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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, December 7,2009

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(@blade)
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Power Play Wins

AUBURN -4

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 1:06 pm
(@blade)
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Blade,

I'm not sure where you were getting the Maximus Report but on SBR he's been outted as a scammer...just an FYI as I noticed you had started posting.

Aren't they all 😀

Thanks for the heads up.

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 1:07 pm
(@mr-nascar)
Posts: 128
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"Aren't they all"

Notice no question mark after the word "all." It was not unintentional.

Blade, as usual, dead-on . . .

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 1:15 pm
(@blade)
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These fly by night services are so easy to figure out, just do a whois and they are easy to spot.

This clown didn't even hide his personal info. 😀

themaximusreport.com
created: 20-Nov-2009
last-changed: 20-Nov-2009
registration-expiration: 20-Nov-2010

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 1:20 pm
(@blade)
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The Booooj

20 Units Green Bay -3.5

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 1:22 pm
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Ben Burns

10* Ravens/Packers Over

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 1:53 pm
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Green Bay -3.5

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the home side:

Baltimore is coming off a 20-17 overtime win over Pittsburgh last Sunday, but has alternated wins and losses over their last five games.

I'm not reading too much into Baltimore's victory last week and believe it will struggle on the road in this hostile environment.

Keep in mind the Ravens are 2-4 SU their last six on the road and 2-4 ATS their last six vs. the Packers.

On the other side of the field: Green Bay (7-4) currently holds one of the wild-card spots in the NFC and looks for a fourth straight victory after a 34-12 Thanksgiving Day rout of Detroit.

Aaron Rodgers was 28 of 39 for 348 yards with a career-high-tying three TD's, Donald Driver caught seven passes for 142 yards with a TD and cornerback Charles Woodson had a sack, a forced fumble, a fumble recovery and two INT's - one returned for a TD; I believe this team is finally hitting its stride and will continue to build momentum.

Under coordinator Dom Capers’ 3-4 system, Green Bay allows an NFL-low 281.5 yards per game and has nine takeaways during the three-game winning streak.

Keep in mind Green Bay always plays tough at home; 5-2 SU its last seven overall and 5-2 SU its last seven at Lambeau.

Bottom line: Green Bay is 2-1 all-time versus the Ravens and won the last meeting 48-3 at Baltimore on Dec. 19, 2005; look for GREEN BAY to improve to 4-2 ATS in home games this season and for Baltimore to fall to a horrible 2-6 ATS this season when playing against a team with a winning record!

10* PACKERS

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 2:11 pm
(@blade)
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Marc Lawrence

Green Bay -3

A nice spot for the Packers, returning home off Thanksgiving Day win at Detroit to host the Ravens, off a playoff-loss revenge win at home over the Steelers. Aside from Baltimore’s 1-4 SU and ATS record after the Steelers when facing winning teams, they face the ‘Mike Tomlin’ factor head-on in this fray. That’s because teams are 9-16 SU and 6-19 ATS in games after facing Tomlin’s troops, including 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS for AFC North teams. Meanhwile, the Packers are 7-1 in their last eight games 'in The Stats', with the only loss by four yards to the Vikings. They are also 9-1 ATS in December home games with a .500 or greater record when off back-to-back wins. The clincher comes from our database as it tells us to: Play On any Monday night non-division home dog or favorite of five or less points off a division road win. That’s because these teams are 12-1 SU and 12-0-1 ATS if they are off a win of more than seven points and the Over/Under total in the game is 38 or more points. Back the Pack here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Green Bay.

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 2:11 pm
(@blade)
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Ron Raymond

Spurs/Jazz Over 194

When UTAH team played as a Home team - Last 2 years - After a division game - Coming off a Road loss; the OVER is 7-3-0 for the L2Y in this role.

My ATS Calculator numbers has this total landing on 196.96.

Take the OVER.

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 2:12 pm
(@blade)
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Evan Altemus

Oklahoma City -7

Oklahoma City is coming off of an embarrassing home loss to Boston, in a game that the played horribly. As a result, the Thunder will bring a strong effort in this game to make up for that performance. Golden State is still very banged up, and they have the worst defense in the league. That defense is absolutely abysmal on the road as well. Golden State’s head coach Don Nelson will also be absent for their road trip due to medical reasons. The Thunder have shown the ability to blowout weaker teams at home. They have recent blowout wins over Milwaukee, Philadelphia, and Washington. The Thunder are able to dominate these weaker teams but tend to struggle against better competition. The Warriors are coming off three straight games against quality opponents, so it is unlikely that they’ll get up for this game. Look for Oklahoma City to win this game by margin.

3 UNIT SELECTION THUNDER

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 2:13 pm
(@blade)
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Tony George

Baltimore +3.5

Look at the schedule. Green Bay is on a roll. Two of their wins are over Detroit, a win over Cleveland, a bad loss to Tampa Bay, and a win against an average San Fran team at home. The Ravens are 10-4 ATS their last 14 road games and this is a MUST WIN with Pitt losing yesterday and Cincy winning, any shot at the playoffs and they have to win this game. 60% chance of snow. The team with the better running game and defense is getting points. Yes it is a road team, but Ray Rice will get his yards, and Aaron Rodgers is the most sacked QB in the game, and although Suggs is out for the Ravens, this defense can and will stunt blitz all night.

Play 1 Unit on Baltimore

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 2:14 pm
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Lenny Del Genio

Green Bay -3.5

Critical game for both teams' Wild Card chances, but the Packers have homefield advantage and are the better team. They are well rested, having 11 days off since their Thanksgiving Day cakewalk over Detroit (won 34-12). Baltimore is just 2-3 on the road and visitors are 0-3 SU/ATS all-time in this series. The sack issue that plagued Green Bay the first eight weeks is now gone as they have given up just 1.3 sacks per game over the last three weeks. The Ravens defense is not what it once was. Green Bay is 30-6 SU its last 36 December games here at Lambeau. Most importantly, Monday Night Football favorites coming off a division win are 48-18 ATS or 83% winners since 1983! Green Bay is our #1 Non-Conference NFL Play of the Week.

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 2:14 pm
(@blade)
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Bob Balfe

Portland -3.5

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 2:15 pm
(@blade)
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MTi Sports

4* G St/Ok City Over

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 2:20 pm
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John Ryan

15* Ravens / Packers Over

 
Posted : December 7, 2009 3:25 pm
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