Sunday 9/15/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
John Ryan
Sep 15 '19, 1:00 PM in 2d
NFL | Patriots vs Dolphins
Play on: Dolphins +17½ -105 at sportsbook
5-STAR WAGER ON THE MIAMI DOLPHINS (270) AS THEY TAKE ON THE NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS IN NFL ACTION SET TO START AT 1:00 PM EST, SEPTEMBER 15, 2019.
This is the ultimate polar opposite game and pick with the best team playing the worst team in the NFL. Miami is not a good team, but they are not as bad as they played in Sunday’s embarassing loss to the Ravens. Further, the Patriots played an incredible game against the Steelers. So, a return to the nor is in store for this matchup. Not suggesting for a second that the Dolphins can shock the world and win the game, but 17.5 points is just too many points.
This situational query has earned a solid 31-9 ATS record good for 78% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The query requirements are to play on underdogs that were a terrible defense allowing 385 or more yards-per-game in the previous season. This query has gone 1-1 ATS in Week-1 action (Bengals covered against Seattle) and 12-5 ATS over the last five seasons.
From the Machine Learning summary, the Patriots are projected to outgain the Dolphins by not more than 1.5 yards-per-Play (YPPL). In past games, teams that are installed as 14.5-point or greater underdogs and are not outgained by more than 1.5 YPPL are a solid 35-18-1 ATS for 66% winning bets and 2-52 straight-up (SU). So, the Patriost go to 2-0 and Miami covers the spread in this one.
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Will Rogers
Sep 15 '19, 4:25 PM in 2d
NFL | Saints vs Rams
Play on: Saints +2½ +100 at Mirage
The set-up: Both teams come in off tougher than expected victories. That said, I was more impressed with Drew Brees and the Saints in Week 1. While I clearly wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, in the end I’ll recommend grabbing up the points. Remember, this is a “revenge” game for New Orleans, which was knocked out of the playoffs last year by the Rams on a controversial call. I think the Saints got looking past the Texans last weekend. That said, clearly Houston looked a lot better than LA’s opponent Carolina did.
The pick: Last week Rams’ star RB Todd Gurley had 97 yards on 14 carries, but the health of his knee is still in question. And despite HOW the Saints won last weekend, they’re still the ONLY team in the NFC South which emerged victorious after Week 1. The stage is now set for Brees to get his revenge vs. the undermanned/injured Rams. I think the conditions are right for a minor upset in this one.
1* FREE PLAY on New Orleans Saints.
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Ricky Tran
Sep 15 '19, 4:25 PM in 2d
NFL | Bears vs Broncos
Play on: Broncos +3 -115 at Bovada
Ricky’s 1* Free Play on the Denver Broncos.
Both teams are hungry for a victory here obviously after lacklustre Week 1 setbacks. Joe Flacco and the Broncos lost 24-16 at Oakland, while the Bears fell 10-3 at home to the Packers. Green Bay’s defense couldn’t get any worse than it did last year, so it’s hard to really judge where the Bears offense is at the moment.
The verdict: Denver is tough to beat at home. Note that over the last eight years the Broncos have won 12 straight home games that have taken place in Week’s 1 or 2. Additionally note that Chicago has lost its first road game of the season in four straight seasons. The Bears defense looked decent last week, but they were limited to 254 total yards with zero trips into the red zone on the offensive side. That’s simply not going to get it done in Mile High in my opinion this weekend. I’m grabbing the points, but obviously won’t be shocked by the outright upset!
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James Patrick Sports Top Pair Sunday NFL Over / Under Total Selections
Chiefs vs. Raiders 4:05 pm est. CBS The Oakland Raiders made a ton of big moves this off-season, so no one's sleeping on them. The Raiders have drafted well the last two years and now they have a great GM in Mike Mayock and he has restocked the previously-bare offensive cupboard. Watch now as Carr and the Raiders get back to relevance and domination on offense, specifically in the passing attack. Carr will once again be a top-10 quarterback in the NFL, lighting up opposing teams on a week-to-week basis.Oakland has been one of the most consistently poor defensive ballclubs this decade, failing to finish above 20th in points allowed every season since 2006.Andy Reid's squad will have a chance for as long as Patrick Mahomes is under center. The reigning MVP made it all look so effortless in 2018. Even taking into account Tyreek Hill's uncertain future with the team, the Chiefs' offense has enough talent to light up scoreboards. It's easy to forget that last season was Mahomes first as an NFL starter -- he's only going to get better. He leads an offense that has enough depth and talent to be one of the league's most potent. The Chiefs struggled all season long on defense last year, ranking in the bottom third of the league in most statistical categories.Don't see how this one isn't a shootout. Kansas City rung up 40 points in its opener at Jacksonville, and they have a much better defense than the Raiders. Last year the Chiefs put up 35 and 40 points in two games against Oakland, I think they can do it again. Oakland's defense played well on Monday against Denver but still gave up a bunch of big plays. The Chiefs defense surrendered 26 points to the Jaguars' weak offense, getting carved up by a rookie quarterback in the process. Derek Carr looked really good against the Denver defense, and I think that he will be able to hang 20 or more on this Chiefs defense. The 'over' is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two in Oakland. The 'over' is 7-2 in Kansas City's last nine games overall, and the 'over' is 16-5 in their last 21 road games. Look for a high-scoring shootout in the Wild West. (3*) Play. #282. Take Oakland Raiders vs. KC Saints vs. Rams 4:25 pm est. FOX This game needs no introduction after these teams met in a contentious NFC Championship game with a missed PI call ultimately leading to the new replay system now in place. This Rams offense is shaping up to be one of the best in the league behind Sean McVay who is now is credited with being an offensive genius.The Saints are also loaded on offense with a potent passing attack led by Drew Brees and a good running attack led by Alvin Kamara.Qb Drew Brees has been one of the top gunslinger in the NFL the past five seasons and the Saints run the same kind of pass-happy, spread offense they have run since 2007. Brees has proven, again over many years to be a championship quality leader. The Saints QB keeps getting better with age. He's recorded a (100)-plus passer rating in each of his last three seasons. The Saints have finished among the top five scoring teams in the NFC. The team averages (27.9) points per game with Brees as a starter.The Saints can keep pace with anyone and will need to in this game. (5*) Pot of Gold Play. #283. Take New Orleans - LA Over the Total
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KENNY WALKER
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Eagles vs. Falcons
Falcons+2
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BOBBY CONN
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Bears vs. Broncos
1* Free Play on Broncos +2½ -110
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SAL MICHAELS
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Bears vs. Broncos
Free Play on Bears -2 -110
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JIMMY BOYD
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Saints vs. Rams
1* Free NFL Pick on Los Angeles Rams -120
Free pick for Sunday's Week 3 card is to play the LA Rams on the money line at home against the Saints. People are just not buying into this Rams team this year. While LA won on at Carolina in Week 1, the offense didn't really impress. Goff threw for just 186 yards and Gurley not finding the endzone.
Saints are a team people are high on and a lot of people are looking to play New Orleans here because of what happened in last year's NFC Championship Game and the no-call on the obvious pass interference. I think all the value here is with the Rams.
Saints pulled off a miracle in their 30-28 win over the Texans on MNF in Week 1. That's a tough act to follow and New Orleans has to go way out west here on 1 less day of rest/prep. After watching the Texans rack up more than 400 yards, I think we see that Rams offense look a lot more like the unit we saw light up the NFL last year. Take Los Angeles!
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STEVE JANUS
MLB | Sep 15, 2019
Brewers vs. Cardinals
1* Free Sharp Play on Cardinals -132
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CALVIN KING
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Bears vs. Broncos
[1%] Free Play on Bears
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CHIP CHIRIMBES
New Orleans at L.A. Rams 4:25 ET
Rams (-) over Saints
Okay, revenge will be the storyline in New Orleans this week as we will be exposed over and over again of the mysterious non-pass-interference call in the playoffs last year. New Orleans staged a miraculous comeback to defeat the Texans Monday night and may still be riding high as they fly to Los Angeles. The Rams believed that they were the better team last year and they still feel that way now and could are less how the Saints feel about the non-call. But, here's the good stuff. New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings in Los Angeles and they are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall. But there's more...The home team is 7-1 ATS (that loss was in the playoffs last season) and the Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last five against the NFC. Take the RAMS
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MARK WILSON
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Eagles vs. Falcons
Free Play on Eagles -1 -115
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ASA
NFL PLAY ON Cincinnati (pick-em) over San Francisco, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET
This line opened with the Niners favored by 2 and has moved to Cincinnati now favored by 2. We completely agree with the move and while we don’t often like to chase big line moves, with the Bengals less than a FG we’ll grab it. The Bengals traveled west to take on Seattle last week and dominated much of the game. They outgained Seattle by nearly 200 yards but lost the game 21-20. Seattle averaged 6.1 YPP in the game while holding Seattle to 4.8 YPP. QB Andy Dalton had his career high in passing yards lighting up the Seattle secondary for 419 yards. New Bengal head coach Zac Taylor, a Sean McVay disciple, looks like he is already paying dividends for this offense. Blown scoring opportunities was the theme for Cincy. They pushed inside the Seattle 40 yard line 4 times in the 2nd half alone and came away with a total of 3 points on those drives. We think they’ll be much more efficient at home this week. San Fran made the long trip to Tampa last week and came away with a 31-17 win. They were fortunate to pick up the road win as Tampa had more yardage but turned the ball over 4 times. Two of those Buc turnovers were interceptions returned for TD’s. Thus the Niner offense only scored 14 points. QB Garoppolo looked rusty in his first start after missing the final 13 games last year and the offense only produced 4.3 YPP vs a Tampa defense that was terrible a year ago. Now San Fran will play in the Eastern time zone again this week and while they did stay in Ohio this week, this situation is not ideal. With the host looking improved and the line sitting where pretty much all they have to do is win to cover, we’ll take Cincinnati.
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JOHN MARTIN
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Colts vs. Titans
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Tennessee Titans -3
The Titans are tired of getting dominated by the Colts. They went 0-11 against Andrew Luck before his stunning retirement. They have lost 13 of the last 15 meetings overall. The two they won? Those came with Jacoby Brissett at quarterback in 2017. Now they get Brissett again and should be able to handle the Colts at home as only 3-point favorites. A lot of people are sleeping on the Titans, and that showed with their 43-13 trouncing of Cleveland on the road last week. They aren’t a flashy team and won’t make many headlines, but they play the game the right way. The Colts gave up 435 total yards to the Chargers on the road last week and now will be on the road for a second straight week after an overtime game. Teams playing two straight road games to open the season are 2-13 SU & 1-14 ATS in Week 2. Give me the Titans.
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STEPHEN NOVER
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Chargers vs. Lions
Chargers-114
Don't overthink this game. The Chargers are at least two levels higher than the Lions. They were the best road spread team last season, too. The Chargers are 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS as road chalk the last two years since Anthony Lynn became head coach. Los Angeles has covered seven of its past eight road games. Austin Ekeler and Justin Jackson have proven more than capable of replacing holdout Melvin Gordon. The Chargers averaged six yards per rush opening week. I would take Philip Rivers over Matthew Stafford, too. Those downgrading the Chargers here point out LA will be without its best offensive lineman with left tackle Russell Okung out. But Detroit offensive left tackle Taylor Decker, who protects Stafford's blind side, gave up two sacks last week and is dealing with a back injury. Joey Bosa gives the Chargers the best pass rusher on the field. The Chargers are one of the few complete teams in the NFL without any discernible weakness. The Lions have many warts, including a vulnerable secondary, bad head coach and a horrendous 4-12 ATS record when meeting above .500 opponents.
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DUSTIN HAWKINS
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Vikings vs. Packers
1 Dimer on Vikings vs Packers under 45 -110
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TOTALS GURU
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Colts vs. Titans
Free Total Annihilator On Colts vs Titans over 44 -110
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JACK JONES
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Bears vs. Broncos
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Denver Broncos +2.5
The Denver Broncos will have a big advantage having Vic Fangio as their head coach against the Chicago Bears in this one. He was the defensive coordinator for the Bears last season, so he went up against Chicago’s offense every day in practice. He knows exactly what Matt Nagy likes to run in different situations.
Of course, the Bears had all kinds of problems offensively against the Packers last week. They managed just 3 points and 254 total yards against what wasn’t expected to be a very good Green Bay defense. Mitchell Trubisky looked like a rookie out there and was fortunate not to throw more than the one interception he threw to Adrian Amos. The Packers dropped at least two others, and they were in the backfield putting pressure on Trubisky all game.
The Broncos have two of the best pass rushers in the NFL in Von Miller and Bradley Chubb. The Raiders did a good job with the quick passing game while also chipping on both of them to keep them off of Derek Carr last week. Trubisky isn’t good at making quick decisions and constantly holds onto the ball too long. I fully expect Miller and Chubb to be much bigger factors this week against a suspect Chicago offensive line.
The Broncos moved the ball OK against the Raiders last week with 344 total yards, but they had to settle for too many field goals and only got one touchdown. Not to mention, they had another easy TD dropped and had to settle for a FG. Joe Flacco should be much more comfortable in his second start with the team playing in front of his home fans in Denver.
Opposing teams have really struggled with the altitude in Denver early in the season. Players aren’t in game shape in the first few weeks of the season, which is why this following trend makes a lot of sense. Denver is an incredible 22-1 SU in home games in Week 1 and Week 2 over their last 23 tries. This trend leads me to believe that the wrong team is favored in this game. Bet the Broncos Sunday.
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DAVE PRICE
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Chargers vs. Lions
1* on Detroit Lions +2
The Key: The Chargers have not been good in these early start times out East. It’s just tough for them to get their bodies used to playing a game in the morning, which is 10 AM Pacific time. I don’t think they’ll fare well here against a hungry Detroit Lions team that blew an 18-point lead against the Cardinals last week and had to settle for the tie. The Lions racked up 477 total yards and appear to have an improved offense this season. Their defensive line is really good, and it will pose problems for a banged up Chargers offensive line that will be playing without Russell Okung. The Chargers have all kinds of injuries that they’ll have to adjust to. They are without Melvin Gordon, who is still holding out. They are also without S Derwin James, TE Hunter Henry and WR Mike Williams. That’s 5 of their best players they have to play without this week, while the Lions are basically at full strength. Take Detroit.
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COLE FAXON
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Bills vs. Giants
FREE PLAY on Bills/Giants over 44½ -109
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ROB VINCILETTI
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
49ers vs. Bengals
Bengals-106
The NFL Comp play is on The Bengals at 1:00 eastern. The Bengals are 5-0 ats after putting 350+ yards and 4-0 ats off a loss. They take on a Niners team playing a 2nd straight road game and these teams are on a 1-15 spread run of late. San Francisco is a lousy 2-12 on the East Coast and has failed to cover 5 of 6 in week 2 games. They are off a nice win last week at Tampa but this is a potential flat sot and Cincy will be motivated off the close loss to Seattle so we will play on Cincinnati here. For the Fee NFL Play. Go with Cincinnati. Rob V- GC Sports.
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: LA Dodgers w/Buehler -130 Over NY Mets
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Totals4U
Early Sunday's Free Selection: Jacksonville Jaguars/Houston Texans under 43
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks w/Gallen -140 over Cincinnati
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Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Sunday
Arizona +13
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Hawkeye Sports
Early Sunday's Free Pick: Baltimore Ravens - 13
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Atlanta Friend pk MLB
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Early Sunday: Baltimore Ravens - 13
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#1 Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection: Miami Dolphins + 19
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JACK BRAYMAN
The Miami Dolphins clearly have packed it in, long before the season started, with liquidation moves that emptied the roster. Now they have to host the Super Bowl champion, and odds-on favorite to win this year's title. And what will the New England Patriots do for an encore to Sunday night's 33-3 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers against the worst team in the league? Eh, they'll usher out and introduce Antonio Brown as Tom Brady's newest target.
It's about to get real funky.
Especially seeing how Brady continued to defy the odds at 42 years old by spinning a 341-yard, three-touchdown game against the Steelers. Brady spread the ball around to seven players, and that didn't include Brown, arguably one of the two best wide receivers in football.
Oddly enough, Brady and company were 0-for-3 in the red zone against the Steelers. That won't be the case against the sad Dolphins, who - oops - may have just allowed another touchdown to Baltimore. Yeah, it was that bad.
On the other side of the football, I'm thinking if the Patriots just held the Steelers to a field goal, they should most certainly be able to keep the Fins out of the end zone with a run defense spearheaded by linebackers Dont'a Hightower, Jamie Collins and John Simon.
This will be over by the end of the first quarter. Lay the points.
2* PATRIOTS
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BOBBY LIGS
Event: (267) Arizona Cardinals at (268) Baltimore Ravens
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 15, 2019 1PM EDT
Play: Arizona Cardinals 13.5 (-110)
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SUNDAY: DALLAS/WASHINGTON OVER the total of 46½
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Sunday : Take MINNESOTA/GREEN BAY OVER the total of 43
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Arthur Ralph
SUN: NO Saints + 3
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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Sunday: CHICAGO/DENVER UNDER the total of 40
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Kenny Towers
Your free pick for Sunday: KC/OAK OVER 53½
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John Anthony Sports
SUNDAY Free Selection:
DEN BRONCOS
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Roz Wins
Roz's SUNDAY, Septmeber 15, 2019 Free Pick
(277) SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS VS (278) CINCINNATI BENGALS
Take : Bengals
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play Sunday, September 15, 2019
(265) BUFFALO BILLS VS (266) NEW YORK GIANTS
Take : Giants
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Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday, September 15, 2019
NFL (261) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS (262) TENNESSEE TITANS
Take: (262) TENNESSEE TITANS
Reason: Your free play for Sunday, September 15, 2019 is in the NFL scheduled contest between the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans. Your free play is on the TITANS.
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Hollywood Anthony
Your SUNDAY Free Play from Hollywood Anthony is
LA RAMS
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Tony Sacco
Tony Sacco's Free Play for SUNDAY is on the
DET LIONS
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Atlantic Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Houston Texans - 9
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Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach
NFL Rotation #273 Sunday Free Pick Jacksonville Jaguars (+) @ Houston Texans @ 1 ET
Foles, of course, is out for the Jaguars but Minshew did a great job filling in for him after he got hurt in last week's loss to the Chiefs. Now Jacksonville is catching the Texans on a short week after they played (and lost) at New Orleans on Monday Night. When the the Jags are off a straight-up loss and facing a divisional foe that is also off a straight-up loss (and with a margin of defeat of less than 7 points), Jacksonville has covered 11 of 12 games! The system makes sense as you know the Jaguars will be highly motivated off a loss plus now facing a divisional opponent. Also, with catching that divisional opponent off the stinging disappointment of a tight loss, the situation is perfect. That is the case here as the Texans are still stinging from that last second loss to the Saints last week. Jaguars have a great shot at the upset but, even if they fall short, should keep this margin at just one score. Grab the big points. Free Pick JACKSONVILLE
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RAY MONOHAN
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Eagles vs. Falcons
Eagles ML (-115)
Sunday night football sees the Eagles and Carson Wentz going on the road to take on Matt Ryan's Atlanta Falcons. The Eagles have all the value in this one for me.
Did any team in the NFL look as bad as the Falcons last week vs. the Vikings? Not for my money, and now more bad news this week for the Falcons O-Line as they had to put their starting RG on IR, and in walks the Eagles nasty pass rush.
Yes I know the Eagles looked terrible in the first half last week but that second half was a thing of beauty and DeSean Jackson looks reborn back in Phili catching 8 for 154 and 2 TD's last week. Wentz finished 28/39 with 313 yards and 3 TD's. Throw in Ertz and Jeffrey and Sanders and Sproles and Howard and that D? I'm not in a good mood Sunday if I'm Dan Quinn.
At the end of the day the Eagles are just the better team, and I'm not sure the Falcons can match the Eagles point for point in this one. They didn't last year either in Week 1 action as the Eagles won 18-12, holding Julio Jones to only 31 total yards.
Some trends to consider. Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win, are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Lastly, head to head Eagles are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 meetings.
The Eagles have gotten the better of the Falcons in 3 of their last 4 and I look for more of the same on Sunday night. Eagles win this one by 5 or 6.
Back the Eagles.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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HUNTER PRICE
MLB | Sep 15, 2019
Brewers vs. Cardinals
1* Free Pick on Cardinals -127
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DWAYNE CONNORS
2* MINNESOTA-GREEN BAY UNDER
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CAPPERS ACCESS
(NFL)
Vikings
Bills
Chiefs
Falcons
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CARMINE BIANCO
Event: (279) Minnesota Vikings at (280) Green Bay Packers
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 15, 2019 1PM EDT
Play: Total Under 44.0 (-110)
NFL - Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers
Sunday's Free Play is a play on the Total and Under as division rivals Minnesota and Green Bay meet sporting 1-0 records and both coming off good defensive games. If you watched the Monday segment of Morning Joe with the Pro I mentioned taking the best number here with the Under at 46 and it's now at 44 but still playable at that number. Both teams are going to try and establish the run. The Vikings were able to in a 28-12 win week 1 while the pack did struggle in a 10-3 win over the Bears. We'll look for this to stay under the number.
The Free Play is Under 44 -110
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Sports Book Edge
Kevin 'Bubba' Smith
'Railside' Harry MLB Expert
#275/6 Sea Seahawks/Pit Steelers Over
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Priority Sports Info
Roy Maddux
#958 Chicago Cubs
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TDS Pucks & Dunks
Sloan Shannon
Home of the Dog Pound
#953 Atlanta Braves
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Valley Sports
#269/0 Patriots/Dolphins Under
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Billy Irish Picks
Billy Irish
Original Pot of Gold Top Play
#276 Pittsburgh Steelers
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Winning Colors Pks
TJ Elliot
Football & Basketball specialist
#265/6 Buf Bills/NY Giants Over
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Doug Upstone
#263 San Diego Chargers
#278 Cincinnati Bengals
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Todays Round Robin
Harry Walker
#971 Houston Astros
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Tony Mejia
#268 Balt Ravens
#266 NY Giants
#271 Dalas Cowboys
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BOB VALENTINO
New England has lost OUTRIGHT in 5 of their last 6 visits to Miami, and come in a 1-6 against the spread the last 7 times they have faced the Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. Those stats are something I would normally be interested in backing, but NOT THIS TIME!
After watching Miami allow over 600 yards, while gaining just 200 yards in their 59-10 loss at home to Baltimore, there is not a number high enough that you could hand me to make me interested in backing this Miami team.
Brian Flores is a Bill Belichick protege, but even if Belichick decides to take his "foot off the pedal", this is easily a 3 touchdown win and cover by the visiting Patriots today.
New England looks to be in fine form, as they roughed up the Pittsburgh Steelers, 33-3 at home under the Sunday night light lights for another win and cover. Dating back to last season, the Pats have won 6 straight, and they have covered in each of their last 5.
The Patriots have covered in 12 of their last 18 games played against teams from their own division, and with the Dolphins in a clear rebuild "tank" season, there is no choice here but to lay the wood with the visitors as they exorcise some demons from last season's loss on that miracle 69 yard catch and scamper TD for the game winner by the 'Fins.
The only miracle today will be if the Dolphins don't lose by 30 points.
Pats the play for Sunday.
5* NEW ENGLAND
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CHRIS JORDAN
My free NFL play for Sunday is on the Indianapolis Colts, plus the points against the Tennessee Titans, in what will be a key AFC South clash, yes, even in Week 2 of the regular season. Admittedly, I thought the Colts would struggle last week against the Los Angeles Chargers, but was highly impressed by Indy's poise, despite the shocking development in recent weeks, surrounding the now-retired Andrew Luck.
The Colts fell in overtime, but most certainly could have won the game had Adam Vinatieri done his job.
This week in Tennessee, the Colts will have plenty of confidence, especially since they've won the last two meetings.
It start with quarterback Jacoby Brissett, who completed 21 of 27 (77.8 percent) for 190 yards with 2 touchdowns versus 0 interceptions and a 120.7 rating last week against the Bolts. He passed for 212 yards and one TD in his only career road start against Tennessee, albeit two years ago. Brissett now aims for his ninth start in row on the road with a passing touchdown.
He's obviously established a chemistry with T.Y. Hilton, who led the Colts with eight catches for 87 yards and two touchdowns last week. It was his 10th career multi-TD game. Hilton is very comfortable as the guest in other stadiums, as he has 27 catches for 424 yards - an average of 106 per game - and two TDs in his last four road games.
Balancing things out is running back Marlon Mack, who led the league with a career-high 174 yards rushing and one TD last week. Mack had 119 yards rushing and a TD in the last meeting with Tennessee, and will be looking for his third game in a row versus Tennessee with at least one rushing touchdown.
Don't become a prisoner of the moment with Tennessee's win over Cleveland, which obviously overlooked the Titans and got in its own moment last week. I think the Browns are better than what we saw, and the Titans will be worse than they displayed.
Take the road team here.
2* COLTS
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Tys Terrific Tips
NFL DALLAS COWBOYS ‑5.5
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SEAN MURPHY
NFL | Sep 15, 2019
Chiefs vs. Raiders
OVER 53
Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and Oakland at 4:05 pm et on Sunday.
We won with the 'over' in the Chiefs win over the Jags last week and also cashed the 'under' in the Raiders upset victory over Denver on Monday night. Here, I'll call for a high-scoring affair as Kansas City and Oakland do battle in an AFC West showdown. We know the Chiefs can move the football and score at will and I don't see that changing against a below-average Raiders defense that caught a break facing an inept Broncos offense on Monday. The question is whether Oakland can contribute enough to help this one 'over' the lofty total. I believe the Raiders can. Even without Antonio Brown, the Raiders do have an upgraded offense with rookie RB Josh Jacobs and TE Darren Waller, both coming off impressive season-opening efforts. The Chiefs defense was one of the worst units in the league last year and last week's performance gave us little reason to believe it will be significantly stronger this season. Take the over (10*).
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Vegas Investment Picks
NFL LOS ANGELES RAMS ‑2.5
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BRANDON LEE
MLB | Sep 15, 2019
Pirates vs. Cubs
10* FREE MLB PICK (Cubs -1.5, -125)
I'll take my chances here with the Cubs on the -1.5 run line Sunday. Chicago has absolutely destroyed Pittsburgh's pitching. After piling on 17 runs in the series opener Friday, the Cubs won 14-1 on Saturday. I look for the offense to add another big day here against Pirates' Trevor Williams. On the flip side, I look for a big start here at home by Chicago's Jose Quintana, who is 5-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.108 WHIP in 9 career starts against Pittsburgh. He's made 4 starts against the Pirates this season and the Cubs have won all 4, all by 2 or more runs. Give me Chicago -1.5 (-125)!
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RED DOG SPORTS
Soccer | Sep 15, 2019
New York vs. Seattle Sounders FC
Seattle Sounders FC-104
The free soccer play for Sunday is in MLS action. Take Seattle at -104.
New York 1
Seattle 2
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BRUCE MARSHALL
Event: (279) Minnesota Vikings at (280) Green Bay Packers
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 15, 2019 1PM EDT
Play: Total Under 43.5 (-108)
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DWAYNE BRYANT
Event: (269) New England Patriots at (270) Miami Dolphins
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 15, 2019 1PM EDT
Play: Miami Dolphins 19.0 (-110)
1% of bankroll on MIAMI.
A few sports betting sayings come to mind here. One, "pros bet numbers, not teams." And, "the bets that are the hardest to make are the ones that usually cash." Or, "The bets that are too easy to make usually lose." Then there's, "no team is as good or as bad as their last game." All of those sayings fit the bill here.
Everybody saw Miami get absolutely destroyed at home by the Ravens in Week 1, 59-10. And everybody saw the Patriots dismantle the Steelers on Sunday Night Football, 33-3. As a result, we have a major overreaction here, which provides us with value on the home dog. The look-ahead line for this game was only Patriots -11!
The Dolphins stink. No doubt about it. But, if there's one game all season that this team will get up to play, it's this one today. This game today is Miami's Super Bowl. Dolphins head coach Brian Flores was New England's defensive play caller last season, so you know he's had this game circled. He knows New England's personnel and tendencies very well.
No matter how dominant the Patriots have been in the past, they have struggled to win in Miami. Despite being an average favorite of -7, the Patriots are 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six trips to Miami.
And, if you insist on banking on last weekend's results and laying the points here, you should know that since 1991, favorites of more than -17 are 19-1 SU but only 5-15 ATS. The Patriots were involved in five of those 20 games, going 5-0 SU but 0-5 ATS.
Hold your nose and play MIAMI.
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HAKEEM PROFIT
Event: (269) New England Patriots at (270) Miami Dolphins
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 15, 2019 1PM EDT
Play: Miami Dolphins 19.0 (-110)
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SPORTS DATA QUERY GROUP
Event: (969) Minnesota Twins at (970) Cleveland Indians
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: September 15, 2019 1PM EDT
Play: Minnesota Twins +127
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BOBBY LIGS
Event: (607) Chicago Sky at (608) Las Vegas Aces
Sport/League: WNBA
Date/Time: September 15, 2019 5PM EDT
Play: Total Over 175.0 (-108)
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Paul Leiner
Three NFL Picks 9/15
100* Packers -2.5
100* Broncos +2
100* Titans -3
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1. NSA(The Legend) NFL – Chiefs -7
2. Gameday Network NFL – Packers -2.5
3. VegasSI.com NFL – Steelers -3.5
4. Vegas Line Crushers NFL – Texans -8
5. Sports Action 365 NFL – Cowboys -5.5
6. Point Spread Report NFL – Colts over 43
7. Lou Panelli NFL – Chargers -1.5
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino NFL – 49ers PK
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club NFL – Broncos +2
10. William E. Stockton NFL – Chiefs under 53.5
11. Vincent Pioli NFL – Broncos +2
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NFL – Steelers -3.5
13. SCORE NFL – Patriots -18
14. East Coast Line Movers NFL – Giants +2
15. Tony Campone NFL – Colts +3
16. Chicago Sports Group NFL – Rams -1.5
17. Hollywood Sportsline NFL – Packers -2.5
18. VIP Action NFL – Broncos under 40
19. South Beach Sports NFL – 49ers PK
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission NFL – Patriots over 48.5
21. NY Players Club NFL – Chargers -1.5
22. Fred Callahan NFL – Colts +3
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club NFL – Cowboys over 46.5
24. Michigan Sports NFL – Texans -8
25. National Consensus Report NFL – Giants over 44.5
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Howard Barish
#285 Chicago Bears
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Matt Zylbert
#261 Indianapolis Colts
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Ramon Scott
#266 New York Giants
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