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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Friday, September 17,2010

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Chris Jordan

200* Nevada

200* Phillies -1.5

200* Twins

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 12:15 pm
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The King Maker

10* California -2.5

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 1:17 pm
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Point Train

4 Units Southern Miss (-5.5) over Kansas

Southern Miss catches Kansas in a terrible spot here. KU managed just 293 total yards and three points in their loss to FCS North Dakota in week one. They bounced back in a “must win” situation against the defending ACC Champs – Georgia Tech – with a 28-25 upset at home. KU was out-gained by the Yellow Jackets, but held a lead in the 4th and forced 2nd highest pass attempt total for GT in the past two years (GT is a heavy run-first team). Now they have a short week of practice and have to travel to Southern Miss for their first road game of the season.

SM was out-played at South Carolina in their first game of the season but bounced back with a huge win over FCS Prairie View A&M last week. They were able to work out the problems with their offense and now have a good feel coming into their first big home game.

SM was a 13 point underdog when they traveled to Kansas last season. SM held a lead late in the 3rd quarter but allowed two late touchdowns and lost by 7. KU lost a lot of firepower from last years team and are still trying to get associated with their new head coach. KU’s freshmen QB will struggle in his first road test in primetime Friday night and SMU will get the revenge win tonight.

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 1:19 pm
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Bobby Dalton

10* Nevada +3

5* Southern Miss -6

5* Minnesota Twins -120

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 1:21 pm
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Scott Rickenbach

Orioles Over

Red Sox Over

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 1:25 pm
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John Fina

Nevada

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 2:28 pm
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Bob Balfe

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5

The Phillies have been red hot and have started to find their bats or at least are hitting better than they were a few weeks ago. Washington is not a very good team on the road and Roy Oswalt is in the zone, winning his last 3 starts. I expect him to continue his dominance again. Take Philadelphia -1.5.

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 2:58 pm
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Mike Lineback

Cardinals +1.5

Giants

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 3:01 pm
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Bobby Maxwell

400 Units - Nevada

Everyone knows Nevada can light up a scoreboard, the question coming into the season was “how good is the Wolf Pack defense?” Saturday, they showed us they can play a little defense, limiting Colorado State to two field goals and just 272 yards of offense in a 51-6 home blowout of the Rams.

Tonight should be very interesting, as a high-powered Cal squad head to Reno to take on Nevada. I’m thinking this game becomes a real shootout and with QB Colin Kaepernick running on all cylinders, I’m going to grab the points and play the Wolf Pack in this one.

Kaepernick put his stamp on the Colorado State game early, rattling off a 57-yard run on the second play of the game to set the tone for the blowout. He finished the game with 161 yards rushing on 11 carries and scored twice. Then with his arm he completed 21 of 29 passes for 241 yards and two more scores, accounting for 402 yards of total offense. Through two games this season, Kaepernick is completing better than 70 percent of his throws and he is just the ninth player in NCAA history to run for 3,000 yards and throw for 3,000 yards in a career.

Defensively, the two new safeties in the lineup, Marlon Johnson and Duke Williams, combined for 12 tackles against Colorado State and they will get plenty of work against Cal as the Bears have scored 52 points in each of their first two games, beating UC Davis 52-3 and beating Colorado on Saturday 52-7.

Key for Nevada tonight will be DE Dontay Moch, the returning WAC defensive player of the year. He is going to have to get after Cal QB Kevin Riley who has already thrown for seven TD passes, including four against Colorado on Saturday.

Defensively, the Bears are using a new scheme and so far it seems to be working as they’ve only allowed 10 points this season. But UC Davis and Colorado have nowhere near the firepower of the Wolf Pack. And the Bears also don’t have the offensive weapons that Nevada does. Young receivers and a running game that isn’t all that good is going to cost them tonight. RB Shane Vereen had just 67 yards in the opener and managed just 59 against Colorado on 16 carries.

Cal has not done well against teams from the WAC, going 0-5 ATS the last five matchups, and they also struggle on the highway at just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 on the road.

Nevada is on several positive ATS streaks, including 26-12 at home, 5-0 after a straight-up win, 4-1 on Fridays and 8-3 at home against teams with a winning road record.

More bullets in the gun of Nevada. I’m grabbing the points and playing the Wolf Pack at home tonight.

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 3:03 pm
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3G Sports

10* TOY - Yanks/Orioles Over 9.5

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 3:35 pm
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KELSO

5 Units Southern Miss Golden Eagles -5.5
5 Units California Golden Bears -2.5

25 Units Colorado Rockies -135
15 Units Minnesota Twins -120
10 Units SF Giants -115

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 3:37 pm
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MTI Sports

4* Dodgers

4* Rangers

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 3:43 pm
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The Duke's Sports

California Over 65' for 2 Units

Both of these offenses are explosive and the jury is not out on the defenses. Yes, California's defense has scored more TDs than they allowed but UC Davis and Colorado do not nearly exhibit the offensive strength that Nevada does. The Wolf Pack offense is a veteran unit that is at full strength early, unlike last season. Nevada's versatile QB Kaepernick runs Ault's Pistol offense to perfection and California's defense will thoroughly be tested after ravaging two lightweight offensive teams. On the other hand, the Golden Bears' offense is also a veteran unit running a pro style offense with a handful of play-makers. And QB Riley makes very good decisions and has an accurate arm (7 TDs / 0 INTs). Nevada's defense under 1st year DC Buh will be in for a long night. California is 19-7 O/U after allowing less than 20 points in previous game. Nevada is 5-1 O/U after allowing less than 20 points in previous game. We'll look for the scoreboard to light up tonight.

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 3:44 pm
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Triple Crown Sports

4* Reds Under

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 4:22 pm
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Five Star Sports

Kansas/S Mississippi Over 51.5

 
Posted : September 17, 2010 4:26 pm
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