SIXTH SENSE
Opinion
Green Bay -3 CHICAGO 46
GB smoked Buffalo last week 34-7. They were out rushed 3.9ypr to 3.4ypr but destroyed Buffalo in the passing game 8.8yps to 2.8yps. Overall, GB out gained Buffalo 6.2yppl to 3.4yppl. Chicago came away with a huge win at Dallas. While they didn’t run the ball well, gaining just 38 yards at 2.0ypr, they held Dallas to just 36 yards at 1.8ypr. Chicago managed to out pass Dallas 9.0yps to 7.3yps and out gained the Cowboys overall, 6.3yppl to 5.8yppl.
Green Bay averages 3.7ypr against 3.9ypr, 6.7yps against 6.2yps and 5.2yppl against 5.1yppl. They allow 5.2ypr against 5.0ypr, 3.8yps against 4.3yps and 4.4yppl against 4.6yppl. The Bears average 2.8ypr against 3.9ypr, 9.2yps against 7.3yps and 6.5yppl against 5.9yppl. On defense, they are allowing 1.4ypr against 3.1ypr, 6.0yps against 6.2yps and 4.5yppl against 5.2yppl.
This should be a very good game between two undefeated divisional rivals. Chicago qualifies in a Monday night situation, which is 29-9-2. They also qualify in fundamental rushing situations, which are 132-69-5, 445-304-21 and 182-96-13. Chicago will be without LT Chris Williams for this game. Green Bay may be without LT Chad Clifton and/or LG Daryn Colledge. First round draft choice Brian Bulaga can fill one of those spots so they should be okay if only one is out. Neither team is running or allowing much in the running game this year. GB’s defensive rush numbers don’t look good but when you remove Michael Vick’s second half numbers from week one, their rush defense is very good. Because the Packers won’t face that type of scrambler in this or most games, it’s an aberration rather than something that can be relied upon. The Packers dominated this series here for a number of years but are just 2-3 SU the last five years in Chicago with none of those games totaling higher than 42 points. Numbers favor Chicago by 4.5 points and predict only 37 points. I’ve been saying all year long you can just about mark GB down for 27-30 points per game and that might still be true but they will be tested by a good Chicago defensive front in this game. Final injury reports are not out yet. I will update this play by 10 pm central on Sunday evening. My only play here will be on Chicago, if there is a play. I doubt I will make a play on the under but I definitely lean that way. For now, until I update GREEN BAY 21 CHICAGO 20
RAW FOOTBALL
3* Green Bay Packers
DOUBLE DRAGON
Green Bay Packers
Beat Your Bookie
10* Play Texas (-175) over Seattle
Seattle is 7-33 as an underdog of +150 or higher this season
Seattle is 9-32 when playing in September road games the last 3 seasons
Seattle is 13-33 vs. left-handed starting pitchers this season
Marc Lawrence
Chicago Bears +3
Teddy Covers
Packers/Bears Over
White Sox
Fantasy Sports Gametime
100* Play Tampa Bay (-190) over Baltimore
Baltimore has lost 28 of the last 35 games when playing on artificial turf and they have also lost 53 of the last 68 road games vs. division opponents. Tampa pitcher, Wade Davis is 3-0 vs. Baltimore over his career with an ERA of 1.86 and he is also 1-0 over the last 3 overall starts with an ERA of 1.76.
50* Play Colorado (-185) over LA Dodgers
Colorado has won 17 of the last 19 home games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and they have also won 9 of the last 12 home games as a favorite of -175 to -200. Ubaldo Jimenez has won 14 of the last 15 games as a favorite of -175 to -250 and he has also won 8 consecutive home games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs.
Northcoasrt
Monday Night Marque
GB/ Chi 0ver 46.5
KIKI SPORTS
3 Units Green Bay -3
1 Unit Colorado -1.5 +105
1 Unit Cubs +124
Seabass
300* Bears buy it up to 4
50* Indians
50* Mets
50* Cubs
MTi Sports
4* Cubs
Frank Patron
Green Bay Packers -3
Larry Ness
10* Late-Breaking GOY - LA Angels
Big Al
Chicago Bears
Brandon Lang
30 Dime - Green Bay -3