Joyce Sterling
NYJ vs Baltimore Under 35.5
The Jets will blitz from every angle and in every situation and they will play a lot of man schemes behind it. Baltimore's defense consistently ranked among the league's best with Ryan in charge, and New York was the best in the NFL in his first year.
SIXTH SENSE
BEST BET
3% BALTIMORE +2.5
NY JETS -1.5 Baltimore 36
Baltimore added some play making ability on the offense. They added WR Anquan Boldin, WR Dante Stallworth and this week added WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh. They also picked up DE Cory Redding and S Ken Hamlin. Gone is DE Dwan Edwards, DT Justin Bannan and CB Frank Walker. Out for the year is CB Dominique Foxworth and on the PUP for the first six weeks is FS Ed Reed.
Jets add RB LaDainian Tomlinson, WR Santonio Holmes (4 game suspension), LB Jason Taylor, CB Antonio Cromartie, FS Brodney Poole. Gone are RB Thomas Jones, RB Leon Washington, LG Alan Faneca, DE Marques Douglas, DT Howard Green, CB Lito Sheppard, CB Donald Strickland, FS Kerry Rhodes and K Jay Feely.
Baltimore averaged 4.6ypr against teams allowing 4.2ypr last year. They averaged 6.3yps against teams allowing 6.1yps. Overall, they averaged 5.5yppl against teams allowing 5.3yppl. On defense, they allowed 3.5ypr against teams averaging 4.0ypr. They allowed 5.9yps against teams averaging 6.2yps. Overall, they allowed 4.8yppl against teams averaging 5.3yppl.
The Jets averaged 4.5ypr against teams allowing 4.4ypr last year. They averaged 5.7yps against teams allowing 6.3yps. Overall, they averaged 5.0yppl against teams allowing 5.5yppl. On defense, they allowed 3.7ypr against teams averaging 4.3ypr. They allowed 4.8yps against teams averaging 6.2yps. Overall, they allowed 4.3yppl against teams averaging 5.4yppl.
Baltimore is 6-2 ATS when getting +3 or less points to -3 or less points on the road under Jim Harbaugh. Numbers in this game favor the Jets by 3.5 points before accounting for the situations Baltimore qualifies in and predict about 36 points. Baltimore has the better offense, better quarterback and a good enough defense to stay in this game. Baltimore’s weakness is in the secondary but the Jets pass offense isn’t good enough to take Baltimore out of this game. The Ravens qualify in week one situations, which are 45-12-1 and 41-14-5. Good defense with the better offense getting points. BALTIMORE 20 NY JETS 16
Opinion
San Diego -4.5 KANSAS CITY 44.5
Chargers add first round draft pick RB Ryan Mathews. They also add CB Donald Strickland and CB Nate Vasher. Gone are RB LaDainian Tomlinson, TE Brandon Manumaleuna, NT Ian Scott, NT Jamal Williams, LB Tim Dobbins, CB Antonio Cromartie and SS Kevin Ellison.
Chiefs add FS Eric Berry in draft as well as RB Dexter McCluster. Also fresh on the roster is RB Thomas Jones, C Casey Wiegmann, RG Ryan Liija. Gone are WR Bobby Wade, LG Wade Smith, LG Mike Goff and LG Andy Allerman.
San Diego averaged 3.3ypr against teams allowing 4.2ypr last year. They averaged 8.1yps against teams allowing 6.3yps. Overall, they averaged 5.9yppl against teams allowing 5.3yppl. On defense, they allowed 4.5ypr against teams averaging 4.3ypr. They allowed 5.9yps against teams averaging 5.9yps. Overall, they allowed 5.3yppl against teams averaging 5.2yppl.
KC averaged 4.0ypr against teams allowing 4.2ypr last year. They averaged 4.9yps against teams allowing 6.1yps. Overall, they averaged 4.5yppl against teams allowing 5.2yppl. On defense, they allowed 4.8ypr against teams averaging 4.1ypr. They allowed 6.9yps against teams averaging 6.3yps. Overall, they allowed 5.8yppl against teams averaging 5.3yppl.
SD is 4-6 SU the last ten games at Kansas City but has won the last three years here. On the road last year against poor defenses, SD’s games totaled 44, 44, 53 and 59 points. Against .500 or better teams at home, KC’s games have totaled 16-27, 20-26, 7-37 and 27-24. KC lost here last year to SD 37-7. Numbers favor SD by four points and predict about 51 points. Both teams qualify in week one situations. Strong lean towards the over in this game and a small lean to SD. SAN DIEGO 28 KANSAS CITY 23
TEDDY COVERS
Baltimore Ravens Over 35.5
Scott Spreitzer
Monday Night Showdown
Kansas City Chiefs
Dwayne Bryant
Colorado -140
* Colorado has won 10 straight games overall and trails the Padres by just 1.5 games in the NL West
* Colorado is 11-4 against the Padres this season
* The Padres are batting .234 and scoring 4.1 runs per game on the road against lefties this season
* Colorado is batting .304 and scoring 6.5 runs per game at home against lefties this season
* Over their last 10 games, Colorado is batting .358 and scoring 7.8 runs per game against lefties
* Over their last 10 games, the Padres are batting .206 and scoring 1.6 runs per game against lefties
* Colorado faced Cory Luebke 10 days ago in San Diego and tagged him for 4 runs (2 homers) in 5 innings
* Jeff Francis owns a decent 4.34 ERA & 1.28 WHIP in his 8 home starts this season
* Colorado has given Francis 7.8 runs per game of support in his 8 home starts
* The bullpens have almost identical numbers over their last 10 games
Double Dragon
Ravens +3 (-125)
Matt Fargo
10* Kansas City Chiefs
Ben Burns
GOW - Kansas City Chiefs
Fantasy Sports Gametime
50* Play Boston (-170) over Seattle
Seattle has lost 5 of the last 6 games and they have also lost 27 of the last 33 games as an underdog of +150 or higher. Seattle has lost 30 of the last 42 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have also lost 11 of the last 15 games when playing on a Monday.
50* Play Colorado (-140) over San Diego
Colorado has won 10 consecutive games and they have also won 40 of the last 56 home games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. Colorado has won 22 of the last 30 home games as a favorite of -125 to -175 and they have also won 11 of the last 15 games vs. San Diego .
Paul Leiner
250* Chiefs +4.5
50* Phillies -145
25* Ravens +1.5
TEDDY COVERS
Baltimore Ravens Over 35.5
Orioles
Anthony Redd
20 Dimes NY Jets
10 Dimes KC Chiefs
Jason Johnson
Ravens at Jets
Pick: Jets -1
It's easy to remember that the Jets win games because of their defense. With Revis now back in the locker room, this unit just got a little better as well. The corners should be able to shut down Baltimore wideouts Anquan Boldin and Derrick Mason while the front seven should take care of a Ravens running game that was particularly bad during preseason, gaining over 100 yards just once in the four games.
New York had a simliar offensive roster last season and went to the AFC Championship. Now they've added some new pieces including RB LaDanion Tomlinson who I feel is going to make a major impact early. Look for New York to keep it on the ground all season long to keep young QB Mark Sachez's mistakes to a minimum.
It's opening night at the New Meadowlands and the Jets fans will have their team pumped. It'll be a close game but I'm giving New York a six point win.
Rocketman
4* Ravens +1.5
Freddy Wills
Baltimore / NY Jets Under 37
The Jets open up as 3-point favorites in their debut of their new stadium. Money has poured in on the Ravens ironically and the line has moved accordingly as the Jets can be found at -1.5 to -2 point favorites. Nearly 70% of the public is buying into the Ravens and their improved offense.
Both teams are favored to wint he AFC conference this season by many as the Jets are 6 to 1 and the Ravens slightly more likely at 5 to 1.
Weather:
The weather is rain early on Monday in New Jersey, but the weather conditions will clear by afternoon. Only a 30% chance of showers by kickoff for Monday night with temperatures around 70 degrees and winds at only six mph.
Key Players:
Jets finally signed Darelle Revis and he’ll likely match up man to man with Anquan Boldin. With that addition the Jets lose probably their top receiver for 4 games in Santonio Holmes who is suspended for the first 4 games. The Jets will have their two headed monster in the running game with Ladanian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene who should be plenty busy going up against the #5 rushing defense a year ago.
Ravens not only have a top defense, but they too can run the ball ranked #5 in the league last year running the ball with Ray Rice leading the way. Ravens were 18th in the passing game and have improved by roster moves with Boldin and TJ Houshmandzadeh to go along with Derek Mason. The defense is still this team’s strength. Ed Reed is out tonight and that could have an impact if the Jets decide to take some shots deep with Braylon Edwards or over the middle with Dustin Keller.
What Happens:
This game will be played in the trenches. These are two identical teams and this will be a close game no matter what. The Jets improved on their defense big time so I don’t think the additions in receivers for the Ravens are going to matter here. Kyle Wilson out of Boise State is a stud and can come up and stop the rush and make tackles and Cromarte has got speed and should be able to handle Mason opposite of Revis. The Jets run defense that ranked 8th in the league is far better with Kris Jenkins coming back from injury. The Ravens can forget about running up the middle in this game and will need to take it to the outside and move the ball with short passes and screens. This will make it difficult to score a lot of points.
On the other side of things the Jets offense is anchored by the offensive line and the running game. Ladanian Tomlinson looked good and he will be a nice change of pace for Shonn Greene who will get the tough yards while LT breaks outside with his speed. The problem is they are facing Ray Lewis and the Ravens rush defense here. While I think the Jets will have some success after all they were the #1 run offense a year ago I think this team is going to try to change things up and pass the ball to keep the Ravens off guard. That won’t be a good thing as I do not have much confidence in Sanchez yet. I think he struggles in his first game here, but expect him to get out on play actions and roll outs early where he has been successful.