Thursday 11/7/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF, & NBA games
Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 3:48 PM
TEMPLE -2
TEMPLE @ SOUTH FLORIDA | 11/07 | 8:00 PM EST
Temple followed off its signature win against Memphis with blowout losses to high-powered clubs SMU and Central Florida. But the Owls should get a favorable matchup Thursday against a South Florida club that has own three of its past four. The Bulls have had some success turning to dual-threat quarterbacks following the injury to opening-day starter Blake Barnett. But Temple's physical defense should limit the run game and could force turnovers on long down-and-distance scenarios. Look for the Owls to get back on track in this one.
47-28-3 IN LAST 78 CFB PICKS | +1592
5-2 IN LAST 7 TEMPLE ATS PICKS | +275
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FEATURED PICK
Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
YESTERDAY 4:40 PM
L.A. CHARGERS -1
L.A. CHARGERS @ OAKLAND | 11/07 | 8:20 PM EST
The Chargers are finally getting healthy, and that showed last week when they dominated Aaron Rodgers and a very good Packers team. Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram are hard to contain off the edge. Meanwhile the offense looked much improved under new offensive coordinator Shane Steichen. My model says Los Angeles covers well over 50 percent of the time, so you're getting solid value with the Chargers. Lay it.
7-3-1 IN LAST 11 NFL PICKS | +369
10-4 IN LAST 14 OAK ATS PICKS | +565
3-1 IN LAST 4 LAC ATS PICKS | +189
Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 4:20 PM
L.A. CHARGERS -1
L.A. CHARGERS @ OAKLAND | 11/07 | 8:20 PM EST
Though the score doesn’t reflect it, L.A.’s win against Green Bay was one-sided. On offense, RB Melvin Gordon shed the rust from his long holdout, and new play-caller Shane Steichen deftly mixed run and pass plays. On defense, the Chargers turned their stadium into a hell-scape for QB Aaron Rodgers. Oakland, while sprinkling in wins, is still in semi-rebuilding mode. There are key injuries and there is a Key injury: Raiders DE Arden Key (foot) is out, damaging an already weak pass rush. The Chargers have fallen against the spread just twice in their last dozen away games.
13-8 IN LAST 21 NFL PICKS | +417
11-5-1 IN LAST 17 LAC ATS PICKS | +550
Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
YESTERDAY 4:12 PM
L.A. CHARGERS -1
L.A. CHARGERS @ OAKLAND | 11/07 | 8:20 PM EST
The Chargers are playing great right now, with wins in their last two as underdogs, against the Bears and Packers. They have played well for most of the season, but they weren't finishing strong like they have the past two weeks. It’s the time of year when Phillip Rivers plays well, and the Chargers have gone 8-1 against the spread in their last nine November games. San Diego has won and covered in the last four meetings, which all stayed under the total. I’m on the Chargers.
7-2 IN LAST 9 NFL PICKS | +478
11-7 IN LAST 18 LAC ATS PICKS | +315
R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 12:12 AM
OAKLAND +1
L.A. CHARGERS @ OAKLAND | 11/07 | 8:20 PM EST
This line seems like a massive overreaction to the Chargers finally putting together one good game in a win over the Packers. As impressive as it was, they were thrashed statistically by the Bears despite getting a win the previous week and had two months of mediocre play to back that up. The Raiders on the other hand are getting better and better, especially on offense, where they've strung together five straight games against some winning teams (Colts, Packers, Texans). Throw in the home field edge and a lookahead line of Raiders -2.5, and I think this current number is way off.
5-4 IN LAST 9 OAK ATS PICKS | +49
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Alan Scozzari
GUARANTEED PACKAGE C WAGER MAX BET
Europa League
Basel 0 -107
TIP OF THE DAY PACKAGE B WAGER
Europa League
St. Liege - Eintracht Frankfurt
UNDER 3 -104
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Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
YESTERDAY 3:34 PM
OVER 49
L.A. CHARGERS @ OAKLAND | 11/07 | 8:20 PM EST
Neither team is very good defensively. The Raiders have a terrific running back and tight end, their offensive line is doing a heckuva job. But their defense is horrible. Philip Rivers typically plays really well versus Oakland. Go Over.
14-11-1 IN LAST 26 NFL PICKS | +202
Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
YESTERDAY 10:13 AM
L.A. CHARGERS -1
L.A. CHARGERS @ OAKLAND | 11/07 | 8:20 PM EST
This is a pivotal game in the AFC, as both teams still are in the hunt for a wild-card spot. Oakland's offense has been playing really well this season, displaying a good level of balance. And we've seen the Chargers pick up the pace a bit offensively in the last two weeks. The difference in this game will be defense, and right now, the Raiders still are having issues getting to the quarterback with any level of consistency. Los Angeles has been able to accomplish that with ease, thanks to the play of Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram.
26-11 IN LAST 37 NFL ATS PICKS | +1382
8-4 IN LAST 12 LAC ATS PICKS | +362
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MTI
4* Heat at Suns UNDER 219
3* Celtics at Hornets OVER 219.5
3* Thunder at Spurs UNDER 214.5
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ELITE SPORTS PICKS
Temple/South Florida OVER 48.5
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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
4* Temple/South Florida OVER 48.5
3* LA Chargers-1
3* San Antonio Spurs-4.5
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NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
4* Temple-1.5
3* LA Clippers-5.5
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Primetime Sports Picks For 11/07/19
4 Unit --> L.A. Chargers -1 over Oakland (NFL)
3 Unit --> U.A.B. -6 over Troy (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Miami/Phoenix UNDER 217 (NBA)
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Fezzik CBB
2* Idaho State and Airforce U137
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Paul Leiner
2500* CFB Temple -1.5
100* CFB Over 58.5 UL-Laf/Coastal Carolina
100* NFL Over 49 Raiders/Chargers
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Fezzik
DOUBLE DIME PLAY
UNDER 58.5 UL Lafayette/Coastal Carolina -
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
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Friends of Mike Lee
NBA
3* #573/574 Oklahoma City/San Antonio OVER 212
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Jeff Ma
LAC -1
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Root
Mill- Raiders
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CleInsiderSports
NFL (39-22)
Pass
NCAAF (27-34)
USF +1.5
NBA (7-10)
Clippers -5.5
NHL (24-20, 12-3 run)
Maples Leafs ML (-135)
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Midwest NFL Handicapping
NFL GOM
LA Chargers -1
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NBASELECTION
Phoenix Suns - Miami Heat
Miami Heat
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Chris Fallica (the Bear)
South Florida +2
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Greg Shaker
3* CBB Total
UAB/Troy under 146
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Dave Aquino
Nov07 - NHL (totals): wild/sharks over 5.5, predators/avalanche over 6, canucks/hawks over 6, kings/senators over 6.5, blue jackets/coyotes over 5.5
Nov07 - NBA: Phoenix -1
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Maddux
NBA
10* Oklahoma City/San Antonio over 211.5
NFL
10* LA Chargers -1
CFB
10* UL Lafayette/Coastal Carolina under 58.5
10* Temple/USF under 53
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SHARP TOTALS CLUB
2*OKC /Spurs Under 214
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Side Action Sports 10* Temple Owls
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Tom Stryker
26-0 ATS NFL PERFECT ANGLE INVESTMENT
Chargers
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Cajun Sports Wire
NFL 4.5* Raiders
CFB 4.5* UL Lafayette
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Stat Caddie NHL
senators
predators
panthers over
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Lee Sterling
30 LAC
25 under Coastal, temple
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SYSTEM PICKS
Miami Heat +2
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Totals Unlimited NFL GOM
Under [107] Los Angeles Chargers vs. [108] Oakland Raiders
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Pro Info Sports
4.5-STAR UNDER 48.5 LAC v. Oakland Raiders
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Marco
3% South Florida
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Mike Stone
500000 unit Temple -1.5
2500 unit Chargers -1
2500 unit Flyers -115
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Dwayne Bryant
3% Spurs Under211.5
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Miller locks
7:00:01 pm est ncaab
presbyterian vs. Clemson
pick: Clemson -20 (-106)
risk: 11 units
8:00:01 pm est ncaaf
temple vs. South florida
pick: South florida +1 (-103)
risk: 11 units
8:05 pm est nba
boston celtics vs. Charlotte hornets
pick: Boston celtics -7 (-108)
risk: 11 units
8:20 pm est nfl
los angeles chargers vs. Oakland raiders
pick: Oakland raiders +1 (+111)
risk: 11 units
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Bondi
3* Oakland Raiders
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Seabass college hoops : 300 Rutgers
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SPORTS BANK (Rates 100-500)
250*Raiders Over
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Executive Sportsline football
Thur, Nov 7
8:00
CFB
250%
So.Florida +1
over Temple
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Jack Winningham
NHL
Islanders +100
Nashville -134
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Seabass : 400 ul Lafayette , 300 south Florida , 500 penguins , 300 spurs game under , 1000 * heat , 600 raiders
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Worlds Worst Picker CBB
Peabody’s pick
Troy
fade play
UAB
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Root
NFL PLAY on the RAIDERS
5-1 last week in the NFL
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OSKEIM SPORTS Football Plays
Game: (107) Los Angeles Chargers at (108) Oakland Raiders
Date/Time: Nov 7 2019 8:20 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Chargers -1.0 (-110)
View Analysis
The Chargers are a 4% investment at -2.5 points or better.
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CAL SPORTS
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (733) Seattle U at (734) Washington State
Date/Time: Nov 7 2019 9:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Seattle U 3.0 (-108)
View Analysis
#733 3* Seattle +3 Washington St 9 PM (NOTE: this is my only CBB play for Thursday. Back Friday by 1:30 PM ET)
LY Seattle returned only one starter yet beat this Washington St team at home and also beat another P-12 school Cal on the road. This year Settle returns 4 starters and 90% of their minutes played. It’s not often that a team has a ‘Game under their Belt’ advantage but Seattle comes in 1-0 off a win against Pacific Lutheran. Wash St returns 3 starters and only 50% of the minutes played while going through scheme changes with a new coach.
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DR. CHUCK
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (307119) Presbyterian at (307120) Clemson
Date/Time: Nov 7 2019 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 139.0 (-110)
View Analysis
Brad Brownell is 16-11 to the Under in November with a Vegas total less than 140...and in the 5 games Clemson and Presbyterian have played in the past decade...none have gotten to 140 or all that close.
Clemson will look to hammer down on defense after opening with a tough loss to VTech...still finishing a dozen points below this total.
Presby is 18-9 to the Under in database history. This total is off by a half dozen in my book...and ready to be exploited while the public backs an ACC home favorite on a slow night!
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DR. CHUCK
HOCKEY PLAYS
Game: (35) Washington Capitals at (36) Florida Panthers
Date/Time: Nov 7 2019 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 6.5 (-122)
View Analysis
Holtby v. Goalie Bob
Should be a goal fest tonight in Florida, or at least a match up where 3-3 certainly is no ceiling and both teams can score the puck while each backstop really has survived to get to where each team rests in the standings....rather than look like anything resembling a world beater.
The Caps have only gone below 6.5 once since the first week of the season on the road...and 2-0 with 15 total goals as road chalk. Panthers are 6 of 8 to the Over as a dog this season. This total was set here for a reason and has juice for a reason....and Vegas isn't comfortable hanging.a 7 so we benefit with a 6.5!.
Game: (31) Pittsburgh Penguins at (32) New York Islanders
Date/Time: Nov 7 2019 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Islanders -103
View Analysis
Vegas flat out doesn't know what to do with this CRAZY HOT Isles squad that has now reached double digits with its current win streak. Matt Murray was pulled last time out and while the Bruins are tough competition....it is hurtful tp NY to act as though the 3.5 or more goals they've averaged hasn't also been really damn good.
Greiss and Varlamov have both looked stellar during the stretch so I think the lack of Greiss is baiting folks to fade and take the public Penguins....but that's wrong..
And we benefit again!
Game: (30) Toronto Maple Leafs In Regulation
Date/Time: Nov 7 2019 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Toronto Maple Leafs In Regulation +109
View Analysis
Gotta keep my faith in the Subban fade...especially when he faces Felix Andersen on the other end and in Toronto against a team who has handily won their last 3 against the West this season...and the Knights are in the midst of a 4 game road trip...nice win over CBus and ends with Detroit...but tonight and in DC will be the challenges...not one I won't fade Subban for no doubt!
Game: (41) Nashville Predators at (42) Colorado Avalanche
Date/Time: Nov 7 2019 9:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Nashville Predators -130
View Analysis
Should be Rinne facing Francouz tonight...in Colorado...and while they haven't even confirmed Pekka to be in net this is a HUGE discount price tonight...and certainly my favorite play of the night. The Preds are on more rest, last hammered the Wings into submission, and the Avs haven't won in November at 0-3 SU and only putting in 2 total goals in those 3 bad losses.
As we said...the luster of early season Avs dominance is allllllllll the way rusted off...and the fact they are THIS close to a favorite in any venue is as I would say....kooky talk.
I will also play this on the puck line...as -1.5 is ALSO a bargain in my book!
Game: (41) Nashville Predators at (42) Colorado Avalanche
Date/Time: Nov 7 2019 9:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Nashville Predators -1.5 (+190)
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Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
MON 11/4
TEMPLE -2
TEMPLE @ SOUTH FLORIDA | 11/07 | 8:00 PM EST
Temple followed off its signature win against Memphis with blowout losses to high-powered clubs SMU and Central Florida. But the Owls should get a favorable matchup Thursday against a South Florida club that has own three of its past four. The Bulls have had some success turning to dual-threat quarterbacks following the injury to opening-day starter Blake Barnett. But Temple's physical defense should limit the run game and could force turnovers on long down-and-distance scenarios. Look for the Owls to get back on track in this one.
47-29-3 IN LAST 79 CFB PICKS | +1478
5-2 IN LAST 7 TEMPLE ATS PICKS | +275
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JOSH NAGEL
SAN ANTONIO -5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ SAN ANTONIO | 11/07 | 8:30 PM EST
6:38 PM
The Spurs have lost three of their last four, with all the defeats coming on the road and by single figures. but two of their home wins so far have been by exactly one basket. The Chris Paul-led Thunder are probably a bit better than most observers anticipated before the season. But this is a otugh spot against a San Antonio club eager for a strong performance and with home-court advantage, Look for point guard Dejounte Murray to break out of his recent struggles and come through with a big performance.
5-0-1 IN LAST 6 NBA ATS PICKS | +500
8-2 IN LAST 10 OKC ATS PICKS | +582
2-1 IN LAST 3 SA ATS PICKS | +89
MIAMI +1
MIAMI @ PHOENIX | 11/07 | 9:00 PM EST
4:45 PM
A couple of personnel moves have made a huge difference for the Suns, who may very well be the NBA's most improved team. The leadership of veteran point guard Ricky Rubio and versatility of wing Dario Saric have made a huge impact. Phoenix's impressive early-season run includes handing the previously unbeaten 76ers their first loss. But the similarly improving Heat have a little more balance and they are in a bounce-back spot following a no-show in Denver on Tuesday.
5-0-1 IN LAST 6 NBA ATS PICKS | +500
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Pete Blackburn
VANCOUVER -137
VANCOUVER @ CHICAGO | 11/07 | 8:30 PM EST
6:35 PM
Vancouver is really hot right now and will look to push its point streak to nine games against a Blackhawks team that has struggled to figure it out early in the season. Elias Pettersson leads a Canucks offense that is humming as it ranks sixth in the NHL in goals per game. They're going up against Corey Crawford, who has allowed 12 goals on 104 shots (.885 SV%) while losing three straight. Offensively, the Blackhawks are averaging the third-fewest goals per game (2.36) in the league this season. Ride Vancouver.
19-10 LAST 29 NHL SIDES | +1259
CAROLINA -1.5
N.Y. RANGERS @ CAROLINA | 11/07 | 7:00 PM EST
6:29 PM
Henrik Lundqvist is starting for the second night in a row, and he faces a big test on the road against one of the league's toughest teams in Carolina. The Hurricanes are looking to bounce back from a rather frustrating loss in Philadelphia earlier in the week. This matchup does not bode well for the Rangers, who might be a bit gassed on the tail end of a back-to-back. Puck line is the play.
19-10 LAST 29 NHL SIDES | +1259
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Bill Marzano
ARIZONA -1.5
COLUMBUS @ ARIZONA | 11/07 | 9:00 PM EST
1:02 PM
The Jackets have dropped five straight and are struggling to score with just five goals in their last four games overall. The Coyotes have earned points in 11 of their last 13 and haven’t dropped back-to-back games since the start of season. Coyotes G Darcy Kuemper leads the NHL with a 1.69 GAA and a .940 save percentage. He has allowed more than two goals just once in his last 17 starts, dating back to last season.
7-2 IN LAST 9 NHL ATS PICKS | +552
NASHVILLE -128
NASHVILLE @ COLORADO | 11/07 | 9:00 PM EST
12:58 PM
The Avalanche are struggling right now, having dropped five straight games and without a couple of their best players. The Predators are playing well behind the solid play of Pekka Rinne in net who is 8-0-2 with a 2.07 GAA and a .927 save percentage. Rinne has dominated Colorado, posting a 25-9-2 record in his career. Colorado G Philipp Grubauer is struggling and is just 1-2 in three career starts vs the Predators.
8-3-1 IN LAST 12 NHL PICKS | +505
WASHINGTON -104
WASHINGTON @ FLORIDA | 11/07 | 7:00 PM EST
12:56 PM
The Capitals have won four straight and are 8-0-1 their last nine games overall. They have scored at least three goals in 13 straight, four or more goals in 10 of their last 12. Bradon Holtby is 5-0-1 with a .923 save percentage. The Caps are fourth in the NHL on the power play. Sergei Bobrovsky is 6-2-3 with a .883 save percentage and will be facing a barrage of shots tonight.
8-3-1 IN LAST 12 NHL PICKS | +505
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Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
YESTERDAY 3:30 PM
UNDER 149
NOTRE DAME @ N. CAROLINA | 11/06 | 7:00 PM EST
I'm workshopping a theory early in the college basketball season. The three-point line has been moved back, and the last time the NCAA did this it caused scoring and shooting to drop. So, in a game like this, when North Carolina has so many new faces in important places, as well as it being a conference game, I won't be shocked if it's a rough go for both sides.
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John Bollman
WASHINGTON -107
WASHINGTON @ FLORIDA | 11/07 | 7:00 PM EST
11:46 AM
The Caps have won four straight games and they are 8-1-1 in their last 10 games. They are 7-1-1 on the road. The Panthers are also hot having won two in a row and going 6-1-3 in their last 10 games. They are 3-1-1 at home. The Caps lead the league in scoring and are firing on all cylinders right now, I like the value in the Caps to continue their win streak on the road.
7-4 IN LAST 11 NHL ML PICKS | +209
4-2 IN LAST 6 WAS ML PICKS | +167
SAN JOSE -139
MINNESOTA @ SAN JOSE | 11/07 | 10:30 PM EST
11:44 AM
The Sharks are only 5-10-1 on the season and 3-4-0 at home, but the Wild are 5-9-1 and 2-8-0 on the road. The Wild lost all three games against the Sharks last season, take the underperforming Sharks at home at a good value.
7-4 IN LAST 11 NHL ML PICKS | +209
3-0 IN LAST 3 MIN ML PICKS | +300
OTTAWA +103
LOS ANGELES @ OTTAWA | 11/07 | 7:30 PM EST
11:43 AM
The Kings are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games and 2-6-0 on the road this season, while the Senators are 3-4-0 at home. The Kings will make the cross-country trip and they are giving up the most goals in the league. The Senators don’t win much, but I like them at home against a poor Kings team.
7-4 IN LAST 11 NHL ML PICKS | +209
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Winning Points
3* Temple
2* Oakland NFL
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Michael Rusk
SAN ANTONIO -5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ SAN ANTONIO | 11/07 | 8:30 PM EST
2:17 PM
There aren’t many times you can bet on a Gregg Popovich-coached team with this great value. The Spurs have only covered one game out of their first seven contests. I like them to get back on track at home Thursday after losing back-to-back games. Spurs should take this by double digits.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NBA ATS PICKS | +191
PORTLAND +5.5
PORTLAND @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 11/07 | 10:30 PM EST
2:14 PM
This number is way too big for the Clippers on a back-to-back. Sure, Kawhi Leonard should be back in the lineup, but the Blazers shouldn’t be this hefty of an underdog. The Blazers have won four in a row against the Clippers. They matchup well against Doc Rivers' squad. This game should go down to the wire Thursday night at the Staples Center.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NBA ATS PICKS | +191
MIAMI +1
MIAMI @ PHOENIX | 11/07 | 9:00 PM EST
2:12 PM
This time last season, the Phoenix Suns were the worst team in the NBA. Sure they’re playing inspired ball, but this can only go so far. The talent is shown in spurts, but Miami is a much more level team on both sides of the ball. Look for the Suns to drop their first game against the spread this season Thursday.
3-1 IN LAST 4 NBA ATS PICKS | +191
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