Wednesday 11/7/18 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Wednesday’s NCAAFB, NFL & NBA games.
Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free NY Knicks/Atlanta Over 223 Points
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: DETROIT/ORLANDO OVER the total of 211½
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Totals4U
Wednesday's Free Selection: Ohio State/Cincinnati under 137 1/2
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Atlantic Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: San Antonio Spurs + 1 1/2
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#1 Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection: New Orleans Pelicans - 10
Platinum Plays
Free Pick the New Orleans Pelicans -10 over Chicago
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Tommy Brunson
Wednesday's comp play comes in the NBA as I side with the Denver Nuggets to continue to play top-shelf basketball tonight in their stand-alone road game at the Grind House in Memphis.
Denver just beat-back Boston, 115-107 on their home court on Monday night, as they made it 5 straight wins, and 3 straight covers.
The 9-1 Nuggets can join the Warriors and the Raptors as the only double-digit win teams in the league if they can take care of business tonight over the Grizzlies, and with wins in 3 of the last 4 in this series, I do indeed like their chances.
Memphis is back home after 3 straight on the road, but they do come home after being handled in their last pair of highway affairs, losing a close one in Phoenix by just a basket, then getting steamrolled in Golden State by 17-points.
The difference tonight is the "team" play of Denver, as each night it is someone different that helps boost the club to the "W". On Monday it was Jamal Murray who went for a career-high 48 points. Paul Millsap, Nikola Jokic, and Gary Harris have also taken their turns this season wearing the Superman Cape.
The Nuggs are just playing too well right now to be cooled off tonight.
Lay the road wood with Denver as they make it a 10-1 start to the year.
3* DENVER
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Jim Feist
11/07 04:05 PM PT / 7:05 PM ET
NBA (501) DETROIT PISTONS VS (502) ORLANDO MAGIC
Take: (502) ORLANDO MAGIC
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Roz Wins
Roz's Wednesday, November 7, 2018, Free Pick
11/07 03:00 PM CB (521) OHIO STATE VS (522) CINCINNATI
Take : Cincinnati
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play for Wednesday, November 7, 2018
11/07 04:00 PM CB (523) MARSHALL VS (524) EASTERN KENTUCKY
Take : Marshall
Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Wednesday: Take DENVER/MEMPHIS OVER the total of 206
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Hawkeye Sports
Wednesday's Free Pick: Dallas Mavericks + 10 1/2
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Western Carolina +17 College BB
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Arthur Ralph Sports
FREE play WED: Denver - 4
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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Wednesday: Take CHICAGO +10 over New Orleans
High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Wednesday: Miami Heat
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John Anthony Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection: Utah Jazz - 9 1/2
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Kenny Towers
FREE PLAY FOR WEDNESDAY - PHILADELPHIA/INDIANA OVER 216
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Jimmy Boyd
Nov 07 '18, 7:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-B | Marshall vs Eastern Kentucky
Play on: OVER 168 -110
1* Free Pick on Marshall/Eastern Kentucky OVER 168
Last year the average score for a Marshall game was 163 points and that number figures to rise in this season. Marshall has taken an analytics approach to the college game, where head coach Dan D'Antoni has littered his roster with guys who can hit the 3-point shot and finish around the rim. Very similar to what his younger brother is doing in the NBA with the Houston Rockets.
Marshall returns their offensive catalyst in senior guard Jon Elmore, who figures to be an All-American candidate. Elmore averaged 22.7 ppg. He's not the only guy who can light it up. Fellow senior C.J. Burks averaged 20.1 ppg. This backcourt is going to have it's way with Eastern Kentucky.
The key here is that while Marshall is really good at lighting up the scoreboard, they aren't exactly the best defensive team. While Eastern Kentucky is going thru a bit of a transition, they bring back the potential Ohio Valley Player of the Year in Nick Mayo. He'll keep the Colonels in this until the end and I think we could upwards of 180 points in this one. Take the OVER!
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Pro Computer Gambler
Nov 07 '18, 7:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Ohio vs Miami-OH
Play on: Ohio -3½ -103 at pinnacle
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FOR WEEK 11: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Active on Ohio U this week!
Info Plays
Nov 07 '18, 7:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Ohio vs Miami-OH
Play on: UNDER 63 -110
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Ross Benjamin
Nov 07 '18, 7:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Ohio vs Miami-OH
Play on: UNDER 61 -115
Ohio @ Miami-Ohio 7:00 PM ET
Game# 103-104
Play On: Under 61.0
Ohio has been dominant in going 3-0 SU&ATS during their previous 3 games while scoring 49 points or greater on each occasion. Nonetheless, they also allowed exactly 14 points during each of those contests.
Miami is coming off last Tuesday’s 51-42 loss at Buffalo. This will be their largest total of the season with their previous high being 58.5 against Kent State. By the way, that contest against Kent State easily stayed under during a 31-6 Miami win.
Any team (Ohio) with a total of 56.5 to 63 who’s scored 31 points or more in each of its previous 2 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Miami-Ohio) coming off a contest in which there was a combined 80 points or more scored, resulted in those games going 76-34 (69.1%) under the total since 1992. This precise betting angle has also gone 34-11 (75.6%) under since 2014 and 7-1 under this season. Bet on this game to go under the total for my Wednesday 11/7 free pick.
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Brandon Lee
Nov 07 '18, 7:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Ohio vs Miami-OH
Play on: Miami-OH +5 -110 at YouWager
10* FREE NCAAF PICK (Miami, OH +5)
I'll take my chances here with Miami as a home dog against the rival Bobcats. I’m not 100% convinced that Ohio should be favored in this one. Miami is way better than their record indicates and I just think there’s enough at stake here that we get their best effort.
The RedHawks missed out on a bowl game last year at 5-7 and if they want to have a shot at extending their season, they have to win their final 3 games. That right there is plenty of motivation, but even if they were 2-7 right now, I’m willing to bet they would play their hearts out to try and end this losing streak to the Bobcats (lost 5 straight).
Ohio comes in off an impressive 3-game stretch, where they have absolutely annihilated the competition. It started with a 49-14 win at home over Bowling Green. Then came a 52-14 win at home over Ball State and finally a 49-14 win at Western Michigan.
We did see them lose on the road to Northern Illinois and while they need to win here for next week’s game against Buffalo to matter, the Bobcats might have a hard time not looking ahead to that showdown with the Bulls.
I also really like the matchup here for Miami. The RedHawks have one of the better defenses in the MAC and while they were shredded by Buffalo a week ago, most of the damage done by the Bulls came through the air. Ohio doesn’t have near the passing attack as Buffalo and I think they could really struggle to get going.
On the flip side of this, you might think the Bobcats have this great defense, given they have held 3 straight opponents to exactly 14-points, but their defense is giving up 28.6 ppg on the road, as well as 4.8 yards/carry, 66.2% completion rate and 6.3 yards/play.
Another reason for Ohio’s success of late, is they posted a +9 turnover margin in their last 3 games. They didn’t turn it over more than once in any of those games after giving it away 12 times in their previous 5. Bobcats are a mere 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games after 3 straight games where they had 1 or fewer turnovers. Give me Miami +5!
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Bobby Conn
Nov 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Pistons vs Magic
Play on: Pistons -1½ -104
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Teddy Davis
Nov 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Thunder vs Cavs
Play on: Cavs +6 -107 at pinnacle
This is a spot here where I want no part of the Thunder. Westbrook went down with an ankle injury and he isn't going to be back for this game. I also think the Thunder will just go through the motions here as they have a big game on deck tomorrow night against the Rockets.
Of course the Cavs are terrible, but given this situation they are worth a look here and since they know Westbrook is out I think they believe they can win so the effort will be there tonight
Mike Williams
Nov 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Pistons vs Magic
Play on: Magic +2 -103
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Jack Jones
Nov 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Thunder vs Cavs
Play on: Cavs +6½ -105 at 5Dimes
Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5
The Oklahoma City Thunder suffered a big blow when Russell Westbrook went down with an ankle injury last time out against the Pelicans. I don’t think his absence is being factored into the line enough, and that’s partly because the Thunder come in on a five-game winning streak. But Westbrook was the biggest reason for that streak.
Westbrook also sat out the first two games of the season for the Thunder while recovering from arthroscopic knee surgery. It’s no surprise the Thunder opened the season 0-4 as even when he returned in Game 3 he wasn’t in game shape. He was finally starting to play like his old self. The Thunder will certainly miss him.
That’s why I’ll pull the trigger on the Cavaliers as 6.5-point home underdogs tonight. I think there’s value here, especially with the fact that the Cavaliers have opened the season 1-9. The Cavs have been more competitive since Larry Drew replaced Tyronn Lue, going 1-3 in their last four games with a blowout win over the Hawks and only a 2-point road loss in Orlando in which they blew a late 5-point lead with 24 seconds left.
The home team is 17-8 ATS in the last 25 meetings. The Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last six trips to Cleveland. Oklahoma City is 6-19 ATS in road games after covering four or five of their last six against the spread over the last three years. The Thunder are 11-27 ATS in their last 38 road games after a combined score of 235 points or more. Bet the Cavaliers Wednesday.
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Hunter Price
Nov 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Pistons vs Magic
Play on: Magic +2 -105
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Mike Lundin
Nov 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Pistons vs Magic
Play on: Pistons -125 at 5Dimes
#NBA FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
**8-1 FREE PICK RUN ~ 20-8 SINCE SEPTEMBER 1**
The Detroit Pistons have fallen apart completely since a perfect 4-0 start to the season as they travel to Orlando looking to put an end to an ugly five-game losing streak. They're still 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games and here the Pistons will face an Orlando team getting a bit too much credit coming off back-to-back victories against San Antonio and Cleveland.
How often would you expect this Magic team to win three in a row? How often do you expect this Pistons team, a playoff contender, to lose six consecutive games?
I'm not saying Pistons are "due", but they've lost a couple of close ones recently and the value is without a doubt on the visitors in this matchup.
Free pick on Detroit Pistons.
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Sal Michaels
Nov 07 '18, 8:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Northern Illinois
Play on: Northern Illinois -3½ -105
Cole Faxon
Nov 07 '18, 8:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Northern Illinois
Play on: Northern Illinois -3 -110
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Dustin Hawkins
Nov 07 '18, 8:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Northern Illinois
Play on: Northern Illinois -3½ -105
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Totals Guru
Nov 07 '18, 8:05 PM in 7h
NBA | Nuggets vs Grizzlies
Play on: UNDER 205 -109
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Kenny Walker
Nov 07 '18, 8:05 PM in 7h
NBA | Bulls vs Pelicans
Play on: Pelicans -10½ -105
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John Ryan
Nov 07 '18, 8:05 PM in 7h
NBA | 76ers vs Pacers
Play on: 76ers +3 -110 at YouWager
John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup
Philadelphia 76ers (513)
Philadelphia (6 - 5) at Indiana (7 - 4)
Tuesday, 11/6/2018 7:05 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 5-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Philadelphia, who is currently priced as a 2.5-point road dog.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for 76ers to make between 38% and 43% of their 3-point shot attempts, will have a minimum of 57 rebounds and will have a rebounding edge of at least 7 boards. In this situation, the 76ers have produce d a money making 45-17 ATS mark good for 73% winners and covering by an average of 7.6 PPG.
The Pacers when playing at home and an opponent has met these performance measures has been a money losing 5-16 ATS for 24% and losing to the number by an average of 7 PPG.
Take the 76ers to finally get their first road win of the season.
Ben Burns
Nov 07 '18, 10:35 PM in 9h
NBA | Wolves vs Lakers
Play on: Lakers -5 -110 at 5Dimes
I won with the Wolves when they beat the Lakers on 10/29. That was at Minnesota though and it was before the T-Wolves officially hit the skids. Though a great talent, Butler currently seems to be more of a distraction than he's worth. The T-Wolves are 0-3 SU/ATS on the first three legs of their 5-game road trip. All three losses came by double-digits. Don't expect the Lakers to feel sorry for them. LA got hammered in front of its home fans last time out and is hungry to make amends. Payback time. Consider laying the points.
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