ALATEX
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Superplay: Minnesota -3
WUNDERDOG
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Tulsa at Tulane
4 units Tulsa -13.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
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The Green Wave have now completed their sixth-consecutive losing season, and last year was perhaps their worst at 2-10. What made it worse was the way that they finished the season with eight straight losses. The offense has some key components back from last year, but how much better is this team going to get? They gained just 221.2 yards a game last year, scoring just 16.7 points per game. In their final two games they were outscored 101-13. The Green Wave defense remains in turmoil after allowing 40+ in six of their last eight games. For the third straight year, this team will have a new defensive coordinator, so anyone that has been around here for three years must be completely confused. Tulane is just 54-78 ATS as an underdog over the past fifteen years. Tulsa has become a constant figure in the Bowls with four straight appearances and 38 wins in the last four years. The Golden Hurricane have led the NCAA in total offense the last two years with their hurry-up tactics and no huddle offense. Despite a different offensive coordinator, I don't expect things to change much. All three of their talented wideouts are back, so expect this team to score again. Tulsa has the potential for a third straight Conference USA Title, and should be the better team by far on both sides of the ball and they'll get it done on the road here.
Gamblers Ally
3* Cowboys
3* Tulane
igz1 sports
3* San Francisco +4
Vegas Sports Experts
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3* Take Tampa Bay (-3) over Houston (NFL)
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· 3-0 SU & ATS in pre-season coming off a loss
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· 7-1 ATS in pre-season coming off a Thursday game
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· 2-0 SU & ATS in pre-season when playing in the final week of the pre-season
Brandon Lang
5 DIMER - SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS - I will roll the dice with the red-hot Barry Zito, and a Giants team battling for the wild card spot.
After struggling a bit in the first half, he has been as hot as I have after the all-star break going 4-2 with a 1.92 ERA in nine starts allowing more than 2 earned runs only once in this run.
Mr. Zito is also 1-0 his last 3 starts, allowing just 2 earned over 20 1/3 innings giving up just 2 earned. Absolutely rock solid!
Wish I could say the same about Jeff Suppan, who despite beating the Pirates his last start 4-1, has still been getting lit lately.
Prior to beating the light-hitting Pirates, he was 0-4 with a 6.70 ERA in his previous nine starts, and I feel a lot of that is due to his time on the DL recently due to a strained oblique muscle.
Suppan is 3-6 with a 5.86 ERA in 10 starts against the Giants, and 0-2 with a 10.24 ERA against them this year.
He escaped bases-loaded jams in Pittsburgh, but won't be able to escape them tonight as the Giants get a much needed win in this NL Wild card race.
Zito over Suppan is the play.
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (Zito over Suppan)
5 DIMER - TEXAS RANGERS - Feldman is on fire on the road!
No other way around it.
He hasn't surrendered a run in his last two road starts, and in getting a pair of road wins against the Rays and the Twins, he allowed just 8 hits over 12 2-3 shutout innings.
Feldman is 6-0 with a 1.60 ERA in his previous six road outings, and I think the world is aware he is trying to become the first Ranger pitcher to win seven straight on the road since Bobby Witt did it in 1990.
An even more astounding number is the fact Feldman is 10-1 with a 2.75 ERA in 12 road starts overall this year. Unreal just how hot he has been on the highway all year long.
Even more in his favor is his first road win of the season was against the Orioles back in April allowing a run and four hits over five innings of a 6-5 victory.
This Baltimore team is imploding right before our very eyes. They have truly mailed it in as evidenced by their performance on Wednesday.
Trailing 3-2 in the top of the 9th they proceeded to give up a 7-spot to the Yankees and lose 10-3. Their team ERA is the worst in the American League.
Tillman goes for the Orioles but at this point it really doesn't matter what the starter does, the O's have no bullpen. NONE.
This game, much like the Giants above is about one team going in one direction and the other going the opposite way.
Rangers and Feldman get it done.
TEXAS RANGERS (Feldman over Tillman)
5 DIMER - TULSA-TULANE UNDER - I just don't see how these two are going to combine to get over this number tonight?!?!?
Not once did Tulane combine with anyone on their schedule last year to get over this number they have posted tonight and under Bob Toledo, their defense has always started off the year solidly.
In his previous 3 years, Toledo and his Tulane defense never sniffed 64 combined points, and last year at Alabama in their season opener they lost 20-6 as his defense played spectacular.
On the other side of the coin, Tulsa has huge question marks on their offensive line and a brand new QB. On the road against a Tulane defensive line ready to go, they will struggle on offense.
Sometimes the linemaker in Vegas can put up a number based on past performance, and/or reputation, and I really feel that is the case here with Tulsa.
They come into Tulane with just 5 starters back on offense, but 8 on the defensive side, a defense that really improved the last 3 games of the year.
Tulane will try to establish the run, while I really feel on the road with a new QB, and an inexperienced offensive line Tulsa will just not be able to open it up like they have before.
On the college football card last night you had 5 games with a posted total, and 4 of those 5 held UNDER, and I mean way UNDER, while the Utah St/Utah game fell right on the number.
For me, Tulane at home, first game of the year, UNDER is the way to go, just like the ball games last night.
TULSA-TULANE UNDER THE TOTAL
FREE SELECTION - ARIZONA-COLORADO UNDER
Dave Malinsky
Top of the Ticket - Side 4* San Francisco Giants (Zito)-105 over MILWAUKEE BREWERS (Suppan)
The last time Barry Zito took the mound we cashed a 6* ticket behind him, noting that the markets had not caught up with a run that now sees him at 4-2/1.92 since the All Star break. Now we again have a game that is not priced properly, with Zito not only under-valued, but with Jeff Suppan?s awful form not being recognized for what it is. Suppan began to fall off the table late last season, with an 0-3/8.44 September a sign that the best of his career was behind him, and in going 6-8/5.20 so far this season he does not show the stuff to stay in a Major League rotation, especially with only strikeouts in 124.2 innings, to go along with 61 walks. But in terms of current form the clouds are even darker. After a stint on the DL he was sent to the Minors for a couple of rehab starts, and they were awful ? he allowed nine runs on 13 hits over seven innings, not showing anything either time. Yet he was called back up anyway, and had the great luck of the draw to get home games against feeble Pittsburgh and Cincinnati offenses. But there is still nothing there. He may have sported a 1-0/4.35 for those two games but take a closer look ? he allowed 17 hits in 10.1 innings, with a horrific ratio of eight walks vs. only one strikeout. To turn a 2.42 WHIP into a 4.35 allowance is pure sleight of hand, but it is also something that you can get away with against weak competition, and in truth the level of competition faced by Suppan all season has been awful ? of the 112 pitchers that have worked at least 112 innings, his difficulty of batters faced is #106. To sport a 5.20 ERA against that class speaks volumes for just how little he has left in the tank.
JAMES MANOS
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Twins at Indians
Pick: Indians -104
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Cleveland returns home after being swept in Detroit but in that series the Indians were much more competitive than the sweep suggests. The Indians will send lefty Sowers to the mound and he'll get to face a Minnesota lineup that is just 20-26 SU vs lefty starters. I like what I've seen from Cleveland since they made some trades and went with a more youthful linuep.
Savannah Sports
3* Tulane +14
Eric Degarde
3* Florida -125
3* Philadelphia -120
Kelso
15 Units La Angels (-155) over Royals
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from right to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.
Fantasy Sports Gametime
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100* Play Tulsa (-13.5) over Tulane
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Tulsa has won 8 of the last 10 games when the total posted is between 63.5 and 70 points and they have also won 3 consecutive games when playing in the 1st two weeks of the season. Tulsa has won 18 of the last 21 games when playing on artificial turf and they averaged over 47 points a game on offense last season.
Stan Lisowski
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4* TEXAS -125
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Baltimore is just 18-25 in game 1 of a series. The visitor has taken 5 of the 7 meetings this year.Rangers like Feldman on the mound, as they have won 17 of his 24 starts overall, and an awesome 11 of 12 outings on the road! In those away starts, he has a 2.92 ERA. O’s meanwhile have dropped Tillman’s last 3 appearances and are only 2-5 in his 7 starts this season.
Bryan Leonard
New York at Toronto
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After cashing with the Yankees yesterday we return to the scene of the crime once again on Friday for another best bet selection. Both teams are throwing powerful right-handed starters but it's the offenses that could be in for a big day.
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The Yankees send Joba Chamberlain to the hill and he has been pitiful since the team decided to install the Joba rules. In order to save his arm and limit his innings the youngster has really struggled to get in a rhythm. In his last five starts he has allowed 21 earned runs in only 23 innings of work. Just as telling is his strikeout to walk ratio of 18 to 15. That's 18 strikeouts in 23 innings from this young fireballer. He's faced the Jays twice this season allowing 7 earned runs in 9.2 innings of work. Toronto has scored 31 runs in their last five games so Chamberlain could once again be in for a short night.
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Roy Halladay takes the hill for Toronto and he has really struggled since coming off the trade market. In his last three starts he's allowed 15 earned runs in just 17 innings of work. In his last two starts against the Yankees he's allowed 9 earned runs in 16 innings. In a major coincidence he faced New York on July 4th, August 4th and today is September 4th. While it doesn't have anything to do with today's handicap we just thought it was kind of strange.
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Simply put the Yankees are knocking the cover off the ball right now. In their last 13 games they have scored 106 runs, an average of 8.2 runs per game. With Doc not at his best we can see that Yankee offensive steamroller continuing. This game is being priced based on starting pitcher history and neither of these hurlers are in good form. The offenses dominate here as this one flies over the posted total.
PLAY OVER
Insider Sports Report
4* Boston Red Sox -120 over Chicago White Sox
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3* Tulsa -14 Over Tulane
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3* Dallas Cowboys/Minnesota Vikings Under 36
HalfBets
8* Chicago/NY Over 8.5
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7* Phillies/Astros Under 7.5
4* Tampa Bay/Houston Under 34
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4* Chargers -3.5