Karl Garrett
20 DIMER - NEVADA WOLF PACK
Have to lay the wood tonight, as Nevada showed some serious bite last week in rolling UNLV, that after their 0-3 start to the campaign.
Louisiana Tech has been off since their impressive showing at home in a win, and cover over Hawaii, but the Bulldogs and the road has NOT been a good mix lately, as they are just 1-8-1 against the spread their last 10 on the road.
Also not in Tech's favor is the fact they have lost the last 4 in this series, covering just once in those 4 games.
Nevada should be able to run the ball at will on this defense, as both Auburn, and Navy went hog-wild on the ground against La Tech.
Finally, the Wolf Pack are on a 16-3 spread run their last 19 played in Reno. Expect MacKay Stadium to be roaring loudly for the home team in this rout.
Take the 'Pack minus the points on Friday night.
Chris Jordan
100♦ RED SOX
50♦ NEVADA FIRST HALF
Anthony Redd
20 Dime Nevada First Half
10 Dime Nevada
Freddy Wills
Take Angels +100 8** MLB POD + Under 8 runs 2** Bonus
I have to tell you that this is not the same Red Sox team that won the 2 world series. I actually believe they get swept in this series. The Angels are a hungry bunch of players and yesterday I told you how big Bobby Abreu was to this team. His stats won't light up the scoreboard, but drawing walks in that game was a big part of why the Angels won. I actually waited a long time for the Red Sox not to be the team they were during my six years of college when they won 2 world series. It was annoying and I'm not a Red Sox hater by any stretch of imagination, but I'm glad to see them on their way out as I feel it will be after tonight.
A lot of people were shocked about last night's game but not me. Red Sox are just 3-13 since the All Star Break on the road against teams with winning records. They are 7-15 in their last 22 meetings in LA. Let's just throw out the "hex" or whatever you want to call it because this Angels team is flat out a better team than the Red Sox. First sign of that is the line we get here today I think most people would be giving the Red Sox the edge behind Josh Beckett and public bettors still are but I'm not buying it. Beckett on the road had a 4.13 ERA this year and he was hit hard many times! Although I think he comes up with a big performance against the Angels tonight it won't be nearly enough. In his last 5 starts vs. the Angels he has a 6.17 ERA. In his road starts opponents are hitting 55 points higher in average in just 3 less innings pitched. Why do I like the under then? Beckett is one of the best pitchers in post season history. He's not a bum by any stretch of the imagination I think he'll pitch well giving up 2-3 runs or so, but again that won't be enough with Weaver on the mound at home. I have been on the wrong side with Becket when I thought he would give the Red Sox a much needed win after a loss like he has so many times in the past and it cost me money! Not again tonight I'm not falling into the Beckett trap here tonight.
Jered Weaver at home this year has a 2.82 ERA with a 9-3 record. He had 2 great starts vs. the Red Sox this year 13.2 IP 8 hits, 3 BB and 12K's both home starts. Red Sox again don't hit righties on the road approaching under 4 runs per game per 9 innings vs. RHP this year. I'm just not buying them to revive themselves now 4 games under .500 on the road the Angels can smell the win. Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 with Becket as a dog and 0-4 in his last 4 on the road vs. a team with a winning record.
The Under- Under is 21-5-1 in Red Sox last 27 as a rod dog, and 13-6-2 in their last 21 playoff games as a dog. Under is 20-7-1 in Becket's last 28 games when opponents scores 5R + in previous game. Angels on the other hand are under 16-4-1 in their last 21 when their opponents score 2 runs or less in previous game. They are under 15-5-1 last 21 vs. RH starter which shows that they hit lefties just a little better.
Coach Ron Meyer
5* L Tech +10.5
C-Star Sports
50 Units Minnesota/Yankees under 9.5
50 units Red Sox Over Angles
50 units Nevada/Louisiana Tech over the total
Bob Balfe
NY Yankees -1.5
Black Widow
6* Widow Wiseguy WAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Louisiana Tech +10.5
LA Tech should not be a double-digit dog to a 1-3 Nevada team Friday. Yes, the Wolf Pack did pick up their first win of the season last week with a 63-28 trouncing of UNLV. But that game was 35-28 heading into the fourth quarter, much closer than the final score indicated. You can't forget that Nevada was shut out by Notre Dame 35-0 and lost at Colorado State 35-20. This team is not 10 points better than LA Tech, if they are better at all. Tech improved to 2-2 this season after losing to Auburn and Navy in their first two games with a 27-6 win over Hawaii. Their defense is the real deal, allowing just 22.0 points/game and 380 yards/game this season. Nevada his giving up 32.2 points/game and 429 total yards/game this year. Offensively, both teams are very equal with the Bulldogs putting up 25.5 points/game and Nevada 26.0 points/game. So the advantage in this game lies with LA Tech's defense and their ability to slow down this Nevada offense. This is also a revenge game for the Bulldogs, who lost to Nevada 35-31 last year. The Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games. The Wolf Pack are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Wolf Pack are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win. Nevada is getting way too much respect here following their blowout win last week, but the odds makers must have forgotten that this team is 1-3 on the season. Take LA Tech and the points.
Billy Coleman
4* Minn / NYY Under 10
MTi Sports
4* Yankees Under
3* Angels
SSG/Halfbets
Minnesota vs NY Yankees - 6pm
PICK: Over 9.5 (9*) BBD
PICK: Minnesota RL +140 (4*)
Jimmy Boyd
3* Game 2 ALDS SMASH Red Sox +104
I can't see the Red Sox going away quietly after getting shut out last night, especially with Beckett on the hill. Beckett is one of the best we've ever seen in October, going 7-2 with a 2.90 ERA in 13 career starts in the postseason. The Red Sox are 10-1 in Beckett's last 11 starts with 5 days of rest which tells me that he really thrives with a fresh arm. Take the Sox showing great value.
Chris James Sports
3* Minnesota Twins +270
2* La Tech/Nevada Over 57
Stephen Nover
10-Dime Nevada Wolfpack - Perfect so far this week with winners on Troy and Nebraska, I'm aiming to go 3-0 by cashing on Nevada.
The Wolf Pack have their swagger back after destroying archrival UNLV last Saturday at home, 63-38. Nevada rushed for a staggering 559 yards. That was without the WAC's leading rusher from a year ago, Vai Taua. He's expected to be ready for this matchup.
Louisiana Tech has had problems stopping the run giving up 301 yards rushing to Auburn and 290 to Navy.
Under Chris Ault, Nevada is at its best as a home favorite covering 16 of the past 19 times in that role. Louisiana Tech is 10-26 against the spread in its last 36 road contests. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in 24 of their last 29 road games when getting points.
Nevada destroyed Louisiana Tech, 49-10, when it hosted them two years ago. The Bulldogs have lost in their last four meetings to Nevada by an average margin of 23.7 points.
Louisiana Tech can be tough in Ruston, but have proven weak on the road. The Bulldogs have been outscored 69-27 in two road games this season, losing both and failing to cover the spread in either one.
The Wolf Pack have tremendous balance with their ground attack and the passing of Chris Kaepernick, the WAC Offensive Player of the Year last season. Nevada is on a roll now after losing road games to Notre Dame and Colorado State and then playing Missouri to a near stand still at home.
Louisiana Tech is not good at playing from behind. The Bulldogs have only three touchdown passes in four games. Look for Nevada to record its second straight blowout victory.
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
La Tech vs. Nevada
Play: 9* Nevada -10.5
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this game is on the home side: In desperate need of a victory, the Wolf Pack answered the call with an impressive effort last week and on national TV and in front of the home town crowd, I look for them to carry that momentum into this evenings game. Nevada rushed for a school record 559 yards en route to a 63-28 victory in their rivalry game vs. UNLV; the Wolf Pack exploded for 42 second-half points to keep the Fremont Cannon for a fifth consecutive year. A school-record three backs rushed for more than 100 yards with running backs Mike Ball (184) and Luke Lippincott (173) and quarterback Colin Kaepernick (170) all surpassing the 170-yard mark. Kaepernick also showed that he's broken out of his early season slump by completing 15-of-18 passes. The offensive line was exceptional and pivotal for the Wolf Pack’s impressive rushing performance as Nevada averaged 10.2 yards per carry on 55 rushing attempts. On the other side of the field: Louisiana Tech did a good job of slowing down Hawaii's pass attack last week, but has had difficulties stopping teams which are run oriented. Louisiana Tech started the season 0-2 after two tough road games at Auburn and at Navy where it was outscored 27-69 and gave up 591 total rushing yards. Not only is Louisiana Tech just 2-8 SU its last ten on the road, its an even worse 1-9 ATS its last ten away from friendly confines. Bottom line: I believe Louisiana Tech will continue to struggle on the road and expect the Wolf Pack to cut down on its undisciplined ways and keep up its strong running game; look for NEVADA to improve to 2-1 ATS this season as a favorite and for Louisiana Tech to fall to 0-3 ATS this season when playing the roll of underdog!