Saturday 10/26/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
+EV: CFB 4u: 207 Notre Dame Fighting Irish +1.5 -110 (Saturday, October 26th)
+EV: CFB 4u: 144 Wyoming Cowboys -13.5 -105 (Saturday, October 26th)
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Barrett Sallee
PENN ST. -6.5
PENN ST. @ MICHIGAN ST. | 10/26 | 3:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:22 PM
The world got a glimpse of the Sean Clifford-to-K.J. Hamler connection last week, and running back Noah Cain has provided much-needed balance to the Penn State offense. Michigan State is known for defense but has given up 28.3 points per game to Big Ten opponents. This game will get sideways in the second half and James Franklin's crew will easily cover.
22-12-2 IN LAST 36 CFB PICKS | +879
3-0 IN LAST 3 MICHST ATS PICKS | +300
3-0 IN LAST 3 PSU ATS PICKS | +300
NOTRE DAME +1
NOTRE DAME @ MICHIGAN | 10/26 | 7:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:16 PM
The Fighting Irish have averaged 7.42 yards per play in October and have had two weeks to prepare for a reeling Wolverines team that struggles to move the ball consistently and has ball security issues. The Fighting Irish are tied for 13th in the nation in takeaways with 14, and Michigan has given away the ball 14 times -- tied for 109th in the nation. Ian Book will play smart while Shea Patterson will continue his erratic play. Notre Dame will win outright, but take the points if you want.
22-12-2 IN LAST 36 CFB PICKS | +879
2-1 IN LAST 3 MICH ATS PICKS | +86
3-2 IN LAST 5 ND ATS PICKS | +78
TEXAS -1
TEXAS @ TCU | 10/26 | 3:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:14 PM
The Longhorns defense has been historically bad this year, but it's not like the Horned Frogs have been lighting it up on offense in October (347.5 yards per game). The Oklahoma loss is the only game this season in which the Texas offense gained fewer than 427 yards on offense. Which team do you trust more in a shootout, Texas or TCU? Hook 'em.
22-12-2 IN LAST 36 CFB PICKS | +879
3-0 IN LAST 3 TCU ATS PICKS | +300
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+EV: CFB 4u: 141 California Golden Bears +21.5 -108 (Saturday, October 26th)
+EV: CFB 4u: 135 Syracuse Orange +10.5 -108 (Saturday, October 26th)
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Ralph Michael's
4% Nevada +14
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LV Wolf
rice +10
rutgers +7.5
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Sharp Totals Club (7-1 on 3* Totals for Season)
3* TOM Liberty/Rutgers Under 45.5
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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 26 2019 7:30PM
208 Michigan 1.0(-110) William Hill vs 207 Notre Dame triple-dime bet
Analysis: Jim Harbaugh is 0-4 SU vs Michigan St and Ohio St at home but is 28-0 SU vs everyone else. The Wolverines were really impressive last week at Penn St (much to our dismay) as down 21-0 early, they rallied and almost forced OT. Even though they lost, we think they should come away confident from that performance. To us the match-ups favor the home team. In order to beat Michigan’s defense, you need to be able to beat their press man coverage. Penn St had an elite speed guy in WR KJ Hamler last week, Ohio St had multiple guys last year. ND simply doesn’t have that kind of play-maker at RB or WR this year. Also, on the other side, ND’s defense really struggled vs USC’s WR’s in their last game and now face another talented WR corps. Michigan at home vs Notre Dame is on a 7-1 SU run with an average win by 12.4 ppg. The only negative here is that Notre Dame is off a bye. Still, at “+1” we have the right side in our opinion. Remember, UM was laying 3 in South Bend last year (meaning they would’ve been around -9 or -10 at home). Have these teams changed 10-plus points since then? We don’t think so.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 26 2019 3:30PM
162 Michigan St. 6.5(-110) Westgate vs 161 Penn St. single-dime bet
Analysis: A great situational spot for Michigan St here as they are off a bye taking on a Penn St team off a dramatic, “White Out” win over Michigan and a physical game vs Iowa the week before (both prime-time ABC games). Penn St was handled in the final 40 minutes of Michigan game after taking a 21-0 lead in the 2Q. We feel Penn St is a little overrated as they are 2-0 SU the last two weeks but were -134 yards vs Michigan and -62 yards vs Iowa. Michigan St is 5-1 SU/ATS vs Penn State as of late with an average cover by 8.5 ppg! Also note that Michigan St has caught Penn St off big games vs Ohio St the last 2 years and pulled outright upsets.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 26 2019 7:30PM
209 Arizona St. -3.5(-110) Westgate vs 210 UCLA double-dime bet
Analysis: We’ll back the Sun Devils off the worst loss of the Herm Edwards tenure last week. The Utes ended Arizona State’s modern-era record streak of 125 games with more than 10 points. The last time the Sun Devils were held under double-digits was a 28-0 loss to Southern California in 2008. On the other side, UCLA took advantage of a Stanford team that announced they would be starting their 3rd string QB less than 24 hours before the game. UCLA dominated with 20-11 first down and 455-198 yard edges including 263-55 on the ground. However, the Bruins are still No. 112 in yards per play differential while Arizona St is No. 47. Keep in mind, two of UCLA’s best performances this season came vs back-up QB’s.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 26 2019 12:00PM
110 Purdue -9.5(-110) Westgate vs 109 Illinois double-dime bet
Analysis: We like Purdue here as they’ve clearly turned the corner in the last couple of games (despite all the injuries). First, they crushed Maryland 40-14 as 4-point dogs and then last week nearly upset Iowa as 17.5-point dogs (only lost by 6 and only out-gained by 2). Purdue QB Jack Plummer was 30 of 50 for 327 yards and 2 TD’s. Frosh WR David Bell had a career-high 13 catches for 197 yards. On the other side, we’re fading Illinois off the biggest upset of 2019 so far (won outright as 30.5-point dogs vs Wisconsin). But we’re actually fading a team that has had four misleading finals in a row. First, the Illini lost by only 4 to Nebraska despite getting out-gained by 375 yards (were +3 TO’s). Then Illinois lost by 23 to Minnesota but both of Illinois’ TD’s were defensive scores. Two weeks ago, Illinois trailed Michigan 28-0 before the Wolverines fell asleep and then last week Illinois had a 2% win probability late in the game, but managed the big upset.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 26 2019 10:30PM
153 Washington St. 14.0(-110) Westgate vs 154 Oregon single-dime bet
Analysis: Washington St is 9-0 ATS vs Oregon this decade with an average cover of 16.3 ppg. Both teams come in off wins. Note that Washington St head coach Mike Leach said after last week’s game vs Colorado, “I think we are emerging defensively. We simplified some things but we are still kind of coming together there a little bit, honestly. I think the defense has some of its best football ahead of us.” Meanwhile, that vaunted Ducks’ defense that allowed four touchdowns all season gave up three in the first half to Washington and the Ducks were extremely fortunate to come back and win that game. Oregon has USC on deck and have a commanding lead in the Pac-12 North so they could be a little lax here.
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Doug Upstone
7 unit Ball st -2.5
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GREG SHAKER | CFB SIDE SAT, 10/26/19 - 3:30 PM
203 Auburn 11.5 (-110) Southpoint vs 204 LSU
double-dime bet
Analysis:
‰This number is too high for what history tells us about this game. Let's not forget that Auburn has the #20 Defense in the land. Lean Under here but love these points. Last 3 games have been decided by 1, 4, and 5.
Pick Made: Oct 22 2019 7:17AM PST
GREG SHAKER | CFB SIDE SAT, 10/26/19 - 3:30 PM
162 Michigan St. 7.0 (-110) BetOnline vs 161 Penn St.
double-dime bet
Analysis:
You may have to buy to 7 but this is a 2* Play at 4.5 or better. Great spot for the Spartans as they catch PSU‰ off the Michigan win and are off the bye. Other reasons as well..
Pick Made: Oct 22 2019 9:17AM PST
GREG SHAKER | CFB SIDE SAT, 10/26/19 - 2:30 PM
149 W. Kentucky 5.5 (-110) Pinnacle vs 150 Marshall
double-dime bet
Analysis:
Quick and easy here. We simply don't understand this number and perhaps it is all about re†putation. The Hilltoppers are the better team..Let's Play..
Pick Made: Oct 23 2019 2:38PM PST
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GREG SHAKER | CFB TOTAL SAT, 10/26/19 - 7:30 PM
156 Fresno St. / 155 Colorado St. Over 55.0 Southpoint
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
This number has actually dropped of the open of 59 and the reason is pretty simple. There are a lot of Under Trends for this game between these two teams Head to Head and there are some other Under Trends as well that don't amount to a hill of beans. There are a number of reasons why we love the OVER and most of those we don't discuss as doing so would diminish the edge that we have established at the books. We do have a CSU Team that possesses HIGH PACE. In fact they are ranked #35 overall in Most Offensive Plays this season. They also have a very strong offensive squad at #23 Total Offensive Yards in the country. They do NOT have a favorable defense though and Fresno is likely to score a ton. In fact the Bulldogs are 14.5 point favorites at this writing and I promise you it is not because of their #58 Ranked D. All 3 Models love this play, we do too and we would play far beyond the current number for 3*. Get your best number and let's Play..
Greg Shaker's 3* NFL Max Bet is Ready to Go!
Pick Made: Oct 24 2019 6:01AM PST
GREG SHAKER | CFB TOTAL SAT, 10/26/19 - 7:00 PM
196 Kansas / 195 Texas Tech Under 65.0 Bookmaker
dime bet
Analysis:
€1* Play at your best number..
Pick Made: Oct 24 2019 6:02AM PST
GREG SHAKER | CFB TOTAL SAT, 10/26/19 - 7:30 PM
208 Michigan / 207 Notre Dame Under 52.0 Westgate
double-dime bet
Analysis:
Both teams top 30 Defenses, Michigan comes in at #10. History of UNDERS in this series, other factors including all 3 Models agreeing with us. We have waited for this number to go up and I think it is time to play now. Sometimes I am wrong about that but not often. Get your best number..
Pick Made: Oct 24 2019 6:06AM PST
GREG SHAKER | CFB SIDE SAT, 10/26/19 - 7:30 PM
208 Michigan 1.0 (-110) Southpoint vs 207 Notre Dame
double-dime bet
Analysis:
Better team right NOW, better spot with the offenses finally clicking. Defense will win this game IMO and we have the best one. Home team in this series has been money..
Pick Made: Oct 24 2019 6:07AM PST
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Ultra Sports
CFB:
162 Michigan St +6
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Essler 3* GOM - Iowa St
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Jeff Ma
UCLA
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+EV: CFB 4u: 200 Ohio State Buckeyes -14 -105 (Saturday, October 26th)
+EV: CFB 4u: 187 Texas Longhorns PK -105 (Saturday, October 26th)
+EV: CFB 4u: 112 Army Black Knights -10 -105 (Saturday, October 26th)
+EV: CFB 4u: 130 Buffalo Bulls -2.5 -120 (Buy 1/2 Point) (Saturday, October 26th)
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lv wolf
rutgers +7.5
Utah st +3.5
nm +10
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Marc lawrence
mich st
duke
temple
tcu
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Gold sheet
virginia
san diego st
western kentucky
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Joe nelson aka nelly's
pitt
ok st
midd tenn
temple
wash st
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Rob Veno
Saturday Maximum Edge Best Bet
4% Texas Tech-Kansas over 62
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Tom Stryker
82-33 ATS NCAA ELITE SYSTEM PLAY OF THE WEEK
Miami Hurricane
22-6 ATS & 17-5 ATS NCAA ULTIMATE DATABASE WAGER
Florida State
35-13 ATS & 13-1 ATS NCAA MONEY-MAKER OF THE MONTH
Michigan State
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Brad Powers:
Florida Int/MTS Under 58 - Double Dime
ND/ Michigan Under 51 - Single Dime
Illinois/Purdue Under 57.5 Sindle Dime
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FEZZIK | CFB SIDE SAT, 10/26/19 - 3:30 PM
163 Miami (Ohio) 2.5 (-110) Southpoint vs 164 Kent St.
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
ÖLOVE this play. Wrong team favored
Pick Made: Oct 23 2019 12:08AM PST
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Top Rank Sports
Marquee Picks® For 10/26/19
4★ Nebraska -2.5 over Indiana (NCAAF)
3★ Tulane +3.5 over Navy (NCAAF)
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Goodfella
3* Wash St/Oregon Over 64
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Maddux
10* San Jose State +10
10* Iowa State -9.5
10* Illinois +10
10* Illinois/Purdue under 60
10* Texas/TCU over 56
10* TCU +1.5
10* Miami FL +6
10* Virginia/Louisville under 55
10* Miami OH/Kent State under 58
10* Central Michigan +3
10* Nevada +14
10* Tulane/Navy over 54
10* North Texas -4
10* Texas Tech/Kansas over 60.5
10* Notre Dame/Michigan under 51.5
10* Florida International/Middle Tennessee over 58
10* Florida International/Middle Tennessee under 59.5
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Marc Lawrence Late phone club CFB
He is 3-3 ATS this year on this service.
CFB - 5* Game 162 - Michigan State (+5.5) - Top Game Play
CFB - 4* Game 188 - TCU (+1) - Top Game Play
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football Jesus SAT MICH STATE +pts
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Gold sheet
ADDED
WISCONSIN
MICHIGAN
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Bear's bank
Tcu +1'
indiana +2'
utah - 20'
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Lee Sterling
30 army, Stan
25 Fla St, TX, Cocks
20 Rutg
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Nelly
Pittsburgh
Oklahoma State
Middle Tennessee State
Temple
Washington State
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Mike Missanelli
Purdue
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PayDay Plays (NCAA 3-5 Fade Alert)
GOM Miami FL +4.5
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Branndon Lang
150 DIME Ohio st -14
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allan desrosiers
10 nevada
7 texas
7 miami ohio
7 n car
7 teaser purdue / pitt
7 teaser mich st / iowa st
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PPP Gavazzi's Plays
CFB
22-12 ATS - NFL + CFB Current Run since October 13th
Saturday, Oct 26th
#113 3% Troy (+2) 7:00 PM ET
#115 4% Boston College (+34-) 7:30 PM ET
#124 3% Temple (+11) 7:00 PM ET
#129 5% Central Michigan (+3) 3:30 PM ET
#153 3% Washington State (+14-) 10:30 PM ET
#159 4% Duke (+3-) 4:00 PM ET
#162 4% Michigan State (+6) 3:30 PM ET
#169 4% Oklahoma State (+10-) 3:30 PM ET
#176 5% Ball State (-2-) 2:00 PM ET
#179 4% South Carolina (-4-) 4:00 PM ET
#199 3% Wisconsin (+14-) Noon ET
#203 3% Auburn (+11) 3:30 PM ET
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Root
Mill- Tennesse
No limit- UCLA
Perfect Play- Michigan
Inner Circle- TCU
Pinnacle- Mich st
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Rocketman
8* GOW California Golden Bears
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BEZOBETS
3u Michigan St. +6
3u Ohio St. -14
2u W. Kentucky +5
2u Rice +10
2u LSU/Auburn under 59
2u Minn./Maryland over 58
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Carolina Sports
GOY Tulsa Golden Hurricanes
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Sports Dimensions
Top 10* total play Wisconsin under
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Mr. Pockets
5* Houston over MLB
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Nfac
SATURDAY 10-26-19 =
UFC : ASHLEY YODER +150...($600) via Bet365
UFC : LOMA LOOKBOONMEE -120...($600) via Pinnacle
UFC : MICHAEL JOHNSON -250...($600) via Pinnacle
UFC : CAMACHO-DARIUSH = Not Go Distance (-195)...($600)
BELLATOR : DOUGLAS LIMA -165...($600) via Pinnacle
UFC : DAMIAN MAIA +150...($500) via 5dimes
159) DUKE +3.5...($750) via Bookmaker
162) MICHIGAN ST +6...($750) via Westgate (Bovada at 6.5)
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PayDay Plays
GOM Miami FL +4.5
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Maddux
Adding:
10* Hawaii/New Mexico over 70.5
10* North Texas/Charlotte over 63.5
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+EV: NBA 4u: 565 Washington Wizards +11.5 -105 (Saturday, October 26th)
+EV: NBA 4u: 570 Phoenix Suns +9 -105 (Saturday, October 26th)
+EV: NBA 4u: 555 Boston Celtics -5 -105 (Saturday, October 26th)
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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole
DOUBLE PLAYS:
Virginia -3.5
Duke +3.5
SINGLE PLAYS:
Troy +1
Boston College +34
Tulsa +10.5
Temple +11
Central Michigan +2.5
Utah -21.5
Western Kentucky +5
Washington state +14
Michigan State +6.5
Kansas State +24
Tulane +3.5
Miami +5.5
Wisconsin +14.5
Auburn +10.5
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Pointwise phones
4-western kentucky,san diego st
3-duke, san jose st, oregon, troy
2-temple, memphis, navy, boston college
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DR. CHUCK
Game: (171) FLORIDA INTL at (172) MIDDLE TENN ST
Date/Time: Oct 26 2019 3:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: FLORIDA INTL -2.0 (-109)
View Analysis
Not quite sure at all how this line came to be what it is...and if this was a higher profile game I'd certainly be scared to death the line just absolutely reeks! As it stands we have a couple of teams trending in different directions, but neither of which the public has much of a pulse on at this point in the season...so starting this off hanging a fairly bland 1.5 or so for a home dog isn't really all that crazy. The fact it is currently ramping up and MTSU is getting more points with each passing minute is also equally unsurprising in my opinion.
Several underlying factors make this play worthy of a very solid 5% (or more) play, similarly to the Navy/Tulsa matchup a few weeks back that was our last 5% TOP play of the season.
FIU did not have a very solid start to the season and MTSU played a bevy of tough Power 5 schools which likely plays a part in the line we're able to take advantage of today. FIU started 0-4 ATS and didn't even cover the smallish spread against FCS New Hampshire which was the Panthers only win in 4 games to open 2019. MTSU battled hard against Harbaugh's overrated UM team and got manhandled by Duke and Iowa losing by a combined 89-21 score, but the teams were on their schedule...during that same period FIU played on the road at Tulane and at La Tech, nothing even close to even the caliber of Duke from the Raiders schedule. The schedule aspect is an excellent red herring and I think possibly one of the reasons this line is so off from the nearly 7 point spread I rate this matchup.
Brass tax:
FIU is fully healthy and has been playing MUCH more like the team I expected to open the season. Butch Davis, by no means, is a coach I find to be honorable or a guy I'd put my long term faith in, and is most likely to be run out of town after an eventual scandal or debacle of some sort, but in the here and now, he is likely going to provide a very solid advantage in the Conference USA facing most any other team in the conference...and this is starting to rear its head as the season moves along. Arkansas transfer Alexy Jean-Baptiste has become a more dominant force with each passing week and his emergence and the win streak is not a coincidence...as well as a 3 headed running attack always keeping fresh legs on the field and QB James Morgan being very careful with the ball doesn't get sacked or turn the ball over with a limited passing attack...but a very solid almost 8 yards per pass attempt on the season. In fact, discipline is someting the Panthers excel in, they are top 10 in the nation with regard to limiting giveaways with just 0.8 giveaways averaged per game on the season...and the 2nd best team in the country limiting penalties, only Rice commits fewer penalties than FIU's 3.7 per game in 2019.
Finally, on the FIU front...continuing to get better and better on the defensive pressure front and MTSU has allowed an average of being sacked 4 times per game at home this season...and the only real offense they have running or passing is the QB O'Hara who has close to 300 more rushing yards than the next closest teammate. FIU linebacker stud Sage Lewis missed the UTEP game but should be healthy enough to go in Murfreesboro on Saturday, and most likely will play QB spy when dual threat O'Hara attempts to tuck and run...further muddying the waters for any offense the Blue Raiders might be able to muster.
MTSU is 2-5 on the season and as we mentioned played a very difficult early season schedule and is 1-2 since that Power 5 stretch, but is bottom 15 nationally in points per game and points per play with just 18 ppg. They convert exactly 1 of 3 third down conversions, but allow on defense damn near 50% to opponents...both ranking near the bottom in the country on offense and allowing on defense. They allow over 500 yards of offense to opponents (almost half of which is on the groun), and facing a hardcore running triple attack in FIU who has been running for more on their own against teams allowing far fewer than 230 yards per game, could get ugly and fast....if FIU can get ANY defensive stops, it will certainly be hard for MTSU to keep up on the scoreboard. They regularly allow 5.3 yards per rush and FIU has rounded into shape rushing the ball for damn near 6 yards per attempt...as we said, across 3 different all capable RBs.
There are few bright spots on the MTSU offense or defense and numerous bright spots on both sides of the ball for the Panthers circa the team they've become in October. This line is stale and reeks of home field advantage, past matchups, and September schedule comparisons for a game I think could very very easily be double digits throughout. The Panthers are not prone to mistakes and run the ball efficiently...almost only by the grace of God and turnovers and fumbles and lucky plays would the Raiders need all of to coalesce to even be able to put up enough points to compete in either half...let alone under a FG for the entire 60 minutes!
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Bob Balfe
NCAA Football
12:00 PM EST
Rotation #121-122
Mississippi State/Texas A&M Over 50
Both defenses have one thing in common which is they are playing a lot of inexperienced players on defense. Texas A&M has a very balanced offense and should be able to score points at will today against a weak Bulldogs Defense.Mississippi State plays two QB’s.Garrett Shrader is very mobile and has a lot of weapons to throw the ball too.Mississippi State has owned this series over the last few years.I am not sure that will continue today, but I do think they will put points on the board. This is a game in which the Aggies will not take their foot off the gas if they get a lead.I think this spread is a little too high for a team that can’t stop the run.Early start time typically favors offenses right out of the gates.Take the Over.
NCAA Football
3:30 PM EST
Rotation #151-152
Arizona +1.5 over Stanford
UCLA gave the Arizona Wildcats the blueprint on how to beat Stanford. The Cardinal Offensive Line is a complete mess right now and I just don’t see this offense getting things going against and experienced Arizona Defense. Stanford has been going through the QB carousel which is never good this late in the season. Arizona should win this game just like UCLA did with superior athletes. This is the first time in years that the Cardinal have not been a huge powerhouse on defense. This team is smart and won’t beat themselves. Arizona is not smart and will make their mistakes, but has too much talent on the field to lose a game they desperately need to win and should win with all of the Stanford injuries on offense. Take Arizona.
NCAA Football
10:30 PM EST
Rotation #153-154
Washington State/Oregon Over 67.5
PAC 12 after dark tends to be arena football like with tons of scoring. Oregon is a powerhouse with one of the best QB’s in the nation and a rock solid offensive line. Washington State is light on defense so I expect Oregon to bully them all night. Justin Herbert should have no problem picking this team apart. The Cougars have a ton of receiving weapons that will find their way open against a defense that doesn’t have enough players on defense to match up. Both teams should move the ball at will. This should be a fast paced football game. Anthony Gordon doesn’t have a lot of experienced, but is a mature senior that should do enough to make this interesting. Take the Over
NCAA Football
4:00 PM EST
Rotation #159-160
Duke +3.5 over UNC
Duke has been hot and cold this year, but then again so have UNC. This was a year UNC was not supposed to make any noise, but they have taken really good teams to the wire. All the credit in the world goes to Mack Brown. I am concerned about their young offensive line.Sam Howell is a good young QB, but he will be even better next year with a more experienced line.Virginia Tech won a 5 overtime thriller last week and really gashed this team with the run.Quentin Harris is a duel threat Duke QB that can give them the same problems.David Cutliffe is an offensive minded coach that will test this young Tar Heel Secondary.Duke is experienced in their own secondary and should bait Howell into a few game changing turnovers.The wrong team is favored.Take Duke.
NCAA Football
12:00 PM EST
Rotation #181-182
Oklahoma/Kansas State Under 58.5
Oklahoma has really improved with their new look defense and Kansas State always plays rock solid defense. This is a new look Sooners Offensive Line that has beat up on some bad defenses this year.Jalen Hurts is spectacular, but I don’t think they are going to come into Manhattan and beat up on this experienced veteran defense.The Sooners will be without their tight end today as well.The Wildcats just don’t have the offense to hang with quality football teams.Kansas State plays a conservative style where they don’t take a ton of risk, but won’t beat themselves.I think this will be a lower scoring game then some might expect.Take the Under.
NCAA Football
3:30 PM EST
Rotation #187-188
TCU +1 over Texas
TCU/Texas Over 57
The Longhorns have a young and inexperienced defense. This is a secondary that has a ton of injuries as well.Bad Defense typically don’t travel well.TCU is also inexperienced on defense so I believe this is going to be a wild shootout.You saw Texas almost lose to a weaker Kansas team last week.TCU is going to score at will as well.Over four quarters I believe TCU will play more of a bend, but don’t break defense in certain spots.Texas has not been tested much in their 2 road games this year.It’s hard to trust poor defenses on the road. Take TCU and the Over.
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winning sports plays
J.R. Stevens
VIP PICKS (CFB - GAME OF THE YEAR)
[151] Duke +4/ML +140
Prediction: Duke 34 North Carolina 24
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Bondi
5* Texas Tech
4* Tulane
3* Purdue, Mich St
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Marco
4% Auburn
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GREAT LAKE SPORTS
5* GOM. LSU-10.5
4* Michigan +1
3*UCLA+3
BASEBALL
4*. HOUSTON -110
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Marco
4% Auburn
5% Nebraska
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Paul Leiner
2500* Memphis -10
100* Hawaii -9.5
100* Arizona State -3
100* Over 47 Buffalo/Central Mich
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
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Master Sports
NBA
4* #557/558 Orlando/Atlanta OVER 217.5
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Northcoast
4* Hawaii -9'
4* Temple +12
3* Texas -1
3* E. Michigan +3
3* C. Michigan +2'
3* Troy +15
Marquee WKU +4'
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Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
YESTERDAY 9:33 AM
OHIO ST. -14.5
WISCONSIN @ OHIO ST. | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
Wisconsin suffered a major letdown last week against Illinois. I believe the Badgers got caught looking ahead to this matchup against the Buckeyes. Unfortunately, you have to be careful what you wish for, because you just might get it. And that "it" is an Ohio State team that's firing on all cylinders on offense and defense.
62-34 IN LAST 96 CFB ATS PICKS | +2551
9-4-1 IN LAST 14 OHIOST ATS PICKS | +455
7-3-1 IN LAST 11 WISC ATS PICKS | +374
Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
THU 10/24
WISCONSIN +14.5
WISCONSIN @ OHIO ST. | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
One team boasts the nation’s top-ranked defense against the pas and the run, along with points allowed. And it is receiving two TDs. Ohio State’s defense is rated just behind’s Wisconsin for yards per game. All of which cries out for a modest final score, so it is better to receive (points) than to give here. The Badgers have covered in 14 of the past 19 away gigs. Though the offense is one-dimensional, ball control with RB Jonathan Taylor should keep UW within range.
11-3 IN LAST 14 CFB PICKS | +771
8-3 IN LAST 11 WISC ATS PICKS | +470
2-1 IN LAST 3 OHIOST ATS PICKS | +89
Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
THU 10/24
OHIO ST. -14.5
WISCONSIN @ OHIO ST. | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
Go ahead and look up and down these two rosters and find me the position group where Wisconsin is better than Ohio State. Some will say it's running back, but I disagree. At least I do this year. The Buckeyes are better than the Badgers everywhere you look, and are more likely to win this game by three touchdowns than by fewer than two.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB PICKS | +300
3-1 IN LAST 4 WISC ATS PICKS | +189
2-1 IN LAST 3 OHIOST ATS PICKS | +90
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Northcoast Totals
4'* Notre Dame under 50
4* Miami, FL under 43
3* Penn St under 43'
3* Texas Tech over 64'
Marquee Syracuse under 59
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Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
11:23 AM
KANSAS ST. +23.5
OKLAHOMA @ KANSAS ST. | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
It's going to be difficult for the high-powered Sooners to create the separation needed in order to cover this massive number. They can strike quickly, but the Wildcats will counter with time-chewing drives that limit the number of possessions for both teams. if Kansas State can manage a couple of defensive stops, it should cover this generous home spot.
32-19-2 IN LAST 53 CFB PICKS | +1090
3-0 IN LAST 3 OKLA ATS PICKS | +300
Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
YESTERDAY 3:48 PM
OVER 58.5
OKLAHOMA @ KANSAS ST. | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
The Sooners have the No. 1 scoring offense in the nation, averaging 50.4 points per game. Kansas State owns the Big 12’s top scoring defense, allowing just 18.7 points a game but hasn't seen an offense as diverse as the Sooners'. Oklahoma QB Jalen Hurts is doing damage with both his legs and arm and should be able to open it up against a weak Wildcats rush defense. Sooners receiver CeeDee Lamb is matchup nightmare and will test Kansas State's pass defense. Meanwhile the Wildcats offense is averaging 30.2 points per game. The Over has cashed in the last five meetings and in eight of the last 10. Take the Over.
10-4 IN LAST 14 CFB PICKS | +559
Barton Simmons
CHIEF OF PERSONNEL
YESTERDAY 10:25 AM
KANSAS ST. +23.5
OKLAHOMA @ KANSAS ST. | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
Oklahoma hasn’t seen a fullback all year. Kansas State is going to give it a hefty dose. The contrast in styles, the sleepy 11 a.m. kickoff in Manhattan and the physicality of this Kansas State team will offer up a different challenge for Oklahoma’s revitalized defense. Kansas State will cover the number and give the Oklahoma its toughest test to date.
22-13 IN LAST 35 CFB PICKS | +762
Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
YESTERDAY 9:27 AM
OKLAHOMA -23.5
OKLAHOMA @ KANSAS ST. | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
I like the direction Kansas State coach Chris Klieman has this program headed in. The Wildcats do a solid job, playing with great fundamentals and discipline. So, they'll be well coached. However, Oklahoma has far too many elite athletes across the board offensively, especially at quarterback, to be held in check for 60 minutes.
62-34 IN LAST 96 CFB ATS PICKS | +2551
7-0 IN LAST 7 KSTATE ATS PICKS | +700
2-1 IN LAST 3 OKLA ATS PICKS | +88
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Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
11:13 AM
ARMY -9.5
SAN JOSE ST. @ ARMY | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
The Black Knights have suffered a major letdown following their breakout 10-win season. They have now lost three straight to drop to 3-4 and need to take care of San Jose State in order to stay on track for bowl eligibility. The rebuilding Spartans came up just short against Nevada and San Diego State and it's hard to see them having the motivation to stick with another opponent against which they are physically overmatched.
32-19-2 IN LAST 53 CFB PICKS | +1090
Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
YESTERDAY 9:19 AM
ARMY -10
SAN JOSE ST. @ ARMY | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
While the Black Knights haven't enjoyed the success that was expected this season, the way they played against Michigan in Week 2 shows they are still a dangerous foe because of their offense. It's a good news/bad news situation for San Jose State. The good news is the Spartans have already played a triple-option team this year in Air Force. The bad news is their defense looked extremely lost out there trying to stop it.
62-34 IN LAST 96 CFB ATS PICKS | +2551
2-1 IN LAST 3 SJST ATS PICKS | +90
Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
TUE 10/22
ARMY -9
SAN JOSE ST. @ ARMY | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
Here is another case of a West Coast team unluckily drawing a noon kickoff in the Eastern time zone. Such a disadvantage. Army is committed to the ground offensively, which bodes well for the Black Knights against the 124th-ranked rush defense. The early start time and the mismatch with Army’s running attack override the ATS trends that favor San Jose State. It wasn’t long ago that the Black Knights pushed Michigan to the brink before bowing by three points.
11-3 IN LAST 14 CFB PICKS | +771
2-1 IN LAST 3 ARMY ATS PICKS | +90
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Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 2:13 PM
UNDER 63.5
BOWLING GREEN @ W. MICHIGAN | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
The total has barely budged as another number has gotten bigger -- the chances of rain. The Falcons average a microscopic 16.1 points per game. The Broncos’ figure is more than double, but they will be inclined to ease off after building a convincing lead and look forward to next week’s matchup against Ball State, unbeaten in their MAC division. Trends scream out for a lower score. The Falcons are on a 10-2 Under run, much like the Falcons’ four straight Unders at home.
11-3 IN LAST 14 CFB PICKS | +771
Michael Rusk
THE PRODIGY
YESTERDAY 12:17 PM
BOWLING GREEN +27.5
BOWLING GREEN @ W. MICHIGAN | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
This spread makes zero sense. In 2015 -- the last time Bowling Green played Western Michigan on the road -- the Falcons were a 3.5-point favorite and won by two touchdowns. Of course their program has dipped a bit, but Western Michigan is a middle-of-the-road MAC team. This line is an overreaction to how rough Bowling Green has started this season. Take the points in what should be a relatively close contest.
23-16 IN LAST 39 CFB PICKS | +525
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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
YESTERDAY 7:18 PM
UNDER 37
IOWA @ NORTHWESTERN | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
Iowa comes in with a stingy defense that allows only 11.6 ppg and 277 ypg which has helped six of its seven games stay Under the total. Northwestern, meanwhile, is only scoring 12 ppg this season and the Wildcats have played well defensively and have kept four of their six games Under the total. The last three meetings have been won by Northwestern, the last two by scores of 14-10 and 17-10. Take the Under.
5-3-1 IN LAST 9 CFB O/U PICKS | +165
Michael Rusk
THE PRODIGY
YESTERDAY 12:11 PM
OVER 37
IOWA @ NORTHWESTERN | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
This total is a bit too low for multiple reasons. So far this season both Iowa and Northwestern have combined to cash the Under in nine out of their 12 games. In the last 10 meetings between these two teams, Vegas has never set this total below 40, and dating to the start of last season both Northwestern and Iowa have not had a total set this low. Iowa is favored by almost 10 points. In games where the Hawkeyes have been favored this season they have averaged more than 31 points a game. Going by this metric, Northwestern only needs to score a touchdown for this game to head Over the total.
23-16 IN LAST 39 CFB PICKS | +525
Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
THU 10/24
NORTHWESTERN +10
IOWA @ NORTHWESTERN | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
The Wildcats were unable to slow down powerful Ohio State, but they have had no trouble slowing down Iowa's deliberate offense in recent meetings. Northwestern has won three straight in the series and held Iowa to exactly 10 points in each of the past two. In a tough-luck season that has featured one win, the Wildcats should have a shot at their second victory Saturday.
32-19-2 IN LAST 53 CFB PICKS | +1090
5-0 IN LAST 5 NWEST ATS PICKS | +500
7-3 IN LAST 10 IOWA ATS PICKS | +369
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Millerlocks
12:00 pm est ncaaf
iowa vs. Northwestern
pick: Iowa -9.5 (-109)
risk: 11 units
12:00 pm est ncaaf
miami florida vs. Pittsburgh u
pick: Pittsburgh u -4 (-108)
risk: 11 units
3:30 pm est ncaaf
auburn vs. Lsu
pick: Lsu -10.5 (-104)
risk: 11 units
3:30 pm est ncaaf
texas vs. Tcu
pick: Texas -1 (-100)
risk: 11 units
3:30 pm est ncaaf
penn state vs. Michigan state
pick: Penn state -4.5 (-113)
risk: 11 units
3:30 pm est ncaaf
connecticut vs. Massachusetts
pick: Massachusetts +9.5 (-113)
risk: 11 units
3:30 pm est ncaaf
indiana vs. Nebraska
pick: Nebraska -2.5 (-105)
risk: 11 units
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Primetime Sports Picks For 10/26/19
5 Unit --> Arizona St. -3 over U.C.L.A. (NCAAF)
3 Unit --> T.C.U. +1 over Texas (NCAAF)
3 Unit --> Charlotte +4 over North Texas (NCAAF)
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Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 9:32 PM
PURDUE -9.5
ILLINOIS @ PURDUE | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
This is just the ultimate play-against spot on an Illinois team coming off the biggest win in recent memory for the program with its massive upset of Wisconsin. This is a decent helping of points against a marginal Purdue team, but look for the Boilers to take advantage and get a much-needed win on their longshot quest to become bowl-eligible.
32-19-2 IN LAST 53 CFB PICKS | +1090
6-2 IN LAST 8 PURDUE ATS PICKS | +374
2-1 IN LAST 3 ILL ATS PICKS | +90
Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 2:05 PM
UNDER 57
ILLINOIS @ PURDUE | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
In normal weather conditions, Purdue has suffered in the absence of QB Elijah Sindelar (out) and All-America WR Rondale Moore (doubtful). Heavy rains could further impair the Boilermakers, who face a vulnerable defense but one that forces turnovers. Weather conditions could play into the Illini defense’s hands. Illinois did pull off a mega-upset of Wisconsin, but the offense accounted for a modest 315 yards.
11-3 IN LAST 14 CFB PICKS | +771
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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
4*ASU
3* Virginia
3* Tennessee
3*Michigan
__________________
ELITE SPORTS PICKS
Ball State
__________________
NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
5*Purdue
3*Nebraska
3*Washington State
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Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 9:19 PM
MIAMI (FLA.) +4.5
MIAMI (FLA.) @ PITTSBURGH | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
The bi-polar Hurricanes should be ready to play Saturday, if their recent history holds up. Their loss to lowly Georgia Tech was disastrous for their bowl hopes in their first year under Manny Diaz. There aren't many winnable games left on the schedule, but this is one of them. Pitt has won four straight and mostly looked solid in doing so, but I'm still not sold on the Panthers as a decent-size chalk in this spot.
32-19-2 IN LAST 53 CFB PICKS | +1090
8-3 IN LAST 11 PITT ATS PICKS | +462
5-2 IN LAST 7 MIAMI ATS PICKS | +272
Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
YESTERDAY 3:56 PM
PITTSBURGH -5
MIAMI (FLA.) @ PITTSBURGH | 10/26 | 12:00 PM EDT
The Canes are inconsistent and lack leadership on and off the field. Meanwhile the Panthers are playing excellent football, riding a four-game winning streak with a huge win already over UCF. They've been dominated in this series, but they are catching Miami at the right time. Pittsburgh leads the nation in sacks while the Canes allow the fourth most sacks in the nation. Miami is 0-2 on the road and just 2-12 ATS its last 14 October games, while Pitt is 9-1-1 ATS its last 11 games in October. Take the Panthers.
10-4 IN LAST 14 CFB PICKS | +559
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Seabass first report : 400 San Jose st , 700 Miami , 500 Purdue , 400 Nevada , 600 western Kentucky
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Ultra Sports 10/26
TCU
Michigan St
Auburn
Western Kentucky
Duke
Saskatchewan
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Platinum Sports Investing
Bet to WIN 1%
Miami +4.5
San Jose State +10
Nevada +14
LSU / Auburn - Over 58.5
Michigan State +5
Kansas +5
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Northcoast Troy +15 ???
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Lenny Stevens
20* NAVY
20* Mich St
10* Ohio St
10* Texas
10* Virg
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Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
11:20 AM
OHIO +2.5
OHIO @ BALL ST. | 10/26 | 2:00 PM EDT
The slow-starting Bobcats have been inconsistent, but still have a good chance to win a weak MAC East. In a potential title game preview, look for them to get the best of a Ball State club that is now a little overvalued in the market following its breakout start.
32-19-2 IN LAST 53 CFB PICKS | +1090
5-2 IN LAST 7 OHIO ATS PICKS | +279
Michael Rusk
THE PRODIGY
YESTERDAY 12:23 PM
OHIO +2.5
OHIO @ BALL ST. | 10/26 | 2:00 PM EDT
Ohio has covered only one of its seven games this season. The Bobcats are are amongst the bottom of the barrel in the eyes of Vegas. On the other hand Ball State has covered four out of its last five and is quite overvalued coming into the weekend. Ohio demolished Ball State exactly one year ago. The Bobcats were favored by 10 and won by 38. Ohio will win this game outright.
23-16 IN LAST 39 CFB PICKS | +525
Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
THU 10/24
UNDER 61.5
OHIO @ BALL ST. | 10/26 | 2:00 PM EDT
It's hard to read the MAC from week to week, but I have a suspicion that Ball State is the best team in the conference this season. Because of this, I expect Ohio is going to try and limit possessions to keep this game close on the road, which will depress scoring. As will the the wind howling through Scheumann Stadium.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB PICKS | +300
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Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 2:15 PM
UNDER 45
W. KENTUCKY @ MARSHALL | 10/26 | 2:30 PM EDT
Let’s start with Western Kentucky's 107th-ranked offense, a byproduct of the slow pace it has adopted, with fewer than 70 average snaps per game. That explains the Hilltoppers’ 4-0 Under streak and 13 Unders in the last 16 on the road. Marshall has thrived on Overs, but injuries on offense could compromise that status. A forecast of rain could put another lid on the scoring.
11-3 IN LAST 14 CFB PICKS | +771
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Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
THU 10/24
UNDER 43.5
NEVADA @ WYOMING | 10/26 | 2:00 PM EDT
It is going to be cold and windy in Laramie on Saturday. Current forecasts call for winds approaching 20mph, and that's going to have an impact on both of these offenses. Combine the weather with Wyoming's deliberate pace and love for running the ball, and I don't see many points being put on the scoreboard here.
3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB PICKS | +300
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Dave Aquino
Oct26 - NCAAF: Appalachian State -27.5 (more to come)
Oct26 - NCAAF (totals): San Jose State/Army over 54.5, Ohio/Ball State over 59.5, (more to come)
Oct26 - CFL: Hamilton -2.5, Saskatchewan -1.5, Hamilton/Montreal under 53.5, Saskatchewan/Edmonton under 47
Oct26 - NHL: Calgary, Colorado
Oct26 - NHL (totals): ducks/avalanche under 5.5
Oct26 - MLB: astros/nationals over 8.5
Oct26 - NBA: Orlando -2.5
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Executive Sportsline football
Sat, Oct 26
3:30
CFB
500%
Nebraska -1'
over Indiana
..
4:00
CFB
300%
Tennessee +4'
over So.Carolina
..
7:30
CFB
300%
Ucla +3
over Arizona St
..
10:15
CFB
300%
Air Force -3'
over Utah St
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SkyBluePicks
Michigan State +5
TCU +1
Auburn +10.5
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Sports Unlimited/Marco D'Angelo
Added
5 Michigan State
3 UCLA
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Executive Sportsline baseball
Sat, Oct 26
8:10
250%
Houston +100
over Washington
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Al Demarco
14th Ever
30 Dime
College Football Release of my Career
LSU
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Scott Delaney
BIGGEST RELEASE OF MY CAREER
3rd-Ever
200 DIME
Double Wager
College Football Release
of my 17-Year Career
Navy -4
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