights against a very dangerous San Jose team that shouldn't have any issue skating past the weary Stars.
San Jose has won two straight, outscoring the Coyotes and Devils by a combined final of 10-4. Going back to Dec. 2, the Sharks are on a 4-1 run, and the lone loss was, surprise, in Dallas.
So there is going to be a little bit of revenge in this game, too.
The Sharks have a five game standings point streak at SAP Center (4-0-1) and have won four of their last five overall (4-1-0). San Jose owns the seventh-best home record this season (10-3-2, 22 points), the sixth-most wins and have scored 55 goals - eighth most in the league. The Sharks have allowed two goals or less in seven of the 15 games at SAP Center.
Play the Sharks here, as they roll to the easy win.
5* SHARKS PUCK LINE
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Scott Delaney
Who can remember opening night of the NBA season?
Not too many of you, right? Well, in my business, there are certain games that stand out.
When Phoenix beat Dallas, 121-100, I thought it was sign that young Devin Booker was going to have huge hope in the Pacific Division.
As it turns out, false alarm.
And on the heels of hitting the New Orleans Pelicans last night, I'm playing the Mavericks in revenge of that game against a franchise that suddenly is talking about Seattle or Las Vegas because of having the oldest arena in the NBA.
Dallas is among a group of contenders in the Western Conference roughly one-third of the way through the season, while the Suns have just four wins and are off to their worst start in franchise history. And the owner is just talking about moving the team elsewhere, the team is apparently listening to trade offers for veteran Trevor Ariza after Tyson Chandler has already has been shipped to the Lakers. This team is a mess.
But not Dallas, which has won three straight and 12 of 15 overall.
Everyone should be impressed by Luka Doncic, who scored 24 points, yanked 10 rebounds and dished six assists to help the Mavericks to their first victory over Atlanta since 2013.
Doncic will be the of this one, especially since Booker is expected to miss his seventh straight game with a left hamstring injury and the Suns enter with a 10-game losing streak.
Lay the road chalk here.
3* MAVERICKS
Gus Augustine
Your comp play winner for Thursday is the Chargers and the Chiefs to put some points on the scoreboard on this wintry and wet night at Arrowhead Stadium.
Philip Rivers has thrown 29 touchdown passes to go along with his 6 interceptions.
Patrick Mahomes has tossed 43 touchdown passes, but also has 11 picks to go along with the positive work.
Both are in line tonight to throw a pick is my feeling.
The Chargers have played Over the total in 2 of their last 3, and are 4-2 Over the total in their 6 road games this season.
The Chiefs have played 3 straight Overs this year, and are 8-4-1 Over the total for the year.
Even with Hunt now gone for the Chiefs, and Hill ailing, and even with Gordon ailing for the Chargers, there is still enough offense on this field, and a big defensive play or two also on the field at Arrowhead to help take this game Over the total.
Chargers-Chiefs played Over in their first series meeting back on Week One, and have landed Over in 3 of their last 5. Look for another Over tonight.
Bolts-Chiefs Over on Thursday.
5* L.A. CHARGERS-KANSAS CITY OVER