Ron Raymond
Islanders vs. Montreal
Play: Islanders +155
Keys to selection: Montreal has won 3 straight games and if there was a chance to bet on the underdog in this spot, it’s on the Islanders. Montreal won against the Rangers in Overtime on Saturday and they have the Pittsburgh Penguins on deck this Wednesday, so there’s a chance for a letdown and look a head situation here to bet on the underdog. Plus, I have a great team angle below on the Islanders.
Database Tip: When NY ISLANDERS team played as a Road team - Vs Conference Opponent - Coming off vs Eastern Conference opponent - Coming off 1 under - Allowed 3 goals AGAINST in their last game; the Islanders are 12-2-2 SU in this spot.
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Philadelphia vs. Washington
Play: Under 37.5
For a number of different reasons I feel we're getting excellent value on the "under" in this matchup: With Washington (2-4) on a bye following this game, there are rumors that Jim Zorn could be fired next week, especially if things don't go well tonight. The Redskins are averaging just 13.2 points, fourth-fewest in the league. They’ve failed to get into the end zone in two of their three games at FedEx Field and I believe they'll struggle again tonight. Jason Campbell (starting) went 9 for 16 for a season-low 89 yards with an INT before being replaced by Todd Collins against the Chiefs; the backup didn’t look any better, going 6 for 14 for 75 yards in his first game since 2007. The total has gone under the number in five of Washington's last five overall, and in five of its last five at home; it's also gone under the posted number in five of its last six vs. Philadelphia.
On the other side of the field: The Eagles lost 13-9 to Oakland last week and their 116 rushes rank among the fewest in the NFL; after calling 54 pass plays and just 12 running plays last week, Andy Reid will look to go with a little more balance against a Redskins defense that is ranked third in the league in pass defense. Keep in mind that dating back to last season the total has gone under the number in five of Philadelphia's last seven on the road overall.
Bottom line: The Raiders clearly threw Donovan McNabb off his game with a relentless pass-rush and I'm expecting Washington to take a page out of Oakland's book on Monday night.
McNabb is ranked 28th in the league in completion % (56.5) through five games, and that's with the help of a 16-for-21 Week 5 performance against Tampa Bay. It's interesting to note that the Eagles have seen the total go under the posted number in a whopping 12 of 15 games over the last three seasons as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points, and when taking into consideration the rest of these facts and trends, the sharp money is on the UNDER!
Mean Green Profit Machine
Redskins +5 1ST HLF
Ducks
Wunderdog
Phoenix Coyotes @ New York Rangers
Pick: 5 units New York Rangers -150
The Rangers and Coyotes have both gotten off to fast starts, but the Rangers have dipped in their last three, dropping them all. The Coyotes will head east after four straight home games, for their first of four on the highway. Despite the early success, a lot of which has been at home, the Coyotes remain a poor choice as a dog of +110 to +150 where they are a feeble 8-20 over their last 28, including 7-19 if on the road. The Rangers have turned it up against the better teams at home as they have turned in a 6-1 mark against road teams victorious at .600 or better. They are also 36-17 as the small to mid-sized home favorite of -110 to -150. The Coyotes have only won twice in their last seven trips to New York, and I'm going with the Rangers in this one.
Seabass
20* Philly/Wash Under
100* Steam Philadelphia
Executive
200 Philly/Wash Over
Dr Bob
Opinion
Some models suggest a Washington cover tonight at home against Philadelphia, but Dr. Bob finds the current spread too close to call when the Redskins host the Eagles.
Redskins owner Daniel Snyder is so desperate that he pulled former Green Bay Packers' offensive coordinator Sherman Lewis out of retirement to call plays.
Lewis has been out of the game for four years, which may cause a problem given the ever changing NFL landscape, but Lewis can't be any worse calling plays in the redzone that head coach Jim Zorn was. Washington has averaged an above-average 5.5 yards per play with starting quarterback Jason Campbell in the game (against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team) yet the Skins have managed to score just 13.2 points per game.
The Skins won't move the ball as well as normal in this game against a stingy Eagles' defense (4.4 yppl allowed to teams that would average 4.8 yppl against an average team, but they should have a few opportunities to improve their redzone efficiency.
Washington's defense is decent too, allowing just 4.7 yppl to teams that would average 4.9 yppl against an average defensive unit and they match up pretty evenly with an Eagles' attack that has been 0.3 yppl better than average this season (worse than that with Donovan McNabb at quarterback).
My math model does favor Philly by 6 points while my second math model favors the Eagles by 10 points. There are some favorable situations that favor Washington in this game, but I'll pass.
Projected Final Score: Eagles-22 Redskins-15
Joe Gaffney
Philadelphia Eagles
JR O'Donnell
Washington Redskins
Score
300% Philly
Payne Sports
Washington
LT Profits
Washington
Fantasy Sports Gametime
100* Play Philadelphia (-7.5) over Washington
Washington has lost 10 of the last 13 home games against the spread when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points and they have also lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread after scoring 9 points or less in their last game. Washington has lost 12 of the last 18 games when playing on Monday Night Football and they are only scoring 13 points a game on offense this season.
James Patrick
Eagles vs. Redskins
Play: Under
Philadelphia has holes in their offensive line as evidenced by their trip to Oak-Town last Sunday in which they came away on the losing end. The Skins are averaging a whopping 13 ppg this season and are (17-4) ATS Under the Total under the guidance of Jim Zorn and this rivalry has gone Under the Total in 9 of 11 meetings. Ugly is the only way to describe this game in our nations capital. 3* Philadelphia - Washington Under.
BRYAN LEONARD
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL TOTAL DOMINATION
The Eagles averaged 31.8 points per game heading into last weeks debacle at Oakland. And off that loss as a 14 point road favorite we expect the scoring unit to get right back to business. This is a team that averaged 9.1 and 10.4 yards per pass attempt the two games before Oakland and they have had eight days to stew over their performance. Washington's offense has their back to the wall right now. The Skins are averaging just 13.2 points per game and coach Jim Zorn has given up his play calling duties. Word out of Washington is despite the vote of confidence earlier in the week Zorn will be fired after tonight's game if this team doesn't turn it around and show some life tonight. That means we are likely to see imaginative play calling and risks taken. Washington still has high quality skill position players on offense, they just need to get them the ball in space. Philadelphia has a blitzing defense which either means turnovers or big plays, either way an advantage to us tonight playing the over. Besides, this is Monday Night Football and we all know how virtually every game is a shootout. The linesmaker has posted a low total on this game because of what he has seen on the field and series history. But the circumstances in this game far outweigh the past.
PLAY OVER