Monday 10/21/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
+EV: NFL 4u: 475 New England Patriots -9.5 -108 (Monday, October 21st)
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pointwise phones
2- New England
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BEZOBETS
3u NY Jets +10
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R.J. White
N.Y. Jets +9.5
I like this game to go Under, and the lower the scoring, the easier it will be for the underdog to cover a big line. The Jets offense found some life last week with Sam Darnold back at quarterback, and even though the Patriots defense has been phenomenal, I believe the Jets offense won't completely be shut down like they were with Luke Falk at the helm. And the Jets defense is legitimately good, ranking 11th in points per drive and fifth in yards per rush allowed. One interesting nugget: The Pats have been road favorites 12 times between 8.5 and 10.5 points since 2012 and are just 3-9 ATS in that range.
42-31 IN LAST 73 NFL PICKS | +753
5-1 IN LAST 6 NE ATS PICKS | +390
14-10-2 IN LAST 26 NYJ ATS PICKS | +310
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Hank Goldberg
New England -9.5
The Jets are still averaging only 3.1 yards per carry. If they're one-dimensional, New England will roll. Bill Belichick had extra time to prepare and the Pats' secondary won't let Robby Anderson beat them deep. They won't make the same mistakes Dallas made last week. With their defense, the Pats won't have to score much to cover this number.
4-1 IN LAST 5 NFL ATS PICKS | +289
5-2 IN LAST 7 NE ATS PICKS | +281
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Stephen Oh
New England -9.5
There's a lot of excitement surrounding the Jets following their upset of the Cowboys. But Sam Darnold's presence hasn't bridged the gap between these teams that much. The first meeting was not competitive. The Pats failed to cover only because of two fluke touchdowns. Now that the spread has dipped below a key number, New England is a solid play. New England has won seven straight meetings, with the last four decided by 16, 35, 14 and 20 points. Lay it.
5-3 IN LAST 8 NFL PICKS | +169
13-6 IN LAST 19 NE ATS PICKS | +651
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R.J. White
New England @ N.Y. Jets UNDER 42.5
I've been all over Patriots Under this year, and I'm not going to shy away just because it lost in a Thursday night game that featured three non-offensive TDs. The first meeting between these teams also went Over thanks to non-offensive TDs, but the Jets offense looked much better last week with Sam Darnold back under center. That doesn't mean they'll have success against a New England defense that has allowed just three offensive TDs all year. The Jets defense is 11th in points per drive and fifth in yards per rush, so I don't know if the Patriots offense will be back in the 30s this week. That pushes this one Under.
42-31 IN LAST 73 NFL PICKS | +753
7-2 IN LAST 9 NE O/U PICKS | +478
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Emory Hunt
New England -9.5
I know that everyone is loving what they saw from the New York Jets last weekend against the Dallas Cowboys and giving credit to QB Sam Darnold. What needs to be talked about is how this Jets defense performed as well. Also, there was about a quarter-and-a-half stretch in that game, in which both teams constantly exchanged punts. That mid-game lapse in offensive productivity can't happen against one of the best teams in the NFL. Lay the points with the Patriots.
9-4 IN LAST 13 NFL ATS PICKS | +452
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Midwest NFL Handicapping
NYJ +9
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Knup Sports
Jets +10.5
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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
4* Pats/Jets OVER
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ELITE SPORTS PICKS
Pats/Jets OVER
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NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
4* NY Jets
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Brandon Lang
50 DIME
MONDAY NIGHT
BANKROLL BUILDER
New England -9.5
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
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Red Dog Sports
NHL
3* #33 Vegas Golden Knights -120
Root
Millionaire Jets
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Paul Leiner
2500* Jets +9.5
100* Under 21.5 Jets/Pats 1H
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Top Rank Sports
Marquee Picks For 10/21/19
4★ New England/N.Y. Jets UNDER 43.5 (NFL)
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Miller locks
8:15 pm est nfl
new england patriots vs. New york jets
pick: New york jets +10 (-109)
risk: 11 units
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Prediction Computer
NFL PREDICTIONS
ATS STRAIGHT PLAYS
JETS 3* 61%
OVER/UNDERS
OVER PATRIOTS/JETS 3* 87%
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+EV: NHL 3u: 033 Vegas Golden Knights -102 (Monday, October 21st
+EV: NHL 2u: 036 Toronto Maple Leafs -170 (Monday, October 21st)
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Sterling
25 NYJ
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Marco D’Angelo
5% Phi Flyers (NHL)
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Executive
200% Jets under 43
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FlexBets
Pats/Jets under 7.5 1Q
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DR. CHUCK FOOTBALL PLAYS
Game: (475) New England Patriots at (476) New York Jets
Date/Time: Oct 21 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Total Under 21.5 (-110)
View Analysis
3 TDs sure feels like an awful lot in this battle of hated rivals for the first half AND we would still win if it does go this high...
Gregg Williams is cutthroat and this Pats defense is the best in a looong time...and that's an organization with a half dozen rings and a great defensive pedigree...
tough sledding for each team early tonight and this isn't Foxboro
13-3 Pats and an INT each....hoping the gambling gods pay us back for all the defensive scoring for an Over last Pats game!
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DR. CHUCK
HOCKEY PLAYS
Game: (35) Columbus Blue Jackets at (36) Toronto Maple Leafs
Date/Time: Oct 21 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (+127)
View Analysis
Frederik Andersen gets another start in goal where he sits with a 6-2-2 record against the Blue Jackets and has won 3 starts in a row, following a rough start to the season he has rounded into form. The Jackets are on the road this time agains the team who they opened the season at home against losing 4-1 in Columbus. The Jackets since Wednesday have played home, road, home, and road tonight...traveling after each contest for the past 3 and the last 2 were losses in OT....against the Islanders and Blackhawks, a couple of teams with nowhere near the firepower of the Leafs at home tonight.
Andersen should only continue to get better tonight against a fatigued Blue Jackets squad traveling all over and now facing the toughest opponent they have during this stretch. The value on this spread play is excellent and while I'd prefer the ML here tonight...at nearly -200 it is a bummer of a value
Game: (35) Columbus Blue Jackets at (36) Toronto Maple Leafs
Date/Time: Oct 21 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Toronto Maple Leafs -189
View Analysis
Andersen is the key here...but also at home and the BJs have been traveling constantly since last Wednesday's game and are much more fatigued...Andersen keeps getting better and is ready to shut them down...after the Leafs already beat the Jackets in their house on opening night.
Game: (37) Colorado Avalanche at (38) St. Louis Blues
Date/Time: Oct 21 2019 8:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Colorado Avalanche +125
View Analysis
The Avs continue to be the only team without a crooked number in the loss column and appear as legit as they come by this point in the young season. Grubauer has looked excellent and has matched Binnington's 6 starts but allowed 9 goals to JB's 12 goals thus far. Grubauer is 4 times better so far with regard to dSV% and GSAA, analytics we use mostly to evaluate the goaltenders, and also the 2 goalies in the crease tonight. This line really makes little sense and likely getting a team 7-0-1 at a dog price is more reflective of the fact they are visiting the reigning champs than anything to do with how the season has gone so far. Colorado has a goal differential of +10 and a PDO of 106.19, good for best in the NHL in both categories. The Blues have struggled immensely recently after winning 3 of the first 4 games in the title defense campaign, they are winless in the last 4 games including the last 2 games at home, getting outscored 9-5 in the 2 games in St. Louis and losing to teams in the Canucks and Habs, nowhere near as stellar a start to the season as Colorado.
I really think Grubauer shouldn't have that difficult of a time shutting down the meager looking Blues offense, and it likely the best goalie going at the moment, while Binnington will have a hard time with Burakovsky, Rantanen, and MacKinnon just to name a few in a very large Avalanche of attack.
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CleInsiderSports
NFL
Pass
NHL
Stars ML (-230)
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Seabass : 300 Toronto maple leaps game over , 400 stl blues , no limit patriots game under the total
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Northcoast
2* under 43’
marquee - NYJ +10
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Nfac $900 New York Jets +10
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VegasGuysVIP
Pats -6 1st half
Risking $4888
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