Dr Bob
Georgia Tech @ Clemson
Clemson has defensive lineman that can get in the backfield quickly, which can cause problems for option teams. The Tigers have allowed just 31 total points to Georgia Tech the last two years but the Yellow Jackets have a pretty good defensive this season, so they’re capable of hanging close in a game that will be shortened by an offense that eats up the clock – I project just 129 total plays.
Duke @ Virginia Tech
Duke’s offense has struggled all season and this is a bad match up for the Blue Devils against an aggressive Virginia Tech defense that plays tight coverage close to the line of scrimmage and dares teams to try to beat them over the top in one-on-one matchups. The Hokies only allow 45.3% completions but they give up 14.2 yards per completion, which his high. However, Duke quarterback Daniel Jones is completing just 54.5% of his passes Blue Devils average just 10.5 yards per completion so it’s not likely that the Blue Devils can take advantage of the Hokies’ tendency to give up big pass plays. The only teams to score more than 10 points against Virginia Tech were West Virginia (24), East Carolina (17) and Clemson (31) and all of those teams have quarterbacks that can connect with receivers down the field. The other 4 teams that the Hokies have faced have combined for a TOTAL of 17 points (4.3 per game) and Duke more resembles that group offensively. My math model favors Virginia Tech by 19 points and I like the matchup.
No Carolina St. @ Notre Dame
NC State has played their best in big games with straight up wins in their only two games as an underdog this season (FSU and Louisville) while going 1-4 ATS when favored. However, the line on this game is dead on according to my math model and Notre Dame applies to a 151-74-7 ATS situation. I’ll pass.
UCLA @ Washington
Washington had an extra week to get over their upset loss at Arizona State and that bye week should have the Huskies refocused on winning the Pac-12. The Huskies’ balanced attack should score around their average of 38 points against a mediocre UCLA defense (their 6.4 yppl allowed has come against teams that would average 6.2 yppl against an average defense) and U-Dub’s dominating defense (1.9 yppl better than average) is better than a good UCLA attack that is 1.0 yppl better than average. The number is high but my math model favors Washington to cover and the Huskies would be worth nibbling on if the line gets down to -17 points.
TCU @ Iowa St.
Iowa State is 3-0 with wins at Oklahoma and at Texas Tech since their change at quarterback and this is a dangerous spot for unbeaten TCU, as the Cyclones apply to a 95-33-2 ATS home underdog momentum situation. My math model also leans with the dog here, as the math favors TCU by just 5 ½ points. ISU is worth a bar bet at +7 or more.
Penn St. @ Ohio St.
I wish I had an opinion on this game but I really don’t have one. These teams are equally good defensively, with Penn State at 1.5 yards per play better than average (allowed 3.7 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average defense) and Ohio State also at 1.5 yppl better than average (4.4 yppl against teams that would average 5.9 yppl) but the Buckeyes have actually been better offensively.
Penn State’s 507 yards at 8.4 yards per play against a very good Michigan defense last week is incredibly impressive but the Nittany lions have also struggled at time this season and they averaged just 4.9 yppl in the two games prior to last week against Indiana and Northwestern. Overall, Penn State’s offense has been 1.2 yppl better than average (6.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl) while an improving Ohio State attack has been 1.6 yppl better than average with J.T. Barrett in the game (7.4 yppl against teams that would allow 5.9 yppl to an average team). Barrett has thrown 21 touchdowns against just 1 interception and he’s gained more confidence in his young receivers, which he didn’t have when they lost to Oklahoma early in the season.
My math model actually only favors Ohio State by 6 points but Penn State applies to an 11-44 ATS situation that plays against unbeaten teams (7-0 or better) on the road against a good team with revenge. I’ll pass on this game.
Dr Bob
Miami Fla @
North Carolina
Sat, Oct 28 9:00 AM
Rotation: 129, Odds: North Carolina +20.5, Total: 54.5
Game Analysis view matchup stats
Miami-Florida (-20 ½) 40 NORTH CAROLINA 19
North Carolina’s pass attack has really struggled since losing WR Austin Proehl and TE Carl Tucker to season-ending injuries. Proehl has missed 4 games and he’s still 2nd on the team in receiving yards and his 12.3 yards per target is being replaced by young receivers that are really struggling to get open. For Miami, the loss or RB Mark Walton (428 yards at 7.6 ypr) doesn’t hurt quite that much given the production of Travis Homer (477 yards at 7.3 ypr) and my math model, adjusted for injuries, favors the Canes by 21 points.
Rob Veno
Virginia at Pittsburgh
Play: Virginia -3
Surprising set of results last week where these teams are concerned as Virginia’s defense was steamrolled by the Boston College offense and Pittsburgh came out of a season long fog to win outright (+8 ) at Duke. After owning a season long -1.5 yards per carry margin, Pittsburgh destroyed the stout Duke defense at the line of scrimmage posting a +3.0 ypc margin (5.9-2.9). The 336 rushing yards piled up by the Panthers in Durham last week was 188 more than they had gained versus any of their six previous FBS opponents which makes it tough to tell if it marked a real change or was just a mirage. Considering the fact that 171 of the 336 rushing yards came on two plays, (79- and 92-yard TD runs by RB Darrin Hall) the latter is more believable. On the other 55 carries Pittsburgh had last Saturday, they gained 165 yards for an average of 3.0 per rush which is more in line with their season numbers. Virginia however, has suddenly allowed 200+ rushing yards in each of their last two games so the matchup does present Hall & the Panthers an opportunity for success.
The ambush that Boston College unleashed on Virginia included a +275 total yard advantage (512-247) which was accumulated both on the ground and through the air. UVA QB Kurt Benkert who has had a pair of subpar performances the past three weeks after opening the nation’s eyes in September, has an ideal matchup to bounce back here. Pittsburgh enters with the 115th ranked pass defense in the nation allowing 270.4 yards per game. Overall, Pitt has been torched for 434 total yards per game and 6.6 yards per play. Even in victory last week, they allowed Duke 6.0 ypp so Virginia should be able to get OC Robert Anai’s up-tempo offense going in this game. Conversely, the Cavaliers possess the country’s 24th ranked pass defense which figures to make Pittsburgh one dimensional and cause erratic QB Ben DiNucci problems.
It's time for teams with goals of making a bowl game to find their way to six wins and Virginia fits squarely in that “sense of urgency” category. In their second season under the direction of Bronco Mendenhall, the Cavs rebuilding project is ahead of schedule and could clinch their bowl berth with a victory. What makes this contest even more important for Virginia is the fact that their remaining schedule consists of a neutral field game against Georgia Tech, back-back road games versus Louisville and Miami (Fla) plus the season ending rivalry with Virginia Tech in Charlottesville. Not sure that Pitt will get the pair of explosive TD runs they had last week against what figures to be a motivated Virginia defense and just don’t feel like the passing game is solid enough to carry the Panthers. The road has been kind to Virginia backers recently as they’ve gone 8-3-2 against the spread in their last 13 away games. Expect them to run that number to 9-3-2 with a straight up win in this spot.
Otto Sports
USC at Arizona State
Play: USC -3.5
Arizona State is one of the most interesting teams in college football. One one hand you have a team with three outright wins at double-digit underdogs. On the other hand, a statistical profile that is downright ugly. Despite their 4-3 overall, 3-1 PAC-12 records, the Sun Devils have been outgained by nearly a full yard per play (6.19 ypp allowed, 5.22 ypp gained) this season. And you can also make a case that a majority of ASU's opponents were later discovered to be overrated. San Diego State has recently been exposed as has Texas Tech. Since losing in Tempe, Oregon has dropped three of four; albeit with a backup quarterback. Washington was clearly living off last year's accomplishments and an ultra-soft schedule and Utah has been dealing with a lack of stability at the quarterback position. To call ASU a complete "fraud" is probably too harsh, but I have a hard time buying into this squad despite a handful of at-the-time impressive wins.
USC limps into this contest after getting bullied by Notre Dame from start to finish. Yes, the Trojans' -3 turnover margin played a part, but the Irish were able to do whatever they wanted to offensively (7.2 ypp) despite only throwing for 120 yards. USC returns to a more comfortable environment where they won't be outclassed in the trenches. And the team's statistical profile (+0.88 ypp vs. PAC-12) and strength of schedule (8th according to Sagarin) remains impressive.
Bettors need to be aware of the pointspread adjustment. Against Oregon, ASU was catching +14.5. Against Washington, +17.5. Now, the Sun Devils are +3.5 against a USC squad that is certainly on par with those two squads from a power rating standpoint. And don't forget USC's futility vs. the spread (1-7 YTD) and their "decline" in the betting markets. A month ago, this squad was -4.5 at Washington State! Worth seeking out a -3 as we “buy low” on the road side.
Drew Martin
Old Dominion at North Texas
Play: North Texas -11
There is a massive class difference between these two offenses as North Texas currently leads C-USA in total offense (487.9 ypg) and yards per play (6.68). Quarterback Mason Fine has already topped the 2,000-yard mark, receivers Jalen Guyton and Michael Lawrence have 30+ catches, and running back Jeffrey Wilson is well on his way to 1,000-yard season. This is an offense that posted 6.63 yards per play against Iowa; a mark that no team not even Penn State topped against the Hawkeyes.
Old Dominion has topped 5.50 yards per play only once this season; an offense that features little to no passing game (92.8 team QB Rating) and a hit-or-miss run game (200+ yards twice, sub-100 yards three times). The Monarchs are attempting to survive with 17-year-old quarterback Steven Williams who is averaging an interception every 15 pass attempts. Defensively, ODU has coughed up 35+ in each of its last four games. Statistically, ODU’s stop unit does have slightly better numbers compared to North Texas. But last week's loss to FAU (804 total yards, 9.69 ypp) obviously skewed the Mean Green's overall body of work.
The talent gap in this matchup is significant and off of that embarrassing showing against Kiffin's crew, I expect North Texas to fire back in a big way. They have the perfect opponent to accomplish that feat as the points are well worth laying in this matchup.
The Prez
Nebraska at Purdue
Play: Nebraska +5
The Saturday night Big 10 contest between the Cornhuskers and Boilermakers (-5, 51) is scheduled to kick at 7:30 p.m. The conference contest will be held at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Indiana. The 3-4 Nebraska Cornhuskers attempts to get back to the .500 mark on the season. The goal this Saturday is the same for the 3-4 Purdue Boilermakers. One of the nice guys in college football, head coach Mike Riley, is reportedly on the hot seat in Lincoln. This due to his team's performances the last two years. Additionally, the new and current athletic department didn't hire Riley. College Football Free Pick: Nebraska at Purdue.
Since winning their first seven games a year ago the Cornhuskers have disappeared as a traditionally ranked football power. Nebraska reached as high as No #6 in the coaches' poll last year before back-to-back losses to Wisconsin and Ohio State. Since defeating Purdue by a 27-14 margin in 2016 Nebraska has gone 5-8 overall. This Week #9 contest is pivotal for both Big 10 schools. The winner of the Saturday event increases their chances of participating in a holiday bowl event.
Both the 'Huskers and 'Makers are looking directly in the eyes of a three-game losing streak. And it is safe to write that the loser of this Saturday affair will more than likely not be invited to a postseason bowl. Nebraska has the advantage of being as healthy as they have all season. The school has had an extra week to prepare for Jeff Brohm's squad off a bye-week. Additionally, this Cornhuskers crew has more blue-chip talent up and down their roster.
Brohm was hired for his offense prowess. However, the Boilermakers are averaging just over 24 points per game. The defense has been solid under the guidance of Nick Holt allowing less than 20 points per event.
Coach Riley finally put an end to the speculative return of running back Tre Bryant who has missed the team's last five games. Riley said at a presser that the tailback will likely miss the rest of the season after undergoing "corrective" surgery Tuesday. The young but talented Nebraska offense will improve on their pedestrian overall numbers. And the porous defensive secondary is healthy again. The defense is expected to the services of safeties Joshua Kalu (hamstring), Antonio Reed (knee) and Aaron Williams (neck) in this Saturday's game against Purdue.
The Vegas and Offshore market have made the perceptual adjustments to longtime public betting favorite Nebraska. The Cornhuskers appear much more beatable than in seasons past. Hence the value in this weekend's handicap. QB Travis Lee has become more of a game manager than he was in the early stages of the season. Despite the team's back-to-back blowouts at the hands of Wisconsin and Ohio State Lee has throw three TD passes against just one interception.
Brohm's offense is not only dysfunctional for a unit that is seven games into the season the head coach is non-committal to which of his quarterbacks will start on Saturday. Regardless of whether Elijah Sindelar or David Blough start behind center on Saturday this is a fresh and healthy Nebraska Blackshirt squad.
The Boilermakers have forgotten how to score points. While the total yardage per game has been sufficient the team is scoring touchdowns at a mere 50-plus percent in the redzone.
While the defense has shown marked improvement over last year's troop that allowed nearly 40 points per game the 19 points per game surrendered this season hasn't resulted in wins. Purdue has held three straight opponents to fewer than 20 points, including Wisconsin in Madison two weeks ago, but have only won one of the trio of contests. Last week's loss to Rutgers was a season killer and as mentioned in this game preview, again, the Achilles of this Purdue squad is the fact that the offense has stopped scoring.
The Boilermakers put up a mere 12 points in the loss to the Scarlet Knights, scored nine in the defeat to Wisconsin, and scored just ten in the loss to Michigan. While two of the three efforts have come against traditional Big 10 powers and strong defensive units there is very little reason to believe that the Boilermakers will put up big points against the Cornhuskers on Saturday.
Yes, Nebraska’s defense had problems against Wisconsin and Ohio State. But both are top FBS stop-units. And yes their overall surface numbers and FBS rankings of the Nebraska "D" don't translate to what past Blackshirt units have performed to. But this defense has been more than adequate and successful when confronted by average offenses. And especially relevant is the unit is as healthy as they have been all season.
Brohm's offense has been predictable since the end of September especially in the red zone. The Boilermakers had a 25-8 edge in first downs and 474 to 217 yardage edge versus Rutgers a week ago. Yet lost the game 14-12 with their only touchdown coming with 25 seconds left in the fourth quarter.
Key Trends
Cornhuskers are 16-6 against the spread in their last 22 games as a visitor.
Nebraska is 10-2 ATS on natural grass.
Purdue is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 home games.
The Boilermakers are 3-8 in their last 11 games on natural grass.
Tony Finn
Wisconsin vs. Illinois
Play: Wisconsin -26
Wisconsin and Illinois make up this weekend's college football freebie. The Badgers (-27, 50) visit Memorial Stadium in Champaign, Illinois to square off in a Big 10 affair. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET in what is expected to be a disappointing homecoming for the Illinois student-body. Free College Football Saturday Pick: Badgers at Illini.
The mixture of youth and senior leadership on this Badgers team is shining through. While Badgers freshman Jonathan Taylor isn't getting much conference notoriety due to Heisman candidate and all-purpose stud Saquon Barkley he might be the best running back most college fans haven't heard of.
Taylor exceeded 1,000 yards rushing across seven games with his 126 yards in last week's 38-13 win versus Maryland. The feat puts his name in the college record books with the likes of Adrian Peterson and Marshall Faulk. The trio of quarterback Alex Hornibrook, tailback Taylor and wide outs Quintez Cephus and Troy Fumagalli will prove to be too much for the youngest team in the Big 10, Illinois, on Saturday.
The Badgers defense gets better, stronger and smarter as Saturday games wear on. Whiskey has allowed just three second half touchdowns all season.
No teams in college football starts more freshman than Illini head coach Lovie Smith. The Illinois coaching staff added another rookie to the starting lineup when freshman quarterback Cam Thomas saw his first action in last week's loss to the Minnesota Gophers. Thomas replaced sophomore signal-caller Jeff George Junior. Thomas completed two-of-four pass attempts for 33 yards and an interception. Smith and his staff have 75 underclassmen (sophomores and freshmen) on their current roster. The Illini have started 14 true freshmen this season and have played at some point 21 frosh, both are tops in 2017 FBS ball.
Smith's defense has allowed over 400 yards of offense per game this season and rank last in the Big Ten in ground and pound yards allowed.
Also, Illinois is dead last in the conference in points per game scoring less than 19 per event.
Key Trends
Wisconsin is 8-0 against the spread in their last eight games as a visitor.
Badgers are 15-7-1`ATS in their last 23 overall games.
Illinois is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home events.
The Fighting Illini are 1-6 in their last seven Big 10 lined games.
There is unlikely to be any joy in Champaign-ville this homecoming weekend. Wisconsin and Penn State are the only team's that remain perfect in the 2017 season. And the Badgers have no scheduling quirks, sandwich games or any reason to look past the Fighting Illini on Saturday. Badgers quarterback Hornibrook, running back Taylor and a number of capable receivers cover the wood (minus-27) in this road event by halftime - and extend the margin - in what ultimately is a 40-point College Football Saturday rout.
Brandon Lee
Iowa State +7
I was on the Cyclones last week against Texas Tech and will ride the hot hand at home against TCU. Not a lot was made of Iowa State’s hiring of Matt Campbell from Toledo last year, but it looks like the Cyclones have struck gold. Campbell has turned around this program faster than anyone could have anticipated.
While the win over the Red Raiders propelled ISU into the Top 25, it’s not nearly enough to get the public to consider taking them against TCU. I think the books are begging for the public to take the Horned Frogs. I’ll take my chances going against the public this time of year, as the oddsmakers are fully locked on to each team.
The fact that ISU is ranked will certainly make TCU think twice about just thinking they can show up and win this game, but I still think the players are going to have a hard time giving the Cyclones the respect they deserve. Especially with a big night home game on deck against in-state rival Texas next Saturday and Oklahoma after that.
Whatever defensive coordinator John Heacock told Iowa State’s players at the half of the Oklahoma game has really sparked that unit. The Cyclones held the Sooners to just 7-points in the 2nd half of their upset in Norman. They then shutout Kansas in a massive letdown spot the very next week. Then this past Saturday they held one of the most potent offenses in the country to just 13 points and 336 total yards.
I also don’t think this Iowa State offense gets near the respect it deserves and it matches up well with the Horned Frogs. The strength of the TCU defense is their front 7, but they have been exposed through the air. ISU is 30th in the country in passing at 279.0 ypg and have really taken off here since Kyle Kempt has replaced starter QB Jacob Park. Kemp’s started the last 3 and is completing just under 70% of his attempts with a 7-1 TD-INT ratio.
Last thing here is I think the home field advantage for ISU is vastly underrated. The fans pack Jack Trice Stadium when they know the team might win two games all season. This is as excited the fan base has been about this team in the last decade. I think the atmosphere plays a big role in the Cyclones keeping this close and potentially winning outright.
Rob Vinciletti
Air Force vs. Colorado St
Play: Colorado St -10
The College football comp play is on Colorado St. Game 168 at 3:00 eastern, The home team in this series has covered 4 of 5. The Rams average over 500 yards on offense. Air Force returns just 6 starters and we play against teams that won more than 9 games last year if they allow 25 or more point per game if they just allowed 35 or more vs a team that allows 29 or less points per game. These play against teams fail to cover over 85% long term. Look for The Rams to get the cover.
Brandon Lee
TCU vs. Iowa State
Play: Iowa St +7
I was on the Cyclones last week against Texas Tech and will ride the hot hand at home against TCU. Not a lot was made of Iowa State’s hiring of Matt Campbell from Toledo last year, but it looks like the Cyclones have struck gold. Campbell has turned around this program faster than anyone could have anticipated.
While the win over the Red Raiders propelled ISU into the Top 25, it’s not nearly enough to get the public to consider taking them against TCU. I think the books are begging for the public to take the Horned Frogs. I’ll take my chances going against the public this time of year, as the oddsmakers are fully locked on to each team.
The fact that ISU is ranked will certainly make TCU think twice about just thinking they can show up and win this game, but I still think the players are going to have a hard time giving the Cyclones the respect they deserve. Especially with a big night home game on deck against in-state rival Texas next Saturday and Oklahoma after that.
Whatever defensive coordinator John Heacock told Iowa State’s players at the half of the Oklahoma game has really sparked that unit. The Cyclones held the Sooners to just 7-points in the 2nd half of their upset in Norman. They then shutout Kansas in a massive letdown spot the very next week. Then this past Saturday they held one of the most potent offenses in the country to just 13 points and 336 total yards.
I also don’t think this Iowa State offense gets near the respect it deserves and it matches up well with the Horned Frogs. The strength of the TCU defense is their front 7, but they have been exposed through the air. ISU is 30th in the country in passing at 279.0 ypg and have really taken off here since Kyle Kempt has replaced starter QB Jacob Park. Kemp’s started the last 3 and is completing just under 70% of his attempts with a 7-1 TD-INT ratio.
Last thing here is I think the home field advantage for ISU is vastly underrated. The fans pack Jack Trice Stadium when they know the team might win two games all season. This is as excited the fan base has been about this team in the last decade. I think the atmosphere plays a big role in the Cyclones keeping this close and potentially winning outright.
Ray Monohan
Buffalo vs. Akron
Play: Akron -4
The Zips lay a low number in this spot on Saturday and are worth a flyer.
Akron continues their push towards the top of the MAC East and this has easily been the most improving team in the conference over the past few years.
Akron is 2-1 at home and 3-1 in conference play overall, as they have outscored the opposition 32.3 to 15.7 inside InfoCision Stadium. Here, they get the edge as the Bulls have struggled on the road themselves, setting them up in a bad spot situationally. Buffalo is just 1-3 on the road, scoring just 16.2 points per game.
Some trends to note. Zips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Zips are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
This number is too small in this spot. The Zips home play versus the Bulls road play give them the huge edge.
Doug Upstone
TCU vs. Iowa St
Play: TCU -6
TCU has been a strong defense team all season, this is why they are a good bet in Ames because road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like the Horned Frogs off three or more consecutive Under's, with a good first half defense, allowing eight or less points per game are awesome 25-2 ATS, 92.6%, the last 10 years!
Sean Murphy
NC State vs. Notre Dame
Play: NC State +7½
I'll grab the points with the Wolfpack as they head to South Bend to challenge the Irish on Saturday afternoon.
N.C. State is off to a terrific 6-1 start this season, an identical record to that of Notre Dame. The Wolfpack are in a good spot here, coming off their bye week, which came on the heels of a 35-17 road win at Pitt. Remember, just last year, N.C. State prevailed in a low-scoring 10-3 affair against Notre Dame.
The Irish haven't really been challenged since dropping a narrow decision against Georgia in early September. They've reeled off five straight ATS wins but I believe that streak comes to an end here as they're being asked to lay a generous helping of points.
The N.C. State defense has certainly held its own this season, particularly against the run, allowing just three yards per rush. That's a key in this matchup as they keep the Irish offense in check for much of Saturday's game.
ASA
Texas vs. Baylor
Play: Baylor +9
The Bears sit at 0-7 but they’ve been very competitive in their home games. Last week they lost here to a very good WVU team 38-36. It wasn’t a fluke as the yardage was pretty much dead even. Their most recent home game before WVU was Oklahoma and they took the Sooners to the wire losing 49-41. They actually led that game vs Oklahoma late in the 3rd quarter. The only game the Bears have not been competitive was @ Oklahoma State. All 6 of their other games have been decided 14 or less which is significant at they are getting almost double digits here (currently +9). They catch Texas in a great spot for a letdown. The Horns have played 3 consecutive down to the wire games and they are bound to be a bit spent both emotionally and physically. Two of those three games went to OT including last week’s 13-10 home loss to Oklahoma State. Texas also has a huge game on deck with conference leader TCU so no matter what the coaches tell them about 0-7 Baylor, you can bet the Longhorn players will have trouble bringing their A game here. Texas will also be without their starting QB Ehlinger who sustained a concussion in last week’s game. Former starter Buechele will get the nod here and while he does have experience, he has played in only one game this entire month and only attempted 2 passes in that game. He’s bound to be rusty. This is a very dangerous spot for Texas. We think this game goes to the wire with Baylor having a shot at the outright win.
Cappers Club
Kansas State vs. Kansas
Play: Kansas State -24
The Kansas State Wildcats and the Kansas Jayhawks face off in the sunflower showdown on Saturday and with the way the season has gone, it's a pretty safe bet not to pick the Jayhawks.
The Jayhawks have had a terrible season so far this year and have only covered the spread one time so far this year.
The problem with the Jayhawks has been on both sides of the ball. Over their last two games they have given up a total of 88 points, and scored zero.
Earlier in the year the offense could at least move the ball, but now that the offense is struggling they have zero chances in games.
For the Wildcats they should be getting their starting quarterback, Jesse Ertz back and he should have no issue throwing all over the Jayhawks defense.
So far this season the Jayhawks defense is giving up over 475 yards per game.
This game is going to get really ugly early.
Some trends to note. Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Kansas. Jayhawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.