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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, September 12,2011

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Sixth Sense

3% DENVER –3 No higher than -3

DENVER –3 Oakland 40.5

Oakland averaged a whopping 5.0ypr against 4.1ypr last year. They averaged just 5.9yps against 6.2yps and 5.5yppl against 5.3yppl. They allowed 4.5ypr against 4.2ypr, 5.9yps against 6.3yps and 5.2yppl against 5.4yppl.

Denver averaged 3.9ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.5yps against 6.1yps and 5.5yppl against 5.3yppl. They allowed 4.7ypr against 4.3ypr, 7.2yps against 6.2yps and 5.9yppl against 5.4yppl.

Denver qualifies in week one situations, which are 61-22-3 and 46-16-5. Numbers favor Oakland by two points before accounting for the situations and predict about 50 points.

Denver was blown out twice last year by Oakland, who literally ran roughshod over them in both games. The Broncos have some injuries in the interior of their defensive line but also get back their best player, Elmis Dumervil and draft choices Von Miller and Rahim Moore to improve the defense.

Oakland lost their best defensive player in Nnamdi Asomugha and they are without their best offensive player TE Zach Miller who moved on to Seattle.

This is more of a play against the Raiders and based on a Denver team which should be improved. The value isn’t there but the situations are very strong and they out weigh the value. DENVER 30 OAKLAND 20

Opinion

New England –6.5 MIAMI 46

NE averaged 4.3ypr against 4.1ypr, 7.2yps against 5.9yps and 5.9yppl against 5.1yppl. They allowed 4.2ypr against 4.0ypr, 6.4yps against 6.2yps and 5.6yppl against 5.2yppl.

Miami averaged just 3.7ypr against 4.2ypr, 5.9yps against 6.0yps and 5.0yppl against 5.2yppl. They allowed 3.6ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.2yps against 6.2yps and 5.0yppl against 5.3yppl.

I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor NE by just one point and predict about 48 points.

NE won here last year 41-14 but they were actually out played from the line of scrimmage. Special teams and turnovers did them in. As good as the Miami defense was last year, they have now allowed at least 21 points in their last nine home games against teams with above average offenses, including at least 27 points in seven of those nine games. Miami is also looking to throw the ball more this year, which means this game has a chance to be higher scoring than “they” think. NEW ENGLAND 30 MIAMI 23

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 8:25 am
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Pointwise Phones

2* Raiders

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 8:45 am
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Dr. Bob

Opinion

Dolphins

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 8:45 am
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R.A.W. FOOTBALL

2* Dolphins

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 8:46 am
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Erin Rynning

20* Miami

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 8:50 am
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DOUBLE DRAGON

PATRIOTS -7

BRONCOS -3

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 8:51 am
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Big Al

Miami +7

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 8:52 am
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Today's Picks

Miami Dolphins +7

Oakland Raiders +3

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 8:56 am
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Iron Horse

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos
Prediction: Oakland Raiders

Denver finished last season at 4-12 SU and fired HC McDaniels, replacing him with John Fox. Fox will start by hosting Division rival Oakland, who crushed the Broncos in both meetings last season, 39-23 and 59-14, winning by 16 and 45 points! Oakland improved to 8-8 SU last season while sweeping their AFC West Division games, posting a 6-0 SU & ATS, against Denver, Kansas City and San Diego. The Raiders averaged 26 points per game last year and don't expect new Denver HC Fox to have the answers in his first game with the Broncos to stop an offense that scored 98 points on them during the last 2 meetings- Take the points with this explosive Raiders offense. 10* Play On Oakland

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 9:13 am
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Jimmy Boyd

5* Denver

3* St Louis

3* Tampa Bay

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 12:15 pm
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

Play Atlanta (-215) over Florida (Top Play of the Day)

Atlanta pitcher, Brandon Beachy has won 2 consecutive games when pitching on a Monday and he is 7-2 in all games this season with an ERA of 3.29. Florida pitcher, Chris Volstad has lost 8 of the last 10 games vs. division opponents and he has also lost 3 consecutive games as an underdog of +150 or higher.

Play Philadelphia (-175) over Houston (Bonus)

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 12:17 pm
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Paul Leiner

100* Cardinals -135

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 12:17 pm
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Trace Adams

1000♦ Broncos

500♦ Yankees

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 12:18 pm
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Al DeMarco

15 Dime Broncos

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 12:18 pm
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Tim Trushel

20* Orioles +130

 
Posted : September 12, 2011 12:19 pm
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