John Ryan
10* ECU +3
10* Pitt +2
15* Florida -5.5
25* Texas -14
3* Wash +7
10* Cal Poly -1
igz1 sports
3* Washington +155
3* Providence +5.5
Maximus
TAKE DETROIT TITANS -3 vs Cleveland State Vikings.
EVALUATION: The Titans come in with a 5-2 SU & ATS record and have won all 3 games that have been played at Calihan Hall. Their 82.3 home scoring average is a pretty solid number, and they have only been letting up 70 points average on their home floor. Detroit has some major motivation in this game, since the Vikings beat them 3 times last year, 53-44 at Detroit, 49-66 at Cleveland St, and 43-56 in the conference tourney. The Vikings have had some really tough competition early with the likes of Kentucky, Virginia, and Wichita St, but we don’t see this as an advantage, since Detroit has played a couple of tough opponents themselves such as the defensive minded Depaul Blue Demons and the California Golden Bears. We like the 46% shooting percentage that Detroit has, and they average 6.1 more rebounds a game than the Vikings.
PROJECTION DETROIT 80 CLEVELAND ST 59 TAKE JAMES MADISON DUKES vs Georgia State Panthers. This game is played at JMU Center on James Madison’s campus and is scheduled to begin at 11am PST
EVALUATION: James Madison has a 4-2 SU record and is yet to lose on the home court of the JMU center, they have been averaging 68 points a game there and are only allowing 60 points avg. We like their 41.1% shooting percentage, but would like to see their Assist/Turnover Ratio get above the 1 mark, they are currently sitting at .9.
The Panthers are turning the ball over an average of 5.4 extra times than their assists, and they are only scoring 58 points a game average on the road. The Panthers have lost all 3 game on the road SU & ATS and we expect the same thing in this game with such a small spread.
PROJECTION JAMES MADISON 68 GEORGIA STATE 60
SOLIDS _____________________________Projection
WILLIAM & MARY +1 ½ vs VCU __________________WM & MARY 72-67
ST JOHNS +17 vs Duke _______________________________Duke 71-65
MONEYLINE
ST. BONAVENTURE +600 ____________________________St. Bonnie 73-66
HERE Then is the Late Card.
TAKE DEPAUL BLUE DEMONS +17 vs Vanderbilt Commodores.
EVALUATION: Both teams enter this game with a 5-1 SU mark, and have had a good start to the college basketball season. Vanderbilt has been having a good year so far, only dropping their opening round game in the MAUI Invitational to Cincinnati, they ended up as the consolation winner after beating Arizona 84-72. They came home with a tough fought win over a scrappy Missouri team, and now the Demons come a calling. Vandy likes an up tempo game averaging 80.7 points a game at home. Depaul on the other hand likes a slow and methodical game and only allows 54.8 points average per game which is 6th best in the NCAA DIV. 1 rankings. Depaul’s only loss has come to the hands of the Tennessee Volunteers where they dropped a tough fought battle as 19 ½ point dogs 53-57. This is going to be a war of wills, and we think Depaul’s will will win out, there 9.8 turnovers a game bodes well for a BLUE DEMONS cover.
PROJECTION: DEPAUL 57 VANDY 63
TAKE WASHINGTON ST COUGARS +9 vs Kansas St. Wildcats.
EVALUATION: K-State and Wash-St. both come into this game with matching 6-1 straight up marks and each have been points up in bunches. Each team averages over 80 points a game, and each team averages opponents to a shade over 66 points a game. They both have played some pretty stiff competition with Wash St. playing in the Alaskan Shootout were awarded the championship, and K-State has played a stiff Dayton team, and a Top 25 Ole MISS team in which they dropped a 74-86 . We think the odds makers have not been giving the Cougars their just due, and until this changes, we think the Washinton St. Cougars have good value here.We think both teams are going to score in this game and score often, all stats in this game point to a very close game, and we would not be surprised to see the Cougars to pull the outright upset and win this game outright.
PROJECTION: WASHINGTON ST 75 KANSAS ST. 74
TAKE MURRAY ST RACERS -9 vs Morehead St Eagles.
EVALUATION: Murray State comes into this game with a 6-1 SU mark, and have been averaging over 81 points a game. They have been overpowering their weaker opponents, and besides a tough fought battle with Eastern Kentucky in which they won 62-60 they have been beating opponents by an average of 22.6 points a game. Morehead St is 2-3 SU on the season, and have lost to Kentucky, LA-Monroe, and Kent St., while beating sub par teams in Brescia and Tennesee Martin. We see the 83.3 points a game average of the Racers to hold up vs the Eagles weak 66.5 points a game on the road of the Eagles. Murray states 4 and 0 home record should move to 5-0 and we see them covering the spread here.
PROJECTION: MURRAY ST. 75 MOREHEAD ST. 61
SOLIDS:-----------------------------Projections:
Oregon +11 ½ vs Missouri ---------------------------------Missouri 72-70
Deleware +21 vs Old Dominion --------------------------Old Dominion 73-66
Charlotte +18.5 vs Louisville --------------------------------Louisville 77-67
Loyola- Chicago +10.5 vs Wisc-Milw --------------------Wisc-Milw 72-70
Jacksonville St -4.5 vs Tennessee Tech-----------------Jacksonville St 83-75
Eastern Illinois +7.5 vs Austin Peay ---------------------Austin Peay 75-74
MONEYLINE
FURMAN +155 ------------------------------------------------Furman 72-66
SACRAMENTO ST +235-----------------------------------------Sac St. 75-70
BULLSEYE
Texas vs Nebraska
Pick: Nebraska +14.5
At the beginning of the year at the VegasInsider forum held at the Red Rock Casino, we picked the Texas Longhorns to play for it all against the Florida Gators. We still like our pick, but we were at Kyle Field last week when Texas let the Texas A&M Aggies total over 500 yards of offense and 39 points. The Aggies!!! No doubt, emotions were high in this long time rival series, but if the Aggies can mount that kind of attack, then Nebraska is going give them fits. Texas wins this game, but not by 14 points.
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Connecticut -7.5
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this game is on the home side:
With a 7-5 mark the Bulls will be headed for a return trip to the St Petersburg Bowl, which is little more than a 45-minute bus ride across the causeway from the campus.
QB BJ Daniels is a work in progress; Daniels has been a typical redshirt freshman, great one week, not-so-much the next. Over the last four weeks, Daniels has produced 336 yards of total offense in a win over West Virginia, 140 yards in a loss to Rutgers, 345 in a win over Louisville, and 116 in the most recent loss to Miami.
Also working against the Bulls; it’s UConn's Senior Night and also Military and Veterans Appreciation Night. The school is pulling out all the stops to get a sellout crowd.
Keep in in mind that South Florida is a horrible 1-5 ATS its last six overall.
On the other side of the field: UConn has made it through five brutally tough losses and the death of a beloved teammate. It has won enough games to lock up a bowl bid, and helped to get Notre Dame coach Charlie Weis fired; I look for this team to end the season strong.
UConn may show a different defense than usual this weekend. South Florida features the mobile Daniels at QB, so containment will be a bigger focus than it was a week ago against Syracuse.
Jordan Todman and Andre Dixon will be counted on most heavily to control the game on the ground.
Remember, Connecticut is a smoking 6-1 ATS its last seven overall.
Bottom line: Another big factor playing a roll in the outcome of this game is that will feature freezing temperatures, and it's safe to say that the Bulls don't ever play in that kind of weather at home in Tampa; look for CONNECTICUT to improve to 4-1 ATS this year as a favorite, 6-1 ATS against conference opponents, and for South Florida to fall to 2-5 ATS vs. conference opponents.
*10* CONNECTICUT
Bob Balfe
Georgia Tech -1
GTech's rushing offense is just too much for any team to prepare for in just one weeks time, especially a team that lost last week. If GTech can contain Spiller I just do not see Clemson making this game close at all. Clemson does have a good defense, but on the road do not play as well. GTech's offense has actually been better on the road this season and I expect them to go wire to wire tonight. Take GTech.
Tony George
Alabama +5.5
Yeah Yeah, Florida is the bomb!! Tebow a stud, Urban Meyer a genius..blah blah blah….sick of it! They have had a patsy schedule and Bama is battle tested with the Best RB, best defense, best WR and best skill players on defense on the field in this game. 5 points is way too many, I call for an outright win by Bama. Florida just lost their starting DE to a DUI arrest on Monday Night. Like Bama
Play 1 Unit on Alabama
SCORE
400% Florida
300% Texas
300% Wisconsin
300% Cincy
Winning Points
Clemson
Alabama
West Virginia
U Conn
Sports Bank
500 Nebraska
DAVID MALINSKY
6* GEORGIA TECH over SOUTHERN CAL
Every once in a while a dark cloud can produce a silver lining, and
that was the case with our 4* Texas ticket going down against
Southern Cal on Thursday night. The extremely limited Trojans were
just as bad as we expected, with the lack of a true PG reducing the
offense to some ugly school-yard free lancing, and when the counting
was done they finished with a truly mind-numbing count of 17
turnovers vs. only two assists. We have never tracked a worse game in
terms of that ratio. But it was one of those nights in which the
Longhorns simply could not knock down open shots, going 2-11 from
3-point range and 19-34 at the free throw line. What should have been
an easy cover was not.
But going forward that works for us here, bringing a far shorter
price range that we should be seeing. Now Kevin O?Neill has to take
his basically six-player rotation even further across the country for
the second tough matchup in less than 48 hours, and they run into a
deep and talented Georgia Tech team that is not only playing with a
lot of confidence right now (that solid rout over Siena on Wednesday
was the kind of outstanding performance that gets lost in the early
marketplace), but also a sense of purpose ? this is a major revenge
affair for Paul Hewitt and his team after getting whipped 76-57 at
Southern Cal LY.
LY?s result, of course fires up the Yellow Jackets but actually means
nothing in terms of the balance of power of the programs. The Trojans
got 145 of their 200 floor minutes from DeMar DeRozan, Taj Gibson,
Daniel Hackett, and Keith Wilkinson in that win, and they are all
gone now. As stated above there is not a PG guard to either handle
the full-court pressure that they will face here, or to create open
looks when they do get a chance to set up the offense, and as bad as
the Assist to Turnover count was vs. Texas, it was also horrific
against Nebraska in Sunday?s home loss, with 17 giveaways vs. only
eight baskets created.
Tech will attack the Southern Cal weaknesses relentlessly. Hewitt has
the depth to press for the full 40 minutes, creating numerous easy
opportunities off of turnovers, and it will be a complete mismatch on
the boards, which also means easy points off of put-backs. And that
is before Trojan fatigue sets in. The second half becomes an ugly
rout-out once that happens.
Sports Bets Now
3 Units Clemson -1
1 Unit FIU -2.5
1 Unit Denver +3.5
NHL PRO PICKS
Edmonton +158
Washington +156
Toronto +145
Calgary +142
Ottawa +110
Larry Ness
20* PERFECT STORM-CFB (9-3, 75% in CFB '09)
My 20* PERFECT STORM is on U Conn at 8:00 ET. USF (7-4) and U Conn (6-5) meet on Saturday with both teams trying to improve their bowl positions. For South Florida, the last three seasons have been deja vu. USF opened 6-0 in 2007 and opened as the No. 2 team in the nation in the first BCS standings but promptly lost its next three games. The Bulls would finish 9-4. In 2008, USF opened 5-0 but lost FIVE of its last seven regular season games before winning a bowl game to finish 8-5. This year, the Bulls again opened 5-0 but have lost FOUR of their last six games. U Conn is bowl-eligible for the third straight season, surviving the tragic death of Jasper Howard. Despite the loss of Donald Brown to the NFL's Colts (2,083 yards / 5.7 YPC / 18 TDs), the Huskies are still a run-first team, averaging 176.9 YPG (4.3 YPC / 27 TDs). Sophomore Todman has run for 1,079 yards (5.1 YPC / 14 TDs) and senior Dixon 917 yards (4.8 YPC / 11 TDs). In U Conn's first home game since Howard was stabbed to death outside a school dance on Oct 18, QB Cody Endres went down with an injury to his left shoulder against Rutgers. Backup QB Zach Frazer entered the game in the first quarter and threw for 333 yards and a TD. He led U Conn on two fourth-quarter TD drives after they trailed 21-10 (led 24-21). On a day Connecticut wanted badly to win for slain teammate Jasper Howard, one of Howard's best friends won it for Rutgers. WR Tim Brown, who grew up with Howard in Miami, scored on an 81-yard TD pass with 22 seconds left to give the Scarlet Knights an improbable 28-24 victory over the Huskies. The Huskies have won TWO of three games since, averaging 39.5 PPG. They lost 47-45 at Cincy, while beating Notre Dame 33-30 in two OTs at South Bend and won 56-31 over Syracuse in Storrs. Frazer has averaged a more modest 191.7 YPG the last three games but unlike in the game vs Rutgers (three INTs), he's thrown four TDs and just two INTs. Todman has averaged 138.3 YPG on the ground the last three games (six TDs) while Dixon has averaged 93.5 YPG with four TDs in his last two. U Conn's pass D has been a 'nightmare' over the last three games, allowing 389.7 YPG and not intercepting a single pass in 123 attempts. However, that shouldn't be a concern against USF's freshman QB, BJ Daniels (Grothe went down for the season early in the year). USF has split four home games (lost 34-17 to Cincy and 31-10 to Miami), while losing both road games (41-14 at Pitt and 31-0 at Rutgers) over their last six games (since that 5-0 start). Daniels has completed 11-of-25 passes (44.0%) for just 170 yards with zero TDs and four INTs in USF's two road games. How can U Conn's pass D be worried? Overall, USF has posted 18 total FDs and just 185.5 total YPG in those two road efforts. These schools are almost 1,300 miles apart (biggest difference any two in the Big East) and it should come as no surprise that the home team is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in the schools' four Big East meetings. PERFECT STORM 20* U Conn
Coglye West
50* Min/Nas Over 5
10* Col/Clb Over 5.5
10* Atl/Fla Over 6
5* Chi/Pit Under