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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, December 27,2010

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The Duke's Sports

New Orleans (+2') for 1.5 Units

We realize that the Falcons are rolling on an 8-0 SU run and Atlanta's QB Ryan is nearly unbeatable (19-1 SU) at the Georgia Dome. Nevertheless, we'll look for them to hit a snag here. If you recall, the Saints were the last team to beat the Falcons at the Georgia Dome, even though that was without Ryan. The Saints are dangerous in this spot: they're 16-5 ATS off a SU loss and looking to avenge the earlier season 27-24 OT loss. New Orleans is 7-1 ATS as a dog with revenge against an opponent greater than .500. The Saints are also 7-2 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games. Moreover, the Saints are in more need of this game than the Falcons. To control their own destiny, the Saints need to win one of their last two games. And vengeful Tampa Bay is definitely not a given. Atlanta, however, is in complete control of the NFC South, and with one more win they'll lock up home field advantage throughout the playoffs with lightweight Carolina on deck. With Atlanta at 9-19-1 ATS at home vs a team with a winning road record, we're going to play the Saints, who have a bit more urgency to win this.

 
Posted : December 27, 2010 7:13 pm
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Lenny Del Genio

Dallas / Oklahoma City Under 203.5

The Mavs are a top five team in points allowed and defensive field goal percentage this season. These teams had gone Under in each of the three prior meetings here in Oklahoma City before last month's meeting. Play are rated 10* (Game of Day), 15* (Game of Week), 20* (Game of Month) and some rare 25* plays. Good luck. Under Dallas/Oklahoma City is our 20* Western Conference Total of the Month.

 
Posted : December 27, 2010 7:13 pm
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Rocketman

3* Colorado -110

Colorado is 14-5 this year when playing against a team with a winning record. Red Wings are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. Western Conference. Red Wings are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog. Red Wings are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Red Wings are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win. Avalanche are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Avalanche are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Avalanche are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Avalanche are 15-4 in their last 19 Monday games. Avalanche are 6-2 in their last 8 overall. Avalanche are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. Central. Avalanche are 7-3 in their last 10 home games. Favorite is 16-7 in the last 23 meetings.

 
Posted : December 27, 2010 7:13 pm
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Greg Roberts

4* New Orleans +2.5

 
Posted : December 27, 2010 7:13 pm
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Jimmy Boyd

3* Mavericks / Thunder Under 202

The fact that Dallas won the season's first meeting at OKC plays right into our hands here. Consider that plays Under on all teams when the total is greater than or equal to 200 revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite, provided that team has won 60-75% or more of its games on the season, are 87-43 the last 5 seasons (66.9%). This system is already 2-0 this season. The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these teams in Oklahoma City. Odds makers have set the bar too high tonight. Bet the Under

 
Posted : December 27, 2010 7:13 pm
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Steve Corsi

Saints +3

 
Posted : December 27, 2010 7:13 pm
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Sports Unlimited

NO Saints
Oklahoma City Thunder
Pittsburgh Panthers

 
Posted : December 27, 2010 7:13 pm
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Ben Burns

10* Sacramento -1.5

 
Posted : December 27, 2010 8:02 pm
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