DOUBLE DRAGON
BOISE STATE -46.5
FLORIDA -5.5
TEXAS -13
HAWAII +12.5
LARRY NESS
Legend - Rutgers
Sirduke Sports
7* E. Carolina Pirates +2.5
7* Illinois Fighting Illini -3
9* Florida Gators-5
7* Washington Huskies +7
11* Nebraska Cornhuskers +14.5
8* Clemson Tigers +1
Ron Raymond
East Carolina +3
When East Carolina team played as Home team as a Underdog - Vs Division Opponent - Allowed more than 20 points AGAINST in back to back games; the Pirates are 8-4-0 ATS in this spot.
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Underdog - Playing on Saturday - With 6 days off Coming off back to back SU Home wins - Coming off a win on grass; the Home Dog is 11-6-0 ATS in this role since ’97. Take East Carolina.
Stu Feiner
1,000,000 Dime Private Play
Rutgers ML
GOLD SHEET LTS
Super Power Seven: Connecticut
Top Play: Hawaii
Regular Plays: Fresno, West Virginia/Rutgers Under
Teddy Covers
Arizona +7
Alabama +5.5
WUNDERDOG
Houston at E. Carolina
3 units E. Carolina +3
E. Carolina defends their CUSA championship in this game against the high-flying Cougars. While Houston's offense can certainly get it done, their defense is among the worst in the nation. When they are playing bad teams, it doesn't matter. But, when facing a legitimate team, they can struggle. In the second half of the season, Houston played two solid programs in Tulsa and UCF, both on the road as they are here. They lost one of those outright and were 0-2 ATS. So, while they have shown the ability to absolutely crush mediocre competition, and play well at home, there are questions when they head to the road vs. a formidable opponent. On the road this Cougars teams is allowing a ridiculous 36 points per game, so expect E. Carolina to have success when they have the ball. And, given that the Pirates defense has allowed just 18 points per game at home, they should also have success slowing down Case Keenum and the Houston offense. Houston is 0-6 ATS since last season when coming off back-to-back wins. Over the past three seasons they are 0-7 ATS as a road favorite of a TD or less. Meanwhile, E. Carolina is 21-10 ATS as an underdog under Skip Holtz. I like the Pirates at home plus the points.
W. Virginia at Rutgers
3 units W. Virginia +1.5
West Virginia opened as a 2.5 point favorite but now find themselves getting points in this game. I think the oddsmakers had it right the first time. The Mountaineers aren't playing for the Big East championship, but they are going Bowling. And, a win here will likely earn them a spot in a prestigious New Year's day game instead of something much less exciting. A 3-point loss to Cincinnati on November 13 is what kept them out of the Championship game, but we can look for positives in that game. The Mountaineers were double-digit dogs to a very powerful Bearcats team and it was a fight as they lost by just a field goal. West Virginia also lost to South Florida two games prior and Auburn earlier in the year. The only loss that was a bad one was vs. S. Florida. Otherwise they have won every game they were supposed to win this season and they aren't being asked to cover a big number here. They are 2-1 ATS this season as a dog and they are coming off a confidence-building win over Pittsburgh. West Virginia has won 15 straight vs. Rutgers and are 30-4-2 all-time in the series. I like the Mountaineers to get it done here.
Florida vs. Alabama
3 units UNDER 41
The most anticipated game of the year is here with #1 Florida taking on #2 Alabama. This game may make the National Championship game pale in comparison. The winner gets to play in that game and the loser's hopes of a national title are gone. With the stakes so high, expect high-intensity and high nerves - both helping a play on the UNDER. Mark Ingram, Alabama's Heisman-hopeful running back injured his hip and was limited to just 30 yards and 1.9 yards per carry in Friday's game vs. Auburn. Oh, and these defenses are pretty good. Florida owns the #1 defense in the country and it's the reason they are here. This team has allowed a ridiculous 9.8 points per game! No opponent has scored more than 20 points on the Gators all season. Bama's defense is right there, ranked 3rd in the nation. They are 2nd in the country in points allowed, behind Florida at 10.8 points per game. The most this team gave up this season was 24 - and that was all the way back in early September in their opener. So, we have the top two defenses in the land, giving up a combined 20.6 points per game, and this total is set twice that high. Yes, these are good offenses, but not elite offenses. The defenses should dictate. The Tide are 17-5 UNDER in their last 22 games vs. teams that rush for 200+ yards per game. High intensity and low-scoring is what I expect in this game.
California at Washington
3 units UNDER 58 -110
The fact that Cal is just a TD favorite over Washington here says a lot about both teams. California was ranked 12th in the nation to start the season and was supposed to challenge for the Pac-10 championship. But, after blowout losses to Oregon and USC, that was over. They come into this game however off strong performances vs. Arizona and Stanford, holding those teams to 44 combined points. Washington is 3-1 at home vs. conference foes, holding USC, Stanford, Arizona and Washington state to an average of just 20 points per game. Cal's offense has averaged just 23.8 points per game over their last four. Their last game vs. Stanford saw 62 points scored and under head coach Jeff Tedford, this team is 14-5 UNDER on the road coming off an OVER and 19-10 UNDER after a game in which 60+ points were scored. I expect this one to go UNDER the total.
Joyce Sterling
10* Arizona +7 vs USC
The Wildcats have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series and 4 of the last 5 here.USC is 2-8 ATS vs conference revenge and have failed to cover 5 straight as favorites of less than 13. USC offense is sputtering averaging only 20.8 points per game.
San Jose St.+23.5 vs Louisiana Tech
Revenging last year's 21-0 loss. Coming off a 13-10 win. They score points in this game. Winning Head Coach Tomey is leaving and players play hard.
South Florida +7 @ Connecticut
The Huskies are emotionally drained and have lost the stats in each of their last 3 games allowing season high yardage in 2 of those games.
Insider Sports Report
5* Cincinnati -1.5 over Pittsburgh
4* Georgia Tech Pk over Clemson
3* Florida/Alabama UNDER 41.5
3* Texas -14 over Nebraska
R.A.W. FOOTBALL
4* Best Bet Louisiana Tech
3* Texas
2* Illinois
2* Boise State
Kelso
50 units Alabama +5
10 units La Tech -23.5
5 units Pitt +2
4 units West Virginia +1.5
3 units Arizona +7
WAYNE ROOT
10* Washington +7
6* Pitt +2.5
4* East Carolina +3
GOY Clemson -1
BLACK WIDOW
6* Widow Wiseguy Bama/Florida Conference Championship GAME OF THE YEAR on Alabama +6
All season long, Alabama has been the more impressive team. The Gators lack the same offensive firepower they did a year ago, and with the Crimson Tide playing in the role of revenge from last year's 20-31 loss to Florida in the SEC Championship, they'll come out with a little extra fire in this year's meeting. Florida's schedule this season was much easier than Alabama's, with cupcake opponents all over it. The Crimson Tide have been more battle-tested this year, pulling out some close wins along the way against quality opponents. Those experiences, plus last year's close loss to Florida, will have them prepared to pull this one out in the end. Alabama is a perfect 7-0 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 5.25 or less passing yards/att since 1992. The Gators have yet to play a team with as much balance as Alabama, and the Crimson Tide will be able to move the ball on this defense both on the ground and through the air. Florida's biggest strength is running the football, but they haven't faced a defense as stingy against the run as Alabama's. The Crimson Tide allow just 78 rushing yards/game and 2.7 yards/carry. Take Alabama and the points.
5* Wiseguy Big East BLOWOUT on Rutgers -1
Off their biggest win of the season, the West Virginia Mountaineers will let down this weekend after beating Pitt 19-16 in the Backyard Brawl last weekend. Rutgers has been great this year, posting an 8-3 record on the season. This is the best defensive team in the Big East, allowing just 16.8 points/game. They allow 15.5 points/game at home, while WVU allows 27.0 points/game on the road where they are just 1-3 this season. Rutgers is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. The Scarlet Knights are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Take Rutgers and lay the points.
4* on Cincinnati/Pittsburgh UNDER 58.5
In a battle for the Big East Title, this will be a defensive game Saturday. Both teams are excellent defensively, with Cincinnati allowing 18.6 points/game and Pitt allowing 17.7 points/game. The last two meetings in this rivalry saw 41 combined points in 2007 and 49 combined points in 2008. The Bearcats are 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) after scoring 42 points or more last game since 1992. The Panthers are 9-2 UNDER (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER 58.5 points here.
4* on USC -7
USC hasn't shown this much value all season as just a small home favorite to beat Arizona, a team that has played it's way out of a Pac-10 Title. The Trojans have won the last two meetings in this rivalry by 7 points each, and they were expected to blow out the Wildcats in those two games. Now, with the odds makers adjusting this line down to 7, not much is expected from the Trojans here, and that's why we feel they will come out and dominate. The Trojans are 4-1 at home this year, scoring 34.8 points/game. Arizona is 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in road games this season, scoring just 23.7 points/game. USC is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival since 1992. The Trojans haven't played up to their capability this year, and that's why they are showing so much value here Saturday. Take USC and lay the points.
4* on South Florida +7.5
We see no way South Florida loses this game by more than a touchdown Saturday. 3 of the last 4 meetings in this series have been decided by 7 points or less, with the lone exception being a 38-16 home win by South Florida in 2006. The Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. The Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. With starting QB Cody Endres out for the season for UConn, they are left with Zach Frazer who has completed just 52% of his passes this year with 7 touchdowns to 9 interceptions. Take South Florida and the points.
BRANDON LANG
40 DIME - FLORIDA GATORS - Tim Tebow.
This entire game and whether or not Florida covers the number doesn't come down to Florida's defense or Alabama's defense. It comes down to one guy and one guy only.
Tim Tebow.
If he plays well, executes the spread against Alabama's defense, no doubt in my mind Florida wins this game by 10 points or more.
First and foremost, let's start with this pointspread number of under a touchdown the Gators will try to cover.
Over their last 40 wins, 38 of them have been by 6 points or more. Juggle that number around in your head for a minute you have some time.
Last year Alabama played about as well as they possibly could and still lost by 11 and that was with an experienced QB in John Parker Wilson. This year it's first year starter Greg McElroy, who now plays the biggest game of his entire life.
The bottom line is he hasn't seen a defense like this all year long. I am talking about the # 1 overall defense in the entire country in the Florida Gators.
Last week at Auburn the Crimson Tide struggled in their running game to the tune of just 72 yards rushing and that was against the # 80th run defense in the entire country. Now they step up to face the 8th best run defense in the country.
Yes, I am fully aware of Alabama's # 2 overall defense in the country but it's a defense Tebow has seen and will be ready for.
Folks, you can't discount the experience of Tim Tebow in this game. You just can't, and as this game unfolds right before your every eyes you will see what that experience will do for Florida in this football game.
Getting the Gators at this kind of value is value I can't pass up.
Since they lost to Georgia laying 7 1/2 back in 2007, the Gators have been a favorite of 7 points or less 4 times and they are a perfect 4-0 ATS.
They laid 7 1/2 at South Carolina at the end of the 2007 season and won 51-21. In 2008 they laid 7 1/2 at Tennessee and won 30-6, 3 games later they laid 6 1/2 at home to LSU and won 51-21 and in a payback game against Georgia laying 6 1/2 they won 49-10.
Other than that, you haven't gotten Florida laying single digits again.
This year you have had to lay 16 points or more in every single game except the -10 at LSU.
You have gotten no value with the Gators this year when you have been asked to lay 37, 30, 20 1/2, 24 1/2, 22, 16, 35, 17 1/2, 47 and 25.
I want you to think about the value you are getting with the Gators today. It's basically 3 years full of value and it's value I am willing to step out 40 dimes on.
Congrats to the Florida Gators as they deliver the double digit win and now get ready to face the Texas Longhorns in the National championship game.
5 DIME - TEXAS LONGHORNS - (if line is 14 1/2, you buy the 1/2 and lay 14.) - Blowout. Absolute blowout.
This is as big of a mismatch as you can have all the way across the board.
Nebraska offensively has been a disaster all year long, and now they have to step up and find an offense against the best defensive opponent they will have faced all year long? It's a reciepe for a blowout.
Did you know 6 of the last 7 Big 12 Championship Games have been decided by 21 points or more? You might as well make it 7 of the last 8 because that is exactly where we are heading tonight.
What has Nebraska shown you this year offensively that leads you to believe they can so anything in this game to keep up with Texas?
In Big 12 play they were completely shut down at Missouri for 3 quarters until the Tigers offense turned it over 3 times in the 4th that got them to 27 points.
They scored 10 against Texas Tech, 9 points at home to Iowa State, a game they turned it over 8 times, 20 at Baylor, 10 against Oklahoma and 17 at Kansas State.
Their two biggest offensive outputs were 31 at Kansas, who's defense is ranked 74th overall and 28 last week at Colorado, who's defense is ranked 60th.
Let's see how they execute against the 5th best defense in the country for 60 minutes.
I am not the least bit worried about the Nebraska defense because the only offense they faced that comes near Texas is Texas Tech and the Cornhuskers were beaten soundly at home 31-10.
The bottom line folks is you don't struggle to score 10 points at home against the 48th ranked overall defense in Texas Tech, and go on to compete against the 2nd best team in the country who is playing to get into the biggest game of them all.
Longhorns roll with complete focus and get set to play the Gators for the National championship.
5 DIME - CONNECTICUT HUSKIES - (Note: If line is 7 1/2, you buy the 1/2 and get 7 ) - There is no way South Florida competes for 60 minutes in this game.
They just lost at home to their in-state rival Miami-Florida, 31-10 and now have to get on a plane and fly to the cold weather of Uconn and face a surging Huskies team.
I am talking about a UConn team that has one of the best ATS marks in the entire country this year.
Uconn has covered every single game this year with exception of their home game versus Rutgers. That is absolutely correct.
The Louisville game was bet down to 12 1/2 and 12 in some places and their 13 point win was enough to get the cover.
They have handled everyone and if you thought for one second there would be a letdown after their huge win over Notre Dame 2 weeks ago, you thought wrong.
They only came back home and completely hammered Syracuse to the tune of 56-31, and I fully believe it will be all systems go for Randy Edsalll's team in this game as well.
If South Florida some how shows up and competes and covers the number against one of the best pointspread teams in all of college football this year, so be it.
My dollar says they don't.
Uconn rolls large.
FREE SELECTION - CLEMSON TIGERS