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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Saturday, November 14,2009

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The Experts Guaranteed Selections

LATE STEAM WAC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR

Nevada -7

Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections

MEGA BOOKIE BUSTER BLOWOUT BIG 12 PLAY OF THE YEAR

Nebraska -4

The Greatest

Early Releases

5* Illinois -5
5* IA St -5
5* NC St +8

Billy Coleman

3* U Portland

Executive

450% Mississippi -5
300% Iowa st -5
300% SMU -7
300% Miami Fla -3

GAMEDAY SPORTS

5* OREGON -17
3* OREGON ST -12'
3*ALABAMA -12
2* PURDUE +3
2* KANSAS +4
2* NOTRE DAME +7

KBHoops

5* Tenn/Mississippi UNDER 48 **POD**
4* California -2.5
4* Missouri -1
3* Texas -23.5
3* Tennessee +6

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 10:38 am
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Rocketman

UAB vs Memphis

Memphis is 1-7 ATS in all games this year. Memphis is 1-6 ATS as an underdog this year. Memphis is 1-5 ATS in Saturday this year. Memphis is 1-6 ATS on grass this year. UAB is 6-2 ATS overall vs Memphis since 1992. Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November. Blazers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Blazers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games on turf. Blazers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games. Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Tigers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Blazers are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. We'll play UAB for 4 units today!

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 10:39 am
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Lenny Del Genio

25* ACC Game of the Year

Virginia Tech vs Maryland

This sets up as an even worse matchup than usual for Maryland and considering recent series history, that's certainly saying something. The Hokies are a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS since '93 in this series, three of those meetings coming after they joined the ACC, winning by an average of 26 PPG. In their last visit to College Park, they outgained the Terps by 243 total yards and had a first down advantage of +9. This time when they come calling, it will almost be like they are playing a home game in Lane Stadium. That's because a 2-7 non-bowl eligible Maryland team is having trouble drawing crowds this year to Byrd Stadium. Consider that prior to 2002, the Terps never drew a crowd of less than 48,000 (stadium capacity is 51,500), but has not even approached that number in five home games this season. Because there is a large contingent of Virginia Tech alumni in the Washington DC area, however, you can expect a packed house Saturday afternoon. Consider that in that '05 visit, the announced attendance was 54,838 (over capacity), making the Hokie presence considerable. Really Maryland fans have nothing to show up for anyway as RB Da'Rel Scott (team's best player) was already lost for the season and now senior and three-year starter QB Chris Turner is done as well (MCL), leaving Ralph Freidgen to insert Jamarr Robinson for his first career start. He also has entertained the idea of playing freshman Danny O'Brien. This is the wrong defense for that as VT has held five different opponents below the 15-point barrier. After Turner went down in the second quarter of last week's 38-31 loss to NC State, the Maryland offense gained just nine yards in the third quarter. The Hokies are 51-25 ATS off a non-conference game and 35-19 ATS as road chalk. Virginia Tech is our 25* ACC Game of the Year.

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 10:40 am
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ASA

9* Oregon -19

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 10:42 am
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Bankers Sportswire

500 Mich St

Chris James Sports

3* Nevada -7
2* TCU -20
2* Houston -4.5
2* Kentucky 3.5


Wayne Root

Big 12 GOY Kansas

Tom Stryker

GOY USC

Executive

Added

150 OK ST
100 NC ST
100 WF

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 10:51 am
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Fade or Follow

Florida State @ Wake Forest

This is a Private Play release from Our CEO which means he is personally playing this game based on private information he has received or knowledge of various circumstances which may lend to an increased likelihood of a winning wager. No analysis is included with this selection.

25 Dimes Florida State +5'

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 10:53 am
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Fat Jack

Utah St
Oregon
Cal
OkSt
Baylor
Notre Dame
Wash St.

Score

400 G Tech

Cajun Sports

6* Oregon
5* Texas Tech
5* Notre Dame
4* Wisconsin
4* Kentucky

Joyce Sterling

10* USC

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 11:10 am
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Unlocked Sports

3* Philadelphia -1.5

3* Anaheim/Detroit UNDER 5.5

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 11:12 am
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Marc Lawrence

Arizona vs California

The Wildcats travel to Berkeley to meet the Bears in a key PAC 10 showdown Saturday night at Memorial Stadium. Arizona brings the better offense and the better defense into this fray. And they hold a commanding edge against three common opponents, winning the stats by an average 180 YPG as opposed to California’s –10 YPG. Digging deeper, Arizona has met four opponents this season that were beat by 10 or more points in their previous game this season. The ‘Cats are 4-0 SU and ATS in those games. It ties into their 15-4 SU and 15-3 ATS mark in games against foes off double-digit defeats under head coach Mike Stoops. Meanwhile, Jeff Tedford’s Bears are in the midst of their annual fold (59-73-3 SU and ATS from Game Eight out). They are also 1-11 SU and 2-10 ATS under his lead in conference games against .600 or greater opponents when playing off a SU favorite loss. With California 5-0 SU versus losing teams this year, but 0-3 SU and ATS against teams this year that currently sport a winning record (outscored 103-20 and outgained 686 yards), look for the Wildcats to get the comfortable win here this evening. We recommend a 3-unit play on Arizona.

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 11:13 am
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Tony George

Arizona State vs Oregon

Arizona State cannot trade punches on offense. Oregon off a loss at home against a beatable foe. Other than the 2 Washington schools in the PAC 10, ASu has averaged 15 ppg on offense. Not enough to hold back a determined Duck team who is damn near unbeatable at home and ticked off about last week’s loss and no defense at Stanford. If Oregon would have won last week this line would be over 20. Oregon will roll ASU and never let off the throttle. Play 1 Unit on Oregon

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 11:14 am
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Ron Raymond

Nebraska vs Kansas

When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Underdog - Last 4 years - With 6 days off - Coming off a 2 game Road stand - vs. opponent with a 61% to 70% winning %; the HOME DOG (KANSAS) is 11-4-0 ATS in this role the L4Y. Take Kansas.

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 11:17 am
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Boston College vs Virginia

For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this game is on the home side:

The Eagles haven’t played well away from home and enter the home stretch 0-3 on the road. In particular, the offense has struggled outside of Boston, scoring a total of 37 points in the three games, and the team’s turnover differential on the road is minus-eight.

It's true that Boston College is 5-1 ATS its last six overall, but its just 1-4 ATS its last five on the road!

On the other side of the field: Still, Virginia has something other than pride to play for in its next two games. While the Cavaliers have no chance to win the Coastal Division, they can play the spoiler role in the Atlantic.

Before the loss to Miami, the defense had allowed four passing touchdowns and just 11 touchdowns in the red zone. But it hasn’t been on the field for fewer than 36 minutes in the Cavaliers’ three-game losing streak. That has led to the unit wearing down in the fourth quarter and giving up big plays; however I expect it to return to form and be sharp today.

The secondary should be able to handle the Eagles’ pedestrian passing attack. QB Dave Shinskie throws for just 150.7 yards per game.

Senior QB Jameel Sewell (shoulder injury) didn’t play against Miami. Sewell’s status for the Boston College game is unclear. Junior Marc Verica will start again in Sewell’s place if he can’t participate.

Bottom line: This is a good spot for the Cavaliers to play spoiler as BC continues its problems on the road; look for Virginia to improve to 3-1 ATS after two or more consecutive losses and for Boston College to fall to 1-1 ATS as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 10 points! 10* Virginia

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 11:17 am
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Youngstown Connection

UTEP +7

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 11:27 am
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Steve Duemig

40 Dime Missouri

K St has become a very popular darling of the public this year and for good reason. Bill Snyder returned from the retirement home and they are winning football games. This week they opened as a 2.5 point fav and now, even though they are picking up public money at a 70% clip we see the line has moved toward Mizzu. As you know these reverse line moves are my favorite because they are telling the rue value that you have in the line. I expect more of the public money to contiue to flow toward K St and by the time this closes we could be getting points again. Even so, I will take Gabbert here and their passing game over a mostly run oriented K St team

15 Dime California

We saw last week AZ lay a beat down on Wazzu, but everyone has this year. We saw Cal take it on the chin and the head (Jahvid Best) in a 17 pt loss at Ore. St

The line comes out on Sunday and what do we see? Az favored by 2.5!! NOT SO FAST MY FRIEND!! AZ is still on the road and has yet to play the toughest part of their PAC 10 schedule. Cal is at home where it plays much better. .

A look today at the line now shows Cal as the favorite!!! But they are not laying a killer number it it may move back to AZ anyway. But wait, AZ is picking up 70 % of the spread bets, 82% of money line bets and 80% of parlay bets. This is the biggest reverse line moves of the season and we can still lay at 3 or lower. The books made a mistake opening up AZ as the fav here and they realize it now. When you see a favorite change like this the wrong team was favored.

5 Dime Stanford

Stanford can actually boast about the better freshman QB in Luck and the best RB in Gerhart, who had 223 yr against Oregon last week, in this matchup with USC has major defensive problems and a freshman QB of it's own. This is simply too many points to be laying here with USC, who have not been very good ATS wit no covers in their last 4 and 7/8 on the year. Coach Harbaugh has his team humming.

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 11:29 am
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Ben Burns

9* Kansas

Big Money

Okla St.

Blazer

4-Troy, 3- Fla. St., Col, C Fla, Fla Atl


Carolina Sports

5-K St, 4-Col, Miss St, C Fla, 3-Ore, Neb, Nev, SD St

Inside info

3-Oreg, 2-Ore St

Lt Profits

5-Va, 3-Oreg, Ore St, Utah St, Stan Over

Joe D

25-Okla St, 20-Haw, Ole Miss, 15-Col, UAB, ND

 
Posted : November 14, 2009 11:35 am
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