Saturday 9/7/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
Marc lawrence free play = w.virginia
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Northcoast Comps:
Underdog: Arkansas +7
4* Power play: UCLA - 7
#2 Economy Club: App St -21.5
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Marc Lawrence Incredible Stat of the Day:
West Virginia is 25-3 SU in Game Two of the season
Texas A&M is 21-1 SU in Game Two of the season.
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Doc's Sports
Sep 07 '19, 12:00 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | West Virginia vs Missouri
Play on: West Virginia +14½ -109 at GTBets
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #319 West Virginia Mountaineers over Missouri Tigers (12p.m., Saturday, September 7 ESPN2) Just not sold on this Missouri team this year. They were a popular pick last week and got dominated in the running game losing to Wyoming straight-up despite being a 17.5 point favorite. They will bounce back this week, but I just do not believe they will be able to run over a team from a Power-5 Conference. West Virginia did not look that impressive last week against James Madison, but they will be much more focused for this game. Missouri is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Big 12 teams. West Virginia is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played during the month of September. 60% of the early money is coming in on the underdog and we will side with them as well. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Football card featuring picks on Saturday and Sunday. 70% winners in the NFL and now is the time to jump on board with a veteran handicapper that has 48 years of experience.
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Sean Murphy
Sep 07 '19, 1:00 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | Northern Illinois vs Utah
Play on: UNDER 44 -115
Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on the ‘under’ between Northern Illinois and Utah at 1 pm et on Saturday.
We saw an extremely low-scoring game between these two teams last year as Utah prevailed by a 17-6 score. I’m anticipating more of the same this year. The Huskies delivered a 24-10 win over FCS squad Illinois State in their season-opener last week. Note that they didn’t find the end zone until the final three minutes of the third quarter in that contest and things certainly won’t get any easier against an elite defense in Utah. The common line of thinking is that the Utes won't face a great deal of resistance from the NIU defense although as we saw last week, they’re still working out the kinks offensively, failing to reach the end zone offensively until over five minutes into the third quarter against BYU. This just isn’t a game where Utah needs to keep its foot on the gas pedal for four quarters, which serves us well with a play on the ‘under’. Take the under (10*).
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Dustin Hawkins
Sep 07 '19, 5:00 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | UL-Monroe vs Florida State
Play on: OVER 60½ -110
1 Dimer on UL-Monroe vs Florida State over 60½ -110
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Alex Smart
Sep 07 '19, 10:30 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | California vs Washington
Play on: California +14 -110 at YouWager
Defensive genius head coach Justin Wilcox of the California Bears upset Washington at Berkeley last season, 12-10. Now Chris Petersen and company will be out looking for revenge, but Im betting what he wants won't come easily. It must be noted that Washington is just 0-5 ATS L/5 as a conference fav of 14 points or more. With 7 retuning starters back on a D that improved by 23 points since Wilcox took over the Bears must be considered formidable opponents for all comers.
CALIFORNIA is 12-3 ATS as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.
Play on California to cover
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Totals Guru
Sep 07 '19, 10:30 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | Stanford vs USC
Play on: UNDER 45 -109
Free Total Annihilator On Stanford vs USC under 45 -109
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Bryan Leonard
Sep 07 '19, 4:15 PM in 1d
NCAA-F | San Diego State vs UCLA
Play on: UCLA -7½ -110 at Mirage
350 San Diego State at UCLA
The Aztecs really struggled against a good Weber State team last week in a 6-0 victory. San Diego State is putting in a new offense under Jeff Horton and the team managed just 108 passing yards in the process. A major concern is that this team produced just one explosive play of 20 or more yards. While the club is looking forward to stepping up against a non-conference opponent, keep in mind the Aztecs are 9-17 ATS outside the Mountain West Conference.
UCLA ran into a solid Cincinnati team last week that could be a contender for the Final Four. There was a tug of war between two major syndicates in that game, so someone really believes in these Bruins. While we used Cincinnati in that contest, we can see how UCLA had major backers. We use three sets of power ratings and two of the three have UCLA three points higher than the current line. We expect UCLA to spread the field and outscore this questionable Aztecs offense who is just trying to find itself.
PLAY UCLA
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Sal Michaels
Sep 07 '19, 8:00 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs North Carolina
Play on: Miami-FL -4 -105 at YouWager
Free Play on Miami-FL -4 -105
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Cole Faxon
Sep 07 '19, 10:30 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | Minnesota vs Fresno State
Play on: UNDER 48½ -105
FREE PLAY on Minnesota/Fresno State under 48½ -105
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Brian Bitler
Brian’s 9* CFB Breakfast Club
Ohio vs. Pittsburgh, 09/07/2019 11:00 EDT
Point Spread: +5½/-110 Ohio
Sportsbook:
Bodog
Pittsburgh got dismantled at home in game one by Virginia and now a hungry Bobcats team comes to town. This line opened up at 7 a key number and has dropped all the way to 5 in some spots despite basically being 50/50 money bet. Ohio is well coached top to bottom and usually does well in these types of games. Huge game with Penn State on deck does Pitt over look the Bobcats I see it as a very possible scenario even at 0-1.
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Invest 9 units on the Bobcats rotation #305
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Chase Diamond
Chase’s 8* CFB Power Line Move
Syracuse vs. Maryland, 09/07/2019 12:00 EDT
Point Spread: -1½/-110 Maryland
Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports
This game features the 1-0 Syracuse and the 1-0 Maryland Terps. Huge game for both teams but even more so for Maryland who finally is back to a spot where they think they can compete with teams so beating Syracuse will be paramount to their season. Love them minus the small line here for an 8* Winner.
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Joe D'Amico
Joe D'Amico's FREE NCAAF WINNER
Minnesota vs. Fresno State, 09/07/2019 22:30 EDT
Point Spread: +3/+101 Fresno State
Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports
The BEST BIG GAME HUNTER ON THE PLANET has his most explosive card in years this Saturday in college football: NCAAF 24-7 UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT WINNER, 78% CRUSHER, 51-16 (1-0 TY) TOUCHDOWN, 24-6 TEN DIMES PLAY. If you don't follow me this Saturday, you are going to cost yourself money and hate yourself on Sunday.
Saturday's FREE NCAAF WINNER: Fresno State.
Game 390.
7:30 pm pst.
Big difference in opponents in Week 1, as Fresno State faced USC and Minnesota went up against South Dakota State. The Bulldogs covered the 14.5 point spread in a 31-23 loss while the Golden Gophers got lucky in a 28-21 victory and no cover, laying 14.5 points. Fresno State possesses a very well-balanced offense, led by senior quarterback, Jorge Reyna and a defense that ranked third nationally a season ago, allowing just 14.1 PPG. Minnesota will have problems in the trenches in this matchup. To make matters worse, P.J. Fleck is no match for the coaching mind of Jeff Tedford. Look for the Bulldogs to exact some revenge from last year's, 21-14 loss to the Golden Gophers. Fresno State is 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played at home, 8-1 ATS the last nine games played in the month of September, and 28-7-1 ATS the last 36 games played overall. Take Fresno State. Thank you.
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Bobby Conn
Sep 07 '19, 3:30 PM in 16h
NCAA-F | Charlotte vs Appalachian State
Play on: Appalachian State -21½ -110 at Mirage
1* Free Play on Appalachian State -21½ -110
The Charlotte 49ers (1-0) will face their first road game of the year on Saturday as they travel into Boone, North Carolina to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (1-0).
Both teams earned the victory in Week 1 of the college football season. While Charlotte was beating Gardner-Webb 49-28, Appalachian State easily defeated Eastern Tennessee State by a score of 42-7.
In last year’s matchup between these two teams, the Mountaineers made quick work of the 49ers in a 45-9 beatdown.
Although the 49ers racked up 508 yards of offense compared to just 219 yards allowed, they struggled to hang onto the ball and ended the game with three turnovers. Quarterbacks Chris Reynolds and Brett Kean combined for 18-of-28 passing with 136 yards, two touchdowns, and three picks.
The Mountaineers built on their 14-0 halftime advantage and won the game handily on the back of a 444-yard offensive performance while allowing just 292 yards. Appalachian State spread the ball out on the ground, but Darrynton Evans lead all running backs with 14 carries for 99 yards and a TD.
Mountaineers quarterback Zac Thomas threw for two touchdowns and added another in the run game.
While Charlotte is 1-4 in its last five games against the spread versus a team above .500, Appalachian State is 6-0 against the spread in its last six against non-conference opponents.
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Steve Janus
Sep 07 '19, 3:30 PM in 16h
NCAA-F | Illinois vs Connecticut
Play on: Connecticut +22 -110 at Mirage
1* Free Sharp Play on Connecticut +22 -110
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Kenny Walker
Sep 07 '19, 4:15 PM in 17h
NCAA-F | San Diego State vs UCLA
Play on: San Diego State +9 -110 at sportsbook
Free Pick on San Diego State
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John Martin
Sep 07 '19, 4:15 PM in 17h
NCAA-F | San Diego State vs UCLA
Play on: UCLA -8 -110 at Mirage
1 Unit FREE PLAY on UCLA -8
The UCLA Bruins lost to a very good Cincinnati team that won 11 games a year ago in their opener. It was the second straight season opening loss to the Bearcats for the Bruins. Now UCLA has Oklahoma on deck, so they are looking at this game against San Diego State as a must-win. They should be able to win and cover at home. This is a veteran UCLA team that returned 19 starters and improved greatly in the second half of the season last year. Those improvements should show through here in Week 2. San Diego State clearly has the same offensive problems that have dogged them for years. They beat FCS foe Weber State 6-0 last week and only had 238 yards of total offense. I just don’t think they will have the firepower to keep up with this Chip Kelly offense led by Dorian Thompson-Robinson. The Aztecs are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall. The Bruins are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 against Mountain West teams. The Bruins are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. Give me UCLA.
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Info Plays
Sep 07 '19, 4:15 PM in 17h
NCAA-F | San Diego State vs UCLA
Play on: San Diego State +9 -105 at Pinnacle
1* FREE INFO PLAY on San Diego State +9 -105
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Jimmy Boyd
Sep 07 '19, 7:00 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | North Texas vs SMU
Play on: North Texas +3½ -110 at sportsbook
1* Free NCAAF Pick on North Texas Mean Green +3½ -110
These two teams met in last year's season opener and North Texas Won 46-23 as a 4-point home dog. It wasn't even that close. The Mean Green were up 36-0 after 3 quarters. They outgained the Mustangs 529 to 252 and North Texas quarterback Mason Fine absolutely torched the SMU defense for 444 yards and 3 scores (40 of 50 passing).
Fine looked in midseason form in Week 1, throwing for 383 yards and 4 scores in North Texas' 51-31 win. I know SMU won on the road over Arkansas State and Texas transfer quarterback Shane Buechele played well, but the SMU secondary didn't look any better. Logan Bonner of Arkansas State went 32 of 50 (64%) for 324 yards and 4 scores.
I just don't see the Mustangs being able to keep pace offensively and I fully expect North Texas to win outright. Mean Green are a strong 9-4 ATS last 13 in September. SMU is 1-5 ATS last 6 off a win.
There's also a strong system in play. Road dogs who put up 400 or more yards/game the previous season and are coming off a game where they outgained opponents by 125 or more have gone 48-18 (73%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take North Texas!
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Cappers Club
Sep 07 '19, 7:00 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | Coastal Carolina vs Kansas
Play on: Kansas -7 -109 at GTBets
Kansas -7
This play just missed out on our premium card. Kansas and Coastal Carolina face off on Saturday and the home squad has the value.
The Kansas defense is known for creating turnovers and they are facing a Coastal Carolina quarterback who threw four interceptions in game one.
The Jayhawks offense looked better in the second half of week one, and the Jayhawks defense will probably score a touchdown too.
Some trends to note. Chanticleers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Chanticleers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Back the Jayhawks.
5* *FREE* Play on Kansas -7
Good Luck, Cappers Club.
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Mark Wilson
Sep 07 '19, 7:10 PM in 20h
MLB | Phillies vs Mets
Play on: Phillies +145 at 1BetVegas
Free Play on Phillies +145
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Rob Vinciletti
Sep 07 '19, 7:30 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | Nevada vs Oregon
Play on: Oregon -24 -109 at GTBets
The College Football comp play for Saturday is on Oregon at 7:30 eastern. The Ducks opened at 21 earlier in the week and are now up to 24. They should still get the job done here tonight as they will be motivated coming off a tough blown loss lead to Auburn last week. Nevada pulled a big upset home dog win over Purdue and that win sets them up in a long term and profitable system that plays against road dogs of 17 or more that scored 31 or more points and allowed 21 or more in a home dog win. These large road dogs fall flat the next week. Nevada has failed to cover the last 3 vs PAC 12 Schools, 5 of 7 as a dog of 17 or more, 7 of 8 in September and 4 of 5 after allowing 100 or less yards rushing. Oregon has covered 5 of 6 at home vs teams with a winning record. Based on the system, angles and overall talent level we will back Oregon to cover in this one. For the College free Play. Go with Oregon.. Rob V- GC Sports
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Jack Jones
Sep 07 '19, 10:30 PM in 23h
NCAA-F | Stanford vs USC
Play on: UNDER 43½ -108
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Stanford/USC UNDER 43.5
USC was dealt a big blow when JT Daniels went out with a season-ending injury in Week 1 against Fresno State. He was expected to make a big leap from his freshman season. But the USC offense faltered after he went out, and Fresno State was able to make a comeback.
The new starter for USC this week and likely for the remainder of the season will be Kedon Slovis, who hadn’t even attempted a pass before last week. Slovis went 6-of-8 for 57 yards with an interception while stepping in for Daniels in the second half last week. Don’t expect him to be hitting on all cylinders this week in his first career start.
Stanford lost junior QB K.J. Costello to a concussion against Northwestern last week. He is one of the best quarterbacks in program history and will be missed this week. Sophomore Davis Mills has been named the starter, and the game plan will certainly be a conservative one for him as well. Mills went 7-of-14 for 81 yards in Costello’s absence last week.
I was very impressed with Stanford’s defense last week as they allowed just seven points and 210 total yards and forced four turnovers against Northwestern. They will certainly try to shorten this game with their running game and rely on their defense to try and beat USC this week.
Last year Stanford beat USC 17-3 at home for just 20 combined points. I know this is a very low total of 43.5, but it’s not low enough given the injuries to both starting quarterbacks. I’d be surprised if either team exceeded 20 points in this rematch.
Stanford is 14-3 to the UNDER in its last 17 games after a game where 29 total points or less were scored. David Shaw is 30-14 UNDER in all road games as the coach of Stanford. The UNDER is 5-1 in USC’s last six games following a win. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.
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