NSA
20* Baylor +9
20* South Carolina -4.5
20* Utah +5
20* Milwaukee Bucks -3.5
Bob Valentino
Florida -14
The Boooj
Illinois +3
Boston College -3
Minnesota +24
LSU +6.5
401k Sports
4* TROY -11.5 over north Texas
The Trojans are the best team in the sunbelt and are coming off probably their worst loss of the season as the offense was just off. That was just the first time they scored less than 30 points this year. The Trojans have the #18 passing offense in the country. QB Corey Robinson has thrown for more than 250 yards in every game except last week. Coming off such a poor performance this Troy team should be chomping at the bit to get back on the field. The mean green are 0-4 SU & ATS at home this year and only have two wins on the year versus a couple other bottom feeders in the sunbelt. The mean green will want to run the football here as their passing game is non-existent since their top two Qb's have went down. They have not thrown for more than 200 yards in any game and troy does have the #1 defense versus the run in the sunbelt. I like troy here to bounce back with a strong effort after last weeks game. Troy 38 North Texas 16!!!
3* KANSAS +9 over Colorado
Both these teams have been pretty bad so it is puzzling that the buffaloes who are just 1-3 SU & ATS on the road would be laying 9 points here. The buffaloes have been hit with tons of injuries especially on the offensive line. I know the Jayhawks have been bad as well and have been blown out in their last 2 home games but they showed a little resolve last week in putting up a game effort against the cyclones on the road. I look for this one to be close as well and i will take the points as i believe 9 is a little much here. Colorado 27 Kansas 23!!
3* FLORIDA -14 over Vanderbilt
The gators after dropping 3 straight for the first time since 1988 rebounded last week at Georgia to get a win as the gators put up the most total yards against the bulldogs this season as coach urban Meyer had his gators go with a more uptempo offense and it paid off. The gators are probably the healthiest than have been all season. As bad as the season may seem for that gator nation a win here today and next week and they will play in the SEC title game. The commodores are the worst scoring team in the conference and were killed last week by the Razorbacks. Arkansas had 555 yards of offense to Vanderbilt's 153 and the commodores have been outscored 88-3 in the second half this season. The gators offense seemed a lot better last week and with something to still play for should have no problem getting rid of Vanderbilt once again....Florida 45 Vanderbilt 17!!!
2* UTAH +5 over TCU
1* UTAH ML +175
1* UTAH/TCU UNDER 51
This should be a very good hard fought game as the horned frogs have the #1 defense and are allowing just over 8 points a game. Do not under estimate this Utah club as they are very good defensively as well ranking #6 in the country allowing only 12 points a game. This will be the toughest test for tcu on the road here at Utah with a energetic crowd with tons of enthusiasm. I mentioned this will be the toughest defense the horned frogs have faced so it will be interesting to see how well this offense moves the ball versus a top flight defense. This should be a very good game here. Utah 24 Tcu 21.......
Brandon Lang
Tulsa -17
ATS Lock Club
4 Units Spurs -6
4 Units Wizards -4.5
Iron Horse
GOY - Oklahoma
Cowtown Sports
7* Utah +5
5* Alabama -6.5
5* Missouri -4.5
3* Boise St -21
3* Temple -3
Fantasy Sports Gametime
1000* Play Illinois (+3) over Michigan
Michigan has lost 10 of the last 11 games against the spread when playing after the 1st month of the season and they have also lost 11 of the last 12 games against the spread vs. conference opponents. Michigan has lost 13 of the last 17 games against the spread when playing as a favorite and they have also lost 12 of the last 15 games against the spread coming off an OVER the total.
1000* Play Northwestern (+6) over Penn State
Northwestern has won and covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 games when playing in the month of November and they have also covered the spread in 7 consecutive games as a road underdog. Northwestern has won 6 consecutive games after having lost two of the last three games and they have also won 10 of the last 12 games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards in their last game.
1000* Play Hawaii (+21) over Boise State
Hawaii has covered the spread in 8 of the last 9 games and they have also covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games when the total posted is greater than 63 points. Hawaii has covered the spread in 9 of the last 11 games coming off two or more straight wins and they are averaging over 39 points a game on offense this season.
Vegas Tout
Play Utah +5 over TCU
Utah has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 games and they are 6-1 ATS coming off a conference road win. Utah is averaging over 45 points a game on offense this season and are only allowing an average of 14 points a game on defense in those same games.
Play LSU +6.5 over Alabama
LSU is 4-0 SU in home games when the total posted is between 42.5 and 45 points and they have also won 7 of the last 8 games coming off a conference loss. LSU is 14-2 SU after allowing 125 or less passing yards in two straight games and they are only allowing an average of 11 points a game on defense in home games this season.
Play Kansas State +3.5 over Texas
Texas is 1-5 ATS when playing as a favorite this season and they are also 1-4 SU & ATS over the last five games. Texas is 1-5 ATS when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points and they are also 2-7 ATS after failing to cover the spread in two of the last three games.
The Sports Capper
10* Play Nevada (-11) over Idaho
Idaho is 10-23 ATS when playing in the month of November and they are also 3-14 ATS in home games coming off a conference road loss. Idaho is 1-4 ATS over the last 5 games and they are 0-3 SU & ATS vs. Nevada at home the last 3 meetings.
5* Play Texas Tech (+4.5) over Missouri
Game starts at 8:00 P.M. EST
Texas Tech has won 14 of the last 17 home games and they are also 3-0 SU coming off a loss by 17 points or more. Texas Tech is 7-2 SU when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points and they are averaging over 32 points a game on offense this season.
3* Play Oregon (-35) over Washington
3* Play Michigan State (-25) over Minnesota
Winning Angle
10* Play Arizona (+9) over Stanford
Arizona has won 7 of their 8 games this season and they have also won 8 of the last 9 games after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in their last two games. Arizona has won and covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 games vs. Stanford on the road and they are only allowing 14 points a game on defense this season.
5* Play Wisconsin (-20) over Purdue
5* Play Michigan State (-25) over Minnesota
5* Play Florida Atlantic (-3) over Western Kentucky
Jeff Benton
40 Dime - TCU
You gotta be pretty damn good if you’re laying points – and sigaificant points – on the road against an opponent that’s A) 39-4 in its last 43 games; B) 8-0 this season; C) ranked fifth in the country; and D) riding a 21-game home winning streak, including four wins this year by an average of nearly 35 points per game. Well, TCU (9-0) isn’t just “pretty damn good”; the Horned Frogs a freaking great, and Utah is about to find out how great this afternoon.
There are a lot of ways I can prove to you how dominant TCU has been this season, but let’s stick with three main points:
First, since knocking off a very good Oregon State squad 30-21 in the season opener, the Horned Frogs haven’t won a game by fewer than 17 points and seven of their nine victories have been by minimum of 27 points.
Secondly, since the Mountain West Conference portion of their schedule started, the Horned Frogs have put up 189 points in five games and given up exactly … 16 points! Those five opponents have been outgained by the following yardage totals: 333, 331, 234, 387, 313. Notice that I’m not saying those figures represent TCU’s offensive output over the last five games; I’m saying the Frogs have outgained their first five conference opponents by a total of 1,598 yards!
Third, this is as complete a football team as there is in the nation, with a balanced offense (214.8 passing ypg; 270 rushing ypg) led by a four-year starting quarterback in Andy Dalton (1,887 passing yards, 404 rushing yards, 21 total TDs, 5 INTs) and a suffocating defense that yields just 8.7 points and 217.3 total yards per game and has forced 14 turnovers.
Now, without question, Utah has been fantastic this season, too. And as I pointed out up top, the Utes have been a force for more than four seasons, especially in Salt Lake City. And like TCU, Utah has tremendous numbers on both sides of the football. It’s just that while TCU has run up against four quallity teams this season (Oregon State, Baylor, SMU and Air Force), Utah has been tested only twice … and both times the Utes barely came away victorious. They started the year with a 27-24 overtime home win over Pittsburgh, and then last week they barely held off Air Force 28-23 as a 6½-point road favorite, getting out-yarded 411-327.
Now, you could argue that Utah last week got caught looking ahead to this showdown with TCU, but I’m not buying it because the Utes are very much aware that the Falcons are a solid football team. That wasn’t a look-ahead by any means; Utah simply struggled with a very good opponent – the same opponent that a week prior went to TCU and got killed 38-7 and outgained 562-231. In fact, the Horned Frogs outrushed Air Force – one of the nation’s top rushing offenses – 377-184, and the Falcons needed 41 carries to get those 184 yards; last week against Utah, Air Force had 210 rushing yards on 41 carries and held the Utes to 179 rushing yards on 51 carries.
Yes, there are some who buy into the revenge angle, as Utah is looking for payback after getting destroyed 55-28 at TCU last year as a 20-point underdog. But I’d counter that argument with the fact that the Horned Frogs have some unfinished business against the Utes. See, two years ago, TCU Frogs went to Salt Lake City to face then-undefeated Utah and pushed the Utes all over the field for 58 minutes. However, because of two missed field goals in the second half, TCU led just 10-6 when Utah went on a lengthy perfect-season-saving drive, scoring the winning touchdown with 47 seconds left. Despite that drive, the Horned Frogs outgained Utah 444-275 that night, including 193-45 on the ground. Then in last year’s 27-point drurbing in Fort Worth, TCU put up 549 yards (342 rushing) and allowed just 284 (65 rushing).
I’ll do the math for you: In the last two meetings, the Horned Frogs have outgained Utah 993-559, including 535-110 on the ground!
I’m telling you, TCU could play with – and beat! – ANYONE, and I mean anyone, in the country. The Frogs are THAT good. And while Utah has an outstanding football team and while Salt Lake City is a very tough place for visitors, the Utes simply don’t have the firepower to compete with this opponent. And anything less than a double-digit win for TCU would absolutely shock me.
Rainman
10* Iowa
5* Illinois
5* Nebraska
3* La Tech
3* Tenn
1* LSU
Wayne Root
Upset Club Picks
UCLA
Texas Tech