Notifications
Clear all

Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Saturday, November 21,2009

90 Posts
1 Users
0 Reactions
6,215 Views
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

The Booooj

10 units on Ohio State (-12) over Michigan
10 units on Minnesota (+10.5) over Iowa
50 units on North Carolina (+3.5) over Boston College
10 units on Penn State (-3) over Michigan State
20 units on LSU (+4.5) over Ole Miss

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 12:45 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

David Malinsky

Added

4* Florida Int/Florida Under 60
4* Twolves 14
4* New Mexico -10

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 12:46 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Seabass

500* Kansas
300* S Miss
300* Midd Tn State
200* Mich State
100* Tn, Cal, K State, Az, Nevada

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 12:47 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

THE FALL MIRACLE

BYU (-10) over AIR FORCE

Don't pay too much attention to BYU's little 5 point win at New Mexico last week.

Coach Mike Locksley and Bronco Mendenhall go way back, so there was no effort or even thought to run up the score. This is a good spot for BYU with Air Force coming off 3 consecutive easy wins off of bad teams. They took Utah to overtime and played TCU close, so don't expect a 3rd surprise. The TCU game was not as close as the score indicated. The Frogs fumbled twice inside the Air Force 10 yard line, and while trying to run out the clock up 20-10, a 3rd fumble allowed

the Falcons to get a TD with a minute left and it was raining in both games, which benefits the running game and that's all Air Force does. This is Max Hall's game today- he's got little time left to make a last ditch impression for a high draft pick. Air Force's option attack can be intimidating and they have the ability to control the clock, but everyone now knows their schemes so BYU will be fully prepared to defend it. If their defense could hold Oklahoma to 13 points they should hold Air Force to about the same, and remember they were (-5) in TO margin in their bad loss vs. Florida State and also saw Utah St. get a backdoor cover with 2 seconds left. Every time Mendenhall's crew has a off-game, they have come up big in the next one.

BYU surely respects the Air Force Academy but since the Falcons went for and scored a meaningless TD on the last play of their game back in 2003, the Cougars have since won each game handily. With a year of experience facing their triple option offense and an eagerness to make up for last week's lack of attention, Max Hall should have no trouble getting points at home vs. the Falcons and if he put up 50 against Wyoming's defense, I'll call for 5 TD's today.

BYU 35, Air Force 17

Play on: BYU

OKLAHOMA (-6.5) over TEXAS TECH

This is the 2nd time the Sooners are less than a TD favorite and they failed the first time at Nebraska. The reason was QB Landry Jones, Bradford's replacement, threw 5 interceptions. Tech coach Mike Leach had a rather interesting press conference after their 52-30 loss to A&M, referring to their "fat little girlfriends" about 10 times. But I think his main objective was to become bowl eligible, which they did after scoring 28 fourth quarter points vs. Kansas. Let's keep in mind Oklahoma's 4 losses have come by a total of 12 points. All 5 of their defensive linemen are NFL draft potential. Actually 4 of them bypassed the draft last season to come back for 2009 and try to win a championship. That won't happen, but DeMarco Murray is running out of time to make his own statement. Even so, Oklahoma's defense has given up a total of 6 TD's in the first half in their 9 games.

Tech did get a nice win at Nebraska, but only tallied 240 yards of offense. The turning point was when Nebraska had the ball inside the 10 yard line and threw an "almost forward" pass that was really a backwards pass, and Tech scooped it up and took it the other way for a 14-0 lead instead of 7-7. The Sooners have out-gained their last 6 opponents and by an average of 174 yards.

Obviously, the Sooners really have it going right now. Tech can light it up against even mediocre teams but will be lucky to get 2 touchdowns against what is almost an NFL rookie defensive line, so go with the Sooners to make up for lost time in a road game that will feature plenty of traveling fans from Norman.

Oklahoma 31, Texas Tech 17

Play on: OKLAHOMA

NORTHWESTERN (+7) over WISCONSIN

This will be the Wildcat's last game of the season and I'm having trouble finding reasons for the TD spread despite the Cats just knocking off Iowa and streaking Illinois on the road. Senior Mike Kafka has is athletic and has played well, passing for 600 yards more than Wisconsin's Scott Tolzein. Both of these teams had some games that could have gone either way and the jumbling results in a ranked status for Wisconsin. The Badgers have always been a hot team at home but on the road, favored by a TD is an advantage to NW. Just twice this entire decade during the regular season, in 2006 at Purdue and 2004 at Ohio St, did the Badgers win a road game over a winning team by more than a TD. They've beaten a few teams handily on the road, but not winning teams. Five of their 7 FBS wins have come by 1 score or less this season, although they did out-play Ohio State in that loss. With Ohio State going to the Rose Bowl the Badgers don't have a whole lot to play for and still have a game left at Hawaii- possibly a great spot for the Warriors, while this is Northwestern's last game.

Northwestern's defensive coordinator Mike Hankwitz was fired as Wisconsin's DC after the 2007 season, even though the Badgers went 9-4 and gave up under 24 points a game, so look for him to have an extra beef of motivation out of his defensive players as this is the first meeting between the 2 teams since. That alone is reason enough but with a TD to give up, go with the dog, as Wisconsin's last 20 games away from the confines of Madison, they have won just 3 of those 20 games by more than a TD, and 2 of them were at Big 10 basement Indiana.

Northwestern 24, Wisconsin 17

Play on: NORTHWESTERN

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 12:48 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

SCORE

600% "LOCK OF THE YEAR"

Stanford -7' over Cal

400% Oregon - Tennessee

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 12:50 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

3G-Sports

10* Underdog Outright: Syracuse
10* Blowout: Ohio St
5* Tenn
5* Geo
4* Stan

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 12:51 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

ASA

10-Star Midwest Game of the Year

Missouri (-15) over Iowa State

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 12:51 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

igz1 sports

3* Florida Panthers +170

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 12:53 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Executive

300% Memphis Grizzlies

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 12:54 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Lenny Del Genio

KENTUCKY +9.5

In the past, this annual late-season clash has been all UGA with the Bulldogs going 16-2 SU since '91 with Kentucky's last win taking place in '06. The Wildcats have not won in Athens since 1977! However, the gap is closing. Last year, Georgia needed an INT at their own 13 with 46 seconds left to hold on for a 42-38 win. As you should already know, this year, Mark Richt is fielding probably his worst team in his nine-year tenure. Kentucky is a game opponent, owning a 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS mark on the SEC Road this season and looking back further, the Wildcats are 16-5 ATS when taking 7.5 to 14 points on the road since 1992. They badly outrushed Vandy last week, 308-82, and all those early season injuries HC Rich Brooks encountered have led to adding some quality depth. Their unique QB rotation makes them a difficult team to prepare for and UGA can't stop anybody (three opponents scored 40+), including part-time UK QB Cobb, who had 82 yards rushing and three touchdowns in last year's meeting. Take Kentucky.

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 12:55 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

SportsBetsNow

2 units Michigan St +3
2 units Baylor +5.5
2 units California +7
2 units Nebraska -16.5

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 12:58 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

NHL PRO PICKS

Florida +172
Tampa Bay -104
Atlanta +100
Buffalo +115
New Jersey +113

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 1:25 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Texas Sports Wire

5* Oregon

Cal Sports

4* TCU CBB

Inside Corner

3 Units Pitt -106
3 Units Wash -116

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 1:49 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

SPORTS UNLIMITED

10* NOTRE DAME
7* Georgia
5* California

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 2:16 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tom Freese

Oregon at Arizona

Reason: The wheels on the bus have come off for Oregon with two straight looses to Stanford 51-42 and to Arizona St 38-12. The Ducks are 1-4 ATS their last 5 games as road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points. Arizona is 11-3 ATS their last 14 home games and they are 15-7 ATS off an ATS loss. The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The home team 4-1-1 ATS the last 6 meetings. PLAY ON ARIZONA.

 
Posted : November 21, 2009 5:40 pm
Page 6 / 6
Share: