Monday 10/28/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
Larry Hartstein
MIAMI +14.5
MIAMI @ PITTSBURGH | 10/28 | 8:15 PM EDT
TUE 10/22
The Dolphins have covered two straight behind Ryan Fitzpatrick, and this Steelers' offense is anything but explosive. Pittsburgh is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games off a bye. Grab the points
28-14 IN LAST 42 NFL ATS PICKS | +1238
5-1 IN LAST 6 MIA ATS PICKS | +386
3-1 IN LAST 4 PIT ATS PICKS | +189
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Virgobbi Sports
10/28
MIA +14 (-104)
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Pointwise phones
2-miami
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PPP/ Joe Gavazzi
Monday, Oct 28th
4% Miami (+14-) 8:15 PM ET
4% UNDER 44 Pittsburgh
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Top Rank Sports Picks ( part of ISR/Elite/NSS/PrimeTime group )
( since I bought the service on Friday they have gone 3-3 )
Marquee Picks® For 10/28/19
5★ Cleveland +15 over Milwaukee (NBA)
3★ Miami/Pittsburgh OVER 43.5 (NFL)
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HUDDLE UP
Guaranteed High Roller Total
Oklahoma City/Houston over 225 NBA
Best Bet Totals:
Minnesota/Pittsburgh under 43'
Cleveland/Milwaukee over 222
Indiana/Detroit over 213'
Guaranteed Monday Night Lock of the Month:
Pittsburgh -14
Best Bets:
Miami/Pittsburgh under 43
Toronto -4'
Oklahoma City +10
Charlotte +15'
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Tom Stryker
28-1 ATS NFL NEARLY PERFECT MONDAY NIGHT BEST BET
Steelers
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Marc Lawrence
100% NFL Monday Night Monster Play!
Dolphins
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GREG SHAKER | NBA TOTAL MON, 10/28/19 - 10:35 PM
532 LAC / 531 CHL Over 226.0 Southpoint
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MTI
4.5-Star 76ers at Hawks OVER 224.5
4-Star Jazz at Suns UNDER 216
3-Star Warriors at Pelicans OVER 235
3-Star Nuggets at Kings UNDER 219
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Brandon Lang
50 dimes - Pittsburgh Steelers -14
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Paul Leiner
1500*. over 43 Fins/steelers
100*. NBA OVER 2181/2. KINGS/NUGGETS
100*NBA KNICKS +1
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CleInsiderSports
NFL (Season 37-22)
PASS
NBA (Season 3-5)
Cavs +15
NHL (Season 13-17)
Canucks ML (-135)
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DR. CHUCK
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (513) Chicago Bulls at (514) New York Knicks
Date/Time: Oct 28 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Chicago Bulls -1.0 (-110)
View Analysis
ANALYSIS TO COME....
Porter is back tonight, Carter is healthy, and Lavine should carve these boys up big time as the Bulls under Boylan don't lose a game like this...even on the road...while the hapless Knicks started 0-3 and then get hung as a pickem to short favorite.....HAHAH
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nbaselection
Detroit Pistons
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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
5* Nuggets
3* Dolphins/Steelers UNDER
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ELITE SPORTS PICKS
Jazz
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NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
4* Cavs
3* Dolphins
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Primetime Sports Picks For 10/28/19
4 Unit --> Denver -6 over Sacramento (NBA)
3 Unit --> Orlando +5 over Toronto (NBA)
3 Unit --> Miami +14 over Pittsburgh (NFL)
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Sports Betting Champ NBA System
Charlotte + the 3 points
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MTI
4.5-Star 76ers at Hawks OVER 224.5
4-Star Jazz at Suns UNDER 216
3-Star Warriors at Pelicans OVER 235
3-Star Nuggets at Kings UNDER 219
4-Star Miami at Pittsburgh UNDER 43.5 The Dolphins are off their best offensive performance of the season against the Bills last week, but they still came up short. Miami had 24 first downs while holding the Bills to 17, but lost 31-21 in Buffalo. This qualifies them for a nice league-wide, multi-season system. TD-plus dogs on grass that are allowed more than 15 first downs per game are 0-24 OU (-9.71 ppg) when they are off a game as a road dog in which they had less than 36 minutes of possession time and more first downs than points. The SDQL text is:
line>=7 and surface=grass and p:AD and p:TOP/60 =20141228
It is also worth mentioning that underdogs by more than a TD on grass that are off a double-digit loss as a dog and are averaging less than four yards per rush are 0-18 OU.
line>7 and surface=grass and p and p:margin<=-10 and tS(RY) / tS(rushes)=20141116
This cashed yesterday, as the Bengals qualified in their game against the Rams.
Miamis defense played well against the Bills and this is reason for confidence here, The Dolphins are 0-8 OU (-10.06 ppg) as a dog on grass off a loss in which they allowed at least 100 fewer yards of offense than their season-to-date average.
Ever since Mike Tomlin took over as the head coach of the Steeler, they have played conservatively as a big favorite vs a team that does not force a lot of turnovers. Since the start of the 2007 NFL season, Tomlins first as the Steelers head coach, Pittsburgh is 0-23 OU as a favorite of more than six points vs a team that has forced a average of fewer than 1.22 turnovers per game season-to-date. See for yourself by running this SDQL text:
coach = Mike Tomlin and line<-6 and oA(o:TO)= 2007
Finally, it is worth mentioning that the Steelers are 0-8 OU (-11.62 ppg) as a favorite over a non-divisional opponent on Monday night when they are off a win and 0-10 OU when they are off a win ans they are facing a non-divisional opponent that has averaged fewer than 5.75 rushing first downs per game. The SDQL for the second of this pair is:
team=Steelers and NDIV and p:W and oA(RFD)=20160000
MTis FORECAST: STEELERS 20 Dolphins 16
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Millers locks
7:05 pm est nba
indiana pacers vs. Detroit pistons
pick: Indiana pacers -1.5 (-105)
risk: 11 units
8:05 pm est nba
cleveland cavaliers vs. Milwaukee bucks
pick: Milwaukee bucks -15 (-112)
risk: 11 units
8:15 pm est nfl
miami dolphins vs. Pittsburgh steelers
pick: Under 43 (+107)
risk: 11 units
10:05 pm est nba
utah jazz vs. Phoenix suns
pick: Phoenix suns +4.5 (+102)
risk: 11 units
10:35 pm est nba
charlotte hornets vs. Los angeles clippers
pick: Los angeles clippers -15.5 (-104)
risk: 11 units
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Fezzik | NFL Side - Monday, Oct 28 2019 8:15PM
277 MIA 14.0(-110) Westgate vs 278 PIT double-dime bet
Analysis:
MNF:
1. LIKE Mia +14
Mia is playing Much Better with Ryan Fitzpatrick
He struggled in September
But he has been an above average QB in October
QBR 59 vs. Wash
QBR 82 Vs. Buff
(Mia won the stats with him last week)
And I expect Pitt will be ultra conservative with Rudolph returning
His 1st game back since the Balt Game concussion (10/6)
Remember Pitt, has not scored more than 27 points ALL YEAR LONG!
I like MIA I bet MIA
Prop Lean: James Connor UNDER 70 rush yards.
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Dave Aquino
Oct28 - NBA: San Antonio -6
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DR. CHUCK
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (513) Chicago Bulls at (514) New York Knicks
Date/Time: Oct 28 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Chicago Bulls -1.0 (-110)
View Analysis
ANALYSIS TO COME....
Porter is back tonight, Carter is healthy, and Lavine should carve these boys up big time as the Bulls under Boylan don't lose a game like this...even on the road...while the hapless Knicks started 0-3 and then get hung as a pickem to short favorite.....HAHAH
HOCKEY PLAYS
Game: (67) Florida Panthers at (68) Vancouver Canucks
Date/Time: Oct 28 2019 10:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Vancouver Canucks -128
View Analysis
I call this a bargain...the best I ever had...as I like to channel The Who and Pete and Keith and John and Roger regularly haha....but the Canucks are on 2 days rest last playing a barnburner game we had the Over when the Caps visited and Vancouver lost for the first time at home on the season. They haven't had to travel since and the Panthers are on a road back to back after dusting up the Oilers in Edmonton 6-2 last night.
in net for the Canucks tonight is Demko and he has been even more impressive than Markstrom this season despite definitely getting the backup starts. He is 2-1 on the season and has allowed just a total of 4 goals in the 3 games in the crease. His dSV% is 2.18 and his GSAA is 1.31 with the difference between his saves and expected saves being top 5 for all goalies in the league.
For the Panthers I expect Montembeault to be in goal as Bob was last night and this being the second leg of a back to back it is most likely to be split. Either way I like the matchup with Demko stopping most all low and medium danger chances of opponents period in his 3 starts...only succumbing to high danger chances where Florida really lacks...despite 40 goals scored on the season (38 against) they are in the bottom 5 in creating high danger chances but also allow a bottom 5 amount of chances...add to this the no rest opponent rest and travel factor and we get the most valuable line on the card tonight.
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+EV: NHL 2u: 066 Buffalo Sabres -116 (Monday, October 28th)
+EV: NBA 4u: 520 GSW/NOP un236 -105 (Monday, October 28th)
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
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Hot Shot Sports
NBA
5* #527 Utah -4
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Vegas Beard
Game of the Decade 9 Unit
UNDER 43.5 Dolphins/Steelers
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Bob Balfe
NFL
8:15 PM EST
Rotation #277-278
Dolphins/Steelers Over 43.5
We all know the bad news about the Dolphins. Let’s focus on some good. This offensive line played really well last week against a good Buffalo Defense. It’s hard to believe, but this starting combo is getting a little bit better. The Steelers are without Stephon Tuitt for the remainder of the year on defense. Ryan Fitzpatrick is a talented enough QB to take shots down the field and he will also turn the ball over for points. On the Steelers side we are talking about one of the best offensive lines in football. Should the Steelers be 14 point favorites with a young QB with only a few starts coming off a brutal injury three weeks ago that caused a major concussion? The good news for Mason Rudolph is this Dolphins Defense is brutal. This is a perfect team to get him back in the flow of things. I think Miami can hang around a little bit in this game. The Steelers are coming off a bye, but might take a while to crank things back up treating the Dolphins almost as another bye week. Miami is not the same team that got blown out the first few weeks of the season. This offense is a little bit better with Fitzpatrick, but it also comes with more of a turnover risk. Fitzpatrick always has that one prime time game each year where he looks like a pro ball player. I think both teams put up points tonight before the Steelers pull away. Take the Over.
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Seabass : 300 pacers , 400 bulls , 600 coyotes , 300 dolphins
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The "R" Factor Sacremento Kings
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Executive Sportsline football
Mon, Oct 28
8:15
NFL
200%
Pittsburgh -14
over Miami
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Jack Brayman
8th Ever
200 DIME
Double Your Wager
NFL Release since my Site Debut
Miami
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Worlds Worst Picker NBA
His picks
Bulls
Philly
We take
Knicks
Atlanta
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ANDREW MCINNIS
Game: (513) Chicago Bulls at (514) New York Knicks
Date/Time: Oct 28 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Under 223.5 (-108)
View Analysis
The match-up we've all been waiting for... not. This game stinks. The Knicks have lost their first 3 games and the Bulls are 1-2 coming off an absolute beatdown in Toronto Saturday night. These teams cannot score. The total has gone under in the last two Knicks games and has also gone under in the last two Bulls games. The Bulls cannot shoot and are shooting a disgusting 18% from three so far and the Knicks arent much better. I look at this Knicks teams and I hardly see shooting anywhere. Who's going to knock down all the 3's? Alonzo trier? Marcus morris? Kevin Knox? Give me a break, both of these teams could use ME on the perimeter right now. Fun stat: This matchup has not gone over 220 points in the last 31 matchups. How crazy is that. That is why we are rolling with the under in this game with supreme confidence. This game is a bunch of young guys trying to find their footing in the NBA, its practically a college basketball season preview. Two terrible teams who are still trying to figure out an offense with their new pieces. I love unders early in the season as Defense is something implemented quickly in the season and you either have it or you dont. It takes time for offenses to figure out who they are and get going. Sit down, kick back, and enjoy this terrible game. TAKE THE UNDER
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