Triple Threat Sports
3* Colorado over Milwaukee
Brewers come into this one 3-9 in their last 12 games against winning teams while the Rockies are 37-19 at home this season and 7-2 in their last nine as series host. They also have a bullpen ERA that is almost two full runs better than that of the Brewers (3.25 vs 5.21). Also, as noted previously this season, Milwaukee has dominated Pittsburgh and struggled vs everyone else, as they are 43-58 against the rest of the league, a .426 winning percentage. However, biggest reason to go with Colorado in this one is Milwaukee starter Gallardo. Yes the Brewers have won two of his last three starts, but that was due to offensive explosions more so that solid pitching, as he has an ERA of over six in of late but the team has scored 18 and 11 runs in his last two outings. Cannot see that type of freakish support continuing, and Gallado is 0-3 personally and 0-4 in Team Starts in his career vs the Rockies, with a 7.40 ERA in those games.
Fantasy Sports Gametime
50* Play St. Louis (-210) over Chicago Cubs
Chicago has lost 12 of the last 14 games and they have also lost 12 of the last 18 games when playing on a Friday. Chicago has lost 13 of the last 17 road games after a day off and Chicago pitcher, Thomas Diamond is 0-2 in all starts this season with an ERA of 8.00.
50* Play Tampa Bay (-190) over Baltimore
Baltimore has lost 24 of the last 30 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and they have also lost 35 of the last 45 division games. Jeremy Guthrie has lost 10 consecutive games vs. division opponents and he is 1-6 in road games this season with an ERA of 4.48.
50* Play NY Yankees (-175) over Kansas City
Kansas City has lost 7 of the last 8 games and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 home games when the total posted is 10 runs or higher. Kyle Davies has lost 9 of the last 12 games when the total posted is 10 runs or higher and he is 1-4 in home games this season with an ERA of 5.07.
Keith Fredrick
Brewers at Rockies
Pick: Over 9
MIlwaukee starter Gallarod has an ERA of over six of late but the team has scored 18 and 11 runs in his last two outings, so he clearly has been getting a ton of run support, and that should continue here against a middling Colorado starter. Also, Gallardo has a 7.40 career ERA against the Rockies.
Paul Leiner
100* Redskins -3.5
50* Giants -130
25* Rangers -135
Beat Your Bookie
10* Play Houston (-160) over Pittsburgh (POD)
Pittsburgh is 3-19 as a road underdog of +150 to +175 this season Pittsburgh is 0-6 vs. Houston on the road this season Ross Ohlendorf is 0-6 vs. Houston over his career with an ERA of 7.49
5* Play Chicago White Sox (-145) over Detroit
Detroit is 4-19 as a road underdog of +125 to +150 this season Detroit is 3-16 in road games coming off a win this season Detroit is 4-15 in road games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs
Craig Masters
5 Units A's / Twin's Under 8
Dave Cokin
Cleveland Indians
Florida Marlins
Chiefs / Falcons Under 34.5
The Asian Executive
10 units Washington -4
4 units Washington Over 32.5
Thank you for your purchase. Tonight's 13 units of action will get us back to even for Saturday's football card. The sharpest professional bettor is me and let's work together as a team to win.
THE PREZ
7* Florida Marlins -128
Weather: sunny; hot and humid with temps in the mid 90s at first pitch with winds blowing in from centerfield at 5 mph
While Ubaldo Jimenez continues to receive most of the early Cy Young pub it is Josh Johnson who likely deserves the award, if the season were to end today. Johnson is only 1-1 since the All-Star break primarily due to lack of run support, bullpen failures or a combination of both. His 156 strikeouts are among the best in the majors and his 1.97 ERA -- IS the BEST in both leagues. What holds him back from receiving most of the Cy-speak is his 10 wins in 23 starts. Johnson has a career mark of 2-0 with a 1.65 ERA in double digit innings against the Reds.
Before his July 27th start against the Giants JJ had thrown 13 consecutive starts of two earned runs or less (and just one of those outings did he allow two runs in) and 18 straight quality efforts. He followed that string up with three runs allowed to San Fran, five to San Diego at PETCO and then went eight innings in his last start against the Cards allowing just two earned runs. Johnson’s 9.14 K/9, 1.97 BB/9, 49% GB Rate offers the top line in baseball this season, dominance in a nutshell, and as a result his FIP is an amazing 2.24.
Reds right-hander Edinson Volquez (2-1, 4.94) has been good since coming off the disabled list, but like most pitchers that are coming off of TJ surgery, command is an issue. Volquez has walked 19 in 23 2-3 innings since returning from the DL and faces a Florida group who still believes they have a shot at a Wild Card bid.
The Reds are not playing their best baseball right now while Florida is. Cincy has lost four straight at home and six of eight at GAB after starting 31-20 there. The Marlins have won six of seven on the road and four straight overall, matching their longest winning streak of the season. The addition of rookie Mike Stanton, Florida's 20-year-old rookie has helped the offense. Stanton, assisted in the team's three-game sweep at Washington this week, going 8 for 12 with three doubles, two homers and six RBI.
Volquez fired 6 2/3 innings of one-run ball Saturday against the Cubs. He struck out only two and walked four while allowing six hits. This was Volquez’s longest outing since returning to the rotation and his ERA and WHIP now sit at 4.94 and 1.77, respectively. Control continues to be an issue for Volquez as he entered Saturday’s start with a 7.65 BB/9 and proceeded to issue four more free passes to Chicago. Since Volquez has always posted higher BB/9 marks and control is usually the last and most difficult part of returning from Tommy John surgery, it’s not surprising to see the Reds righty struggle with locating pitches.
Additionally, playing on road favorites (Florida) that have won two straight games by four runs or more and start a pitcher with a road WHIP of 1.100 or less on the season against an NL team that starts a pitcher with an ERA of 4.00 or larger and walked twice as many batters as he struck out in his last start, this when oddsmakers open the money line at -125 or larger, has cashed at a 49-15 (77%) clip over the last 15 MLB campaigns.
Teddy Covers
Rangers
Bills / Redskins Over
NSA
20* Chiefs +3
20* Yanks -180
20* Rangers -135
Power Play Wins
Texas Rangers -128
MTi Sports
4* Cincinnati Reds
4* St Louis Cards
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
10* Atlanta Braves
MR EAST
NFL FRIDAY SUPER PLAY
3 UNITS - PHILADELPHIA EAGLES -195
A lot has been written about Andy Reid and his lack of desire to win football games, or even be competitive in the NFLX. he has compiled a 16-28 mark in these games over the last 11 years. He has bot won a week 1 game since 2003, so the Eagles have lost 6 straight openers. Sometimes numbers can be very misleading. The 16-28 SU mark is 18-24-2 ATS, but the real story, in what makes the numbers meaningless are this. It isn't like Reid is taking a knee in preseason like some teams do. They were 0-4 last year but scored 100 points, or 25 a game. He has had a veteran QB since 1999, and a veteran running back in Westbrook. He now has what is more or less a rookie QB, and young running back in LeSean McCoy. Back in 1999 when McNabb was a rookie, the Eagles went 3-1. He also was 4-2 in openers before the losing streak with a then veteran QB. He has had no reason to win since then, now he does again, get Kolb in the habit of feeling good and winning. Here is why the 6 straight opening week loses are meaningless. If Reid truly had a "take a knee" type attitude as many would suggest, why would he pass the ball 48 times, and churn 420 yards worth of offense? That isn't not caring, the results are happenstance, and have no value, based on conjecture, and misrepresentation of small sample sizes, but not clearly detailing objectives. Then there is the case of Jack Del Rio, who has the reputation at 18-10 to want these games. Does he really? David Garrard was the 3rd QB in rotation in the opener and threw all of 7 passes for 22 total yards! Does that say he is playing to win? The opener the year before against Atlanta they failed to cover as Gerrard threw for 44 yards, does that say he is after these games? The year before that he lost the opener to Miami as well, and Garrard played a lot, because guess what, like Kolb, he was going to be the QB. The bottomline is the Eagles will win this game, and I'll grab them on the moneyline.