Sunday 9/22/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
Dustin Hawkins
Sep 22 '19, 1:00 PM in 4d
NFL | Broncos vs Packers
Play on: UNDER 43½ -110
1 Dimer on Broncos vs Packers under 43½ -110
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Brandon Lee
Sep 22 '19, 4:05 PM in 4d
NFL | Panthers vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals +2½ +100 at 5dimes
10* FREE NFL PICK (Cardinals +2.5)
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Will Rogers
Sep 22 '19, 4:25 PM in 4d
NFL | Saints vs Seahawks
Play on: Seahawks -4½ -111 at Pinnacle
The set-up: Drew Brees is out for the Saints. Teddy Bridgewater is in. The Seahawks are 2-0 after an upset road victory at Pittsburgh last weekend and with a date vs. the co-division leading Rams in Week 4, I believe the home side lays everything on the line this week in order to secure the 3-0 start. The Saints are reeling now, but the offense looked terrible last week before Brees went down anyways. I don’t foresee anything changing in a week and with the major change at the QB position.
The pick: Seattle has been getting consistent play on both sides of the ball and Russell Wilson and company are now licking their chops to get a shot at this suspect New Orleans’ secondary. Note that the Saints are just 1-3 ATS in their last four anyways after a loss by ten or more points, while Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after a victory by six points or less. Consider the home side in this one.
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Francesa's Week 3 NFL picks
3-4 YTD
Cowboys -22.5
Steelers +6.5
Vikings -8.5
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Circa Sports Million Top 5 Most-Selected
LAR -3 at CLE ... top choice of 774 of the 1,875 entrants
PIT +6.5 at SF
HOU +3.5 at LAC
DET +6 at PHI
BAL +6.5 at KC
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JIMMY BOYD
NFL | Sep 22, 2019
Steelers vs. 49ers
1* Free NFL Pick on Pittsburgh Steelers +7 -125
I love the value here with the Steelers getting a touchdown at San Francisco. With the injury to Ben Roethlisberger no one is giving this Pittsburgh team any shot of being a serious threat this season. I would hesitate before counting out this team.
Sure they might throw in the towel if they string together a bunch more losses, but not way is a Mike Tomlin coached team going to just lay down. You don't make a trade for a guy like Minkah Fitzpatrick if you aren't planning on trying to win.
Mason Rudolph isn't Ben Roethlisberger, but he didn't look overwhelmed at all in relief of Big Ben against the Seahawks. Rudolph completed 12 of 19 for 112 yards and 2 scores. 49ers defense has some decent numbers, but I don't think either of the offenses they have played are in any good.
I also think we are seeing the 49ers overvalued because they have started out 2-0. This is a team a lot of people were high on, so the public isn't hesitating to jump on board. I just don't think SF is good enough to be laying this kind of a number against a team like the Steelers who are going to lay everything they have on the line to win this game. Take Pittsburgh!
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SuperContest Top 5 Most-Selected Teams
LAR -3 (taken by 1,474 of record 3,328 entrants) at CLE
SEA -4 vs. NO
DET +6 at PHI
PIT +6.5 at SF
BAL +6.5 at KC
SuperContest Gold Top 5
BAL +6.5
CAR +3
DEN +7.5
DET +6
LAR -3
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CHIP CHIRIMBES
Detroit at Philadelphia
Eagles (-) over Lions
Yeah right...like I believe the Lions have a chance here...NOPE! 'We' were fortunate to get the outright win last week with Detroit but that's as far as I will push my luck with this bunch. The Eagles fell to the Falcons as expected and return home to host this bunch of imposters. Sorry, Lions fans but your team is full off underachievers and have little to offer in coaching. Philadelphia is facing some issues at quarterback (who isn't) but Doug Peterson is 9-2-1 ATS at home when hosting an opponent off a win. Take the EAGLES! (PS-this is a 'Hate' bet...)
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MARC LAWRENCE
NFL | Sep 22, 2019
Bengals vs. Bills
Bengals+6
Play - Cincinnati Bengals (Game 467).
Edges - Bengals:
Bills: 12-6-1 ATS Game Three of the season, and 4-1 ATS as dogs versus NFL foes … Bills: 3-13 SU and 4-11-1 ATS off consecutive SUATS wins… We recommend a 1* play on Cincinnati. Thank you good luck as always.
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JOHN MARTIN
NFL | Sep 22, 2019
Panthers vs. Cardinals
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Arizona Cardinals -2
I like what I’ve seen from the Arizona Cardinals thus far under Kliff Kingsbury. They are 2-0 ATS this season. They tied Detroit in overtime with a nice comeback win. And they hung tough on the road at Baltimore last week in a 6-point loss as 13-point dogs. Kyler Murray is showing a ton of moxy in this offense. The Carolina Panthers are 1-9 in their last 10 games overall dating back to last season. They just keep finding ways to lose close games. And now they probably won’t have Cam Newton, which means backup Kyle Allen will start. Allen started over Murray at Texas A&M back in college, so you know Murray will be playing with a chip on his shoulder. Arizona is 29-13 ATS in its last 42 home games off a loss by 6 points or less. The Panthers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Give me the Cardinals.
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CALVIN KING
NFL | Sep 22, 2019
Bengals vs. Bills
[1%] Free Play on Bills -4
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MARK WILSON
NFL | Sep 22, 2019
Ravens vs. Chiefs
Free Play on Chiefs -5½ -110
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JACK JONES
NFL | Sep 22, 2019
Ravens vs. Chiefs
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Ravens/Chiefs UNDER 53
This is one of the biggest games on the Week 3 slate. It’s two teams that look like contenders in the AFC in the Ravens and Chiefs squaring off. And I think this game will be played close to the vest with points a lot harder to come by than this massive total of 53 would indicate. I certainly believe there’s value with the UNDER for a number of reasons.
For starters, these teams played last December in Kansas City in a game that saw 51 combined points in a 27-24 win by the Chiefs. So they are very familiar with one another as they will now be playing in a rematch early in the season after playing late in the year last season.
The Ravens have a great defense every year and are great again this season. They are giving up just 13.5 points and 274.5 yards per game through two weeks. The Chiefs are clearly improved on defense this season with all of the upgrades they made in the offseason. They are only allowing 18.0 points per game on the season after holding the Raiders to just 10 points last week on the road. And keep in mind the Chiefs’ defense always plays better at home in the friendly, loud confines of Arrowhead Stadium.
The Ravens aren’t as good offensively as they’ve shown thus far. They have played two of the worst defenses in the NFL in the Dolphins and Cardinals. Lamar Jackson looks improved, but now he faces a different animal here in the Chiefs on the road. And I expect the Ravens to deploy a similar strategy to last year’s meeting. They ran the ball 39 times and controlled time of possession to keep Patrick Mahomes off the field. They will do the same and try and shorten this game, which definitely favors the UNDER.
UNDERS went 13-3 last week in the NFL. I think all these extra holding penalties being called on the offenses has certainly favored lower scoring games and finally there’s some rules that benefit the defenses. The UNDER is 50-23-1 in the Chiefs’ last 74 home games. Finally, there is a 60% chance of rain Sunday in Kansas City with the forecast calling for scattered thunderstorms. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.
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TOTALS GURU
NFL | Sep 22, 2019
Steelers vs. 49ers
Free Total Annihilator On Steelers vs 49ers under 44 -110
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SEAN MURPHY
NFL | Sep 22, 2019
Lions vs. Eagles
Lions+6 -105
Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Philadelphia at 1 pm et on Sunday.
The Lions are not going to be a popular underdog on Sunday afternoon in Philadelphia but I absolutely love the way they’re set up to give the Eagles a serious run if not win outright. Philadelphia suffered a number of key injuries in last Sunday night’s loss in Atlanta. Credit the Eagles for still managing to take the Falcons down to the wire but now I expect a letdown of sorts back at home against the Lions. Detroit quietly picked up a nice win over the Chargers in its home opener last Sunday. Philadelphia is missing a number of key cogs on the defensive side of the football, including Malik Jackson and Tim Jernigan and that opens the door for the Lions to run wild in this contest. While the Lions gameplan is called into question a lot of weeks due to their ‘run-first’ philosophy, I don’t mind the way they’ve approached their first two games this season, resulting in an undefeated 1-0-1 mark. Here, the Lions defense catches a major break with the Eagles missing the likes of DeSean Jackson, Alshon Jeffery and Dallas Goedert. That’s not to mention the fact that QB Carson Wentz was forced to leave last Sunday night’s game in Atlanta at one point. Philadelphia’s ground game has not impressed in the early going this season and I suspect it will have a tough time putting this game to bed should the Eagles build a lead.
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OSKEIM SPORTS
Event: (479) Carolina Panthers at (480) Arizona Cardinals
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 22, 2019 4PM EDT
Play: Arizona Cardinals -127
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: Houston/LA Chargers Under 49 Points
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick: NY Giants/Tampa Bay Game UNDER 48 Points
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Totals4U
Early Sunday's Free Selection: New York Giants/Tampa Bay Buccaneers under 48
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Atlantic Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Carolina Panthers + 2
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ROB VINCILETTI
NFL | Sep 22, 2019
Jets vs. Patriots
Jets+22
The NFL Comp Play for Sunday is on the NY. Jets plus the 22 points at 1:00 eastern. The Jets have a good enough defense to stay in this one and Week 3 road dogs of more than 12 that are 0-2 have covered 19 of 25 times since 1977 including last years Buffalo team which blast the Vikings as a 16 point dog. The Pats with Brady are 0-4 ats in games with a spread of 20 or more.The Jets may actually better with Falk at Qb than with Simeyian. The Patriots cut Brown on Friday and dont view this game as a rivalry psychologically they may be looking ahead to next weeks game at Buffalo. Look for the Pats to win but not cover in this one. For the NFL Comp Play take the Jets at +22. RV- GC Sports
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DAVE PRICE
NFL | Sep 22, 2019
Bengals vs. Bills
1* on Bengals/Bills UNDER 44.5
The Key: The Bills had one of the best defenses in the NFL last season, and they are at it again this year. They are giving up just 15.0 PPG and 296.5 YPG and 4.7 YPP thus far in beating both the Jets and Giants on the road. They like to run the football, control time of possession and play to their strength, which is their defense. The Bengals actually have plenty of talent on defense, and Andy Dalton and the offense just can’t be trusted to score points, especially without their best player in AJ Green. That’s why I like the UNDER in this game Sunday. The Bengals are 16-3 UNDER in their last 19 road games after allowing 450 or more yards in their previous game. The UNDER is 34-16-1 in Bengals last 51 road games against a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games overall. Take the UNDER.
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: ATLANTA/INDIANAPOLIS OVER the total of 47
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Sunday : Take NY GIANTS/TAMPA BAY UNDER the total of 48
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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Sunday: ARIZONA -2 over Carolina
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Hawkeye Sports
Early Sunday's Free Pick: New England Patriots - 21
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Early Sunday: Miami Dolphins + 22
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Kenny Towers
Your Free Pick for Sunday: New Orleans/Seattle UNDER 45
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Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday, September 22, 2019
NFL (487) LOS ANGELES RAMS VS (488) CLEVELAND BROWNS
Take: (487) LOS ANGELES RAMS
Reason: Your free play on Sunday, September 22, 2019 is in the NFL scheduled contest between the LA Rams and the Cleveland Browns. Your free play is on the RAMS.
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Roz Wins
Roz's SUNDAY, Septmeber 22, 2019 Free Pick
(469) ATLANTA FALCONS VS (470) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Take : Falcons
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play Sunday, September 22, 2019
(461) DENVER BRONCOS VS (462) GREEN BAY PACKERS
Take : Packers
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Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Sunday
Green Bay -7'
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Cincinnati/Buffalo over 43
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John Anthony Sports
SUNDAY Free Selection:
LA RAMS
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Tony Sacco
Tony Sacco's Free Play for SUNDAY is on the
HOU TEXANS
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Hollywood Anthony
Your SUNDAY Free Play from Hollywood Anthony is
SF 49ERS
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CAPPERS ACCESS
(NFL)
Packers
Raiders
Cardinals
Browns
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BOB VALENTINO
The last time the Broncos and Packers faced each other was back in November of 2015 as the Broncos took a 29-10 decision in Colorado in a game that held Under the total.
I expect this meeting here in 2019 to also hold Under the total, as the Vic Fangio calling card of defense has been front-and-center through 2 games into his head-coaching career. The Broncos played Under the posted total on the opening Monday of the year, a 24-16 setback at Oakland, and they followed last Sunday with a 16-14 last second loss to Chicago on their home field in Denver.
Green Bay likewise has played a pair of games with both ending up holding Under the total. The Packers opening Thursday night game at Chicago ended up 10-3, while their home opener last weekend versus the Vikings sure looked like an Over when Aaron Rodgers and the offense posted 21 first half points, but the game stalled offensively in a 21-16 final.
The Broncos have now played their last 10 games Under the total dating back to last season, and the Under is 14-2-1 overall since Week Two of LAST season!
The Packers are also on a pronounced Under run, as the Low is 9-3 for Green Bay since the middle of last season.
It is clear that Joe Flacco no longer can "outgun" anyone at this point in his career, so look for the Broncos to lean on their defense once again to try and contain the still explosive Aaron Rodgers and his mates in this Sunday meeting.
Play Denver and Green Bay Under for Week Three.
3* DENVER-GREEN BAY UNDER
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DWAYNE BRYANT
Event: (487) Los Angeles Rams at (488) Cleveland Browns
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 22, 2019 8PM EDT
Play: Total Under 47.5 (-108)
BET SIZE = 1% of Bankroll
The Rams offense gets a lot of press, but this is also a very talented team defensively. Led by DT Aaron Donald, this Rams D held opponents to 19.9 points in its eight regular season road games last season. The Under was 6-2 in those games, including 4-1 versus non-division foes.
The Browns offense hasn't exactly started clicking yet. QB Baker Mayfield has missed quite a few throws & made several mistakes, and he figures to be harrassed a lot by this Rams front. This is not going to be a pleasant night for Mr. Mayfield.
The Browns defense should be classified as pretty good when this season is in the rear view mirror. But, facing the Jets third-string QB last week and giving up 43 points at home to the Titans in the opener doesn't exactly instill confidence. It should be noted that 9 of the 43 points were from a safety and a Pick 6 on one of Mayfield's 3 INTs. Being -3 in turnovers in the NFL often leads to ugly scoreboards.
Rams RB Todd Gurley just doesn't seem capable of carrying the load any more. And this Rams offense has proved to be much more potent at home. The Browns defense should be playing with plenty of motivation and energy given the fact this is the Browns first Sunday Night Football home game since losing 10-6 to the Steelers 11 years ago.
PLAY UNDER.
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Sports Book Edge
Kevin 'Bubba' Smith
'Railside' Harry MLB Expert
#472 Minnesota Vikings
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Priority Sports Info
Roy Maddux
#903 Washington Nationals
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TDS Pucks & Dunks
Sloan Shannon
Home of the Dog Pound
#902 Cincinnati Reds
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Valley Sports
#922 Tampa Bay Rays
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Billy Irish Picks
Billy Irish
Original Pot of Gold Top Play
#908 Milwaukee Brewers
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Winning Colors Pks
TJ Elliot
Football & Basketball specialist
#467 Cincinnati Bengals
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Doug Upstone
#486 San Francisco 49ers
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Vegas Hotsheet
#475 Dallas Cowboys
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Tony Mejia
#472 Vikings
#476 Cowboys
#480 Cardinals
#485 Steelers
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Todays Round Robin
Harry Walker
#461/2 Den.Broncos/GB Packers Under
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