Lenny Stevens
20* GOM Saints -4
Wayne Root
San Francisco 49ers
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2 Units San Francisco 49ers +210VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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New Orleans at San Francisco
Play: San FranciscoFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Saints being the defending champions are going to be overpriced, especially in front of a national audience. In fact, they are already paying the price with a 1-5 spread run in regular season action. They have dropped three straight games ATS on the road. Super Bowl Champions are just 7-17 ATS in the second game of the season which makes perfect sense. They know the target is on their back and they go all out in game one to prove themselves. In turn the betting public feels all is right once again and they back the overpriced squad. That's exactly what has happened here.
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San Francisco was pounded on the scoreboard opening week 31-6 by Seattle. But that score doesn't really reflect the way the game was played. The 49ers actually outgained the winning Seahawks. Mike Singletary is one man you don't want mad at you and you know his team has been put through the ringer in practice this week. He's 8-2-2 ATS as an underdog and this is a very important game for the host. After facing New Orleans the 49ers go on the road to 2-0 Kansas City and NFC playoff contender Atlanta, only to return home to face the rejuvenated Philadelphia Eagles.
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The 49ers were projected to be a playoff caliber squad this year and they have a week to stew over their poor performance opening the season. We look for a superior game from San Francisco tonight.
Fantasy Sports GametimeFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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50* Play Minnesota (-215) over Cleveland
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Brian Duensing has won 10 of the last 11 games as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has also won 8 of the last 9 home games. Brian Duensing has won 9 of the last 11 games vs. division opponents and he is 3-0 in home games this season with an ERA of 0.57.
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50* Play St. Louis (-135) over Florida
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Florida has lost 6 consecutive games and they have also lost 21 of the last 27 games as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. Chris Volstad has an ERA of 9.20 over the last 3 starts and he also has an ERA of 7.59 vs. St. Louis over his career.
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50* Reds -120FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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25* Yanks -120
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San Francisco 49ers +6FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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When the defending Super Bowl champion Saints meet the Niners in San Francisco Monday night they will take the filed knowing defending Super Bowl Champs are at their worst in Game Two of the season, going 7-17 ATS, including 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS versus a foe off a SU favorite loss. And, wow, did Frisco suffer a favorite loss. Though they did take a 25-point beating on the scoreboard, the Niners actually won the stats battle. The Niners were in the unfamiliar role of road favorite last week, but tonight finds HC Mike Singletary in his most comfortable one – that of a underdog. The third year headman is 8-2-2 ATS as a dog, including 2-0 SU and ATS at home. Singletary is also a strong 4-0 ATS at home versus .500 or greater opposition. Enough said. Grab the points in this upset-maker. We recommend a 4-unit play on San Francisco.
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3 Units San Francisco 49ers +6FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco is not as bad as they played last week against Seattle. The Seahawks have a great home field advantage, and the 49ers started off behind early as well, which meant they had to play catch up. San Francisco is a power running team and their offense isn’t designed to play catch up. In addition, Alex Smith didn’t have a majority of the preseason to practice with some of the best weapons in his offense. Overall when looking at this game, it’s a classic example of a mid level team playing a top tier team at home in a primetime game. Numerous times over the last 20 years have teams stepped up in games like this. The Saints weren’t a dominating ATS team at all on the road last season, going 4-4 ATS, but their ATS win at Miami really should have been a loss if not for a last second interception returned for a touchdown. San Francisco doesn’t even have to win this game to cover the point spread either. They only have to keep it within one score. The only way I don’t see the 49ers covering is if their offense is completely inept once again, but I don’t expect that to happen. I expect the Saints to out gain the 49ers, but San Francisco will make enough plays to win the game or cover in a loss. The reason this selection isn’t a bigger play is because I don’t trust Alex Smith in order to make a larger wager on them. This is game features a great situation to back a team that played poorly last week in a primetime home game this week. Be sure to shop around for the best line, as this point spread is about 1.5 points different depending on what book you’re looking at.
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Texas +135FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The American League playoff race has become anticlimactic to say the least with the only drama remaining over who will win the East - Yankees or Rays (whomever doesn't win will win the Wild Card). Minnesota is a lock to win the Central as is Texas is the West. The Rangers enter Monday leading the A's by nine games and the Angels by 10.5 games. After winning seven straight, the team lost two of three over the weekend to the last place Mariners, but remains in fine position to clinch the division with a sweep of their division rivals here. They have a winning record in head to head play vs. the Halos this year and have turned a nice profit in night games (+$1025) while averaging 5.1 runs per game vs. righties. We love their 19-13 record as a road dog of +150 this year and the Angels have lost money vs. lefty starters this year. Therefore, the pitching matchup of Holland vs. Weaver works in our favor despite the latter's strong home numbers TY. Weaver typically gets poor run support, so the price is attractive here on the more motivated ball club. Texas is our 15* AL Dog of the Week.
Nick "BookieKiller" ParsonsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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10* Saints / 49ers Over 44
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For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "over":
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Last week the Saints barely held on for the 14-9 victory at home over the Vikes; the total went well below the posted total of 48 1/2.
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New Orleans was out of sync on the offensive side; however I expect them to focus this week and believe that hitting the road to play this game is a huge benefit for this team as it leaves behind the spotlight and hoopla of home.
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It's very important to point out that New Orleans has seen the total go "over" the number in both games they've played over the last two years vs. NFC West division opponents; also in three of four when playing on a Monday night (there is no question that Brees and company play at their best when the lights are shining their brightest).
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On the other side of the field: The 49'ers lost horribly on the road in what was supposed to have been a cake walk for them, 31-6 to Seattle last week; that total "pushed".
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The 49'ers defense/secondary was exposed by the Seahawks; they're weaker than a tea bag in the ocean; things won't get any easier this week as the high-flying Saints roll into town sporting their three-to-four-man receiver sets.
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And it's not like the Seahawks were even that dominant on the offensive side; the 49'ers were just horrible against the pass and I expect that to be a problem for the rest of the year as this team seriously lacks any depth whatsoever at the cornerback spot; they also struggled in putting forth any type of a pass rush (and that was behind a makeshift line; not a defending Championship unit).
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That said, I fully expect Mike Singletary to work hard with his offense; the best defense this team will have will be to keep the Saints offense off the field; also, it's clear the defense will struggle again in this one, so the offense is going to have to try its best to keep up with New Orleans.
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Over the last couple of years, the 49'ers have been known more as a defensive team than offensive, however this is a spot that they've seen the total go "over" the total a number of times; in three of four off a loss against a division rival; which means of course that this team really kicks it into gear after getting their butts whooped by a division rival.
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Bottom line: It has to be pointed out that in five of these teams last five vs. each other at Candlestick, the total has gone "over" the number.
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I expect both teams to come out fired up on the offensive side of the ball; this total sails well above the posted number;
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San Francisco (+6) for 2 UnitsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This line opened at 49ers +4' but soon jumped to +5'. We now see +6 in a lot of online sportsbooks. In this instance, like a good offense, we'll take what the defense, or sportsbooks, give us. SF has exhibited strength off disastrous losses under Singleltary and sports a 5-0 ATS mark off a SU loss vs winning teams under him. Sure, the 49ers' offense looked embarrassingly bad last week unable to get plays called on time, interceptions, no run game; on the other hand, the Super Bowl incumbents (Saints) still look like world beaters coming off a win and cover vs Minnesota. However, in the NFL, a lot of times you're not as good as you think you are and you're not as bad as they say you are. We'll look for that to hold true tonight. The 49ers have a very good defense and we're projecting the 49ers' offense will play more "smash mouth" Singletary style football and get the run game going behind Gore instead of heaving the ball up 45 times (last week). Alex Smith has shown ability to lead the offense effectively in the right situation and getting the run game going is surely the right situation for him. The New Orleans' defense can be ran on. SF is a resilient and resourceful team as their 13-4-1 ATS mark off a SU loss of more than 14 points indicates. Throw in that they're 6-0 ATS off a SU favorite loss while the Saints are just 1-11 ATS in September vs losing teams, and we got a dangerous dog tonight.
Totals 4 U
TOP PLAY
NO/SF OVER 44
REG Plays
NYY OVER 9
KC OVER 7.5
Cincy OVER 9
Minn UNDER 8.5
5 Star Sports Picks
Saints -5
Erin Rynning
20* 49ers
Info Plays
10* 49ers +5