Joey Juice
My Sunday comp play release is the Bucs and Bills Under the total.
First of all the Buffalo Bills have not been scoring many points this season.
The Bills defense on the other hand, one of the best in the league, has played amazingly well and should slow down this Tampa Bay passing game.
Last 5 games the Bills played, all 5 went under the total. This one will go under too.
Under is the play!
4* TAMPA BAY-BUFFALO UNDER
Jack Brayman
My free play for Sunday is on the New Orleans Saints, laying chalk in Green Bay to the seemingly wayward Packers.
Heard a stat on the radio, that on a neutral field, there is not ONE team that would lay points to the Packers with Aaron Rodgers. Without him, there only two teams - the Browns and Colts - that would not lay points to that team on a neutral field.
That's insane. But that's the Packers freight train.
And right now, it's derailed.
But the Saints, on the other hand, have the seventh-best offense in the league, led by the fifth-best passing game in football. Quarterback Drew Brees - who ranks third in the NFL in completion percentage (68.9) and fifth in both overall passer rating (103.2) and third-down passer rating (108.6) - is averaging 374.8 yards for a 126.8 rating in his last four meetings with Packers.
The Saints have allowed a league-low four sacks, so you know Brees will be throwing all day.
Today won't be any good for the Packers, without Rodgers to contend offensively. I have 100 percent no faith in backup Brett Hundley. And since New Orleans is tied for fourth in the league in turnover differential (plus-6), Hundley is poised to throw a couple of picks today.
Lay the chalk with the Saints.
3* SAINTS
Chris Jordan
My complimentary winner for tonight is on the Seattle Seahawks over the New York Giants. I'm laying the road chalk, in what could be a dangerous game with how well the Giants have actually played, despite their record, but I'm not buying in just yet.
Thing is, the Seahawks have won their last three versus the Giants, and I still don't know how good New York is to think it can snap the skid.
Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson has 745 yards passing, four touchdowns and just one interception in his last three against NFC East foes. He gets hyped to throw on the East coast, and will be looking to air it out today against the 25th-ranked pass defense.
On the other side of the ball, I'm looking for defensive end Frank Clark to harass New York quarterback Eli Manning all night. Clark has eight sacks and three forced fumbles in his past eight road games, so there's something about toting a travel bag that gets him hyped.
Manning threw 19 passes last week, his lowest total in a full regular-season game since Week 15 at Buffalo in December 2007. That's 10 years. So even though the Giants pulled off the upset win in Denver, I'm still questioning the validity of this team.
Instead, take the Seahawks.
2* SEAHAWKS
Bill Marzano
Falcons at Patriots
Play: Over 56.5
I really like the total in this football game and I think it will play Over the posted 56.5 points...this total has climbed little by little but the way these two teams matchup vs one another, we should see plenty of points...the Falcons are thinking revenge however, they come into this game having dropped two straight and M.Ryan is a shell of himself with just 6 TD's and 6 INT's...Brady is leading the NFL's top rated offense and has 13 TD's and just 2 INT's and has had plenty of success vs the Falcons posting a 5-0 record...he has 11 TD's and just 2 INT's vs them in his career...the Patriots defense is one of the worst in the NFL allowing over 36 per game at home...M.Ryan has thrown at least one TD in 24 straight games...I like the Over
King Creole
Broncos / Chargers Under 41
With another new Squeaky Toy earned, Speedee is sticking with his STRENGTH... which is Going LOW in same-division games. This week, it’ll be the UNDER in the Broncos / Chargers game at the StubHub Center in Carson, CA. We KNOW we’ll be getting a great effort from a Denver DEFENSE that’s ranked #1 in the entire league, allowing only 262 total yards per game. Let’s not forget that Denver hasn’t cracked 17 or more points on OFFENSE in their last 3 games either (only 3 TD’s).
Last Sunday night’s loss to the Giants (as a fav of -13.5 pts) was one of the shockers of the season.
0-10 O/U since 1995: All DIVISION teams off a SU home loss in which they were a FAVORITE of > 13 pts (Broncos).
This week’s game will be the first of 3 STRAIGHT road games in a row for the Broncos.
0-7-1 O/U L7Y: All teams in the 1ST of 3 straight road games (Den), when the OU line is < 47 points.
Meanwhile, the Chargers’ last-second win over Oakland (Speedee’s DOG of the WEEK winner!) makes it two straight road DOG wins in a row.
4-18 O/U since 1997: All NFL teams off back-to-back road DOG wins (Chargers), if the last win was vs a DIVISION opponent. FAVORITES have gone 1-11 O/U in this situation.
At last look, the line in this game has changed. Denver goes from an opening line of -2.5 pts... to a new line of +1 to +1.5 points.
AFC WEST same-DIVISION games in which the pointspread is 3 < pts (Broncos @ Chargers) have gone 2-11 O/U L4Y in Game Five or greater. We mentioned Denver’s struggling offense earlier in our writeup.
Let’s not forget that the Chargers’ offense is averaging only 16.2 ppg in their conference games so far in 2017 as well...
Tony Finn
Seattle at New York
Play: Seattle -3.5
The most interesting talk in the New York metro area is which of their football teams will lose the most games. The talk isn't about playoffs or which franchise has the best chance to be a part of January's postseason schedule. Seattle comes into Sunday's affair well rested off a bye. The Giants are injury riddled and will be without their top two receivers for the rest of the season.
Manning doesn't have wide outs Odell Beckham Jr. or Brandon Marshall and the offensive is having little to no success running the football. Tailback Orleans Darkwa did find success a week ago in Denver after the team took a commanding lead. Darkwa gained 121 yards on 17 carries. Rookie tight end Evan Engram is now Manning’s top target in the passing game. Engram recorded five catches and a season-high 82 yards versus the Broncos. The return of wide receiver Sterling Shepard (ankle) is a game time decision today. Shepard missed last week's win with an ankle injury but practiced on a limited basis this week.
Injury updates:
New York's coaching staff believe they will have the services of wide receiver Sterling Shepard (ankle) after practicing in part this past week.
Carmine Bianco
Los Angeles at FC Dallas
Play: 1H Dallas -0.5 -122
Decision Day in the MLS as the season comes to a close and FC Dallas need some help on Sunday. Currently tied for the final playoff spot but on the outside on tiebreaking numbers they'll need a win on Sunday and hope that San Jose stumble in their season finale. All games are played at the same time so expecting Dallas to get out front early against a Galaxy side that sit tied for last overall. The Play is FC Dallas -0.5 -122 1st half.
The Real Animal
Buffalo -3
This is a bad spot for Tampa. The defense got shredded on the road last week in Arizona and the Bucs have allowed 38 and 34-points in their two away games this season. They are on an 0-4 ATS slide and Jameis Winston is not 100 percent due to a shoulder injury. Buffalo has already defeated Atlanta and Denver this year. Tyrod Taylor has been a money QB at home going 16-7 straight-up in his starts and covering 15 of those 23. Plus when his team is favored and Taylor has started his teams are 17-6 SU.Coach Dirk Koetter might soon be on the hot seat because expectations were high for this team. But their secondary is in shambles with the passing defense ranked #26. Plus the Bucs are #32 and DEAD LAST in the league in QB sacks with just six. The Bucs trailed at Minnesota 28-3 early in the third quarter. Following the game Koetter was asked if he would do anything different. "Miss the plane," he said in a non-smiling attempt at humor. "We did things that bad football teams do. Right now, we're a bad football team." Buffalo is rested having last week off and the Bills are +8 in turnovers. Bad timing for Tampa right now on the road for a second straight week with a lengthy travel. Lay the field goal.
Rocketma
Atlanta @ New England
Play: Over 56.5
The Atlanta Falcons travel to New England to take on the Patriots on Sunday night. Atlanta is 3-2 SU overall this year while New England comes in with a 4-2 SU overall record on the season. Atlanta is averaging 257.8 yards per game passing and 378.8 total yards per game. New England is averaging 309.8 passing yards per game and 412 total yards per game. New England is allowing 324.8 yards per game passing and 440.7 total yards per game this season. The OVER is 12-4 last 16 games for Atlanta when the total is 49 1/2 or higher. The OVER is 18-7 last 25 games for New England at home when the total is 49 1/2 or higher. Atlanta is scoring 26.5 points per game on the road this year. New England is scoring 28.7 points per game overall this year, 31 points per game at home this season and 29.2 points per game on turf this season. New England is allowing 26.5 points per game overall this year, 36 points per game at home this season and 31.2 points per game on turf this season. These two teams will be up and down the field quickly and score a ton of points.
OC Dooley
2 Units Chargers +1
At most offshore locations this game opened at a pick-em and eventually saw the visiting Broncos bet up to a "two" point favorite but as of two o'clock in the east zone the number has dropped in the direction of the Chargers even though they are 0-for-3 so far (in their new home location which is a small soccer field where there as many fans cheering for the visitor as for the hosts) and also a horrible 2-11 in the past thirteen meetings in this "series". There is a certain aura surrounding today's game for Chargers veteran quarterback Phillip Rivers as his next victory will be the magical #100. New Chargers head coach Anthony Lynn actually won a pair of Super Bowls during his playing days wearing a Denver uniform. Not only is current Denver signal caller Trevor Siemien prone to making mistakes there are MULTIPLE INJURIES across the offensive line which has a negative effect on the rushing attack. It was back on opening week when the Chargers erased a sizeable deficit AT Denver but a missed field goal caused them to lose (could have forced an overtime session). Despite the 2-11 skid in the series the Chargers today are seeking to SPLIT with the Broncos for the second time in 2 seasons