Winning Points
3* Tennessee
Dwayne Bryant
Milwaukee Bucks at San Antonio Spurs
Pick: San Antonio Spurs -9
At first glance, this line looks a bit high. We have the 8-3 Bucks visiting the 5-6 Spurs minus Manu Ginobili and we have a 9-point spread. That alone will have many squares lining up to back the Bucks. But there are a few reasons I like the Spurs tonight. Before I get into the game itself, I have to say that I love the reverse line movement here. At the time I'm writing this, my sources show 58% of the bets on the Bucks, yet the line has moved to 9.5 at some books.
The Spurs have played much better at home (5-2 SU & ATS) than on the road (0-4 SU & ATS). If you look at how Milwaukee plays on the road compared to how the Spurs play at home, we see the Spurs have nice edges in FG %, 3-point %, FT %, and rebound margin. This is also the third game in four days for the Bucks and the loss of center Andrew Bogut to injury will hurt the Bucks in this one. The Spurs are playing with double revenge since the Bucks swept both meetings last season. Richard Jefferson played for Milwaukee last season and that "inside information" he can provide to the Spurs coaching staff and his teammates can only help. I see a Spurs win by 15. Lay the wood with San Antonio.
Stan Lisowski
3* Tennessee +4
Titans have revenge in a series where they stand 9-4 straight up. On this field, the underdog is on a 6-0 spread run. Tennessee is 19-7 their last 26 games as a dog. The much better running game should assure Titan payback.
Antony Dinero
Titans at Texans
Pick: Texans -4
Lots of story lines here, from all the chatter that's been out there, to Vince Young's victorious homecoming, to the Texans trying to continue their best start ever. But the key between the lines is whether the Texans can establish enough of a run game to let Matt Schaub do his thing without Tennessee knowing he's going to line up and throw every time. Young has been excellent thanks to improved work habits, but he's facing a talented defense coming off a bye that has been watching film of him and Chris Johnson's 197-yard breakout in Week 2 all week. Count on the Texans getting the job done. Lay the 4, back the under.
Tom Freese
Chicago at Portland
Portland is 10-4 UNDER this year and they are 48-19-1 UNDER their last 68 games after scoring 100 or more points in their last game. The Trailblazers are 7-1 UNDER their last 8 home games and they are 18-7-1 UNDER their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of less then 40%. Chicago is 9-2 UNDER this year and they are 7-0 UNDER off an ATS loss. The Bulls are 5-1 UNDER their last 6 road games and they are 5-0 UNDER off a straight up loss. 10* NBA "NO BRAINER" PLAY ON 'UNDER'
Calgary at Anaheim
Calgary is 4-0 vs. teams with a losing record and they are 5-1 their last 6 road games. The Flames are 4-1 when playing with one day of rest and they are 5-1 when their opponent scores 2 or less goals in their last game. Anaheim is 1-7 their last 8 games vs. a team with win percentage of above 60%. Anaheim is 1-5 their last 6 games. The Ducks are 2-5 after scoring 2 or less goals in their last game and they are 4-10 their last 14 games vs. Western Conference teams. 10* PLAY ON CALGARY
Tom Stryker
22-3 ATS NFL Monday Night Bankroll Builder
2* HOUSTON (-) over Tennessee
Houston applies to a jaw-dropping 31-4 ATS Monday night system of mine and I’m going to ride the Texans straight to victory lane. This technical gem backs winning teams under the ESPN lights that are locked into a unique scheduling situation. Because of the sheer dominance of this angle, the actual parameters that make it up will remain for my eyes only.
After opening the season with six consecutive losses, Tennessee has rebounded to win and cover its last three games against Jacksonville, San Francisco and Buffalo. The Titans will be hard pressed to get the win and cover here. A tremendous scoring angle of mine goes against Jeff Fisher’s troops as well.
Since 1980, underdogs coming off a nifty 3-0 SU and ATS run are a horrendous 8-35-1 ATS provided they enter off a huge offensive performance in their last game in which they scored 35 points or more. If our play against side tackles a foe that checks in off a pointspread victory, this system crashes to a shocking 3-22-1 ATS! Tennessee fits the general system and the strong tightener.
Houston enters this contest well rested and off a tough loss at Indianapolis in its last game. In a division matchup coming off a straight up loss, the Texans have responded by posting a strong 19-9-1 ATS mark including a nearly perfect 7-1-1 ATS record in this role battling a losing team. Tennessee’s recent string of wins is about to come to an abrupt end. Take Houston.
BRYAN LEONARD
Monday Night Football Game of the Month!
Tennessee at Houston
Both teams bring positive momentum into the contest with Tennessee winning and covering three straight and Houston coming in off a bye. The Titans have a huge edge in the running game averaging 0.9 more yards per rush than they allow, while Houston permits a whopping 1.4 more yards per rush than they achieve. While Houston has been better at stopping the run as of late, Tennessee outrushed them 240-63 in the first meeting. Tennessee has not only won all three games with Vince Young under center but they covered each game by double digit margins. Say what you will about Young's passing ability but Tennessee wins with Young taking the snaps. They ran off a great winning streak when he originally joined the team and the players have shown they play well along side him. Houston had success passing on Tennessee in the earlier meeting but now the Titans secondary is healthy. We're getting what we consider to be the better team playing with revenge at a plus money price. Look for Tennessee to take this to the wire and for Vince Young and his teammates to find a way to win it.
PLAY TENNESSEE
James Patrick Sports
5* Pot of Gold
Titans vs. Texans
Play: Titans
Always an entertaining game when these Division opponents hook up as in their season opener when the Texans upset the Titans as (+7) point underdogs. The Titans are responding to QB Vince Young’s leadership of the offense and we’ll always be in line when points are passed out to a Jeff Fisher coached team. Tennessee is (9-0) ATS as an underdog off a double-digit ATS win and we expect another nail biter in this series as we grab the points with the Titans.
5* Pot of Gold
Bucks vs. Spurs
Play: Spurs
Amazing how many quality players that Milwaukee has given away for very little in return. Michael Redd may be unavailable here and the Bucks without Big Redd do not cash many winning tickets for sure. San Antonio is a solid (9-2-1) ATS in Monday action and (5-2) ATS at home and this series has seen the home team win four of past five games. HC Greg Popovich made a mini-makeover with the addition of Richard Jefferson and San Antonio is still one of the elite teams in the NBA this season. The Spurs at home are Golden for us tonight in the Lone Star State. Play San Antonio Spurs
KBHoops
5* Eastern Kentucky -9.5 *POD*
5* Sacramento UNDER 206 -130
Pitbull
20 units Texas -15
20 units Clippers Under 191.5
10 units Titans +4
California Sports
4.5* Cal Santa Barbara
3* St Marys
Street Rosenthal
*200 Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5
*300 Houston Texans -4
Trey Scott
*200 DePaul -1
*200 Iowa +15
*200 Louisville -19
Unlocked Sports
3* Florida +106
3* Nashville -105
NHL PRO PICKS
NY Islanders +126
Florida +106
Washington +104
Phoenix +111
Ben Burns
Texans Under
Big AL
Texans Under