Wednesday 11/14/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Wednesday’s NCAAFB, NFL & NBA games.
Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Milwaukee -9½ Over Memphis
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: PHILADELPHIA/ORLANDO UNDER the total of 222
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Totals4U
Wednesday's Free Selection: Utah Jazz/Dallas Mavericks over 214
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Atlantic Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: San Antonio Spurs - 4 1/2
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#1 Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection: Utah Jazz - 4 1/2
Sal Michaels
Nov 14 '18, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Buffalo vs Ohio
Play on: OVER 65 -107
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Cole Faxon
Nov 14 '18, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Buffalo vs Ohio
Play on: UNDER 66½ +10
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immy Boyd
Nov 14 '18, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | Louisiana-Monroe vs Michigan State
Play on: Michigan State -25 -108 at 5Dimes
1* Free NCAAB Pick on Michigan State Spartans -25
A lot of people might be tempted to grab the points with the Warhawks, considering they are getting 25 points after only losing by 10 as a 19-point dog at Texas last time out. No disrespect to the Longhorns, but they aren't on the same level as Tom Izzo and the Spartans.
After losing to Kansas in their opener, Michigan State crushed Florida Gulf Coast 106-82, covering as a 22.5-point favorite. It could have been a lot worse, as the Spartans had a 59-35 edge at the half before calling off the dogs.
The biggest reason ULM was able to keep it close against Texas was the Longhorns shot a miserable 26 of 62 (41.9%) from the field. I can assure you the Warhawks won't be keeping this one within 10-points if they only put 55 on the board. Look for Michigan State's offense to be too much for ULM to handle.
Spartans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games after playing their previous against a non-conference opponent and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 at home off a win by 15 or more. Warhawks are 0-6 ATS last 6 off a road cover where the team lost straight up as a dog. Take Michigan State!
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Mark Wilson
Nov 14 '18, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Buffalo vs Ohio
Play on: Buffalo +2 -105
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Info Plays
Nov 14 '18, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Buffalo vs Ohio
Play on: Ohio +1 -110
Steve Janus
Nov 14 '18, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Buffalo vs Ohio
Play on: UNDER 66½ -102
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Bobby Conn
Nov 14 '18, 7:35 PM in 8h
NBA | Bulls vs Celtics
Play on: UNDER 210 -105
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Stephen Nover
Nov 14 '18, 7:35 PM in 8h
NBA | Bulls vs Celtics
Play on: Bulls +12 -104 at 5Dimes
Boston is at low ebb right now coming home after going 1-4 SU, 0-5 ATS on a five-game road trip that concluded this past Sunday in Portland with a 100-94 loss to the Trail Blazers. The Celtics' lone win during their trip came against the 2-11 Suns in overtime. The question now becomes are the Celtics ready to take out their frustrations against the Bulls today? The evidence says no. Boston likely wins, but not by double-digits. The Celtics are still trying to find their way. Brad Stevens is working on ironing out his rotation. Not only is this Boston's first game back from a long trip - often a bad spot for the home team - but the Celtics have revenge games up next hosting Toronto on Friday and Utah on Saturday. The matchup against the Raptors is the biggest for the Celtics so far this season. So Stevens has little reason to extend his starter's minutes against the lowly Bulls especially if the game gets out of hand, which leaves the backdoor swinging open if it comes down to a garbage time scenario with the point spread on the line. Boston is at its point spread worst, too, when laying 8 1/2 or more points having failed to cover in that situation the past 10 TIMES, including going 0-4 ATS in that role this season. The Bulls are a young team with some of their better players injured. Zach LaVine is having a breakout season, though. He's currently the fifth-leading scorer in the NBA averaging 27.1 points a game. Chicago has covered in its last three away games. Only twice in their last 11 games have the Bulls lost by more than nine points
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Marc Lawrence
Nov 14 '18, 8:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Miami-OH vs Northern Illinois
Play on: Miami-OH +6½ -107 at pinnacle
Play - Miami Ohio (Game 305).
Edges - RedHawks: 13-5 ATS last 18 conference road games … Huskies: 1-5 ATS in this series … With the Hawks in need of two wins in their final two games to become bowl eligible, we recommend a 1* play on Miami Ohio. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Hunter Price
Nov 14 '18, 8:05 PM in 9h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Bucks
Play on: Bucks -9½ -109
Ben Burns
Nov 14 '18, 8:05 PM in 9h
NHL | Blues vs Blackhawks
Play on: Blackhawks -115 at pinnacle
Winless in eight games and still looking to get their new coach his first victory, the Hawks are going to be a highly motivated team this evening. The Blues, on the other hand, may already have their upcoming trip to Vegas on the back of their minds. Expect the Hawks to be the "hungrier" team and that to lead to a badly needed victory. Consider Chicago.
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Larry Ness
Nov 14 '18, 8:05 PM in 9h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Bucks
Play on: Bucks -9½ -110 at sportsbook
My free play is on the Mil Bucks at 8:05 ET.
The 10-3 Milwaukee Bucks trail only the 12-2 Toronto Raptors in the East and the 12-3 Golden State Warriors (Western Conference) in the 'race' for the NBA's best record. The Bucks are coming off a a 121-114 win at Denver on Sunday that closed out a four-game West Coast road trip in which the team went 2-2. Center Brook Lopez scored a game-high 28 points and matched an NBA record for a seven-footer by making eight, three-pointers. The 7-5 Memphis Grizzlies will play four of their next six games on the road, after suffering their first home loss of the season, 96-88 to the Utah Jazz on Monday.
Memphis is trying to fight on despite a rash of early-season injuries. JaMychal Green suffered a broken jaw in Memphis' second game of the season while Chandler Parsons and Omri Casspi have been limited so far with sore knees. The Grizzlies suffered another hit Monday night, when Dillon Brooks suffered a sprained MCL over the weekend. Brooks' injury left head coach J.B. Bickerstaff with only eight available players Monday night.
The Bucks went just 2-2 on their West Coast trip but the wins came over 12-3 Golden State and Denver (opened 9-1, before losing four straight). Giannis Antetokounmpo
shot 58 percent on the road trip and is averaging 25.4 points, 13 rebounds and 5.8 assists on the season. Milwaukee's other four starters are all averaging in double digits, allowing the Bucks to lead the NBA in scoring at 121.6 PPG (Golden St, who?)
Memphis averages about 20 PPG fewer than Milwaukee (101.8 PPG ranks 29th) and that average falls to 96.3 points on the road. However, Memphis does lead the NBA in allowing just 100.7 PPG. However, Milwaukee is a perfect 6-0 SU at home (5-0-1 ATS), averaging 124.7 PPG, winning by an average of 19.1 PPG. Lay the points.
Good luck...Larry
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Mike Lundin
Nov 14 '18, 8:05 PM in 9h
NBA | Pelicans vs Wolves
Play on: Pelicans +2 -109 at GTBets
#NBA FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
**10-2 FREE PICK RUN ~ 22-9 SINCE SEPTEMBER 1**
The New Orleans Pelicans have won three straight and halted a five-game road losing streak with an impressive 126-110 win at Toronto Monday night.
They're 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 when facing team with a losing straight up record, which they will here taking on the 5-9 Timberwolves.
Minnesota returned home from an 0-5 road trip to beat Brooklyn 120-113, but this is a big step up in competition and Minnesota's D is not good enough to keep this high-scoring Pels team in check.
Free pick on New Orleans Pelicans.
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Kenny Walker
Nov 14 '18, 8:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-B | Marquette vs Indiana
Play on: Marquette +5½ -102
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Mike Williams
Nov 14 '18, 9:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | North Dakota vs Kentucky
Play on: Kentucky -26 -110
Brandon Lee
Nov 14 '18, 8:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Pelicans vs Wolves
Play on: Pelicans +1½ -105 at 5Dimes
10* FREE NBA PICK (Pelicans +1.5)
I'll take my chances here with New Orleans as a short road dog against the Timberwolves. Minnesota won their first game after trading Jimmy Butler 120-113 at home over the Nets. Towns had a huge game with a 20-20 performance, but Minnesota shot 53% from the field and held Brooklyn to just 39.6%. I'm just not buying the win as a sign that the Wolves are fixed after the trade. Now they got to adjust their rotations even more with the additions of Covington and Saric. New Orleans has won 3 straight after losing 6 in a row and were all business in a 126-110 win at Toronto as a 9.5-point dog last time out. They are simply the much better team and it would be an added bonus here if either Mirotic or Payton returns from injury. Give me the Pelicans +1.5!
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Ray Chadwick
Even though the Huskies defense has been staunch - no more than 26 points allowed in any of their last 6 games - I do like tonight's home game to land Over the total.
NIU has seen 8 of their 10 games hold Under the total, but on the other side, Miami-Ohio has been Over in 6 of their 10 games, including 5 of their last 7. The key to this game making its way into the Over column, will be the fact the Redhawks defense has proved to be a liability for Chuck Martin, as they have given up over 36 points per game over their last 3 MAC games.
Miami-O's quarterback Gus Ragland has been around the block a time or two, and he has been able to generate points to compensate for the yielding defense, as the Redhawks have come up with just north of 30 points per game over their last 6 contests.
These teams last played in 2015, and that meeting did land Over the total. In fact, the Over is 3-1 the last 4 times these schools have faced one another.
The weather is going to be clear and cold for this one, and I am of the opinion that in the colder weather holding onto the football can potentially be an issue. I expect a turnover or two that will lead to some short-field scoring opportunities.
It is not going to land Over by 3 touchdowns, but I do feel this one is squeezing Over come the final gun.
Miami-Ohio and Northern Illinois to land Over.
3* MIAMI (OHIO)-NIU OVER
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Gus Augustine
Ohio had been scoring at will coming into last week's game at Miami-Ohio, as the Bobcats posted 49, 52 and 59 points during a 3 game winning streak, but their offense stalled to start that game at Oxford, and they managed only 28 points in a 30-28 loss that wound up holding Under the total by one point.
That Under puts the Bobcats on a 4-1-1 Under run their last 6 games, all of them in MAC play.
As for Buffalo, the Bulls own the top defense in the conference, but they have played Overs in their last pair and 7 of their last 9 on the year. I do not see that Over trend continuing tonight, as the Buffalo defense has done a great job holding MAC offenses down, as they have allowed 17 points or less in 3 of their last 4 games on the season.
Series numbers also point to an Under, as the Under is 3-1-1 the past 5 series meetings between these East Division rivals.
Buffalo has been making a conscious effort to keep the ball on the ground and work clock in weeks past, while Ohio is also better when they establish their running game first.
I expect a ground-oriented contest, and the clock to be running for large chunks of time.
Buffalo-Ohio Under the total at Pedan Stadium tonight in Athens.
2* BUFFALO-OHIO UNDER
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Tommy Brunson
They are only 2-6 straight up and against the spread on the road, but those 2 wins have come over their last 3 away from home.
Philadelphia is on the road again, but tonight they take to the court with their newest addition, Jimmy Butler! Expect the 76ers to get an immediate jolt from Jimmy, and expect them to pull away from this Orlando team.
The Sixers beat the Magic by just one back on October 20th in Philadelphia in a non-cover, but they extended their series winning streak to 4 straight, and 5 wins in the last 6 overall series tilts. That October non-cover is the ONLY non-cover for Philly in that 6 game stretch, so don't worry about laying the road wood tonight.
The Magic have done well for themselves with wins in 4 of their last 5 games, but in reality their lineup cannot match the firepower of Butler, Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons over the full four quarters.
76ers to stretch the margin.
Side with Philly.
5* PHILADELPHIA
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Scott Delaney
My free play for Wednesday night is on the Washington Wizards laying the home chalk over the Cleveland Cavaliers.
I lost going against the Cleveland Cavaliers last night, and they beat me. But they're still just 2-11 just five months after playing in their fourth straight NBA Finals. And after exhaling from last night's blowout win against Charlotte, the Cavs have to travel to Washington and face a team they won't be able to keep up with on its own floor.
Washington is just 4-9 and sits fourth in the Southeast, but it is much better than its record and needs a pivotal game that will ignite a winning run. This is a great opportunity.
The Wizards have won two straight and are still near the start of a five-game homestand. They've put up 116 and 117 in their last two games, and finally appear to be playing like a team and with the right chemistry.
Bradley Beal has 10 20+ points games and is averaging 19.2, 4.3 rebounds and 4.6 assists against the Cavaliers in his career. The other four starters for the Wizards are averaging double figures this season, with Markieff Morris (14.4), Dwight Howard (17.0), Otto Porter, Jr (11.3) and John Wall leading the charge 20.8 points and 9.8 assists.
So if there is one game this time can come together and share mutual success, it's against the Cavaliers.
I'll bank on Beal to lead the way, as he is one of eight players this season to average more than 8.0 3-point field goal attempts per game (8.1). Beal's 8.1 attempts are the most he has averaged in his career and a +1.6 increase from the 2017-18 season.
Cleveland has the seventh-worst 3-point defense in the league, so it will get torched by Washington's perimeter game.
Take the Wizards here.
5* WIZARDS
Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday, November 14, 2018
11/14 06:05 PM PT / 9:05 PM ET
NBA (719) SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS (720) PHOENIX SUNS
Take: (719) SAN ANTONIO SPURS
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Arthur Ralph
FREE play WED: S A Spurs -5
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Wednesday Free Selection Is
Nebraska -7½
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