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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, October 26,2009

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Black Widow

6* Widow Wise guy NFC East GAME OF THE MONTH on Philadelphia Eagles -6.5

Washington is in shambles right now, and they won't be fixed come Monday Night. After their 14-6 home loss to the Kansas City Chiefs last week, the Redskins have now handed a win less team their first victory of the season for the third time this year. It happened earlier against the Detroit Lions and the Carolina Panthers as well. Now they have to face a very good Philadelphia Eagles team off a huge letdown at Oakland last week, so they'll be fired up and ready to go Monday. Upper management forced Jim Zorn to step down as offensive coordinator, and they brought in Sherman Lewis to take his place. From calling Bingo to calling plays, Sherman Lewis is taking over the favorite part of Jim Zorn's job. Just two weeks ago, Lewis was enjoying his retirement in Michigan, calling Bingo games at a senior center and delivering Meals on Wheels. There is no possible way this move is going to work this week, it may prove to be effective down the road but not in one week's time. The Redskins' offense has yet to reach 20 points this season, with their highest point total at 17 points. For the season, the Redkins are averaging 13.2 points/game including 10.3 points/game at home. They cannot possibly keep up with an Eagles offense that is putting up 27.2 points/game and that factors in the measly 9 points they scored last week. Philly will run away with this one in a blowout, and you will hear "Boos" from the home crowd in Washington D.C. all game long. The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss. The Redskins are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games. The Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. That makes for an 18-2 (90%) ATS Angle in favor Philadelphia Monday. Take the Eagles and lay the points.

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 2:41 pm
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Brandon Lang

10 DIME - WASHINGTON REDSKINS

Andy Reid can't be trusted to coach a team on the road laying more than a touchdown. Anytime anywhere. He proved that in Oakland.

Last year the Redskins were dreadful, just as bad as this year, and it didn't matter when playing their division rival as they beat them both times.

This is a match up dream for Washington and it's the reason they have covered 6 of the last 8 between these two with a push. They just match up well with anything the Eagles want to do.

In watching the Raiders get completely destroyed yesterday at Oakland, I kept asking myself the whole game how on God's earth the Eagles lost to the Raiders? How could they have possibly lost to that poor excuse of a football team?

At the end of the Jets-Raiders game I had my answer. The Eagles are NOT as good as everyone is making them out to be!

They have only played one team this year with a winning record, so who are the Eagles to be laying this kind of number against anybody right now?

They have played the Panthers, Saints, Chiefs, Bucs, and the Raiders this year, and only the Saints have a winning record.

The bottom line for me is if you can't beat Raiders on the road scoring only 9 points, then for my dollar tonight I can't have any confidence you can cover more than a touchdown against a division rival.

I know all the bad numbers surrounding the Redskins tonight, but their is a reason the underdog in every single one of their games have covered the number. Their defense is pretty darn good.

The Redskins were catching 6 1/2 at New York to start the year and got the cover and were catching 5 at Carolina and got the cover.

I look for them to go to 3-0 ATS as an underdog this year.

FREE SELECTION - PHILADELPHIA-WASHINGTON UNDER

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 2:42 pm
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Savannah Sports

3 * Philadelphia -8

Eric Degarde

3* Chicago Under 5.5
2* NY Rangers Over 5.5

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 2:50 pm
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Tony Weston

20 Dime Eagles
10 Dime Eagles-Redskins Over

EAGLES - Sure, the Philadelphia Eagles looked horrible last week against the Oakland Raiders, but the Washington Redskins have looked horrible all season.

Things have gotten so bad with the Redskins that former offensive guru Jim Zorn, who happens to be doubling as head coach, has had his play-calling duties stripped in favor of a former coordinator, who just within the last few weeks was calling BINGO numbers at a retirement home.

The Redskins come into this game having covered just once so far this season, and that came two weeks ago when the team was catching 5 points on the road in a 20-17 loss at Carolina.

Going back a little further, Washington has covered in just 1 of its last 9 games at home and the team has covered in just 4 of its last 14 games in October. Also, the team has gone just 2-9-3 ATS overall its last 14 games, including 1 cover its last last 6 games against the NFC.

The Eagles, on the other hand, are 13-6 ATS their last 19 road games and have covered in 9 of their last 13 games overall. The team has also gone 5-2 ATS its last 7 games when installed as a favorite and has covered in 5 of its last 6 games on Monday nights.

Philly will come through again and prove last week was nothing more than a fluke. Take the Eagles big in this one.

OVER - Forget what the Eagles did last week against the Oakland Raiders, don’t let that get the best of you. That was a fluke and the 9 points the team scored were more aberration than anything else.

So far this season the Eagles have gone Over the total 4 of 5 times, the lone exception coming last week.

But the Total for tonight is set at around 37 1/2 points, which is extremely low, considering Philly is totaling, on average, 47 points per game.

Keep in mind, too, Philadelphia has gone Over the total in 4 consecutive games against the NFC East and has seen the Over go 5-0 after failing to cover in the previous week.

The Eagles will score in bunches as these two teams will go Over the Total.

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 2:58 pm
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FRANK PATRON

10000 UNIT NFL LOCK

WASHINGTON REDSKINS +9

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 4:01 pm
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Matt Fargo

9* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH

Washington Redskins

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 4:23 pm
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Kelso

20 Units Philly -8

3 Units Under 37.5

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 5:18 pm
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PrimeTime Sports Advisors

2* Under 37.5

2* Wash +9

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 5:19 pm
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Northcoast

Marquee

Eagles/Skins Over 38

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 5:20 pm
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ATS Financial Club

3 Units Eagles

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 5:20 pm
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Lenny Del Genio

Philadelphia vs. Washington
Play: Philadelphia -7.5

Washington is just a total mess right now and while HC Jim Zorn calling plays clearly isn’t the answer (that’s what he was brought in to do however!), neither is bringing in a guy (Sherman Lewis) who was calling bingo games last month. This will be the first time all season that the Redskins are playing a game against a team that has previously won a game, meaning that their lousy 2-4 record has come at the expense of playing lousy teams and that they are in fact more lousy than their lousy record would seem to indicate. Philadelphia is off a hideous loss to Oakland last week as double-digit favorites, so they will be in a surly mood. They are on a 5-1 ATS run in road division games, and 9-5 SU/9-4-1 ATS here in Washington. Over their last 10 games, the Redskins are averaging just 13.4 PPG. They are 5-11 ATS off a SU loss. Philadelphia is our 20* MNF Game of the Month.

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 5:26 pm
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Evan Altemus

Philadelphia vs. Washington

Everybody always talks about the buy low sell high concept with investing, and people love to relate that theory to sports betting. However, most people don’t understand what it means. They think it means just backing teams that aren’t very good, and they can’t get themselves to do this. However, that is not how you correctly the theory of buying low and selling high when it comes to sports betting. The key is to find situations where one team is being significantly mispriced based on their talent level. You don’t want to back complete dumpster fires facing good teams, but you want to look for situations where a team is capable of stepping up against a team that isn’t likely to bring a strong effort. Last week ESPN talked all week about how bad Washington is. They are not a very good football team, and they have problems that need to be resolved before they show steady improvement. However, the Redskins have routinely played up or down to their opponents over the last few years. Washington has faced several bad teams in a row, which I feel have caused the players to become lackadaisical. They have a history of playing Philadelphia and other divisional opponents very tough over the last few seasons as well. Meanwhile, the Eagles offense showed their true colors last week against Oakland. Philadelphia has always had somewhat of a sluggish offense against better defenses, as they simply can’t run the football effectively. I expect them to struggle against a Washington defense that has gone under-rated this season. The defense is the strength of the Redskins, and they completely shutdown McNabb and the Eagles in the December game last year, despite Philadelphia desperately needing that game. Philadelphia’s defense is also dealing with some injuries, which allowed lowly Oakland to put up season high offensive statistics last week. There is no doubt in my mind that Washington will bring their strongest effort of the season in this game. The players aren’t going to lay down in a nationally televised primetime game against their divisional rival, no matter how much of a dumpster fire the organization is. Much news has been made of Sherm Lewis taking over the play calling as well, but I expect this change will slightly improve the offense and get the players out of their rut. The Redskins offensive line is still not very good though, which makes me take the under also. I expect Lewis to call several short, quick passes, which won’t put too much pressure on the offensive line. Look for Washington’s defense to step up big time in this game, and the offense will play well enough to get the cover and/or win outright. The side and total are related in this game, as Washington isn’t going to be able to keep it close in a high scoring game. However, some unpredictable plays could send the game over the low total, which is why I like Washington much more.

4 UNIT SELECTION ON WASHINGTON +7.5

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 5:26 pm
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Marc Lawrence

Philadelphia vs. Washington
Play: Philadelphia -7

The Eagles look to pick themselves back up off the mat when they meet the Redskins in Washington Monday night. The good news for the Eagles is their 8-0 ATS mark on the division road with revenge off a loss under head coach Andy Reid In addition, Reid is also 8-2 ATS on Monday nights, including 5-0 ATS when facing a division opponent. With Washington 0-7 ATS in its last seven Monday night appearances, look for Philadelphia to avenge a pair of losses they suffered last year against the Redskins. We recommend a 3-unit play on Philadelphia.

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 5:26 pm
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Tony George

Philadelphia vs. Washington
Play: Under 37.5

The Redskins have not scored over 17 points in the regular season. 8 out of the last 11 have gone under in this series. The strength of Wash. is defense, and Philly will have little issue stopping a horrible Washington attack under a new offensive coordinator who was calling Bingo numbers out at a retirement home 2 weeks ago and has been out of football 5 years. Bottom line, a smash mouth game and battle of defenses.

Play 1 Unit on the Under

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 5:27 pm
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Rocketman

Islanders vs. Montreal
Play: Islanders +165

NY Islanders have won two of the last three meetings in Montreal. Canadiens are 3-7 in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. Canadiens are 5-13 in their last 18 overall. Canadiens are 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games. Road team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. MONTREAL is 6-21 (-20.8 Units) against the money line against poor passing teams - averaging 4 or less assists per game over the last 2 seasons. We'll play NY Islanders for 4 units tonight!

 
Posted : October 26, 2009 5:27 pm
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