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Free NFL, NCAAF & NBA Service Plays For Saturday 1/4/20

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(@shazman)
Posts: 60780
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Saturday 1/4/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & NBA games.

 
Posted : January 4, 2020 9:07 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60780
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Big Ray Sports (Spooky Express) - CFB Comp Play - Southern Mississippi/Tulane Over 56
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Earl's Platinum Plays (Spooky Express) - NBA Comp Play - Oklahoma City Thunder -6
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Posted : January 4, 2020 10:20 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60780
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Brandon Lee
Jan 04 '20, 2:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Villanova vs Marquette
Play on: Marquette -1 -108 at Pinnacle

10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Marquette -1)

I'll take my chances here with Marquette at home against No. 10 Villanova. The fact that the Golden Eagles are favored in this game really says it all. Not only are the Wildcats a Top 10 team, but Marquette just got annihilated at Creighton 92-75 in their last game. The betting public won't be able to resist themselves when it comes to backing Villanova as a dog.

Thing is, the Wildcats have not looked good in their two true road games this season. They got absolutely destroyed in an early game at Ohio State by a score of 76-51. They then had to hold on for a 78-66 win at St. Joseph's who is currently 3-10 on the season.

Marquette is going to lay some eggs on the road and they have a history under Wojciechowski of losing bad when they do lose. I expect a different looking team here at home, where the Golden Eagles are 7-0 this season. Marquette runs a ton of pick and roll offense with stark Markus Howard and Villanova is a mere 339th in pick and roll defense.

Wildcats are 1-7-1 ATS last 9 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Golden Eagles -1!
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Kenny Walker
Jan 04 '20, 4:08 PM in 5h
NHL | Blues vs Golden Knights
Play on: Golden Knights -135 at Bovada

Free Pick on Golden Knights
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John Ryan
Jan 04 '20, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | UCLA vs Washington State
Play on: UCLA PK -109 at GTBets

UCLA vs Washington State
7:00 PM EST, January 4, 2020
5-Star Best Bet on the UCLA Bruins

After losing three consecutive games the Bruins bounced back with a huge 66-64 road win at the Washington Huskies and covered the spread as 8.5-point underdogs. They will be carrying that positive momentum into this game against the WSU Cougars, who are coming off a disappointing 65-56 home defeat at the hands of the USC Trojans and failed to cover the spread by as 3.5-point underdogs.

WSU shot just 28% form the field in their loss to USC and will not fid the scoring any easier against UCLA.
A Few Slam Dunks

· The Cougars are just 2-13 ATS in games played in January over the last two seasons.

· The Cougars are just 5-14 ATS when facing a conference opponent in games played over the last two seasons.

· The Cougars are 1-8 ATS after a game committing eight or less turnovers in games played over the last two seasons.
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Steve Janus
Jan 04 '20, 7:08 PM in 8h
NHL | Lightning vs Senators
Play on: Senators +195 at Pinnacle

1* Free Sharp Play on Senators +195
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Pro Computer Gambler
Jan 04 '20, 8:15 PM in 9h
NFL | Titans vs Patriots
Play on: Titans +5½ -110 at Mirage

NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20200104, 'Texans'), (20200104, 'Titans')
BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. -- Active on the Saints this week
The Titans are 0-21 ATS (-11.17 ppg) when they are off a win and they are facing a team allowed more than 370 total yards in their last game.The Vikings are 13-0 ATS (+11.27 ppg) as a dog when their opponent is off two double-digit wins and they are not off a double-digit win.The Bills are 11-30 OU (-4.74 ppg) since Nov 10, 2013 as a road dog.The Titans are 9-1 OU (8.55 ppg) since Oct 20, 2019.
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Jimmy Boyd
Jan 04 '20, 8:35 PM in 10h
NBA | Pistons vs Warriors
Play on: Warriors +3½ -110 at YouWager

1* NBA Free Pick on Golden State Warriors +3½

I really like the spot and the value with Golden State as a small home dog against the Pistons. While the Warriors have lost 3 straight after rolling together a 4-game winning streak, the last two came on the road.

Warriors are 4-1 in their last 5 at home with the only loss coming to a really good Mavs team. Detroit should not be favored here. Pistons are down Reggie Jackson, Luke Kennard, Blake Griffin and Markieff Morris.

They are also playing their 4th straight game on the road and have lost each of first 3 on their 6-game trip by 14 or more. Not to mention this is the first game of a back-to-back set with a much bigger game on deck Sunday against the Lakers.

Detroit is 5-16-1 ATS last 22 road games, 1-8 ATS last 9 games overall and 0-6 ATS last 6 when playing on just 1 day of rest. Warriors are 4-1 ATS last 5 games vs a team with a losing record and 6-2 ATS last 8 as a home dog. Take Golden State!
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Jack Jones
Jan 04 '20, 8:35 PM in 10h
NBA | Spurs vs Bucks
Play on: Spurs +12 -104 at Pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: San Antonio Spurs +12

The San Antonio Spurs have been awesome following a loss here of late. They have gone 6-0 SU & 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games off a loss. I think there’s great value with the Spurs catching 12 points from the Milwaukee Bucks tonight.

The Bucks struggled to put away the Timberwolves in a fortunate 106-104 win as 18-point home favorites last time out. It’s a Bucks team that is now getting too much respect from oddsmakers after going 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Oddsmakers are forced to set their numbers higher than they should be knowing that the betting public is going to back them blindly.

Plays on underdogs of 10 or more points (San Antonio) - I in non-conference games, a well-rested team playing 6 or fewer games in 14 days are 55-24 (69.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Spurs Saturday.
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Rob Vinciletti
Jan 04 '20, 10:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-B | San Diego State vs Utah State
Play on: San Diego State +2½ -104 at Pinnacle

** Featured Free Play **

The NCAAB Comp play is on San Diego St +2 at 10:35 eastern. The Aztecs are undefeated this season have have tournament knockout revenge on a Utah St team they have beaten 11 of 13. The Aztecs are 12-1 after allowing 60 or less in 3 straight games and 6-0 vs winning teams, as well as having a top 10 defense. Utah St is 1-5 when the total is 130-140 and has failed to cover 5 of 6 if they won 3 of the last 4 as well as going 1-3 vs teams that allow less than 64 points per game. Take the points with SD.ST. RV- GC Sports
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Bobby Conn
Jan 04 '20, 10:08 PM in 11h
NHL | Rangers vs Canucks
Play on: Rangers +140 at sportsbook
1* Free Play on Rangers +140
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Posted : January 4, 2020 11:54 am
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