Saturday 1/11/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & NBA games.
Jimmy Boyd
Jan 11 '20, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Alabama vs Kentucky
Play on: Kentucky -8 -110 at Bovada
1* NCAAB - Free Pick on Kentucky Wildcats -8
This might seem like a big number for Kentucky to be laying against a Crimson Tide team that won 6 of 8 and fresh off a 90-69 blowout win at home over a good Mississippi State team, but I like the Wildcats to lay it on Alabama in Saturday's early action.
Thing is Kentucky seems to have figured some things out. Wildcats come in having won and covered each of their last 3 games and in their last half of play they put 47 points on the road at Georgia to put the game away. It really felt like Calipari found something in terms of his rotation in that win over the Bulldogs.
As for this matchup with Alabama, the Crimson Tide are looking to push the pace under Nate Oats and that works great against a lot of teams, but Kentucky's not the team you want to get in a transition battle with. They just better athletes.
Another is the Wildcats are not a great 3-point shooting team and that's not going to be a problem. Opposing teams are scoring 54.3% of their points against Alabama inside the 3-point line and 24.9% from the free throw line. Kentucky scores 57.4% of their points inside the 3-point line and 23.7% from the free throw line.
'As for Alabama's offense they want to shoot a ton of 3's and that's great, but the outside shot doesn't tend to fall as much on the road and Kentucky is holding opponents to a mere 29.6% from long distance on the season. Wildcats simply should have no problem winning by double-digits at home. Take Kentucky!
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Red Dog Sports
Jan 11 '20, 12:00 PM in 1h
Soccer | Napoli vs Lazio
Play on: Lazio +112 at 5dimes
Lazio +112
The free soccer play takes place in Italy Series A on Saturday. Lazio is 12-2-3 (+23 goals) while Napoli is 6-6-6 (+3 goals). Napoli is 1-3-1 in its last 5 matches.
Napoli 1
Lazio 2
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Brandon Lee
Jan 11 '20, 2:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | George Mason vs La Salle
Play on: La Salle -3 -107 at Pinnacle
10* FREE NCAAB PICK (La Salle -3)
I'll take my chances here with La Salle as a slim 3-point home favorite against George Mason. The Patriots started out the season 11-1, which looks great on paper, but their only win against a team ranked in the Top 135 was a mere 4-point victory against New Mexico State. Out of 353 teams, the Patriots have played the 327th toughest schedule to this point.
It's been all downhill for George Mason since. They closed out non-conference play with a 87-53 loss at TCU and have since opened up A-10 play with home losses to VCU (72-59) and St. Bonaventure (61-49).
I just don't see it getting any better in what will be just their third true road game of the season. Not only did they lose by 34 at TCU, they also lost by 23 at Maryland. I get La Salle isn't on the same level as those two, but the Explorers only two home losses this season have come against Temple and Dayton and the loss to the Owls was by just 5-points.
The Explorers are also a strong 11-4 ATS on the season, as the books just keep undervaluing this squad. Give me La Salle -3!
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Brad Diamond
Jan 11 '20, 2:00 PM in 3h
Soccer | Strasbourg vs Metz
Play on: Metz +204 at Pinnacle
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Jack Jones
Jan 11 '20, 5:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Wolves vs Rockets
Play on: Wolves +11 -105 at Pinnacle
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Minnesota Timberwolves +11
The Minnesota Timberwolves are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have gone 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. All three losses have come by 7 points or less, including a 2-point loss at Milwaukee as 18-point dogs.
The Houston Rockets will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days here. I don’t think they warrant being double-digit favorites in this game. They only won by 7 at Atlanta on Wednesday and lost by 21 at Oklahoma City on Thursday. And now the Rockets could be without Clint Capela, who is nursing a heel injury.
The Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last five games as an underdog. Houston is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Timberwolves Saturday.
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Rob Vinciletti
Jan 11 '20, 6:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-B | Texas Tech vs West Virginia
Play on: Texas Tech +4½ -110 at BetOnline
** Featured Free Play for Saturday **
The NCAAB Comp Play is on Texas Tech plus the points at 6:00 eastern. The Red Raiders have conference tournament revenge here on West Virginia and they fit a powerful system that is hitting over 85% long term for teams that won 25 or more last year and the opponent has a win percentage of .845 or higher. Tech has won 10 of 14 this year despite returning just one tarter from last years magical team. Big red has covered 9 of 10 off 3+ home games an 9 of 10 on Saturdays. West Virginia has failed to cover 4 of 5 after allowing 50 or less and 20 of 29 at home vs a team under .500 on the road. The Mountaineers are off a big revenge win over Ok. St. Take the points with Texas Tech. For the NCAAB Free play. Take the 4-5 point with Texas Tech. Rob V- GC Sports
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Hunter Price
Jan 11 '20, 7:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Bulls vs Pistons
Play on: Pistons -3½ -109 at GTBets
1* Free Pick on Pistons -3½ -109
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Bobby Conn
Jan 11 '20, 7:08 PM in 8h
NHL | Lightning vs Flyers
Play on: Lightning -150 at YouWager
1* Free Play on Lightning -150
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Jesse Schule
Jan 11 '20, 7:08 PM in 8h
NHL | Devils vs Capitals
Play on: Capitals -1½ +102 at Pinnacle
This is a Free play on Washington -1.5.
The Capitals will be a huge favorite at home against New Jersey Saturday night, and perhaps the win here is a foregone conclusion. This game should be a mismatch, especially when you look at how both teams perform on special teams. The Devils rank dead last in both power play percentage and penalty kill rate. The Capitals have won four straight head to head meetings, and all four of those wins came by a three goal margin. The Devils are 20-46 in their last 66 road games, and they have lost five straight at Washington. Dating back even further, New Jersey is 7-20 in the last 27 meetings.
Take WAS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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Ray Monohan
Jan 11 '20, 8:15 PM in 9h
NFL | Titans vs Ravens
Play on: UNDER 47 -109
UNDER 47
The 10-7 (10-7 ATS) Tennessee Titans fly up to Baltimore on Saturday evening to take on the AFC North champion Baltimore Ravens 14-2 (10-5-1 ATS) in the second divisional playoff game of the day. The Over/Under for this game is set at 47, the Ravens are favored by -9.5.
We get a rested Ravens defense who have had a solid week to game plan Derrick Henry who has carried the ball 66x the last 2 weeks. They know what Ryan Tannehill the above average game manager can do, but does he have any other weapons on the outside or at TE who will give Marlon Humphrey, Earl Thomas, and Marcus Peters (all pro bowlers) any problems? I'm not seeing it.
The only way I see this score going over is if Tannehill throws a few INT's and the Ravens D gets some quick defensive scores, never something you can rely on when NFL gambling.
RUN THE BALL. Both these teams are going to chew up clock trying to move the ball on the ground. Henry for Tennessee, and Ingram (who should be back), Edwards, and Jackson for Baltimore. That equals a fast game. And we'll cash the UNDER because of it.
Betting Trends to consider. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Baltimore's last 12 games against Tennessee, in 6 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing at home against Tennessee, and UNDER in 15 of Baltimore's last 19 games against an opponent in the AFC South division. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.
Play the UNDER 47.
Good Luck, Razor Ray
Saturday 5* FREE NFL O/U Pick
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Sean Murphy
Jan 11 '20, 8:15 PM in 9h
NFL | Titans vs Ravens
Play on: OVER 46½ -109
Saturday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Tennessee and Baltimore at 8:15 pm et on Saturday.
This one sets up nicely as an 'over' play after all four games last week stayed 'under' the total. The Titans were involved in a particularly low-scoring affair against the Patriots - a game that was widely pegged as a potential ugly affair well before it kicked off. I expect a different story to unfold here. I'm confident we'll see the Ravens run wild on this Titans defense. Even if they do build a sizable lead early, I don't think we'll see them let their foot off the gas as they look to keep building on what they hope will be a run to the Super Bowl. The Titans offense is by no means a juggernaut but they should be able to find continued success running the football with RB Derrick Henry. Meanwhile, QB Ryan Tannehill faces an uphill battle against the Ravens defense but should still be able to put some points on the board in what will likely be comeback mode on Saturday night. This is a reasonably priced total by today's NFL standards. Expect this one to find its way into the 50s. Take the over (8*).
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Kenny Walker
Jan 11 '20, 8:35 PM in 10h
NBA | 76ers vs Mavs
Play on: Mavs -1 -110 at BetOnline
Free Pick on Mavs
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Totals Guru
Jan 11 '20, 10:05 PM in 11h
NBA | Bucks vs Blazers
Play on: OVER 227½ -109
Free Total Annihilator On Bucks vs Blazers over 227½ -109
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Steve Janus
Jan 11 '20, 10:08 PM in 11h
NHL | Oilers vs Flames
Play on: Oilers +130 at YouWager
1* Free Sharp Play on Oilers +130
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Mike Williams
Jan 11 '20, 10:08 PM in 11h
NHL | Blue Jackets vs Golden Knights
Play on: Blue Jackets +210 at Mirage
1* on Blue Jackets +210
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Mike Wynn
Free Pick: Drake +1½ Over Valparaiso
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Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, January 11, 2020
1/11 11:00 AM PT / 2:00 PM ET
CB (627) OKLAHOMA STATE VS (628) TCU
Take: (628) TCU
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Earl's Platinum Plays (Spooky Express) - NBA Comp Play - Minnesota Timberwolves +11
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY: FLORIDA (CBB) -1 over Missouri
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Totals4U
Saturday's Free Selection: Houston/Tulsa over 137
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Roz Wins
Roz's SATURDAY, JANUARY 11, 2020 Free Pick
CBK
1/11 03:00 PM Take : (737) ARKANSAS
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Atlantic Sports
Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Tulsa + 5 1/2
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#1 Sports
Saturday's Free Selection: Marquette Golden Eagles + 6
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Platinum Plays
Your Free Pick: the Northern Iowa Panthers -1½ over Missouri St
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play Saturday, January 11, 2020
CBK
1/11 02:00 PM CB (721) COLORADO STATE VS (722) SAN JOSE STATE
Take : Colorado State
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Early Saturday Selection Is
OHIO STATE -2
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday : TEXAS (CBB) -6 over Kansas St
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Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Saturday
Vanderbilt -5 College BB
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Hawkeye Sports
Saturday's Free Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks - 3
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Syracuse +8 College BB
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Arthur Ralph
Free Play SAT: La TECH -1 1/2
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The Last Call
Early Saturday's Free Play: SMU Mustangs - 8
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Teyas Sports
FREE PICK 1/11 NBA MILWAUKEE -5
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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Saturday: LSU (CBB) -7½ over Mississippi St
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Early Saturday: Central Florida Golden Knights + 2 1/2
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Kenny Towers
Your Free Pick for Saturday: Phil/Dall OVER 223
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John Anthony Sports
SATURDAY Free Selection:
NO PELICANS
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