PURELOCK
Central Florida +5
Mac Monster
20 Clemson-8
20 Virginia +4
20 Baylor +23.5
15 Stanford + 10.5
15 Mich St -3
15 Western Michigan -12.5
7 Louisville - 7.5
7 TCU - 19.5
5 Georgia Tech -12.5
5 Boise St - 31.5
Greg Roberts
7 Units GOY Oregon -17
DR BOB
Illinois (-4) 2-Stars at -6 or less, 3-Stars at -3 or less.
Nebraska (-3 1/2) 3-Stars at -4 or less, 2-Stars up to -6 1/2.
Nevada (-7) 2-Stars at -7 or less.
Oregon State (-12) 3-Stars at -13 1/2 or less, 2-Stars at -14.
Oklahoma State (-4) 2-Stars at -5 or less, 3-Stars at -3.
Middle Tennessee St (-12 1/2) 3-Stars at -14 or less, 2-Stars up to -15.
Strong Opinions
South Florida (+2 1/2) Strong Opinion at +1 or more, 2-Star Best Bet at +3 at -112 odds or better.
UAB (-1) Strong Opinion at -2 1/2 or better.
TCU (-19 1/2) Strong Opinion at -20 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -18 or less.
Ben Burns
GOY - USC
Maddux Sports
4 units on USC -10.5
3 units on Nevada -7
3 units on Mississippi State +12
3 units on North Carolina +3.5
3 units on Oklahoma State -4
5 units on Georgia -4
3 units on Central Florida +4.5
Teddy Covers
20* Big Ticket: Notre Dame +7
Kentucky -3
Tennessee +6
Iowa State -5
Arizona +3
UNLV +17
Pointwise Phones
4* Oregon, Arizona
3* Notre Dame, Hawaii, Penn St, Wisconsin, Kansas St, Ohio St
2* Stanford, Louisiana Tech, Mississippi St, Northwestern, Oklahoma
Nationwide Gold Sheet
Super Power 7 - Kansas St
Top Play - North Carolina St
Regulars - Louisville, BYU, Air Force, Hawaii
ASA
4* TCU
3* Notre Dame Over
3* MS St
Marc Lawrence
Revenge GOY
Notre Dame +7 vs Pittsburgh
After last week's upset loss to Navy, this becomes a huge game for the Irish, who have won six of the last seven SU on this field. In the 19-game history of this series, the Panthers have only been favored three times and lost all three games outright. Pitt has also not fared well as home favorites of less than 8 points, posting a 2-6 ATS log. head coach Dave Wannstedt has been outclassed as a home favorite versus .666 or greater opposition, checking in with an awful 1-6 ATS log. The Irish, led by probable 1st -team All-Americans Jimmy Claussen and Golden Tate, continue to dominate the stats category (16-3 L19, including 5-1 last six. ) The Dame, looking to avenge a four-overtime home loss to the Panthers last year, is 11-1 ATS as RD’s of 8 or less points. From our powerful database we note the following: road dogs of 21 or less points off a SU loss to a military school in which they lost to the spread by more than seven or more points who allow 29.5 or less PPG on the season are 12-0 ATS since 1980 when facing a .700 or greater opponent. In addition, home favorites of four or more points riding a 3-0 SU and ATS win streak who won the previous two games at home that allow more than 17 PPG on the season are 0-11 ATS since 1980 if the last win was by less than 30 points and their opponent lost its last game by 24 or less points. Look for the Irish to get their revenge and back on the win track here today in a game in which an upset would be no surprise. We recommend a 4-unit play on Notre Dame.
Brandon Lang
30 DIME - DUKE BLUE DEVILS
Tough spot for Georgia Tech today.
Off their OT win at home last week versus Wake Forest, they now travel to Duke to take on the #1 pass offense in the ACC.
Folks, this is a Georgia Tech team playing for an 11th straight week. That is almost unheard of in college football.
Last week I watched Riley Skinner of Wake Forest throw for almost 300 yards on this Tech defense and if you really examine the Yellow Jackets on the road, they can be had.
Miami/Florida put up over 400 yards total offense, Mississippi State put up close to 500 yards, Florida State put up 539 yards and even Vanderbilt put up close to 400 yards.
I am aware a win puts Georgia Tech in the ACC championship game but it's not like Duke is going to just lay down for Georgia Tech. They will come to play.
If Duke can pass for 359 yards at home against the 8th best pass defense in the country Virginia Tech, your telling me they won't be able to execute against 68th?
The bottom line is Duke will never be out of this game with their passing attack and if they can force a few turnovers, they just might pull off another shocker, just as they did for me as a 16 1/2 point dog at NC State.
You remember that game right? Duke won outright by 3 touchdowns 49-28.
Duke gets the cover today.
15 DIME - AUBURN TIGERS
Who is Georgia to be laying points to anybody right now? Why, because they just beat Tennessee Tech 38-0.
This is a Bulldog team that has covered just 2 games this entire year against Arkansas and Vandy both on the road.
At home they are 0-3 ATS struggling to beat Arizona State by 3 as a 17 1/2 point favorite, South Carolina by 4 as a 6 1/2 point favorite and lost to LSU as a 3 1/2 point favorite.
I don't trust this Mark Richt Georgia team as far as I can throw them, and it wouldn't suprise me if Auburn came in here and won the game outright.
The Tigers have a huge edge on offense ranked 12th in the country, and the #1 offense in the SEC. How about those apples, while Georgia comes in ranked 88th. I will gladly take this generous amount of points with a better offense and a comparable defense.
Georgia has the 36th overall defense giving up 5.08 yards per play and 337 yards average a game versus Auburn's 5.10 yards per play. The Georgia defense isn't that much better than Auburn.
Auburn started off the year a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS when they traveled to Arkansas for an early game and the linemaker installed them as a 2 point road favorite. They got blown out.
Off that loss they fell flat at home to Kentucky and then the next week at Lsu they fell flat again.
However, they have since righted their ship with a dominating home win over Ole Miss and after their scrimmage last week versus Furman 63-31, they are ready to roll here.
The Auburn Tigers slump is over. They are ready to make another surge and I believe they will do just that here with a possible outright win.
5 DIME, 3-TEAM TEASER - OREGON, UL MONROE, KANSAS STATE
Let's start with the Ducks. This is going to be a bloodbath all day long.
The Ducks have won the last 4 in this series, and all four have been by double digits. The only thing stopping me from laying the whole ball of wax is trying to gage the emotional state of this Oregon team after last weeks loss to Stanford.
Arizona State played their heart out versus USC at home but they are walking into a hornets nest here against this Ducks team that has been lethal at home in Pac-10 play.
They beat Cal 42-3, Washington State 52-6 and Usc 47-20.
The bottom line is you start beating the USC Trojans of the world by 27 at home, and put up close to 50 doing it, I will gladly tease you down to under 10 points and take my chances.
Now UL- Monroe gets the worst team in the league at home off their 27 point win on the road against North Texas.
Simple thought would lead you to believe if you can beat a better North Texas team at their place by 27, you can handle the worst team in your conference at home by the same amount. I couldn't agree more.
However, when you are a team not used to laying 21 points against anybody, I've seen crazy things happen you can't explain. So therefore I am protecting myself a bit from those crazy things.
Over the last 4 years this LA Monroe team is 12-1 ATS their last 4 games of the year. So as you can see, this team plays very well late.
Feel much better laying less than 12 with this LA Monroe team.
As for Kansas State, they were very good to me last week in beating Kansas but with this line moving all over the place, I will move Kansas State up to getting double digits at home.
This line opened up Kansas State -2 and has moved to Missouri -1 as of Friday night. I have checked injuries, and no major ones are being reported.
A line move of this magnitude always makes me leary of somebody somewhere knowing something somebody else doesn't.
Regardless of the line move, I am jacking up Kansas State to +11 and rolling the dice with head coach Snyder, who has won 13 in a row versus Missouri.
FREE SELECTION - TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS
BRYAN LEONARD
SEC MONEY MAKER
Alabama at Mississippi State
Is it possible the Tide peak too early? It's starting to look that way after three straight unimpressive victories. They beat South Carolina 20-6, Tennessee 12-10 and LSU 24-15 all at home in Tuscaloosa. While the defense has been terrific all season long the offense is showing plenty of weakness. Alabama hasn't surpassed 24 points since October 3rd at Kentucky. They seemed to get every call last week against the Tigers and the week before that they survived the upset a number of times against the Volunteers. This is an overrated team right now that simply should not be a favorite of this magnitude.
We really like backing quality first year coaches off a bye week. The extra week of preparation is extremely valuable. Last week Dan Mullen and his boys sat on the sideline while Alabama slugged it out with the physical LSU Tigers. Now we catch a rested squad that has cashed three straight games looking to pull off the shocker. Keep in mind they easily covered the spread just three weeks ago hosting top ranked Florida. The Bulldogs have cashed 13 of 18 in this series and have won outright twice in the last three meetings. That includes a 17-12 upset victory the last time Alabama invaded Starkville.
Alabama clinched the division title last week with the LSU victory. Coming off that physical game we simply can't see the Tide winning this one by a margin. The well rested up and coming dog takes the cash here as Alabama struggles for the outright win once again.
PLAY MISSISSIPPI STATE
Jim Feist
GOY - Oregon
Tim Trushel
20* Mississippi Under
Notre Dame
Stanford
Mississippi State