Marc Lawrence
Florida -13
When Florida takes on Cincinnati in the Sugar Bowl Friday evening it will be under a litany on and off the field happenings. For starters, Bearcats' head coach took the money and ran to Notre Dame, leaving his undefeated squad high and dry in its biggest game ever in school history. We’re disappointed in Kelly’s decision not to wait but that has no bearing on our decision to back the Gators in Tim Tebow’s final sendoff. Ironically, the Bearcats are in good hands as OC Jeff Quinn will once again assume the interim duties. Quinn led the Chippewas to a Motor City Bowl win after Kelly’s departure in 2006 and will be shuffling off to Buffalo at the conclusion of this game to take over the Bulls program. Make no mistake, however – Quinn is no Urban Meyer, who boasts a spectacular 28-4-1 ATS log outside of his conference, including 5-0-1 ATS versus undefeated foes. Meyer is also a ridiculous 9-1 ATS when his opponent’s win percentage is greater than his, including 7-0 ATS with the Gators. In addition, Meyer is not intimidated at all by unbeaten opposition, posting a rock solid 12-4 SU and 11-3-2 ATS log. Meyer's own off the field announcement shook things up in Gainseville but he will be on the sidelines in this game before taking a 'leave of absence'. Cincy’s putrid 1-6 ATS mark as bowlers this decade and the Big East’s 4-12 ATS record as dogs of more than six points adds to the Gator aid. The clincher is this Super System from our database. It tells us to: Play On any college bowl team off a SU and ATS loss that allows less than 15 PPG if they allowed more than 15 points in its last game and is facing an opponent off a win that allows more than 15 PPG. That's because these teams are 19-0-1 ATS if they were favored or dogs of less than 10 points in the loss and their opponent scored less than 50 points in its win. Our gut feeling here is the senior-laden Gators (18 returning starters) will look to send Tebow off the winner that he is and make amends for Alabama’s gaffe in last year’s Sugar Bowl. We recommend a 3-unit play on Florida.
Rocketman
Florida -12.5
A lot going on in this game. First, Cincinnati Head Coach Brian Kelly took off for Notre Dame and I think this is a HUGE loss for Cincinnati. Then you have the Urban Meyer deal where he was going to step down as Head Coach and then came back and stated he was just going to take an extended leave of absence. Tim Tebow will be playing his final game as a Florida Gator and he will do everything in his power to go out a HUGE winner here tonight. Florida is 17-5 ATS last 3 years when playing against a team with a winning record. Florida is 25-12 ATS last 3 years in all games. Florida is 5-1 ATS last 3 years when playing with 2 weeks or more rest. Florida is 9-2 ATS last 3 years in non-conference games. Florida is scoring 34.7 points per game overall while allowing only 11.5 points per game overall this season. We'll play Florida for 3 units tonight!
Ron Raymond
Ohio State / Oregon Under 51
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Road team - Vs Non Division Opponent - During the month of January - During Week 16 to 20 - Coming off 1 under - Scored 10 points or less AGAINST in their last game; the UNDER is 7-3-0 for the Road Team (Ohio State) in this spot.
When the Buckeyes face a Pac 10 team, the UNDER is 7-2-0 and it’s a perfect 4-0-0 if they are an UNDERDOG!
My ATSCalculator numbers have this total landing on 46.38 points.
Take the UNDER.
Lenny Del Genio
Ohio State +4.5
This game is an interesting contrast of styles. It would be easy to look at Oregon's 47-20 win over a USC team that won in Columbus back in September and make the call to lay the short number with the Ducks, but betting is not supposed to be that easy. This has clearly been a bad bowl season for the Pac 10 with Oregon State, California and Arizona all getting blown out in embarrassing fashion, missing the spread by a collossal 70 points. If you want to look at early season results, how about Oregon's 19-8 loss at Boise in the opener? It was the only time all season that the Ducks were held under 24 points all season and just the 2nd time they were held below 30 points. Ohio State brings a great defense to Pasadena. They didn't allow a single opponent to score more than 27 all year and that was in the opener against the difficult to prepare for Navy triple option. They had three shutouts and seven opponents were held to 18 points or less in total. Jim Tressel, who did win a National Title in 2003, has to return to his winning ways in bowl games, no? We cashed the Buckeyes in a 24-21 Fiesta Bowl loss (+8) last year, which made it three BCS bowl losses in a row for the program. That lack of recent success is the only reason why OSU is the underdog here and we like them to win outright against a favorite that was 0-3 ATS on the road vs. bowl teams this year. Take Ohio State.
Street Rosenthal
*200 LSU -1
*200 Florida State +3
*200 Oregon -4
*200 Florida -13
*200 Orlando Magic -8
Trey Scott
*200 Indiana State +1
*200 Purdue -4
*200 New Mexico -7
BLAZER
5* Bowl GOY Florida St
4* NW
3* LSU
Primetime Sports Advisors
Northwestern +8.5
W.V. -2.5
Penn St +1
Oregon -4 *POD
Creighton PK
Sportsbetsnow
2 Units Purdue -4.5
Teddy Covers
Northwestern
Ohio State
LSU
Illinois State
FantasySportsGametime
100* Play Northwestern (+8) over Auburn
Northwestern has covered the spread in 5 consecutive games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points and they have won and covered the spread in 3 consecutive games. Auburn has lost 5 of the last 7 games and they have also lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread coming off a loss by 6 points or less.
100* Play LSU (+2) over Penn State
LSU has covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games coming off a home win by 3 points or less and they have also won 16 of the last 20 games coming off an OVER the total. LSU has won 4 of the last 5 games vs. Big Ten Conference Opponents and they are only allowing an average of 16 points a game on defense this season.
100* Play Florida State (+2.5) over West Virginia
Florida State has won and covered the spread in 3 consecutive games as a neutral field underdog and they have also won 4 of the last 5 games coming off a bye week. Florida State has won 12 of the last 14 games after allowing 37 points or more in their last game and they have also won 5 of the last 6 games after allowing 275 or more rushing yards in their last game.
100* Play Ohio State (+4.5) over Oregon
Ohio State has covered the spread in 9 of the last 11 games and they have also won 16 of the last 19 games coming off an UNDER the total. Ohio State has won 16 of the last 19 games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards in their last game and they are only allowing an average of 12 points a game on defense this season.
100* Play Cincinnati (+12.5) over Florida
Cincinnati is a perfect 12-0 this season and they have also won 15 of the last 17 games coming off an OVER the total. Cincinnati has won 16 of the last 18 non-conference games and they are averaging over 39 points a game on offense this season.
Score
750% Florida
400% LSU
300% West Va
300% Ohio St
Heisman Trophy Club
10* LSU
Evan Altemus
LSU PK
Penn State simply isn’t as good as most people think they are. They were severely outclassed this season when they faced their two toughest teams on the schedule in Iowa and Ohio State. Those teams are even as physical or dominant as LSU either, which makes you wonder about this point spread. Everyone doubted LSU last year in their bowl game against Georgia Tech, but the Tigers came out and completely destroyed an overmatched Yellow Jackets team. Penn State has dearly missed their play making wide receivers this season, as they haven’t been able to open things up as much this year. The Nittany Lions really struggled when they can’t run the football, and they won’t be able to against a stout LSU rush defense. Meanwhile, the Tigers are being disrespected by the oddsmakers here based on how they finished the season. However, they were very competitive in all three losses, including a very close loss to defending national champion Florida. Look for LSU to dominate this game and get the win.
4 UNIT SELECTION LSU
3 UNIT SELECTION OREGON
Seabass
300* WVU
50* LSU