Sunday 9/8/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
Red Dog Sports
Sep 08 '19, 2:45 PM in 23h
Soccer | Italy vs Finland
Play on: Italy -135 at BetOnline
Italy -135
The Free soccer play is to take Italy over Finland which takes place on Sunday afternoon.
Italy 2
Finland 1
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Mike Francesa's Week 1 NFL picks:
Vikings -4
Eagles -10
Titans +5.5
Giants +7.5
25-45 combined on his college football and NFL picks in 2018
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Marc Lawrence
Sep 08 '19, 1:00 PM in 21h
NFL | Bills vs Jets
Play on: Bills +3 -120 at Mirage
Play - Buffalo Bills (Game 457).
Edges - Bills: 9-2 ATS with revenge in season opening games, and 3-0 ATS in the first of consecutive away games … Jets: 25-50-3 ATS long-term as home favorites, including 4-8 SU and 3-9 ATS in home openers.
We recommend a 1* play on Buffalo. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Brian Bitler
Brian’s 9* NFL Absolute Cover
Kansas City vs. Jacksonville, 09/08/2019 13:00 EDT
Point Spread: +4/-115 Jacksonville
Sportsbook:
Bodog
Jacksonville was a team that burned me numerous times last season but I am back on them week 1 as they present a tremendous level of value my only worry is that they come out rusty like the Bears here. Jaguars have a leader at QB and I think you will notice a big difference on both sides of the ball as it will help their stoudt defense as well. Jags will want to put last season behind them and I love home dogs here as I believe Jags get this outrite but we will take the points for good measure.
Invest 9 units on the Jaguars rotation #464
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BOBBY CONN
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Steelers vs. Patriots
1* Free Play on Patriots -5 -110
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SAL MICHAELS
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Giants vs. Cowboys
Free Play on Giants +7½ -110
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JIMMY BOYD
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Rams vs. Panthers
1* Free Pick on Panthers +3 -120
I really like the value here with Carolina as a home dog against the Rams. I get the hype around Los Angeles after they made it all the way to the Super Bowl last year and have their core guys back, but I have my concerns.
More times than not the team that loses in the big game the previous year really has a hard time resetting the clock and focusing on the new year. Hard to blame them after coming 1-game from the ultimate goal.
I'm not saying the Rams will be bad, but they definitely got a much bigger target on their back. I think Belichick showed how you can contain Goff in McVay's offense and we don't exactly know how healthy Todd Gurley is. No question the offense wasn't as good when he wasn't playing at an elite level.
Panthers are also a team that I think could be a serious contender in the NFC. I like the upgrades Carolina had on the defensive side of the ball and Cam Newton is back healthy. Newton really looked good in Norv Turner's offense prior to getting hurt. I like the Panthers to win this game outright, but I'll take the field goal for some added insurance. Take Carolina!
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STEVE JANUS
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Redskins vs. Eagles
1* Free Sharp Play on Redskins +10½ -110
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R&R TOTALS
R&R Totals FREE NFL Over-Under Sunday 9-8-19
UNDER 49 -103 Pittsburgh/New England
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JOHN MARTIN
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Bills vs. Jets
1 Unit FREE PLAY on New York Jets -2.5
The New York Jets are pretty cheap as only 2.5-point favorites at home against the Buffalo Bills in Week 1. I expect the Jets to be one of the most improved teams in the NFL. Their offense took off in December last year as Sam Darnold had the best QBR of any quarterback in the NFL in the last four weeks. Darnold should be much better in Year 2. It helps that the Jets signed Le’Veon Bell to give themselves a running game. And getting his best WR in Robby Anderson back healthy is a big boost. The Bills have a good defense, but they had one of the worst offenses in the NFL last year. I don’t see that changing this season as they have a bunch of no-name receivers and running backs for QB Josh Allen. The Bills are 14-28 ATS in their last 42 games as a road dog of 3 points or less. Give me the Jets.
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MARK WILSON
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Rams vs. Panthers
Free Play on Panthers +3 -110
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CALVIN KING
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Lions vs. Cardinals
[1%] Free Play on Cardinals +2½
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PURE LOCK
Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Sunday 9-8-19
Oakland -1 1/2 -137
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DUSTIN HAWKINS
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Bengals vs. Seahawks
1 Dimer on Bengals vs Seahawks over 44 -110
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MIKEY SPORTS
Mikey Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 9-8-19
Indianapolis +7 -125
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THE GOLD SHEET
Event: (473) Indianapolis Colts at (474) Los Angeles Chargers
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 8, 2019 4PM EDT
Play: Indianapolis Colts 6.5 (-108)
Indy’s post-Andrew Luck plight is a bit more involved than simply comparing 2018’s playoff run to the last season Luck missed in 2017, a 4-12 mess when the Chuck Pagano regime was on its last legs and new GM Chris Ballard had just begun his roster rebuild. That was also before the hire of HC Frank Reich, who proved a significant upgrade, and previous work suggests Jacoby Brissett can at least be a serviceable stop-gap at QB. The Bolts have Super Bowl hopes, but have taken some attrition in August, and yet to develop much home edge in Carson (2-6 vs. line as host LY).
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BOBBY LIGS
Event: (469) Detroit Lions at (470) Arizona Cardinals
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 8, 2019 4PM EDT
Play: Total Under 47.5 (-107)
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BRYAN LEONARD
Event: (469) Detroit Lions at (470) Arizona Cardinals
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 8, 2019 4PM EDT
Play: Detroit Lions -2.5 (-108)
469 Detroit at Arizona
Better grab this -2.5 now with the Lions because this line won't be available on Sunday. Rookie coach and QB playing its first game against a decent Lions team. Neither team showed anything in the preseason, and we want no part of the Cardinals in a likely win and cover situation.
PLAY DETROIT
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KEVIN DOLAN
Event: (475) New York Giants at (476) Dallas Cowboys
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 8, 2019 4PM EDT
Play: New York Giants 7.5 (-108)
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TONY WESTON
I'm going to lay the points with the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday, as I think the Indianapolis Colts will be a mess for the first few weeks. I get it, they've always prepared under the impression Andrew Luck would be injured - it's become the norm - but the fact he is done forever, it could have a lingering effect.
Like with all football plays in this point-spread range, I want you active in buying the half point. Anytime there is a favorite laying points between -7 and -7.5, you are to buy the half point down.
The Chargers have on three of the past four meetings, and lead the all-time series, 16-10. Even without Melvin Gordon in the lineup, the Bolts have a better offense and should be able to move the ball effectively against a defense that gave up 340 yards per game last season.
I'm not a big fan of Philip Rivers, never have been, but he's a much better investment than Jacoby Brissett. Rivers, who owns the longest active starting streak (208), joined Peyton Manning (14), Drew Brees (12) and Tom Brady (10) as the only quarterback ever with 10 or more seasons of 4,000+ yards passing.
I think he and Keenan Allen are going to have a big game against Indy's suspect secondary that I absolutely do not trust. Allen had 199 catches the last two season - the most in any Chargers' two-year span. In his only game against Indianapolis, he had nine receptions for 107 yards and one TD in a 19-9 win back in 2013.
Rivers will also target Travis Benjamin, who has eight receptions for 142 yards in three games versus Indy, and Mike Williams, who had 10 touchdown receptions in 2018 - the most by any Chargers.
Out of the backfield, Rivers also has running back Austin Ekeler, who has averaged 10.4 yards per catch the last two seasons, ranking fourth among NFL backs with at least 25 receptions. He has scored 8 of 11 career TDs at home, and his team has won five straight when he hits paydirt.
Lightning strikes in Los Angeles, as the Bolts rout the Colts.
1* CHARGERS
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: San Diego w/Lauer -160 Over Colorado
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Totals4U
Early Sunday's Free Selection: Indianapolis Colts/Los Angeles Chargers under 44 1/2
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Atlantic Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Texas Rangers - 140
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick: the NY Giants/Dallas Game OVER 45½ Points
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Hawkeye Sports
Early Sunday's Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies + 145
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Early Sunday: Seattle Seahawks - 9 1/2
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RAY MONOHAN
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Lions vs. Cardinals
Lions-2½ -110
A rookie QB with all that pressure playing against a seasoned vet in the first game of the 2019 NFL season? Sign me up. I’m going to fade the lions and their overhaul in week 1.
We get Kyler Murray vs. Matt Stafford on Sunday in Arizona and the Lions are a -2.5 road favorite. I know what you’re thinking. Bad idea Ray! I think the Lions are underrated and I don’t have a lot of confidence in Kliff Kingsbury…do you? There’s too many changes in Arizona, new offense, new defense, new QB, new coaches. Overhauls take time.
Matt Patricia is actually not who I’m talking about here. The Lions have a solid run game with Kerryon Johnson, an above average QB, decent WR’s (Marvin Jones, Kenny Golladay and Danny Amendola in the slot) and I like the matchups on Sunday with Zona down 2 starting DB’s and starting a brand new O-Line.
Another plus for the Lions… They lead the all-time series 33-28-5 and they snapped a 7-game streak by beating the Cardinals in their last 2 matchups. The last one being a 17-3 win last year in Arizona with Slay returning an interception 67 yards for a touchdown.
Some trends to consider. The Lions are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games, and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 Week 1 Games. The Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
The Lions being a road favorite is scaring a lot of people, and I don’t think we’ll see that much this year, but in Week 1 they only need to win by a FG.
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JACK JONES
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Titans vs. Browns
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Cleveland Browns -5.5
The Cleveland Browns are building this thing the right way. They are now finally a playoff contender as they are loaded on both offense and defense. They showed what they were capable of down the stretch last year in going 5-2 in their final seven games with one of their losses coming 24-26 at Baltimore with a playoff berth on the line for the Ravens.
Baker Mayfield threw for 3,725 yards with a 27-to-14 TD/INT ratio last year in his rookie season after taking over for an injured Tyrod Taylor. The offense really shined once Hue Jackson was fired and Freddie Kitchens took over. The players have bought into Kitchens and love playing for him.
This offense shined last year, but it is now loaded with some of the best weapons in the NFL. The Browns traded for Odell Beckham Jr. in the offseason. He is motivated and back with his former LSU teammate in Jarvis Landy, and these two will bring the best out in one another. TE David Njoku and RB Nick Chubb are both coming off big seasons as well, and the offensive line is one of the top units in the league.
The Browns didn’t live up to their potential defensively last year. That’s why they brought in S Morgan Burnett, DT Sheldon Richardson and DE Olivier Vernon in the offseason. The Browns were making life very difficult on opposing offenses in the preseason, and I believe that will carry over to the regular season. They have so many former first-round picks on this side of the ball and should live up to their potential in 2019.
The Titans are a team I’m very down on coming into 2019. Marcus Mariota has been a bust and hasn’t been able to stay healthy, either. The Titans managed just 19.4 points per game last year. It’s tough to win with such an inept offense. They have some of the worst weapons in the NFL. LT Taylor Lewan is serving a four-game suspension to start the season as well.
Browns fans are excited and will be rowdy for the season opener Sunday afternoon. The Browns went 5-2-1 at home last year. The Titans went 3-5 on the road and scored just 16.5 points per game away from home. The Titans are 20-46-4 ATS in their last 70 vs. AFC opponents. Bet the Browns Sunday.
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COLE FAXON
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Falcons vs. Vikings
FREE PLAY on Falcons/Vikings under 47 -110
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DAVE PRICE
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Ravens vs. Dolphins
1* on Baltimore Ravens -6.5
The Key: Offensive coordinator Greg Romans has been the dual-threat QB guru. He made Colin Kaepernick into a star in San Francisco. And he helped guide Tyrod Taylor to the playoffs with the Buffalo Bills a few years ago. Now Roman has the most talented QB he’s ever had in Lamar Jackson. This offense will be humming this season with a new system that opposing defenses won’t be prepared for early in the season. The Ravens take on what I believe to be the worst team in the NFL in the Miami Dolphins in Week 1. This team looks like they’re already tanking. Baltimore beat Miami 40-0 in their last meeting. The Ravens are 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings, and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami. The Ravens are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Week 1 games. Take Baltimore.
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