Sunday 10/6/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
Hitman
3* GOW
Bears -4.5
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Fezzik
3* Pittsburgh +3.5
2* Bears -5
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Midwest NFL Handicapping
EARLY WEEK RELEASE
Dallas -3 (Buy Hook)
Teaser
Chicago +1/Pittsburgh +9.5
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+EV: NFL 3u: 458 Carolina Panthers -3.5 -101 (Sunday, October 6th)
+EV: NFL 3u: 451 BAL/PIT ov44.5 -105 (Sunday, October 6th)
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LV Wolf
(465) TB +3 EV
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NFAC EARLY CARD
NFL
Jets +14 800
Skins +15.5 800
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Hammering Hank Goldberg
2-4 Last Week, 13-11 YTD
UNDER 41
JACKSONVILLE @ CAROLINA | 10/06 | 10:00 AM PDT
CHICAGO -5.5
CHICAGO @ OAKLAND | 10/06 | 10:00 AM PDT
NEW ENGLAND -15.5
NEW ENGLAND @ WASHINGTON | 10/06 | 10:00 AM PDT
L.A. CHARGERS -6.5
DENVER @ L.A. CHARGERS | 10/06 | 1:05 PM PDT
DALLAS -3.5
GREEN BAY @ DALLAS | 10/06 | 1:25 PM PDT
TAMPA BAY +3.5
TAMPA BAY @ NEW ORLEANS | 10/06 | 10:00 AM PDT
MINNESOTA -5.5
MINNESOTA @ N.Y. GIANTS | 10/06 | 10:00 AM PDT
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COLIN'S BLAZIN' 5...3-2 Last Week...YTD: 14-5-1
Chicago -4 1/2
Arizona +3 (upset)
New Orleans -3
Minnesota -4 1/2
Green Bay +3 1/2 (upset)
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Goodfella GOY
Analysis:
3* on CHICAGO BEARS -4.5
I absolutely love the Bears in this spot and have them winning this game by at least 10 points after 4 Q of play. I would play this for a big 3* GOY size play up to Bears -6.5 fwiw.
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Lee Sterling
Vikings -5
Tennessee -3
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Joe Gavazzi
Sunday, October 6th
NFL
Sides
5% Chicago (-4.5)
4% Baltimore (-3)
4% Jacksonville (+3.5)
4% Dallas (-3.5)
3% Minnesota (-4.5)
3% New Orleans (-3)
3% Houston (-4.5)
Totals
4% OVER 41 Carolina
4% UNDER 42 Washington
4% OVER 45.5 New Orleans
3% UNDER 43.5 Minnesota
3% UNDER 47 Dallas
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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole
DOUBLE PLAYS:
Minnesota -5
Houston -5
SINGLE PLAYS:
Chicago -5.5
Chicago-Oakland under 40.5
New England-Washington under 42.5
New Orleans-Tampa Bay under 46
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Tom Stryker
15-0 ATS NFL PERFECT DATABASE BEST BET
Bears
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The Champ NFL Invincible NFL Play
Washington pointspread
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Pointwise phones
4-greenbay
3-chicago, buffalo, denver/la chargers under
2-jacksonville, san francisco
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Mike Tierney
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh OVER 44.5
It's hard to believe that Baltimore has morphed into the league’s No. 1 offense for yards per game and the No. 32 defense for yards allowed per play. QB Lamar Jackson is thriving. If his last game is any indication, Pittsburgh QB Mason Rudolph has settled in as Ben Roethlisberger’s replacement. His passer rating was a superb 124.6. Though this total has been nudged up, it remains reasonable, given the extremes of the Ravens’ offense/defense rankings.
8-4 IN LAST 12 PIT O/U PICKS | +368
Larry Hartstein
Pittsburgh +3.5
The Ravens' defense has gotten exposed the past two weeks, and now they're giving up an NFL-worst 7.0 yards per play. With the underdog 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine meetings, I'll back Pittsburgh to keep it close.
15-8 IN LAST 23 NFL ATS PICKS | +616
5-3-1 IN LAST 9 BAL ATS PICKS | +168
2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ATS PICKS | +89
Tom Fornelli
Baltimore -3.5
You'll have to forgive me, but I'm not ready to buy the idea that Pittsburgh's offense is solved because it played well against the Bengals. Mason Rudolph needed to throw roughly 500 two-yard passes to soften up the defense enough for one deep ball. The Ravens were torn apart by the Browns last week, but the Browns have the kind of talented offense that can do that. The Steelers don't. Take the Ravens.
13-6 IN LAST 19 NFL PICKS | +644
3-1 IN LAST 4 PIT ATS PICKS | +190
Emory Hunt
Baltimore -3.5
It's a huge match up in the AFC North as the Steelers come off their first victory of the season, and the Ravens enter on a two-game losing streak. It's been a reversal, as the Ravens defense and Steelers offense have looked shaky the past few weeks. The Steelers can't run the ball and have a very conservative passing game, so the Ravens' defense will get off the mat and get a needed confidence boost.
2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ATS PICKS | +100
5-4 IN LAST 9 BAL ATS PICKS | +61
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Bill Marzano
Chicago @ Oakland UNDER 40.5
NFL players like routines and, thus, do not like playing in Europe. I think we are in for a sloppy game dominated by defense, and points are going to be at a premium. The Bears defense has been fantastic while their offense has struggled. Meanwhile the Raiders haven't played well on either side of the ball. Look for Khalil Mack to have a huge impact on this game playing with a little extra motivation. I'm leaning slightly toward the Bears on the point spread, but I like the total better. Under is the play.
Brett Anderson
Chicago @ Oakland UNDER 40.5
The Bears have played just one game this season where the total went over 30, and they'll likely play this one without their starting QB. Maybe Chase Daniel isn’t much of a drop-off, but there’s little reason to believe the Raiders will score very often on a defense (led by a motivated Khalil Mack) that’s allowing 11.2 points a game. Chicago’s games have gone Under the total in three of four weeks. Could Tottenham Stadium see another soccer-style score? Take the Under.
8-5-1 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +249
Larry Hartstein
Chicago -5.5
Under Jon Gruden, the Raiders are 0-5 ATS coming off a win. I believe this line should be higher. Indy's defensive injuries made Oakland's offense look better last week than it really is. With Roquan Smith returning to join a highly motivated Khalil Mack, expect Chicago to shut down the Raiders and cover.
15-8 IN LAST 23 NFL ATS PICKS | +616
5-2 IN LAST 7 OAK ATS PICKS | +272
Tom Fornelli
Chicago @ Oakland UNDER 40.5
Is the Bears offense better off with Chase Daniel at QB instead of Mitch Trubisky? You know what? It doesn't matter. It stinks either way, which is why I'm not trusting the Bears as favorites here, but I do trust that Bears defense to swallow Oakland alive. This is going to be another ugly, low-scoring affair like every Bears game has been this year.
13-6 IN LAST 19 NFL PICKS | +644
3-1 IN LAST 4 CHI O/U PICKS | +190
Hank Goldberg
Chicago -5.5
Chicago is better without Mitchell Trubisky. The Bears have dominated this series historically, going 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. They come into this one allowing 11.3 points per game. Khalil Mack is going to be real fired up for this one. Lay the points.
13-10 IN LAST 23 NFL ATS PICKS | +187
3-2 IN LAST 5 CHI ATS PICKS | +82
3-2 IN LAST 5 OAK ATS PICKS | +77
R.J. White
Chicago -5
While we don't have a huge sample size of London games, the data we do have clearly favors the Bears here. Favorites are 15-9 ATS in London and 9-4 ATS when favored by more than a field goal. Teams out west that have to go to London are 1-5 ATS when facing a team from a Central or Eastern time zone, with the one cover being by a San Francisco team that was favored by 14.5 over the Jaguars. With the Bears getting Roquan Smith back and Khalil Mack seeking revenge, I'm not confident the Raiders offense does much of anything, while I think Chase Daniel can have some success for Chicago.
25-20 IN LAST 45 NFL PICKS | +273
22-9-1 IN LAST 32 CHI ATS PICKS | +1227
5-2 IN LAST 7 OAK ATS PICKS | +277
Emory Hunt
Chicago -5
The first London game of the season features the Bears and Raiders, and both enter with questions at quarterback. Will this Chicago offense look better under Chase Daniel, who is filling in for an injured Mitch Trubisky? And can Derek Carr string two strong weeks together? The former is more likely to happen because of the greatness that is the Chicago Bears defense.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CHI ATS PICKS | +90
Micah Roberts
Chicago @ Oakland UNDER 41
The beautiful new Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in North London will use synthetic turf for this game, which will make the Bears defense even faster and scarier. They’ve stayed Under in three of their four games and have averaged a 16-11 score so far, and their scoring offensively should be the same even without starting quarterback Mitch Trubisky. I’m on the Under.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL O/U PICKS | +190
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Mike Tierney
Arizona @ Cincinnati OVER 47
This pick is predicated almost entirely on pace of play. Both teams’ first-year coaches want to go giddy-up on offense. Arizona snaps the ball more quickly than any other team, according to Football Outsiders, whereas Cincinnati is the seventh-most hurried squad. As a result, the Bengals are gobbling up the sixth-most yardage, four spots ahead of the Cardinals. Granted, neither approach is resulting in a multitude of points -- Arizona ranks 25th, Cincy 30th in scoring. But matched up against each other, one side, if not both, can break loose.
5-3 IN LAST 8 CIN O/U PICKS | +177
Emory Hunt
Arizona +3
It is still unclear if we will see A.J. Green in this game for Cincinnati, so the focus should be on an offensive line that has struggled to create holes for Joe Mixon. Each week, the Cardinals seem closer to that first victory of the season. This Bengals offensive line might be just what the doctor ordered.
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Hank Goldberg
Jacksonville @ Carolina UNDER 41
The Panthers have 14 sacks the past two games. This is going to be a low-scoring affair. It's Gardner Minshew's second straight game on the road. Go Under.
13-10 IN LAST 23 NFL PICKS | +187
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Bill Marzano
N.Y. Giants +5
Don't look now, but here come the 2-2 Giants, who have peeled off two straight wins with Daniel Jones at quarterback. He has energized this team and organization. Meanwhile the Vikings have issues, and one of them is with their best receiver, Stefon Diggs. I like what I see from the Giants, and they will have a chance to win this game. If they lose, the game will be closer than this line suggests, a field goal either way. I like the Giants getting the points.
Mike Tierney
Minnesota @ N.Y. Giants UNDER 43.5
Minnesota has begged and borrowed just 22 points the past two weeks. Among the folks reportedly unhappy with QB Kirk Cousins are WRs Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen. The Giants’ offense has been resuscitated with rookie QB Daniel Jones in those weeks, yet he was fortunate to face the suspect defenses of Tampa Bay and Washington. The Vikings pose his first stiff test. Minnesota has stayed Under in five straight roadies, while the Giants have done likewise in 15 of the last 22 home dates.
4-1 IN LAST 5 NYG O/U PICKS | +290
R.J. White
Minnesota @ N.Y. Giants UNDER 43.5
Daniel Jones has been excellent so far, but facing this Vikings defense is a whole 'nother ball game. Aside from one bad quarter against the Packers, Minnesota's D has been excellent and can stop both the pass (eighth in net yards per attempt) and run (seventh in yards per rush). With the Minnesota offense sputtering a bit as well, they'll certainly look to turn this into a grind-it-out win behind their run game and defense. That bodes well for the Under hitting, as it does often with Mike Zimmer (49-33-2 with Vikings).
25-20 IN LAST 45 NFL PICKS | +273
8-3 IN LAST 11 NYG O/U PICKS | +470
Hank Goldberg
Minnesota -5.5
Giants fans are in for a rude awakening. This is a tough defense Daniel Jones will be going up against. Kirk Cousins can excel in this one because the Giants have no pass rush and a bad secondary. The Vikings also will be able to run the ball, something they couldn't do at Chicago. Lay the points.
13-10 IN LAST 23 NFL ATS PICKS | +187
6-1 IN LAST 7 MIN ATS PICKS | +491
Stephen Oh
Minnesota @ N.Y. Giants UNDER 44
I'm projecting 38 points for Vikings-Giants, giving us a strong play on the Under. Look for Minnesota to control this one with its running game and defense.
4-0 IN LAST 4 NFL PICKS | +400
2-1 IN LAST 3 NYG O/U PICKS | +90
Emory Hunt
Minnesota -5.5
While I don't trust Vikings QB Kirk Cousins, I do trust the Minnesota defense against rookie QB Daniel Jones. We also will learn a lot about the Giants' run defense and how far it has come since Week 1. RB Dalvin Cook is one of the league's biggest game-breakers at the position, and Minnesota will lean more on him than Cousins in this game.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIN ATS PICKS | +70
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Bill Marzano
New England -15.5
This is a lot of points to lay, especially on the road, but this is the Patriots against the hopeless Redskins. The Patriots didn't look so great last week against the Jets, but that is a rivalry game; this game is much different. The 'Skins have serious problems from top to bottom. They just named Colt McCoy as the starter, and the Patriots defense has allowed only one offensive touchdown all season. The Patriots are 15-3 against the spread in their last 18 games in Week 5. I like New England by three touchdowns.
R.J. White
New England -15
I hate laying a ton of points in the NFL, but no team is better at doing the little things to help cover big numbers than the Patriots. Since the start of 2015, the Pats are 15-4 ATS when favored by 10 points or more, including 5-1 on the road. Washington has a poor home-field advantage, a ton of injuries, a revolving door at quarterback, a piecemeal offensive line and three straight games giving up 30-plus points before losing 24-3 last week. They do nothing well. So I'm going to go ahead and lay the big number with the safest team in the league.
25-20 IN LAST 45 NFL PICKS | +273
16-11 IN LAST 27 WAS ATS PICKS | +380
3-1 IN LAST 4 NE ATS PICKS | +190
R.J. White
New England @ Washington UNDER 42.5
The Unders for New England have been on a roll, going 11-2 in the last 13 regular season games. Patriots Unders should be 4-0 to start this year but one was scuttled by two non-offensive TDs with the Pats up 30-0. The Patriots defense looks historically good and should have no issues with a floundering Washington offense that has no serviceable QB. Unless Washington picks up a fluke TD or two, we should safely hit the Under again.
25-20 IN LAST 45 NFL PICKS | +273
6-1 IN LAST 7 NE O/U PICKS | +489
Hank Goldberg
New England -15.5
New England should crush Washington. The Redskins are a mess, they're as bad as any team in the league. Lay it.
13-10 IN LAST 23 NFL ATS PICKS | +187
4-2 IN LAST 6 NE ATS PICKS | +181
2-1 IN LAST 3 WAS ATS PICKS | +91
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Platinum Sports Investing
NFL
Indianapolis +11
3 Team 7 Point teaser -
LAR / Seattle - Over 42 - (W)
Jacksonville +10.5
Green Bay +10.5
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Mike Tierney
N.Y. Jets +14.5
The public kept this line under two touchdowns until clarification on the status of New York QB Sam Darnold (mono), but there was little doubt he would sit out. Confirmation of Luke Falk as the starter bumped up the spread. The Jets are stepping out of a bye week, while Philadelphia has declared out five players, most notably WR DeSean Jackson. Only four healthy CBs are available. Those factors, plus a No. 12 efficiency rating for the Jets’ defense, point to a cover even as a straight-up win seems impossible.
9-3-1 IN LAST 13 NYJ ATS PICKS | +575
4-1 IN LAST 5 PHI ATS PICKS | +290
R.J. White
N.Y. Jets +13.5
We think Adam Gase is an awful coach, but he was 5-0 ATS with extra time to prepare in Miami. We think Luke Falk is an awful QB, but he went 20 of 25 when pressed into MNF duty, and can you knock him for struggling vs. NE? We think the Jets defense is awful, but they're above average in pass DVOA, rush DVOA and points allowed per drive. We know the Eagles D-line is awesome, but they're last in adjusted sack rate. Throw in injuries to Philly's D leaving the backdoor open, and non conference 'dogs going 7-2 since 2017 when getting 13-plus points, and I'm going to back the Jets here.
25-20 IN LAST 45 NFL PICKS | +273
14-9-2 IN LAST 25 NYJ ATS PICKS | +420
2-1 IN LAST 3 PHI ATS PICKS | +91
Emory Hunt
Philadelphia -13.5
The Jets are coming off of a bye and still don't have starting QB Sam Darnold back in the lineup. Darnold has been cleared to throw, but he hasn't been cleared for contact. We have seen what this offense has looked like this season, and with or without Darnold, the Jets don't stand much of a chance against the Eagles defense.
17-13-1 IN LAST 31 PHI ATS PICKS | +259
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R.J. White
New Orleans -3
We've seen a massive reaction to the Bucs' win in L.A. with this line, which was -6.5 on the lookahead number. 3.5 points is a lot for any line to move, not to mention one where the other team actually scored an upset win itself! I'm not super confident the Saints offense will suddenly kick it into gear against a Bucs defense that has performed far better than expected, but this Saints defense has been up to the challenge of winning games while Drew Brees is out. Jameis Winston turns back into a pumpkin and the Saints get the win and cover here.
25-20 IN LAST 45 NFL PICKS | +273
16-5-3 IN LAST 24 TB ATS PICKS | +1032
Tom Fornelli
UNDER 46.5
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans
It's yet to be proven by science, but you never want to trust Jameis Winston to play well two weeks in a row. Nor do I want to trust this Saints offense right now, particularly against a Tampa defense that's been much better than anybody expected this season. So instead I'll take the Under.
13-6 IN LAST 19 NFL PICKS | +644
Larry Hartstein
Tampa Bay +3.5
Tampa Bay isn't going to score 50-plus again, and Jameis Winston is always liable to implode, but there's value on the up-and-coming Bucs under Bruce Arians. The Saints upset the Cowboys without scoring a touchdown last week. Take the points.
15-8 IN LAST 23 NFL ATS PICKS | +616
21-12 IN LAST 33 NO ATS PICKS | +798
4-2-1 IN LAST 7 TB ATS PICKS | +178
Hank Goldberg
Tampa Bay +3.5
Bruce Arians has done a great job with Jameis Winston, and the Bucs' defense is really solid. This is a letdown situation with New Orleans coming off that huge primetime upset of the Cowboys. In their last 10 home games, the Saints are 2-7-1 ATS. Take the points.
13-10 IN LAST 23 NFL ATS PICKS | +187
8-2 IN LAST 10 NO ATS PICKS | +574
3-1-1 IN LAST 5 TB ATS PICKS | +189
R.J. White
UNDER 47
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans
The Saints offense has been held to 265 and 266 yards in its two games with Teddy Bridgewater at the helm, and now they have to face the team with the best run defense in the league. Will Bridgewater be able to key the passing offense when the Saints haven't scored a touchdown in half their games this year? I also like fading the Bucs offense coming off a 55-point effort; the last six times a team scored 50-plus and had to play the next week, that game went Under. With all the travel, I think this is another low-scoring Saints game where the Under cashes easily.
25-20 IN LAST 45 NFL PICKS | +273
6-2 IN LAST 8 TB O/U PICKS | +380
Emory Hunt
New Orleans -3.5
Lost in the Teddy Bridgewater-doesn't-throw-downfield narrative is how stellar the Saints defense has been the past two weeks. Their secondary has been the story of this two-game stretch, as they have put the clamps on opposing receivers. The Bucs defense has been equally impressive, especially defensive end Shaq Barrett. Offensively, they still are a bit too one-dimensional to trust them in this game.
6-3 IN LAST 9 NO ATS PICKS | +259
4-3-1 IN LAST 8 TB ATS PICKS | +68
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Larry Hartstein
Houston -4
The Texans are in bounceback mode after losing a close one at home last week, and they're going to harass Matt Ryan from the outset. Atlanta is terrible when it comes to covering on the road or versus the AFC. Lay it.
15-8 IN LAS 23 NFL ATS PICKS | +616
16-10-1 N LAST 27 HOU ATS PICKS | +509
15-10 IN LAST 25 ATL ATS PICKS | +373
R.J. White
Houston -4
With this line dropping a full point, I love the value we're getting with Houston. The best unit in this game is the Houston defense, and Atlanta hasn't shown what they do well after four weeks. The offensive line is a huge concern with four O-linemen on the injury report, and Matt Ryan's accuracy has been off for much of the year. The Falcons are now on an 0-12 ATS streak against the AFC and 5-22 against the AFC in their last 27. I'll count on the Texans front winning their battle and Deshaun Watson hitting enough big plays to get us the cover.
25-20 IN LAST 45 NFL PICKS | +273
25-12 IN LAST 37 ATL ATS PICKS | +1165
19-14-2 IN LAST 35 HOU ATS PICKS | +367
Mike Tierney
UNDER 48.5
This match up has drawn the third-highest total of Week 5, even though both sides are 3-1 on Under plays. In fact, Houston has not played Over in the past six home games. Atlanta has scored the fifth-fewest points in the league while yielding the 11th fewest. QB Matt Ryan, though still effective, is throwing shorter to accommodate his aging arm and diminished mobility. Thus, the Falcons are no longer the quick-strike offense of yore.
7-2 IN LAST 9 HOU O/U PICKS | +480
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R.J. White
Buffalo +3
Josh Allen was listed as questionable on the team's final injury report for the week, but it's great news that he was able to practice in full on Friday. If he plays, I love the Bills getting three points against a Tennessee team coming off a win, a situation where they're an NFL-worst 10-20-1 ATS since 2015, Marcus Mariota's first year. Tennessee is also 11-17-2 ATS as a favorite since 2015. The Bills defense is the best unit in this game -- it's not even close -- and you have to like their chances of shutting down the Titans offense like they did last year in a 13-12 loss. This year's Bills are better, and they get the win here.
25-20 IN LAST 45 NFL PICKS | +273
20-10 IN LAST 30 TEN ATS PICKS | +883
8-3 IN LAST 11 BUF ATS PICKS | +470
Emory Hunt
Tennessee -3
Buffalo will play this game without starting QB Josh Allen, who was knocked out last week against the Patriots and is in the concussion protocol. That means Matt Barkley will be asked to go toe-to-toe with one of the tougher defenses in the AFC. He brings accuracy to the table, but he doesn't bring the same athleticism as Allen, and that could be a problem in this game.
3-1 IN LAST 4 TEN ATS PICKS | +190
Mike Tierney
Tennessee -3
Buffalo has enough trouble scoring with Josh Allen at QB. So how will the Bills reach paydirt with Matt Barkley at the helm, against an opponent that ranks first for points allowed? The visitors must count on forcing turnovers to challenge this spread. However, QB Marcus Mariota has yet to throw an interception, so scratch that idea. The Bills’ 3-0 record before a setback to New England deserves an asterisk, seeing as how they beat both New York teams plus Cincinnati.
8-2 IN LAST 10 TEN ATS PICKS | +577
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Bill Marzano
L.A. Chargers -6
I never like betting against a winless team in a division rivalry game, but Denver is bad. This team is struggling on both sides of the ball. On defense the Broncos have just one sack and are not creating any turnovers. On offense Joe Flacco has problems, period. Meanwhile the Chargers have a chance to make a run with Melvin Gordon back on the field and their defense slowly getting healthier. The Broncos are just 5-15-1 against the spread in their last 21 games against the AFC West. The numbers favor a low-scoring game. I like the Chargers to cover.
Mike Tierney
OVER 44.5
Stunning stat of the NFL season: The Broncos are seeking their first turnover. Denver's once-vaunted defense ranks 19th in the NFL, giving up 5.9 yards per play and could suffer further without DE Bradley Chubb (ACL). His pass-rush counterpart, L.A.’s Melvin Ingram (knee), also is shelved for the 21st-rated team for yards yielded per snap. The Chargers’ offense gets a boost with the return of holdout RB Melvin Gordon. This all adds up to me taking the Over.
4-2 IN LAST 6 DEN O/U PICKS | +180
R.J. White
Denver +6.5
The Broncos deserve better than 0-4; their offense ranks 12th in DVOA and sixth in yards per drive but just hasn't lit up the scoreboard, ranking 23rd in points per drive. The defense hasn't played all that well but it takes time to adjust to Vic Fangio's scheme. It looks like they'll be healthier this week, while the Chargers are still dealing with a massive amount of injuries. L.A. is returning from a long road trip to Miami and hasn't played well at home as big favorites over the last year-plus. Denver finds a way to keep this one close.
25-20 IN LAST 45 NFL PICKS | +273
4-0 IN LAST 4 DEN ATS PICKS | +400
2-1 IN LAST 3 LAC ATS PICKS | +88
Hank Goldberg
L.A. Chargers -6.5
Where was Denver's defense last week, at home versus Jacksonville? The Broncos' season is over already. The Chargers' secondary is still beat up, but they're home and they've always played well against Denver at home. I love the Chargers this week.
13-10 IN LAST 23 NFL ATS PICKS | +187
2-1 IN LAST 3 LAC ATS PICKS | +79
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Larry Hartstein
UNDER 47
Green Bay @ Dallas
The Cowboys didn't allow a touchdown last week and now they're back home and preparing to face a Packers team that could be without its top receiver. Dallas will attack Green Bay on the ground, chewing up clock. Go Under.
16-9 IN LAST 25 NFL PICKS | +606
R.J. White
UNDER 47
Green Bay @ Dallas
Both defenses have played well overall, though both have struggled against the run, especially Green Bay. That's bad news for the Packers against the Cowboys, right? Well, Tyron Smith is going to miss the game, and the left tackle is a huge reason the Dallas offense continues to hum. With right tackle La'el Collins also missing practice to start the week, the Cowboys O-line could struggle more than people expect. With the Packers likely missing their top pass-catcher, it seems like a great spot for this total to go Under.
25-20 IN LAST 45 NFL PICKS | +273
4-3 IN LAST 7 DAL O/U PICKS | +70
Hank Goldberg
Dallas -3.5
Green Bay has been giving up 150 yards a game rushing and look who they're facing this week. I think Dallas will run all over them. Davante Adams isn't practicing and if he can't play, Green Bay has big problems.
13-10 IN LAST 23 NFL ATS PICKS | +187
3-0 IN LAST 3 DAL ATS PICKS | +300
4-1 IN LAST 5 GB ATS PICKS | +290
Emory Hunt
Dallas -3.5
If Green Bay had stuck with the running game against the Eagles on Thursday night, the outcome would have been much different. What was also evident in that game was the Packers' struggles in stopping the run. The Cowboys have one of the better running games in the league, especially when you include Dak Prescott's ability to run. Dallas will use a complementary approach on offense to knock out the Packers.
21-10-1 IN LAST 32 DAL ATS PICKS | +989
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Tony Bruno
titans
Texans
Bears
Vikings
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Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Oct 6 2019 1:00PM
465 TAM 3.0(-110) Pinnacle vs 466 NOS triple-dime bet
Analysis: HUGE disparity in these teams' offenses in terms of the ability to generate big plays, and throw the ball downfield.
Bridgewater is 0/7 on passes over 15 yards downfield this year. Contrast that to the high Octane Bucs' passing attack and the Bucs have a HUGE edge on D.
The Bucs D is improved.
HUGE value with Tbay here.....
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Dwayne Bryant
5% Bears -5 (Max Bet Blowout)
4% Vikings -5
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Ultra Sports
466 New Orleans Saints -3
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Maddux NFL
10* Atlanta +4.5
10* Atlanta/Houston over 49
10* Tampa Bay +4
10* Chicago -5
10* NY Jets +14.5
10* Pittsburgh +3.5
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BezoBets
NFL: Carolina Panthers -3 @ 1.865/-116 (3 Units)
NFL: Atlanta Falcons +4 @ 1.93/-108 (3 Units)
NFL: Minnesota Vikings -5.5 @ 1.921/-109 (2 Units)
NFL: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 @ 1.939/-106 (2 Units)
NFL: Green Bay Packers +3.5 @ 1.888/-113 (2 Units
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PickersMx
Lady Pickers
75 Dimes
New England Pats -15.5
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Virgobbi Sports
PIT +3.5 (-114)
NOS -3 (-104)
ARI-CIN u47.5 (-113)
GB-DAL u46.5 (-105)
GB +3.5 (-113)
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Lee Sterling
35 Minny
30 TN
25 KC
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Sharp Totals Club
2*Bengals Under
2*Cowboys Under
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Al Demarco
Top-Rated 15 Dime Release
Chicago -
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Bobby Valentino'
75 DIME
NFL Winner
NFC Marquee Dead Mortal Lock
Packers
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LV Wolf
Denver +6
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Ultra Sports 10/6
Bears
Vikings
Saints
Packers
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Sbb/Vince Akins 6-2 mlb
Wash -112
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Mti tease buf +9 jax +9 pit +9.5
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Bob Balfe
2-3 Yesterday
NFL Football
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #455-456
Bengals -3 over Cardinals
Write up coming
NFL Football
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #457-458
Jags/Panthers Over 40
Write up coming
NFL Football
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #463-464
Jets +14 over Eagles
NFL Football
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #469-470
Titans -3 over Bills
NFL Football
4:25 PM EST
Rotation #473-474
Cowboys -3 over Packers
NFL Football
8:20 PM EST
Rotation #475-476
Colts/Chiefs Over 56
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allan desrosiers
15 houston ( first Half )
10 vikes
8 bears
8 tenn under
8 tampa under
8 teaser chi / lac
6 teaser pats/ tampa
6 teaer jags/jets
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King Creole Sports
2* OVER 47 Tampa Bay at Saints
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Midwest NFL Handicapping
PITT +3.5
CHI -5
SF -4
ARIZ +3
TAMPA +3
PHIL -14
MINN ML
KC ML
Teaser
PITT +9.5/CHI +1
GB +10/TAMPA +9
ATL +10/PHIL -8
NE -8.5/ARIZ +9
JAX +10/CHI +1
KC -3/OVER 50
LAC +.5/NYG +11.5
SEATTLE +4/OVER 40 WIN
OVER/UNDER
DAL/NO UNDER 46
JAX/CAR OVER 40
NE/WASH UNDER 41.5
MINN/NY UNDER 43.5
PHIL/NYJ UNDER 44.5
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Maddux NFL
Upgrading:
20* Tampa Bay +4/+3
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Primetime Sports Picks For 10/06/19
4 Unit --> Chicago -5.5 over Oakland (NFL)
3 Unit --> Denver/L.A. Chargers UNDER 44.5 (NFL)
3 Unit --> L.A. Dodgers (Ryu) +105 over Washington (Scherzer)
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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
4* Steelers
3* Cardinals NFL
3* Vikings
3* Saints
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ELITE SPORTS PICKS
Packers
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NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
5* Bears
3* Jags
3* Bills Under
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Bondi
6* Dallas
3* Minnesota, Tampa Bay
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500Bets
raiders under 7.5 1Q
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Paul Leiner
3000* MUST WIN NFL
LOCK OF THE YEAR
Over 44 Steelers/Ravens
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TKwins
3* Houston -4
3* Cincinnati -2.5
4* Green Bay +3.5
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Washington pitching change. Max Scherzer has been scratched from Sunday's start and Anibal Sanchez is now expected to start
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Executive Sportsline football
Sun, Oct 6
1:00
NFL
400%
Tennessee -3
over Buffalo
..
1:00
NFL
300%
Minnesota -5'
over NY Giants
..
4:25
NFL
300%
Green Bay +4
over Dallas
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Jack Winningham
October 6, 2019
NFL
GAME OF THE WEEK
DALLAS -3.5
Today is “Separation Sunday” or “Transitional Sunday”. Meaning many teams (8 to be exact) are 2-2. It’s a telling week for them, and some will move forwards, and others will never see the .500 mark again for 2019. I’m still getting a feel for these teams as the first quarter of the season is over. But I still maintain that Green Bay is over-rated. They’ve had a bit more of a running game than I expected with Aaron Jones emerging. But without Davante Adams and missing their other RB Jamaal Williams, this offense as usual is all Rodgers. The Dallas defense will be able to handle Rodgers with his main target missing. I don’t see Valdes-Scantling torching the Cowboy secondary. And they will have less time to work with than usual, as time of possession is going to be a problem. Dallas has a GREAT running game with Elliott, and the Packers run defense is horrible. This line opened at Dallas -4, and has only gone down a ½ point to -3.5. Shop around and see if you can get lucky and find Dallas -3 (but that’s a challenge). Green Bay is overmatched for this road game, and Dallas should cover the -3.5 line.
If one game isn’t enough for you, have some fun with a SMALL 10 point Triple Teaser and dip some underdogs (Remember – these lines are bumped by 10 points). Let’s work this using a $100 bet.
Place 100 on the following 10 Point Triple Teaser/Dip
Philadelphia -4
Washington +26.5
KC -1
The KC game is at 8:20PM. If the first 2 legs of the Teaser come in, place a Money Line hedge on Indianapolis. They are +415 to win outright. So, if the first 2 legs come in, you are HOME FREE. You are essentially betting FOR FREE. Why? Because if KC wins by more than 1, you win the $100 Teaser (minus the $25 hedge – you net $75). If KC loses, and you lose your $100 Teaser, you actually come out $3.75 ahead because you placed $25 on the Colt money line at +415. Read that 10 times if you have to – but when you can hedge and protect yourself – DO IT. If you don’t and you lose $100 after winning the first 2 legs of this teaser- don’t blame anyone but yourself. Sure, $75 dollars, or $3.75 isn’t a big score. But you are virtually guaranteed not to lose after the first two legs come in. The ONLY way you could go down is if KC wins by a single point, or ties. I’ll take those odds.
If you don’t like the first two legs, tease the opposite or sub in 2 other teams. But when you have a -11 line on the late game – find a way to make it work for you.
MLB
In regards to today’s 2 games, we have (if you followed me) a series bet on both the Dodgers and the Braves. Each series is tied at 1-1. The time to hedge has not yet arrived – so ride the original Series bets for today and we’ll see what to do, if anything, tomorrow.
BOL
JACK
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Sports Unlimited/Marco
5 Baltimore -3
4 Minnesota -5'
3 NY Jets +14
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Vegas Line Reader
Tampa Bay Bucs Buy 1/2 Point +3.5
Cincinnati Bengals -3 Buy 1/2 Point -2.5
Denver Broncos +6
Oakland Raiders +6.5
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Tony Weston
50 DIME
Blowout of the Month
Chargers
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Dwayne Connors
750 UNIT
Division Rivalry Lock
New Orleans
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Kelso 50 Minnesota Vikings
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Jack Brayman
40 Dime
NFL Winner # 19 of 28
-- and # 4 in a Row this season --
Kansas City
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Worlds Worst Picker NFL
His picks:
Washington
Pittsburgh
Tennessee
Tampa Bay super pick
We take:
New England
Baltimore
Buffalo
New Orleans super pick
Bol
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Chris Jordan
Top-Rated
1000♦
Interconference
Game of the Month
Jacksonville
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Steve Budin
CALI-CARTEL
First
100 DIME
NFL Release of the Season
Bears
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Scott Delaney
60 Dime
NFL Winner # 9 of 11
Houston
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Jay Mcneil
100 DIME
MAX BET
Ravens
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Matt Rivers
Biggest NFL Play in 18 Years Goes Again
28th Ever
Blank Check
Waive The Rating
NFL Game of my Career
Chargers
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Chuck O'brien
50 DIME
Sunday Night
Total of the Month
Colts-Chiefs Under
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Sean Michaels
50 DIME
NFL Winner # 3 of 4
Vikings
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Root
Mill- Oakland
No limit- giants
Perfect- Denver
Inner circle- DALLAS
Pinnacle- Cinci
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Capper Advantage
NFL: Chicago Bears -6.5
NFL: Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5
NFL: Kansas City Chiefs -10.5
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Vegas Line Reader
Tampa Bay Bucs Buy 1/2 Point +3.5
Cincinnati Bengals -3 Buy 1/2 Point -2.5
Denver Broncos +6
Oakland Raiders +6.5
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Spartan 3* - Pitt
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Bezobets
3* Panthers -3 -116
3* Falcons +4 -108
2* Vikings -5.5 -109
2* Bucs +3 -106
2* Packers +3.5 -113
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UDOg
Buffalo Bills
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