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Free NFL, NCAAF & MLB Premium Service Plays For Saturday 9/28/19

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(@shazman)
Posts: 58610
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Topic starter
 

Saturday 9/28/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.

 
Posted : September 27, 2019 8:31 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58610
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Stephen Oh

MASSACHUSETTS +4.5

AKRON @ MASSACHUSETTS | 9/28 | 3:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:32 PM
Both teams are winless. Neither has covered a game this season. My simulations show this spread is out of whack, as UMass is covering more than 65 percent of the time. Play on the home dog.

12-3 IN LAST 15 CFB PICKS | +870
4-0 IN LAST 4 AKRON ATS PICKS | +400

2-1 IN LAST 3 MA ATS PICKS | +90
__________________

Bryan Leonard

MAC GOM
4% Central Michigan +17

Big 12 GOM
4% Oklahoma State -4

119 Central Michigan at Western Michigan

After losing to Wisconsin 61-0 the Chippewas were basically written off by many. Coming off a 1-11 season with a new head coach it looked like same ole same ole in Mt Pleasant. But that new head coach is Jim McElwain who has done wonders without expectations in his career. Since that game the Chippewas crushed Akron 45-24 while using a backup quarterback. Last week Central traveled to Florida and gave Miami all it could handle in a 17-12 loss. That was despite a -2 turnover differential and holding the Hurricanes to 301 total yards.

The last three times the Chippewas have played in Kalamazoo, the team outscored the Broncos by a combined 101 to 91 margin. The road team in this series is a perfect 7-0 ATS.

Western Michigan was 7-6 a year ago but were fortunate to go 4-1 in one score games. The difference in these two teams is nowhere near this point spread. The last 14 meetings in this series were lined at 7 points or less. This is an extreme overlay we can take advantage of. PLAY CENTRAL MICHIGAN

166 Kansas State at Oklahoma State

The Wildcats are coming in off a bye after upsetting Mississippi State on the road. But while K State got the victory, it was out-gained by 83 yards. The Wildcats live and die off the running game, but this will be the best rush defense they have faced. As for stopping the run this team has permitted 4.74 yards per carry, against a weak overall slate.

Oklahoma State has run the ball effectively this season. In three FBS games the Cowboys have produced 5.94 ypc. All three of those games were on the road. Oklahoma State is much better tested and has double revenge for losses by 19 and 5 points the past two seasons. This team is 9-2 ATS off a straight up loss the last three seasons. We look for a Cowboy rebound on Saturday. PLAY OKLAHOMA STATE
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Stephen Oh

UAB -3

UAB @ W. KENTUCKY | 9/28 | 7:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 12:27 PM
The Blazers are 3-0 and I like them to keep rolling Saturday at Western Kentucky, as they're covering about 60 percent of my simulations. Even with the Hilltoppers off a bye, they've been a bad bet at home. Lay the small number.

12-3 IN LAST 15 CFB PICKS | +870
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+EV: CFB 2u: 133 Akron Zips -6.5 -103 (Saturday, September 28th)
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Fezzik | CFL Side - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 10:00PM
696 BC -3.5(-110) Pinnacle vs 695 MON triple-dime bet

Analysis: CFL 3 star GAME OF THE MONTH! Note, the oddsmakers did not adjust this line nearly enough for a great situation for BC, AND Mon's big dropoff at QB.

Aok to play this -5.5 for 3 stars.

**This pick is on Canadian Football**

Fezzik | CFL Total - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 7:00PM
693 SAS / 694 TOR UNDER 50.5 Pinnacledouble-dime bet

Analysis: My CFL totals guy LOVES this CFL under this week
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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 10:30PM
150 Nevada -2.0(-110) Westgate vs 149 Hawaii triple-dime bet

Analysis: First major cold front of the season hits the West this weekend. Right now, game time temps could dip into the 40’s here. When you go from the beach and upper 80 degree temperatures all week to temps nearly 40 degrees cooler and on top of that 4,610 feet in elevation, it will play a factor here. Nevada is 6-1 SU/ATS vs Hawaii with an average cover of 10 ppg. The last 5 times they’ve hosted the Rainbows Warriors, they won all of them by 10 points or more. Nevada has been good at home under head coach Jay Norvell at 9-3 SU/ATS their last 12 with an average cover of 10 ppg. Finally, Hawaii is just 8-35 SU/16-26-1 ATS (-2.8 ATS ppg) on the road since 2012.
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NFAC UFC

UFC : GUNNAR NELSON +120…($600) via Pinnacle

UFC : BURNS-NELSON = NOT Go Distance (+140)…($600) via 5dimes

UFC : LANSBERG-CHAISSON = NOT Go Distance (-135)…($600) via 5dimes

UFC : MICHAL OLEKSIEJCZUK -230…($500) via 5dimes

UFC : MACY CHIASSON -370…($500) via 5Dimes
__________________

Dave Essler

3* UCLA +7 vs Arizona State
2* Washington -10 vs Southern Cal
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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 10:30PM
204 Arizona -6.5(-102) Pinnacle vs 203 UCLA triple-dime bet

Analysis: The Wildcats come in fresh off a bye after one of their best performances to date under 2nd-year coach Kevin Sumlin (won 28-14 vs Texas Tech as slight home dogs). Arizona ran the ball 13 straight times during a 99-yard TD drive in the fourth quarter.“They imposed their will on us,” Red Raiders coach Matt Wells said. “That’s tough to take.” Arizona QB Khalil Tate showed flashes of his 2017 self with a 84-yard TD run. Meanwhile, how much does UCLA have left in the tank after pulling off the 3rd largest comeback in CFB history last week? The Bruins offense which had only scored 59 points in more than 3.5 games, somehow got 50 points in the final 20 minutes. The Bruins were +5 in TO’s and UCLA scored a couple of long special teams TD’s which obviously played a huge part. We like the Wildcats here.

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 6:00PM
182 Liberty -7.0(-109) Pinnacle vs 181 New Mexico double-dime bet

Analysis: We like Liberty here catching New Mexico flying across the country for the 2nd time in 3 weeks and coming off an emotional win over their arch rival. New Mexico had a 598-489 yard edge including 243-154 on the ground in the 55-52 win. New Mexico St actually took a 38-34 in the 3Q before New Mexico score 3 straight TD’s to take a 55-38 lead. Head coach Bob Davie could be back for this game (sat out last couple of games with a health condition). Meanwhile, Liberty thumped Hampton 62-27 as Liberty had a 575-405 yard edge including 256-113 on the ground. The Flames led 41-12 at halftime. Now that head coach Hugh Freeze isn’t coaching from a hospital bed, the Liberty offense has taken off.
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+EV: CFB 4u: 171 Florida Atlantic Owls +1 -105 (Saturday, September 28th)

+EV: CFB 2u: Kansas State/Oklahoma State un61 -114 (Saturday, September 28th)

+EV: CFB 2u: 203 UCLA Bruins +6.5 -105 (Saturday, September 28th)

+EV: CFB 2u: 135 Rutgers/Michigan ov48 -116 (Saturday, September 28th)

+EV: CFB 2u: 108 Penn State/Maryland un62 -107 (Friday, September 27th)

+EV: CFB 2u: 137 Minnesota/Purdue ov55 -105 (Saturday, September 28th)
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College saturday stanford steve

9/28/19 Akron -7 vs Massachusetts
9/28/19 Rice + 8 vs Louisiana Tech
9/28/19 Alabama -37 vs Ole Miss
9/28/19 Oregon State + 4 vs Stanford
9/28/19 Oklahoma -27 vs Texas Tech
__________________

Doug Kezirian

Saturday:

Clemson -14.5 (first half)
UConn +28 (first half)
Alabama -38 and Alabama team total over 49.5
Washington -10.5 and Washington team total over 35.5
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Colin Cowherd’s Marquee 3 (1-2 last week, 3-6 overall)

Virginia +12.5
Northwestern +24.5
Washington -10
__________________

LEE STERLING

50* GOY

North TX
__________________

 
Posted : September 27, 2019 8:37 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58610
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

+EV: CFB 3u: 197 Houston/North Texas ov59 -103 (Saturday, September 28th)
+EV: CFB 3u: 202 USC/Washington un61.5 -110 (Saturday, September 28th)
__________________

NFAC

CFB Early Card

175) COASTAL CAROLINA +16…($800) – BIG MOVE via 5dimes

122) S FLORIDA +8…($750) via Cantor & Grande

151) STANFORD -4…($600) via Pinnacle

157) OVER 54 KEN-SCAR…($600) via Pinnacle

196) NEBRASKA +17…($600) Bovada at 17.5

150) GEORGIA SOUTHERN +3.5…($500) via Westgate & Cantor

158) SOUTH CAROLINA -2.5…($500) via Pinnacle
__________________

Dave Essler

3* UCLA +7 vs Arizona State
2* Washington -10 vs Southern Cal

Dave Added
Arizona St is playing Cal.
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BRAD POWERS | CFB SIDE SAT, 09/28/19 - 10:30 PM
204 Arizona -6.5 (-102) Pinnacle vs 203 UCLA

triple-dime bet
Analysis:
The Wildcats come in fresh off a bye after one of their best performances to date under 2nd-year coach Kevin Sumlin (won 28-14 vs Texas Tech as slight home dogs). Arizona ran the ball 13 straight times during a 99-yard TD drive in the fourth quarter.“They imposed their will on us,” Red Raiders coach Matt Wells said. “That’s tough to take.” Arizona QB Khalil Tate showed flashes of his 2017 self with a 84-yard TD run. Meanwhile, how much does UCLA have left in the tank after pulling off the 3rd largest comeback in CFB history last week? The Bruins offense which had only scored 59 points in more than 3.5 games, somehow got 50 points in the final 20 minutes. The Bruins were +5 in TO’s and UCLA scored a couple of long special teams TD’s which obviously plaÂyed a huge part. We like the Wildcats here.

This is his GOM
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+EV: CFB 3u: 150 Nevada Wolf Pack -2.5 -110 (Saturday, September 28th)
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Gold sheet

northwestern
virginia
smu
uab
kansas st
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newworldinsiders

DETROIT INSIDER: Central Michigan OV 60
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Tom Stryker

NCAA SUPER SEPTEMBER 2-TEAM PARLAY OF THE MONTH
NC State & Michigan

11-0 ATS NCAA ELITE INFO ULTIMATE INVESTMENT
Stanford
__________________

CKO

11* (2-1) smu
__________________

PickersMx
Mushu 85 Dimes
Syracuse -37.5
__________________

Marco D'Angelo

5% Baylor +3

4% S. Florida +7.5
__________________

Maddux college FB

20* Wake Forest -6
10* Wake Forest/Boston College over 68.5
10* Iowa State/Baylor under 56
10* Kentucky/South Carolina under 52
10* UNLV/Wyoming under 47
10* Nebraska +17
10* Florida Atlantic/Charlotte over 63.5
10* Miami Ohio +3
10* Toledo +3
10* SMU -7
10* Utah State -20
10* North Texas +2
__________________

 
Posted : September 28, 2019 8:28 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58610
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Topic starter
 

Alex B Smith Sports
College Football
9/28 1* North Texas -6
__________________

Sharp Totals Club

Florida St Under
Baylor Under
North Carolina Over
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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 12:00PM
113 Northwestern 24.5(-110) William Hill vs 114 Wisconsin single-dime bet

Analysis: Northwestern has covered 4 of the last 5 meetings including last year in a 31-17 win (+3.5). Last week the Wildcats did lose 31-10 to Michigan St as MSU had a 337-265 yard edge but were also +2 in TO’s. Meanwhile, Wisconsin dominated Michigan leading 35-0 in the 3Q and the Badgers had a 359-40 rushing yard edge. The Badgers were +4 in TO’s. Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor ran for 203 yards and 2 TD’s despite missing the 2Q with cramps. Northwestern is remarkably 10-8 straight up the last 10 years as a double-digit underdog (13-5 ATS, +10 ppg)! Wisconsin is 3-0 ATS this year with a combined cover of 81.5 points but this spread is way too high. Also note that the Badgers will be down a couple of starters in the secondary to start the game (targeting from Michigan game).
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Scott Pritchard

UBuffalo Under 47
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Root

Millionaire-Baylor

No limit- Virginia

Perfect play- Miss st

Inner circle- South Florida

Pinnacle- Nebraska
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allan desrosiers
15 nevada
8 c mich
8 n texas
8 bama over
8 7 pt teaser okst/ wash
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Pointwise phones

4-arizona, toledo
3-florida atlantic, smu, kansas st
2-wisconsin, north carolina st, washington st, temple
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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

DOUBLE PLAYS:
Kansas State +4
Arizona -6.5

SINGLE PLAYS
Temple -8
Toledo +2.5
Vanderbilt -6.5
Kansas +14.5
Virginia +13
UAB -3
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+EV: CFB 2u: 153 Indiana Hoosiers +14 -108 (Saturday, September 28th)
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Posted : September 28, 2019 10:16 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58610
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

BIG E
Virginia + 12 1/2
USC +10
Texas Tech + 26 1/2
__________________

TKwins
3* Purdue +1.5
3* Marshall +4
3* UL Monroe -15
5* Washington St +6
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Michael Rusk
THE PRODIGY
10:46 AM
MICHIGAN -27.5
RUTGERS @ MICHIGAN | 9/28 | 12:00 PM EDT
Don’t freak out just yet. With coach Jim Harbaugh’s job on the line, expect a dedicated team effort on Saturday in the Big House. Given that the Wolverines destroyed Rutgers 42-7 on the road last season, this line is insulting. Bettors have to continue to fade Rutgers against conference teams that the Scarlet Knights simply shouldn’t be sharing the field with. Take Michigan in this one to win in a very similar outcome to last year's.

11-2 IN LAST 13 CFB PICKS | +878

Kenny White
WIZARD OF ODDS
YESTERDAY 9:46 PM
MICHIGAN -27.5
RUTGERS @ MICHIGAN | 9/28 | 12:00 PM EDT
The Wolverines were embarrassed last week. The four turnovers and the failed fourth down did not help. I think they were not well prepared, and the players thought they would walk out of Madison with a win since they beat the Badgers last year. Meanwhile the Rutgers offense struggles against good defenses, and the Wolverines defense is in top 10. Michigan will take this week to air out the offense. Take the Wolverines.

7-0 IN LAST 7 CFB ATS PICKS | +700

Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
TUE 9/24
MICHIGAN -27.5
RUTGERS @ MICHIGAN | 9/28 | 12:00 PM EDT
The Wolverines have to figure things out offensively if they want to turn their season around. It's the passing game that's causing much of the angst in Ann Arbor. The perfect remedy for an inconsistent offense has been the Rutgers defense. Look for Shea Patterson and Co. to get things back on track in this weekend.

26-15 IN LAST 41 CFB ATS PICKS | +943
5-1 IN LAST 6 RUT ATS PICKS | +390

3-1 IN LAST 4 MICH ATS PICKS | +190
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Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
YESTERDAY 12:53 AM
OVER 70.5
TEXAS TECH @ OKLAHOMA | 9/28 | 12:00 PM EDT
The Sooners lead the nation in total offense and rank second in scoring, averaging over 55 points. Jalen Hurts has a plethora of weapons at his disposal. Both teams come off a bye and this matchup usually produces a lot of scoring.

Barrett Sallee
CFB GURU
THU 9/26
OKLAHOMA -27
TEXAS TECH @ OKLAHOMA | 9/28 | 12:00 PM EDT
The Red Raiders have the second-best passing defense in the Big 12, which presents a golden opportunity for Sooners signal-caller Jalen Hurts. He leads the nation in passing efficiency, and coach Lincoln Riley will give him plenty of opportunities to get even more comfortable in the passing game against a defense with a pulse.

10-5-2 IN LAST 17 CFB PICKS | +448
5-2 IN LAST 7 OKLA ATS PICKS | +275

Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
TUE 9/24
OKLAHOMA -27
TEXAS TECH @ OKLAHOMA | 9/28 | 12:00 PM EDT
The Sooners are coming off of an open week and, judging by how they've run through their schedule up to this point, you'd think they've had three open weeks. Oklahoma quarterback Jalen Hurts is putting up Heisman numbers and figures to hit the ground running in this game. The Red Raiders definitely have familiarity playing against an Air Raid offense, but the Sooners will prove to be too strong and overly prepared for Texas Tech.

26-15 IN LAST 41 CFB ATS PICKS | +943
4-0 IN LAST 4 TXTECH ATS PICKS | +400
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Gavazzi
Arizona -6.5
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Michael Rusk
THE PRODIGY
10:54 AM
OVER 69.5
TEXAS TECH @ OKLAHOMA | 9/28 | 12:00 PM EDT
Look out. This total might as well be in the triple digits. When these two teams played last season the game was a shootout, ending with 97 points. Now the Sooners have an upgrade at quarterback in Jalen Hurts. I like this game to be Over the half-century mark at halftime. Don’t overthink this one. Take the Over and enjoy.

11-2 IN LAST 13 CFB PICKS | +878
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Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
TUE 9/24
BYU -1.5
BYU @ TOLEDO | 9/28 | 12:00 PM EDT
Toledo has one of the best freshman running backs in the country in Joachim Bangda. He paved the way for the team's victory last weekend against Bowling Green. But the Rockets' offensive line faces a difficult challenge in a BYU defense that is stout at the point of attack. The Cougars will limit a lot of what Bangda can do on the ground, forcing Toledo to rely on the passing game more than it wants to.

26-15 IN LAST 41 CFB ATS PICKS | +943
2-1 IN LAST 3 BYU ATS PICKS | +90
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Kenny White
WIZARD OF ODDS
YESTERDAY 10:00 PM
TCU -15
KANSAS @ TCU | 9/28 | 12:00 PM EDT
Michael Collins is cleared to play this weekend for TCU. I feel he is the best quarterback on the roster by a margin of four points on the betting line. In last year's loss to Kansas, Collins was 23-of-33 for 350 yards and also ran for 40 yards. The Horned Frogs are coming off a loss to rival SMU. Kansas has been very competitive under Les Miles, but the talent level is too much to overcome here. Take TCU.

7-0 IN LAST 7 CFB ATS PICKS | +700
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Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
MIAMI (OHIO) +2.5
BUFFALO @ MIAMI (OHIO) | 9/28 | 12:00 PM EDT
Miami-Ohio took a beating in a non-conference slate that included losses to Iowa, Cincinnati and Ohio State. But this usually pays off for the historically late-blooming RedHawks in conference play. Buffalo comes of an impressive win over Temple, but that performance created a skewed spread in this one.

6-2-1 IN LAST 9 CFB PICKS | +378
2-1 IN LAST 3 BUFF ATS PICKS | +90
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Gavazzi

CFB

Saturday 9.28.19

#123 4% Buffalo (-2.5) Noon
#126 5% Temple (-8.5) 3:30 PM EST
#132 4% Toledo (+2.5) Noon
#149 3% Hawaii (+2.5) 10:30 PM EST
#153 3% Indiana (+14) 3:30 PM EST
#173 4% Virginia (+13) 3:30 PM EST
#175 4% CCU (+16) 3:30 PM EST
#191 3% UAB (-3) 7:00PM EST
#197 3% Houston (+7.5) 8:00 PM EST
#204 6% Arizona (-6.5) 10:30 PM EST
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Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 7:14 PM
ARKANSAS +23.5
TEXAS A&M VS ARKANSAS | 9/28 | 12:00 PM EDT
Arkansas is the poster child this season illustrating the ill effects of a team looking ahead. The Razorbacks, who cannot afford to take anyone lightly, laid an egg against San Jose State. Thus, this neutral-site matchup line has floated up. A&M has taken down Arkansas seven straight times, but three were in overtime and last year’s game was decided by a TD. The Aggies are not explosive enough to run up a hefty total, giving the Hogs a chance to stay inside the sizable number.

7-3-1 IN LAST 11 CFB ATS PICKS | +371
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Prediction Computer
CFB PREDICTIONS

ATS STRAIGHT PLAYS

BYU -4* 78%
CAL POLY -2* 57%
INDIANA -3* 66%
WAKE FOREST -3* 61%
TEXAS SOUTHERN -2* 57%
APP STATE -3* 65%
UAB -4* 79%
MERCER -2* 56*
NEVADA -4* 75%

OVER/UNDERS

OVER Central Michigan/Western Michigan -5* 81%
UNDER Indiana/Michigan St -2* 59%
OVER Temple/Georgia Tech -3* 66%
OVER IOWA STATE/BAYLOR -5* 84%
OVER Marshall/Cincy -4* 72%
UNDER UL LAFAYETTE/GEORGIA SOUTHERN -5* 82%
OVER KANSAS STATE/OKLAHOMA STATE -3* 61%

MONEYLINES

UAB -5* 89*
BYU -5* 88%
NEVADA -5* 85%
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winningsportsplays

Britney Deluca

CFB ALL-STAR BANGER PLAY OF YEAR

[138] Purdue +2

CFB HOT PICKS
[120] Western Michigan and Central Michigan Over 59.5
[130] Baylor +3
[154] Michigan State and Indiana Over 43
[158] South Carolina -2.5
[204] Arizona -6

CFL HOT PICKS
[692] Ottawa and Edmonton Over 47
[694] Toronto +6.5
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Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
11:11 AM
NORTHWESTERN +24
NORTHWESTERN @ WISCONSIN | 9/28 | 12:00 PM EDT
The Wildcats have struggled on offense this year to say the least, but this is still the type of matchup in which they thrive ATS -- getting a ton of points against a similarly physical, gritty opponent. The BAdgers could find a bit of a flat spot following last week's dominant performance against Michigan, and most Big Ten clubs find Northwestern difficult to put away.

6-2-1 IN LAST 9 CFB PICKS | +378
4-0 IN LAST 4 NWEST ATS PICKS | +400

4-2 IN LAST 6 WISC ATS PICKS | +173

Barton Simmons
CHIEF OF PERSONNEL
THU 9/26
WISCONSIN -24.5
NORTHWESTERN @ WISCONSIN | 9/28 | 12:00 PM EDT
Northwestern has given us absolutely no reason to think it can keep this game competitive. As good as No. 8 Wisconsin looked last week against Michigan, this is more about the struggles that Northwestern is dealing with. The Wildcats can’t run the ball or throw the ball – and Wisconsin’s ability to stay disciplined on defense will give its offense great field position to grind away a blowout win at home.

5-3 IN LAST 8 CFB ATS PICKS | +170

Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
MON 9/23
NORTHWESTERN +24
NORTHWESTERN @ WISCONSIN | 9/28 | 12:00 PM EDT
This is the most massive spread with Northwestern on the receiving end since coach Pat Fitzgerald elevated the program to respectability. The Wildcats have regressed slightly this season but should be able to hang within two-dozen points, particularly with Wisconsin safeties Eric Burrell and Reggie Pearson suspended for the first half for targeting. Original starter Scott Nelson (ACL) went down long-term in the opener. Northwestern welcomes traveling, with a 19-7 ATS streak in road games. Plus, it has covered against the Badgers in four of the past five.

7-3-1 IN LAST 11 CFB ATS PICKS | +371
7-2 IN LAST 9 WISC ATS PICKS | +480
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Brad Powers | CFB Total - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 12:00PM
169 Texas Tech / 170 Oklahoma UNDER 70.0 William Hill single-dime bet

Analysis: 14 mph wind in the forecast here. On top of that, I feel both teams' defenses are improved from a year ago and I expect Texas Tech to be more conservative here with a back-up QB.

Note:
I will be releasing more and more totals now with weather conditions playing a bigger factor as we get into further into the season. On top of that, we have a better idea of pace of play now with 3-4 games under their belts and finally conference familiarity sometimes creates value on the UNDER.

Here are some totals' leans for today:

(143/144) Unlv/WYOMING UNDER 46. 8:00pm ET. 20mph wind in forecast.

(187/188) Utep/SOUTHERN MISS OVER 48.5. 7:00pm ET.

(197/198) Houston/NORTH TEXAS OVER 59. 8:00pm ET. Overreaction to D'Eriq King being out for Houston with regards to this total.
(193/194) Colorado St/UTAH ST UNDER 70. 7:30pm ET. Rain and wind. Colorado St without top two offensive playmakers.
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Friends of Mike Lee

MLB
3* #907 Atlanta even (Foltynewicz/Matz)
__________________

Bondi
7 nwst
4 vandy
3 byu
3nev
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Posted : September 28, 2019 11:12 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58610
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Bezobets

3* Oklahoma -15 1H -110
3* Baylor +3 -110
3* Nevada ML -133
2* Oklahoma St -4 -114
2* Notre Dame -10 -117
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Sterling
50 GOY north tx
35 Okla
30 troy
25 bama, so fla, Iowa st
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NFAC

CFB full card

175) COASTAL CAROLINA +16…($800) – BIG MOVE via 5dimes

122) S FLORIDA +8…($750) via Cantor & Grande

151) STANFORD -4…($600) via Pinnacle

157) OVER 54 KEN-SCAR…($600) via Pinnacle

196) NEBRASKA +17…($600) Bovada at 17.5

150) GEORGIA SOUTHERN +3.5…($500) via Westgate & Cantor

158) SOUTH CAROLINA -2.5…($500) via Pinnacle

167) MISSISSIPPI ST +10…($800) – BIG MOVE via Bookmaker

161) OVER 52.5 NIU-VANDI…($500) via Pinnacle

175) UNDER 58 CCAR-APP ST…($500) via BetOnline

185) OVER 57 SALA-ULM…($500) via Bookmaker
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SkyBluePicks

TCU -15

Washington -10.5
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Miller locks

12:00 pm est ncaaf
northwestern vs. Wisconsin

pick: Wisconsin -24 (-108)

risk: 11 units

12:00 pm est ncaaf
northern illinois vs. Vanderbilt

pick: Vanderbilt -7 (-108)

risk: 11 units

3:30 pm est ncaaf
virginia vs. Notre dame

pick: Virginia +11 (-101)

risk: 11 units

3:30 pm est ncaaf
coastal carolina vs. Appalachian state

pick: Over 58 (-107)

risk: 11 units

4:00 pm est ncaaf
smu vs. South florida

pick: Smu -7.5 (-102)

risk: 11 units

7:00 pm est ncaaf
connecticut vs. Central florida

pick: Central florida -44 (-104)

risk: 11 units

7:00 pm est ncaaf
uab vs. Western kentucky

pick: Uab -3.5 (+100)

risk: 11 units
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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

5* Nevada Over

3* Liberty

3* UAB

3*Arizona

ALL NCAA FB
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ELITE SPORTS PICKS

Wake Forest Under
__________________

NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE

4* Nevada

3* Bos College

3* Nebraska
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Seabass first report : 300 Michigan , 400 Toledo , no limit Oklahoma
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PREFERRED PICKS:
Weekend Plays
5 Baylor +3
3 South Florida +8
3 Toledo +2.5

3 Browns +7
3 Seahawks -5
3 Vikings +2.5
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Posted : September 28, 2019 11:36 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58610
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Brandon Lang

100 DIME WINNER
ODDSMAKER ERROR
GAME OF THE YEAR

Kansas Sate +4
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VegasSniper

BYU/Toledo over 30 first half
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Paul Leiner

2500* Over 60.5 Okla St/Kansas St
100* Over 60.5 Ark/Texas A&M
100* BYU -2.5
100* USC +10.5
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Cal sports
4*s BC and SC
3*'s Temple & Minny
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Posted : September 28, 2019 11:42 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58610
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Executive Sportsline

Sat, Sept 28
10:30..
CFB..
400%
Ucla +6'
over Arizona

..
7:00..
CFB..
300%
Kansas St +5
over Oklahoma St

..
7:30..
CFB..
300%
N.C.State +6'
over Florida
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TONY FINN

AMERICAN LEAGUE PRIVATE PLAY (9-4)
Game: (917) Tampa Bay Rays at (918) Toronto Blue Jays
Date/Time: Sep 28 2019 3:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-125)

View Analysis

PLAY: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 runs
4% confidence rating

LIST PITCHERS: Yarbrough and Thornton

(917) Tampa Bay Rays at (918) Toronto Blue Jays

The Tampa Bay Rays clinched an American League wild-card spot with a victory on Friday combined with a loss by the Cleveland Indians. The question that now arises is which of the two wild cards in the American League care about winning the final two games? Which one wants to play at home or does either care?

The Tampa Rays are now even with the Oakland Athletics. And while both of the coaches and those media-friendly players on both sides say and speak to playing hard and winning Saturday and Sunday expect a game of cat and mouse between the two -- both watching the scoreboard and waiting for enough evidence to come in as to when they can hold back putting the arms expected to pitch on Wednesday in the AL Wild Card game.

Toronto could absolutely care less about winning or losing and their starter on Saturday, Thornton, is on a pitch count. Once the Rays get beyond Thornton, if even Thornton can pitch out of trouble against a red hot Tampa lineup, it has yet to be seen.

Like any and all postseason bound teams jockeying the pitching staff if the most difficult and important variable for playoff success. Especially in a winner-take-all scenario and loser go home.

Yarbrough last saw action on Sunday and just one of the many talented arms on the Rays staff will throw the most innings and toss the most pitches among the Rays lined up to work an inning or less on Saturday.

The Rays Yarbrough showed some signs of fatigue in his last two starts and wasn't as effective as he has been throughout the year. The 27-year-old struggled allowed 12 runs and 18 hits over 8 1/3 innings versus the Los Angeles Angels and Boston Red Sox. His xFIP this season is more representative of his M.O. and his history of owning specific hitters and lineups is documented. The Jays are one of those teams and one of those lineups. Yarbrough is 3-0 with a 1.15 ERA in four games against Toronto this season allowing just two earned runs in 15 2/3 innings.

Thornton is finishing a middling rookie campaign and do so while the organization is putting a limit on his innings. The 25-year-old did not throw more than five innings or 92 pitches in any of his last six outings and that will be the case today vs the Rays.

Again, once Thornton has been worked in a limited role as the Jays staff has planned the last month the party is over for the Jays as their bullpen is less-than and have been overworked the last month.

TAMPA BAY RAYS -1.5 runs
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FINN PAC-12 GAME ~ WEEK (14-6)
Game: (203) UCLA at (204) ARIZONA U
Date/Time: Sep 28 2019 10:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: ARIZONA U -6.5 (-123)

View Analysis

PLAY: Arizona Wildcats -6.5 (play good to -8.5)
4% confidence rating

(203) UCLA at (204) ARIZONA U

If you need a poster child for overreaction to a week or consecutive contests by a club that was less than expected look no further than the Boston College Eagles. And if you ask or access the grin on Demon Deacons' faithful they will tell you that there couldn't be a better time to face a cupcake like BC. Afterall, Wake Forest is perfect so far on the season. They enter today's game with an undefeated record. And historically the home team has not gained the full attention of the players be it on home or away grass. That said you can count on Chestnut Hill to be loud with the stadium supports shaking right before kickoff.

The loss to a Les Miles Kansas Jayhawks team was just one of those three hour periods of football in which everything went right for Miles' troupe. The contrary to the Eagles.

Boston College currently ranks third in the ACC in total offense (458.3 ypg). The credit for this success goes to a coaching staff who understands what it takes for this group to win football games on Saturday afternoon. AJ Dillon ranks second in the ACC in yards per game. BC has averaged 252 rushing yards pg in 2019 and that is good for 20th in the FBS.

The handicapping "eightball" was shaken and turned over and..... The dual-threat at quarterback for the Devils received and registered less than 24 minutes in time of possession in the contest. A Wake defensive that had allowed less than four yards per carry on the season was overvalued in the defensive department and the Golden Eagles hold serve on home grass.

Those who have overreacted to the BC loss to the Jayhawks, that are in fact Demon Deacons faithful, have started a rumor that they would like to turn to legend... stating that their teams, the Wake Forest DD's, are the ACC’s second-best team. The advantage that Wake has in this event is at quarterback. The rest of the Finn Factor variables position Boston College in a straight-up home win over an overvalued Wake squad against an underappreciated BC unit.
ARIZONA WILDCATS -6.5 points
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FINN MWC GAME OF THE WEEK
Game: (149) HAWAII at (150) NEVADA
Date/Time: Sep 28 2019 10:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: NEVADA -2.0 (-110)

View Analysis

PLAY: Nevada -2 points (good to -4 points)
4% confidence rating

(149) HAWAII at (150) NEVADA

Hawai’i (3-1, 0-0 MW) and Nevada (3-10, 0-0 MW) aim to win their fourth game of the season at Mackay Stadium on Saturday night. The game can be viewed on ESPN2. And to a man, a peer, and trusted contact, all believe that Rainbows head coach Nick Rolovich will show well against his former employer. The thing is I believe that too. That coach Rolo will show well. It is his 80-degree football player personnel that are at the heart of the assessment of what they are and are not capable of.

Rolovich knows what it takes to be successful at Mackay. He knows that 4500 feet above sea level, the accustomed air and oxygen quality the Warriors have only played at this year and are accustomed too. Rolo knows that is is going to be 40 degrees colder than the games he and his players have taken part in this year, all on the big island. And yet coach Rolovich is 1-2 vs. Nevada with a win in his inaugural season of 2016 and consecutive losses in 2017 & ’18.

UH quarterback Cole McDonald can sling the ball. He has a bevy of receivers that can run and catch, as well. McDonald is averaging 329.3 yards per game which ranks No. 8 nationally and No. 2 in the Mountain West. But the what, the where and the how heavy will the Hawaii personnel be breathing in the third and fourth quarters will ultimately be the difference in the game.

UH is 7-13 in road/neutral games under head coach Nick Rolovich. The school owns a 14-42 (.250) all-time MW mark — 7-21 (.250) in home games and 7-21 (.250) in road games. The Warriors have been significantly more successful against the number on the Big Island.

Hawaii, with or without coach Rolo has lost 10 consecutive games in the state of Nevada (0-5 vs. Nevada, 0-5 vs. UNLV).

There are a large number of Wolf faithful currently sitting at 4500 feet, starring into a Sierras Mountain sky, knowing that winter is approaching. Historically Hawaii has rarely played well in Reno. The Warriors are 4-9 ATS last 13 on the road under their current coaching staff and Rolovich is 0-5 SU with no covers in his last three games as the opponent at Mackay.

Nevada should not be mistaken for a defensive group. They also should be mistaken for a defenseless one like Hawaii.

The offensive front of Nevada controls the trench and as a result, Nevada uses their running backs to own time of possession and wear down the Rainbows defensive front. Hawaii has shown very little propensity to run a balanced offense, nor have they offered evidence they could if they chose to.

The home team with the better defense who is accustomed to the air, the conditions with a savvy understanding of how to win at home. Ask Purdue.

NEVADA -2 points
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FINN ACC GAME OF THE WEEK (14-6)
Game: (115) WAKE FOREST at (116) BOSTON COLLEGE
Date/Time: Sep 28 2019 3:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: BOSTON COLLEGE 6.5 (-110)

View Analysis

PLAY: Boston College +6.5 (play good to +4)
4% confidence rating

(115) WAKE FOREST at (116) BOSTON COLLEGE

BOSTON COLLEGE +6.5
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Lenny Stevens
20* Rutgers
20* Kansas St
10* Temple
10* Arizona
10* Ohio St
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STEVE BUDIN - CEO
Saturday's Play
The Cali-Cartel has a 50 Dime play on Temple at home over Georgia Tech. The Owls are -8 1/2 as I put my site live at 7:30 eastern.
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Green Bay Monster sports

Max play release 6 pt tease Auburn -2/Arizona even
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Rainman

5* Smu Wash

3* Oreg St Temple Troy Reg WI Marshall
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Kelso

100 Ohio State
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Posted : September 28, 2019 1:39 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 58610
Member Moderator
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Spartan 3* - Virginia
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Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
YESTERDAY 11:25 PM
KANSAS CITY +163
MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY | 9/28 | 2:15 PM EDT
The Twins are now locked into the No. 3 seed in the AL playoffs, so for them the last two games of the season will be about resting regulars, not getting anyone hurt and not extending anyone's arm -- at least not anyone who's going to be on the postseason roster. Minnesota is still good enough to win in that situation, but the price on the Royals is too good to pass up. Take Kansas City.

161-132 LAST 293 MLB SIDES | +2418
37-20 IN LAST 57 KC ML PICKS | +2092

20-11 IN LAST 31 MIN ML PICKS | +987
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Jay McNeil

Big 12 Opening Game of the Year

50 DIME play on Kansas State at Oklahoma State. The Wildcats are +4 1/2 at 8:15 EST. Buy up the 1/2-Point on K-State if the price you're receiving is anywhere between +2 1/2 and +4.
__________________

Sean Michaels

First
75 DIME
College Play of the Season

75 DIME play on Washington at home against USC. The Huskies are -10 1/2 at 5:00 am here in Las Vegas. This is one of those cases where I'm going to encourage you to buy down the 1/2-point on Washington if your price - like mine - is sitting at this -10 1/2 number.
__________________

Bob Valentino

First-Ever
150 DIME
College Football Release

150 Dimer is UL Lafayette minus the points over Georgia Southern. At 7:30 am eastern time, the Ragin' Cajuns are -3 points.
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Dwayne Connors

750 UNIT

Winner # 8 of 12

Underdog Shocker

750 UNITS - Miss State Bulldogs +10
__________________

Tony Weston

First
50 DIME
College Play of the Season

Mountain West Total of the Year

50 DIME UNDER 46 ,WYOMING-UNLV
__________________

Jack Brayman

11th-Ever
200 DIME
DOUBLE YOUR WAGER
College Football
Release of my Career

200 DIME Iowa State Cyclones -3
__________________

Chris Jordan

600♦
Non-Conference
Blowout of the Month

My 600♦ Winner is on the LIBERTY FLAMES in their non-conference clash against the New Mexico Lobos. At 4:30 am pacific, the line is Liberty -7' points. And as I always insist, with football favorites in this range, we're buying half points. And if this game is in between -6 and -7.5 points, I want you purchasing the half point down.
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Worlds Worst Picker
His picks up until 3:30:
Kansas losing
Minnesota
Notre Dame super pick
USC

We take:
Tcu winning
Purdue
Virginia super pick
Washington
Bol
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Posted : September 28, 2019 2:40 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 58610
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

UDog
Ucla
__________________

Exodus to Black

12-6 for year CFb
CFBGeorgia Tech+10 -120
Iowa St-2
Hawaii+3 -120
UCLA +7 -120
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Adam Silverstein
FLORIDA FAVORITE
2:56 PM
WASHINGTON -11
USC @ WASHINGTON | 9/28 | 3:30 PM EDT
Matt Fink was quite fortunate last week with a porous Utah secondary and unbalanced Utes offense that could not keep the unit on the field scoring points. This week, USC's third-string quarterback goes up against arguably the top team in the Pac-12 -- on the road -- despite Washington's hiccup against Cal in a delayed and weather-marred game. I like the Huskies to win this by two touchdowns. Jacob Eason is also a greater test at the quarterback position that USC's defense should not be able to dominate.

Barton Simmons
CHIEF OF PERSONNEL
THU 9/26
WASHINGTON -10.5
USC @ WASHINGTON | 9/28 | 3:30 PM EDT
This has been a brutal early stretch for No. 21 USC, and at some point the Trojans have to run out of gas. Third-string quarterback Matt Fink is not going to be able to replicate the success he had in the friendly confines of the Los Angeles Coliseum last Friday. No. 17 Washington’s secondary is talented, and the offensive line is going to give quarterback Jacob Eason plenty of time to feast on a USC secondary that is likely missing its best player in safety Talanoa Hufanga. Washington makes a statement in a lopsided win.

5-3 IN LAST 8 CFB ATS PICKS | +170

Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
THU 9/26
WASHINGTON -10.5
USC @ WASHINGTON | 9/28 | 3:30 PM EDT
Last week USC was able to get by Utah with its third-string QB. That won't be the case against Washington this week. The Huskies defense is difficult to solve for experienced QBs, and inexperienced third-stringers like Matt Fink won't be able to just chuck the ball up and hope for the best this time around.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300

Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
TUE 9/24
WASHINGTON -10
USC @ WASHINGTON | 9/28 | 3:30 PM EDT
USC's third string quarterback Matt Fink stepped in during the first quarter of the Utah game last week and lit up the Utes secondary in an upset win. He'll have a tougher challenge this week against the Huskies, who do a great job of disguising coverages and confusing young quarterbacks. Offensively, Washington quarterback Jacob Eason had a bounce-back game last week and looks to stack positive weeks on top of one another. Take the Huskies.

26-15 IN LAST 41 CFB ATS PICKS | +943
5-3 IN LAST 8 WASH ATS PICKS | +166

6-4 IN LAST 10 USC ATS PICKS | +164
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Posted : September 28, 2019 3:23 pm
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