Free NFL, NCAAF & NBA Service Plays For Saturday 11/23/19

Stanford Steve' and 'The Bear': Week 13 college football picks, bets, nuggets

What's in store for this week in college football?
"Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica break down Week 13 of the season as only they can, offering their top bets, nuggets, games to stay away from and a special money-line underdog parlay to jump on.
With the season in full swing, the guys are ready to continue their prognostications. Here we go with Week 13 picks.
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The plays

Stanford Steve (4-2 last week, 33-27-2 overall)

The Bear (2-2 last week, 29-25-1 overall)

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Air Force Falcons (-22, 55.5) at New Mexico Lobos
Stanford Steve: The Lobos have been decimated by injuries this season. They most recently lost running backs Bryson Carroll and Ahmari Davis and are down to 57 scholarship players after enduring 14 season-ending injuries. They don't have enough scout-team running backs to help prep for the vaunted Air Force rush attack. New Mexico started the season 2-1 and has since lost seven in a row. It seems like the Lobos don't have enough to keep it close.
Pick: Air Force -22; Air Force 45, New Mexico 15

Nebraska Cornhuskers (-5, 62.5) at Maryland Terrapins
Stanford Steve: The Huskers come in losers of four in a row, but they have been competitive since they got quarterback Adrian Martinez back under center. Last week, Martinez and running back Dedrick Mills combined to rush for 277 yards against a very good Wisconsin defense. I also think it's important to point out that Nebraska still has a bowl berth to play for, as the Huskers sit at 4-6 with two games left. Maryland, on the other hand, has been eliminated from postseason play, and therefore, I think the Terps might not be putting their best effort forward. I'll take the road team on the money line and not have to give any points.
Pick: Nebraska ML -180; Nebraska 38, Maryland 34

California Golden Bears at Stanford Cardinal (-4, 41.5)
Stanford Steve: This game basically depends on who has the better backups because both teams have suffered many, many injuries. The Bears come in losers of five of their past six after a 4-0 start, and Stanford comes in needing wins against Cal and against Notre Dame next week to qualify for a bowl game. Both teams will be starting backup quarterbacks, and the defenses should dominate the game, as the offenses also lack skill talent on both sidelines. Many will say the under is the play in the game, and it's hard to argue with that. But I will say the underdog keeps it close enough, due to motivation to avoid losing 10 in a row in the Big Game. I'll take the points.
Pick: Cal +4; Stanford 21, Cal 20

Colorado State Rams at Wyoming Cowboys (-6.5, 50.5)
The Bear: CSU has played pretty well the second half of the season and certainly deserved a better fate last week vs. Air Force. Wyoming's defense -- especially at home -- will probably give the Rams' offense some problems, but the Cowboys' lack of a passing game should allow CSU to hang around. Six of Wyoming's 10 games this season have been one-possession games, and that's all we're looking for here.
Pick: Colorado State +6.5

Michigan Wolverines (-9.5, 52.5) at Indiana Hoosiers
The Bear: The Hoosiers play hard, and one of these days, it's going to result in an upset win over a ranked opponent. I wish I had more info on the status of Whop Philyor, as his absence would hurt the Indiana offense, but getting close to double digits here is enough for me, as Michigan has had a run under Jim Harbaugh of not covering the week before playing Ohio State. I expect the Hoosiers to make things much tougher on the Wolverines than Michigan State did in the second half.
Pick: Indiana +9.5

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (-4, 51.5)
The Bear: USM has been blowing people out in Hattiesburg this season and, thanks to suspensions at Louisiana Tech, has a shot to play for the conference title. The Hilltoppers have been a pleasant surprise this season and probably played their best game of the season last week in the win at Arkansas. But in their final home game, with a healthy backfield and playing their best ball of the season, I'll go with USM.
Pick: Southern Miss -4

UCF Knights (-6, 70) at Tulane Green Wave
The Bear: Tulane was sloppy last week in a loss at Temple, but this offense could give the UCF defense fits. The Knights have been burning money at the windows most of the season, and I expect that run to continue here against a team hungry to make amends for a poor effort last week.
Pick: Tulane +6

Ball State Cardinals (-3.5, 67.5) at Kent State Golden Flashes
The Bear: We saw Buffalo bounce back Wednesday after giving the game away to Kent State. How will the Golden Flashes handle getting a win they probably shouldn't have had? On the other side, Ball State blew a huge lead to Central Michigan, so I would expect the Cardinals to come out with a strong effort.
Pick: Ball State -3.5
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Stanford Steve's worst Thursday game of the year, and you want to bet it because you know you'll be watching

NC State Wolfpack at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-2, 49)
Take the home team on the money line. NC State has been decimated by injuries, and the Wramblin' Wreck still has a chance to make its season with a win here and an opportunity to ruin No. 4 Georgia's season next week.
Pick: Georgia Tech ML -140; Georgia Tech 17, NC State 16
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The Bear's money-line parlay of the week

Six-team favorite ML parlay. Based on current Caesars odds, $100 returns $41.
Virginia -900
Wisconsin -4000
Utah -2500
Notre Dame -1600
Ohio State -1200
Air Force -2500
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The Bear's underdogs to play in parlays, round robins and/or on ML

Colorado State +210
Texas A&M +420
West Virginia +200
Oregon State +310
Tulane +190
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Stay-away games

Stanford Steve

Georgia Southern Eagles (-1, 55) at Arkansas State Red Wolves
Both these teams have plenty to play for, and both have been playing well lately. Therefore, I will sit back and watch and enjoy this one.
The Bear

Syracuse Orange at Louisville Cardinals (-9, 62)
Where did that come from last week, Syracuse? It probably can't be replicated this week against Louisville. But now that UL is bowl-eligible and has Kentucky next week, is this a flat spot?

Tennessee Volunteers at Missouri Tigers (-4, 45.5)
Missouri's defense played well enough for the Tigers to win last week, but the offense again struggled. Now the Tigers get surging Tennessee and are 4-point favorites. It sure looks like the Vols might have square 'dog written all over them.
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Bear Bytes

Zoned out
Each of Oregon's past four trips to the state of Arizona to take on the Sun Devils and Wildcats have been eventful. The Ducks have lost three of the four games, including all three in which they were favored. Oregon's lone win in the stretch was a controversial 61-55 OT win at ASU in 2015 that they needed to rally from a double-digit second-half deficit.
Oregon's past four Pac-12 games in Arizona:
2018: Arizona -8, lost by 29
2017: Arizona State -15, lost by 2
2015: Arizona State +2, won by 6 (OT)
2013: Arizona -20, lost by 26
Sun Devils a live 'dog?
As an underdog under Herm Edwards, Arizona State is 8-5 ATS, with six outright wins. In three games as a double-digit 'dog, ASU is 2-1 ATS, with one outright win. In those three games, ASU allowed a total of 55 points.
Dating to 2014, Arizona State has been a double-digit underdog 11 times. The Sun Devils have won six of those games outright and are 9-2 ATS.
Huge spread in top-10 matchup
Penn State is currently an 18-point underdog to Ohio State. In the past 40 years, only seven top-10 matchups have seen a point spread this big. All seven favorites won, and they went 5-2 ATS.
Largest point spreads in top-10 matchups (past 40 years):
2016: Alabama (-18) vs. Texas A&M, won by 19
2013: Florida State (-21.5) vs. Miami, won by 27
2000: Florida State (-19.5) vs. Clemson, won by 47
1999: Florida State (-18) vs. Georgia Tech, won by 6
1996: Nebraska (-18) vs. Colorado, won by 5
1995: Nebraska (-25) vs. Kansas, won by 38
1995: Nebraska (-23.5) vs. Kansas State, won by 24
Buckeyes, Wolverines caught looking ahead?
Michigan and Ohio State have not fared well ATS the week prior to playing each other. Michigan hasn't covered any of the past three years, including two non-covers as a favorite vs. Indiana. The Buckeyes haven't covered any of the past six, despite being two-TD favorites in all six.
Michigan the week prior to Ohio State (past three years):
2018: vs. Indiana +28, won by 11
2017: at Wisconsin -7, lost by 14
2016: vs. Indiana +25, won by 10
Ohio State the week prior to Michigan (past six years):
2018: at Maryland +14, won by 1
2017: vs. Illinois +41.5, won by 38
2016: at Michigan State +21, won by 1
2015: vs. Michigan State +14, lost by 3
2014: vs. Indiana +35.5, won by 15
2013: vs. Indiana +34.5, won by 28
Who wants to lay 40-plus on the road with BYU?
BYU is currently a 41-point favorite at UMass. It's the second straight week in which a road team is a 40-point favorite; Ohio State was -52 at Rutgers. Prior to that, one has to go back to 2015 to find the most recent 40-point road favorite: Baylor -45 at Kansas.
Irish far from a cinch vs. BC?
This marks the fifth straight meeting in which Notre Dame is at least a 14-point favorite over Boston College. The Irish have covered only one of the four; they won two of the games by two and three points.
Struggling Spartans
Since the start of last season, Michigan State has been a favorite of at least 14 points eight times. MSU is 1-7 ATS in those eight games, including outright losses to Arizona State and Illinois this year as 15.5-point favorites.
Indiana, we're all for you ...
In its past six games vs. ranked opponents, Indiana is 5-1 ATS. Indiana was 2-7-1 ATS in its previous 10 games vs. ranked teams. The Hoosiers have dropped 17 straight straight-up vs. ranked opponents and are 2-41 in their past 43 games vs. ranked opponents.
Big game, small number
In the past 40 years, there have been 10 meetings between Cal and Stanford in which the line was three points or fewer. The Cardinal are 8-2 ATS in those eight games and won seven of the 10 outright (7-2-1). Both times under David Shaw that the Cardinal were favored by a field goal or less over Cal, the Cardinal won by double digits.
UCF burning money at the windows
UCF has dropped six of seven ATS, with three of those losses coming outright as a favorite.
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Best bets for Week 13 college football games

Every Thursday during the season, Bill Connelly, Doug Kezirian, Preston Johnson and Phil Steele will provide their top plays across the college football landscape.
Here are their best bets for the 13th full week of the college football season:
Season ATS records:
Connelly record: 25-12-2 (3-1 last week)
Steele record: 29-34 (5-0 last week)
Johnson record: 33-23-1 (2-0 last week)
Kezirian record: 41-32-1 (4-3 last week)
Note: Lines displayed are Caesars Sportsbook lines as of Wednesday night.

Saturday's games

No. 8 Penn State Nittany Lions at No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (-18)

Kezirian: I'm not concerned about laying this kind of lumber against a top-10 team (not a big rankings guy). This is about Ohio State being historically dominant and Penn State being a bit of a mirage. I'm surprised the Nittany Lions rank in the top 20 in both offensive and defensive efficiency, but this is a straight play from the eye test. I think the Buckeyes will successfully throw deep, just as we saw Minnesota do against Penn State. With the return of Chase Young, I trust the defense can keep the Nittany Lions in check here. I expect a rout.
Pick: Ohio State -18

No. 7 Utah Utes (-23) at Arizona Wildcats

Kezirian: Oregon is getting all the hype as a potential CFP participant, but Utah is also in the mix -- and I think the Utes are better. They have a smothering defense, and the offense is better than people realize. QB Tyler Huntley has battled some injuries, but he is reliable and has thrown only one interception all season. The Utes just dominated UCLA 49-3, and I think we are in store for a similar outcome Saturday. Arizona is lifeless right now and likely playing for only next week's rivalry game against Arizona State. The Wildcats mustered just two field goals last week in a blowout loss at Oregon, and I expect similar ineptitude against Utah. The Utes have covered six straight games, including two with a 21-point spread. I trust them to handle their business against such a finesse team as Zona.
Pick: Utah -22.5

No. 10 Minnesota Golden Gophers (-13.5) at Northwestern Wildcats

Connelly: Let's lean on SP+ for some quick math. Since conference play began for the Gophers -- we're ignoring their early nonconference performances because they are clearly a different team now -- they have played the teams ranked 51st (Illinois), 55th (Nebraska), 61st (Purdue) and 80th (Maryland) in SP+. They won those games by an average of 24.8 points.
Northwestern is 84th. The Wildcats averaged 6.3 yards per play against UMass last week, which sounds fine until you realize it was the second-lowest average UMass' wretched defense has allowed this season (ahead of only Akron). Northwestern needed a special-teams score to get to 45 points, the third-lowest total UMass has allowed. This is still a miserable offense, and Minnesota probably won't need to top 24 or 27 points to cover a two-score spread. Even counting the Gophers' sketchy early games, SP+ sees this as a three-touchdown Minnesota win.
Pick: Minnesota -13.5

No. 18 Memphis Tigers (-15) at South Florida Bulls

Connelly: SP+ has been in love with Memphis this season, picking the Tigers to cover in all but one game and going a solid 6-2-1 ATS in Memphis games overall. I've included them multiple times in this column, and I'm going to keep doing so here.
USF nearly upset Cincinnati last week -- should have, actually -- but my first inclination is to think that had more to do with the suddenly slumping Bearcats (who nearly lost to ECU in their previous game) than the Bulls. They've got a rock-solid defense, but only one team in the past nine games has held Memphis under 35 points. Meanwhile, the Bulls have averaged 9.6 points per game in five games against SP+ top-50 opponents. I smell blowout, and SP+ says Tigers by 22.9.
Pick: Memphis -14.5

No. 6 Oregon Ducks (-14.5) at Arizona State Sun Devils

Connelly: This a huge test for Oregon. The Ducks were, per SP+, lucky to beat both Washington and Washington State back in October and remain ranked in the teens, but they certainly seem to have picked up the pace of late. They outscored USC and Arizona by a combined 90-30. Meanwhile, ASU has lost four games in a row (including one to USC).
Why do I feel good about Arizona State in this one?
1. ASU QB Jayden Daniels has looked fantastic in three of his past four games. Utah destroyed him, as tends to happen, but against Wazzu, USC and Oregon State, he completed 69% of his passes with nine TDs and no INTs. The Sun Devils averaged 35 PPG in those three contests.
2. Oregon's defense has been trending downward. After peaking briefly at No. 1 in defensive SP+, the Ducks allowed 30 PPG to Washington, Wazzu and USC before rebounding last week against Arizona. ASU's defense has been trending downward, too, but if the Sun Devils can get to 28-31 points, covering +14.5 starts to look pretty good.
3. SP+ says Oregon by about 10. Granted, it's only .500 ATS on Oregon and ASU games, but I like that 4.5-point cushion.
Pick: ASU +14.5

UCLA Bruins at No. 23 USC Trojans (-14, 66)

Connelly: Once again, I'm listening to SP+ here. It's hard for me to trust the Trojans, if only because they're extremely young and occasionally flaky, but the metric loved USC's chances of whomping Cal last week, so I made it a best bet and won. It's telling me the line should be more like USC -17.5 here, so I'm listening to that as well. (Plus, only one of UCLA's losses to power conference teams this season has been even slightly close. The Bruins either win or get blown out.)
Pick: USC -13.5
Kezirian: I'm focusing on the total, and I don't expect many punts. UCLA's defense has posted decent numbers against shaky offenses but has been lit up by explosive offenses. Those all ranked among the top 25 in offensive efficiency, and so does USC's offense (18th). The Trojans should score at will, given their premier talent at wide receiver, but I don't like them necessarily to cover because I don't trust their defense, especially with some key injuries. UCLA will play hard, and Dorian Thompson-Robinson will make enough plays.
Pick: Over 65.5 and USC team total over 39.5 (FanDuel)

Texas Longhorns at No. 14 Baylor Bears (-5)

Steele: Texas lost at Iowa State last week 23-21 on a field goal on the final play of the game. The Longhorns' defense has been getting a little healthier and has held the previous three opponents to 36 yards per game below their season average. Baylor led Oklahoma 28-3 last week but let it slip away at the end in a tough, all-out effort that ended in a home loss. The past three times Baylor has been favored, it needed overtime to get past Texas Tech and TCU and beat West Virginia by only three. Tom Herman is an outstanding 16-3 ATS as an underdog during his head-coaching career, including 11 outright upsets.
ATS pick: Texas +5.5

Tennessee Volunteers at Missouri Tigers (-4)

Steele: Missouri had been two different teams this season, as the Tigers are 5-1 at home and 0-4 on the road. The past four weeks, Missouri is 0-4, losing by an average score of 25-7 with an offense that has produced just 259 yards per game. Tennessee has won three in a row and needs only one more win to wrap up a bowl bid. The Volunteers' defense has held its past four foes to 85 yards per game below their season average. My average game grades have Tennessee playing at a 99.6 level the past four weeks, with Missouri at an 85.4 grade in that span. Factor in the home field, and that would have Tennessee by 10.2, yet the Volunteers are catching four points.
ATS pick: Tennessee +4

Syracuse Orange at Louisville Cardinals (-9)

Steele: A few weeks ago, I picked Boston College (+3) over Syracuse, and BC destroyed the Orange 58-27, dropping Syracuse to 3-6. That ugly loss was the fifth straight loss against the spread for Syracuse, and it figured to get extra line value the rest of the season. But Dino Babers is a master motivator, upsetting Clemson in 2017 and nearly doing so again the following year. He had a bye to convince his team that it could win the last three games and get to a bowl. Last week showed that the team bought in, as the Orange beat Duke on the road 49-6. One of their top defensive players, defensive tackle McKinley Williams had been out all season but returned in that game and was disruptive.
Louisville was generally picked last in its division and last week was outgained by NC State 377-326 but took advantage of a Wolfpack team missing its top five defensive backs and won 34-20. That clinched a bowl bid for the Cardinals and sparked a celebration, and on deck, they have their in-state rival Kentucky. Three of the Cardinals' ACC wins have been by two, three and seven points, and they are laying nearly double digits here.
ATS pick: Syracuse +9.5

Boston College Eagles at No. 16 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-19)

Steele: Boston College is fresh off a bye, and Notre Dame is playing for a fifth straight week. The Irish are just 1-5 ATS their past six home finales. Boston College has an explosive offense with an underrated offensive line opening holes for 282 rush yards per game and allowing just five sacks all season. Teams load the box to stop the run, but the Eagles are passing for 202 yards per game. Notre Dame has faced seven Power 5 teams this season and is plus-15 yards per game in those. Steve Addazio is 13-3-1 ATS as an away underdog the past six season, and I will side with the Eagles as nearly three-touchdown underdogs.
ATS pick: Boston College +19

Houston Cougars at Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-3)

Steele: Houston has been giving reasonable effort versus some solid teams in recent weeks but appeared to run out of gas in the second quarter versus Memphis last week. The Cougars were outgained 531-256 to fall to 3-7. Houston has a banged-up offensive line and has numerous players redshirting for next season. Tulsa is also 3-7 but could have a much better record. In its most recent game, Tulsa upset a strong UCF team at home 34-31. The Hurricane defense is holding foes to 44 yards per game below their season average, and Tulsa is fresh off a bye.
ATS pick: Tulsa -3

UCF Knights (-6) at Tulane Green Wave

Kezirian: Professional bettor Paul Stone brought this game to my attention. The situation is ideal for Tulane, which has covered all five home games this season. It's also a fade on UCF, which is 1-6 ATS in its past seven games. The Knights are already bowl-eligible, and this game means nothing for them. I'll grab the points with the home 'dog.
Pick: Tulane +6

BYU Cougars (-40) at UMass Minutemen

Kezirian: The horrible, one-win season for UMass comes to a merciful end Saturday. It has been a pitiful season, which is understandably taking its toll on the players. At the end of last week's 39-point loss to Northwestern, the Minutemen had an opportunity to find the end zone for the first time all game. Coach Walt Bell neglected to call timeouts, the players didn't increase their tempo, and they walked off the field with possession inside the 10-yard line. The beatdowns seem to have broken their spirits, and next they face a BYU team full of grown men. It should get ugly at McGuirk Stadium in the regular-season finale.
Pick: BYU -40

SMU Mustangs at Navy Midshipmen (-3.5, 66)

Johnson: I remain astonished by the market love Navy -- a team whose best win is a three-point home victory over Tulane -- got last week against the Irish. A few sportsbooks reached +6.5 for a period of time on game day. I didn't get the Navy love, and we saw Notre Dame absolutely expose the pass defense to the tune of 13.9 yards per pass attempt and 52 points (the Irish went into prevent offense for the entirety of the fourth quarter, too). On the season, SMU ranks top 20 in passing efficiency behind Shane Buechele (which grades better than the Irish on the season). Navy will struggle on the defensive side of the ball again, and the Mustangs have had two weeks to prepare for the Midshipmen option attack.
If SMU is unable to slow Navy's run game, then the scoring will be back and forth, and that lends to a bet on the over (think SMU-Memphis or ECU-SMU in their past two contests). The Mustangs can still cover 3.5 points either way in this instance, and I project taking the points and betting the over will go 2-0 more often than 0-2. My projections for the game are Navy -1.2 with a total of 70.0, and I'll be betting both.
Pick: SMU +3.5 and over 66
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Red Dog Sports
Nov 23 '19, 10:00 AM in 9h
Soccer | Leicester vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Play on: Leicester +106 at Pinnacle

Leicester +106

The free soccer play takes place on Saturday morning.

Leicester 2

B&H 1
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Matt Josephs
Nov 23 '19, 12:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-F | BYU vs UMass
Play on: UNDER 69 -109

This is your hold your breath wager of the day as UMass is the worst team in the country probably. BYU has won four straight and has scored 28 or more in each of those wins. They got starting QB Zach Wilson back from injury, but how long he'll play in this one is a big question. With them playing at San Diego State next week, I can't imagine he'll go the whole contest. With that in play, the backup and third string QBs are both hurt so Joe Critchlow will get plenty of snaps which means I've got to think that there will be some conservative playcalling. BYU lost RB Sione Finau for the rest of the season with an ACL injury. Lopini Katoa is in the concussion protocol so his availability is in question too. Emmanuel Esukpa is not 100% with a foot injury so there's true freshman Jackson McCheseney who ran for 46 yards on 10 carries vs. Idaho State. All we're asking for UMass to do is to not give up 70 points essentially because we know they won't score much. This team has given up over 60 several times, but I just can't see it happening here. The final factor is that there could be a slow start with BYU coming east to a sleepy atmosphere. Give me the under here.
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Marc Lawrence
Nov 23 '19, 2:30 PM in 13h
NCAA-F | Boston College vs Notre Dame
Play on: Boston College +21 -105 at BMaker

Play - Boston College (Game 161).

Edges - Eagles: 14-3-1 ATS as road dogs … Fighting Irish: 3-11 ATS after facing Navy, and 3-6 ATS as home favorites of 13-plus points … With Notre Dame sporting the No. 129 ranked Red Zone Offense this season, and the Eagles looking to become bowl eligible, we recommend a 1* play on Boston College. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Brandon Lee
Nov 23 '19, 3:30 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Nebraska vs Maryland
Play on: Nebraska -6 -109 at GTBets

10* FREE NCAAF PICK (Nebraska -6)

I'll take my chances here with Nebraska winning by at least a touchdown on the road against the Terps. I can only imagine what this number would have been to start the season, as the Cornhuskers have come no where close to expectations. With that said, Nebraska is sitting there at 4-6 and has a shot to make a bowl if they can win this one and beat Iowa at home next week.

I know they have lost 4 straight, but two of those were by 7 or less and they were a lot more competitive than last week's final score of 37-21 against Wisconsin. Maryland is simply a dumpster fire right now. Some of it's a lack of talent, but they have also been decimated by injuries. They just can't score. They have had 6 games out of their 10 where they scored 17 or fewer. Their only two wins against Power 5 teams are against Syracuse and Rutgers. The other is a win over Howard.

No concerns for me with the Terps off a bye, as they are just 3-11 ATS last 14 times off a bye week. They are 5-12 ATS last 17 at home vs a team with a losing road record and Nebraska is 7-3-1 ATS last 11 on the road vs a team with a losing home record. Give me the Cornhuskers -6!
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John Martin
Nov 23 '19, 3:30 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Marshall vs Charlotte
Play on: Charlotte +7 -105 at BetOnline

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Charlotte +7

The Charlotte 49ers have won three in a row to get to 5-5 on the season and just one win away from bowl eligibility. They are coming off a bye week and it will be Senior Day for the 49ers. We’re going to get a Charlotte team putting their best foot forward this week. Marshall is fortunate to have won five straight coming in with some ugly wins over bad Old Dominion and Rice teams, narrow wins over FAU by 5 and WKU by 3, and a fortunate break when LA Tech had their star QB and WR suspended last week. I think Marshall is now getting too much respect after winning five in a row coming in. Charlotte boasts a balanced offense with 203 rushing yards per game and 222 passing yards per game that will give Marshall problems. Charlotte is 4-1 at home this season. The 49ers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. The Thundering Herd are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games off an ATS win. Charlotte is 8-1 ATS in its last nine home games off a conference game. Give me Charlotte.
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Rob Vinciletti
Nov 23 '19, 3:30 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Marshall vs Charlotte
Play on: Charlotte +7 -110 at BetOnline

The College football comp is on Charlotte plus the 7 points at 3:30 eastern. Charlotte is 4-1 at home averaging 40 point per game here. Today they fit a powerful system that plays on home dogs with rest and revenge off a win vs an opponent off a win of 7 or more.. They have covered 9 of 13 as a home dog and 4 of 5 with rest. Marshall has failed to cover 3 of 4 as a road favorite from -3 to -7 and has had trouble scoring on the road averaging 19 points. We will grab the point with a live dog today. For the free play. Go with Charlotte plus the 7 points. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.
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Jack Jones
Nov 23 '19, 3:30 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Texas vs Baylor
Play on: Texas +6 -110 at Pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Texas +6

The Baylor Bears were 9-0 and leading Oklahoma 28-3 last week. It looked like they were well on their way to 10-0 and possibly a trip to the four-team playoff if they were able to win out. Instead, it all fell apart. The Bears were outscored 24-0 in the second half and lost 31-34.

Now, I don’t see how Baylor gets back up off the mat after having its dreams crushed with that loss to Oklahoma. The Bears won’t be going to the four-team playoff now. And they will be going to the Big 12 title game for a rematch with Oklahoma regardless of what happens this week. That’s because they have a game on deck against conference bottom feeder Kansas that they can win and still get in the Big 12 title game even if they lose this game to Texas.

Yes, the Longhorns are coming off a tough loss of their own. They came back from a 7-20 deficit to take a 21-20 lead in the 4th quarter, only to lose in on a last-second field goal by Iowa State. But it’s much easier to come back from a loss where you had to come from behind than it is from a loss like Baylor where you controlled the game but just choked in the end. Texas will show up this week.

Tom Herman is 16-3 ATS as an underdog in all games as a head coach with 11 outright upsets. He is 26-4 ATS as an underdog dating back to his time as a coordinator with Ohio State and Iowa State. Herman is also 6-0 ATS in road games off a loss as the coach of Texas. He thrives in this underdog role and getting his teams to respond following a loss.

Texas has played the 7th-toughest schedule in the country according to Sagarin. Baylor has played the 41st-toughest schedule, which is 34 spots lower than Texas. A big knock on Baylor has been their weak schedule this season, and it’s warranted. Plus the fact that they were getting lucky in close games, only beating Rice by 8, Iowa State by 1, Texas Tech by 3, WVU by 3 and TCU by 6 in overtime. They finally lost a close game to Oklahoma, and now the air has been let out of the balloon this week. Bet Texas Saturday.
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Steve Janus
Nov 23 '19, 4:00 PM in 15h
NCAA-F | Syracuse vs Louisville
Play on: OVER 63½ -111

1* Free Sharp Play on Syracuse vs Louisville over 63½ -111
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Alex Smart
Nov 23 '19, 4:00 PM in 15h
NCAA-F | Syracuse vs Louisville
Play on: Louisville -9 -102 at Pinnacle

Syracuse after a lousy season upset Duke last week by a 46-9 count as big underdogs. However in the past this program has experienced consistent loses against the spread in their followup of a big dog win . SYRACUSE is 2-11 ATS off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog with the average ppg diff clicking in at -19.8 ppg. Look for the inconsistency of the Orange to be on full display here vs a up trending Cardinal side that is off a recent home victory vs a decent Virginia side that is superior to their upstate NY guests.

CFB team (LOUISVILLE) - off a road win against a conference rival against opponent off a double digit upset win as an underdog of 6 more are 28-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Louisville to cover
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ASA
Nov 23 '19, 7:00 PM in 18h
NCAA-F | Kansas State vs Texas Tech
Play on: Kansas State +2½ -105 at 5dimes

ASA FREE PICK #123 ASA PLAY ON Kansas State (+) over Texas Tech, Saturday at 7:00 PM ET - Our power ratings have KSU as a small favorite here so we feel the value is definitely on the Wildcats. Tech has been an underdog in every Big 12 home game this year and now they are laying points vs a 6-4 KSU team. Both teams are off misleading finals which has something to do with this number. The Wildcats lost at home vs West Virginia despite outgaining the Mountaineers 421-319. Texas Tech looks like they played well in their 33-31 home loss to TCU, however the Red Raiders were outgained 549 to 402. KSU was a 14-point favorite last week vs WVU and blew it with 24-20 loss despite dominating the stats as we mentioned. We expect them to play with some fire this week after that embarrassing loss. Tech, on the other hand, had to come from 21 points down at home vs TCU yet still lost expending serious physical and mental energy in the comeback. Falling short could have them flat this week. We have a huge edge defensively here with Kansas State allowing 116 fewer yards per game. Tech gives us a whopping 478 YPG (124th nationally) and 6.5 yards per play. They have allowed at least 30 points in 6 of their last 7 games. The Raiders have been outgained in every conference game but one this season. They should not be laying points in this game. Let’s remember that just a few weeks ago this KSU team beat Oklahoma followed that up with a blowout win over rival Kansas and then took Texas to the wire on the road in a 27-24 loss. Those 3 games led up to last week’s disappointing loss to WVU so it’s not as if this team was playing poorly. They are 4-2 ATS as a dog this year and have been a huge money maker in that role with a 44-22 ATS record dating back to 2009. They had a hiccup last week and they bounce back here with a road win.
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Dave Price
Nov 23 '19, 7:30 PM in 18h
NCAA-F | Duke vs Wake Forest
Play on: Duke +7 -117 at Pinnacle

Dave’s Saturday Free Play:

1* on Duke +7

The Key: The betting public wants nothing to do with this Duke team that has lost 4 straight games and 3 via blowout. But the Blue Devils still have a shot to make a bowl at 4-6 this season, and they will be giving it their all against their big rivals in Wake Forest this week. Wake Forest is coming off a 49-point loss to Clemson that followed a 19-point loss at Virginia Tech, so it’s not like they are playing well either. And what hurts Wake Forest is all their injuries at the skill positions, including to leading receiver Sage Surratt, who is one of the best receivers in the country with 66 receptions for 1,0001 yards and 11 TD this year. They could also be without Scotty Washington, who has 35 grabs for 607 yards and 7 scores. The road team owns this series. The road team is 8-2 SU in the last 10 meetings. The road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Duke is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 trips to Wake Forest. Take Duke.
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Joseph D'Amico
Nov 23 '19, 7:30 PM in 18h
NCAA-F | Tennessee vs Missouri
Play on: Tennessee +4 -116 at BetOnline

My college football releases are on a 16-2-1 run in the month of November. This Saturday, I continue to win as I have my coveted, NCAAF 56-19-1 TOUCHDOWN PLAY, CUSA WEST GAME OF THE MONTH, 94% ANGLE PLAY (L4 years), 27-8 'DOG OUTRIGHT WINNER, and my 15-1 SKY'S THE LIMIT PLAY. Get them all, get on my HOT STREAK, and get paid.

Saturday's FREE WINNER: Tennessee Volunteers.

Game 195.

4:30 pm pst

This contest puts together two SEC East teams heading in opposite directions. Missouri, which is riding four-game SU and five-game ATS slides host a Tennessee squad which has won four of the last five SU and all five ATS. The Tigers stagnant "O" (27 total points scored last four outings) are further distracted by a possible bowl ban while revenge motivates UT (lost last two meetings, 100-34). The Vols are 4-0 ATS the last four in the conference and 5-2 ATS the last seven on the road. Take Tennessee. Thank you.
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