Sunday 9/22/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Sep 22 2019 1:00PM
462 GBP -7.0(-110) Bookmaker vs 461 DEN double-dime bet
Analysis: NFL WEEK 3 play!
We got it in Good here at -7.
Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Sep 22 2019 1:00PM
464 PHI -7.0(-110) Bookmaker vs 463 DET double-dime bet
NOTE, PASS at -8 !
Critical to get the key numbers in the NFL
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+EV: NFL 4u: 463 Detroit Lions +7 -110 (Sunday, September 22nd)
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DR. CHUCK
FOOTBALL PLAYS
Game: (489) Chicago Bears at (490) Washington Redskins
Date/Time: Sep 23 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Under 42.0 (-104)
View Analysis
Redskins have looked quite decent to above average on offense...despite being led by Case Keenum and a slew of receivers no one knows...no Jordan Reed yet and for the game in question...no Guice as the primary back either!
Skins came out HOT in both the losses they've suffered so far...but as the game normalized the better divisional opponent took over and other than garbage time TDs the game came down to the wire not in doubt...either week 1 or 2. The game they just played against the Boys yielded just 4.6 yards per play and featured just 9 drives. The defense Keenum has faced with his new team improved vastly from the Eagles to the Cowboys....and will now take a further step up facing the Bears on Monday night. What the Bears have lacked while they possessed the ball they have made up for by being even better than they were last year on the defensive end.
Bears defense has given up a total of 24 points despite going 1-1...and the Nagy/Trubisky combo ALMOST letting them down to the tune of 0-2 were it not for a season saving FG as time expired in Denver. Trubisky has looked anything but good and now gets a second straight road start no matter how lacking the opponent may be the spot ain't good for the Bears offense at all...and while the defense has allowed 24 points their offense has put just 19 points on the board for the Super Fans.
Vegas is certainly baiting us here with a stand alone game and knowing the action will be hot and heavy from come one come all bettors...and the majority of bettors aren't running to any windows to bet an Under....no matter what defenses are on display...and.when a total pops at 42 they are desperate!
I will have further analysis to come....but want to make sure everyone has a chance at such a great number!
41 and 41.5 (buy the hook) are both solid spots and key numbers as well....maybe not quite to the 5% range but the winner of this game likely has 20 points at most!
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BOBBY LIGS FOOTBALL PLAYS
Game: (485) Pittsburgh Steelers at (486) San Francisco 49ers
Date/Time: Sep 22 2019 4:25 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Pittsburgh Steelers 6.5 (-109)
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+EV: NFL 4u: 488 LAR/CLE un50.5 -110 (Sunday, September 22nd)
+EV: NFL 4u: 466 Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 -110 (Sunday, September 22nd)
+EV: NFL 4u: 482 Seattle Seahawks -4 -110 (Sunday, September 22nd)
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Dave Essler
NFC GOY
Arizona Cardinals +3
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Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Sep 22 2019 1:00PM
472 MIN -2.0(-110) William Hill vs 471 OAK triple-dime bet
Analysis:
The play is on a 2 team teaser:
2 team 6 point teaser.
462 GB -2 with
472 MIN -2
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Hitman
2* Vikings under 42.5
3* Vikings -1.5 & Houston +9
2* Oakland under 50
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'Hammering' Hank Goldberg (3-3 last week)
DALLAS -21
MIAMI @ DALLAS | 9/22 | 10:00 AM PDT
TENNESSEE -1.5
TENNESSEE @ JACKSONVILLE | 9/19 | 5:20 PM PDT
MINNESOTA -8
OAKLAND @ MINNESOTA | 9/22 | 10:00 AM PDT
NEW ORLEANS +4
NEW ORLEANS @ SEATTLE | 9/22 | 1:25 PM PDT
L.A. RAMS -3
L.A. RAMS @ CLEVELAND | 9/22 | 5:20 PM PDT
KANSAS CITY -6.5
BALTIMORE @ KANSAS CITY | 9/22 | 10:00 AM PDT
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Hitman
3* NFL Teaser of the Month
Vikings -1.5
Texans +9
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+EV: NFL 4u: 461 Denver Broncos +7.5 -105 (Sunday, September 22nd)
+EV: NFL 4u: 302 Jacksonville Jaguars +8.5 and 472 Minnesota Vikings -2.5 (6.5 Point Teaser) (-130) (Thursday and Sunday)
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Hitman
2* Vikings under 42.5
3* Vikings -1.5 & Houston +9
2* Oakland under 50
Correction***
2* Vikings under 42.5
3* Vikings -1.5 & Houston +9 teaser
2* Cleveland under 50
2* Giants +6.5
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Doug Upstone
nfl
6-indy-1.5
4-jags+1.5
4-balt+6
4-minn-9
4-arizona-2.5
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LV Wolf
Detroit +6
NYG + 7(-130)
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Cowherd blazin 5
Kc chiefs
Lions
NY giants
Steelers
Rams
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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole
SINGLE PLAYS:
Baltimore +5.5
Indianapolis -1
Cleveland +3
Minnesota -8.5
Dallas -22.5
Green Bay--Denver under 43
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Jeff Ma
denver
bengals
ravens
panthers
giants
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Hank Goldberg
NO
Dallas
Rams
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Pointwise phones
4-baltimore
3-dallas, buffalo/cincinnati under
2- denver/greenbay under, cleveland,chicago
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Nfac
SUNDAY 9-22-19 =
485) PITTSBURGH +7 (-125) - Buy 1/2 PT...($800) - BIG MOVE - Bovada at 7
481) NEW ORLEANS +4.5...($750) via 5dimes
481) OVER 44.5 NOS-SEA...($750) via 5dimes
461) DENVER +7.5 (-120) - Buy 1/2 PT...($750) via Cantor
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Alex B Smith Sports
NFL
9/22 1* Seahawks -4
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Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 22 2019 1:00PM
461 DEN / 462 GBP UNDER 43.0 Southpointtriple-dime bet
Analysis: Bet this today, it should move down Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Sep 22 2019 1:00PM
473 NYJ 21.0(-110) Southpoint vs 474 NEP double-dime bet
Analysis: 2 star play +21 or more
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Marco D'Angelo
NFL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK
4% Denver +7
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Virgobbi Sports NFL
9/22:
Mia +22 (-114)
den-gb u42.5 (-111)
det +4.5 (-108)
pit +6.5 (-102)
lar -3.5 (+104)
bal +5.5 (-108
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R J White
GREEN BAY -7.5
DENVER @ GREEN BAY | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
FRI 9/20
I had hoped this line would tip to Packers -7 by now, but even if this is where it stays by kickoff, I like the home team to cover. The Packers sport one of the best home-field advantages in the league, and the Broncos offense has been woeful over the first two weeks. Yes, they've played tough defenses, but this Green Bay unit looks like it could be one of the best in the league as well. Though the Broncos have a good defense as well, facing Aaron Rodgers is a step up from matchups with Derek Carr and Mitchell Trubisky. Packers in a rout.
13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL PICKS | +529
26-4 IN LAST 30 GB ATS PICKS | +2155
3-0 IN LAST 3 DEN ATS PICKS | +300
SEATTLE -4.5
NEW ORLEANS @ SEATTLE | 9/22 | 4:25 PM EDT
FRI 9/20
The Seahawks are getting healthier, with Ziggy Ansah set to make his season debut, which will strengthen the front four for Seattle. I need to see something better from Teddy Bridgewater than what he showed last week and in Week 17 last year before he gets as strong a rating as this line implies with the dropoff from Drew Brees. Going into Seattle, where the Seahawks have won their last 15 home games in September and are 12-3 ATS during that stretch, isn't easy when you're relatively healthy. For the Saints, it could get ugly.
13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL PICKS | +529
12-5-2 IN LAST 19 SEA ATS PICKS | +639
UNDER 41 CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON | 9/23 | 8:15 PM EDT
THU 9/19
I've already hit the spread in this game, but I'm going to come back around and take the Under as well. Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears offense have looked pretty awful so far, and I don't know how you trust them on the road. But Chicago has one of the best defenses in the league, and you have to figure they'll show up in primetime. This should be just like the first two Bears game, with not a lot of scoring in the cards.
13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL PICKS | +529
2-1 IN LAST 3 WAS O/U PICKS | +90
ATLANTA +1.5
ATLANTA @ INDIANAPOLIS | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 9/19
The Falcons come into this game as the healthier team, with the Colts banged up in particular on defense. I like the matchup of Matt Ryan vs. Jacoby Brissett considering that we're on the side getting points. The Falcons defense ranks top eight in net yards allowed per pass attempt and yards allowed per rush attempt, so that defense has played well through two weeks despite tough matchups. The Falcons' receiving weapons should win out in this battle, and I like the Falcons in an indoor game when they go on the road.
13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL PICKS | +529
21-7-1 IN LAST 29 IND ATS PICKS | +1317
24-11 IN LAST 35 ATL ATS PICKS | +1176
L.A. RAMS -3
L.A. RAMS @ CLEVELAND | 9/22 | 8:20 PM EDT
WED 9/18
I don't think this line is going down, with Chris Hubbard in a walking boot and the Browns not looking great despite their win on Monday, so I'm going to hop on the Rams at -3. I think there's a big coaching mismatch between Sean McVay and Freddie Kitchens, and I like the Rams' pass-catchers matching up against the Browns secondary a lot more than Odell Beckham Jr. & Co. against Aqib Talib and the Rams. And if this game is close late, I have much more faith in Greg Zuerlein making a key kick.
13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL PICKS | +529
21-8-1 IN LAST 30 LAR ATS PICKS | +1195
9-4-1 IN LAST 14 CLE ATS PICKS | +470
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Tom Fornelli
OVER 48.5 HOUSTON @ L.A. CHARGERS | 9/22 | 4:25 PM EDT
THU 9/19
A nice, warm day in sunny LA, a couple of quarterbacks who love to air it out, and two defenses that have not been able to get to the QB so far this season. I have no idea what happens with this spread, but I love the Over.
7-2 IN LAST 9 NFL PICKS | +484
WASHINGTON +4
CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON | 9/23 | 8:15 PM EDT
THU 9/19
Matt Nagy does not believe in his quarterback. That was evident in Chicago's offensive gameplan against Denver on the road last weekend, and it will be clear again on the road against Washington. The Bears are going to win this game, but if his coach isn't willing to, why should I trust Mitch Trubisky as a road favorite?
7-2 IN LAST 9 NFL PICKS | +484
3-1 IN LAST 4 WAS ATS PICKS | +194
OVER 47 ATLANTA @ INDIANAPOLIS | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 9/19
Atlanta's offense always performs better indoors, and if not for three turnovers last week, it would have put a lot more points on the board. The Colts offense has been a bit conservative in the first two weeks, but that's been because they've been on the road. At home, in the third game with Jacoby Brissett, I expect Frank Reich to open things up, and we're going to have a shootout on our hands here.
7-2 IN LAST 9 NFL PICKS | +484
CINCINNATI +6
CINCINNATI @ BUFFALO | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 9/19
After getting blown out at home by San Francisco last week it looks as though the Bengals are being underrated this week. I don't know that the Bengals are going on the road and winning this game, but I'm not quite ready to trust the Bills as nearly a touchdown favorite just yet.
7-2 IN LAST 9 NFL PICKS | +484
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Mike Tierney
ARIZONA -2.5
CAROLINA @ ARIZONA | 9/22 | 4:05 PM EDT
THU 9/19
Who thought the Cardinals would find favor this early in their overhaul process? This pick is predicated on the likely absence of Carolina quarterback Cam Newton (foot). Though the Panthers are coy about his status, Newton missed practice Thursday, leaving undrafted NFL sophomore Kyle Allen as the apparent starter. Arizona rookie quarterback Kyler Murray is adapting nicely to Kliff Kingsbury’s college-style offense, which is much better than its predecessor. It should register enough points against a visiting team minus its main man.
8-4 IN LAST 12 NFL ATS PICKS | +355
6-4 IN LAST 10 CAR ATS PICKS | +160
DENVER +7.5
DENVER @ GREEN BAY | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 9/19
The mighty Green Bay offense -- not! -- has carved out a per-play average of 4.3 yards, the fourth fewest in the NFL. The Packers should not be spotting more than a touchdown. Denver, despite its formidable pass rushers, has yet to record a sack. That drought should end against quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who tends to hold onto the ball in the pocket. The Broncos might be 0-2 straight-up, but its losses are by a combined 10 points.
8-4 IN LAST 12 NFL ATS PICKS | +355
6-2 IN LAST 8 GB ATS PICKS | +375
4-3 IN LAST 7 DEN ATS PICKS | +62
DETROIT +6
DETROIT @ PHILADELPHIA | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 9/19
This one is all about the Eagles -- or, more precisely, the lack of Eagles. It’s only Week 3, yet Philly is so banged up that it eschewed an actual practice on Wednesday for a virtual walkthrough. Among the absentees this week are receivers DeSean Jackson and Alshon Jeffery, plus three key defenders. The Eagles’ rushing game has been pedestrian, so quarterback Carson Wentz might be throwing to less reliable targets than usual. Detroit should be able to keep Philly within arm’s length.
8-4 IN LAST 12 NFL ATS PICKS | +355
3-1 IN LAST 4 PHI ATS PICKS | +190
UNDER 52 BALTIMORE @ KANSAS CITY | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 9/19
If any team can slow down Kansas City’s freight train offense, it’s Baltimore. The Ravens rank second in the NFL in yards allowed (274.5 per game) and have been dinged for only two touchdowns, albeit against easy-touch opponents. Quarterback Lamar Jackson has unleashed only 57 passes as coach John Harbaugh leans toward the rush in play-calling. The Ravens blitzed quarterback Patrick Mahomes successfully last season and, though the game did generate 51 points, kept him relatively in check.
9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +345
11-6 IN LAST 17 KC O/U PICKS | +456
UNDER 47 MIAMI @ DALLAS | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
WED 9/18
Miami’s offense is historically bad. Its defense is no world-beater, but the Dolphins had little chance of covering last Sunday because Bill Belichick displays no mercy against helpless foes. Dallas coach Jason Garrett will be less inclined to run up the score. Look for him to pound Ezekiel Elliott regularly, then turn it over to backups while not exposing QB Dak Prescott. The Cowboys could have one eye on next week’s foe -- New Orleans.
9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +345
7-3 IN LAST 10 DAL O/U PICKS | +370
OAKLAND +8.5
OAKLAND @ MINNESOTA | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
WED 9/18
Minnesota, with its reliance on the ground game, seems to have lost faith in QB Kirk Cousins. Oakland’s rush defense allowed a mere 2.8 yards per carry, tied for fifth in the league, so Vikings coach Mike Zimmer might have to lean on Cousins more than he would prefer. The QB’s passer ranking is 30th among starters. The Vikings are undeniably tough at home, but this is a generous spot against a team pointing north under coach Jon Gruden.
8-4 IN LAST 12 NFL ATS PICKS | +355
4-0 IN LAST 4 MIN ATS PICKS | +400
5-4-2 IN LAST 11 OAK ATS PICKS | +66
WASHINGTON +4
CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON | 9/23 | 8:15 PM EDT
WED 9/18
The Redskins’ flailing defense is about to get some relief. Chicago has scored only 19 points -- three on the final play of its last game on a mile-long field goal. QB Mitch Trubisky has not caught onto coach Matt Nagy’s offense. No such team should be spotting four points to anyone aside from Miami. In fact, Washington QB Case Keenum, a placeholder for rookie Dwayne Haskins, has been better than Trubisky. An extra day to prepare could allow various injured Redskins enough time to mend. If the heightened home-field advantage on Monday night kicks in, the ’Skins, in desperation mode at 0-2, could win outright.
8-4 IN LAST 12 NFL ATS PICKS | +355
13-5 IN LAST 18 WAS ATS PICKS | +743
UNDER 48 N.Y. GIANTS @ TAMPA BAY | 9/22 | 4:05 PM EDT
TUE 9/17
QB Eli Manning gives way to rookie Daniel Jones earlier than expected. It took only to games for the Giants to lose faith in the veteran. In past seasons, Tampa Bay and its porous defense would have made an ideal launching pad for Jones' career, but the Bucs are vastly improved. Their per-play yield of 4.6 yards is tied for fourth-lowest in the league. On offense, the inconsistency of QB Jameis Winston suggests the Bucs' unit will do its share to keep a lid on the scoring.
9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +345
3-0 IN LAST 3 NYG O/U PICKS | +300
UNDER 44 N.Y. JETS @ NEW ENGLAND | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
TUE 9/17
In its past three games, beginning with the high-octane Rams in the Super Bowl, New England has permitted six total points. Through two weeks this year, the Patriots' allowance of four yards per snap is well below the next stingiest defense (Chicago's at 4.4). The previous 14 Pats outings have produced 11 Unders, and another looms with the Jets likely down to their third-string QB, Luke Falk. Now, if only coach Bill Belichick will call off the dogs offensively in the fourth quarter, which he refrained from doing against Miami.
9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +345
5-3 IN LAST 8 NYJ O/U PICKS | +169
__________________
Emory Hunt
OAKLAND +8.5
OAKLAND @ MINNESOTA | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
WED 9/18
The Vikings have played some strong defense in 2019, and RB Dalvin Cook has been impressive through two weeks. The problem with Minnesota is the ineffective, turnover-prone Kirk Cousins at quarterback. The big-money QB has just a 10.2 QBR so far, and has as many interceptions (2) as touchdowns. Shhhh, no one wants to mention just how good Oakland has been so far. Derek Carr has thrown for 457 yards and a 51.1 QBR that is 15th in the NFL. The Raiders just look better than the Vikings so far, and the road dog looks good here.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
10-7-2 IN LAST 19 OAK ATS PICKS | +220
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIN ATS PICKS | +70
PITTSBURGH +6.5
PITTSBURGH @ SAN FRANCISCO | 9/22 | 4:25 PM EDT
WED 9/18
Mike Tomlin isn't about to compromise the standards of the Steeler Way, and that means no training wheels on second-year quarterback Mason Rudolph – who takes over for Ben Roethlisberger after Big Ben's season-ending elbow injury. Rudolph has weapons, including former Oklahoma State teammate and deep-ball threat James Washington, at WR. Pittsburgh has to keep a keen eye on 49ers tight end George Kittle. Home field in this one doesn't mean a ton when it is Levi's Stadium, so take the Steelers and the points.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
WASHINGTON +4
CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON | 9/23 | 8:15 PM EDT
WED 9/18
This Bears defense is still every bit as good as advertised, which is good because the offense has been anemic and quarterback Mitch Trubisky seems to be regressing week to week. Trubisky has only thrown for 238 yards and doesn't have a passing TD so far en route to a 22.1 QBR. Washington had looked downright capable in the first half of games against Philadelphia and Dallas, only to fade in both down the stretch. This is a game for the Redskins to finally figure it out for four quarters, and for more questions about Trubisky to be asked in Chicago.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
13-7 IN LAST 20 WAS ATS PICKS | +511
9-7-1 IN LAST 17 CHI ATS PICKS | +124
L.A. RAMS -3
L.A. RAMS @ CLEVELAND | 9/22 | 8:20 PM EDT
WED 9/18
This wasn't the Cleveland Browns offense we were promised heading into the season, as all the weapons surrounding QB Baker Mayfield haven't exactly coalesced into a productive unit. The cure that ails the Browns doesn't come this weekend, as the Rams defense is outstanding again in 2019. If Cleveland's defense can at least slow Jared Goff and the prolific Los Angeles offense, can the offense finally find the spark this week? I doubt it.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
11-6-2 IN LAST 19 LAR ATS PICKS | +436
3-2-1 IN LAST 6 CLE ATS PICKS | +80
ARIZONA -2.5
CAROLINA @ ARIZONA | 9/22 | 4:05 PM EDT
WED 9/18
Cam Newton is questionable for this game with a foot sprain, but he hasn't exactly looked like the Cam Newton of old all season. Newton hasn't thrown a touchdown pass yet in 2019, and his 26.4 quarterback rating is 29th in the NFL. If Newton is out, then Carolina turns to second-year QB Kyle Allen – who is 20-for-31 for 266 yards and two TDs in his career. The Cardinals are looking better and better every week, with rookie QB Kyler Murray maturing every game under first-year coach Kliff Kingsbury. That maturation continues in this game.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
6-4 IN LAST 10 ARI ATS PICKS | +153
TAMPA BAY -6.5
N.Y. GIANTS @ TAMPA BAY | 9/22 | 4:05 PM EDT
WED 9/18
Welcome to the Daniel Jones Era in New York, as the rookie Giants quarterback assumes the reins in their Week 3 road game at Tampa Bay. While Jones' performance will be closely watched in relation to Eli Manning, the real story in this game could be the play of the Buccaneers' defense. Can the fast, aggressive D that loves to blitz stymie a rookie quarterback on the road in his first start? You better believe it.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
4-2-1 IN LAST 7 TB ATS PICKS | +179
5-3 IN LAST 8 NYG ATS PICKS | +168
DALLAS -21.5
MIAMI @ DALLAS | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
WED 9/18
How can the Dolphins' season get worse? Try heading to Dallas to take on the surging Cowboys. Miami's fire sale continued when it traded Minkah Fitzpatrick to the Steelers for more future draft picks, and come into this one seemingly content to go 0-16 for the 2020 No. 1 overall pick. Dallas isn't tanking for anyone, and is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games. The total has gone over in the Cowboys' last five games, too. This one gets out of hand fast.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
20-9-1 IN LAST 30 DAL ATS PICKS | +1000
3-2-1 IN LAST 6 MIA ATS PICKS | +80
NEW ENGLAND -23
N.Y. JETS @ NEW ENGLAND | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
WED 9/18
The Patriots have won 17 straight home games, and are 6-0 against the spread in their last six games – including a 43-0 whipping of the Dolphins last week. New England has also won eight straight games straight up against the Jets at Gillette Stadium. The Jets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games, and are 0-5 straight up. Making matters worse is that both Sam Darnold (mononucleosis) and Trevor Siemian (ankle) are out Sunday. Sure, RB Le'Veon Bell is great, but he is one player. Tom Brady and the Patriots roll again.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
9-7 IN LAST 16 NYJ ATS PICKS | +133
BALTIMORE +6.5
BALTIMORE @ KANSAS CITY | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
WED 9/18
Two young quarterbacks take center stage in this one at Arrowhead Stadium, with Baltimore's Lamar Jackson facing off against Kansas City's Patrick Mahomes. Jackson has the Ravens clicking at 2-0, and has piled up 722 yards of total offense with seven passing touchdowns. Mahomes is at peak form again, with 821 passing yards and seven TDs. The Ravens continue to rate among the NFL's best defensively, and while the Chiefs have made strides on defense they still aren't at that level. Kansas City WR Tyreek Hill is out with a shoulder injury, and even with a resurgent Sammy Watkins, the Chiefs still can't run the ball much.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
11-8 IN LAST 19 KC ATS PICKS | +239
4-3 IN LAST 7 BAL ATS PICKS | +69
__________________
Stephen Oh
CHI. WHITE SOX -103
CHI. WHITE SOX @ DETROIT | 9/22 | 1:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:52 PM
The White Sox are winning about 60 percent of my simulations, making the road dog a strong play. Bet against the Tigers, who are 12-48 in their last 60 home games.
169-134 IN LAST 303 MLB PICKS | +3029
36-11 IN LAST 47 DET ML PICKS | +2326
23-16 IN LAST 39 CHW ML PICKS | +571
__________________
Mike McClure
OAKLAND +9
OAKLAND @ MINNESOTA | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:36 PM
Backing the Oakland Raiders is never fun, but this is too many points against the the Vikings. My simulations make the Vikings just -6.5 home favorites. Take the points.
3-2 IN LAST 5 NFL ATS PICKS | +78
3-1-1 IN LAST 5 MIN ATS PICKS | +197
2-1 IN LAST 3 OAK ATS PICKS | +90
KANSAS CITY -5.5
BALTIMORE @ KANSAS CITY | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:31 PM
The weather will make an impact on this game, and I like the home team to be in a better position to deal with the conditions. The Chiefs defense is improved this season, and is much better at Arrowhead. My simulations make Mahomes and company -7.5 favorites against Lamar Jackson. Lay it.
3-2 IN LAST 5 NFL ATS PICKS | +78
3-0 IN LAST 3 KC ATS PICKS | +300
2-1 IN LAST 3 BAL ATS PICKS | +97
GREEN BAY -7
DENVER @ GREEN BAY | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:26 PM
I'm not projecting the Broncos to travel well at Green Bay. Look for a big day from Rodgers to Adams, as my model makes the Packers -9.5 home favorites over Flacco and the Broncos. Lay it.
3-2 IN LAST 5 NFL ATS PICKS | +78
5-2-1 IN LAST 8 DEN ATS PICKS | +290
2-1 IN LAST 3 GB ATS PICKS | +102
__________________
Josh Nagel
PHILADELPHIA -6.5
DETROIT @ PHILADELPHIA | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
WED 9/18
There's a discount offered on the Eagles here, both inside the key number of 7 and from the opening mark of -8.5. The Lions managed just 339 yards of total offense in last week's win over the Chargers, but their defense made key stops in the 13-10 win. The Eagles came up just short in rallying from an 11-point deficit against the Falcons. But their offense got flowing in the second half and, if they pick up where they left off, they should have too much for the Lions to keep pace with Sunday.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL ATS PICKS | +91
9-3 IN LAST 12 PHI ATS PICKS | +570
__________________
Brett Anderson
OVER 52.5 BALTIMORE @ KANSAS CITY | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:36 AM
This total is down 2.5 points since Monday, putting it 1.5 points above what these teams reached last season. The difference is that Lamar Jackson has shown he’s a more willing and able passer than he was as a rookie, and he'll throw for a lot more than the 147 yards he got in K.C. in 2018. The Ravens defense lost some key players and hasn’t been tested yet, and the Chiefs won’t take their foot off the gas this week against a talented Baltimore offense. Take the Over.
4-2 IN LAST 6 NFL PICKS | +180
UNDER 43 DENVER @ GREEN BAY | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 9/19
Neither of these teams has played a game this season where the total went over 40. Neither offense has scored more than 21 points in a game. Both defenses are in the top 10 in yards allowed. They'll play outdoors on grass, and one of the quarterbacks is Joe Flacco. There are a lot of reasons to think this game is going Under 43, even with Aaron Rodgers involved. Maybe Rodgers will get comfortable in the new Packers offense and start lighting it up this season, but don't expect it this week.
4-2 IN LAST 6 NFL PICKS | +180
L.A. RAMS -3
L.A. RAMS @ CLEVELAND | 9/22 | 8:20 PM EDT
THU 9/19
Aaron Donald vs. the Browns' offensive line is unlikely to end well for Cleveland, and neither is Sean McVay vs. Freddie Kitchens. Assuming Donald is healthy (he was limited in practice Wednesday but there's no reason to think he won't play), he'll expose one of the Browns' biggest problem areas. McVay's Rams have avoided a Super Bowl hangover, and I think they'll be energized for a primetime game against the offseason champs. This line could rise, so it's time to jump. Lay the points.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
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Larry Hartstein
CLEVELAND -141
PHILADELPHIA @ CLEVELAND | 9/22 | 6:37 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:06 PM
Adam Plutko has allowed two or fewer runs in five of his past six starts, and I like the Indians to bounce back Sunday. Back Cleveland to improve to 6-1 in its last seven home games.
3-2 IN LAST 5 MLB ML PICKS | +154
27-12 IN LAST 39 CLE ML PICKS | +1467
ATLANTA +1.5
ATLANTA @ INDIANAPOLIS | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:58 PM
Matt Ryan has thrown five interceptions so far, a rate that won't continue. The Colts are severely banged up, with Marlon Mack and Ty Hilton questionable and Darius Leonard (concussion) out. Back Atlanta to excel inside the dome.
5-3 IN LAST 8 NFL ATS PICKS | +172
15-9 IN LAST 24 ATL ATS PICKS | +482
7-2-1 IN LAST 10 IND ATS PICKS | +480
KANSAS CITY -5.5
BALTIMORE @ KANSAS CITY | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:47 PM
The Chiefs' defense is improved and will look a lot better at home. Baltimore is missing two key defensive backs, and Patrick Mahomes will take advantage. Lay it.
5-3 IN LAST 8 NFL ATS PICKS | +172
4-2-1 IN LAST 7 BAL ATS PICKS | +178
GREEN BAY -7
DENVER @ GREEN BAY | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:39 PM
This line has come down to the key number. The Packers' offense should finally break out against a Denver team that I don't think will travel well. Lay it.
5-3 IN LAST 8 NFL ATS PICKS | +172
11-2 IN LAST 13 GB ATS PICKS | +880
3-0 IN LAST 3 DEN ATS PICKS | +300
PITTSBURGH +6.5
PITTSBURGH @ SAN FRANCISCO | 9/22 | 4:25 PM EDT
FRI 9/20
Mason Rudolph gave the offense a jolt when he took over for Big Ben, and I think that carries over Sunday. The 0-2 Steelers are clearly more desperate than the 2-0 49ers, who are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 home games. Look for a game that comes down to the wire.
5-3 IN LAST 8 NFL ATS PICKS | +172
10-6-1 IN LAST 17 SF ATS PICKS | +338
2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ATS PICKS | +90
L.A. RAMS -3
L.A. RAMS @ CLEVELAND | 9/22 | 8:20 PM EDT
FRI 9/20
The Rams have been a covering machine on the road, and they're facing an undisciplined Browns team battling a ton of key injuries. Lay the points before this line moves higher.
5-3 IN LAST 8 NFL ATS PICKS | +172
14-6 IN LAST 20 LAR ATS PICKS | +717
MINNESOTA -9
OAKLAND @ MINNESOTA | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
FRI 9/20
Mike Zimmer is 15-5 ATS versus AFC foes, not to mention 29-13-1 ATS at home since taking over in Minnesota. The Vikings are in bounceback mode after their frustrating loss in Green Bay, facing a Raiders team that could be missing right tackle Trent Brown (knee). He did not practice all week. It's a big number, but these are the type of games Minnesota dominates.
5-3 IN LAST 8 NFL ATS PICKS | +172
16-4-1 IN LAST 21 MIN ATS PICKS | +1155
4-1 IN LAST 5 OAK ATS PICKS | +290
DETROIT +7
DETROIT @ PHILADELPHIA | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
WED 9/18
This line appears headed below a touchdown, so jump on it now. The Lions are going to play close games every week and this should be no exception. Philly is banged up at receiver and at defensive tackle. The Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last five September games. Grab the points.
5-3 IN LAST 8 NFL ATS PICKS | +172
2-1 IN LAST 3 DET ATS PICKS | +87
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PGF:
21-Sep-2019: NFL [483] TOTAL o48-105 (HOU TEXANS vrs LA CHARGERS
20-Sep-2019: NFL Football #485 Pittsburgh Steelers/San Francisco 49ers over 43 -105 for Game
19-Sep-2019: NFL 1488 1H CLEVELAND BROWNS Under 24
19-Sep-2019: NFL 488 Cleveland Browns Under 47.517-Sep-2019: NFL 466] TOTAL u55-105 (BALTIMORE RAVENS vrs KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
17-Sep-2019: NFL 464] TOTAL u46½-105 (DETROIT LIONS vrs PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
17-Sep-2019: NFL [463] DETROIT LIONS +7 -125
17-Sep-2019: NFL [462] TOTAL u42½-105 (DENVER BRONCOS vrs GREEN BAY PACKERS)
17-Sep-2019: NFL 461] DENVER BRONCOS +8EV
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Sharp Totals Club
3*Packers Under
2*Chiefs Under
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Mti
5*balt+5.5
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BezoBets
NFL: New York Giants +6 @ 1.896/-112 (3 Units)
NFL: Pittsburgh Steelers +7 @ 1.81/-122 (2 Units)
NFL: Carolina Panthers +2 @ 1.909/-110 (2 Units
NFL Indianapolis Colts ML @ 1.87/-115 (3 Units)
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Killer Sports
5* Min OVER 42.5
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Sterling
25* under GB, AZ, Pitt,
25* 2TT (7pts) minny and hous and
philly and hous
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Daily Wager ESPN
Atl/Minn teaser
Bengals
Baltimore
TB
Brewers -1.5 runs
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Warren Sharp:
pitt Over 43
NO first half +3
Lions +7
texans Over 48
philly 1H u23
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Midwest NFL Handicapping
NYJ +21.5
ATL +2
HOU +3
MINN -8.5
GB -6.5***
PITT +6.5
NYG +6.5
LAR -2.5
SEA ML
Teasers
MINN -2.5/GB -.5
MINN -2.5/HOU +9
NYG +12.5/ATL +8
PITT +12.5/CLEV +8.5
BALT +11.5/GB -.5
MINN-OAK UNDER 50.5/
CLEV-LAR UNDER 53
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allan desrosiers
10 zona
7 pack under
7 teaser balt/ pitt
7 teaser gb/ min
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PayDay Picks (Yesterday 6-4 Last 10 Picks)
Seattle -4.5
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Maddux NFL
10* Baltimore +7
10* NY Jets +22
10* Carolina +2
10* Houston +3.5
10* Pittsburgh +7
10* LA Rams/Cleveland under 49
10* teaser Green Bay-1.5/Minnesota -2
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Root
MILL--Cincinnati +
——
No Limit--LA Chargers -
——
Perfect Play--Carolina +
Backup quarterback Kyle Allen gets the start against the Arizona Cardinals. Note: Kyle Allen beat out Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray for the starting quarterback job at Texas A&M. But Carolina’s go to guy is still RB Christian McCaffrey. This player is all everything. The Panthers offense should have success. The problem for the Cardinals (our gain) is their defense giving up an average of 477.5 total yards per game. That’s a great recipe for the upset. Arizona will find out today that it’s hard to win games when the defense is getting lit up on a weekly basis. The Panther defense is very capable of stepping up and stopping running back David Johnson and focusing on Kyler Murray. The defensive advantage goes to Carolina. Look out but don’t be surprised how a desperate 0-2 team may play with a healthy capable quarterback and the heroic play and leadership of
Christian McCaffrey.
——
Inner Circle--Cleveland +
Last week, there was plenty of the good and bad as Baker Mayfield had five completions of 25 or more yards, with perhaps his best one a 25-yard strike over the middle to Jarvis Landry that set up Austin Siebert’s 43-yard field goal. Odell Beckham finished with 161 receiving yards and their offense should continue to go full speed. Defensively, Browns LB Joe Schobert will be very busy stopping Todd Gurley but who’s better? The Browns’ success will hinge mainly on Myles Garrett getting to Jared Goff with his disruptive skills. Cleveland has the balance which really hasn’t been shown on offense. While understandable that Mayfield is the first name that comes up when talking about the Browns offense, there is still a sense that RB Nick Chubb has barely scratched the surface of his potential as he enters his second year as the featured running back (the Rams had difficulties containing Christian McCaffrey in Week 1). The staff has been working with Mayfield to throw the ball a second quicker. That should help him from forcing some errant throws and actually balance the playing field to short, long and screen or run. That will also get Jarvis Landry more involved. Their plan tonight is about taking what the Rams give Mayfield underneath, which means opportunities for Chubb out of the backfield and Harris on short routes as Mayfield’s check-down option. If they can drag Littleton out of position in the middle of the field, Beckham and Landry could also find success on shallow crossing routes or Beckham could go deeper. Cleveland can move the chains running the ball and keeping the Rams offense off the field. That is their best path to a solid victory tonight.
——
Pinnacle--New Orleans + ***NFL Upset of Month
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Marco
chargers/texans over 48.5
4%
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
------------------------------------
Master Sports
MLB
3* #909 St. Louis +145 (Mikolas)
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Calvin king
4% pats -16.5
4% bucs -4.5
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PGF:
22-Sep-2019: NFL 476 TOTAL u47 -120 (MIAMI DOLPHINS vrs DALLAS COWBOYS)
22-Sep-2019: NFL 481 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +5-105
22-Sep-2019: NFL 469 ATLANTA FALCONS +1.5
22-Sep-2019: NFL 473 NEW YORK JETS +21.5
22-Sep-2019: NFL 465 BALTIMORE RAVENS +6
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NFL Football(Bob Balfe)
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #469-470
Falcons +1.5 over Colts
Atlanta fought hard last week and physically beat up the Eagles. This team finally turned the page against the Eagles which owned them the last few years. The Colts also got a big win last week. I love how both teams fought to avoid 0-2. The question today is when is the Andrew Luck absence going to really hit Indianapolis? Jacoby Brissett is doing a fine job, but Andrew Luck he is not. Marlon Mack is also banged up which could hamper the running game. The Colts will be missing linebacker Darius Leonard today as well. Last week was a page turning game for the Falcons. This is a football team with all the talent in the world yet just have not been able to do anything with it from their collapse in the Super Bowl. There is a lot of depth on this Falcons Defense and finally they are healthy after the back end of their defense was the most injured in all of football last year. A win today on the road will have this team back as a legit threat in the NFC. Take Atlanta.
NFL Football
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #475-476
Dolphins/Cowboys Over 46.5
Dak Prescott has looked amazing. Zeke Elliot has looked amazing. The Offensive Line has looked amazing. With Dak being in a contract year what a game this will be to pad the stats. The Dolphins have been a train wreck, but getting away from home out on the road is a major relief in this game. Don’t be surprised if the Dolphins strike first in this one. Dallas has not really been set in their defensive line as DeMarcus Lawrence is just getting back to form after injury, Woods is out today, Crawford is out and Charlton has been traded to the team they are playing today. This front seven for the Cowboys is good, but it lacks depth and I believe the Fins can score today just off the pure disinterest the Cowboys might have when they have a lead. Can Josh Rosen prove he is the #1 QB for this Dolphins team? I like the Cowboys today, but obviously the 22 point spread is outrageously high for a team to cover not named the Patriots. Take the Over.
NFL Football
4:05 PM EST
Rotation #479-480
Panthers +2.5 over Cardinals
Panthers/Cardinals Over 45
This is a desperation game. Lose today and kiss the playoff chances goodbye. Remember that the Cardinals have a rookie head coach and it’s hard to get to wins in this league. Carolina has an established football team that has been together for a while now. Cam Newton is a liability and being out today helps the Panthers. Kyle Allen has been in this system and will get his shots against a Cardinals Defense lacking depth. This secondary for Arizona is vulnerable with key suspensions and regular starters on IR. Kyler Murray is getting better each week and I believe will be able to move the ball on this defense. Again, Murray being young will make it hard for him to go out and get the victory for his team simply because he has yet to do it. This should be an entertaining game. Take the Panthers and the Over. Both straight bets.
NFL Football
8:20 PM EST
Rotation #487-488
Rams/Browns Over 47
The Browns will be playing in an electric environment tonight at home. MNF is rare for Cleveland so it will be rocking.Baker Mayfield has looked just OK this year.This guy throws a lot of interceptions and doesn’t beat good teams.Is he fool’s gold?The addition of Odell Beckham is huge because he can score on any given play.The Rams Defense is good, but teams can move the ball on them.I like this over tonight because the Browns Secondary is a mess.Every single starter is on the injury report.Jared Goff has a cannon and will take chances against this banged up unit.This will be a great football game.In the end the teams should trade enough points to make this high scoring.Take the Over
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Northcoast Marquee
Rams under 47
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POWER PLAY WINS
Green Bay Packers -7
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Gavazzi
5 buff
4 colts
4 vikes
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Miller locks
1:00 pm est nfl
cincinnati bengals vs. Buffalo bills
pick: Cincinnati bengals +6.5 (-104)
risk: 11 units
1:00 pm est nfl
oakland raiders vs. Minnesota vikings
pick: Minnesota vikings -8 (-114)
risk: 11 units
1:00 pm est nfl
baltimore ravens vs. Kansas city chiefs
pick: Baltimore ravens +5 (-110)
risk: 11 units
4:25 pm est nfl
pittsburgh steelers vs. San francisco 49ers
pick: Pittsburgh steelers +7 (-123)
risk: 11 units
4:25 pm est nfl
new orleans saints vs. Seattle seahawks
pick: New orleans saints +5 (-110)
risk: 11 units
8:20 pm est nfl
los angeles rams vs. Cleveland browns
pick: Los angeles rams -3.5 (-102)
risk: 11 units
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Fat jack
Fat Jack Selections For Sep 22, 2019 - SUNDAY NOON CST UPDATE* There are 4 football selections Sunday Carolina +3 (added) Atlanta +2 Ny Giants +7 Cincinnati +6 There are 4 opinions Sunday oakland OVER 42 denver OVER 41.5 Baltimore UNDER 52 (added) Baltimore +5.5 (added) Next football update is before 3pm CST. Have a great Sunday! Jack
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UDog
Ny giants
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Tom Stryker
100% NFL PERFECT DATABASE INVESTMENT
Vikings
34-14 ATS NFL ULTIMATE DATABASE WAGER
NY Giants
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Pinnacle Sports Picks
Miami Dolphins +22
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SkyBlue Picks
Indianapolis Colts ML
Cleveland Browns +3.5
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BLAZER:
4 Colts -1
3 Chiefs -4.5
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PREFERRED PICKS:
5 Browns +3.5
3 Falcons +1
3 Jets +22
3 Panthers +2.5
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Northcoast
3.5 Rams
3 Denver Under
3 Seattle
Top opinions:
Marquee Rams Under
Minnesota
Houston
Detroit
Giants
T Buff
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NFAC Full card
485) PITTSBURGH +7 (-125) – Buy 1/2 PT…($800) – BIG MOVE – Bovada at 7
481) NEW ORLEANS +4.5…($750) via 5dimes
481) OVER 44.5 NOS-SEA…($750) via 5dimes
461) DENVER +7.5 (-120) – Buy 1/2 PT…($750) via Cantor
467) CINCINNATI +6…($800) – BIG MOVE via Bookmaker
477) NY GIANTS +6 (-120) – Buy 1/2 PT…($750) via Bookmaker
473) NY JETS +14 (1st Half)…($600) via Bovada, Wynn, & mybookie
477) OVER 47.5 NYG-TB…($500) via BetUs
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Executive
350% TBay -5
300%Denver +7- Colts -1
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winningsportsplays
JR StevensVIP PICKS (NFL - GAME OF THE MONTH)
[465] Baltimore +6/ML +200
Prediction: Baltimore 27 Kansas City 16
VIP PICKS (NFL)
[461] Denver +8/ML +290
Prediction: Denver 20 Green Bay 16
[467] Cincinnati +6/ML +225
Prediction: Cincinnati 23 Buffalo 20
[469] Atlanta +2/ML +110
Prediction: Atlanta 30 Indianapolis 17
[477] NY Giants +6/ML +215
Prediction: NY Giants 20 Tampa Bay 17
[483] Houston +3/ML +150
Prediction: Houston 24 LA Chargers 17
*Buy half point if necessary
*Play ML for half your normal amount when listed
VIP PICKS (MLB)
[904] Miami +160/ALT RL -1.5 (+340)
[905] San Francisco +200/ALT RL: -1.5 (+330)
[907] Pittsburgh +260/ALT RL -1.5 (+430)
[921] Boston +140/ALT RL -1.5 (+230)
[927] Texas +160/ALT RL -1.5 (+270)
Britney DeLuca
NFL ALL-STAR BANGER PLAY
[472] Minnesota and Oakland Over 43
NFL HOT PICKS
[462] Green Bay and Denver Under 43
[464] Philadelphia and Detroit Under 46
[466] Kansas City and Baltimore Under 52
[482] Seattle and New Orleans Under 45
MLB HOT PICKS
[912] LA Dodgers and Colorado Over 8.5
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Bondi
4 chargers
3 atl
3 giants
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Seabass : 400 mariners , 600 3 team teaser Vikings , ravens , giants game over , 400 bengals , 400 broncos , 400 giants , 400 Steelers , 400 saints , no limit panthers
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Gavazzi's Entire Card
NFL
Sunday, September 22nd
5% Buffalo (-5-) 1:00 PM ET
4% Indianapolis (-1) 1:00 PM ET
4% Minnesota (-8) 1:00 PM ET
3% Pittsburgh (+6-) 4:25 PM ET
3% LA Rams (-3) 8:20 PM ET
3% Chicago (-3-) 8:15 PM ET Monday
TOTALS
All selections are OVER, listed by HOME TEAM
Games listed in schedule order
4% OVER (42-) Green Bay
3% OVER (43-) Buffalo
4% OVER (47) Indianapolis
4% OVER (43-) Minnesota
3% OVER (43-) New England
3% OVER (47) Dallas
3% OVER (47-) Tampa Bay
3% OVER (43) San Francisco
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Paul Leiner
3000* NFL Over 47 Colts/Falcons
100* NFL Steelers +6.5
100* NFL Cardinals -2
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Ultra Sports NFL 9/22
Texans
Rams
Ravens
Vikings
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