Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Sunday 1/12/20
Cal Sports
RALPH MICHAELS FOOTBALL PLAYS
Game: (305) Houston Texans at (306) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time: Jan 12 2020 3:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 48.5 (-115)
View Analysis
#306 5% OVER 48.5 Houston/KC Sunday 3:05 PM
The Wild Card round has seen over 65% of the games go Under the total since 2010 this round has seen 24 of the 36 games OVER (67%)! The rested team often presses the pace against a team that was in battle the previous week and add in an OT game and I know KC will do just that. The Chiefs are 12-5-1 O/U at home vs non-division. When on the road Deshaun Watson led his to teams to more FD compared to at home while also having a high completion % (68.5 on road) and a better sack%. The teams scored 55 points in this first meeting here which was a 31-24 and that will give Houston’s offense the confidence that they can score that much again.
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Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 10:37 PM
HOUSTON +9.5
HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY | 1/12 | 3:05 PM EST
Most of Houston’s team statistical rankings will not knock your stockings off because, when they are bad, the Texans are really bad. The upside, however, is treehouse-high, and the visitors have a lot going for them. DE J.J. Watt is rounding back info form. WR Will Fuller, whose absence against Buffalo was significant, is expected to return in his role of stretching the defense. QB Deshaun Watson has become a playmaker supreme who inspires confidence in the offense. Houston failed to cover in only two road games while Chiefs coach Andy Reid is on a 2-5 ATS playoff slide. Oh, and the Texans won at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 6.
61-32-5 IN LAST 98 NFL PICKS | +2581
10-3 IN LAST 13 KC ATS PICKS | +665
8-4-1 IN LAST 13 HOU ATS PICKS | +363
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Hank Goldberg
KANSAS CITY -9.5
HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY | 1/12 | 3:05 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:09 PM
The last time the Chiefs played Houston, Patrick Mahomes was playing on a bum foot and they were missing a lot of key players. Andy Reid's record off a bye is outstanding. During their six-game win streak, the Chiefs have allowed 11.5 points per game. Houston's secondary will not be able to deal with Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill. No way. Houston is coming off an overtime game and didn't really deserve to win last week, while K.C. is rested. Lay the points.
27-11-3 IN LAST 41 NFL ATS PICKS | +1486
2-0-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +200
4-2 IN LAST 6 KC ATS PICKS | +177
GREEN BAY -4
SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY | 1/12 | 6:40 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:35 PM
Green Bay's offense isn't totally dependent on Aaron Rodgers anymore, thanks to Aaron Jones. He's scored 19 touchdowns. The Packers' defense is very good right now and they'll pressure Russell Wilson. I know Seattle has been great on the road, but that Seahawks' defense almost let 40-year-old Josh McCown come back and beat them. Lay the points.
27-11-3 IN LAST 41 NFL ATS PICKS | +1486
10-3-3 IN LAST 16 SEA ATS PICKS | +667
7-4 IN LAST 11 GB ATS PICKS | +266
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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
12:32 AM
GREEN BAY -4
SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY | 1/12 | 6:40 PM EST
I have the Packers getting a four-point home field advantage in the playoffs, so this line to me is saying these teams are even. However, even though the Seahawks have a better DVOA, the Packers have the clear edge in point differential (+63 vs. +7) and are healthier after resting on Wild Card Weekend. While the Seahawks are the type of team built to exploit the Packers defense's weakness against the run, Marshawn Lynch has not impressed after being pulled out of retirement due to massive injury issues at running back in Seattle. The Packers' defense has been excellent in the second half of the season, and I expect them to win on their side of the ball while Aaron Rodgers and Aaron Jones roll against an average Seattle defense.
10-5 IN LAST 15 NFL ATS PICKS | +453
34-6 IN LAST 40 GB ATS PICKS | +2727
18-10-2 IN LAST 30 SEA ATS PICKS | +683
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Spartan
NFL Playoff GOY
Seattle +4
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Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Jan 12 2020 3:05PM
306 KAN -2.5(-140) 5dimes vs 305 HOU double-dime bet
Analysis: 2 team, 7 points teaser
BALT -2.5, with KC -2.5
-140
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PhillyGodFather
Texans +10.5
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Wunderdog
NFL
houston@kansas city 51.5 Total Under.
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Football Jesus
OVER total for HOU/CHIEFS
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MIT group
Packers -4.5
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Pointwise phones
3- seattle
2-seattle/green bay under
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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole
Single Plays
Chiefs -9.5
Chiefs-Texans under 51
Packers-Seahawks under 47
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Northcoast
3 GB Umder
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Midwest NFL Handicapping
SEA +4
HOU +9.5
Teasers
SEA +10/HOU +15.5
TENN +16/OVER 41.5
Over/Under
SF/MINN UNDER 44.5
KC/HOU UNDER 51.5
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newworldinsiders
TEXAS INSIDER: Texans +10
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Cousin Sal
KC
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overunderexpert
Times PT
NBA 3 PM #547
Atlanta Brooklyn
UNDER 230.5 -110
Line at 5 Dimes 244 AM
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King Creole
5*GOY
Seattle/Green Bay Over 47.5
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Lee Sterling
35 GB
30 KC
25 under GB
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PPP
4% Kansas City -9 1/2
3% Seattle +4 1/2
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Mike Tierney
UTAH +9.5
UTAH @ COLORADO | 1/12 | 6:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 7:50 PM
With one of the youngest rosters in Division I, Utah is growing up fast. The Utes have won five of their last seven, with both setbacks dealt by ranked opponents. Only one Pac-12 team boasts a higher scoring average than their 78.3 points per game. The Buffaloes wield a distinct home-court advantage in part because of Boulder’s high altitude, but the conditions in Salt Lake City are not dissimilar. Take the points.
4-3 IN LAST 7 CBB PICKS | +65
12-2-1 IN LAST 15 UTAH ATS PICKS | +985
2-1 IN LAST 3 COLO ATS PICKS | +95
MINNESOTA -2
MICHIGAN @ MINNESOTA | 1/12 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 7:30 PM
Michigan has yet to cover in three road games, largely because of horrendous 3-point shooting. It appears as if the Wolverines long-distance sharpshooter, guard Isaiah Livers (13.6 ppg), will sit out another with an ailing groin. The Golden Gophers’ 8-7 straight-up record is misleading; their schedule to date is the sixth toughest in D-1. They have covered in eight of the last 11 home gigs.
4-3 IN LAST 7 CBB PICKS | +65
4-0 IN LAST 4 MINN ATS PICKS | +400
MICHIGAN ST. -3
MICHIGAN ST. @ PURDUE | 1/12 | 12:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 7:28 PM
The Spartans float into Purdue on an eight-game straight-up win streak, the last five with ATS wins. The Boilermakers are 1-3-1 in the same stretch. The home side last covered as an underdog seven games ago. Purdue center Matt Haarms is expected to play, but a bum hip against the board-pounding Spartans puts him in an unenviable spot. Senior guard Cassius Winston will be driven to deliver MSU’s first outright victory in his career at Purdue.
4-3 IN LAST 7 CBB PICKS | +65
3-0 IN LAST 3 MICHST ATS PICKS | +300
6-4-1 IN LAST 11 PURDUE ATS PICKS | +154
GREEN BAY -4.5
SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY | 1/12 | 6:40 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:25 AM
Seattle has gotten this far behind the ingenuity of quarterback Russell Wilson -- and not much else. The Seahawks ranked 21st in points allowed for the regular season, and its running back corps has been ravaged by injuries. The recent return of prodigal son Marshawn Lynch has mattered little. The Packers’ defensive front should impose its will on Seattle’s offensive line. That will put pressure on Wilson -- who is 0-3 at Lambeau Field and endured his worst career game there with five picks -- to make magic. Frigid temperatures will add to the home advantage of the Packers, who have covered in five of the last six postseason gigs. Go with Green Bay.
61-34-5 IN LAST 100 NFL PICKS | +2361
14-5-1 IN LAST 20 SEA ATS PICKS | +844
9-3 IN LAST 12 GB ATS PICKS | +562
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Emory Hunt
GREEN BAY -4.5
SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY | 1/12 | 6:40 PM EST
FRI 1/10
It's the divisional round of the NFL Playoffs, and I'm still trying to figure out what to expect from the Packers on offense. I think it's safe to say that they are capable of running away with this game against Seattle based off their personnel. I'll give even more credit to the Packers defense in this one; I like their ability at all three levels. Take Green Bay.
63-41 IN LAST 104 NFL ATS PICKS | +1750
11-5 IN LAST 16 SEA ATS PICKS | +546
HOUSTON +9.5
HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY | 1/12 | 3:05 PM EST
FRI 1/10
Yes, the Chiefs defense is playing much better than what we saw from them in the first matchup with the Texans. We'll see if Will Fuller plays for Houston in this game, as he can make a huge difference in the outcome. Regardless though, I think Houston's vertical attack style on offense, in conjunction with QB Deshaun Watson, makes this a tighter game than the line indicates. Take the Texans.
63-41 IN LAST 104 NFL ATS PICKS | +1750
17-9 IN LAST 26 KC ATS PICKS | +728
5-1 IN LAST 6 HOU ATS PICKS | +389
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Bill Marzano
GREEN BAY -4.5
SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY | 1/12 | 6:40 PM EST
FRI 1/10
The Seahawks have been road warriors this year however, this game is being played on the frozen tundra in Green Bay where Aaron Rodgers has completely dominated opponents. Meanwhile Russell Wilson has struggled in these kinds of temperatures and weather conditions. Seattle is facing a tough task with back-to-back road playoff games against a rested Packers team that is healthy. And the Seahawks are 0-5-1 ATS in the last six meetings at Lambeau. The Packers are the play.
7-0 IN LAST 7 NFL PICKS | +700
3-0-1 IN LAST 4 SEA ATS PICKS | +300
2-1 IN LAST 3 GB ATS PICKS | +100
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Zack Cimini
MEMPHIS -3.5
MEMPHIS @ SOUTH FLORIDA | 1/12 | 4:00 PM EST
10:26 AM
Consecutive losses to Georgia and Wichita State have featured ATS letdowns for this young Memphis team, which will be playing its second straight on the road. An excelling offense versus South Florida should give the Tigers an advantage against South Florida. Grab Memphis.
MICHIGAN +1.5
MICHIGAN @ MINNESOTA | 1/12 | 1:00 PM EST
10:20 AM
Michigan needed double-overtime against Purdue on Thursday to avoid losing for the fifth time over an eight-game stretch. Look for that effort to carry over into this matchup against Minnesota as the Wolverines end their three-game road losing streak.
6-3 IN LAST 9 MICH ATS PICKS | +273
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Allegheny Analysis regular play KC Cheifs
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Tom Fornelli
PURDUE +4
MICHIGAN ST. @ PURDUE | 1/12 | 12:00 PM EST
9:48 AM
If you've been following my college basketball picks, you know what's going on here. A home team in a Big Ten game is a safer investment than most index funds. Plus, Purdue is so much better than its record suggests, and is good enough defensively to frustrate Michigan State. Also, this is only the third true road game Michigan State will have played this season, and Sparty is 0-2 ATS in the first two. Purdue's Mackey Arena is one of the most difficult venues for road teams in the country.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS | +87
2-1 IN LAST 3 MICHST ATS PICKS | +86
CONNECTICUT +2
WICHITA ST. @ CONNECTICUT | 1/12 | 12:00 PM EST
9:44 AM
It's not that I don't think Wichita State is good, because it is. I'm just a bit skeptical that it's as good as its record suggests, or the numbers show because the Shockers have played an easy schedule for the most part. On the road against a Huskies team with the size and length to cause them problems, I'll take the home dog.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS | +87
SIENA -2
SIENA @ MANHATTAN | 1/12 | 2:00 PM EST
9:42 AM
Manhattan has one of the most horrific offenses in college basketball this season. Perhaps facing Siena will help it a bit, but in this matchup, Siena's offense is nearly 10 points better per 100 possessions than Manhattan's. That's enough to convince me to back the Saints.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS | +87
2-1 IN LAST 3 SIENA ATS PICKS | +87
OREGON ST. +4
ARIZONA @ OREGON ST. | 1/12 | 10:00 PM EST
9:39 AM
You don't have to be a genius to know that Arizona is the better team in this game, but Oregon State's offense is good enough to be a problem for the Wildcats, particularly in Corvallis. The concern with the Beavers is their defense, which hasn't been great anywhere, but unsurprisingly, it's been better at home. Perhaps that helps explain why Oregon State is 6-2 ATS at home this season.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS | +87
MINNESOTA -2
MICHIGAN @ MINNESOTA | 1/12 | 1:00 PM EST
9:36 AM
There are a couple of my Etched-In-Stone Principles at play here. The first is that this is a Big Ten game involving a home team, and home teams have always been smart plays in the Big Ten, and this year they're crushing it. Second, we've got an unranked team at home that is favored against a ranked team in conference play. That's almost always an auto-fire for me. I'll take a Gophers team that is 6-2 ATS at home this season.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS | +87
UNDER 51.5
HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY | 1/12 | 3:05 PM EST
9:29 AM
As I've mentioned here numerous times in other picks, since Andy Reid took over in Kansas City, the Under has gone 36-17-1 when the Chiefs are favored at home. Now, a battle between Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson changes the calculus a bit, but while the snow is gone, it will still be cold and windy in Arrowhead on Sunday afternoon. This total is just a little too high.
39-29-2 IN LAST 70 NFL PICKS | +722
UNDER 46.5
SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY | 1/12 | 6:40 PM EST
FRI 1/10
The Seahawks offense is still banged up beyond recognition and has averaged only 18.6 points per game in its last five. Aaron Rodgers has evolved into nothing more than a glorified game-manager and Aaron Jones has become the focal point of Green Bay's offense. All of that, combined with typical January conditions in Green Bay have me on the Under, as I wouldn't expect this game to be a shootout.
39-29-2 IN LAST 70 NFL PICKS | +722
3-0 IN LAST 3 GB O/U PICKS | +300
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Tim Doyle
UNDER 139.5
UTAH @ COLORADO | 1/12 | 6:00 PM EST
11:02 AM
Tad Boyle’s Colorado team locks down defensively as it only allows 61 points per contest. Utah will not be able to speed up the game against the Buffaloes. The Utes have been held under 65 points in three of their last five outings.
10-8 IN LAST 18 CBB PICKS | +196
MINNESOTA -1
MICHIGAN @ MINNESOTA | 1/12 | 1:00 PM EST
10:56 AM
Michigan has split its last six contests following a fantastic start to the season. The Golden Gophers are 9-5 ATS and need a resume-building victory. It's tough to win on the road in Big 10 Conference. Roll on coach Richard Pitino’s Minnesota squad.
10-8 IN LAST 18 CBB PICKS | +196
SOUTH FLORIDA +151
MEMPHIS @ SOUTH FLORIDA | 1/12 | 4:00 PM EST
10:50 AM
Penny Hardaway’s Memphis squad is young, fragile and is coming off back-to-back losses. South Florida trounced Connecticut by 15 points last weekend to extend its home winning streak to six games. Expect the Bulls to make it seven in a row here.
4-0 IN LAST 4 CBB ML PICKS | +490
WICHITA ST. -2.5
WICHITA ST. @ CONNECTICUT | 1/12 | 12:00 PM EST
10:41 AM
Gregg Marshall’s Wichita State team has Final Four capabilities. The Shockers are deep, balanced and defend well. Freshman guard Tyson Etienne is a pleasure to watch.
10-8 IN LAST 18 CBB PICKS | +196
PURDUE +150
MICHIGAN ST. @ PURDUE | 1/12 | 12:00 PM EST
10:35 AM
Purdue is a totally different team at home. The Boilermakers have won four of their last five meetings with Top-10 teams at Mackey Arena, including two with Michigan State.
4-0 IN LAST 4 CBB ML PICKS | +490
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The Sharp Plays
Today’s Selections –
I am going to have another update at 5:30pm ET for the late game and any evening action in other sports. To start the day I am advising a 0.50 unit play on Siena -2 over Manhattan and 0.35 units on UConn +2.5 over Wichita St. Currently both Siena and UConn achieve an LJP scores of 3. The Siena game is from our friend and I am seeing good sharp backing for it. The UConn play is a major LJP move since the open (Wichita St 3) so I’ll give the angle a shot. It’s essentially pizza money and these wild moves have been strong.
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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
WED 1/8
KANSAS CITY -9.5
HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY | 1/12 | 3:05 PM EST
The Texans are by far the worst team left in the playoff field, per weighted DVOA, while the Chiefs are the second-best behind Baltimore. The Chiefs' biggest advantage comes in the passing game, where they should be able to throw it all over Houston and run up a double-digit lead if they get any help from their defense. And I expect that to happen, as the Chiefs defense has been playing really well of late, particularly after their Week 12 bye. The Texans went into Kansas City and won earlier this year, and I can't see them taking the Chiefs by surprise a second time. I'll lay as many points as you want here.
11-6 IN LAST 17 NFL ATS PICKS | +443
2-0-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +200
2-1 IN LAST 3 KC ATS PICKS | +91
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Marco/Sports Unlimited
4% Over 51 Kansas City/Houston
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Tony Bruno
Pat Mahomes and company (KC Chiefs) get a rematch against the Houston Texans who won at Arrowhead in week 6, but Mahomes was operating on 1 foot then and comes in the extra week to rest.
Texans QB DeShaun Watson, Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson ran wild in the first meeting, but Andy Reid’s defense has allowed 11.5 pts per game over the last 6. KC gives up the run, but they are awesome vs the pass.
Houston can run AND pass, but their D is susceptible to the pass, which Mahomes does especially well on 3rd downs. KC has too much offense and that’s why I’m laying the generous 9 1/2
Sunday 6:40pm “On the Frozen Tundra of Lambeau Field”
Finally, can the road warriors from Seattle keep riding the massive shoulders of Russell Wilson or will the Packers and the Aarons be too much for the defense formerly known as the Legion of Boom?
Aaron Rodgers has seen some tough starts, but when he gets the turbo boost of Aaron Jones and his 19 TD’s, the Pack and Seahawks shapes up as the most competitive game of the weekend (at least on paper and Vegas).
Green Bay has a huge advantage with 3 of the NFL’s top defenders who should frustrate the Seattle O-Line and Wilson all day. Lay the 4 pts on the Pack
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Larry Hartstein
11:11 AM
BROOKLYN -7.5
ATLANTA @ BROOKLYN | 1/12 | 6:00 PM EST
Atlanta has lost three straight and 14 of its last 16 as it remains the only team in the Eastern Conference with a single-digit win total (league-low eight). The Nets began their four-game homestand with a pair of encouraging efforts, losing in overtime to Oklahoma City before ending their seven-game slide with a four-point triumph over Miami. Brooklyn has posted two double-digit wins over the Hawks already this season.
46-34-1 IN LAST 81 NBA ATS PICKS | +870
20-6 IN LAST 26 ATL ATS PICKS | +1338
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Micah Roberts
UNDER 46.5
SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY | 1/12 | 6:40 PM EST
FRI 1/10
Even if the weather wasn’t showing 23 degrees by kickoff with a slight chance of snow and 5 mile per hour winds, this would still be a game to bet the Under based on current form. The Seahawks have stayed Under the total in their last three games, which coincides with them losing running back Chris Carson. The Packers have stayed Under in their last four games with an offense that doesn’t wow but gets the job done. I’m on the Under.
23-18 IN LAST 41 NFL O/U PICKS | +318
5-1 IN LAST 6 SEA O/U PICKS | +390
KANSAS CITY -9.5
HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY | 1/12 | 3:05 PM EST
FRI 1/10
In Week 6 at Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs jumped out to a 17-3 first-quarter lead against the Texans and then they just fell flat and lost 31-24. The Texans are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games and the Chiefs are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight home playoff games and only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 playoff games overall. However, I love the way the Chiefs regrouped in the second half of the season to win and cover their last six games. I'm backing the Chiefs to get the cover.
7-3 IN LAST 10 NFL ATS PICKS | +363
10-3-1 IN LAST 14 HOU ATS PICKS | +677
13-9 IN LAST 22 KC ATS PICKS | +308
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The 'R' Factor (The Swami - NHL) - Best Bet 10 Units Nashville Predators -115
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Bezobets
PARLAY* NFL: Kansas City Chiefs ML + Green Bay Packers ML @ 1.814/-123 (3 Units)
NCAA Basketball: Michigan ML @ 1.993/-101 (2 Units)
NCAA Basketball: Monmouth +3 @ 1.876/-114 (2 Units)
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ROB VENO
FOOTBALL PLAYS
Game: (305) Houston Texans at (306) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time: Jan 12 2020 3:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 51.0 (-110)
View Analysis
Game: (307) Seattle Seahawks at (308) Green Bay Packers
Date/Time: Jan 12 2020 6:40 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 46.5 (-110)
View Analysis
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (823) Wichita State at (824) Connecticut
Date/Time: Jan 12 2020 12:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 133.0 (-110)
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Up And Up Sports
Green Bay Packers -5
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DR. CHUCK SUNDAY
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (821) Michigan State at (822) Purdue
Date/Time: Jan 12 2020 12:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 136.0 (-108)
View Analysis
Purdue has not been the same ole Purdue for the most part since the end of December....despite a PATHETIC hiccup against Illinois. Today they host Sparty...who is becoming better by the game...back to the #1 we expected with Cash doing it all from the 1.
Purdue is back home and CAN score...where MSU isn't the best defense in the world, they are just great at whipping on teams lately and while I'd expect that again here....Painter will have his boys ready and while they aren't as good as the Final Four team from a year, they are still a very solid B1G team from the best conference in hoops and should be game for a great effort at home.
I like to back the defensive end in college hoops as much as anyone, but here we have the team with the best offensive efficiency at a 116, with Purdue not all that terrible at 105+....and a total that underestimates which end will dominate in my opinion....as both teams have a sub-90 defensive efficiency and Purdue that likes to run at a snail's pace....but not lately as much as the earliest parts of the season.
This bet is mostly about being a little off from my numbers and the added bonus of Purdue being extra game for their biggest game so far this year....in West Lafayette
Game: (835) Siena at (836) Manhattan
Date/Time: Jan 12 2020 2:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Siena -135
View Analysis
Not the best price...but the price we must pay for a winner on a ML I would rank as a certain 5+% play today in MAAC-tion.
It is quite possible Manhattan, to this point, is the WORST .500 or better offense in the entire nation....with the only time they rank inside the top 200 overall in anyting on the offensive end is #191 at avoiding getting their shots blocked...at which they will be at a decent size disadvantage against the Saints today.
The Jaspers are playing their first home MAAC game after a bad loss on Friday at Fairfield, but following (somehow) road wins at Canisius and Niagara....before this big step up in class...albeit at home today. This combined with the fact Siena hasn't won a game on the road yet this season gets us this bargain line I have in the -3/4 for Siena at open in my numbers.
X factors today for our W will be the monster edge Siena will hold on the defensive glass....at 6th...yes, MAAC team ranked 6th at disallowing opponents second chances...largely led by Manny Camper, who is the reasoning for the ranking, himself in the top 25 nationally on the defensive boards...and along with his cohorts make up a lineup that....while potentially blasphemous in a mostly competitive league...may prohibit ANY of the starters for Manhattan to crack a top 5 (or 6) for Siena. If there was a player, like Tykei Greene is the guy...and his status for today is even in question....only furthering this potential insane mismatch today!
Get the line if you can get less than a bucket....I also like that play at -1.5 especially....-2 is solid and both would be 4% plays while the ML is at least a 5% play for certain!
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Root
no limit chiefs
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Bill Marzano
UNDER 138.5
PITTSBURGH @ MIAMI (FLA.) | 1/12 | 6:00 PM EST
11:31 AM
The Panthers just ended their 22-game road losing streak in conference play but have dropped six straight meetings with Miami. However, Pittsburgh has a solid defense that gives it a chance in almost any game. The Panthers are allowing just over 60 points per contest, ranking them 23rd in the nation, and have held eight opponents under 60. Pittsburgh's offense struggles, as it produces just over 66 per game.
22-9 IN LAST 31 CBB O/U PICKS | +1208
HOUSTON +9.5
HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY | 1/12 | 3:05 PM EST
11:25 AM
The Chiefs have dropped seven of their last eight home playoff games and laying double digits here is just too much. Houston QB Deshaun Watson is a playmaker and will not be fazed by playing on the road. The Texans received a boost last week with DE JJ Watt’s return, and his presence will only help this defense. The Chiefs' defense played well down the stretch, but it faced some horrible offensive clubs. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven in this series.
7-0 IN LAST 7 NFL PICKS | +700
2-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +89
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Brad Feinberg
KC
GB
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Top Rank Sports Picks
5* Wright St. -6 over Illinois-Chicago (NCAAB)
3* Utah +9.5 over Colorado (NCAAB)
3* Seattle +4 over Green Bay (NFL)
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ELITE SPORTS PICKS
Texans/Chiefs OVER 51.5
INSIDER SPORTS REPORTS
5* Wichita State-2 NCAABB
3* Michigan State-3 NCAABB
3* Cheifs-9.5 NFL
NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
4* Utah+9.5 NCAABB
3* PAckers-4 NFL
3* Charlotte+8 NBA
PRIMETIME SPORTS PICKS
4 Unit --> Michigan St. -3 over Purdue (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Kansas City -9.5 over Houston (NFL)
3 Unit --> Wright St. -6 over Illinois-Chicago (NCAAB)
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Tom Stryker
30-13 ATS & 27-8 ATS NFL PLAYOFF SUPERPLAY
Packers
__________________
Worlds Worst Picker College basketball
Michigan st
Wichita st
Niagra SP
Colorado
Play opposites
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ROB VENO ADDED PLAYS
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (545) Utah Jazz at (546) Washington Wizards
Date/Time: Jan 12 2020 3:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 223.0 (-108)
View Analysis
Game: (549) Golden State Warriors at (550) Memphis Grizzlies
Date/Time: Jan 12 2020 6:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 227.0 (-110)
View Analysis
Game: (547) Atlanta Hawks at (548) Brooklyn Nets
Date/Time: Jan 12 2020 6:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Brooklyn Nets -7.5 (-110)
View Analysis
Game: (553) Los Angeles Clippers at (554) Denver Nuggets
Date/Time: Jan 12 2020 8:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 223.0 (-110)
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Millers locks
3:05 pm est nfl
houston texans vs. Kansas city chiefs
pick: Houston texans +10 (-108)
risk: 11 units
6:40 pm est nfl
seattle seahawks vs. Green bay packers
pick: Under 45 (-103)
risk: 11 units
6:40 pm est nfl
seattle seahawks vs. Green bay packers
pick: Green bay packers -4.5 (-101)
risk: 11 units
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Billy Coleman
NCAA BK
4* #843 Utah +8.5
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Paul Leiner………..has been awful lately
3000 NFL KC -9.5
100 NFL SEA +4
100 CBB MEMPHIS -3.5
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Bill Marzano
PITTSBURGH -126
PITTSBURGH @ ARIZONA | 1/12 | 6:00 PM EST
11:59 AM
The Coyotes' current struggles begin with their goaltending. Arizona is hurting without its top two netminders, who have helped the team become one of the best in the NHL defensively. As for the Penguins, they are getting excellent play in net and keep finding ways to win - even without their best player in captain Sidney Crosby, who could return in this one. Pittsburgh has won 13 of its last 17 overall games and is 7-2 in its last nine against the Pacific Division. The Penguins also have won five straight meetings with Arizona.
24-14 IN LAST 38 NHL ML PICKS | +699
3-1 IN LAST 4 PIT ML PICKS | +209
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Total Winner Sports
NFL: Houston/Kansas City Over 51
CBB: Memphis -4
NBA: Toronto Raptors -3.5
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Executive
250% Houston +10
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Al Demarco
Top-Rated 15 Dime Release
GB Packers
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Kirby Maxwell
40 DIME
AAC Game of the Month
Memphis
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Mitchell Newman
Wichita
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Jack Brayman
200 DIME
Double Your Wager
KC
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Chris Jordan
400♦
NFC Divisional
Bankroll Builder
GB
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Bob Valentino
12th-Ever
150 DIME
NFL Release of My Career
GB
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Stephen Deangelo
40 DIME NFL WINNER
Seattle
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Sean Michaels
50 DIME
NFL Teaser Winner
2 team 7 pts teaser KC&GB
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Jay Mcneil
50 DIME
PLAYOFF
TOTAL OF THE YEAR
KC-Houston Under 51.5
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Steve Budin
CALI-CARTEL
50 DIME
DIVISIONAL ROUND
LOCK OF THE YEAR
GB
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Larry Hartstein
12:19 PM
KANSAS CITY -9.5
HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY | 1/12 | 3:05 PM EST
Don't let the Chiefs' recent playoff history scare you. And throw out their home loss to Houston in Week 6, as they were missing several key players due to injuries and still managed to average more yards per play than the Texans. Houston was fortunate to get past Buffalo last weekend and its DVOA is by far the worst among the remaining playoff teams. Expect Kansas City to post its fourth straight double-digit victory.
55-37-3 IN LAST 95 NFL ATS PICKS | +1426
19-12-1 IN LAST 32 HOU ATS PICKS | +590
4-0 IN LAST 4 KC ATS PICKS | +400
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Las Vegas Pipeline
75 Houston +
50 Seattle +
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Philly Guy - Chiefs Packers Quinn
Dime Man - Texans Quinn Wright St
Champagne Top Packers under Reg Seahawks St Pete
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Tri Lambda
Green Bay Packers
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'Hollis' Harvard
The No Limit GOM* - KC Chiefs-9.5
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Bill Hilton - Gameday
2- KC -9'
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Bondi
4* Kansas City
3* Seattle
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Executive Basketball
400% South Florida +4
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Kelso
100 Seattle
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NFL(BOB BALFE) VIP
3:05 PM EST
Rotation #305-306
Chiefs -10 over Texans
Chiefs/Texans Over 50.5
The Texans looked great earlier this year in their win at Arrowhead. The problem for Houston is their receivers are a bit banged up. Will Fuller will play, but is not even close to 100% and Kenny Stills is hobbled as well. This team can run the ball on this Chiefs Defense so I think they can hang around for a little bit in this game. Kansas City is so good at yards after the catch while the Houston Defense is really poor at tackling. This is a really bad defensive team and historically these types of teams make their exit in the playoffs. Kansas City is going to be a lot tougher to play in colder weather and with a wild crowd. Andy Reid is a master off of bye weeks and with two weeks to prepare should blow this Houston team out. Take the Chiefs and the Over.
NFL
6:40 PM EST
Rotation #305-306
Packers -4 over Seahawks
Packers/Seahawks Over 45.5
Green Bay has done great with a rookie head coach. I think they are overrated at the #2 seed, but the Seahawks are finished. This team doesn’t have an offensive line and they don’t have a run game. Russell Wilson is a magician and he can extend plays, but he is not going to do that for four full quarters with this offensive front. Green Bay is a balanced offense and is another team that is great with yards after catch. Seattle is a bottom defense in this league and should be exposed on the road today. Injuries are a key part of football. Teams that are down so many men on the offensive line and with all new running backs in the playoffs don’t advance. Wilson should fire a couple of great deep balls, but again in four full quarters won’t be able to keep up. Aaron Rodgers will find his many receivers and Aaron Jones will keep the offense balanced enough to put up a lot of points. Take the Packers and the Over
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NFL(BOB BALFE) VIP
3:05 PM EST
Rotation #305-306
Chiefs -10 over Texans
Chiefs/Texans Over 50.5
The Texans looked great earlier this year in their win at Arrowhead. The problem for Houston is their receivers are a bit banged up. Will Fuller will play, but is not even close to 100% and Kenny Stills is hobbled as well. This team can run the ball on this Chiefs Defense so I think they can hang around for a little bit in this game. Kansas City is so good at yards after the catch while the Houston Defense is really poor at tackling. This is a really bad defensive team and historically these types of teams make their exit in the playoffs. Kansas City is going to be a lot tougher to play in colder weather and with a wild crowd. Andy Reid is a master off of bye weeks and with two weeks to prepare should blow this Houston team out. Take the Chiefs and the Over.
NFL
6:40 PM EST
Rotation #305-306
Packers -4 over Seahawks
Packers/Seahawks Over 45.5
Green Bay has done great with a rookie head coach. I think they are overrated at the #2 seed, but the Seahawks are finished. This team doesn’t have an offensive line and they don’t have a run game. Russell Wilson is a magician and he can extend plays, but he is not going to do that for four full quarters with this offensive front. Green Bay is a balanced offense and is another team that is great with yards after catch. Seattle is a bottom defense in this league and should be exposed on the road today. Injuries are a key part of football. Teams that are down so many men on the offensive line and with all new running backs in the playoffs don’t advance. Wilson should fire a couple of great deep balls, but again in four full quarters won’t be able to keep up. Aaron Rodgers will find his many receivers and Aaron Jones will keep the offense balanced enough to put up a lot of points. Take the Packers and the Over
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NFAC
306) Kansas City -9.5 (-115)...($600) - Buy 1/2 PT at KC -10 (-105)
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Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Jan 12 2020 6:40PM
308 GBP -4.0(-110) Southpoint vs 307 SEA double-dime bet
Analysis: 2 STARS PROPS:
Sea WILSON Rushing Yards OVER 27, 2 stars
GB Adams Receiving Yards, OVER 82, 2 stars
… Hou KC -10, 51
KC STRONG LEAN
KC is UNDERRATED
KC IMPROVED Defense: D giving up 11.5 points per game last 6 games
New DC Steve Spagnuolo continues to improve
Last 6 Games (6-0 SU, 6-0 ATS) 17,9,16, 3,3,21)
Although this WAS against a schedule of avg/poor offenses
And KC played many games without a healthy Mahomes
3 games with Matt Moore
And 3 games with a clearly hobbled Mahomes
KC 10-0 in their other games
Ave win by 14 points in those 10 games
4-0 Weeks 1-4 (Ave win 10.25)
6-0 Last 6 games (Ave win 16.33)
Weeks 5-6 Mahomes Ankle Injury
Weeks 7-9 Matt Moore
Week 10 Mahomes 1stgame back with kneecap, @ Ten
Hou: OVERRATED
Now 9-3 in Close game (all decided by 7 or less)
Hou: Not as Good without a healthy WR Will Fuller
No 2 WR Fuller missed last week. Watson is 1.5 yards/pass play worse in his career without him.
That difference is the difference between the No12 passes and the WORST passer in the league…
HC O’Brien says he is a game time Decision……
Fuller has been OUT since Week15 (groin)
Key Question: Can Hou Protect Watson?
Buffalo Sacked him 7x last week!
KC D: 2.8 Sacks per game (12th in league)
KC D: FO Adjusted Sack Rate (10th in league)
Hou: OLINE ISSUES:
Tunsil: Banged up with an ankle injury
Tunsil graded out poorly lw: PFF grade 52 (60-69 graded is a backup!)
Titus Howard: Been OUT since Week 9
******** STRONG LEAN KC OVER 2.5 sacks
… Sea/ GB -4.5 46.5
LIKE GB
Sea: OVERRATED:
11-2 in close games (decided by 1 score)
Sea only outscored opponents by 7 points in regular season
11-2 in close games (decided by 1 score)
THAT is the only reason they are 12-5 SU!
Sea’s: Playoff win was vs. a Philly team without Wentz for 3.5 quarters
And Sea’s RB Issues are HUGE
Going with No4 RB Homer and No 5 RB Lynch (off the couch)
Homer 11/12, Lynch 6/7
BOTH RB averaged only 1 yard/carry Last week!
And they have OLINE Injuries
LT Duane Brown is QUESTIONABLE, and will “try to play”
RG Iupati is QUESTIONABLE
Both missed last week…….
PROP BET ADAMS OVER 82 Reception YARDS
GB: No 1 WR Davante Adams is finally healthy: 12 games 997 yards (12.0)
No other WR got to 500 yards
He missed 4 games in October looked subpar in November
(43, 64, 41 yds)
Last 3 games 7/103, 13/116, 7/93
Gb’s stats are not good :
Gb is 13-3, but they only outscored opponents by 63 points
(That would be a 10-6 type team at most)
GB YPP differential was NEGATIVE at -.3
GB has actually been OUTGAINED for year
345 yards, give up 353 per game
PROP BET: Wilson Rush yards OVER 25
Reg Season: 21/gm
Last 2 games:
Vs. SF: 8/29
Vs. Phi: 9/45
WITH Sea down to their 4thstring RB, AND the season on the line
EXPECT WILSON TO continue to run more……
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Jeff Ma
texans
seahawks
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