Red Dog Sports
Harvard at George Mason
Play: George Mason -6.5
George Mason got to play a few games in Europe over the summer and should be prepared for their opener. Harvard loses Jeremy Lin and their second leading scorer (Kyle Casey) is injured. I like the GMU Patriots to win by 10 or more on Saturday.
BIG AL
PAC-10 CONFERENCE GOY - ARIZONA ST
BIG CHALK BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR - AIR FORCE
NCAA HIGH ROLLER - NEBRASKA
ROADKILL - MISSOURI
ELITE INFO - FRESNO ST
Keith Martin Sports
San Diego St. -6
R.A.W. FOOTBALL
5* Oregon
4* Kentucky
4* Texas
3* Wisconsin
3* Alabama
DOUBLE DRAGON
OKLAHOMA -15
MISSISSIPPI STATE +13
OKLAHOMA STATE -5.5
GEORGIA +7.5
TCU -27
FLORIDA -7
The Boss
500% untouchable play Missouri
300% bookie buster parlay Missouri Ohio State Oklahoma
200% dog pound New Mexico
100% silent assassins Arizona Florida Atlantic Nebraska
Marc Lawrence
30-0 ATS College Conference GOY
Texas
Texas plays host to Oklahoma State Saturday evening in Austin in what has been a truly puzzling season for the Longhorns who are currently riding a 0-3 SU and ATS losing streak, every game in which they outstatted the opposition by 100 or more yards. Incredibly, Texas is one of only three FBS teams to have outyarded every opponent in every game this season and they own the nation’s No. 5 ranked defense. Yet they enter today’s contest in LAST PLACE in the Big 12 South division. Today they host a team they have defeated 22 out of 24 times in all-time meetings, including 12 wins in a row. Oklahoma State, the Big 12 South division leader, invades Texas Memorial Stadium with a defense that allows 146 YPG more than the Longhorns knowing its last win within Austin city limits was during WWII, in 1944. Under Mike Gundy the Cowboys are just 4-15 SU and 6-12-1 ATS away from home against opponents that allow 25.7 or less PPG. They are also 1-5 SU and ATS under Gundy in games against foes off a SU favorite loss. The heavy artillery, though, comes from our ever-reliable database as it delivers these powerful winning angles: 1) Conference road favorites of three or more points off back-to-back wins that allow more than 24.5 PPG facing an opponent off a straight up loss as a favorite that allow less than 33 PPG are 0-13 ATS since 1980... and 2) .333 or greater college dogs of 20 or less points off three straight up favorite losses in a row are 10-0 ATS since 1980 when facing an opponent off back-to-back wins... and 3) college home dogs of more than four points off a straight up favorite loss are 7-0 ATS since 1980 if they won eight or more games last season and defeated today's opponent in their most recent meeting. With the Longhorns backs pinned to the proverbial wall and in need of two wins in its final three games in order to gain bowl eligibility, look for them to bring their 'A' game here today. We recommend a 4-unit play on Texas.
Kentucky
Kentucky hosts an incredibly beat up Vanderbilt that is down to its 4th string RB. The Commies' offense has hit rough waters, having gained 153 or fewer yards in three of their last four games. Now with their top two RB's, Warren Norman and Zac Stacey, out and 3rd string RB Wesley Tate questionable with an ankle injury, it's hard to visualize smooth sailing anytime soon. That should open the door for the 5-5 Wildcats who are in need of a victory to become bowl eligible and with only a trip to Rocky Top left on the docket, this has the makings of 'must-win' written all over it. Series history tells us Kentucky is 5-1 SU and ATS of late, including 3-1 SU and ATS at home. Clincher is the fact that .500 teams in Last Home Games, off a home win are 11-3-2 ATS when facing an opponent off an ATS loss, including 4-0 SU and ATS if the foe is a .400 or less on the season - with the an average win margin in this games by 26 PPG. Lay the points with the Wildcats. We recommend a 3-unit play on Kentucky.
Bobby Maxwell
700-Unit Pac-10 Power Play - STANFORD CARDINAL
Arizona State has been in every game except one this season, but the Sun Devils always seem to find a way to lose games against ranked opponents. Stanford has rattled off four straight wins since their loss at Oregon and have looked very good the last two weeks. I’ll go ahead and lay the points with the Cardinal on the highway in this big Pac-10 matchup.
Stanford is 3-1 on the road this season with wins at Washington, Notre Dame and UCLA. The Cardinal’s lone loss came at Oregon in a 52-31 shootout. Since then they have won four straight, including the last two weeks by a combined 83-17. Last week the Cardinal manhandled Arizona 42-17 as 7 ½-point home favorites.
Stanford has a potent offensive attack, scoring at least 31 points in every game this season. They are fifth in the nation at 42.3 points per game and QB Andrew Luck has 22 TD passes and is completing 67.8 percent of his throws.
Arizona State has lost 14 straight to Top 25 opponents and lost a high-profile game last week at USC, falling 34-33. QB Steven Threet had three TD passes against the Trojans but he also threw two INTs. He’s been inconsistent like that all season, tossing 17 TD passes and 15 INTs.
The Sun Devils are on ATS slides of 4-10-1 after a spread-cover and 4-12 as an underdog of 3 ½ to 10 points. On the opposite side, Stanford is on ATS runs of 5-1 on the road, 4-1 against losing teams, 4-1 as a road favorite and 6-2 after a straight-up win.
Look for Stanford to continue to light up the scoreboard and a few key turnovers will cost the Sun Devils in the second half. Lay the points and play the Cardinal tonight.
100-Unit SEC Smart Play - AUBURN TIGERS
Auburn brings its season-long 10-game winning streak and a whole lot of turmoil into this home game with Georgia today, but between the lines, QB Cam Newton can forget about all the off-field speculation and just play. And play he will, keeping up what he’s started this season with huge games and he will lead the Tigers to a big win over Georgia in this SEC battle.
Newton is living under a microscope now with all the speculation about him and his father in the recruiting process. But on the field, none of that matters as it’s just him with his teammates. Those guys have dominated on the field this year. Scoring 113 points in the last two games and topping 50 points in four of the last six games and five of the 10 this season.
Newton leads the SEC in rushing with 1,146 yards and 15 TDs and he is second in the country in passing with 67 percent completions, 19 TDs and just five INTs. He has turned around the Auburn team and once he steps between the lines, he can let all the off-field stuff go.
Georgia got off to a horrible start without star WR A.J. Green, opening 1-4. They then won three straight games and had a shot at the SEC East crown, but a loss to Florida two weeks ago killed that idea. Now they have to worry about bowl eligibility and get a win either this week against Auburn or in the finale against Georgia Tech.
The Bulldogs should be able to score points, it’s just a matter of if they can score enough. Auburn is next-to-last in the SEC in passing defense, allowing 241 yards per game. Since Green has been back for Georgia, he has 32 catches for 510 yards and seven TDs. QB Aaron Murray has matured this season and when he controls the line of scrimmage with either play-action or the running game, Georgia is tough to beat.
Georgia has won four straight in this rivalry, cashing in three of the four. Last season the Bulldogs scored a 31-24 win as four-point favorites. The lone game the Bulldogs didn’t cover was last time the two met at Auburn, winning 17-13 but coming up short as nine-point chalk.
Georgia is on ATS slides of 7-15-1 in SEC games, 3-7-1 after a spread-cover, 1-4 against winning teams and 1-4 as an underdog. Auburn is on positive ATS runs of 6-1 in SEC games, 4-1 at home, 5-2 overall and 4-0 after a non-cover.
Lay the points at home with Auburn as the Tigers have too much offense for Georgia.
Wayne Root
Millionaire - Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Billionaire - California Bears
No Limit (PAC 10 GOY) - Arizona State Sun Devils
Pinnacle - Colorado State Rams
Pinnacle - Texas Longhorns
Borad of Directors - Clemson Tigers
401ksports
4* BOSTON COLLEGE -3.5 over Duke
The eagles have played really well the last few weeks beating Clemson and wake forest on the road last week in the last four weeks the eagles have only allowed one game with over 100 yards rushing and 200 yards passing and the eagles rank #15 on defense while duke is #115. Now the blue devils have allowed 151 points in the last four weeks and gave up 643 yards to Virginia last week and the last two top defenses they have faced they have only scored a total of 20 points and duke is -8 in the turnover department while the eagles are +7 and duke QB referee has thrown 15 int's compared to just 12 td's. The eagles will be physical and with duke allowing 199 yards rushing on the season i expect the eagles to be able to push the blue devils around here and once they put duke in a hole that defense will put on the pressure and turnovers are bound to happen. Lets go with boston college as our top play for Saturday. Boston college 34 Duke 17.
CHUCK O'BRIEN
30 DIME NC State
10 DIME Northwestern Wildcats (1H)
ATS LOCK CLUB
10 Units on Boston College -3
10 Units on Fresno St. +8.5
2 Unit Parlay Boston College/Fresno St.
7 Units on West Virginia -4.5
6 Units on Virginia +2.5
5 Units on Florida -6.5
5 Units on Stanford -4.5
Rainman
5* Kentucky
5* Utah
3* Oregon
3* Oklahoma State
3* Ohio State
1* Illinois
1* Marshall
Trace Adams
3000♦ Kentucky
The Duke's Sports
South Florida (+2') for 2 Units
L'ville's backup QB Burke did a remarkable job last week at Syracuse but shouldn't have the ball bounce in his favor today. The Card's are just 3-7 ATS off ATS wins, 4-12 ATS in conference play, and 2-5 ATS at home. South Fla has a disruptive defense and an offense that is now adapting to Skip Holtz' system. QB B.J. Daniels has been outstanding since reaching a low point on the prime time game at WV October 14th. And it's difficult to fade Holtz when he sports a sensational 12-1 ATS mark as a road dog of less than 6 points. Bulls the call.