Erin Rynning
Playmaker Utah Over
Broncos/Chargers Under
Fantasy Sports Gametime
1000* Play San Diego (-8.5) over Denver
San Diego has won and covered the spread in two consecutive games and they have also won and covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 home games when the total posted is 49.5 points or greater. San Diego has won 9 of the last 11 games after covering the spread in two of the last three games and they are averaging over 33 points a game on offense in home games this season.
VegasTout
San Diego -8.5 over Denver
Denver is 1-4 SU & ATS over the last five games and they are also 1-3 ATS vs. San Diego over the last four meetings. Denver is 2-9 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points and they are allowing an average of 28 points a game on defense this season.
Utah -11 over Sacramento
Utah is 11-2 ATS coming off an upset win as an underdog and they are also 21-8 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days.
NCAA
Play Wichita State +1.5 over Connecticut
Play Gonzaga +5 over Kansas State
BIG AL
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Chargers/Broncos to go 'under' the total, as it falls into 3 Totals systems of mine which have records of 77-37, 137-73 and 114-63 since 1980. The Broncos have gone 'over' the total in five of their last six games, but all of those lines ranged from 41 to 44 points. Here, the total opened at 48, moved to 50.5, and has ticked down to 50. I feel it's a bit inflated due to Denver's eruption last week (a 49-29 win over Kansas City) but that was the 1st time in five games that the Broncos scored more than 20 points (they averaged 16 ppg in the four previous games). Further, both teams have key injured players at the wideout/tight end positions. San Diego will be without Antonio Gates and Legedu Naanee, though look to get Malcolm Floyd on the field after he sustained a hamstring injury. However, RB Ryan Mathews won't suit up tonight, so Michael Tolbert will carry the load. The Broncos also have a banged-up wideout in Eddie Royal, who is nursing a hamstring injury, though he's listed as probable to play. Finally, San Diego comes into tonight's game off its bye week, and NFL teams tend to go 'under' the total in the regular season off a week of rest, and especially in division contests (170-125 'under'). Look for a relatively low-scoring game tonight.