Tuesday 12/3/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF, & NBA games.
INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
4* Ball State-2 NCAABB
3* Vandy-2 NCAABB
3* Nuggets-2 NBA
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NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
4* Michigan+6.5 NCAABB
3* W. Michigan+1 NCAABB
3* Wizards-1.5 NBA
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Primetime Sports Picks For 12/03/19
4 Unit --> Michigan +6.5 over Louisville (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Indiana -3 over Florida St. (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> L.A. Clippers -9 over Portland (NBA
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Dave Essler
Illinois State +13.5 3*
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WEEKLY REPORT
Elite Sports Service
NBA 5-5 minus 0.50 units
NFL 7-9 minus 2.90 units
NCAAFB 11-9 plus 1.10 units
NCAABB 9-5 plus 3.50 units
Insider Sports Report
NBA 13-17 minus 21.90 units
5*1-0 +5.00
4*2-8 -27.20
3*10-9 +0.30
NCAABB 8-15 minus 30.30 units
4*4-8 -19.20
3*4-7 -11.10
NCAAFB 19-36-2 minus 73.60 units
5*0-5 -27.50
4*8-9 –6.50
3*11-22-2 -39.60
NFL 18-31-2 minus 50.20 units
5*3-2 +4.00
4*2-5-2 -14.00
3*13-24 -40.20
National Sports Service
NBA 11-13-5 minus 13.80 units
4*6-9-1 -15.60
3*5-4-4 +1.80
NCAABB 12-9-1 plus 8.90 units
4*7-4-1 +10.40
3*5-5 -1.50
NCAAFB 20-32 minus 57.20 units
5*1-3 -11.50
4*4-10 -28.00
3*15-19 -17.70
NFL 24-24 minus 6.10 units
5*4-3 +3.50
4*3-4-1 -4.50
3*17-17 -5.10
Prime Time
NBA 12-19-1 minus 30.50 units
4*5-8 -15.20
3*7-11 -15.30
NCAABB 9-18 minus 35.10 units
4*5-7 -10.80
3*4-11 -24.30
NCAAFB 20-30 minus 53.60 units
5*0-1 -5.50
4*3-14 -49.60
3*17-15 +1.50
NFL 18-13-2 plus 12.50 units
5*3-1 +9.50
4*2-4-1 -9.60
3*13-8-1 +12.60
Millerlocks
NFL 52-43-3 plus 99 units +51.70 units
NBA 19-11-1 plus 88 units +75.90
NCAAFB 56-68-2 minus 132 units -206.80 units
NCAABB 14-17 minus 33 units -50.70 units
Seabass
Free Plays 45-22 L67
No Limit (1000 Units) 32-41-1 minus 13100 units
NBA 44-30 plus 6300 units
NCAABB 38-32 plus 160 units
NCAAFB 98-86-5 minus 4740 units
NFL 56-59-2 minus 810 units
NHL 33-30 plus 2370 units
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Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
Dec 3-1
9:30 AM
MICHIGAN +5.5MICHIGAN @ LOUISVILLE | 12/03 | 7:30 PM EST
The newly crowned No. 1 team in the nation. Louisville is being way overvalued. The Wolverines have played the toughest schedule to date and have crushed their opponents. This is sure to be a defensive battle, but Michigan is good offensively, well-balanced, deep and experienced. Louisville is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 non-conference games. Michigan wins outright.29-16-2 IN LAST 47 CBB PICKS | +1119
FLORIDA ST. +3
FLORIDA ST. @ INDIANA | 12/03 | 9:00 PM EST
Florida State will win this game outright. The Seminoles are the better overall team and are coming off back-to-back wins over Tennessee and Purdue while the Hoosiers have played a cupcake schedule to date. The Seminoles are allowing under 60 points per game, forcing an average of 18 turnovers and holding opponents to just 35 percent shooting. Indiana committed 19 turnovers against San Diego State and is in for a much tougher battle here.
29-16-2 IN LAST 47 CBB PICKS | +1119
3-1 IN LAST 4 IND ATS PICKS | +188
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Larry Hartstein
NBA
Houston -5.5
Dallas -4
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Greg Shaker
3* Butler/Mississippi under 131.5
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Clev Insider
NBA
Nuggets -2
NCAAB
Miami (OH) -4
NHL
Wild ML (+115)
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GREG SHAKER | CBB TOTAL TUE, 12/03/19 - 7:00 PM
754 E. Mich / 753 Valparaiso Under 134.0 Bookmaker
double-dime bet
Analysis:
2* Play at your best number..UNDER..
Pick Made: Dec 3 2019 7:20AM PST
GREG SHAKER | CBB TOTAL TUE, 12/03/19 - 7:00 PM
770 Wright St / 769 W. Ky Under 147.0 William Hill
double-dime bet
Analysis:
2* Play at your best number UNDER..
Pick Made: Dec 3 2019 7:32AM PST
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Larry Hartstein
Dec NBA 2-2
HOUSTON -5.5
HOUSTON @ SAN ANTONIO | 12/03 | 8:30 PM EST
10:40 AM
James Harden should be fresh after sitting out the fourth quarter of Houston's blowout of Atlanta. The Spurs have lost 13 of 16. Even though they're getting LaMarcus Aldridge back in the lineup, I'll back the Rockets to improve to 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
15-6-1 IN LAST 22 NBA ATS PICKS | +846
8-1 IN LAST 9 HOU ATS PICKS | +690
5-3 IN LAST 8 SA ATS PICKS | +171
DALLAS -4
DALLAS @ NEW ORLEANS | 12/03 | 7:30 PM EST
10:35 AM
The Mavs are 7-2 straight-up on the road and I like them to cover this modest number against the 6-14 Pelicans, who have lost five in a row. When Dallas visited New Orleans in late October, the Mavs won by seven. Lay it.
15-6-1 IN LAST 22 NBA ATS PICKS | +846
41-24 IN LAST 65 NO ATS PICKS | +1493
15-11 IN LAST 26 DAL ATS PICKS | +281
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Marco D'Angelo
CBB HIGH ROLLER PLAY
4% Rutgers +3.5 (-108)
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Mike Barner
Dec NBA 1-1
DALLAS -4
DALLAS @ NEW ORLEANS | 12/03 | 7:30 PM EST
1:35 PM
The Mavericks have played well on the road this season, posting a 7-2 mark ATS. That includes an impressive 14-point win over the Lakers on Sunday in Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the Pelicans have lost five straight and were already defeated at home by the Mavericks earlier this season by seven points. I’ll take the Mavericks to keep things rolling with a win, while covering along the way.
17-4 IN LAST 21 NBA ATS PICKS | +1258
4-1-1 IN LAST 6 NO ATS PICKS | +289
9-6 IN LAST 15 DAL ATS PICKS | +237
HOUSTON -5.5
HOUSTON @ SAN ANTONIO | 12/03 | 8:30 PM EST
12:35 PM
This is a mismatch. The Spurs have been a disappointment this season and are coming off of a 34-point loss at the hands of the Pistons. They are just 2-9 ATS at home and LaMarcus Aldridge (thigh) could potentially miss his second straight game. Meanwhile, the Rockets just beat the Heat and Hawks despite being without Clint Capela, who is expected to return for this matchup. Even if Aldridge does take the floor, I like the Rockets to cover. If he sits, this could be a blowout.
17-4 IN LAST 21 NBA ATS PICKS | +1258
11-7-1 IN LAST 19 SA ATS PICKS | +330
3-2-1 IN LAST 6 HOU ATS PICKS | +80
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Dwayne Bryant
NBA / CBB TOTALS SYSTEM TWINS!
3% #757/758 Dartmouth-Georgia State over 134 - playable to 135
3% #549/550 Los Angeles Lakers-Denver Nuggets under 207 - play to 206
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
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Jim Feist
NCAA BK
3* #780 Missouri State -4.5
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Bill Marzano
Dec NHL 3-0 NBA 1-1
BOSTON -153
CAROLINA @ BOSTON | 12/03 | 7:00 PM EST
1:47 PM
The Bruins are the only team in the NHL without a loss at home in regulation, 11-0-4 and riding a seven-game winning streak. The Bruins have a huge edge in net with Tuuka Rask going against the Hurricanes' Petr Mrazek, who has lost three of his last four starts. Rask is undefeated at home this year. The Hurricanes have dropped the last five overall meetings and six straight in Boston.
19-15-1 IN LAST 35 NHL PICKS | +364
TORONTO -4.5
MIAMI @ TORONTO | 12/03 | 7:30 PM EST
1:43 PM
The Raptors are 9-0 at home SU and 8-1 ATS, while the Heat are 8-0 at home SU and ATS however, the Heat are just 6-5 on the road and allow three more points per game on the road than they do at home. The Heat also average five points less per game offensively on the road than at home. The Raptors are riding a seven-game winning streak overall and have won four straight in this series and five of the last six meetings.
10-6 IN LAST 16 NBA ATS PICKS | +345
5-1 IN LAST 6 MIA ATS PICKS | +391
HOUSTON -6.5
HOUSTON @ SAN ANTONIO | 12/03 | 8:30 PM EST
1:41 PM
James Harden is on fire offensively and the Rockets have won three straight meetings in this series. The Spurs have dropped 13 of their last 16 overall and were just crushed by the Pistons. The Spurs have been less than effective defensively and look for the Rockets to simply outscore them. The Spurs are just 5-6 SU at home and 2-9 ATS.
10-6 IN LAST 16 NBA ATS PICKS | +345
2-1 IN LAST 3 SA ATS PICKS | +91
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Mike Tierney
DUKE +6.5
DUKE @ MICHIGAN ST. | 12/03 | 9:30 PM EST
12:33 PM
When is the last time mighty Duke was spotted a half-dozen points? Given the youth on both sides, this matchup is fraught with the unpredictable, so siding with Coach K, who is 11-2 straight-up against Tom Izzo at Michigan State, is preferable even with freshman G Cassius Stanley (hamstring) out. The Blue Devils induce turnovers - their average of 18.8 ranks fourth in the nation - and will harass Spartans PG Cassius Winston.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MICHST ATS PICKS | +90
MICHIGAN +5.5
MICHIGAN @ LOUISVILLE | 12/03 | 7:30 PM EST
12:22 PM
Uneasy rests the head that wears the crown of No. 1 in college basketball. It changes hands (or heads) almost weekly. Louisville is wearing it now and hosts a team that could make a case for being No. 1. The Wolverines recently plowed over a pair of top-10 teams in North Carolina and Gonzaga. Previous victims were Creighton and Iowa State as coach Juwan Howard has weathered a challenging schedule in his first season. Michigan shoots nearly 53 percent, No. 2 in the nation, and defends the 3-pointer 16 percentage points better than Louisville.
7-3-1 IN LAST 11 LVILLE ATS PICKS | +373
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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
1:48 PM
OVER 153.5
ARIZONA ST. @ SAN FRAN. | 12/03 | 11:00 PM EST
Arizona State has stayed Under the total in its last five games, but that was more about its opponents either not being very good or, as was the case with Virginia and Princeton, slowing the pace way down. San Francisco comes off its first loss of the season, but new coach Todd Golden has this team playing at a faster pace. All seven of the team's totals have gone Over. Over is the top play.
4-2 IN LAST 6 CBB PICKS | +174
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John Bollman
WINNIPEG -106
DALLAS @ WINNIPEG | 12/03 | 8:00 PM EST
10:06 AM
The Jets are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games and they finally return home after a long road trip. The Stars are 7-2-1 in the last 10 games but they are just 6-6-2 on the road. The Stars will have their backup goalie in while the Jets will start Connor Hellebuyck. Take the value in the Jets at home.
7-1 IN LAST 8 NHL ML PICKS | +606
2-1 IN LAST 3 WPG ML PICKS | +129
TAMPA BAY -105
TAMPA BAY @ NASHVILLE | 12/03 | 8:00 PM EST
10:05 AM
The Predators are just 7-5-3 at home this season and 3-5-2 in their last 10 games. The Lightning are 6-5-2 on the road this season and 5-4-1 in their last 10 games. Both these teams have been under performing and are kinda tough to predict right now. But I like how the Lightning have been playing despite their record. Take the value in the Lightning.
7-1 IN LAST 8 NHL ML PICKS | +606
2-1 IN LAST 3 NSH ML PICKS | +136
FLORIDA -133
MINNESOTA @ FLORIDA | 12/03 | 7:00 PM EST
10:04 AM
The Panthers are 7-3-2 at home this season, and they are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games. The Wild are good at home but just 5-10-2 on the road. The Wild own the Panthers at home having won seven straight, but on the road the Wild have lost three of the last four games. It looks like both backup goalies will be starting tonight, I like the value in the Panthers at home.
7-1 IN LAST 8 NHL ML PICKS | +606
4-1 IN LAST 5 MIN ML PICKS | +300
4-1 IN LAST 5 FLA ML PICKS | +254
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Michael Rusk
NEW ORLEANS +4
DALLAS @ NEW ORLEANS | 12/03 | 7:30 PM EST
12:47 PM
Dallas is the hot commodity coming off a scorching November. Luka Madness is taking over the league, but that doesn’t take away from the fact that this team is very overvalued. After handling the Lakers rather easily on Sunday night, the Mavs will regress a little against the Pelicans. New Orleans is on a five-game skid, and their last three contests have been decided by five points or fewer. A very gritty young Pelicans team with Lonzo Ball back makes me feel comfortable taking this home underdog.
13-10-2 IN LAST 25 NBA PICKS | +204
2-1 IN LAST 3 NO ATS PICKS | +90
CLEVELAND +3
DETROIT @ CLEVELAND | 12/03 | 7:00 PM EST
12:39 PM
Taking the Cavaliers may be cringe-worthy, but it’s important to trust the process. Home underdogs are money makers virtually across-the-board in sports, and this is a prime example. Just 33 percent of bettors are taking the Cavaliers mainly because they have lost nine of their last 10. In the last matchup between these teams, Detroit came into Cleveland as a seven-point favorite and lost by seven. The Pistons are constantly overvalued in this contest. Take the Cavaliers to edge it out in a close contest.
13-10-2 IN LAST 25 NBA PICKS | +204
SAN ANTONIO +5.5
HOUSTON @ SAN ANTONIO | 12/03 | 8:30 PM EST
12:33 PM
When it opened, the line wasn’t favorable for the Spurs, who have been miserable straight up and against the spread this season. Now, the line is favorable even though the Spurs have covered just five of 21 games ATS this season. On Tuesday they are healthy underdogs at home against the Rockets, who are coming off a 47-point victory against the Hawks. With only 27 percent of bets on the home underdog, I like the Spurs to keep this game extremely tight throughout. Take the points.
13-10-2 IN LAST 25 NBA PICKS | +204
2-1 IN LAST 3 SA ATS PICKS | +98
OVER 128
OAKLAND @ W. MICHIGAN | 12/03 | 7:00 PM EST
9:46 AM
Oakland has been on an absolute Under tear this season. In fact, it hasn’t cashed an Over thus far. Last season, this matchup finished at 162 after being set at 149. In the last eight showdowns, the total score has averaged over 160 points. There is a major cushion on Tuesday. Hitting 130 shouldn’t be a problem.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS | +90
UNDER 145
IOWA @ SYRACUSE | 12/03 | 7:00 PM EST
9:40 AM
Simply way too many points for this matchup at one of the most Under venues in the country. Year in and year out, visitors struggle to score at the Carrier Dome. I like Syracuse to dominate the pace and set the tone early with their zone. Under is the play.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS | +90
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Zack Cimini
NORTHWESTERN +3.5
NORTHWESTERN @ BOSTON COLLEGE | 12/03 | 7:00 PM EST
1:19 PM
The Eagles are in the midst of a three-game losing streak that featured a season-low 44-point performance on Saturday. Northwestern has suffered embarrassing losses against Radford and Merrimack. Even though this is their first road game of the season, look for value on the Wildcats as Boston College's struggles continue.
6-1 IN LAST 7 BC ATS PICKS | +486
INDIANA -1.5
FLORIDA ST. @ INDIANA | 12/03 | 9:00 PM EST
1:13 PM
A young Indiana team will have its hands full against the Seminoles, who climbed in the polls thanks to an impressive week that featured wins over Tennessee and Purdue. But Florida State is missing one more scorer that was vital to its Tournament runs in recent years. Look for the unbeaten Hoosiers to notch another win.
2-1 IN LAST 3 FSU ATS PICKS | +90
PORTLAND +9
PORTLAND @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 12/03 | 10:00 PM EST
1:08 PM
Offensively, the Trail Blazers have seen a spark since acquiring F Carmelo Anthony. Where they still are lacking is on defense, and that could be troublesome against a Clippers team that prides itself on two-way play. Look for Portland to have a few offensive surges to offset the big number
7-4-1 IN LAST 12 NBA ATS PICKS | +257
6-1 IN LAST 7 POR ATS PICKS | +493
6-3 IN LAST 9 LAC ATS PICKS | +268
MIAMI +4.5
MIAMI @ TORONTO | 12/03 | 7:30 PM EST
12:59 PM
Miami’s win in Brooklyn on Sunday boosted its road record to 6-5. Meanwhile, the Raptors have been undeniable at home, going 9-0. They’ve been able to avoid a championship hangover thanks to a deep roster of talent. But look for the Heat to match Toronto's intensity and come within the number.
7-4-1 IN LAST 12 NBA ATS PICKS | +257
15-10 IN LAST 25 TOR ATS PICKS | +387
11-8-1 IN LAST 20 MIA ATS PICKS | +215
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