Free Picks: Free Service Plays for Saturday, December 24th, 2016

Raphael Esparza

Middle Tenn. State / Hawaii Over 70

Throwing this out as a newsletter free play because as of Tuesday afternoon there is still no line posted. This total will probably be around the high 50s and low 60s and as long as this total is no higher then 65 I believe this game goes OVER. The Blue Raiders are coming off a big home win over FAU and the Raiders threw up 77 points and their offense has been clicking as of late. The Hawaii Warriors defense gives up points at will and on the island the Warriors 'D' has given up an average of 40 ppg in their last 4 games on the island. Hawaii is 5-0 O/U in their last 5 nonconference games and the Warriors are 13-4 O/U in their last 17 games. Middle Tennessee St is 6-1 O/U in their last 7 games, and the Raiders should have no problem scoring on the big island.

Alan Harris

Tampa Bay / New Orleans Under 53

Two teams that have been trending to the under will meet when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hit the road to take on the Saints at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans, LA, on Saturday afternoon. Tampa has posted a perfect 4-0-1 record to the under in their last five games following an ATS win, and they have gone an excellent 7-2-1 to the under in their last 10 games played in the month of December. They are also 9-4 to the under in their last 13 games where they faced a NFC South Division rival and they have stayed under the number in five of their last six road games where they faced a team with a losing record at home. The Saints have been an under team as well in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone a perfect 7-0 to the under in their last seven games versus a team with a winning record and they have gone under the total in six of their last eight games following a game where they scored 30 points or more. Throw in the fact that these two teams have gone a lights out 13-3 to the under in their last 16 head-to-head meetings and that's where we'll have our play as our numbers have both teams struggling a bit to move the ball in The Big Easy on Saturday afternoon.

Vernon Croy

Minnesota (+6.5) over Green Bay

This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems, and you can throw everything you saw from the Vikings last week out the window as they were not ready to play that game. The Vikings have the 4th best pass defense in the NFL, and they took last week off against the Colts so you can expect them to show up this week in Green Bay after that embarrassment. The Vikings are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games when playing a team with a winning record and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. The Vikings are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games played between these two teams. Play Minnesota ATS with confidence, and also on the moneyline as I have them winning outright.

Allen Eastman

San Diego (-6) over Cleveland

The Browns are on the verge of going 0-16! This team hasn't even been close to winning games. The last time they stayed within a touchdown of an opponent was back on Oct. 30. Cleveland is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games and 1-10 ATS in its last 11. The Chargers have lost three straight games. But they have been losing tight games against good teams. They almost knocked off Oakland last week and took a 'push' ATS. San Diego won at Oakland and at Houston this year, and this team doesn't want to be the team that loses to Cleveland for the first time this year. San Diego beat Cleveland 30-27 last year and they won their last three trips to Cleveland in 2004, 2006 and 2009. I think that this one will be another blowout and the Chargers will beat this number.

Bryan Leonard

Indianapolis at Oakland
Play: Oakland -3.5

The Colts have won four straight road games at Minnesota, NY Jets, Green Bay and Tennessee. The Vikings victory was dominant last week and now there has been a buy sign posted on the Colts. While we can't ignore that success we aren't buying into this Colts defense. Indy has also lost the turnover battle in 5 of 7 games as of late.

We've been critical of the Raiders a lot this season in our Free Pick videos at WagerTalk.com. Not that we didn't like the job Jack Del Rio and crew are doing, but that the numbers showed some regression was on the horizon. Well that regression has kicked in the past month and Oakland isn't that money making machine it was earlier in the season. With that said, we finally have a spot and a number in which the value is on the Raiders. Now back home for its only game at the O.CO Coliseum in a four week span, we look for Oakland to wear out this Indy defense. With what could be a meaningless trip to Denver before the playoffs, look for Oakland to fine tune the opposition on Saturday.

Buster Sports

Dolphins at Bills
Play: Over 41.5

The Miami Dolphins come to Orchard Park, New York with expectations of making the playoffs. Well they do have their destiny in their own hands and two wins will do it. Although as everyone knows it's no easy task to play in Buffalo in December. Well there is good news for the Dolphin fans as it will be a balmy 39 degrees at game time and no snow. Matter of fact it could rain, just what the fish needed. For us this means that these teams will score points, as this line has dropped from the opener of 43 1/2 to at the current line of 41 1/2. Last game these two teams played in Miami the Dolphins won 28-25 and we can expect to see a similar game today. The Bills lead the league in rushing offense and the Dolphins D are ranked 30th against the run. We will see LeSean McCoy have a big game on the ground for the Bills. Matt Moore has given the Dolphins confidence when the season looked almost OVER when starting QB Ryan Tannehill went out with an injury. Moore had a great game against a Jets defense that is fairly similar to the Bills defense he will face today. The Bills are 16th and the Jets 17th in total defense. We had this line at 44 and at 41 1/2 we feel that there is tons of value in this number at the time of this writing. Backing our selection is the fact that the OVER is 7-0 in Bills last 7 home games and the OVER is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 games following a straight up win.

Jesse Schule

Bucs at Saints
Pick: Under

The Bucs have won five of their last six overall after coming up short in a 26-20 defeat at Dallas on Sunday night. They turned the ball over four times in that loss, putting their defense in a tough spot. Heading into last Sunday's game the Bucs had won five straight, limiting opponents to an average of less than 13 points per game during that span. One of those wins came against New Orleans, and they picked off Drew Brees three times in a 16-11 home win. Brees is coming off a big game on the road at Arizona, but the Cardinals look like a team that has already thrown in the towel. The Bucs are still fighting for a playoff spot, and they should go all out here at the Super Dome. These two teams have gone under the total in 13 of the last 16 meetings, and the Saints have failed to reach the total in seven straight versus teams with a winning record. The Bucs have gone under in five of their last six road games.

Scott Spreitzer

Vikings vs. Packers
Play: Vikings +6½

We backed the Packers two weeks ago when they whipped Seattle and we released Chicago plus the points, covering against Green Bay last Sunday. After a 5-0 SU/ATS start to the season, the Vikings collapsed and have won just two of their last nine games, including bottoming-out last week in a 34-6 home loss to the Colts. They're on the brink of postseason elimination, while Green Bay can win the division if they win their final two games. But I expect a close contest in this one. HC Mike Zimmer stated it's time to find out who is going to fight. Despite last week's results, the Viking defense is still 3rd best in the league in both passing yards allowed and total yards allowed per game. They've held their opponents to 21 or fewer points in 11 of 14 games (regulation) this season. Minnesota has been an underdog of six or more on just six occasions since October 19, 2014. They covered all six games, including a 22-10 outright win as a six point dog at Carolina earlier this season. I expect Minnesota to keep this close and I'm taking the points with the Vikings.

Stallone Sports

Texans Pk

This is a horrible spot for the Bengals, coming off a tough loss to the Steelers in a game in which they blew a big first half lead. Now they have to travel to Houston and face a suddenly rejuvenated Texans team. I don’t know how good Tom Savage is just yet, but what I do know is that he can and will throw the deep ball. This alone gives me reason to boost the Texans power ranking. They have not been able to utilize their outside weapons at all this season and now it appears that they can open things up. I think this QB change is an emotional boost for Houston. On the other side of the ball the defense has been playing very well all season long, especially against the pass. Houston is 6-1 at home tis season while Cincinnati is just 2-5 on the road. I think it would be foolish for the Bengals to play AJ Green this week, and even if he does play he won’t be at 100%. I had this number pegged at -3 (With Savage). This price is cheap, really cheap and its worthy of a 2 unit wager.

Colts +3.5

No doubt Oakland has been having a great season, but I think this is the perfect time to step in front of them. Oakland is coming off a tight divisional road win @ SD. On deck, they have another divisional road game @ Denver. This is a bad flat spot / sandwich game for the Raiders in my opinion. This week the Raiders had an NFL team high 7 players selected to the Pro Bowl. This is a very young team, hearing about how great they are, sneaking away with all of these tight wins…. and now hear comes the Colts. They crush the Vikings last weekend thanks to the play of the O-line. They committed to the run, took some pressure off Luck and played one of their best games of the season. They should have no problem doing that again here against Oakland and I think they win outright.

Randall the Handle

BEST BETS

Colts (7-7) at Raiders (11-3)

Indianapolis’ previous four road games produced wins at Tennessee, Green Bay, the Jets and Minnesota. As visitors, Indy were underdogs in each contest before pulling off the upset and, yes, they were a ’dog to the dreadful Jets. Now, the Colts might be catching the Raiders at just the right time. Oakland is giddy after officially qualifying for the playoffs last week when knocking off the Chargers. Raiders were fortunate to narrowly win that one against the banged-up Chargers and it followed a loss to the Chiefs. Both games saw previously hot QB Derek Carr with subpar games, likely the result of a damaged pinky on his throwing hand. Oakland returns home for this game sandwiched between three divisional rivals. QB Andrew Luck was able to mow down a solid Minnesota defence last week. The unit he’ll face on this day is weaker and the team as a whole may get caught taking a breather. TAKING: COLTS +3½

Dolphins (9-5) at Bills (7-7)

It’s more naughty than nice that the Dolphins are being treated this way. Miami has won eight of its previous nine games and are currently a playoff-bound team, yet they are being given in excess of a field goal against a .500 Bills squad that will be watching the post-season on television. Does Buffalo’s win last week over laughingstock Cleveland give them some sort of credibility? We hardly think so. The Bills have not established that they can defeat a winning team, losing each time with the exception of a victory over the Patriots when New England had to start injured third-string quarterback Jacoby Brissett. Remove that one and Buffalo’s other six wins have come against teams that are an astonishing 16-65-2 combined. While this will be Miami QB Matt Moore’s second start since replacing injured Ryan Tannehill, Moore loses nothing to Bills’ Tyrod Taylor. Taking these points should put a jingle in our pockets. TAKING: DOLPHINS +4

Falcons (9-5) at Panthers (6-8 )

It might be unjust to condemn a team for its schedule, but picking winners is not about political correctness. Therefore, we will use Atlanta’s recent good fortune against them here and not feel the least bit guilty when doing so. The Falcons were a modest 7-5 before facing a pair teams that are hardly NFL calibre, walloping the Rams and 49ers by a combined 83-27. Atlanta’s fast-paced offence laid 40+ on both doormat teams while barely breaking a sweat. Before that though, these birds had dropped two of three, including a loss at physical Philadelphia. In the ‘what have you done for me lately’ league, the public will think the Falcs can do no wrong. We think differently. Carolina will host its final game of the year and the Panthers have won four of previous five here. They showed their chops last week in Washington. This will be the first time this year they’ll be taking home points and to a division rival to boot. Expect an appropriate response. TAKING: PANTHERS +2½

THE REST

Redskins (7-6-1) at Bears (3-11)

Prefer the do-or-die Redskins here despite laying an egg at home this past Monday to the Panthers. The Bears deserve praise for their recent efforts, but they still don’t know how to win games with their only victory in previous six games coming against lowly 49ers in a blizzard. The Redskins barely have a playoff pulse, but they’ll keep playing hard until they flat line. They’ve been solid on the road with eight covers in past 10 away games. Washington’s offence had a power outage last week, but QB Kirk Cousins, second in the NFL with 4,360 passing yards and 23 touchdowns to 10 interceptions, should bounce back. Note, weather should not be a factor here as mild temperatures are expected. TAKING: REDSKINS –3

Buccaneers (8-6) at Saints (6-8 )

The Saints broke out of their scoring doldrums last week when laying 48 on the Cardinals. But we saw these same Bucs hold New Orleans to just 11 points just two weeks ago. Maybe Drew Brees and supporting cast will tally more than 11 this time around, but Tampa’s defence has molded into a solid unit after some underachieving with former coaching staffs. The Buccaneers had relinquished less than 13 points per game in previous five before surrendering 26 to Dallas last week. Such efforts should allow for the offence to take care of their side of the ball because the Saints can’t stop anyone, ranking near the bottom in several defensive categories. New Orleans’ only covers as chalk this year were against Niners and Rams. TAKING: BUCCANEERS +3

Vikings (7-7) at Packers (8-6)

The Vikings will need more than a broken-down Adrian Peterson to ignite their struggling offence. Minnesota has averaged less than 15 points per game over the past month as opposing defences stick eight in the box while they take their chances with the Vikes’ lower-ranked passing game. Minnesota’s secondary took a hit when safety Harrison Smith went down recently. We saw Andrew Luck and the Colts take full advantage last week in a 34-6 thumping of its guests. Now Minnesota will have to deal with another potent quarterback as Aaron Rodgers has a healthy roster around him again, which has coincided with Green Bay’s four-game win streak. Packers enjoy this time of year, covering 28-of-44 December home games since 2000. TAKING: PACKERS –7

Jets (4-10) at Patriots (12-2)

Many will advise you never to spot double-digits in this league. Ignore those people. This is simply a gigantic mismatch. Perhaps the Patriots aren’t scoring as much as we’re accustomed to, but it won’t take that many for a cover here. While there are teams with less talent that these Jets, this visitor has clearly packed it in. This New York team is sure to be blown up as soon as the season ends as it lacks cornerstone players at nearly every position and a redo is in order. While the Jets-Patriots rivalry makes for a convenient storyline, it is not applicable here. Meanwhile, New England has quietly become the stingiest team in the league, surrendering just 16.6 points per game. Jets unlikely to get that many. TAKING: PATRIOTS –16½

Titans (8-6) at Jaguars (2-12)

Might prefer going under the number in this one as Titans are winning, but not scoring, while the Jaguars aren’t winning either, but their defence is deviously competent. Under the same pretense, we’ll lean to the unpopular underdog here as spotting road points, particularly against a revenge-minded divisional opponent, is something Tennessee is not accustomed to. We’ll give the Titans their due after defeating both Denver and Kansas City the past two weeks, but this situation does not flatter them. Jags should be loose with new interim coach and they have done well against this foe with a 4-0-1 ATS mark in past five held here. Titans lack impact receivers, which also won’t help them against Jacksonville’s third-ranked pass defenders. TAKING: JAGUARS +5

Chargers (5-9) at Browns (0-14)

Oh, the Browns, they are so frightful, but to bettors they’re so delightful. And since they’re stuck on zero, make us dough, make us dough, make us dough! We made the mistake of endorsing Cleveland last week when taking double-digits to Buffalo. We’re not going to let that happen again. The Browns simply can’t compete. Still winless, they haven’t covered a spread since mid-October, only the second time they covered all year. The return of QB Robert Griffin III hasn’t helped much either as Cleveland has scored just 10 and 13 points, respectively, since coming back. The Brownies are averaging 10 points per game over past six while giving up second most in NFL at 29.1 per contest. TAKING: CHARGERS –6

49ers (1-13) at Rams (4-10)

The 49ers defeated the Rams 28-0 to open the season. They haven’t won since and that’s because the Niners are ho-ho-horrible. Los Angeles isn’t much better, but that doesn’t mean that an opportunity is not presented. If Jared Goff is to be L.A.’s quarterback of the future, he’ll have occasion to strut his stuff here with little risk. San Francisco’s stop unit is as poor a group as you’ll ever see at this level. The Niners are dead last in yards allowed, points allowed and rushing yards allowed. You have to be extremely awful to be an underdog to a Rams team that is dead last in scoring at 14.1 points per game. Fading the Niners is preferred. TAKING: RAMS –3½

Cardinals (5-8-1) at Seahawks (9-4-1)

The Cardinals are a frustrating group as their metrics are amazingly good, but they haven’t found a way to turn those numbers into wins this season. The mental makeup of this team might be fragile, but that’s not going to prevent us from endorsing them here. While San Francisco and Los Angeles don’t have the personnel to compete with the Seahawks, this divisional rival does. Arizona ranks higher than the Seahawks in almost every offensive category. This underdog also ranks higher defensively in yards allowed and passing yards allowed. The two teams played to an unusual 6-6 tie earlier this season. Stopping Seattle’s pedestrian offence shouldn’t be an issue again and nor should scoring enough points to earn a cover. TAKING: CARDINALS +7½

Bengals (5-8-1) at Texans (8-6)

How did this one get flexed to the Christmas Eve timeslot? Controversy in Houston as expensive QB Brock Osweiler has been benched in favour of Tom Savage after the third-year backup came off the bench to lead the Texans to a comeback win over Jacksonville last week. However, that was Jacksonville, a team that leads the league in self-implosions. The Bengals have their own struggles in this lost season, but they bring enough to the table here to trump this AFC South opponent, including the return of star receiver A.J. Green. Houston’s offensive line has issues and the Bengals have upped their run defence. Savage might be an upgrade at his position, but let’s see how he does as a starter before endorsing at his short price. TAKING: BENGALS +1

Ravens (8-6) at Steelers (9-5)

The Steelers were an 11-point favourite in last year’s penultimate weekend at Baltimore. The Ravens won that game by a 20-17 count. Pittsburgh was also favoured in the initial meeting of these two just over a month ago before Baltimore won again. That makes four straight wins for John Harbaugh’s club. While Pittsburgh would like to avenge those losses, seeing will be believing. The Steelers are on a five-game winning streak but if you’ve watched them, they’ve been very fortunate to win a few of those. Close games has been the norm between these two combatants. Since Joe Flacco’s arrival, 15 of the 20 meetings vs. Steelers have been decided by a single score. Same should occur on this day. TAKING: RAVENS +5½

Broncos (8-6) at Chiefs (10-4)

Difficult to put much faith in the Chiefs on their own field with just two covers in previous 10 played here, including last week’s improbable loss to the visiting Titans. Still, more concerned with a Denver offence that still can’t seem to get on track after scoring just 13 combined points over the past two weeks. Of major concern is an offensive line that cannot protect QB Trevor Siemian (four sacks last week) or establish running lanes for a ground attack. The Chiefs haven’t lost consecutive games since October of last year. They’ve already defeated the Broncos in Denver last month and, while the defending champs own a formidable defence, K.C. has racked up a combined 83 points in the past three meetings. TAKING: CHIEFS –3

Lions (9-5) at Cowboys (12-2)

Difficult to rate this one as there could be some motivational factors involved here, namely for the Cowboys. Should the Giants lose to the Eagles (last night’s result not available at press time), Dallas would have the No. 1 seed locked up in the NFC and the ’Boys would have nothing to play for. Detroit needs to win as they could end up playing the Packers next week for the NFC North, but even if Lions came out on short end of that one, a wild-card placing remains as a possible consolation. No matter the scenario here, a full touchdown is too many points to be spotting a competitive Detroit squad. Dallas is not covering these days either with four straight failures. TAKING: LIONS +7

Bruce Marshall

Redskins / Bears Over 47.5

Although the Bears are having a White Sox kind of season, there are some positives amid the rubble of their 3-11 SU mark. Especially recent competitive efforts that confirm the team has not quit for HC John Fox (who, as a result, likely gets another year to forge a turnaround), the emergence of RB Jordan Howard (close to 1000 YR), and the likelihood journeyman QB Matt Barkley gets to be invited back in 2017 after impressing in his recent relief stint. All that being said, Chicago still continues to lose, and a positive result last Monday vs. Carolina would keep the visiting Redskins in the thick of the NFC playoff race. Even with Monday's "under" vs. Panthers, note that Jay Gruden's team still on a 16-3 "over" run since late 2015.

Stephen Nover

Browns +6

Never before during the 11-year era of Philip Rivers have the Chargers endured a worst losing stretch, which has now reached 21 losses in their last 30 games.

Not only are the Chargers dead in the standings, but they have a dead man walking coach and a dead franchise with the team almost certain to move out of San Diego.

Now the warm-weathered Chargers have to fly on a short week to cold Cleveland on Christmas week to play the winless Browns. The forecast is calling for 80 percent chance of rain, 14 mph winds and temperatures in the 30's. It's an early starting time, too, for the Chargers at 10 a.m. West Coast time. Do you honestly believe any of the Chargers are excited about this game?

Maybe Rivers. The guy is the ultimate competitor. Unfortunately he's become a turnover machine throwing 11 interceptions in the last five games trying to overcompensate and press too hard for the many deficiencies of his team. San Diego has turned the ball over 32 times. That's the most in the NFL. By contrast, Cleveland has 11 fewer turnovers.

Injuries have struck the Chargers harder than maybe any other NFL team. Rivers isn't likely to have Melvin Gordon, his best running back. That would leave the Chargers down to fifth-string rookie Kenneth Farrow again. Rivers also is without his top wide receiver Keenan Allen. The Chargers have been hard hit by injuries particularly at linebacker and in the secondary where their two best cornerbacks are out for the season. All together, the Chargers have 16 players on IR.

The Browns are dreadful. There's no soft pedaling that. However, the Browns will have tremendous motivation to avoid a winless season. Cleveland finishes at Pittsburgh next week with the early number being Steelers favored by 16 1/2, according to the oddsmakers at the Westgate Hotel. So realistically the Browns know this is their shot.

Robert Griffin III will be making his third start since coming back from a shoulder injury that sidelined him 11 games. He's improved each time since his return. I don't think it's a leap of faith to believe this will be his best game of the season. His NFL future is on the line. Griffin has better weapons than Rivers does - especially if Gordon is ruled out for a second straight week - with Isaiah Crowell, Terrelle Pryor and Corey Coleman. The Browns also have the best offensive lineman, Joe Thomas, and defensive back in Joe Haden.

The Browns won't be outgunned here. They are the more motivated team and are at home to their loyal fans. Those are enough edges to provide the Browns their first and only victory of 2016.

TONY GEORGE

Bucs +3½

If one watched closely the Tampa Bay and Dallas game, one thing became apparent at the final buzzer, Tampa gave the game away with turnovers and bad decisions by QB Winston. The Bucs have been on a roll, beaten teams like Kansas City on the road, and performed well in big spots, but they have been inconsistent. When you lose a turnover battle in the NFL, you lose the game more times than not, and rarely if at all cover a spread, and yet the Bucs covered against Dallas.

They face a team they have beaten by 5 points 3 weeks ago in their house, and now the Saints at home will no doubt provide a stiff test, however Tampa is playing for their playoff life here and will leave nothing to chance in this game, and have the team to beat the Saints. The key in this game is simple, the Saints have NO defense and with a healthy Doug Martin at RB, all world Mike Evans at WR and a capable and mobile QB, and a team with a sense of purpose, I like the Bucs to win outright in this game.

TEDDY COVERS

Dolphins +5

The betting markets seem fixated by the series history here. Yes, Rich Stadium has been a house of horrors in recent years for Miami. The Dolphins lost by 16 on this field last year, by 19 in 2014 and by 19 in 2013, part of a 1-7 SU run here in Buffalo. I couldn’t care less about the series history here. This year’s Dolphins team is better than any recent version; not an ‘apples to apples’ comparison.
And the markets are convinced that Miami won’t bring their ‘A’ game to this cold weather venue. But gametime temperatures are expected to be above freezing, and Miami certainly didn’t look all that negatively affected by much nastier conditions in New Jersey against the Jets last Saturday. It is worth noting that Miami played on Saturday last week – they’ve got a normal prep week, while the Bills are on a short week.

The markets focus on stats, and Buffalo has a solid statistical profile. But when it comes to results, Rex Ryan’s team consistently falls short. The results don’t lie. Look at Buffalo’s wins this year. The beat the Jaguars, Browns, 49ers and Rams, all bottom feeders. They beat the Bengals when Cinci was in the midst of a ‘two wins in ten games’ slide. They beat the Patriots with Jacoby Brissett behind center.

Buffalo’s one legit ‘signature’ win came back in Week 3 at home against Arizona, and even that comes with two asterisks – it was an awful spot for the Cards and Arizona is no juggernaut this year – they’re a five win team here in Week 16. In short, the Bills are not a team that has stepped up and knocked off quality competition by margin at any stage of the campaign.

The biggest issue with this inflated pointspread is that the markets have downgraded the Dolphins significantly with Matt Moore taking over for the injured Ryan Tannehill behind center. Moore is no rookie, a nine year vet who made a dozen starts for the Dolphins in 2011 and who has served as the backup in Miami ever since. He threw four TD’s in Jersey last Saturday Night, displaying a gunsligher mentality, a mentality that Dolphins head coach Adam Gase appreciates.

Gase, talking about his QB: “I like calling plays for him, because you never know what you’re going to experience in that play. I kind of like that about him. He’s aggressive. It’s fun, when we were going through preseason, how he’d develop in this offense. But I don’t think he gives himself the credit for the fact that he sees coverage well, he can throw the ball underneath, he can throw the intermediate ball. I like the fact that he’s not afraid to scramble outside of the pocket and play a little looser than a lot of coaches like. I like it.” And I like the concept of Miami playing loose and free, not tight and constrained, in a game where they’re catching too many points.