Saturday 12/21/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & NBA games.
Emory Hunt
SAN DIEGO ST. -3.5
C. MICHIGAN VS SAN DIEGO ST. | 12/21 | 2:00 PM EST
WED 12/11
NEW MEXICO BOWL -- Defense will be the name of the game in this underrated bowl, and the Aztecs have been stellar on that side of the ball. Central Michigan could create opportunities with trick plays, but it will be tough for the Chippewas to consistently move the ball. San Diego State bullies teams up front and will slowly pull away.
96-58-1 IN LAST 155 CFB ATS PICKS | +3296
4-0 IN LAST 4 SDGST ATS PICKS | +400
3-1 IN LAST 4 CMICH ATS PICKS | +190
FAU +3.5
SMU @ FAU | 12/21 | 3:30 PM EST
WED 12/11
BOCA RATON BOWL -- SMU's defense faded over the last quarter of the season, and that is a concern in this matchup of explosive offenses. FAU has played better defense in the second half of the season, and its offense is just as explosive as SMU’s. That’s why I like the over in this game, but I'll lean toward the better defense against the spread.
96-58-1 IN LAST 155 CFB ATS PICKS | +3296
5-0 IN LAST 5 FAU ATS PICKS | +500
2-1 IN LAST 3 SMU ATS PICKS | +90
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Football Jesus
LIBERTY +points
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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Dec 21 2019 3:30PM
211 SMU -3.0(-110) Westgate vs 212 Fla. Atlantic double-dime bet
Analysis: FAU is playing with an interim head coach (Lane Kiffin off to Ole Miss) that has no chance at the permanent gig (Willie Taggart was hired yesterday). Therefore, there could be a "substitute teacher" affect here. Besides, SMU has played the much tougher schedule.
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Emory Hunt
APP. ST. -16.5
APP. ST. VS UAB | 12/21 | 9:00 PM EST
10:00 AM
NEW ORLEANS BOWL -- Both UAB and Appalachian State have been solid defensively, but we saw the Blazers' offense struggle a bit at the end of the season. The Mountaineers have one of the more explosive offenses in the nation, as their line does a great job in all aspects. Defensively, their athleticism is enough to give UAB's rushing attack fits.
97-58-1 IN LAST 156 CFB ATS PICKS | +3396
7-1 IN LAST 8 APLST ATS PICKS | +590
BOISE ST. +3.5
BOISE ST. VS WASHINGTON | 12/21 | 7:30 PM EST
9:47 AM
LAS VEGAS BOWL -- This could be considered the Chris Petersen Bowl. Obviously, the Huskies will want to win for their departing coach, but when you look at the matchup, Boise State is a much better team all the way around. Plus, we know the Broncos play up to the competition, especially when facing big-name programs in bowl games.
97-58-1 IN LAST 156 CFB ATS PICKS | +3396
11-2 IN LAST 13 BOISE ATS PICKS | +885
6-3 IN LAST 9 WASH ATS PICKS | +266
ARKANSAS ST. -2.5
FIU VS ARKANSAS ST. | 12/21 | 5:30 PM EST
9:43 AM
CAMELLIA BOWL -- FIU has been an enigma all season. The lone quality opponent against which they looked impressive was Miami. Outside of that game, it's been tough to get a true read on the Panthers. Arkansas State weathered the storm during a tough Sun Belt Conference slate, nearly pulling off a few upsets. Vegas views these squads as similar based on the point spread, but I think the gap between them is much wider.
97-58-1 IN LAST 156 CFB ATS PICKS | +3396
2-1 IN LAST 3 ARKST ATS PICKS | +90
LIBERTY +5
LIBERTY VS GA. SOUTHERN | 12/21 | 2:30 PM EST
9:35 AM
CURE BOWL -- This should be one of the more entertaining games of the early bowl season. It's a contrast in styles between the explosive downfield passing game of Liberty and the spread option attack of Georgia Southern. Neither defense has shown enough to see them getting consistent stops. But what the offenses have shown is a propensity to go up-and-down the field. It should be a tightly contested shootout.
97-58-1 IN LAST 156 CFB ATS PICKS | +3396
3-0 IN LAST 3 GAS ATS PICKS | +300
3-0 IN LAST 3 LIB ATS PICKS | +300
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Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 3:10 PM
WASHINGTON -3.5
BOISE ST. VS WASHINGTON | 12/21 | 7:30 PM EST
LAS VEGAS BOWL -- This could be the most entertaining game on the opening bowl slate, but it unquestionably has the best story line. Although Boise State might have the better team and has covered seven straight as an underdog, it's impossible to go against Chris Petersen in the Chris Petersen Bowl. The Washington coach is stepping down following a second consecutive disappointing season, but he still led the Huskies to two Pac-12 titles and a playoff berth. Moreover, he still found a way to beat rival Washington State to end this season, and he'll go out with a win over the program he made a Group of Five darling.
69-54-3 IN LAST 126 CFB PICKS | +910
7-1 IN LAST 8 WASH ATS PICKS | +586
3-0 IN LAST 3 BOISE ATS PICKS | +300
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Barrett Sallee
LIBERTY +5
LIBERTY VS GA. SOUTHERN | 12/21 | 2:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:56 PM
CURE BOWL -- I'm always inclined to go with the underdog in big bowl games, and it won't get bigger for a Liberty squad that hasn't made a bowl prior to this year. What's more, Flames wide receiver Antonio Gandy-Golden (1,333 yards, nine touchdowns) is a freak show who will take over the game.
45-26-2 IN LAST 73 CFB PICKS | +1628
ARKANSAS ST. -2.5
FIU VS ARKANSAS ST. | 12/21 | 5:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:52 PM
CAMELLIA BOWL -- The Red Wolves have one of the best wide receivers in the country in Omar Bayless (1,473 yards, 16 touchdowns), and are going against Conference USA's best pass defense. Who wins out? In Group of Five matchups, always go with the best player, not the best scheme.
45-26-2 IN LAST 73 CFB PICKS | +1628
UAB +16.5
APP. ST. VS UAB | 12/21 | 9:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:50 PM
NEW ORLEANS BOWL -- The Mountaineers have had a great season, but the quick turnaround between the end of the season and bowl season will be difficult to navigate considering coach Eliah Drinkwitz moved on to Missouri. Because of that, the offense will struggle a bit against a tough UAB defense that will be looking to make a statement. The Mountaineers will get the win, but that's too many points to lay.
45-26-2 IN LAST 73 CFB PICKS | +1628
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Fezzik | NFL Total - Saturday, Dec 21 2019 4:30PM
453 BUF / 454 NEP UNDER 38.0 William Hill triple-dime bet
2* SMU -3
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Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
YESTERDAY 8:52 PM
HOUSTON -3
HOUSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 12/21 | 1:00 PM EST
Tampa Bay is missing its top two receivers and another key wideout, and that means more interceptions from Jameis Winston. Deshaun Watson has his top targets available with Will Fuller back. I like Houston a lot here.
16-8-2 IN LAST 26 NFL ATS PICKS | +726
6-3-3 IN LAST 12 TB ATS PICKS | +262
Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
TUE 12/17
HOUSTON -3
HOUSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 12/21 | 1:00 PM EST
Tampa Bay QB Jameis Winston got along just fine, thank you, without WR Mike Evans on Sunday. Now scratch another terrific target, Chris Godwin (hamstring). With 153 receptions and 17 touchdowns between Evans and Godwin this season, their absence will be too much for the white-hot Winston to overcome. The Bucs have yet to cover at home this season, whereas the Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last seven roadies. Houston is the lone team here in the playoff hunt. Take the Texans.
44-25-3 IN LAST 72 NFL PICKS | +1648
6-4 IN LAST 10 HOU ATS PICKS | +163
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Emory Hunt
SAN FRANCISCO -6.5
L.A. RAMS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 12/21 | 8:15 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:36 PM
I have a hard time getting a gauge on the Los Angeles Rams. What has been consistent for them all season has been QB Jared Goff's inability to deal with pressure. When their run game isn't firing on all cylinders, they struggle offensively. San Francisco presents a bad point-of-attack matchup for L.A. I expect the 49ers to roll in this game.
46-29 IN LAST 75 NFL ATS PICKS | +1375
15-9-2 IN LAST 26 LAR ATS PICKS | +497
NEW ENGLAND -6.5
BUFFALO @ NEW ENGLAND | 12/21 | 4:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:25 PM
Earlier in the season, the Bills played the Patriots very tough, losing 16-10. Buffalo QB Josh Allen got knocked out of that game, and for that reason, the Bills faithful has hope in this meeting. But New England still has a tough defense and is still in play for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. Expect the Patriots to play this one extremely tough.
46-29 IN LAST 75 NFL ATS PICKS | +1375
7-0 IN LAST 7 NE ATS PICKS | +700
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Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
MON 12/16
L.A. RAMS +6.5
L.A. RAMS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 12/21 | 8:15 PM EST
The 49ers lost in a ridiculously comical fashion against Atlanta on Sunday, while the Rams were blown out on the road by the Cowboys. I can't help but think that blowout has had a bigger effect on this spread than it should have. As did San Francisco's 20-7 win over the Rams earlier this season. Still, I would have the 49ers as a 4.5 to 5 point favorite here, so if I can get it at 6.5, it's hard to say no.
32-23-1 IN LAST 56 NFL PICKS | +668
9-0 IN LAST 9 SF ATS PICKS | +900
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Hank Goldberg
Legendary handicapper Hammerin' Hank Goldberg joined SportsLine in 2018 and promptly cashed huge for SportsLine members, calling each of Justify's Triple Crown wins. A beloved national treasure, Hammer enjoyed a 17-year ESPN run in which he had only two losing seasons picking NFL games. In 2017 he competed against 10 top handicappers in the Las Vegas Review-Journal's NFL Challenge and beat them all, finishing 50-29-6 (63.2 percent) against the spread. He also destroyed the books in the 2018-19 college basketball season, finishing 35-20 (64 percent) while returning nearly $1,300 to $100 players.
UNDER 36.5
BUFFALO @ NEW ENGLAND | 12/21 | 4:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 8:54 PM
You've got two really good defenses here and two teams that struggle to score. Julian Edelman isn't right for the Patriots. The first matchup ended 16-10, Patriots. This will be another low-scoring affair.
17-9-2 IN LAST 28 NFL PICKS | +716
3-0 IN LAST 3 NE O/U PICKS | +300
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Jeff Ma
LARams +6.5
SanDiegoSt -3.5
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FEZZIK | CFB SIDE SAT, 12/21/19 - 2:00 PM
207 Cent. Michigan 3.5 (-110) Pinnacle vs 208 San Diego St.
double-dime bet
Pick Made: Dec 19 2019 10:41AM PST
FEZZIK | CFB SIDE SAT, 12/21/19 - 7:30 PM
216 Boise St. 3.5 (-110) Southpoint vs 215 Washington
double-dime bet
Pick Made: Dec 19 2019 10:42AM PST
FEZZIK | CFB SIDE SAT, 12/21/19 - 9:00 PM
217 UAB 17.0 (-115) Bookmaker vs 218 Appalachian St
double-dime bet
Pick Made: Dec 19 2019 10:43AM PST
FEZZIK | CFB TOTAL SAT, 12/21/19 - 3:30 PM
212 Fla. Atlantic / 211 SMU Under 70.0 William Hill
double-dime bet
Pick Made: Dec 19 2019 10:44AM PST
FEZZIK | CFB TOTAL SAT, 12/21/19 - 5:30 PM
214 Arkansas St. / 213 Florida Intl Under 63.0 Pinnacle
double-dime bet
Pick Made: Dec 19 2019 10:45AM PST
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Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
YESTERDAY 6:42 PM
WASHINGTON -3.5
BOISE ST. VS WASHINGTON | 12/21 | 7:30 PM EST
LAS VEGAS BOWL -- As everybody knows, this will be Chris Petersen's last game at Washington, and he's going against the program he made. Well, call me crazy, but I have a hard time believing Washington is going to send Petersen out with a loss, and in turn, without a cover. Washington struggled in Pac-12 play, but it dominated in nonconference against teams like BYU and Hawaii. Boise State's better than those teams, clearly, but it's not a huge difference. Give me the size and talent in a highly-motivated Washington team.
50-38-4 IN LAST 92 CFB PICKS | +1142
Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
YESTERDAY 12:32 PM
BOISE ST. +3.5
BOISE ST. VS WASHINGTON | 12/21 | 7:30 PM EST
LAS VEGAS BOWL -- Boise State will win outright. It's fitting that Washington coach Chris Petersen's last game will be against the team he guided to a 92-12 record over eight seasons. The Broncos had a great season and would love to finish it with their seventh straight win. Boise State, which won the last meeting 16-13 in Petersen's much-anticipated return, is perfect ATS in its last seven games as an underdog. The Huskies are just 1-4 in their last five Bowl games.
33-20 IN LAST 53 CFB PICKS | +1068
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Tom Fornelli
LIBERTY +4
LIBERTY VS GA. SOUTHERN | 12/21 | 2:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:46 PM
CURE BOWL -- An option offense loses some of its advantages in bowl season. During the season it benefits from teams not facing their style of play often, and only having a week to prepare for it. Well, Liberty's had nearly a month to get ready for this one. And Liberty's pass offense should find plenty of success against a Georgia Southern pass defense that has a propensity for allowing big plays. Take the dogs.
50-38-4 IN LAST 92 CFB PICKS | +1142
SMU -3
SMU @ FAU | 12/21 | 3:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:44 PM
BOCA RATON BOWL -- One of the things about bowl season you have to consider is a team's motivation. Well, how motivated to you expect FAU to be? Not only has their coach left for Ole Miss, but FAU is playing this game in its home stadium. Not exactly the kind of reward you hope for in a bowl trip. Plus, while FAU won C-USA, the AAC is a much better conference, and SMU performed very well in it. The Mustangs have just a little too much on the offensive side of the ball for the Owls.
50-38-4 IN LAST 92 CFB PICKS | +1142
5-0 IN LAST 5 FAU ATS PICKS | +500
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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 2:08 PM
BUFFALO +6.5
BUFFALO @ NEW ENGLAND | 12/21 | 4:30 PM EST
The Bills defense dominated the Patriots offense in their first meeting, but a blocked punt changed the game, and turnovers by the Bills certainly didn't help. They've done a good job addressing that latter issue, giving the ball away just six times in 10 games since the Patriots loss. The Pats offense wasn't impressive against the Bengals, again feasting off turnovers, and they've now gained less than 300 yards in four of their last five games. This is going to be a low-scoring game (just look at the total), which makes it harder for either team to win by multiple scores. As long as the Bills protect the ball, this is going to be a close game.
22-17-1 IN LAST 40 NFL ATS PICKS | +333
12-6-1 IN LAST 19 BUF ATS PICKS | +543
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Brad Powers
1- San Diego -3.5
1- Liberty
2- SMU -3
2- FIU +2
1 - Washington -3
1- UAB +17
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lv wolf
under 38 new england
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Mike Tierney
UAB +16.5
APP. ST. VS UAB | 12/21 | 9:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:21 PM
NEW ORLEANS BOWL -- In the largely unpredictable bowls universe, spreads do not get much larger than this. App State overcame the departure of its head coach a year ago and won its bowl by 32 points under an interim. Pulling off the feat twice in a row would be impressive now that Eli Drinkwitz has fled to Missouri. There's no doubt that UAB has an inferior roster, but the Blazers rose to the occasion last year, taking its bowl game by 24 points. Take UAB.
49-39-3 IN LAST 91 CFB ATS PICKS | +593
3-0 IN LAST 3 APLST ATS PICKS | +300
BOISE ST. +3.5
BOISE ST. VS WASHINGTON | 12/21 | 7:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:16 PM
LAS VEGAS BOWL -- Aside from Boise sending out a weaker team than usual, most signs point to a straight-up win for the Broncos. They have covered seven games in a row as an underdog and in seven of the past 10 bowls. Washington is on a 1-4 ATS bowl slide, and Chris Petersen is coaching his farewell game -- against his previous school. Boise switched QBs in midseason and won its last six outright. Two significant Huskies -- TE Hunter Bryant and left OT Trey Adams -- sit out to wait for the NFL draft.
49-39-3 IN LAST 91 CFB ATS PICKS | +593
4-2 IN LAST 6 BOISE ATS PICKS | +180
2-1 IN LAST 3 WASH ATS PICKS | +89
FIU +2.5
FIU VS ARKANSAS ST. | 12/21 | 5:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:11 PM
CAMELLIA BOWL -- Though Arkansas State is appearing in its ninth straight bowl, the postseason-angle checkmark goes to FIU; Panthers coach Butch Davis is 6-3 in bowl games at three different schools. FIU counter productive Ark State QB Layne Hatcher with the No. 6 pass defense in the FBS. Three opponents were held to fewer than 100 aerial yards by FIU. Take the Panthers.
49-39-3 IN LAST 91 CFB ATS PICKS | +593
SMU -3.5
SMU @ FAU | 12/21 | 3:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:06 PM
BOCA RATON BOWL -- The departure of coach Lane Kiffin negates FAU’s home-field edge. With Kiffin headed to Ole Miss, the most high-profile figure in this game is SMU QB Shane Buechele, who directs the nation’s No. 6 scoring offense. The matchup has all the makings of a shootout, and Buechele and his sidekicks, RB Xavier Jones and WR James Proche, are more dangerous than their counterparts on the Owls. Take SMU.
49-39-3 IN LAST 91 CFB ATS PICKS | +593
3-1 IN LAST 4 SMU ATS PICKS | +195
LIBERTY +4.5
LIBERTY VS GA. SOUTHERN | 12/21 | 2:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 1:00 PM
CURE BOWL -- Georgia Southern is so run-oriented that it carved out the most impressive stat in football: zero interceptions thrown. But the Eagles throw fewer than 12 times per game, and the additional practice time afforded bowl teams has allowed veteran Liberty coach Hugh Freeze to plan for the option offense. The Flames’ prolific passing attack strikes quickly and can overcome a disadvantage in time of possession. Give me Liberty.
49-39-3 IN LAST 91 CFB ATS PICKS | +593
3-1 IN LAST 4 GAS ATS PICKS | +190
SAN DIEGO ST. -3.5
C. MICHIGAN VS SAN DIEGO ST. | 12/21 | 2:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 12:54 PM
NEW MEXICO BOWL -- Props to Central Michigan for winning eight games under new coach Jim McElwain after a one-win season. The Chippewas overachieved, though, and its offense has not confronted a defense like San Diego State’s, which allows a minuscule 12.8 points per game. The Aztecs are bowl-tested, having partaken in the postseason 10 straight years. Their offense is spotty, but they only need to score 24 points.
49-39-3 IN LAST 91 CFB ATS PICKS | +593
2-1 IN LAST 3 SDGST ATS PICKS | +90
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Tom Fornelli
HOUSTON -3
HOUSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 12/21 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 12/19
Jameis Winston is in the midst of one of my favorite QB seasons of all time, but in the last two weeks he's lost Mike Evans and now Chris Godwin. I think Godwin's the bigger loss for what Tampa wants to do on offense, and it will have an impact on the Bucs here. It's scary to take the Texans as a favorite (only 8-15-1 ATS since 2017), but Tampa's been horrible at home itself, going 0-4-1 ATS there this season. With both Will Fuller and Kenny Stills back, the Houston offense is at max capacity, which will help it get this cover.
32-23-1 IN LAST 56 NFL PICKS | +668
5-1 IN LAST 6 HOU ATS PICKS | +386
2-1 IN LAST 3 TB ATS PICKS | +95
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Bill Marzano
APP. ST. -16.5
APP. ST. VS UAB | 12/21 | 9:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:45 PM
NEW ORLEANS BOWL -- The Mountaineers come into this Bowl game at 12-1 and with an interim head coach, but I don't think that will make a difference. The Mountaineers are 4-0 their last four Bowl games. UAB was just destroyed by FAU in the C-USA title game, 49-6. The Mountaineers have the 9th-ranked offense in the nation, averaging a robust 39.5 points per game. UAB is struggling offensively and starting QB Tyler Johnston hasn't thrown a TD pass in three straight games, but has tossed four INTS.
33-20 IN LAST 53 CFB PICKS | +1068
BUFFALO +6.5
BUFFALO @ NEW ENGLAND | 12/21 | 4:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:37 PM
The Bills lost a tough 16-10 meeting earlier this year and I think this game will be very similar -- a low-scoring, defensive battle that will be decided by a field goal either way. This is the best team the Bills have had in years and they have a shot to stun the Patriots.
6-3-1 IN LAST 10 NFL ATS PICKS | +272
4-1 IN LAST 5 NE ATS PICKS | +287
UNDER 37
BUFFALO @ NEW ENGLAND | 12/21 | 4:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:35 PM
The Patriots have dominated this series and have a chance to wrap up their 11th consecutive AFC East crown and a first-round bye. This should be a low-scoring game. The Bills are right behind the Patriots for top scoring defenses. The Patriots' offense is struggling to score consistently and the Bills' offense isn't putting up a ton of points, either.
5-4-1 IN LAST 10 NFL PICKS | +65
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Micah Roberts
UNDER 37
BUFFALO @ NEW ENGLAND | 12/21 | 4:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 2:39 PM
The last three meetings have stayed Under the total, including the Patriots' 16-10 win in September. The Bills have gone 7-0-1 to the Under in their last eight road games. In their 14 games this season (10-4 ATS), 11 of them stayed Under the total. Tom Brady’s offense is still struggling. Under is the play.
23-13 IN LAST 36 NFL O/U PICKS | +870
3-0 IN LAST 3 NE O/U PICKS | +300
L.A. RAMS +6.5
L.A. RAMS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 12/21 | 8:15 PM EST
YESTERDAY 2:36 PM
The 49ers have lost two of their last three games, the last coming at home against the Falcons. All three of their losses have been in the final seconds. The Rams are a tough team to figure out. Just when it looks like they have things together, they lay an egg at Dallas last week. The 49ers won 20-7 in the October meeting, but are now 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC West teams. Take the points.
5-2-1 IN LAST 8 NFL PICKS | +278
4-3 IN LAST 7 LAR ATS PICKS | +73
OVER 50
HOUSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 12/21 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 2:28 PM
There’s a chance of rain Saturday in Tampa, with winds blowing at 13 mph. This is part of the reason this total was bet down from 53. The Buccaneers have gone Over the total in 11 of their last 12 games and have won their last four due to the high-level play of Jameis Winston. He is auditioning for a new contract. The Bucs' defense allows 31 ppg at home. Over is the top play.
23-13 IN LAST 36 NFL O/U PICKS | +870
5-1 IN LAST 6 TB O/U PICKS | +390
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R.J. White
TAMPA BAY +3
HOUSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 12/21 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 3:48 PM
Sure, Jameis Winston is down his top two receivers, but he showed last week that he can throw to anyone, with Breshad Perriman catching three touchdowns. Yes, that came against a bad Lions defense, but why should we be scared of this Texans unit? They've given up 390-plus yards in four of their five games since the bye, and that includes home games against offenses in the Patriots and Broncos that haven't exactly looked great otherwise. With the underdog 11-3 ATS in Texans games and unlikely to stop Winston, I'll take the Bucs and their improving defense to pull off the shocker and get this win, though I'm happy to take the three points.
22-17-1 IN LAST 40 NFL ATS PICKS | +333
19-8-3 IN LAST 30 TB ATS PICKS | +1008
L.A. RAMS +6.5
L.A. RAMS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 12/21 | 8:15 PM EST
YESTERDAY 3:41 PM
The 49ers have been playing a lot of close games lately. If you throw out the last second fumble TD against the Cardinals and count that as a close game (Arizona was winning with a minute left), six of the 49ers' last seven games have come down to the wire. In a divisional game against a Rams team that has played better in the second half despite getting smoked by the Cowboys last week, this feels like another close one that could go either way. With Dee Ford out, the vaunted 49ers pass rush loses a little bit of bite and helps this stay within the number.
22-17-1 IN LAST 40 NFL ATS PICKS | +333
27-12-1 IN LAST 40 LAR ATS PICKS | +1346
12-8 IN LAST 20 SF ATS PICKS | +320
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Freddy Wills
Washington -3 -115 5.5% NCAAF POD
FIU +110 2.5%
San Diego State -3 3.3%
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Cajun Sports CFB
Appalachian State -16.5
I think it's funny how most people here are nothing but beggars but offer nothing in return and yet they feel justified in bashing people like me and a few others who actually post picks on a regular basis. I love trends and systems and, therefore, the service I subscribe to will always fit that bill for me. Of the ones I subscribe to J.R. Stevens and MTi are my favorites and the best and most consistent I have seen. J.R. Stevens is great at picking underdogs and MTi plays a mix of totals and sides at about a 65%-35% split based on my experience. There are days when these guys might have 10-12 picks but you have to understand they cover multiple sports each day where many strong systems can exist, so it shouldn't really surprise anyone when this happens. You also have to understand system players are PROFIT players, typically INVESTORS and not gamblers or degenerates. Britney DeLuca is also great if you love totals. I'm not sure I have seen anyone better, especially when it comes to her biggest pick each day. Of the ones I subscribe to Marc Lawrence is the worst in terms of performance but I still like his service because, again, he brings a lot of trends and systems to the surface which can help avoid pitfalls. When you pick a service, any service, you really should understand what their style of picking is first and see if it matches your own style or philosophy. If you like to play to favorites then you probably won't be happy with a service that specializes in underdogs or totals, just like if you like to play totals you probably won't be happy with someone who specializes in favorites or underdogs.
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Brad Feinberg
bills
49ers
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Freddy Wills
San Diego State -3 3.3% play
Washington -3 -115 5.5% NCAAF POD
FIU +110 2.5% PLAY
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Tom Stryker
SMU
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Marc Lawrence
Perfect Situation Las Vegas Bowl Blowout!
Boise State
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POINTWISE PHONES
4- Boise St
3- Florida International, Eastern Michigan (Thurs)
2- BYU (Tues), Appalachian St
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Fezzik
3* Saturday GAME OF THE YEAR
Buffalo Under 38
2* Central MI +3.5
2* Boise St +3.5
2* UAB +17
2* SMU -3
2* SMU Under 70
2* FL INTL Under 63
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Mastermind Sports 10* top play Gonzaga
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Sportsmasters Top Play California
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Wayne Root CBB
Millionaires—-Utah St
No Limit—San Francisco
Perfect Play—-Indiana
Perfect Play—-Villanova
Inner Circle—-Iowa
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Wayne Root Football
Mill- Fl Atlantic
No limit- TAMPA Bay
Perfect play- Washington ncaa
Inner circle - LA RAMS
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Essler
Boise St +3.5 for 3*
Florida Int and Atlanta Falcons 2 Team Teaser = FIU +7.5 and Falcons -1 (Sunday)
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Lee Sterling (1-0 bowls)
30 under FIU
25 NE, SF, App St
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Cal Sports
3% Buffalo/Patriots Under
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Goodfella
Conference Total of year
3* Patriots Under 38
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Marco
4% Houston/Tampa Under 51
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Bondi
4* San Diego State
3* FIU, Buffalo Bills
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Spartan
3* Tampa bay +3
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ELITE SPORTS PICKS
SMU/Florida Atlantic OVER 64.5 NCAAFB
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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
4* Florida International+2 NCAAFB
3* San Diego State-3.5 NCAAFB
3* Bucs+3.0 NFL
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NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
5* Washington-3 NCAAFB
3* Liberty+5.5 NCAAFB
3* Bills/Pats UNDER 37 NFL
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Primetime Sports Picks For 12/21/19
4 Unit --> Florida International +2 over Arkansas St. (NCAAF)
3 Unit --> Buffalo +6.5 over New England (NFL)
3 Unit --> Charlotte +6 over Utah (NBA)
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
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Great Lake Sports
NBA
3* #573 Houston -5
Warren Sharp totals for Saturday
276 Philadelphia first half Under 23 -117 (0.5 units)
Note on line: if your number is 22.5, I would reduce position to 1/3rd of a unit
481 Green Bay first half Over 22.5 -115 (0.75 units)
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Tri Lambda
Florida Atlantic Owls
Boise State Bronco
Under [451] Los Angeles Rams vs. [452] San Francisco 49ERS
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Fezzik | NFL Total - Saturday, Dec 21 2019 4:30PM
453 BUF / 454 NEP UNDER 38.0 William Hill triple-dime bet
Analysis: … Ram SF -6.5, 46
Rams In 1st meeting, Rams were dominated, lost 7-20
Despite it being a good spot for Rams
Rams had 10 days to prepare…..
SF ws off a MNF game vs. Clev
Despite that SF dominated
Winning Stats (331 yards, to 157)
Now the spot is better for SF SF was flat in loss to Atl
Blew a 9 point 4Q lead, gave up lead with :02 left
SF decimated at DLINE HOWEVER!
DL Cluster Injuries
DL Moore OUT, (11/25), DJ Jones OUT (12/14)
DE Dee Ford DT Julian Taylor ALSO OUT
… Buf NE -6.5 38.5
LIKE UNDER
Similar Game To Buf/PIT
Two Top 5 Defenses:
NE 1, Buf 3
Two Struggling Offenses:
Buf 22, NE 14
But Ne’s Offense has been MUCH worse late
Brady 5 straight games with QBR below 40!
I expect a copy of 1st meeting: Ne 16, BUF 10
NE 224 yards, 3.5 YPP
Buf 375 yards, 5.3 YPP
NE got a blocked punt TD
This total is 38 simply due to all the NE points they have gotten w/ T’os
+24 YTD!
… Hou TB +3, 50
Winston down 3 receivers now!?
Mike Evans 1333 yards OUT
Godwin 1157 yards OUT
Scotty Miller Hamstring? OUT
That would leave them with just 1 WR with over 90 yards……. (Perriman 409)
The Big Question: Will TBay get pressure on Watson
Tbay No 13 in Sacks (36YTD)
LEAN UNDER AGAIN
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Marc Lawrence late phones
3's in Bowls
Marshall
Hawaii
3 on Cincci in CBB
NFL
10* Tenn
4*Philly
3's on Cardinals and Bears
lean Buffy
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Maddux
10 Central Michigan +4
10 SMU/Florida Atlantic under 69.5
NBA
10 LA Clippers/San Antonio over 223.5
10 Atlanta/Brooklyn over 228
CBB
10 610 Villanova +2
10 632 Miami OH +2.5
10 639 Texas State +3
10 707 Oregon State -6
10 737 Kentucky +4
10 742 California +1
10 752 Utah +7
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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Dec 21 2019 5:30PM
213 Florida Intl 1.0(-110) Westgate vs 214 Arkansas St. single-dime bet
Analysis: Two reasons we like the Golden Panthers here, first our power ratings say the wrong team is favored here. Second, we have the coaching edge with FIU head coach Butch Davis 7-2 ATS in bowl games while Arkansas St head coach Blake Anderson is 1-4 ATS. Also note that FIU won last year’s bowl game without starting QB James Morgan who should be motivated to play in this year’s game.
Bowl Leans Today:
Small Lean (208) San Diego St -3.5 over Central Michigan. 2:00pm ET.
Lean (209) Liberty +6 over Georgia Southern. 2:30pm ET.
Small Lean (215) Washington -3.5 over Boise St. 7:30pm ET.
Lean (218) Uab +17 over Appalachian St. 9:00pm ET.
NFL Lean of Day (453/454) Buffalo/New England UNDER 37.5. 4:30pm ET.
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Biker Bankers
49rs under 45
Rams +6'
Pats -6'
TB under 51
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Midwest NFL Handicapping
SF -7
BUFF +7 (Buy Hook)
HOU -2.5 (Buy Hook)
Buffalo +12.5/UNDER 43.5
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WORLD WORST PICKER
EARLY NCAA BB
Peabodys NCAABB Pick:
Spread: Indiana
Play On: Notre Dame
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Las Vegas Pipeline
75 Boise St. + 3.5
75 Buffalo + 6.5
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Jack Winningham
NCAABB
Indiana -2.5
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Tony Bruno
patriots
49ers
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Great Lake Sports
5*. NCAA BB ARKANSAS
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Miller locks
1:00 pm est nfl
houston texans vs. Tampa bay buccaneers
pick: Houston texans -3 (+102)
risk: 11 units
3:30 pm est ncaaf
smu vs. Florida atlantic
pick: Smu -7 (-109)
risk: 11 units
4:30 pm est nfl
buffalo bills vs. New england patriots
pick: New england patriots -6.5 (-110)
risk: 11 units
9:00 pm est ncaaf
uab vs. Appalachian state
pick: Uab +17 (-105)
risk: 11 units
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Executive Sportsline football
Sat, Dec 21
1:00
NFL
300%
Tampa Bay +3
over Houston
2:30
BOWL
250%
Liberty +5'
over Ga.Southern
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lv wolf
geo southern -5
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Asa cbb
10* Butler -2
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WORLDS WORST PICKER
Complete NCAA BB for Saturday
Peabodys NCAABB Super Picks:
Spread: Northern Arizona Ohio State Eastern Illinois
Play On: Pepperdine Kentucky Grand Canyon
Peabodys NCAABB Regular Picks:
Spread: Indiana Georgia Southern Texas Arkansas State
Play On: Notre Dame UT Arlington Providence UL Monroe
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Jim feist
Situational gom
Boise st +3.5
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5 Star Baller
CFB: San Diego State -3
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Vegas Wiseguy Plays
New England Patriots -6.5
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Seabass : bowls 400 c Michigan game under, 400 liberty , 800 fla Atlantic , 300 fla international, 300 Appalachian st , 500 Washington , 700 rams , 1000 rams game under , 300 bucs game under , 400 bills , 1000 bills game unde
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TONY FINN FOOTBALL PLAYS
FINNs NFL SATURDAY GAME of the WEEK
Game: (451) Los Angeles Rams at (452) San Francisco 49ers
Date/Time: Dec 21 2019 8:15 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: San Francisco 49ers -6.0 (-108)
View Analysis
PLAY: San Francisco 49ers -6 (good to -7)
4% confidence rating
(451) Los Angeles Rams at (452) San Francisco 49ers
SAN FRAN 49ERS -6
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tony finn
CURE BOWL: GEORGIA SOUTH v LIBERTY
Game: (209) Liberty at (210) Georgia Southern
Date/Time: Dec 21 2019 2:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Georgia Southern -4.5 (-108)
View Analysis
PLAY: Georgia Southern -4.5 (good to -7)
4% confidence rating
(209) Liberty at (210) Georgia Southern
GEORGIA SOUTHERN -4.5
FINNs BOCA RATON BOWL: FAU v SMU
Game: (211) SMU at (212) FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Date/Time: Dec 21 2019 3:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 65.0 (-108)
View Analysis
PLAY: UNDER the TOTAL of 65 (good to 63)
4% confidence rating
(211) SMU at (212) FLORIDA ATLANTIC
UNDER the TOTAL of 65
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WORLDS WORST PICKER
Saturday Bowl Selections
Peabodys Super Pick: Florida Atlantic Arkansas State Boise State
Play On: SMU Florida Int Washington
Peabodys Regular Picks: Central Michigan Appalachian St
Play On: San Diego State UAB
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Bill Marzano
CBB Texas +1
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ASA Phone service:
4* Butler -2
3* Oklahoma -9 1/2
3* Chicago +3
This is as direct as it gets
ASA SATURDAY BASKETBALL UPDATE - 1 NBA & 2 CBB picks on Saturday...
#565 ASA 3* PLAY ON Chicago Bulls +3 vs. Detroit Pistons, Saturday at 7 PM ET
The Bulls have struggled offensively but should find some open looks against a Pistons team that is 19th in defensive efficiency ratings on the season and 26th their last five games. The Bulls defensive efficiency numbers are trending up right now as Chicago holds the #1 ranked DEFF unit their last five games. Chicago has covered 5 straight on the road including two wins and the other three losses were by a total of just 12 total points. Detroit is coming off a big loss to Boston last night and have not done well when playing without rest this season going 1-4 SU and ATS. The Pistons have a negative differential of -12PPG when playing the second night of a back to back. We will play on the rested Bulls over the Pistons here.
#646 ASA 3* PLAY ON Oklahoma -9.5 over UCF, Saturday at 2 PM ET
OU is finally back home for the first time since November 26th. They are coming off a very tough 3 game road trip in which they went 1-2. Their most recent 2 games were both losses @ Wichita State and @ Creighton so this team is hungry for a win. UCF, on the other hand, hasn’t been away from home since December 1st. They just finished a 4 game home stand all vs teams ranked 194th or lower (NJIT, Sacred Heart, UWGB, and Bethune Cookman). In fact, the Knights have played only 1 team this season ranked inside the top 100 and that turned into a 79-70 home loss vs Miami FL. Their strength of schedule ranks 300th in the nation while Oklahoma’s ranks 25th. The Sooners have already beaten 3 teams ranked in the top 65 (Minnesota, Oregon State, and Missouri) and all 3 of their losses have come vs top 50 teams. UCF was excellent last year with a 24-9 record losing to Duke in the round of 32 in the NCAA tourney. This is not the same team as they lost 6 of their top 7 players from last year. Despite playing the much tougher schedule, OU has edges in FG%, 3 PT%, FT%, and defensive FG%. The Sooners are 3-0 at home this year and 2 of those wins came by 18+ points. After their 2 tough road losses vs very good teams, OU is ready to lay it on someone today. UCF is that someone. The Sooners by double digits.
#722 ASA 4* PLAY ON Butler -2 over Purdue, Saturday at 2:30 PM ET
Two in-state heavyweights to at it on a neutral court in Indianapolis today. While it’s obviously a big game for Purdue, we feel it’s even bigger for Butler as they are often overlooked and get to face off against their in-state big brother. Both teams are fantastic defensively which is why the total on this game sits below 120. However, the Bulldogs are the better shooting team hitting almost 50% of their shots (18th nationally) while Purdue ranks close to 200th in that same category. The Bulldogs have only one loss on the season and that was by a single point @ Baylor who ranks 10th in Ken Pom’s power ratings. They already have 5 outstanding wins over Florida, Stanford, Missouri, Ole Miss, and Minnesota, all ranked in the top 100. The Boilers already have losses vs Marquette, Florida State, Nebraska, and Texas and Butler ranks higher than all 4 of those teams (11th in the power rankings). The one thing that Purdue has the advantage is rebounding but that will be tempered today as starting center, 7’3 Matt Haarms, looks like he will sit with a concussion. Haarms is also their 2nd leading scorer. We definitely like Butler to win today and with the line sitting at just -2 we like the Bulldogs.
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