Sunday 9/29/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
Stephen Oh
OVER 50.5 TAMPA BAY @ L.A. RAMS | 9/29 | 4:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 12:22 PM
I'm projecting 59 points for Bucs-Rams, giving us a strong play on the Over. The Rams won a defensive struggle on the road Sunday night but at home, against Tampa Bay's forgiving defense, they'll score early and often and turn this into a shootout.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL PICKS | +90
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King Creole
3* GOM
Texans Over 46
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Dave Essler
2* Den -3 vs Jacksonville
3* Buffalo +7 vs New England
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+EV: NFL 4u: 254 Baltimore Ravens -6.5 -115 (Buy 1/2 Point) (Sunday, September 29)
+EV: NFL 2u: 258 Miami Dolphins +16.5 -113 (Sunday, September 29th)
+EV: NFL 2u: 251 Carolina Panthers +4.5 -105 (Sunday, September 29th)
+EV: NFL 3u: 267 TB/LAR ov49 -110 (Sunday, September 29th)
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LV Wolf
Under 21 patriots 1st H
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LV Wolf
Under 21 patriots 1st H
ADDED
Panthers +4
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Hitman
3* GOW
Teaser Vikings +8.5/Colts -0.5
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Jeff Ma- Dolphins, titans, lions
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Colin's Blazin' 5...the man is on fire...4-0-1 last week...11-3-1 thus far.
Tennessee +3 1/2
Baltimore +7
Oakland +6 1/2
Arizona +5 1/2
New Orleans +2 1/2
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NFAC
Nfl early card
259) OAKLAND +7 (-120)…($750) via Westgate & Heritage
262) DETROIT +7 (-120) – Buy 1/2 PT…($1,000) – BIG MOVE via BetBuckeye
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Pointwise phones
4- tennessee
3- seattle, denver/jacksonville under, indianapolis
2- new orleans, kansas city, houston, pittsburgh
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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole
SINGLE PLAYS
LA Chargers -15
Kansas City -6.5
Indianapolis -6.5
Tennessee +3.5
Buffalo +7
Seattle -5.5
Minnesota +1.5
NY Giants-Washington OVER 49
Buffalo-New England UNDER 42
Denver--Jacksonville UNDER 39
Dallas -2.5
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Tom Stryker
23-6 ATS NFL DIVISION BEST BET OF THE WEEK
Ravens
15-1 ATS & 41-16 ATS NFL PRIMETIME MAIN EVENT
Saints
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Marc Lawrence
(10* NFL GOW) / 15-0 ATS Perfect System Club!
Seahawks
Sunday Night Kill Play
Saints
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Virgobbi Sports
TEN +3.5 (-113)
CLE +6.5 (+101)
TBB +9 (-106)
JAX +2.5 [1st HALF] (-114)
NOS +2.5 (+101)
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King Creole
5* Carolina / Houston Over 46
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Hammering Hank Goldberg
Pittsburgh -4
New Orleans +2.5
Minnesota +2
New England -7
Indianapolis -6.5
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Steve Budin 2 Minute Warning
New England -7
Minnesota +2
Jacksonville +3
New Orleans +2.5
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Sports Authority
Falcon -4
Vikings +2
Patriots over
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PickersMx
Lady Pickers 80 Dimes
Kansas City Chiefs -7
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Spread and Lines Sports
Bears under
Chiefs -7
Bills under
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Platinum Sports
Patriots -7
Chiefs under
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Root
Mill- Wash
No limit- Bears
Perfect- Lions
Inner circle- Bills
Pinnacle- Arizona.
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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
FRI 9/27
KANSAS CITY -6.5
KANSAS CITY @ DETROIT | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
The Chiefs are dealing with a few key injuries, but the absence of Tyreek Hill hasn't slowed them down yet and they still took it to Baltimore while dealing with issues to Eric Fisher and Damien Williams. I think Detroit has been underrated and have been on them each week from the jump, but I don't know how their offense, which is 23rd in points scored per drive, keeps up here with a Chiefs offense that can score whatever they want. With late news that Matthew Stafford is dealing with a hip injury, which has him listed as questionable, that's even more reason to love the Chiefs here.
11-4 IN LAST 15 NFL ATS PICKS | +659
12-7 IN LAST 19 KC ATS PICKS | +440
5-3 IN LAST 8 DET ATS PICKS | +153
Brett Anderson
THE DOG WHISPERER
THU 9/26
KANSAS CITY -6.5
KANSAS CITY @ DETROIT | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
This will be Patrick Mahomes’ first indoor game as a pro after playing his first 20 games outdoors, and that could be bad news for the Lions. Mahomes played four indoor games in college ... and averaged 492 passing yards and 4.75 TDs per game in them. The Lions are unbeaten, but also aren't really that far from being 0-3. Detroit doesn’t have the firepower to hang with this Chiefs offense. With the line at less than a touchdown, lay the points.
6-2-1 IN LAST 9 NFL PICKS | +380
Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
THU 9/26
OVER 54.5
KANSAS CITY @ DETROIT | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
The Chiefs have gone Over in 16 of their last 21 road games, and this is a good spot at Detroit where I expect the trend to continue. Their average score has been 31-23 this season, and the Lions have shown they can put up some points as well, which will help the cause. The Chiefs defense shows little resistance. Look for an entertaining shootout, and take the Over.
5-1 IN LAST 6 DET O/U PICKS | +395
Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
THU 9/26
UNDER 54.5
KANSAS CITY @ DETROIT | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Kansas City's totals are creeping up week by week. This one is the highest of the season even though Detroit’s defense ranks 11th in yards allowed per pass. QB Patrick Mahomes might not have his way this time. An Over would snap a streak of a half-dozen Unders at home for the Lions. They gave up an average of 11 ppg in their last four outings of 2018 and have not allowed more than 24 points in regulation this season.
5-1 IN LAST 6 DET O/U PICKS | +390
Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
THU 9/26
KANSAS CITY -6.5
KANSAS CITY @ DETROIT | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is on pace to throw for more than 6,000 yards, which would be the first time in NFL history that has been done. He'll continue at a record pace against a Lions team that is the most vulnerable undefeated team in the NFL right now because of a lack of an identity on offense. When that's a question against Kansas City, you don't have a shot to keep it close. Take the Chiefs.
12-8 IN LAST 20 KC ATS PICKS | +339
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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
YESTERDAY 2:46 PM
ATLANTA -3.5
TENNESSEE @ ATLANTA | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Both these teams have way underachieved so far, and it’s only Week 4. The Titans offense has looked out of sync the past two weeks following its opening blowout win at Cleveland. The Falcons have at least shown some fight the past two weeks with a 24-20 home win against the Eagles and a 27-24 loss at Indy last week. I’ll take the Falcons at home to cover.
8-3 IN LAST 11 ATL ATS PICKS | +469
11-7 IN LAST 18 TEN ATS PICKS | +314
R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
FRI 9/27
TENNESSEE +4
TENNESSEE @ ATLANTA | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
A lot of reasons to like the Titans here. The Falcons are 0-12 ATS in their last 12 matchups against AFC teams, and they just suffered a big blow on defense (sound familiar?) with the Keanu Neal injury. The Atlanta has struggled with turnovers (7) while Tennessee's hasn't (1). The Titans are coming off a minibye after losing on Thursday night, and I think they have the coaching edge, plus a good enough defense (eighth in points allowed per drive) to slow down the Falcons enough.
11-4 IN LAST 15 NFL ATS PICKS | +659
24-12 IN LAST 36 ATL ATS PICKS | +1065
19-10 IN LAST 29 TEN ATS PICKS | +783
Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
THU 9/26
TENNESSEE +4
TENNESSEE @ ATLANTA | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Losing safety Keanu Neal is a huge blow to the Falcons defense, which has played better than expected this season. His loss shouldn't affect Atlanta's ability to pressure the quarterback, which is what the Falcons will need to do. The Titans have to hope that their extended week of prep for this game has helped them solve some of their protection issues. I believe they have and that this game will be closer than many expect.
5-0 IN LAST 5 ATL ATS PICKS | +500
2-1 IN LAST 3 TEN ATS PICKS | +90
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Paul Leiner
3000* Cleveland/Balt. Over 45
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Marco D'Angelo
5% Bears -1
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Warren Sharp
panthers
pitt over
nyg over
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Sharp Totals Club
2*Bills Under
2*Giants Over
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Lv wolf
under 44.5 mia
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PGF NFL teaser MINN +8 / WASH +9. FreePLAY
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bezobets
NFL: Denver Broncos -2.5 @ 1.87/-115 (3 Units)
NFL: Tennessee Titans +3.5 @ 1.88/-114 (2 Units)
NFL: Washington Redskins +3 @ 1.996/-110 (2 Units)
NFL: Chicago Bears ML @ 1.888/-113 (2 Units
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MTI
4.5-Star Redskins +3 over NY Giants The Giants came back from 18 points down to beat the Bucs as a 6-point road dog for their first win of the season last week. Tampa Bay played too conservatively with a lead and it cost them the victory. The Redskins were woefully inept on National TV vs the Bears on Monday Night Football. This is actually giving us good line value here. We are taking the road underdog Redskins.
Teams that are 1-2 on the season are 0-14 ATS as a home favorite vs a winless opponent that has more turnovers than takeaways on the season. The SDQL text is:
wins = 1 and losses =2 and o:wins = 0 and HF and oA(TOM)>=0 and season >= 1997
The Giants themselves are 0-13 ATS on turf when their line is within four points of pickem when they are off a road game in which more than 50 points were scored and they scored fewer than 45 of them. The SDQL text is:
team=Giants and -4<=line50 and points=20060000
Note that the Giants have been an average of pickem, but they have lost by an average of 13.2 points. Since the start of the 2018 season, the Giants have been in this spot three times. The line was within three points of pick each time and they lost by at least two TDs each time.
It is also worth mentioning that the Giants are 0-9 ATS (-8.33 ppg) on turf off a road game in which they allowed more than 300 passing yards. The SDQL here is:
team=Giants and surface=artificial and p:A and po:PY>=300 and date>=20140914
In their three games this season, the Giants have allowed 35, 28 and 31 points, which means that their opponent went over their team total in each game. This is relevant because New York is 0-9 ATS as a favorite off a game as a dog when they are off two consecutive games with a positive DPA. The Giants lost each of their last seven in this spot straight up. Check it out with this SDQL text:
team=Giants and F and p and 0=20101128
The Redskins have not squandered these rare win opportunities. Washington is 9-0 ATS when the line is within three points of pick, they are off a loss as a dog, and they are facing a team that allowed 400-plus yards in their last game. The SDQL here is:
team=Redskins and -3<=line= 400 and date>=20051106
Washington won eight of the nine straight up, covering by an average of 10.1 ppg.
Finally, in the category of simple and straightforward; Washington is a perfect 8-0 ATS on the road after a SU and ATS home loss. In these eight road games, the Redskins are 7-1 straight up with the only loss by a 34-31 margin in overtime as a nine point dog to the Saints in New Orleans.
The Giants are not a good team, they just lost their only offensive threat and they are starting a rookie quarterback. Their defense allowed 499 yards last week to the Buccaneers and Tampa was trying to run the clock after they got a big lead. They allowed five sacks and only had 26:48 of possession time. The Redskins should capitalize on this opportunity for a win.
MTis FORECAST: Redskins 24 GIANTS 16
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MTI
5-Star Patriots -7 over BILLS This is the first time all season that the Patriots have faced a team that is not winless and the Bills are 3-0. All this will do is ensure that the Bills will get the Patriots best effort. After all, this is for the division lead in the AFC East.
The Bills have had an easy slate so far, with the Jets, Giants and Bengals. However, they were trailing in all three games and they benefitted from a total of SEVEN turnovers in the three games. The Patriots, on the other hand, have never trailed this season and they have outscored their opponents by a score of 106-17. More importantly, the Patriots have outscored their opponents 54-0 in the first half, so all the opponents points were scored in garbage time. In fact, the Patriots have scored at least the first 20 points of every game they have played so far and they have not allowed a single offensive touchdown all season.
New England had the ball for 35:14 last week and this is a positive indicator. The Patriots are 11-0 ATS off a home game in which they had more than 34 minutes of possession time, winning by an average of 17.45 ppg and covering by an average of 10.91 ppg. The SDQL text is:
team=Patriots and p:H and p:TOP/60 > 34 and date>=20151213
New England is also 10-0 ATS on the road on turf after a game in which they had at least 2.75 as many passing yards as rushing yards, covering the number by a whopping 16.75 ppg. Check it out with this SDQL:
team=Patriots and A and surface=artificial and p:PY/p:RY >= 2.75 and date>=20111100
Lastly for the Patriots, we note that they are 10-0 ATS under Bill Belichick when they are on the road after a game as a home favorite in which they held their opponent to at least 100 yards fewer than their season-to-date average. The SDQL,
coach = Bill Belichick and team = Patriots and A and p:HF and po:TY-tA(po:TY) <= -100
reveals that the Patriots have exceeded the linesmakers expectations by an average of 12.05 ppg.
Buffalo also dominated the time-of-possession stat against the Bengals last week, but they are 0-8 ATS (-9.12 ppg) off a home win in which they had more than 34 minutes of possession time.
The SDQL text is:
Note that Buffalo lost every game straight up and they were the favorite in five of the eight. Buffalo needs turnovers to win and we dont see the Patriots turning the ball over in this spot. The Bills are 0-9 ATS when hosting a divisional opponent that has averaged less than one turnover per game and has allowed an average of fewer than 475 yards. The SDQL is:
team=Bills and H and DIV and oA(TO)<=1 and oA(o:TY) =20071100
Buffalo has lost these nine games by an average of 21.1 points and has failed to cover by an average of 15.67 points. Fugly.
The Patriots finally an opponent that is worthy of their best effort. In week 16, when the Patriots are something like 14-0 and the Bills are something like 6-8, people will look back at this game and ask, how in the hell were the Patriots only a TD favorite over the Bills in week 4? New England should dominate and take no prisoners.
MTis FORECAST: Patriots 42 BILLS 0
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MTI
4.5-Star Saints +2.5 over Cowboys Sean Payton became the head coach of the Saints in 2006. Over his long tenure the Saints are 38-16-2 ATS when they are facing a team with a better record. The SDQL is:
coach = Sean Payton and WP < o:WP
When their opponent is unbeaten, the Saints are a perfect 10-0 ATS under Payton. The SDQL here is:
coach = Sean Payton and WP = 2007
Last season, Dallas lost in Seattle and Indianapolis in this spot and they failed to cover by more than a TD in every one of the eight games. The Superdome will be rockin. We are on the Saints.
MTis FORECAST: SAINTS 31 Cowboys 10
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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
THU 9/26
WASHINGTON +3
WASHINGTON @ N.Y. GIANTS | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Daniel Jones was undeniably awesome in his first start, and even without Saquon Barkley, the Giants can score points against a Washington defense that has struggled. But the Washington offense played well in the first two weeks of the season, and it's unlikely the Giants defense will offer the same type of resistance the Bears showed on Monday night. The Giants also don't have a great home-field advantage based on recent performance. So if Washington is more like the team from Weeks 1-2, we're getting great value. If these teams are even, we're still getting some value too.
11-4 IN LAST 15 NFL ATS PICKS | +659
16-10 IN LAST 26 WAS ATS PICKS | +496
5-3 IN LAST 8 NYG ATS PICKS | +164
Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
THU 9/26
N.Y. GIANTS -3
WASHINGTON @ N.Y. GIANTS | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
To be fair to the Redskins 0-3 record, it should be noted that they were all to upper-echelon teams, but it’s their defense allowing 31 ppg that has made their rating drop each week. Now they have to contend with the idea of possibly not having Case Keenum starting (foot) which would mean Colt McCoy and another rating drop. On the other side, the Giants offense looked sharp as Daniel Jones got more comfortable. I’m on the inspired Giants in his home debut.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NYG ATS PICKS | +85
Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
THU 9/26
WASHINGTON +3
WASHINGTON @ N.Y. GIANTS | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Rookie quarterback Daniel Jones had a sensational debut against the Bucs on Sunday, scoring the game-winning touchdown. Meanwhile his counterpart this week, Case Keenum, is coming off his worst game of the season, against the Bears. What was lost in his terrible performance was how well the Redskins played defensively. Without Saquon Barkley in the Giants' lineup, a lot of pressure will be on the rookie quarterback in this game. Take Washington to cover.
13-8 IN LAST 21 WAS ATS PICKS | +401
5-4 IN LAST 9 NYG ATS PICKS | +57
Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
WED 9/25
UNDER 49
WASHINGTON @ N.Y. GIANTS | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
New York rookie QB Daniel Jones was the bomb in his coming-out party last Sunday, but he piled on against Tampa Bay’s unprepared defense. Washington’s isn’t much better, but it should hold a green QB without his main asset (the injured Saquon Barkley) to a reasonable number. The Redskins’ pedestrian offense will do its part. Both teams have trended Over, but this number exceeds all other betting totals this season involving them.
3-0 IN LAST 3 WAS O/U PICKS | +300
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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
4* Denver-2.5
3* Oakland+7
3* Minnesota+2
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Adam Silverstein
FLORIDA FAVORITE
11:01 AM
HOUSTON -5
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Kyle Allen dominated the Cardinals, true. The Texans are not the Cardinals. This is a talented albeit it inconsistent defense, but what Houston does have is a ferocious pass rush that should keep Allen on his toes. If he has to play keep up with Deshaun Watson & Co., do you really think Allen is not going to get flustered and fall into a couple mistakes? The Texans are not getting much respect with this line, even though it was lower earlier in the week. Truth is that I think Houston could win by double if everything shakes its way.
12-9-1 IN LAST 22 NFL ATS PICKS | +207
4-3-1 IN LAST 8 HOU ATS PICKS | +67
Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
THU 9/26
CAROLINA +4
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Wish I'd jumped on this earlier but I'll still take the revitalized Panthers with new quarterback Kyle Allen. Cam Newton playing hurt was holding back this team. Houston's secondary can be exploited by the Panthers' speedy receivers. Grab the points.
11-5 IN LAST 16 NFL ATS PICKS | +553
15-10-1 IN LAST 26 HOU ATS PICKS | +409
R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
THU 9/26
HOUSTON -4
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
The lookahead line was Texans -5.5, so it appears the market has a lot of faith that Kyle Allen can continue to shine on the road this week. I'm playing against that optimism with this pick; Houston is top 10 in points per drive despite playing some good defenses, and they're a relatively healthy team. If a healthy Cam Newton was playing in this matchup, wouldn't the line be no worse than Texans -3? I think we're getting a ton of value by backing the Texans in a matchup I think the home team should be favored by seven.
11-4 IN LAST 15 NFL ATS PICKS | +659
19-13-2 IN LAST 34 HOU ATS PICKS | +477
6-4 IN LAST 10 CAR ATS PICKS | +163
Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
THU 9/26
OVER 47.5
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Carolina QB Kyle Allen has put at least 33 points on the board in his two career starts, and they are the only two wins the Panthers have had in their last 11 games. Last week at Arizona, he threw four TDs and I was impressed with just about everything he did. He does something Cam Newton couldn't do lately: move the ball effectively, throw accurately and get respect from the defense. This makes Christian McCaffrey more dangerous. They'll set the pace and Houston will keep up. Over is the play.
Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
THU 9/26
HOUSTON -4.5
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Carolina got great play from quarterback Kyle Allen last week against the Cardinals, as Cam Newton is still recovering from an injury. The Panthers offense looked as diverse and versatile as we expected it to look coming into the season. You can call Houston the Cardiac Texans, as every week they are playing in a nail-biter. This week look for the Houston defense to take control early and remain in control throughout. Take the Texans.
5-4-1 IN LAST 10 HOU ATS PICKS | +54
Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
WED 9/25
UNDER 46.5
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Kyle Allen dazzled in his 2019 debut for Carolina. Of course, he is preferable to a starter -- in this case Cam Newton (foot) -- with a limp. Let’s hold off on anointing him as the next great young QB. Unlike in-the-dark Arizona last week, the Texans have video on him. And they have a ferocious pass rush commandeered by J.J. Watt. Do not expect an Allen sequel. Plus, the Panthers’ defense ranks fourth, so it should contain QB Deshaun Watson and crew. The last five Texans home games have gone Under.
6-2 IN LAST 8 HOU O/U PICKS | +380
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ELITE SPORTS PICKS
Tennessee+3.5
__________________
NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
5* Detroit
3* Seattle
3* New Orleans
__________________
5 star Baller
Falcons -3
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Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
FRI 9/27
NEW ENGLAND -7
NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
The Patriots have dominated this series, winning 30 of the last 33 meetings. New England is dealing with some key injuries but its defense has been dominant. Tom Brady has seven TDs and no INTs. Look for the Pats to force Josh Allen into 1-2 turnovers. Back the Pats to cover in a lower-scoring game.
Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
THU 9/26
UNDER 42.5
NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
While I think the Bills' perfect start is a bit of Fool's Gold, there's a reason I'm hesitant to lay the points with the Pats here. It's because Buffalo's defense is legit. And so is New England's. Maybe the Patriots steamroll Buffalo here, but whatever the final outcome, I don't expect to see 43 points scored.
5-1 IN LAST 6 NFL O/U PICKS | +390
Brett Anderson
THE DOG WHISPERER
THU 9/26
UNDER 42.5
NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
These are two Top 5 defenses in both points and yards allowed, and of their six combined games, five have gone Under (the Bills are the only team in the league that’s had all three games go Under). Maybe the Patriots defense gives up its first touchdown of the season, but it’s hard to imagine Josh Allen finding the end zone often, and the Pats offense might not be at full strength with Julian Edelman nursing a rib injury. Take the Under.
6-2-1 IN LAST 9 NFL PICKS | +380
Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
THU 9/26
NEW ENGLAND -7
NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
The two best teams in the AFC East meet on Sunday. This game will feature the two best defenses in the division as well. Look for Buffalo's defense to compete throughout the game, keeping the Bills within a score at all times. The only concern is whether or not Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen will help the Patriots extend that lead. I trust that he will. Take New England to cover.
Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
WED 9/25
NEW ENGLAND -7
NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
I love New England giving only 7. They're going to put a spy on Josh Allen, who does everything for Buffalo. The Pats have not given up an offensive touchdown and I wouldn't be surprised if that continued Sunday. This Pats defense is outstanding.
11-7 IN LAST 18 NFL ATS PICKS | +327
6-1 IN LAST 7 BUF ATS PICKS | +492
4-1 IN LAST 5 NE ATS PICKS | +294
R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
TUE 9/24
BUFFALO +7
NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
It always feel like playing with fire when you go against the Patriots, but the script says this is going to be a low-scoring game between two of the best defenses in the league. The Patriots haven't allowed an offensive touchdown yet this season, and while the Bills can't quite match that excellence, they will face a Patriots offense that has had to deal with several injuries and might not have Julian Edelman for this game. It hasn't mattered at all so far, but this Bills team is better than the Dolphins and Jets squads the Patriots just steamrolled.
11-4 IN LAST 15 NFL ATS PICKS | +659
7-3 IN LAST 10 BUF ATS PICKS | +370
2-1 IN LAST 3 NE ATS PICKS | +90
R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
TUE 9/24
UNDER 42
NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
These are two teams with better defenses than offenses; the Patriots rank first in just about any category you can find, while the Bills are top three in points allowed per drive, net yards per pass attempt and creating turnovers. That defensive dominance is why the Under is 3-0 in Bills games this year, and it would be 3-0 in Pats games too if not for two TDs by the Jets defense, one on a pick-six thrown by New England's backup QB. The Pats defense hasn't even allowed a TD since the AFC Championship Game. Expect these two teams to slug it out in a low-scoring game.
19-12 IN LAST 31 NFL PICKS | +577
5-1 IN LAST 6 NE O/U PICKS | +389
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Brett Anderson
THE DOG WHISPERER
YESTERDAY 6:53 PM
OVER 45.5
OAKLAND @ INDIANAPOLIS | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
It’s doubtful T.Y. Hilton plays, but the Colts should still be able to put up points against a bad Raiders defense. The key to the total is on the other side of the ball, where the Colts could be without four starters: Darius Leonard (out), Malik Hooker (out), Pierre Desir (questionable) and Jabaal Sheard (questionable, as is Sheard’s backup, Al-Quadin Muhammad). Even with a healthier defense, the Colts' total went Over in two of three games; the Over is the play here.
6-2-1 IN LAST 9 NFL PICKS | +380
Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
FRI 9/27
OAKLAND +6.5
OAKLAND @ INDIANAPOLIS | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
The line has dipped from an even seven points but could be headed further south if Indy’s potentially grim injury situation becomes dire. They key is WR T.Y. Hilton (quad), who is questionable. Career backup QB Jacoby Brissett would dearly miss his top target. The Colts’ defense is surely in a pickle without three contributors, chiefly All-Pro LB Darius Leonard (concussion). It’s about time for Oakland QB David Carr to get past the departure of WR Antonio Brown and become content with a decent batch of receivers without A.B.
9-8 LAST 17 NFL SIDES | +11
8-3 IN LAST 11 IND ATS PICKS | +474
Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
THU 9/26
OAKLAND +7
OAKLAND @ INDIANAPOLIS | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
The Raiders were blown out on the road by Minnesota last week, but I like their chances a lot better this Sunday in Indianapolis. The Colts defense has looked a little soft so far this year, and it will allow the Raiders to stay within striking range in this one.
9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +354
2-1 IN LAST 3 IND ATS PICKS | +90
Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
THU 9/26
INDIANAPOLIS -7
OAKLAND @ INDIANAPOLIS | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Things are not looking good for the Raiders offensively, mainly quarterback Derek Carr, who does a great job of keeping both teams in the game. In order for Oakland's fortunes to improve, he has to play better. Also, the Raiders defense has to find ways to communicate in the secondary. Meanwhile, no one is talking about how efficient and effective the Colts offense has been under quarterback Jacoby Brissett. He is coming off of his best game of the season against the Falcons. Look for the Indianapolis defense to shut down any threat coming from Oakland.
3-1 IN LAST 4 IND ATS PICKS | +190
10-8-2 IN LAST 20 OAK ATS PICKS | +111
Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
WED 9/25
INDIANAPOLIS -6.5
OAKLAND @ INDIANAPOLIS | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
The Raiders are 1-11 in their last 12 road games and last year they averaged 12.3 points on the road. They're really beat up too. They have no linebackers. Jacoby Brissett is playing well; he had 16 straight completions last week. Lay the points.
11-7 IN LAST 18 NFL ATS PICKS | +327
3-1 IN LAST 4 OAK ATS PICKS | +195
Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
TUE 9/24
INDIANAPOLIS -6.5
OAKLAND @ INDIANAPOLIS | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
The Raiders are playing their second straight on the road, where they are 1-8 straight-up under Jon Gruden. Look for the Colts to run all over them just like the Vikings did last week when they averaged 5.6 yards per carry; Oakland had three linebackers leave with injuries last week. Lay it.
11-5 IN LAST 16 NFL ATS PICKS | +553
5-1 IN LAST 6 OAK ATS PICKS | +390
7-3-1 IN LAST 11 IND ATS PICKS | +371
R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
TUE 9/24
INDIANAPOLIS -6.5
OAKLAND @ INDIANAPOLIS | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
If we can get this line at under a touchdown, I'm hopping on it. The Colts have looked just fine with Jacoby Brissett at the helm, ranking fifth in points scored per drive despite being 26th in average starting position on offense. The Raiders were able to beat a bad Broncos team at home but have looked pretty bad otherwise, especially with a defense that ranks 29th in points allowed per drive and 30th in net yards per pass attempt. Oakland has to cross the pond after this matchup for a London game, so this is a bad spot for them. I expect the Colts to keep winning.
11-4 IN LAST 15 NFL ATS PICKS | +659
21-8-1 IN LAST 30 IND ATS PICKS | +1206
5-1 IN LAST 6 OAK ATS PICKS | +395
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Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
FRI 9/27
L.A. CHARGERS -15.5
L.A. CHARGERS @ MIAMI | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
The Dolphins could go down as one of the worst teams in NFL history. The Chargers are banged-up but they're playing a team that can't score, a team that's been scored 133-16 this season. I like the Chargers in the first quarter, first half and the game.
Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
THU 9/26
L.A. CHARGERS -15.5
L.A. CHARGERS @ MIAMI | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Here's another rather large spread for a Dolphins game. Last week, Miami played inspired ball against the Cowboys for at least a quarter before things got out of hand. I can definitely see the same thing happening in this one against the Chargers. The reason you see this happening to Miami is due to a lack of depth. Once that improves, so will the Dolphins' chances of keeping these games close for four quarters instead of just one. Until then, take the Chargers.
4-2-1 IN LAST 7 MIA ATS PICKS | +180
6-4 IN LAST 10 LAC ATS PICKS | +162
R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
TUE 9/24
MIAMI +16
L.A. CHARGERS @ MIAMI | 9/29 | 1:00 PM EDT
Hi, I'll be the sucker that takes the Dolphins to finally cover a spread. I get why you can't make the number high enough when they play the Patriots and Cowboys, two of the best teams in the league. But the Chargers haven't played well at all this year, and are an overtime period away from being 0-3. Now they have to fly cross country and play in the Miami heat with a roster that continues to deal with significant injuries. The implied final score of this game is 30-14, and I'm not banking on that kind of offense from the Chargers, even against this Miami defense.
11-4 IN LAST 15 NFL ATS PICKS | +659
3-1 IN LAST 4 LAC ATS PICKS | +190
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TKwins
3* Buffalo +7
3* Arizona +5.5
3* Minnesota +1
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Gambling gator
OVER Seat/Ari
DEN
UNDER Jack/Den
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kick off sports
Nyg -3
dal -3
hou -5
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Lee Sterling
35 over Dolphins
30 Bills, Broncs
25 browns, Texans
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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
THU 9/26
L.A. RAMS -9.5
TAMPA BAY @ L.A. RAMS | 9/29 | 4:05 PM EDT
The Rams have covered the last six meetings with the Buccaneers for whatever that’s worth, but the more relevant trend is the Rams covering seven of their last eight and most importantly going 3-0 ATS this season. I’ve been very pleased with the progress of Wade Phillips defense the last two games and I have no questions about the offense. I made the game -12. Rams get the cover.
3-1 IN LAST 4 LAR ATS PICKS | +194
4-3-3 IN LAST 10 TB ATS PICKS | +73
Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
WED 9/25
UNDER 49.5
TAMPA BAY @ L.A. RAMS | 9/29 | 4:05 PM EDT
The Tampa Bay (20th) and L.A. (22nd) offenses rank in the bottom half of the league, while the defenses of the Bucs (14th) and Rams (third) are in the top half. Yet a high total -- second highest in Week 4 -- has been assigned to this matchup. L.A.’s offense appears stuck in first gear, owing to an inexperienced line and a regression for the Goff-Gurley tandem. The D has rescued the Rams by permitting just 22 points in the last two outings. Seven of the last nine Bucs games have ended Under, as have four of the last five for the Rams,
5-2 IN LAST 7 LAR O/U PICKS | +279
Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
TUE 9/24
TAMPA BAY +10
TAMPA BAY @ L.A. RAMS | 9/29 | 4:05 PM EDT
Too many points. This line would be different if the Bucs hadn't missed a field goal and two PATs in their collapse against the Giants. Bruce Arians and Todd Bowles have made big improvements in Tampa Bay even if the 1-2 record doesn't reflect it yet.
11-5 IN LAST 16 NFL ATS PICKS | +553
15-6 IN LAST 21 LAR ATS PICKS | +817
3-2-1 IN LAST 6 TB ATS PICKS | +78
R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
TUE 9/24
TAMPA BAY +10
TAMPA BAY @ L.A. RAMS | 9/29 | 4:05 PM EDT
I love fading the Rams in this spot. They didn't look all that great against a Cleveland defense missing its entire starting secondary on Sunday night, and they'll have to hit the road for a Thursday night matchup after this one. This is a game the Rams will expect to win away from the primetime lights, but this Bucs defense had played well before their second-half meltdown last week, and I can see Todd Bowles giving the Rams offensive line fits. My power ratings say this line should be Rams -7.5, so this is great value on top of being a great spot to fade the favorite.
11-4 IN LAST 15 NFL ATS PICKS | +659
22-8-1 IN LAST 31 LAR ATS PICKS | +1295
15-5-3 IN LAST 23 TB ATS PICKS | +932
Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
MON 9/23
OVER 50.5
TAMPA BAY @ L.A. RAMS | 9/29 | 4:05 PM EDT
I'm projecting 59 points for Bucs-Rams, giving us a strong play on the Over. The Rams won a defensive struggle on the road Sunday night but at home, against Tampa Bay's forgiving defense, they'll score early and often and turn this into a shootout.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL PICKS | +90
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Philly Godfather,
29-Sep-2019: NFL TEAM TO SCORE 1ST 3251002 TEXANS -130
29-Sep-2019: NFL 264 Buffalo Bills +8
29-Sep-2019: NFL 261 KC Chiefs Over 54
29-Sep-2019: NFL 254 Baltimore Ravens Under 47
29-Sep-2019: NFL 266 Atlanta Falcons Over 46
26-Sep-2019: NFL 274 Broncos -3 -125
26-Sep-2019: NFL 251 Carolina Panthers +4.5
25-Sep-2019: NFL 253 Cleveland Browns +7.5
25-Sep-2019: NFL 264 Buffalo Bills Under 42.5
25-Sep-2019: NFL 262 Buffalo Bills Under 21 -120
24-Sep-2019: NFL 257 MIA DOLPHINS UNDER 44.5
24-Sep-2019: NFL 259 OAK RAIDERS +7-110
__________________
Stephen Oh
PITTSBURGH +125
CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH | 9/29 | 3:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:57 PM
Grab the host Pirates on Sunday, as they're winning over 60 percent of my simulations despite being substantial underdogs. The last time it faced Cincy's Trevor Bauer, Pittsburgh erupted for seven earned runs on eight hits in three innings on Aug. 25.
161-133 LAST 294 MLB SIDES | +2318
20-10 IN LAST 30 PIT ML PICKS | +883
22-17 IN LAST 39 CIN ML PICKS | +410
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Mti teasers
5-balt-no
4.5-balt-ne
4.5-ne-no
4-balt-min
4-min-no
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Midwest NFL Handicapping
NO +3
MIAMI +16.5
HOU -4
KC -6
MINN +2
TB +10***
Teaser
CLEV +13/TB +15
NO +9/UNDER 53.5
KC -1/TB +15
TENN +9/KC -1
OAK +12.5/NE -1
CINCI +9/MIAMI +22.5
PHIL+10/OVER 40 WIN
Over/Under
NE UNDER 21 FIRST HALF
SEA -3 FIRST HALF
ARIZ SECOND HALF TBD
BALT/CLEV UNDER 46
HOU/CAR OVER 47.5
NYG/WASH OVER 48.5
TB/LAR OVER 49
NE/BUFF UNDER 42
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Cal Sports
4 Wash
3 Houston Un
3 Indy
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ROB VENO
FOOTBALL PLAYS
Game: (261) Kansas City Chiefs at (262) Detroit Lions
Date/Time: Sep 29 2019 1:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Kansas City Chiefs -7.0 (-110)
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Miller locks
1:00 pm est nfl
tennessee titans vs. Atlanta falcons
pick: Atlanta falcons (-167)
risk: 11 units
1:00 pm est nfl
los angeles chargers vs. Miami dolphins
pick: Los angeles chargers -15 (-102)
risk: 11 units
1:00 pm est nfl
new england patriots vs. Buffalo bills
pick: New england patriots -7 (-104)
risk: 11 units
4:25 pm est nfl
jacksonville jaguars vs. Denver broncos
pick: Jacksonville jaguars +2.5 (-101)
risk: 11 units
8:20 pm est nfl
dallas cowboys vs. New orleans saints
pick: New orleans saints (+128)
risk: 11 units
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Warren Sharp Props
Darren Waller over 65.5 receiving yards to win 1.0 units
Austin Ekeler over 45.5 receiving yards to win 0.5 units
John Brown under 52.5 yards to win 0.5 units
Sammy Watkins over 80.5 receiving yards to win 1.0 units
Wayne Gallman over 2.5 receptions to win 0.5 units
Baker Mayfield over 1.5 passing TDs risk 0.5 units
Will Dissly over 43.5 receiving yards to win 1.0 units
Gardner Minshew under 226.5 passing yards to win 0.5 units (-145 5dimes)
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Executive Sportsline
Sun, Sept 29
1:00..
NFL..
400%
Tennessee +3'
over Atlanta
..
1:00..
NFL..
300%
Oakland +6'
over Ind.Colts
..
4:05..
NFL..
300%
Arizona +5'
over Seattle
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NFAC
NFL full card (they got crushed yesterday but have been very hot on football)
259) OAKLAND +7 (-120)…($750) via Westgate & Heritage
262) DETROIT +7 (-120) – Buy 1/2 PT…($1,000) – BIG MOVE via BetBuckeye
267) UNDER 49.5 TBAY-LAR…($500) via Pinnacle
255) OVER 48 WASH-NYG…($600) via Pinnacle
1264) UNDER 21 (-120) NE-BUF (1st Half)…($500) Pinnacle at 21.5
264) BUFFALO +7…($800) via Pinnacle (Bovada at 7.5)
265) TENNESSEE +3.5…($750) via 5dimes, Heritage, & Sportsbook
251) CAROLINA +5.5…($600) via Pinnacle
270) UNDER 48 SEA-ARI…($600) via Pinnacle
__________________
Northcoast
NFL GOM - NY Giants -3
__________________
Get Sports Strong from Sports Watch 6-1 NFL
Cleveland +7
Washington +3
New England -7
__________________
Tony Bruno
raiders
chiefs
titans
Bills
__________________
Marco
3% Titans
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Kelso 100 New England
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SkyBluePicks
Carolina Panthers +5.5
Oakland Raiders +6
Denver Broncos -2.5
__________________
charlie
detroit +7
wash+3
ne over 41
__________________
Rainman
10* Saints
5* Rams Bears
Reg Colts Titans
__________________
Augie J - Raiders Vikings NYG NYG over
Dime Man - Top Broncos under Bears under Reg Giants Seahawks
Champagne - Top Colts Texans Reg Browns KC
Philly Guy - Browns Dolphins Broncos Redskins
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winningsportsplays
Britney DeLucka
NFL ALL-STAR BANGER PLAY
[264] Buffalo and New England Under 42
NFL HOT PICKS
[255] Washington +3
[268] LA Rams and Tampa Bay Under 49
[274] Denver and Jacksonville Under 37
[276] New Orleans +3
MLB HOT PICKS
[956] Pittsburgh +110
[958] Colorado and Milwaukee Over 13
__________________
Scott DeLaney
4th-Ever
200 DIME
Double Wager
NFL Release of my 17-Year Career
Texans
__________________
Sean Michaels
50 DIME
Two-Team Teaser
K.C / Rams
__________________
Tony Weston
50 Dime
AFC Game of the Month
Jags
__________________
Al Demarco
15 Dime Release
Rams
__________________
Dwayne Connors
Second-Ever
Raise The Bar
1500 UNIT
NFL Release Of My Career
Rams
__________________
Jack Brayman
50 Dime
NFC East
Game of the Month
Giants
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STEVE BUDIN - CEO
Sunday's Play
The Cali-Cartel has a 50 Dime play on Seattle at Arizona. The Seahawks are -5 as I put my site live at 10:50 eastern.
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Chris Jordan
Top-Rated
1000♦
Interconference
Game of the Month
Falcons
__________________
Bob Valentino
Top-Rated
100 DIME
Lead Pipe Lock Winner # 14 of 21
Sunday Night Game of the Year
Saints
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Seabass : 300 3 team teaser Texans game over , ravens game over , bears game under , 300 raiders , 300 titans , 400 Seahawks , no limit broncos , 600 redskins , 400 pats game under
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Sports Unlimited/Marco D'Angelo
7 Chicago -1
5 Tampa Bay +9'
4 Tennessee +3'
4 Oakland +6'
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Ultra Sports 9/29
Saints
Ravens
Titans
__________________
Gavazzi
5% Seattle
4 Colts and KC
__________________
PickersMx
80 Dimes La Barba Early game
New England Patriots 1st Half -4
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Jack Winningham
Today
NFL
Kansas City -7
MLB
Chicago White Sox -143
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UDog
Arizona
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BALFE
Oak+6.5,,,,over45.5
Wash +3.5
Mn +2
Jx +2.5
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Bmc $1000 buffalo +7
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